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Arecibo Observatory Facing Massive Budget Cuts

SirLurksAlot writes "Many supporters of the SETI@home project have recently received a message informing them of impending budget cuts for the Arecibo Observatory and asking them to show their support for the project by writing to Congress. The letter also informs supporters that there are currently two bills (Senate bill 2862 sponsored by Senator Hillary Clinton, and a similar House bill, H.R. 3737), which are intended to secure funding for the project. According to The Planetary Society, the current plan for the Arecibo Observatory involves cutting funding by more than 60% from $10.4 million to just $4 million by 2011."

171 comments

  1. What? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is insane. We're throwing untold billions of dollars away on useless, inconsequential or outright stupid things every year, and we can't afford a few million for something like Aricebo? Are we nuts?

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    1. Re:What? by dreamchaser · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I support funding Aricebo for use to search for NEO's, but I don't want my tax money going to SETI. I'm sorry, but as cool as it would be to either confirm the 'WOW' signal or find a signal from an ET, it shouldn't be a priority for using tax dollars.

    2. Re:What? by MrKaos · · Score: 2, Funny

      But how will we listen out for illegal aliens?

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    3. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      No some other country is needed to step up to the plate on this, our turn is over.
      What will happen soon will make the great depression look like a stroll through the park on a breezy sunday.
      The military is slowly capsizing the country the same is at it did for the USSR

      LOL my captcha for this post is paranoia

    4. Re:What? by Original+Replica · · Score: 1

      As an honest question, what useful things has Aricebo produced? Yes it is wonderful for tracking NEOs and providing quality information to astronomers, but what has the return been for ME on MY tax dollar? Maybe some breakthrough materials or perhaps some insights into physics that lead to new technologies?

      --
      We are all just people.
    5. Re:What? by CRCulver · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes it is wonderful for tracking NEOs and providing quality information to astronomers, but what has the return been for ME on MY tax dollar?

      Anything that tracks NEOs gives you a return on your tax dollar in that it keeps you aware of any catastrophic threats.

    6. Re:What? by ROMRIX · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Create an account on the SETI forum and get to know those guys that run the place. They do squat there for what they're paid. I wish I could take a vacation like those guys. They're biggest decision is "What country do you want to go spend a month at?" Shit I'd be playing WOW all day too! Get to know them before you wish them (mine and your) millions.

    7. Re:What? by Ford+Prefect · · Score: 1

      As an honest question, what useful things has Aricebo produced? Yes it is wonderful for tracking NEOs and providing quality information to astronomers, but what has the return been for ME on MY tax dollar?

      Ensuring that there's no imminent repeat of this on a more populated area?

      --
      Tedious Bloggy Stuff - hooray?
    8. Re:What? by JebusIsLord · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Are you saying that it isn't worthwhile, or that it should be done by the private sector? Because I just don't see how it could exist without government funding given there is no realistic potential for a monetary return on investment.

      --
      Jeremy
    9. Re:What? by Scott+Ransom · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As an honest question, what useful things has Aricebo produced?

      How about a Nobel prize? (Amongst a bunch of other excellent bits of radio astronomy, aeronomy, and planetary science).

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PSR_B1913+16

    10. Re:What? by Enderandrew · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree. I read a while back that SETI went through their entire spectrum twice and hasn't found anything yet.

      I've also read how over the years, despite the fact that we have begun broadcasting more signals over the years, the Earth has gotten "quieter" in that our signals are more focused and don't travel as far. Even if there was intelligent alien life out there, and even if they broadcast radio signals, it seems unlikely they'd broadcast them far enough for us to pick them up.

      I don't want tax dollars going to SETI either.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    11. Re:What? by Original+Replica · · Score: 1

      Ensuring that there's no imminent repeat of this on a more populated area?

      That implies that humanity has the ability to take some kind of preventative action if a collision is imminent. As far as I know, we do not.

      --
      We are all just people.
    12. Re:What? by budgenator · · Score: 5, Informative

      The seti receiver is separately and primarily privately funded and operates in a tag-a-long mode so the seti operations don't interfere with other more traditional operations at Arecebo. When there is an observation going on the seti receiver just takes in what-ever the main telescope is looking at slightly off axis; very rarely is the telescope pointed at an object for a specifically seti observation. Additionaly the kinds of signals that Seti finds interesting are generally signals that when shown to be naturaly caused give astronomers decades of research material!

      I remember when Pulsars were designated LGMs for litlle Green Men.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    13. Re:What? by amccaf1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ensuring that there's no imminent repeat of this on a more populated area?

      That implies that humanity has the ability to take some kind of preventative action if a collision is imminent. As far as I know, we do not.

      Well, we probably couldn't shoot down an incoming meteoroid, but given enough warning time, we could at least begin an evacuation of the impact zone. Additionally, knowing that a sudden, shock explosion was due to a natural occurrence rather than a terrorist or "rogue state" could help prevent WWII being touched off...

      --
      "Flag on the moon. How did it get there?"
    14. Re:What? by sconeu · · Score: 1

      Additionally, knowing that a sudden, shock explosion was due to a natural occurrence rather than a terrorist or "rogue state" could help prevent WWII being touched off...

      1939 called. You're almost 70 years too late.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    15. Re:What? by History's+Coming+To · · Score: 2, Funny

      LGM1, LGM3 and LGM5 in fact. Why no 2 or 4? Well, they were all very odd signals...

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      Please consider this account deleted, I just can't be bothered with the spam anymore.
    16. Re:What? by amccaf1 · · Score: 1

      D'oh! As always, I blame the font... (Either that, or I accidentally declared WWI to be non-canon...)

      --
      "Flag on the moon. How did it get there?"
    17. Re:What? by Illbay · · Score: 1
      Every "special interest" (that's every single one of us, btw) says "we're spending untold dollars on X, Y and Z, which are CRAP! It is UNACCEPTABLE that MY pet project should be excluded!"

      One man's crap is, of course, another's caviar. When people use the term "special interests," they mean "every interest but mine, which is legitimate."

      If Congress had the balls - well, the Speaker is a woman, so choose your own euphemism - EVERYONE'S pet project would be trimmed, EVERYONE would walk away slightly pissed off, and we'd all be saving a HELL of a lot of money, enough to privately fund efforts and projects that are actually legitimate on the merits rather than the politics.

      Of course, it's never gonna happen because "special interests" (you and me, remember?) would rather have government imprimatur and government money, than have to actually compete in the MARKETPLACE of ideas.

      Someday of course, the swill-trough will run dry, and we're all gonna stand around looking at each other, wondering what the hell to do now.

      --
      Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced.
    18. Re:What? by History's+Coming+To · · Score: 1

      Yup, exactly. The one to watch out for, however, is the increasing aggression of a Nazi run Germany leading to the annexation of Poland, which could very conceivably start WWIII.

      Oh....hang on a second.... ;)

      In all seriousness, and as a cynical way to get more funding, someone should point out that whilst it may not be possible to avoid a collision, you could very well change the point of impact given some warning. Imagine if Bush had the option - strike off the east coast of the US, or delay it for a few hours and hit Iran/China etc? Military application=big funding.

      --
      Please consider this account deleted, I just can't be bothered with the spam anymore.
    19. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      A biggie was the radar return of the distance to Venus, which instantly corrected our measurements of the Earth-Sun distance, which then instantly changed the size of the Universe.

      You could just look at http://www.naic.edu/~nolan/radar/AUSAC.html. Some big stuff there. Rotation rates of Mercury (which was in error) and Venus, for instance. Radar maps of the topography of Venus. All cheaply done. All this for twenty minutes in Iraq.

    20. Re:What? by thatskinnyguy · · Score: 1

      It's used for more than just SETI.

      --
      The game.
    21. Re:What? by TheOnlyJuztyn · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To put this in perspective, this $6m cut will save the average US taxpayer about $0.024/year. Meanwhile, the Iraq War has cost the average taxpayer about $12,000 each over the last five years. With that money, you could fund Arecibo at its current level for more then 300,000 years.

    22. Re:What? by msauve · · Score: 1

      Anything that tracks NEOs gives you a return on your tax dollar in that it keeps you aware of any catastrophic threats.

      Oh, like I want to know that I'm going to die next week. Really, knowing about some global catastrophic event in advance would probably just cause massive panic and unrest before we all die. What good is that? Where's the return?

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    23. Re:What? by msauve · · Score: 0, Troll

      Well, a Nobel prize is useful for the cash it provides to the winner, but the question certainly meant what useful things has it produced for the world at large? Did knowledge of some light-years-distant binary solve world hunger, and no one was told about it?

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    24. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those aren't the only options. Many worthwhile projects are funded entirely by donations.

    25. Re:What? by novakyu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because I just don't see how it could exist without government funding given there is no realistic potential for a monetary return on investment.

      Philanthropy. There are whole organizations pouring money into Africa. What's their expected return?

    26. Re:What? by jo42 · · Score: 1

      How many minutes of the Iraq boondoggle, fuster cluck, invasion/occupation, meddling in the middle east once again would it cost to keep Aricebo running at the current, or higher, budget?

    27. Re:What? by novakyu · · Score: 1

      Anything that tracks NEOs gives you a return on your tax dollar in that it keeps you aware of any catastrophic threats.

      Just like this rock I hold in my hand is keeping bears away.

      Tell me when we actually have the ability to destroy and or deflect NEOs---or, even better, when we have actually detected an NEO that is a real threat.

    28. Re:What? by novakyu · · Score: 1

      Yup, exactly. The one to watch out for, however, is the increasing aggression of a Nazi run Germany leading to the annexation of Poland, which could very conceivably start WWIII.

      Er, that already happened. More than 4 years ago!

    29. Re:What? by wizardforce · · Score: 3, Insightful

      you can't make nearly as much money/trade with people in complete poverty, you can with people who get out of that kind of poverty so it isn't even a matter of ethics/morals/philanthopy, it's one of long term economics.

      --
      Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
    30. Re:What? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      If you really study the History WW II was basically a re-escalation of WW I anyways

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    31. Re:What? by MSTCrow5429 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, pork for nerds is far more moral than pork for anyone else. Screw the Constitution, nerds want their pork chops!

      --
      Slashdot: Playing Favorites Since 1997
    32. Re:What? by menace3society · · Score: 1

      For one thing, they get to not listen to annoying "Just a dollar a day" commercials on TV. They don't have to read depressing news stories about what's happening in other countries, or if they do (and this is probably the key) they get to feel good about themselves for doing something about it.

    33. Re:What? by phreakincool · · Score: 1

      Stop that.

    34. Re:What? by bschorr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So are you suggesting that just because we have few practical options for dealing with a dangerous NEO that it's better that we not even know about them at all? Perhaps we could spend our research dollars on peril-sensitive sunglasses? :-) -B-

      --
      -B-
    35. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what is it with /.ers?

      Don't you know the difference between "then" and "than"?

      With that money, you could fund Arecibo at its current level for more THAN 300,000 years.

    36. Re:What? by navyjeff · · Score: 1

      Arecibo's dish has been used to image asteroids. Don't be so quick to shut it down if that's what you want to look for.

    37. Re:What? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      given there is no realistic potential for a monetary return on investment.

      Tax write-offs for charitable donations. Every year, big corporations and wealthy individuals give billions of dollars to charity in order to lower their taxes. As long as this is run by a non-profit organization, donations are eligible for this. All that's needed now, is a little publicity in the right places and the donations will start rolling in.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    38. Re:What? by servognome · · Score: 1

      This is insane. We're throwing untold billions of dollars away on useless, inconsequential or outright stupid things every year, and we can't afford a few million for something like Aricebo? Are we nuts?

      Yes, stop spending on inconsequential things... just not MY inconsequential things.

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
    39. Re:What? by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      I guess you don't know what an NEO is. I didn't say shut down Aricebo. I said spend the money on looking for Near Earth Objects rather than alien intelligence.

    40. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SETI shouldn't be funded by tax dollars.

      It isn't, but don't let the truth get in the way of a good rant.

    41. Re:What? by arminw · · Score: 0, Troll

      ....SETI went through their entire spectrum twice and hasn't found anything yet.....

      And they never will. The probability, by statistical calculations, that there is another planet such as the earth, capable of supporting physical, intelligent life is essentially zero.

      Alone the spacing of stars disqualifies half of all stars in all galaxies from hosting a planet like ours. Factors such as star spectrum and star mass, planet mass and distance to star, composition, rotation, nearly circular orbit, magnetic field and other parameters must all be met, in order for a planet to have life as we know it. Complex physical life MUST be carbon based, because the binding energies of other possible chemistries, such as silicon are too strong for really the complex structures needed for life.

      It appears that our solar system and earth itself were carefully engineered to be able to sustain life. It is clearly evident that if the calculations for the probability for having another planet like ours are made, taking into account all the above and other factors, the truth expressed by the prophet Isaiah comes forcefully to mind:

      Isaiah 45:18 For so says the LORD the Creator of the heavens, He is God, forming the earth and making it; He makes it stand, not creating it empty, but forming it to be inhabited. I am the LORD, and there is no other.

      SETI is a huge, colossal waste of money. At least though this particular waste of money doesn't get people killed, such as war does.

      --
      All theory is gray
    42. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did knowledge of some light-years-distant binary solve world hunger, and no one was told about it?

      Yes, it fed our hunger for knowledge, you barking dolt.

      I wish my tax money didn't go straight into Halliburton's numbered account in Dubai, but they don't seem to care what I think. Hopefully they won't listen to you, either.

    43. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      But how will we listen out for illegal aliens?

      That's easy. It's sound like "work" begin "done," instead of the sound of whining about how the company doesn't allow the use of a chat client for more than 7.9 hours a day.

    44. Re:What? by msauve · · Score: 1

      Once again, some ass make the argument that just because funds are misspent one something, it provides justification for misspending somewhere else.

      We obviously overspent on your "knowledge", fool.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    45. Re:What? by Kagura · · Score: 1

      If anyone wishes to know more about what the parent is talking about, I've collected some required reading below. May it enlighten you wholly:

      Genesis

      Chapter One
       

      In the beginning, the universe was cold and barren and empty. Suddenly a massive explosion occurred made up of particles and strings. In time many strings came together and his Noodleness was born. But the Flying Spaghetti Monster was not yet complete and he commanded, 'give me two balls in which to increase my mass so that I may travel' and the balls were created and gently lodged into his mass. When the Flying Spaghetti Monster felt it become part of him he felt that it was good. Then he commanded, 'Give me eyes for which to see that which needs to be done' and the Flying Spaghetti Monster took his first look at the early universe and said, 'Boy, do I have a lot of work to do.' Thus ended the first day.

      He then with his mighty noodles organized the mess and created galaxies, nebulas and stars. After he looked at what he had done he saw that is was good. Thus ended the second day.

      He amused himself by sitting on a black hole spinning to such speed that his Noodleness was flown away from the hole at a great speed. A galatic 'WHeeeeeeee' was usually present at the point of release. In one particular galaxy, the ride was so great and gave him so much pleasure that he released a galactic fart, the shock wave so great that it collapsed a nearby nebula. He watched as the cloud grew into a planetary system complete with a different kind of star then he had created and he saw that it was good.

      He was so pleased that he returned to every galaxy he had made, and to every nebula large and small he turned and produced the same galactic fart and he did this throughout the universe. Thus ended the third day.

      On the fourth day a particular planet caught the Flying Spaghetti Monster's eye. A small blue planet, in a good neighborhood. He commanded 'Let the land rise from this little gem and fire burn within to bring forth mountains.' And he saw that it was good. 'And let there be plants and foliage on the land, because blue green is so slick' and trees were seen on the mountains and he rejoiced at what he had done.

      It was at this point that the Flying Spaghetti Monster realized that he was alone. 'In all of my travels I have met no one like me, nothing that.' And the Flying Spaghetti Monster sat atop the highest mountain and sobbed and his tears created the world's first rivers. Thus ended the fifth day.

      On the morning of the sixth day, the Flying Spaghetti Monster wiped his eyes and combined several minerals together from the earth and added water and stirred the mixture with his noodles into the form of a midget and blew the breath of life into him saying 'Here is one I may talk with, walk with, nurture and be friends with.' The midget opened his eyes looked at the Flying Spaghetti Monster and smiled (although it could have been gas) and said 'Googa wawaa poopoo'. The Flying Spaghetti Monster sighed. Thus ended the sixth day.

      On the seventh day the Flying Spaghetti Monster said 'Fuck it, I'm going to the beach.'

    46. Re:What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anything that tracks NEOs gives you a return on your tax dollar in that it keeps you aware of any catastrophic threats.

      About which we can do nothing - that's like paying someone to tell you that you are going to die - everybody is going to die sometime - talk about a fantastic way to piss away tax dollars! The only ones who benefit are the astronomy majors who are lining their pockets with taxpayer gold.

    47. Re:What? by arminw · · Score: 1

      ....In the beginning, the universe was cold and barren and empty.....

      You and your monster got it wrong. In the beginning there was NO Universe and no time. There was nothing and then it exploded. THAT is modern science? They give it a fancy name even ... singularity! Don't call that science, but faith, belief, just as any other. No matter how far you go back, you cannot get around cause and effect. We are part of the effect, but there is no way we can KNOW the cause.

      Your postulated 'Noodleness' came out of and is part of the universe. You wrote that. What then caused the universe which in turn caused your "Noodles" guy?

      The Bible, ALONE, of all world views, places the origin of the universe into a cause that is eternal, a transcendent God with no beginning or end. The concept of eternity is very hard for us to even imagine, let alone understand with our finite minds. That is WHY this eternal God asks us to believe. There is no other way. Just because you reject or ignore truth, does not make it any less true.

      By orders of magnitude, the Bible is still the most widely distributed and translated piece of writing on earth. There is NO other written work, by a long shot, that is available in as many languages as this collection of books. It was written by at least 40 different authors over 1400 years. Those that brought this work to us were from many walks of life.

      I think you, or anyone else, ought to carefully read it in its entirety. Only after that would you be qualified to express you opinion about it.

      --
      All theory is gray
    48. Re:What? by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 1

      It's science. Tax money should be used for science. Do you think it's a waste to search for exoplanets too?

  2. Time to move to the VLA! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Get your checkbook out, Mr. Hadden!

  3. Don't fret... by Adult+film+producer · · Score: 1

    this is turning out as planned. remember the movie Contact? What will be will be.

  4. Cycles or cents? by Jerry+Smith · · Score: 1

    What if all SETI@Home crunchers donate 1 dollar/Euro? Problem temporarily solved, isn't it?

    --
    All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. Time to die.
    1. Re:Cycles or cents? by ROMRIX · · Score: 1

      Hell ya! Amazon could put up a Paypal link!

    2. Re:Cycles or cents? by Macrat · · Score: 1

      Donations better spent on this than Mega Presidential Campaigns.

  5. Perspective by nicklott · · Score: 4, Interesting

    To put this into perspective, $6m is about the cost of the seat in a single F-22.

    1. Re:Perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      As an honest question, what useful things has F-22 seat produced? Yes it is wonderful for tracking NEOs and providing quality information to the military, but what has the return been for ME on MY tax dollar? Maybe some breakthrough materials or perhaps some insights into physics that lead to new technologies?

    2. Re:Perspective by pipingguy · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yeah, but the F-22 actually, like, does "stuff".

    3. Re:Perspective by Shivetya · · Score: 1

      or a couple of fancy public restrooms in some Congressman's district for a park any rarely uses.

      Earmarks alone consume more science money than we can imagine. Look, the DOD will always be here, its a requirement to maintain our standard of living and be able to scare the pants of petty 3rd world dictators who think neighboring countries are new areas to invade or people of certain ethnic traits need to die.

      The real crime in our government is earmarks, essentially buying their seats of power with our tax dollars. I was dumb enough to expect some change when the Democrats moved in on their campaign of Republican corruption but they are far more corrupt that those replaced. Hell they have tried to pass rules to hide earmarks or use fancy talk to hide the fact of what they were. I just wish there were some real viable 3rd parties but for every good idea many have they have too many crackpots to be taken seriously. This doesn't even count the problems the face with the press which is in bed with the Democrats and Republicans.

      Worse, some of the people running for office are suggesting cuts in NASA! This is all about votes, NASA and weirdly named science groups don't garner votes like a new highway; conveniently named for your local Congressmen; library, swimming pool, or yeah, a glorified outhouse.

      I would rather pay for those 6m seats in a F22 than in an outhouse.

      Oh, yeah a bit of exaggeration but 200k for an outhouse does happen and its "justified" http://www.statesmanjournal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080601/NEWS/806010321/1001

      219k for wool research? Happened.

      Think the Congress will take action, oh yeah, they told us loud and clear http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/13/earmark.vote/ and http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0608/11451.html

      Want more ? http://earmarks.omb.gov/by-tracking/summary.html

      Sheesh people, they want you to bitch about the war and the military. It allows them to roll right on by under your nose while you have it up in the air in "righteous indignation". Keep buying it. Maybe someone will come along and promise change .... and you will buy that like we did in 2006

      --
      * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    4. Re:Perspective by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      To put this into perspective, $6m is about the cost of the seat in a single F-22.

      Or to put it another way, provide health care for 1,768 people

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    5. Re:Perspective by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Did you read the article you linked for the bathroom. They claimed the price was so high because they were building it to withstand vandals; it sounds like you'll need a jackhammer to damage anything. You can say that using the same toilets as prisoners is insulting, but too expensive? Won't it save money in the long term?

      The funding also is coming from the city, not Congress. It wasn't an earmark at all.

      Sheesh people, they want you to bitch about the war and the military. It allows them to roll right on by under your nose

      According to your link, the Iraq war costs 5 times as much as all the earmarks in the US combined. And that's not even factoring in that some earmarks are good. So keep going on and on about earmarks, and let military contractors bleed the government dry.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    6. Re:Perspective by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 1
      Interesting how we can afford that, but a couple of millions on something that can give great scientific return, increase our knowledge and wisdom, broaden our horizons and make us understand this cosmos better... that's much too expensive.

      The public doesn't understand science. They don't understand that our advanced technologies are based on our understanding of nature. They don't understand how scientific theories are formed, and they certainly don't understand the meanings of words like "fact" and "theory". What they believe is what they want to believe, and how true it is depends on how fervently they believe it. There are people who strongly oppose scientific research on the grounds that it costs too much. Many of these people forget that the global annual military budget is exceeding $1 trillion. USA alone stands for half of that.

  6. Many supporters of the SETI@home project have.... by Nudo · · Score: 2, Funny

    Seeing the phrases "SETI@home" and "receiving messages..." made me jump to some obvious conclusions...

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  7. waste@home by Adreno · · Score: 1, Interesting

    maybe those aliens just don't want to be found... perhaps a more prudent use of resources would be folding@home. You know, curing cancer instead of holding our head to the ground to listen for non-existent buffalo...

    1. Re:waste@home by amccaf1 · · Score: 1

      maybe those aliens just don't want to be found... perhaps a more prudent use of resources would be folding@home. You know, curing cancer instead of holding our head to the ground to listen for non-existent buffalo..

      Bah, maybe that cancer just doesn't want to be cured...

      --
      "Flag on the moon. How did it get there?"
    2. Re:waste@home by eclectic4 · · Score: 1

      But, how do you know the buffalo aren't there? They would have to exist before they could "not want to be found". But, if we don't even look, then...

      Why did we spend a dime going to the moon? Mars? Why do we do anything that doesn't directly line our pockets with more money? Are we human beings?

      I'm sorry, but just as the parent noted, the extraordinary amounts of money we spend on far less lucrative endeavors sure makes a few pennies a citizen for even the possibility of finding intelligent life elsewhere seem worth it.

      Again, unless you can tell me the buffalo aren't there... no, we're not spending money trying to find flying pink elephants. We're trying to find something that is completely plausible, and would change the collective psyche of the entire human race. How could this be bad? Do you have a better method of searching? If so, that would also be welcome.

      Thank you.

      --

      "The greatest obstacle to discovery is not ignorance - it is the illusion of knowledge." - Daniel Boorstin
    3. Re:waste@home by Adreno · · Score: 1

      I don't pretend to know that there are not aliens. In fact, I believe there are. The chances that out of trillions and trillions of planets at least one other race of sentient beings came into existence are likely pretty high in my opinion. However, you must take into account (1) their proximity to Earth, (2) their use of a communications device that we can detect with current technology, (3) their likelihood to spend energy on such broadcasts given resources, politics, and whatever else keeps those aliens busy, and (4) the likelihood that they directed their broadcast in such a manner that it would be aimed at Earth and come to us without any sort of interference/degradation rendering it mere nonsense. SETI is a shot in the dark, everyone can agree on that... but the room you're shooting in is of a size beyond comprehension, and you don't have the faintest where to aim. I support the observatory in its NEO search endeavour, but directing tax-payer money toward such a fruitless search as SETI is plain silly. There is absolutely no historic evidence that we will turn up anything.

    4. Re:waste@home by Adreno · · Score: 1

      I'd also like to point out that the argument "we're already wasting money on X, why not Y?" is very poorly considered. I don't want to waste MORE money. Ever. Going to the moon, exploring the solar system, those can give us insight into geological processes that are taking place on Earth today. The possibility of spreading human settlement and industry across the nearby planets abounds. There are plenty of good reasons for our current space program that have nothing to do with SETI.

    5. Re:waste@home by novakyu · · Score: 1

      Why did we spend a dime going to the moon? Mars?

      Politics and more politics.

      With all that money NASA spent going to the moon, what practical benefit have we gained (that's related to actual landing on the moon, rather than, you know, the general research that goes on at NASA).

      I suppose Mars is in the news now with all those stories of water being found. But, really, who cares? What practical benefit does that have for those of us who live on Earth?

    6. Re:waste@home by Lisandro · · Score: 1

      perhaps a more prudent use of resources would be folding@home. You know, curing cancer instead of holding our head to the ground to listen for non-existent buffalo...

      Now - why can't we have both? Dissing the opportunity of discovering extraterrestrial life because "we're most probably alone" or whatever is retarded, specially considering the percentage of the US budget allocated to Arrecibo.

      A better question is this. Why isn't your government funding protein folding research and Seti when both could be covered by the price of a couple cruise missiles? Let alone other sensibles areas like education and security...

    7. Re:waste@home by Lisandro · · Score: 1

      I suppose Mars is in the news now with all those stories of water being found. But, really, who cares? What practical benefit does that have for those of us who live on Earth?

      Besides incresing our common knowledge of the universe we live in, or the new technologies developed by the space program? Saying "i don't care, i live on Earth" is like saying "why would i ever leave home? the fridge is stuffed."

      Science brings knowledge. And knowledge is one of the most intangible assets human kind posseses, but perhaps the most important. Think of it as investing in your future.

    8. Re:waste@home by jlarocco · · Score: 1

      I don't see why the government has to pay for it. Why not start a non-profit that takes donations and uses the money to do the research? That way you and other people who think it's important can donate as money as you want, and the people who don't care can keep their money.

    9. Re:waste@home by Lisandro · · Score: 1

      That way you and other people who think it's important can donate as money as you want, and the people who don't care can keep their money.

      Because government has to address the needs of every citizen. It's all about the greater good, and the government should (and in fact, has) to work towards that goal. In the end, you're funding science. It's important, and too cheap to ignore.

      And the "there's people who don't care" argument is a controversial one. Some people don't beleive they should support poor or unemployed people with their taxes, for example, reasoning that their tax money isn't working directly for them.

    10. Re:waste@home by jlarocco · · Score: 1

      Because government has to address the needs of every citizen. It's all about the greater good, and the government should (and in fact, has) to work towards that goal. In the end, you're funding science. It's important, and too cheap to ignore.

      The government working for the greater good is the definition of socialism. In a democratic society the government is there to protect against injustice and let the people worry about doing what's best for themselves, even if they don't always know what that is. The government doesn't exist to babysit us.

      Personally, compared to other things the government wastes money on, I don't really mind them doing space research. Better space research than another invasion. But I still don't entirely agree with it.

      And the "there's people who don't care" argument is a controversial one. Some people don't beleive they should support poor or unemployed people with their taxes, for example, reasoning that their tax money isn't working directly for them.

      No, the primary argument against the government supporting poor and unemployed people is that it disincentivizes working and promotes the welfare state. What motivation is there to finish high school, go to college, or even get a job, if you know that "big brother" will take care of you? Believe it or not, there are people who don't feel ashamed that they need to leech off other people. If you meet enough of those people, you quickly change your mind about government hand outs.

    11. Re:waste@home by novakyu · · Score: 1

      Besides incresing our common knowledge of the universe we live in, or the new technologies [nasa.gov] developed by the space program? Saying "i don't care, i live on Earth" is like saying "why would i ever leave home? the fridge is stuffed."

      So, you are saying that I can actually visit Mars now?

      Until there is an actual tourism of those places select few (or robots) are going, what do I care?

      And really, if I were telecommuting and the fridge were full, I would stay at home and not care about what happens outside my home (save for when I am traveling either for business or pleasure).

  8. Re:Many supporters of the SETI@home project have.. by SirLurksAlot · · Score: 1

    Haha, I suppose I could've phrased that better. I should've said SETI@home sends message of impending doom.......

    .

    .

    .

    .

    for Arecibo Observatory budget.

    --
    God, schmod. I want my monkey man!
  9. From a Puertorrican perspective by rafael_es_son · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I think it's best if it's turned into a giant skateboarding bowl, the labs could host nightly LAN parties.

    --
    HAD
    1. Re:From a Puertorrican perspective by rafael_es_son · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      It would be even better if said skateboarders wielded glowsticks of some sort as well.

      --
      HAD
  10. Here's an idea: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Buy fewer bombs.

    Morons.

    1. Re:Here's an idea: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wow, that post just kept boring and boring.

    2. Re:Here's an idea: by novakyu · · Score: 1

      Next fiscal year (9): "Consider this a military coup. You will be allowed to stay on as long as you help us maintain the peace. We need extra funds to hire the extra manpower to help crush the tax-payer revolts. Sign here."

      The good thing about U.S. government (despite all its failings) is, a civilian (the President of the U.S.) is the commander in chief.

      I honestly do not think a military coup (which would be ... some general *not* the commander in chief somehow getting enough support from his colleagues) is possible in the U.S.

      I'll believe it when that happens, but I don't think it will in my lifetime.

    3. Re:Here's an idea: by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      The greatest thing about the US is that anybody can be president.

      The worst thing about the US is that anybody can be president.

      The two statements are not mutually exclusive. And by the way, you already had your coup d'etat. Bush wasn't elected. The electoral college Ohio votes were fraudulent, so it's already happened in your lifetime.

    4. Re:Here's an idea: by novakyu · · Score: 1

      The two statements are not mutually exclusive. And by the way, you already had your coup d'etat. Bush wasn't elected. The electoral college Ohio votes were fraudulent, so it's already happened in your lifetime.

      You can call it whatever you want to, but it's not a "military coup".

      No, I wouldn't put politicians (of any country) above coup by deceit and fraud (not that I am agreeing with your assertion regarding the last election). But I am saying that the structure of U.S. government makes it IMPOSSIBLE for MILITARY coup to happen---military, at least in U.S., is a tool of the civilian government and has no life of its own, unlike in some other countries.

      When the civilian government gets out of hand, we have other means (impeachment, regularly scheduled election, or when all else fails, bloody revolution), but of course, it's another matter altogether whether the citizenry would be willing to use those methods or just sit and whine, as some people are apparently apt to do (I for one believe Bush administration, for all its failings, is legitimate, so I'm not complaining).

  11. Re:Good! by Nudo · · Score: 1

    http://boinc.berkeley.edu/projects.php That's a list of other things you can do with BOINC and distributed computing.

    --
    This is a signature. Bow to me.
  12. Running out of money, solution by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    quick, claim you almost discovered the Higgs Boson!

  13. Art Bell by pipingguy · · Score: 1

    Have they found any aliens yet? If not, why keep paying? Oh yeah, searching for "Killer Asteroids".

    1. Re:Art Bell by smoker2 · · Score: 1

      I'm stuck on a desert island. I looked for ships on the horizon, but there weren't any so I gave up.

  14. completely off-topic here but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    have you guys seen http://www.sciscoop.com/? are they just a complete knock-off of slashdot or are they affiliated somehow? there's gotta be some kind of copyright infringement or something about the format...

    1. Re:completely off-topic here but... by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      They probably use the same server app as Slashdot which IIRC is open source.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    2. Re:completely off-topic here but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ah okay i see... thanks a lot. took me forever to find this post since i put it in a random article. never again posting anonymously (after this).

  15. they've already found intelligence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Scientists look out into space for any sort of information. If they found it they would call it a sign of intelligence.

    Scientists find DNA information which constructs and governs all of the cells in our bodies. They call it an accident.

  16. It has produced massively distributed computing by spineboy · · Score: 4, Informative

    Much of basic research does not always produce immediately tangible results. SETI + Aricebo have produced massive distributed computing which is widely used now by many EXTREMELY worthwhile projects (protein folding, cancer research, etc). This is a basic tool now, and I'd say that's pretty valuable and productive.

    Just because it isn't directly dumping 200 MPG cars into your lap, or producing a magic fat dissolving drug, doesn't mean that it isn't helping you somehow.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
  17. Well - kinda by spineboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The F-22 does stuff TO people, Aricebo does stuff FOR people.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
    1. Re:Well - kinda by karlwilson · · Score: 1

      The F-22 does stuff TO bad guys FOR you.

    2. Re:Well - kinda by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The F-22 does bad stuff FOR the government TO guys it doesn't like and their neighbours.

    3. Re:Well - kinda by s_p_oneil · · Score: 1

      In a perfect world perhaps. Right now the bad guys are telling the F-22 pilots who to do stuff TO. Trust me when I say they're not doing it FOR me.

    4. Re:Well - kinda by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The F-22 does stuff TO people...

      ...like pull them in high-G aerial maneuvers and super-cruise pursuit mode!

    5. Re:Well - kinda by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      What, exactly, does Arecibo (note spelling) DO for people? F-22s are there so that they won't have to be used, but I guess you think they DO "THINGS" to people.

      Personally, I like the P-51 Mustang, those must be real cheap these days. You could probably get 20 for the price of one of those newfangled jets, plus it'd be much more cost effective for the coming slapdown of the American people by the military after everything goes haywire due to Global Warming or the latest panic.

    6. Re:Well - kinda by imsabbel · · Score: 1

      Seeing that the US wont sell the "real" version to any other country, the F22 will most likely kill innocents for bad, corrupt people.

      --
      HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
    7. Re:Well - kinda by tjstork · · Score: 1

      The F-22 does stuff TO people, Aricebo does stuff FOR people.

      Aricebo doesn't do anything for me at all. It's useless.

      --
      This is my sig.
    8. Re:Well - kinda by nicklott · · Score: 1

      If they're not going to be used why has the US spent $62 billion on them?

      If think it's more likely you could get 200 P51s for the price of one f22. Interestingly, according to wikipedia, they originally cost $50k each to build, which is about $500k today (probably not far off their current price as antiques) so relatively speaking, state of the art in 1945 cost 1/300th of state of the art in 2008. They probably use a lot less fuel too, so when oil hits $300 a barrel they might be able to afford to fly them.

    9. Re:Well - kinda by imipak · · Score: 1

      SURE it does. AMAZING intelligence y'all got these days, AMAZING. With those satellites I hear they can read the LICENSE PLATES of the car bombs the BAD GUYS are sitting in. That's why they always get intercepted before they blow some unfortunate working class kid's arms and legs off, or incinerate a few dozen civilians. (Boy I bet those incinerated civilians are just dying to tell Dubya how grateful they are to have been liberated in the name of WMD that weren't there and the 9/11 connection that never existed. 'Cos the INTELLIGENCE is NEVER wrong, ohhhh no, any anyone who says different is a whining liberal who hates America. And anyway, a few shreds of charred flesh tell no tales, you get me?

    10. Re:Well - kinda by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Aricebo doesn't do anything for me at all. It's useless.

      But you believe it will find aliens, there is a statistically significant chance that it will.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  18. Jody Foster? by karlwilson · · Score: 1

    Where the hell is Jody Foster at a time like this?

    1. Re:Jody Foster? by owlnation · · Score: 1

      No, you need Tom Cruise. Surely Scientologists would pay for SETI. It's the easiest way to contact a space DC-8.

  19. Re:Good! by budgenator · · Score: 1

    yeah like helping the PharmaCo's create the next wonder-drug that nobody without insurance will be able to afford.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  20. DANG IT! by Illbay · · Score: 2, Funny
    I read:

    "Many supporters of the SETI@home project have recently received a message..."

    And my heart leapt into my throat!

    The rest of the article was REALLY a big let-down after that, let me tell you.

    --
    Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced.
  21. Re:Good! by budgenator · · Score: 1

    Good. Maybe soon, all the BOINC users wasting time searching for non-existent aliens will move on to something useful!

    World Community Grid is a boinc project , no Seti@home no boinc, no boinc no World Community Grid.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  22. No profit by damburger · · Score: 1

    Anything which doesn't make a profit will be purged. Its inevitable. We will end up being a society that churns out nothing but burgers and shit movies because those are the most profitable things.

    And you, all of your, helped make it happen. Give yourselves a pat on the back.

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    1. Re:No profit by Ian+Alexander · · Score: 1

      Is it "Anything which doesn't make a profit" or "Anything [outside the defence industry, of course] that, after having millions and millions of dollars pumped into it, produces nothing at all but calls for more money"?

      You might think it's valuable. I wonder why we're wasting millions of dollars on looking for aliens (and utterly failing) when we have bigger concerns much closer to home.

    2. Re:No profit by Ian+Alexander · · Score: 1

      oops. Really should have done more than skim the summary, eh?

      Arecibo is valuable. It's SETI I have problems with.

    3. Re:No profit by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Yes, reading is good. You should try it more often. What makes you think that the government is spending ANY money searching for aliens let alone millions of dollars? Repeat after me: Currently the U.S. government does not fund SETI observations. Say it again. Repeat until it sinks in.

      Click on my signature to find out how SETI is really funded.

  23. So your argument is... by msauve · · Score: 1

    ...that because we spend alot of money poorly, we should spend more money poorly?

    I disagree - instead of writing Congress, those who want Aricibo funded should donate money directly, instead of trying to use the power of government to force everyone else to pay through taxes.

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  24. I don't understand the US government by Al+Al+Cool+J · · Score: 1

    We know for a fact there are weapons of mass destruction in space. Doesn't cutting funding to space research mean that the asteroids have won?

  25. Or better yet, don't write Congress by Einer2 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The ground-based astronomical budget is finite, and the only way we're going to finance 50 shiny new programs is by shutting down the old ones that aren't scientifically competitive. Arecibo hasn't been scientifically competitive in a decade, and it won't ever be competitive in the era when we want to build LSST, PANSTARRS, TMT, ATA, ATST, and a dozen other acronyms.

    We've already had one near-miss, when Hillary Clinton tried to force some budget language funding Arecibo in the weeks before the Puerto Rico primary. She didn't earmark new funding, she just added a mandate that existing funding go there. Oddly enough, the legislation didn't mention which other ground-based program would be cut to free up the funds...

    --
    Microsoft delenda est!
    1. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      Aricebo is to radio telescopes what hubble and spitzer are to optical .

      It's the most sensitive EM listening post on the planet.

      I don't see what makes it "uncompetitive"

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    2. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Einer2 · · Score: 3, Insightful
      There is no compelling science case for Arecibo that can't be pursued with other telescopes, especially since the frontier of radio astronomy has mostly moved from sensitivity (requiring big apertures) to resolution (requiring long-baseline arrays), or to shorter mm/submm wavelengths that Arecibo can't handle.

      They've actually moved a large fraction of Arecibo's time over to survey efforts: "We'll do the same piece of sky, but with a flux limit 3 times deeper!" Sorry, but there are too many programs with the potential for transformative new discoveries to keep a major observatory open purely for incremental science.

      --
      Microsoft delenda est!
    3. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      let's replace Arecibo with "hubble" or "spitzer"..

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    4. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Einer2 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Hubble: Weak lensing. Reionization. Exoplanet transit characterization. Directly-imaged protoplanetary/debris disks.

      Spitzer: Transitional disks. ULIRGs. Exoplanet secondary transits. Star formation, period. Direct imaging of free-floating planetary-mass objects.

      See? It's not that hard, even if you don't stray too far outside your (or your colleagues') field of specialization. There really are a lot of important (and sexy) science cases floating around, they just don't really require Arecibo.

      --
      Microsoft delenda est!
    5. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      or we could use the dilbert catchphrase

      "you're not CUTE anymore!"

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    6. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Scott+Ransom · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There is no compelling science case for Arecibo that can't be pursued with other telescopes, especially since the frontier of radio astronomy has mostly moved from sensitivity (requiring big apertures) to resolution (requiring long-baseline arrays), or to shorter mm/submm wavelengths that Arecibo can't handle.

      Sorry, but that is not true. Radio astronomy needs improvement in a wide variety of areas in order to tackle the tremendously wide variety of science that is done at radio bands. Examples include sensitivity, field-of-view, dynamic range, image fidelity, resolution, and wavelength coverage. But sensitivity is one of the most important. That is why the SKA is on the table to be the world's next generation decameter/centimeter wave radio telescope. The most important thing it provides is sensitivity (i.e. SK = square km = sensitivity). And Arecibo is already a 5-10% SKA.

      For my own research (pulsars), Arecibo's sensitivity is what sets it apart. Although, truthfully, the fact that it can't observe any of the southern sky (where most of the pulsars are) is a definite downside.

      Finally, you mention surveys and imply that because Arecibo is doing a larger percent of them now that that means it is washed up. However, that also isn't true. Modern astronomy is driven by large surveys (including several of the instruments that you mention, for example, Sloan, PANSTARRS, LSST) as they dramatically increase our discovery space.

    7. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Hmmmm.. theres the VLA, the VLBA .. SKA on the way and many
      other radio scopes/arrays. Sometimes one has to let go.

      And I might add I would prefer to see funding restored to Iter than Aricebo.

    8. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      No, let's replace Arecibo with "one ten thousandth of the cost of hubble or spitzer"

    9. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Tom+Womack · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What is Arecibo's credible competition in the radio-bucket field, and particularly in the radio-transmitting field for planetary radar?

      You've listed a load of optical instruments, including ATST which is explicitly to study the Sun; the only radio one is the ATA whose area is about a sixth of Arecibo's and who can't benefit from elaborate ultra-low-noise receiver technology unless you want to build 350 dilution refrigerators to cool 350 copies of your instrument.

      The Square Kilometer Array isn't built yet, and I can't think of a radio-telescope array which has comparable collecting area to Arecibo; LOFAR's not built yet and is running at lower frequencies anyway; Goldstone _can_ do planetary-radar stuff, but I get the impression Arecibo does it better.

      I've argued the other side for some of the British funding withdrawals - there was someone adamant about keeping the UKIRT open to complete a survey, where the UKIRT is a poor survey instrument and the VLT Survey Telescope could do a better job and is already built - but Arecibo is much more credibly a unique facility.

    10. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Einer2 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In an era where every telescope or survey has lifetime costs of tens to hundreds of millions, do you really think we can afford to slice up the pie by wavelength and not pit wavelengths against each other? Some fields naturally rise while others fall (just ask the solar people!), and it doesn't make sense to maintain the same fractional allocation of money.

      My argument, which also applies to Scott Ransom's post, is that there are so many science cases that are truly transformative, just doing reasonable science shouldn't be enough to guarantee funding out of the relatively flat NSF pool. We have to be active in examining existing programs to determine which are still contributing as much (per dollar) as a new telescope or survey would. Most of the results I've heard coming out of Arecibo lately seem to fall in the reasonable category, not in the transformative category. I'm certainly willing to be persuaded otherwise, though.

      Finally, my list was largely optical/IR because those are what I'm most familiar with, but I'm certainly willing to include the new radio/mm/submm initiatives. For example, ALMA is obviously going to be huge, and I would happily kill a number of optical telescopes if it were necessary to keep ALMA alive.

      --
      Microsoft delenda est!
    11. Re:Or better yet, don't write Congress by Einer2 · · Score: 1
      Oh, I agree that Arecibo is still doing good science, and that achieving many of those other advances would also return good science. The problem, as I just mentioned in a different response, is that "good" might not be enough to justify funding as long as NSF funding remains flat and the cost of new facilities keeps rising. For example, do we expect any new results on pulsars in the next 5 years that really compete with weak lensing or planet searches in terms of impact?

      (I only ask half-rhetorically, since I'm open to arguments for a compelling science case. It's not like we're short on other science programs that can be kicked off the lifeboat.)

      Regarding surveys, I completely agree that expanding discovery space is key. However, SDSS and PANSTARRS represent fundamental shifts in the quantity or type of data available. (I'm a little skeptical of LSST at the moment, since I'd like to see a post-PANSTARRS discussion of what parameter space is left.) From what I understand, the latest generation of Arecibo surveys are what I call factor-of-3 programs - a factor of ~3 more in some quantity, like area or sensitivity. These incremental surveys may give you larger samples of known classes of objects, but they don't offer the same yield of unexpected discoveries like you get from order(s) of magnitude improvements. Am I selling the Arecibo surveys short?

      --
      Microsoft delenda est!
  26. "Scientific hedonism" by Tweenk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In times of recession the lawmakers get allergic to basic research, which they think is a kind of scientific hedonism. The thought pattern here seems to be that science is a shabby garden run by elitist weirdos. You water this garden with money and then you can pick the new drugs, weapons and consumer electronics growing on its trees. The lawmakers attempt to tidy up this garden in order to improve the yield of goodies by cutting down the trees that don't bear fruit. This can only be harmful in the end, because they don't have a faintest idea about gardening...

    --
    Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
  27. Profitability of the war in Iraq by tjstork · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Meanwhile, the Iraq War has cost the average taxpayer about $12,000 each over the last five years.

    If we assume a baseline 100M taxpayers, and an Iraq war cost of 100B a year, then, we're really talking only about $1000 a year on average. Notice, though, that 90% of the taxes in the USA are paid by people making over $250,000 a year, so really, we average stiffs are probably not even paying for the war at all.

    Now, let's say that the Iraqis come through and increase their oil production to first 3m bbls/day, and then to 5m / bbls a day, and the benefits of this production increase result in additional 50 billion a year in profits to American companies, PLUS, a reduction in gasoline costs. We can calculate the ultimate profitability of the war based upon a reduction in the price of gasoline per person, knowing that in the USA the per capita consumption of gasoline is about 10 barrels per person per year. Source , and thus, about 30 barrels per taxpayer per year. So we say at 30 x 45 gets us about 1200 gallons of gas per year per taxpayer. We can thus calculate that if the war in Iraq is victorious, AND, nets a global price reduction of about a $1 / gallon, then, each taxpayer would come out ahead about $200 per year, even if the cost of continuing the war is born indefinitely. If, on the other hand, the USA wins the war and a stable semi-US-friendly government emerges and thus we can withdraw the troops, and Iraq still pumps enough to lower the price of gasoline by a $1 a gallon, then the war would basically pay for itself in about 5 years, and then after that, it would be pure profit for the USA. Hey, imperialism can be profitable, which is why countries do it!

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Profitability of the war in Iraq by Jurily · · Score: 1

      90% of the taxes in the USA are paid by people making over $250,000

      [citation needed]

    2. Re:Profitability of the war in Iraq by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Now, let's say that the Iraqis come through and increase their oil production to first 3m bbls/day, and then to 5m / bbls a day, and the benefits of this production increase result in additional 50 billion a year in profits to American companies ...

      Err ... American oil under all that Iraqi sand, eh? Who knew!

      If, on the other hand, the USA wins the war and a stable semi-US-friendly government emerges and thus we can withdraw the troops, and Iraq still pumps enough to lower the price of gasoline by a $1 a gallon, then the war would basically pay for itself in about 5 years, and then after that, it would be pure profit for the USA

      LOL. Assuming of course that oil prices are all due to them nasty "speculators" and not to the fact that the rate of growth of demand is far outpacing any conceivable rate of growth of supply (including all Iraq, ANWAR, deep-sea, Arctic and what not) and that no feasible increase in supply is going to make a long-term dent. Some experts believe that oil prices (barring short-term reversals) are bound for the stratosphere (until either all oil runs out - in not so distant future, or an alternative infrastructure to produce the mountains of plastic wasted every minute and means to power super-inefficient small-scale transportation are found).

      Hey, imperialism can be profitable, which is why countries do it!

      Ask the Roman, Mongol, Ottoman, Austro-Hungarian, British, Japanese, Nazi and Soviet empires. Amongst others.

      I want to hold out this silly tripe tjstork had put out for all to see as what passes as "reason" amongst all of these war-hawks. Wild assumptions, blissful ignorance, delusions of grandeur all "backed up" by "calculations" (half of which use values pulled out of the poster's ass).

      Sure "imperialism can be profitable" to ... a tiny elite capable of jumping ship when the empire gets sucked into unwinnable quagmires and spends itself into oblivion. All of the empires I mentioned fell to dust but their true (as opposed to the outwardly visible) elites survived unscathed with most of their loot. Even the Nazi empire was survived by the Krupp dynasty who (amongst others) funded it all (in addition to producing the bulk of Nazi heavy weaponry). Some 7 millions of Germans (not to mention 60+ million of others) were not so lucky. Yay, empires!

    3. Re:Profitability of the war in Iraq by ptbarnett · · Score: 1

      90% of the taxes in the USA are paid by people making over $250,000

      [citation needed]

      90% is overstated. But, it's not as much as some might think:

      http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/88xx/doc8885/EffectiveTaxRates.shtml

      It depends on how you classify the various taxes. If you look at ALL taxes (income, social security, corporate, and excise), the highest quintile (top 20%) paid 68.7% of the taxes in 2005. If you consider only income taxes, the highest quintile paid 86.3% of the taxes.

      In 2005, the average pre-tax household income of the highest quintile was $231,300. See the detailed data for the minimum, although be forewarned that the CBO divides household income by a factor that isn't quite the number of people in the household to normalize it to something resembling per-person.

    4. Re:Profitability of the war in Iraq by eshockes · · Score: 1

      Yah. Well keyed. If you want the answers to "why" questions, just follow the money...

  28. Heh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'Overrated' does not mean 'I don't agree with you' or 'I don't like your opinion'.

  29. Re:Good! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "no S@h no boinc" - how? BOINC doesn't depend on S@h, S@h depends on BOINC.

  30. The irony of SETI by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

    Desperately trying hard to find the slightest evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence while astronauts, pilots and radar operators witness UFO events that can hardly be explained by anything but what we're looking for so hard in the sky.

    But I guess that the term UFO inspires such a lack of credibility that we have to look hard to the sky where we won't see anything while ignoring what takes place in our atmosphere.

    --
    You just got troll'd!
  31. Outrageous by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

    I think it is outrageous that we can spend trillions on Bushs war of lies and deciet in iraq but we cannot come up with $11 million for aricebo. It shows how corrupt the government has become, when Bushs wars of aggression of killing and death are more important than expanding human knowledge.

  32. Re:Good! by budgenator · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Seti@home was started for several reasons

    1. SETI researchers were passionate about there work.
    2. the idea of SETI is inherently romantic insureing some success
    3. the SETI project was interesting and computationally amenable to distributed processing

    Originally the SETI@home was intended more as a proof of concept rather than the finally goal and it popular success surprised even the SETI team.
    boinc was a restructuring of the 1st gen SETI@home software and is designed to be much more modular and versatile framework than its predecessor. Because the framework is more versitile the other projects can spend their time writing their specialized software and not re-inventing the wheel.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  33. Mod parent and grandparent down... by SETIGuy · · Score: 3, Insightful
    What makes you think SETI is being federally funded, or that it represents a significant portion of what Arecibo does?

    SETI@home is at the present time entirely funded by donations. Any time SETI@home uses at Arecibo is piggybacked on searching for pulsars or mapping the Galaxy in the 21cm line.

    Or are you suggesting that because Arecibo spends any effort on a project you dislike it should be shut down?

  34. Mod parent funny. by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Create an account on the SETI forum and get to know those guys that run the place. They do squat there for what they're paid. I wish I could take a vacation like those guys. They're biggest decision is "What country do you want to go spend a month at?" Shit I'd be playing WOW all day too! Get to know them before you wish them (mine and your) millions.

    Yes, all three of the people who work for SETI@home are billionaires from their SETI salaries. Did you ever try to run a scientific project and a web site visited daily by a few hundred thousand people with a staff of three part time employees? Are you on call for your job every hour of every day?

    To be serious, pay at SETI@home is, like typical university pay, about 70% of industry wages for the same work. And given that they aren't getting enough in donations to fund the three employees they have, they are lucky the project hasn't folded.

    And the staff members I know personally would rather drown in raw sewage than play WoW. One used to work on an open source flight simulator for a while, however. That was about 15 years ago. I doubt he has much time for gaming now.

    1. Re:Mod parent funny. by ROMRIX · · Score: 1

      Are you on call for your job every hour of every day?

      Odly enough, I am. I average between 400 and 450 hours a month and still find time to manage the companys web site. (a really small one with few hits though.)

      And the staff members I know personally would rather drown in raw sewage than play WoW.

      That was meant as a play on words targeted at the "WOW" signal, not the MMOG WoW. You know, sit in front of a screen (or printout as the case may be.) for a few years then at some random point in time shout "WOW", then go right back to staring at the screen for a few more years in hopes of scoring again. Get it? Funny shit isn't it?
      I've been a member of the SETI@home for a number of years and fully support the effort and have had at one time as many as eleven of my own PCs running BOINC with SETI@home totaling 55,146 credits, but I draw the line at using my tax dollars to fund it.

    2. Re:Mod parent funny. by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Sorry for not getting the joke. But since you were wondering, your tax dollars haven't been used. Unless you are a resident of California. Some state taxes were used as matching grants to match corporate donations in the early stages. And no matter whether Arecibo is funded or not, none of those dollars go to SETI@home.

  35. Re:Good! by servognome · · Score: 1

    yeah like helping the PharmaCo's create the next wonder-drug that nobody without insurance will be able to afford.

    ... for 17 years.

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    D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
  36. Hmm... by religious+freak · · Score: 1

    /me thinking about how hard it would be to gather a list of registered voters and fire up Quick Test Pro to automatically generate thousands of letters...

    Can't be too hard, right? I could probably have it done in less than a day. Geek power! :)

    --
    If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
  37. its still there, just winding down by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    $4 million for a long paid off installation is still a decent maintenance and automated operations budget for the most meritorious existing operations. Open source the data and do minor repairs until worn out. I vote for the new experiments. Let's see which lasts longer, Bill (Gordon) or Aricebo. Still a nice movie prop, maybe new movies will add a paint job or two in the future.

  38. A little tripe of your own... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    LOL. Assuming of course that oil prices are all due to them nasty "speculators" and not to the fact that the rate of growth of demand is far outpacing any conceivable rate of growth of supply (including all Iraq, ANWAR, deep-sea, Arctic and what not) and that no feasible increase in supply is going to make a long-term dent.

    What you ignore, when you make that assessment, is a pricing equilibrium brought about my normal market forces. Yes, demand is increasing at a rate that will outstrip supply. But, as prices increase, then, demand can and will fall and level off. It might be at $200/bbl, but, the price increases will level off as a greater percentage of the population decides to not have it. That's just the way humanity works. Any increase in supply, thus, is always going to be beneficial, as it will act to either delay or suppress the price increase. Now, you could have an argument with ANWR, but, to say that 200 billion barrels of Iraqi supply cannot make a dent in world prices is absurd.

    Ask the Roman, Mongol, Ottoman, Austro-Hungarian, British, Japanese, Nazi and Soviet empires. Amongst others.

    I want to hold out this silly tripe tjstork had put out for all to see as what passes as "reason" amongst all of these war-hawks

    You can call it tripe, as much as you want, but I was only stating facts, and not making any moral judgement. However, you should note that that Roman Empire lasted, in one fashion or another, for nearly 2000 years (dating from the founding of Rome to the fall of Constantinople). The Chinese Empire lasted for 2000 years. The Egyptian Empire lasted for probably 4000 years. The British Empire lasted for 400 years.

    The only reason the Japanese, German and Soviet Empires collapsed was because another budding superpower opposed all of them with an economic system that was better than their own. Do read about the Japanese economy running into World War II, and take careful note of comparisons of GDP. Similarly, as much as people rail on about supposed NAZI efficiency, even the "lowly" British produced more aircraft, engaged in quite successful technological research (RADAR, Computer, code breaking), and managed to build quite a successful surface Navy while the Germans could only build a fleet in being. And similarly, the Soviets, masters of an entire continent and a giant population, screwed it all up with central planning. Quite honestly, if the Soviet Empire allowed trade with the rest of the world and free markets in its borders, its quite likely Germany would still be partitioned and the economy might be so good that the Eastern Bloc might not even want to be liberated.

    The reason that I say this, is, yes, wheras we can argue pro or con about empires - I'm actually in favor of a total US military withdrawal from everywhere on the planet with a renewed focus on trade. But, you can't just say "empires are stupid and doomed to fail", because, right now, to the best of our knowledge, empires produced the longest lasting and most stable forms of human government -ever-. The USA is the world's oldest Democracy, and its only 250 years. As ages of civilizations go, its not even close to be a contender on the overall test of time among civilizations that are truly, long lasting.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:A little tripe of your own... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      But, as prices increase, then, demand can and will fall and level off. It might be at $200/bbl, but, the price increases will level off as a greater percentage of the population decides to not have it.

      Many analysts believe (and I agree with them) that the Western technological culture is hopelessly addicted to oil and that the growth demand is pretty much inflexible unless truly drastic changes are made to the Western (and by extension all other countries which adopted or are adopting this system such as Japan and China) life-style and technology. Consider this: every electronic device uses plastic as its chief (by volume) component. Nearly all food processing involves plastic in packaging. Etc and so on. Some countries, such as USA, are hopelessly dependent on individual (as opposed to mass) transportation as the entire infrastructure of cities is centered on this. Should individual transportation become too expensive then a whole gamut of things such as suburbia and big-box shopping centers cease to be feasible. Not to mention heating and the fact that many parts of the country depend on inexpensive energy for food delivery from remote locations. It goes on and on and on.

      So the equilibrium point is far, far above $200 a barrel, most likely in the $5000+ dollar range as the amount of dependence on this energy and polymer source is truly staggering. It is not simply a matter of "deciding not to have it". Going cold turkey on oil means death as far as Western technological civilization as we know it is concerned. Oil was in the past extremely unreasonably cheap - it is solar energy accumulated over hundreds of millions of years which we brainlessly and unspeakably wastefully proceeded to use up in just few centuries, and now finally its value is becoming belatedly obvious.

      That's just the way humanity works. Any increase in supply, thus, is always going to be beneficial, as it will act to either delay or suppress the price increase. Now, you could have an argument with ANWR, but, to say that 200 billion barrels of Iraqi supply cannot make a dent in world prices is absurd.

      See above. All the Iraqi oil would do (assuming that it can be brought to market quickly enough, which is extremely unlikely as the infrastructure needs to be rebuilt from ground up and the insurgents are not likely to let the pipelines alone and there is no feasible way to protect them due to their length) is to delay the inevitable. Oil is a finite resource, the Western technological civilization is hooked on it like a crack whore (worse in fact, as a crack whore is unlikely to die from lack of crack) and no feasible replacement technologies at this point exist or are even at a prototype stage.

      But, you can't just say "empires are stupid and doomed to fail", because, right now, to the best of our knowledge, empires produced the longest lasting and most stable forms of human government -ever-

      The imperial longevity is in reverse proportion to the amount of people involved, availability and speed of communication and transportation technologies and the cost of running the empire. That is why you will note that as we progress in history the average reign of an "empire" has shortened dramatically. The US empire is already showing all the signs of collapse, after mere few decades of openly imperial policies. More boldly these policies are expressed, more accelerated the pace of collapse. Iraq war being a perfect example, which (with a host of other factors) has in essence bankrupted (financially and morally both) the USA and no amount of magical accounting and creative statistics can hide this fact except from those who are truly desperate to believe otherwise.

      But one thing all empires have in common is that they are vicious and murderous entities which are responsible for untold amounts of carnage, suffering and misery. And USA is working really, really hard to acquire its share of

    2. Re:A little tripe of your own... by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      Citizens of Greece might disagree somewhat.

      Fine, the United States is the oldest presently continuing democracy thus far and even if you count that brief period of Democracy in the ancient City State of Athens it is important to keep a couple of things in mind. It was democracy only for the citizens of Athens, which is great you might say until you realize that citizens were limited to adult males (this excluded women, slaves, children, and resident foreigners) who had completed their military training, were not under suspension for failure to pay debts to the state, and were not branded with a permenant injuction because their father was also baned. In theory, ownership of property was not required, but it was likely that in practice only a family which owned property and derived revenue from it would be able to afford to devote male members to military service (paying for the expensive arms and equipment as ancient greek soldiers payed to outfit themselves), remain in good standing with regard to debts, and not eventually find themselves excluded for one reason or another.

    3. Re:A little tripe of your own... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Fine, the United States is the oldest presently continuing democracy

      That would be France.

      Oh you meant the oldest presently continuing without long interruptions democracy. Got it.

      It was democracy only for the citizens of Athens, which is great you might say until you realize that citizens were limited to adult males (this excluded women, slaves, children, and resident foreigners) ...

      Sure, the specifics of the Athenian Democracy were quite different from those of the USA as were those of France after the Revolution. As are those of many other nations presently (i.e. Parliamentary, Proportional, Direct, Indirect etc etc etc).

      The point remains however that the very concept of Democracy was first implemented (as far as we know, and however imperfectly by modern standards) by the City State of Athens. The very term "Democracy" is derived from the ancient Greek word describing the idea.

      Normally this would be merely a historical curiosity, but it just happens to be one of those things Americans continuously attempt to take credit for to the point of absurdity. And so for this hubris induced nationalistic fever I feel obliged to prescribe a good cold shower of historical reality.

    4. Re:A little tripe of your own... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Actually to correct myself here, the French came second. Somehow I remembered the date for the French Revolution as 1769 instead if 1789. My bad.

      Greece still got you beat however by a pile of centuries.

    5. Re:A little tripe of your own... by AdamHaun · · Score: 1

      France is on their fifth constitution since the revolution. Does that really count as a continuing government?

      --
      Visit the
    6. Re:A little tripe of your own... by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      That would be France.

      I am not an expert on French history, but it seems that the French Revolution did not occur until 1789, seven (7) years after the the Treaty of Paris formally ended the American Revolution and the United States became a sovereign country. Prior to that, France was essentially a hereditary absolute monarchy ala Louis XIV aka L'État, c'est moi (I am the state). There were no interruptions to French democracy before the French Revolution because it did not exist prior to the Estates General of 1789. It was always France in physical location, but the governments were completely different and even the culture, or at least substantial portions of it, can be said to have changed during and after the French Revolution so the France that exited prior to 1789 really was a very different sort of state and could not really be called a continuation with a simple change of government along the way.

      but it just happens to be one of those things Americans continuously attempt to take credit for to the point of absurdity

      That might be one for Jaywalking, but I think that most Americans, even if they couldn't name the City State of Athens (or even more improbably, the dates), would know and acknowledge the Greeks and Greece as the birthplace of democracy.

    7. Re:A little tripe of your own... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      I am not an expert on French history, but it seems that the French Revolution did not occur until 1789 ...

      Yes you are right, I somehow remembered the date as 1769. My bad.

  39. Seriously, these funding levels are insignificant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, two quick things:

    1) I really don't care to much about the observatory, but hey, if other people do, and there's enough of them to fund it, go them;

    2) killing the budget of this observatory + other projects saves about 10 million dollars in a country that is going almost 100 trillion dollars in debt for entitlement spending ($90 trillion over the next 40-50 years; the American comptroller general [national accountant] is now touring the country like a prophet begging everyone who will listen to make the government stop spending so much);

    Let me spell this out:
    debt ~ 100,000,000,000,000
    savings ~ 10,000,000

    Seriously, whether I care about it or not, if the project is doing ANY good, its current funding levels are so completely insignificant, just, let it be.

  40. All wrong... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    Many analysts believe (and I agree with them) that the Western technological culture is hopelessly addicted to oil and that the growth demand is pretty much inflexible unless truly drastic changes are made to the Western (and by extension all other countries which adopted or are adopting this system such as Japan and China) life-style and technology. Consider this: every electronic device uses plastic as its chief (by volume) component. Nearly all food processing involves plastic in packaging.

    Well, that's the supposed theory of "inelastic" demand, and in a free market society, it's just not right. Pretty much, people will switch to the cheapest thing, and can do it pretty quickly. Have a look at July car sales. Five years ago, you couldn't sell a small car in the USA, and now, the SUV is dead. These kinds of decisions are being made in every material. If plastic gets to be too expensive, people will switch to glass or steel or wood, all of which can be made with coal as an energy source and last I checked, there's plenty of coal. So what, as you say, if individual transportation becomes too expensive. Or, perhaps people will use coal steam cars. Or, coal to liquids might work, or, maybe just electric cars or maybe there will be no cars at all. In that case, in case you haven't looked a map, you'll be pleasantly surprised to find that nearly every American city is built on or near a rail stop. Sure, suburban people might move back to cities, maybe we will have to give up cars, maybe we won't, but either way, people will survive. I mean, you are talking about a country that survived a switch from an agrarian to an industrial economy, survived the onset of global economic competition. Americans are good at coping with change.

    Going cold turkey on oil means death as far as Western technological civilization as we know it is

    Not at all. A few hundred years ago, western technological civilization ran out of wood. Life became much less comfortable for a while but ultimately necessity proved to be the mother of invention, and the west invented the industrial revolution.

    See above. All the Iraqi oil would do (assuming that it can be brought to market quickly enough...delay the inevitable...

    Delay the inevitable is -good-. It gives us time to invest in other technologies. That's why I say, drill in ANWR, offshore, everywhere. Bring the prices down a bit and take that money and pump it into new technologies.

    The imperial longevity is in reverse proportion to the amount of people involved, availability and speed of communication and transportation technologies and the cost of running the empire. That is why you will note that as we progress in history the average reign of an "empire" has shortened dramatically. The US empire is already showing all the signs of collapse, after mere few decades of openly imperial policies

    Well, that's all pretty good propaganda if you want to make yourself feel good but consider this - the Roman achilles heel, economically, was grain to feed the city. They literally had to get grain from other places. They fought Carthage over Sicily, and won, and were later to take over a number of places with a hunger for food that makes our own oil addiction seem quaint. During the wars, Rome had its homeland invaded, its standing army utterly crushed, its cities looted, but eventually, after hanging in there for a long time , finally triumphed over there big rival and ran with free control of the med. sea for quite some time.

    The imperial longevity is in reverse proportion to the amount of people involved, availability and speed of communication and transportation technologies and the cost of running the empire. That is why you will note that as we progress in history the average reign of an "empire" has shortened dramatically

    Actually, no. There's no reason that empires must be automatically short, even today. You might say, too, that the longevity of empires has more to do with vast disparities in e

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:All wrong... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Well, that's the supposed theory of "inelastic" demand, and in a free market society, it's just not right.

      How so? Here is an (extreme - but just to illustrate the point) example: food and water. Is the demand for food and water "elastic"? At some point the "free market" model breaks down and the former "buyer" will logically resort to any and all desperate means necessary to procure sustenance, violence included. Incidentally, this is among reasons why medical care does not (and cannot) operate as "trade" and thus is not subject to the "market" model, but that is another discussion.

      Once major, devastating changes in people's lives are looming, the demand becomes quite inflexible. The level of rigidness of that demand corresponds to the level of potential suffering that one would be exposed to if the item in question were to be no longer available. In case of oil the situation is rather dire as we are talking about massive upheavals throughout pretty much all industries of the developed world, and as a result the demand is much much less flexible as it would be if we were talking about essentially levels of comfort between which the consumers are to choose (as opposed to levels of suffering).

      Have a look at July car sales. Five years ago, you couldn't sell a small car in the USA, and now, the SUV is dead.

      See above. There is a very great difference between the jump from "SUV" to "small car" versus "small car" to "no car". The first jump is essentially in the varying "comfort" zones. The second begins to entail "suffering" (for a family whose whole wealth is invested in a suburban home where no public transportation reaches - it spells a financial catastrophe, including loss of commute based jobs and essentially starvation).

      Failure to observe these drastically different grades of flexibility is at the core of the mistake you are making.

      If plastic gets to be too expensive, people will switch to glass or steel or wood, all of which can be made with coal as an energy source and last I checked, there's plenty of coal.

      Again, you severely underestimate the levels of dependence on oil in most manufacturing processes. We are talking about a great majority of today's consumer items ceasing to be financially viable, even if the vast expense of essentially abandoning and rebuilding the factories used to make them would be made, as the entire production lines are dependent on plastic at every stage of their operation. This again is the reason why demand is inflexible. For most businesses a marked increase in cost of plastic spells disaster.

      Coal does not offer any sort of replacement due to extreme inefficiencies of converting coal into polymers usable for plastics. And of course coal is also sharing the main characteristic of oil: it is a finite resource with multi-hundred million year accumulation span.

      Or, perhaps people will use coal steam cars. Or, coal to liquids might work, or, maybe just electric cars or maybe there will be no cars at all. In that case, in case you haven't looked a map, you'll be pleasantly surprised to find that nearly every American city is built on or near a rail stop.

      Utter naivety. Coal based fuels have fraction of the efficiency required to sustain the present US economy. And the rail stations do absolutely nothing for the disastrously laid out US cities, although they might offer some minor relief: you forget that the current rail system capacity is also a tiny fraction of what is required as it was neglected (and in fact scaled down) for the last 50 years. A massive (and again vastly expensive and decades long) expansion of railways would be required to sustain even a portion of US economy.

      The reasons for the demand inflexibility are legion. It would take a book to even touch on them all.

      Sure, suburban people might move back to cities

    2. Re:All wrong... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      One of the major weaknesses of the capitalist model is that it is a reactive system, as opposed to pro-active.

      Some of your points about the folly of confusing social problems with technological ones are spot-on, but this one is not. The proactive element in a capitalist system is the much-maligned futures market.

      If indeed it's the Evil Speculators who are running up the price of oil to unreasonable levels, perhaps we should be thanking them for giving us advance warning of what's coming.

    3. Re:All wrong... by tjstork · · Score: 1

      How so? Here is an (extreme - but just to illustrate the point) example: food and water. Is the demand for food and water "elastic"? At some point the "free market" model breaks down and the former "buyer" will logically resort to any and all desperate means necessary to procure sustenance, violence included.

      But oil isn't water. You can live without oil.

      Incidentally, this is among reasons why medical care does not (and cannot) operate as "trade" and thus is not subject to the "market" model, but that is another discussion.

      People do shop when they make medical decisions... more importantly, they do not shop enough. The reason that there is no pricing information is the fault of the medical establishment and a lawsuit industry that precludes rational courses of treatment.

      There is a very great difference between the jump from "SUV" to "small car" versus "small car" to "no car". The first jump is essentially in the varying "comfort" zones.

      First off, you can have a pretty small "small car". If you have a car with a Again, you severely underestimate the levels of dependence on oil in most manufacturing processes.

      And you under estimate the ability of people to respond to shortages through the rapid adoption of technologies.

      You want to keep painting doom and gloom for the USA and the west, you can go right ahead. But, for those of us that don't need prozac, but South Africa's SASOL had no problem supplying oil to their country during the time when they under very heavy sanctions for apartheid. Similarly, before that, the NAZI economy actually -increased- its production of quite a few items towards the end of the war and was able to also synthesize fuel until we bombed their plants. There's more than plenty of coal to do coal to liquids for the next 100 years, if we wanted to, and the only reason there's not more plants doing that now is that those startups (besides SASOL), that are capable of doing this sort of thing are focusing on biodiesel instead because diesel is actually in greater demand than gasoline.

      A massive (and again vastly expensive and decades long) expansion of railways would be required to sustain even a portion of US econ

      How can you say that a railroad expansion would be expensive or even vast when we have machines that lay the track? And seriously, how can you even possibly believe that a country that created and deployed hundreds of thousands of miles of fiber optic and coax cable in a decade to watch better TV and send emails is going to even have a problem building sufficient new technology cars, rails and whatever it takes to get its people to work and on time.

      The USA will come through this little hiccup just fine, because Americans are just too damned good. All you people on the rest of the world betting on the USA going down in flames can throw your chips on the table now, bet everything you've got, because we Yankees are going to pick them up and school you folks!

      Semper Fi!

      --
      This is my sig.
    4. Re:All wrong... by tjstork · · Score: 1

      Which would do nothing for the problem of occupation of Iraq. If unable to deploy IEDs the insurgents would adapt other methods, such as car bombs, sniper, RPG, mortar and rocket attacks (which is what Hamas and Hezbollah are up to as they are unable to plant IEDs on the Israeli side of the border in their war).

      Yeah, and right now, the USA is deploying sonars to detect where snipers shot from, developing technology to intercept RPG and mortar and rockets, and yes, we will share that technology with our Israeli allies, and Hamas and Hizbollah can go crying back to their Iranian masters, just before we bomb them too.

      --
      This is my sig.
    5. Re:All wrong... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      The proactive element in a capitalist system is the much-maligned futures market.

      This is simply a disagreement about how far ahead a pro-active vision needs to be. The futures market offers only a very limited (from a civilization-level perspective) short-term advance warning. We are talking about a difference between basing your actions on someone running up to your house shouting "The tornado is 10 minutes away! Run!" versus meticulous preparation of an escape plan, building a tornado shelter years in advance etc.

    6. Re:All wrong... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      But oil isn't water. You can live without oil.

      As I tried to explain, this is a matter of degrees. The flexibility of the demand for oil is indeed higher then that for water, but it is far, far more rigid then, say, for paper napkins. It is not simply a matter of convenience or luxury, it is a matter of serious, for many people outright devastating, societal changes. When you lose your house, your job and have no idea where your next meal for your family is coming from it quickly becomes a matter not far removed from that of lack of water.

      People do shop when they make medical decisions... more importantly, they do not shop enough.

      Yes, particularly when they are unconscious in an ambulance ferrying them away to the nearest emergency center or when the disease they are being treated for requires advanced specialized bio-molecular knowledge to understand ....

      And you under estimate the ability of people to respond to shortages through the rapid adoption of technologies.

      You are simply a technocrat, i.e. a person who worships technology and which worship blinds him to the understanding that technology is incapable of solving many, many societal problems. In fact it causes quite a number of them. Subsequently your answer to pretty much everything is: "Worry not! We will most certainly invent a banana-to-oil-gizmo-o-matic and then the rivers will certainly run with milk and honey and the bunnies will dance in the streets ...".

      The truth of course is that oil-based technologies are what shaped the Western civilization as it is now and their termination will force a massive, fundamental changes in the life-style of the populace. Those changes will then cause great hardship. Will the situation stabilize after alternative technologies become viable (and sufficiently prevalent - which is a matter of decades)? Most certainly, but the point is that the society will resist this change with all its might. And that is why the demand for oil is inflexible.

      Similarly, before that, the NAZI economy actually -increased- its production of quite a few items towards the end of the war and was able to also synthesize fuel until we bombed their plants.

      You are obviously not familiar with the utterly wasteful and energy intensive nature of the Fischer-Tropsch synthesis.

      if we wanted to, and the only reason there's not more plants doing that now is that those startups (besides SASOL), that are capable of doing this sort of thing are focusing on biodiesel instead because diesel is actually in greater demand than gasoline.

      Bio-fuels are another red herring. Unless a vast scale commercial algae based systems are developed (at herculean expenditures, multi-decade effort and massive alteration of sea ecosystems) all the bio-fuel technologies must make a choice between agrarian use of land for fuel crops or for food crops. Presently there is not enough farm fields around the globe to supply enough bio-diesel to run even the USA alone at the current levels of consumption, never you mind the rest of the world. And that is assuming zero food production.

      You keep forgetting, willfully, that the oil and coal energy are bio-fuels except that they represent the sunlight energy accumulated in biological matter over hundreds of millions of years. We are burning up each year of our crazed consumption a few million of years of cumulative sunlight that arrived at the ancient forests of Earth. If this source dries up, even if we capture the maximum amount of sunlight available for conversion on land we would still be rather short by a factor of a few million. Vast scale sea based systems would be the only escape (as the total surface area of oceans is much greater).

      How can you say that a railroa

    7. Re:All wrong... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and right now, the USA is deploying sonars to detect where snipers shot from, developing technology to intercept RPG and mortar and rockets, and yes, we will share that technology with our Israeli allies, and Hamas and Hizbollah can go crying back to their Iranian masters, just before we bomb them too.

      Yes, of course, why didn't I think of this?! I mean once Ugh (a proto-American-Israeli) back at the dawn of time picked up a rock to use as a weapon, Mogh (a proto-Arab-French-communislamolibofascist) was done for because one could never develop a military technology or tactics to counter what the other guy has! And so no such thing as an arms race ever started! No, Sir! And so today the descendants of Ugh, whom we know and love as U.S.iAnus Shittus Cerberus, have a total global monopoly on thinking! The rest of the world, and Arabs in particular, can only do what the dwellers of the trailer parks of the US of A can teach them! Why, the Iraqis, for example, would be oh so grateful if these Towering American Titans of Intellect would only benevolently bestow their Cosmic Wisdom and Universal Insight via The 500lb Bombs Of Eternal Enlightenment onto these eager Iraqis! So grateful in fact as to promptly welcome the American Heroes with flowers and candy....

      Rectal-Cranial-Inversion Nationalistic Hubris much?

    8. Re:All wrong... by tjstork · · Score: 1

      You are simply a technocrat, i.e. a person who worships technology and which worship blinds him to the understanding that technology is incapable of solving many, many societal problems.

      So be it, but any problem that cannot be solved because of an existing technology means that there is a market for a new technology.

      You are obviously not familiar with the utterly wasteful and energy intensive nature of the Fischer-Tropsch synthesis.

      Use nuclear power.

      Bio-fuels are another red herring. Unless a vast scale commercial algae based systems are developed (at herculean expenditures, multi-decade effort and massive alteration of sea ecosystems) all the bio-fuel technologies must make a choice between agrarian use of land for fuel crops or for food crops.

      Again, you take a simple all or nothing approach. Future fuels portfolio is going to be a mix. Biofuels plays a part of that mix. First off, at today's oil prices, switching to any alternative fuel mix is ultimately profitable and so its a no-brainer.

      If this source dries up, even if we capture the maximum amount of sunlight available for conversion on land we would still be rather short by a factor of a few million.

      That's actually factually incorrect. I think you can conservatively say that the average solar flux is about 500 watts per square meter. If you've got a roof that's 4 square meters, and a good conversion, with a bit of storage for peak moments, that's more than enough solar energy to run a house. The earth is actually pretty big... you know, its a planet!

      Dude, you have next to no idea what is involved in laying down tracks. Hint: you need a continuously level ground of appropriate strength, bridges, tunnels etc. Even expanding an existing track from a single to a double (two way) layout is a massive proposition involving widening the underlying foundation, which usually takes many many years per track.

      Dude, you have no idea how fast things move when there is a national impetus to do so. Levelling is not that hard in an era of GPS and laser levels. Railroads can build themselves out by transporting goods across existing lines to expansion areas, so you have none of the goofy weight problem you have when building roads for cars. I mean, when the USA wanted to build railroads, we did, and fairly quickly. If you wanted to get some real speed, you simplify eminent domain for governments, waive some environmental requirements, and boom, you can get really moving. If, as you say, we're facing "social collapse", then, how are a people facing social collapse going to let some rare frog stop the rapid construction of new infrastructure.

      Stronger countries are better able to change themselves than weaker ones, always, and right now the USA is still in pretty good shape. We'll get through this change in fuels quite well, but I wouldn't want to be a frog trapped beneath the railroad.

      --
      This is my sig.
    9. Re:All wrong... by IgnoramusMaximus · · Score: 1

      So be it, but any problem that cannot be solved because of an existing technology means that there is a market for a new technology.

      The point being of course that some technologies cannot be replaced without massive societal changes, no matter what you do. And that it is those changes, not the technology itself, which limit, or sometimes prohibit, any usefulness of the technology.

      Use nuclear power.

      Sure, a nuclear reactor will really solve your problem of massive inefficiency in coal processing (where most of the input goes to waste). Not only that, but easily fissionable Uranium is even more finite then oil and all the rosy nuclear power scenarios depend on fast breeder reactors which run on the common variety of Uranium whilst converting it into plutonium. That will do wonders for global nuclear arms non-proliferation.

      Again, you take a simple all or nothing approach. Future fuels portfolio is going to be a mix. Biofuels plays a part of that mix. First off, at today's oil prices, switching to any alternative fuel mix is ultimately profitable and so its a no-brainer.

      And I keep telling you that there is no scientifically feasible mix of technologies that even approaches the energy output and density of fossil fuels, short of nuclear power in every car.

      There is nothing you can practically do (short of mass use of nuclear power) because it is against the laws of physics. Thermodynamics in particular. We took what was in essence a battery that charged over the period of hundreds of millions of years and proceeded to discharge it within a few centuries. It would take some more hundreds of millions of years to recharge it via solar energy. There is just nothing you can do to get around it. Ergo our civilization must adapt to much, much lower energy consumption (or blow itself up with plutonium - never you mind all that nuclear waste and pollution if it does not).

      That's actually factually incorrect. I think you can conservatively say that the average solar flux is about 500 watts per square meter. If you've got a roof that's 4 square meters, and a good conversion, with a bit of storage for peak moments, that's more than enough solar energy to run a house. The earth is actually pretty big... you know, its a planet!

      Sigh. Total amount of energy captured by all photosynthesis on the planet is about 3 zetajoulles, including all plankton in all oceans which amounts for about 90% of that figure, worldwide energy consumption was 0.487 ZJ in 2005 (electrical energy consumed amounted to mere 0.0567 ZJ, rest was oil and coal). That means if you were to chop down all trees and mow down all crops down to every last blade of grass on land and convert all of it with 100% efficiency into oil, you would be still short of one year's oil consumption (and that does not include all the oil used for non-energy applications, such as plastic). Those are the numbers.

      Levelling is not that hard in an era of GPS and laser levels.

      Yea, you pound the ground flat with your GPS and move the thousands of tons of rocks with your laser!

      Railroads can build themselves out by transporting goods across existing lines to expansion areas, so you have none of the goofy weight problem you have when building roads for cars.

      Yes they just build themselves. That is why an estimated cost of laying down new rail is about $5 million per mile for four freight tracks and about $3 million per mile for passenger high speed rail. On flat land. And that does not even include the right of way costs.

      I mean, when the USA wanted to build railroads, we did, and fairly quickly.

      It took a century or so. A single trans-continental line took 7 years of Appollo-program-style effort.

  41. get off your asses.... by Zoltair · · Score: 1

    If this project is so important, and there area so many people for it, surly the few million could be raised through private means. It is not a lot of money we are talking about here. The reason it is not being raised now, is there are not that many interested. Don't blame the politicians, you guys are to blame... put your money where your mouth is and raise the money or speak up..... I for one have no problem letting some of these projects die and would not want my tax dollars going to them as much as I do not want them going to products of war..

  42. Much better things to spend taxpayer money on by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    I can think of dozens of better things to spend my tax money on than a project that searches for "little green men."

    Our infrastructure is crumbling and we want to spend a ton of money on this? Absolutely insane, if you ask me...

  43. Value by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 1

    I want to live in a society that values not only money, but other things too. Science, art, education, healthcare. They all give something in return.

  44. The logical thing to do of course. by Ryan1984 · · Score: 1

    Is to pretend like you're a satellite TV repair man and offer everyone in the San Fernando valley free upgrades so you can secretly turn their dishes into a distributed radio telescope to collect data to foil the plans of the space aliens in human suits that are running pollution factories in Mexico to raise the temperature of the Earth and wipe us all out.

  45. you need to do more reading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the beginning there was NO Universe and no time. There was nothing and then it exploded. THAT is modern science?

    Science is honestly following where the evidence leads, and it is especially true of science that if (whatever is the) current understanding is is bizare, we take it on the evidence, even if it is unsatisfying. It is superstitious thinking to claim that something must not be so because you (just one imperfect being, as you nominally recognize) do not find it intuitive. You're talking about the "Big Bang" theory, which is a cosmology and not a cosmogony; it makes no statement or claim about what caused the universe; it only describes the universe after it began to exist.

    Don't call that science, but faith, belief, just as any other.

    It is science and definitely not faith because the understanding was arrived at by following the evidence faithfully and admitting that our understanding is incomplete and the universe retains some mystery, rather than by waving the hands and saying "God dit it!"

    No matter how far you go back, you cannot get around cause and effect. We are part of the effect, but there is no way we can KNOW the cause.

    That is *precisely* why your use of the "cosmological argument for the existence of god" fails; it just begs the question. It is a very old argument, and its flaw has been easy to demonstrate since antiquity. If everything must have a cause, then the creator god must have a cause, and that cause must have a cause, and so on all the way down. Perhaps you realize that, and think "well, I suppose something has to be uncaused, and I'll call call it 'God'." But it is easier to say simply that the universe itself is uncaused, and that the universe itself just exists; it is no more and no less amazing.

    The Bible, ALONE, of all world views, places the origin of the universe into a cause that is eternal, a transcendent God with no beginning or end. ...
    I think you, or anyone else, ought to carefully read it in its entirety. Only after that would you be qualified to express you opinion about it.

    Clearly, YOU have not read "of all world views" yourself, and are not qualified to make this statement, so you are being hypocritical. Furthermore, if you were familiar with other "world views", you would see immediately that you are unequivocally wrong on this point, and that to claim your own petty world view is the "one true way" is both pompous and trite. You obviously lack the familiarity you claim to have with other religions, even very closely related ones, and with religion in general. Islam and Judaism make this same claim, and even about roughly the same God! Hinduism and Daoism have very different spins on this idea. Zoroastrianism has exactly the same theological concept (Ahura Mazda, the uncreated creator ) that you just claimed was true only of Christianity. Only one of the few, major counterexamples I just gave is younger than Christianity, and most are *much* older. It is either naive or arrogant of you to think that your religion (in this case, Christianity) is the lone bastion in all human history of people being in some way "reasonable" about their religion, above and beyond how poor that reason actually is.

    By orders of magnitude, the Bible is still the most widely distributed and translated piece of writing on earth.

    That is an appeal to popularity, and even though you probably don't realize it, it undermines your position anyway. Most of the people on Earth once thought it was flat, but that didn't make them right. As for the "most widely distributed" work of literature on Earth, it is still a minority view among humans! Most people aren't Christian; less than one in three are, and even that figure is a bit optimistic. Christianity is more popular than any individual religion,