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A Hidden Loop In the Carbon Cycle Discovered

Googlesaysmysiteisdangerousanditisn't! writes "A recent article in Science says that researchers in China and the US have found massive carbon uptake in the world's deserts. The effects of this are huge. 35% of the Earth's land surface is desert, and the uptake equates to 5.2 billion tons of carbon sequestered each year. This is more than half of the carbon released by humans. In these 'dry oceans,' the grains of sand allow the carbon dioxide to enter and react with alkaline soil to become carbonates. Another scientist suspects that biotic desert crusts, alkaline soils, and increased precipitation may be driving the uptake."

45 of 310 comments (clear)

  1. Obviously by mnemocynic · · Score: 5, Funny

    The solution is obviously to cut down more trees and make more deserts, right?

    1. Re:Obviously by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 4, Informative

      The solution is obviously to cut down more trees and make more deserts, right?

      Sure, as long as you don't skimp on the sandworms.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    2. Re:Obviously by sanosuke001 · · Score: 3, Funny

      How the hell is this 'Informative?'

      --
      -SaNo
  2. So, deserts are good? by PC+and+Sony+Fanboy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Does this mean that all the salinization that has been going due to irrigation because america grows FRUIT in the desert is actually a good thing?

    Does this mean that scientists now think that we don't have enough deserts?

    I'm all for global warming (it is cold up here in canada), but I'm pretty sure we've got enough desolate landspace...

    1. Re:So, deserts are good? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 5, Funny

      If it gets too hot in the USA, guess where we're going to move to. That's right, and we're bringing our army too. Don't be wishing for global warming until you've thought the whole thing through.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    2. Re:So, deserts are good? by n+dot+l · · Score: 3, Funny

      Usually this would be where someone makes a sarcastic comment about you liberating the polar bears...but if you could just kill Celine first then I swear we really would welcome you as liberators.

    3. Re:So, deserts are good? by n+dot+l · · Score: 3, Funny

      ...because we've already taken her off your hands and stuffed her into one of our desert hell-holes.

      Holy shit. Deserts sequester Carbon and awful musicians?! Excuse me, the local bands in my city suck. I'm off to chop down a few trees...

  3. At what point does ythis break down? by Dripdry · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ok. So they've found a massive carbon sink that was unaccounted for. Great!

    They also say that due to changing conditions, including increased precipitation, there is more uptake occurring.

    Does this process ever reach a point where it stops? Is there only so much carbon that can be converted/sequestered? If conditions change enough, will this huge carbon sink disappear rapidly, adding a HUGE amount of carbon to the atmosphere?

    This is fascinating, but it still feels to me like this situation could be as fragile as any others we've discovered around the globe.

    --
    -
    1. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by zappepcs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think that this is just an indication that we TRULY do not understand how the global climate actually works. There have been billions of years of fluctuations and change to get the Earth to where it is now. We have no idea how most of that worked and only a vague idea of what is happening now. In the search to figure out why temperatures are rising globally, several things have been named as contributory causative factors. There is NO definitive proof that x, y, or z has caused global warming, only that it is probable that all three have contributed. BTW, we also don't fully and empirically understand what caused past global cooling periods either. We have some good ideas, and some evidence that supports those ideas, but no true and complete understanding.

      There is in fact little understanding of how the position of the Earth/solar system in the plane of the Milky Way affects solar radiation et al and thus how it affects planet temperatures. Desert sand is not the cure, it is a possible cure. There are others, like cutting down on human CO2 emissions etc.

      Call me paranoid if you like, but implementing all the efforts we can to stop global warming may indeed have detrimental effects on the climate as a whole. Until we know *MUCH* more about global climate control knee jerk reactions should be kept to a minimum.

      Yes, cutting carbon emissions is good, but lets not throw the baby out with the bath water or look for silver bullet cures. Mother nature works slowly so I'm reasonably certain that slow but sure methods will help where drastic measures (such as volcanic eruptions) are just another way to toss global climate on it's ear. The knee jerk reactions are probably what will suddenly dump HUGE amounts of carbon into the atmosphere.

    2. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by cunamara · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why are you wasting your time with this lame argument? There is no human field of study that has comprehensive knowledge about its subject. Acknowledging that fact does not excuse people from taking whatever steps are available to them to reduce, stop or reverse damaging the only environment they have in which to live. If you wait for conclusive knowledge before acting, you'll never get out of bed.

    3. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Aphoxema · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think a large part of greenhouse emissions being the blame is people want something they can point their finger at and put it on with the belief there is something they can do to change it.

      The real problem isn't nature, and to your point, the real solution isn't changing anything, it's dedicated research.

      Unfortunately, awareness isn't a terribly useful thing especially for the masses. When people learn part of the information, the wrong parts of the whole idea gets heavily associated and then it becomes misinformation.

      Ironically, we need less Al Gores and interest groups and treehuggers trying to get 'the word out', we need more university graduates being interested in the study.

      Since people can't simply be told there's nothing to worry about yet, they're going for second worst and being fed and recycled the idea that it is everyone's responsibility to ... and that by doing ... it will make things better.

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
    4. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by mmurphy000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Until we know *MUCH* more about global climate control knee jerk reactions should be kept to a minimum.

      Depending on how you define "knee jerk", I disagree.

      Reducing overall usage of oil is a good thing for many reasons outside of the potential environmental benefits, including:

      • Reducing the world's dependency on a non-renewable resource that, depending on who you ask, may be running out (or at least getting increasingly difficult to extract in the desired quantities for reasonable costs)
      • Reducing the world's dependency on a resource that, in many cases, lies in areas with political turmoil (e.g., Middle East)
      • For the countries that establish relative expertise, serving as a source of innovation-based new jobs

      So, if it's "knee jerk" for the US to ratchet up CAFE requirements (and the equivalents for trucks and trains) so we become best-in-breed at fuel efficient transportation, or for the US to increase investing in alternative energy sources, then I'm all for "knee jerk" reactions.

    5. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by demonlapin · · Score: 4, Interesting
      CAFE is crap for really reducing emissions; it gave us the SUV as family vehicle (because station wagons, the former family machine, were subject to CAFE as cars, but SUVs, as light trucks, were not). You want higher fuel efficiency, tax the hell out of gasoline and diesel the way the Europeans do. Simple and easily enforced.

      CAFE is just another bureaucratic boondoggle, though it does have the merit that those who can afford larger cars subsidize the purchase of econoboxes.

    6. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by pallmall1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Acknowledging that fact does not excuse people from taking whatever steps are available to them to reduce, stop or reverse damaging the only environment they have in which to live.

      Well, that's really the problem, isn't it? Knowing what steps to take. Solutions implemented based upon incomplete and politically motivated science may actually make a "problem" worse.

      --
      3 things about computers: they're alive, they're self-aware, and they hate your guts.
    7. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by YttriumOxide · · Score: 4, Insightful

      (a) that there have been times in the past with wayyy higher CO2 concentrations and

      Yes, and it would have been pretty unpleasant for human beings had we been around at the time.

      (b) that historically CO2 raises happen *after* temperature raises and

      Yep, which just goes to show that if CO2 also causes temperature rises (pretty fairly conclusive that it does), that we'll end up in a rather painful positive feedback loop (CO2 goes up, causing temperature to go up, which causes CO2 to go up more)

      (c) some of the measured temperature rise (of course, you are suitably sceptical about those measurements as well, aren't you?) can be explained by the fact we're coming out of an ice age and

      I think that's pretty well accepted also, but historically there's nothing similar to what's happening now - we're rising MUCH faster than we should be.

      (d) the fact that the Earth is neither a boiling Hellhole nor a ball of ice suggests that fairly effective negative feedback is at work in the climate?

      No, that suggests that the Earth is (surprise surprise) a pretty good place for people to live in general. The concern is that it may not stay that way.

      The concern is not that temperature is rising - that happens. It rises, it falls - there are perfectly normal cycles to all of this, and as long as we can learn to understand it, we can learn to live with it. What the concern IS is that we appear to be having an effect on our climate and we don't understand enough about what we're doing to it. It currently appears as if our effect is speeding up the "natural" warming quite significantly, and we're having a very hard time trying to figure out what the consequences of this will be. Maybe our effects will be nullified by natural processes and we can just carry on, but maybe they won't be and we'll end up killing ourselves (or just making life extremely unpleasant).

      Because we're sitting here at "don't know", we have the choice of either ignoring the situation or trying to do something about it. I UNDERSTAND the arguments for both, but I don't agree with the argument for doing nothing.

      The argument for doing nothing basically says, "well, we don't understand it, and doing something could cause economic problems. Because we don't understand it, we can't necessarily do anything about it.".

      The argument for doing something goes, "We don't understand it, but we are certain that we are having an impact of some kind, and that has the potential to be very bad (it also has the potential to not be bad, but we're pretty sure it will be bad, and we don't want to take the gamble). So, what we'll do is try to reduce the factors that cause our effect."

      We may not completely understand our climate, but:
      1) We CAN see we're having an influence on it
      2) We aren't 100% certain, but are pretty sure that our influence on it will cause long term bad effects
      3) We are quite confident we know the cause of our effect on the climate (CO2 amongst many other things)

      Because of this, the sensible choice seems to be "let's try to reduce or negate the effect we're having on the environment, because we can't be sure if that effect is going to cause us serious problems or not".

      Car analogy time: I know very little about cars, and have to rely on what others tell me. I'm driving my car, and the oil light comes on. I recently changed the oil, and I haven't noticed any leaks, although honestly I wasn't paying much attention before now. My passenger suggests that maybe it's just that a circuit going to the oil light indicator is shorted somewhere, which is why it's showing that, and I really needn't worry - my car will be fine. Now, I can not be certain if he's right or wrong without investigation. So, I take my car to a mechanic, who checks only the circuitry going to the light. He says it's okay. At this point, I can choose to continue driving my car, thinking the mechanic missed something and it really is just a problem with the light, or I can ask the mechanic to check the oil system, even though I know there's going to be a larger financial cost involved in doing so. What should I do?

      --
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    8. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Urkki · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The real problem isn't nature, and to your point, the real solution isn't changing anything, it's dedicated research.

      But you see, we are constantly changing something! We are adding carbon to the carbon cycle of the biosphere, and adding a lot of it, and increasing the carbon release rate. That's a change, and we're doing it, and there's no way we'll stop doing it, so option of "not changing anything" is out. But there is the uncomfortable option of trying to change our planet and biosphere as little as possible...

    9. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ishmaelflood · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I've often argued that oil is too valuable to use as a fuel (generally), but really, why is it any harder to use coal or algae, or whtever as a plastic feedstock?

    10. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by legoman666 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Sheep. You're looking at 15 years of data to make conclusions about a 4,500,000,000 year old system.

      Do you part for global warming, become a pirate. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:FSM_Pirates.png

    11. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hansen's data set is skewed to support his theories.

      Prove it.

      Notice how it doesn't seem to agree with the other temperature records out there.

      All of the temperature records disagree with each other to a small extent. The GISTEMP record is not wildly out of line with any of the others, and some of them show slightly more warming than GISTEMP. See here for a comparison of the surface records.

      Thats because Hansen has built into his system factors for changing the raw data based on his conclusions.

      Again, prove it. Hansen has factors to correct for systematic biases in the instrumental observations. ALL the temperature records do (both surface and satellite), although they use different methods to make the corrections. That is quite different from corrections which change the data "based on Hansen's conclusions", which is an accusation of intention and fraud and requires proof.

      Try using one of the satellite records where the data hasn't been fiddled with and you get a trend that is very different from what Hansen is predicting,

      Actually, you don't. The trends are slightly different, but all within each other's error bars. Here is a visual comparison.

      Furthermore, the satellite data is "fiddled with" as well. Indeed, the UAH data famously showed recent cooling before they discovered there was a mistake in their error-correction algorithms. Satellite records are by no means objectively superior to the surface station data.

      I have no idea where that quote above came from about "Hansen's latest graph", but GISTEMP looks very similar to the other data sets even in the last 10 years; see the above graph.

      If the difference between Hansen's numbers and three other temperature records isn't enough to convince you something is screwy with his data then check out all the issues with his temperature stations

      If you throw out the temperature stations Watts classifies as "bad", you still get results that are quite close to the GISTEMP record. Or if you throw out the urban stations and only include the rural ones. And finally GISTEMP is quite similar to the satellite records.

      There may be station siting issues, but they're clearly not dominating the trend visible in the global temperature time series.

  4. Re:PDF by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is called the status bar. It shows you what a link is pointing to.

    --
    See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
  5. Something is not quite right here... by BlueParrot · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this is indeed the case it would seem a bit strange that it has not been detected before. I mean with all the climate change debate going on there has been quite close scrutiny of the estimates of CO2 going into and out of the atmosphere, so if this is as big a carbon sink as described it would have to mean that the other sinks ( i.e the ocean and the biosphere ) are less potent than previously assumed.

    1. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Aphoxema · · Score: 4, Funny

      You'd think that exactly what you're looking for wouldn't be right in front of you until you find it is.

      Now, where the Hell are my keys...

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
  6. Re:Create more deserts? by perlchild · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How about we say the deserts allow the earth's thermal system to reach a balance? We have more deserts, which sequester more carbon, which makes us cooler, which sequesters less carbon, which makes us hotter, which makes more deserts.

    We shouldn't worry about global warming, we should worry if we can survive global warming...

  7. Not just a joke by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Forests soak up a lot of carbon, but then drop a lot of leaves. When the leaves rot they give off CO2 and methane. Methane is far worse as a green house gas than CO2 - by a factor of over 20.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Not just a joke by Max+Threshold · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Trees are still much better CO2 scrubbers than other plants. Rush Limbaugh is fond of pointing out how much CO2 is absorbed by suburban lawns, but most of it goes back into the atmosphere when the lawn is cut. By contrast, most of the carbon sequestered by trees is not in the leaves, but in the woody parts. And it remains sequestered for hundreds of years, or longer depending on what happens to the tree when it dies.

    2. Re:Not just a joke by MrCreosote · · Score: 3, Informative

      http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2008/08/05/2324476.htm

      Wild untouched forests store three times more carbon dioxide than previously estimated and 60% more than plantation forests, a world-first study of "green carbon" and its role in climate change shows.

      --
      MrCreosote Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump! "You're right! There isn't enough room to swing a cat in here!"
    3. Re:Not just a joke by fredmosby · · Score: 3, Funny

      ... but most of it goes back into the atmosphere when the lawn is cut.

      That really depends on what the homeowner does with the grass after it is cut. If it goes in a land fill most of the carbon probably stays underground. If if goes into a compost heap then more of the carbon goes back into the atmosphere.

      Although I personally think laws waste a lot of resources (especially in LA where I live).

    4. Re:Not just a joke by fredmosby · · Score: 3, Funny

      I guess the spell checker can't protect me from every kind of typo. Fortunately that sentence is still accurate. That could have been embarrassing.

    5. Re:Not just a joke by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Insightful
      When the leaves rot they give off CO2 and methane. Methane is far worse as a green house gas than CO2 - by a factor of over 20.

      True, but CH4 + 3O2 -> CO2 + 2H2O, which won't take long in an oxygen-rich atmosphere, and just gives us carbon dioxide back; the same carbon dioxide that was absorbed when the leaves grew in the springtime. Meanwhile the tree on the ground has grown over the course of the year, and locked up a bit more carbon in the form of wood.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    6. Re:Not just a joke by olof_the_viking · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The H2O is a really good greenhouse gas too, you know: http://www.espere.net/Unitedkingdom/water/uk_watervapour.html

    7. Re:Not just a joke by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes H20 is a GHG, however what many people fail to mention is that the atmosphere is currently saturated with H20, as can be evidenced by dew drops forming in deserts before the sun rises.

      In other words, pump as much steam as you like into the atmosphere and all it will do is fall out as rain/dew somewhere else.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  8. South Park Did It by Nymz · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Each year, the Rainforest is responsible for over three thousand deaths from accidents, attacks or illnesses." - Rainforest Schmainforest and now forests are rotting and giving off greenhouse gases. We must act to stop these forests from further encroaching upon our Earth-friendly deserts, it is time we cleaned them up.

  9. Re:Sooo... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    No, the prolific amount of oil in the Middle East is mainly related to organic carbon in source rock deposits that formed in the marine environment. The source rocks in the Middle East are particularly widespread and productive.

    The article is talking about carbonate (i.e. minerals with CO3 in their structure), which is completely different and is often referred to as "inorganic carbon". It's as different as algae (organic carbon) and sea shells (carbonate). They both involve carbon and both can have biological origins, but you can't generate oil from carbonate. You need molecules with plenty of H and C for that (i.e. hydrocarbon molecules).

    You can, however, find holes in carbonate rocks. In the right setting these can contain oil that has migrated into the porous rock from organic-rich source rocks nearby. Such rocks are known as petroleum reservoirs. Again, the Middle East has some spectacular reservoirs with very high porosity and permeability, allowing for plenty of space to hold the oil and to allow it to flow out. For example, the Ghawar field, which is the biggest oil field in Saudi Arabia and the world, has limestone reservoirs with up to 35% porosity by volume -- i.e. 35% of the volume isn't rock, but open spaces filled with fluid (either oil, gas, or water). That's extraordinarily high porosity. It's full of holes like a sponge.

    So, if you want the short answer to why there is so much oil in the Middle East: 1) spectacularly prolific and widespread organic-carbon-rich source rocks, 2) highly porous and permeable reservoir rocks (some of which are carbonates, some of which are other rock types), and 3) large "trap" structures, which I haven't discussed, but basically refers to the geometry of the porous reservoir and an impermeable seal that keeps the oil/gas from leaking out.

    It has very little to do with the modern deserts that are widespread in that part of the world today. Many of the conditions necessary for the large oil deposits were set up far enough back in geological history that today's climate is mostly irrelevant.

  10. Misleading Summary by Conspicuous+Coward · · Score: 4, Informative
    TFA is far more cautious about these findings than the summary suggests. Also, no scientists are currently suggesting that these findings are likely to have a significant impact on the level of anthropogenic global warming.

    The effect could be huge: About 35% of Earth's land surface, or 5.2 billion hectares, is desert and semiarid ecosystems. If the Mojave readings represent an average CO2 uptake, then deserts and semiarid regions may be absorbing up to 5.2 billion tons of carbon a year.

    Also...

    For now, some experts doubt that the world's most barren ecosystems are the longsought missing carbon sink. "I'd be hugely surprised if this were the missing sink. If deserts are taking up a lot of carbon, it ought to be obvious," says William Schlesinger, a biogeochemist at the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies in Millbrook, New York, who in the 1980s was among the first to examine carbon flux in deserts. Nevertheless, he says, both sets of findings are intriguing and "must be followed up." Scientists have long struggled to balance Earth's carbon books. While atmospheric CO2 levels are rising rapidly, our planet absorbs more CO2 than can be accounted for.

    and...

    Provided the surprising CO2 sink in the deserts is not a mirage, it may yet prove ephemeral. "We don't want to say that these ecosystems will continue to gain carbon at this rate forever," Wohlfahrt says. The unexpected CO2 absorption may be due to a recent uptick in precipitation in many deserts that has fueled a visible surge in vegetation. If average annual rainfall levels in those deserts were to abate, that could release the stored carbon and lead to a more rapid buildup of atmospheric CO2--and possibly accelerate global warming.

    This is not, as some posters are implying, published science that concludes the IPCC predictions are in any way likely to be inaccurate, or that carbon is accumulating in the atmosphere at a rate lower than previously thought.
    This is a news article in science detailing some interesting research showing that deserts may be absorbing more carbon than was previously thought, and that this may account for the fact that atmospheric measurements show the earth is absorbing carbon at a higher rate than can be accounted for by currently known sinks. The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is known from atmospheric measurements, and is higher than at any time in the last 650,000 years.

  11. People want something to save you from by Moraelin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, I'm getting the idea that for some people the goal isn't even to point fingers at something, but to point fingers at someone. Subtle but important difference.

    Actually, even that is the superficial version. The longer one is that a bunch of people need not just to feel superior to you all, but to be a part of some grand cause that's never done or achievable. The last part is the more important one. It's what makes such grandiose tactually an _easy_ way out.

    The quote which comes to mind, and kinda sums it all up, is, "It is easier to be a "humanitarian" than to render your own country its proper due; it is easier to be a "patriot" than to make your community a better place to live in; it is easier to be a "civic leader" than to treat your own family with loving understanding; for the smaller the focus of attention, the harder the task."

    So people seek some grandiose cause to fight for, so they don't have to acknowledge that they don't achieve the small ones.

    And again, it better be something so grand that nobody actually expects any given individual to achieve anything tangible. In a "small" task, like, say, "I want to finally get out of debt", or "I'll take some lessons and try to find a better job", or "I'll finally have a talk to my son about starting fights at school", there are very clear criteria as to whether you achieved anything or not. And at some point you have to admit that you didn't. It's not a very motivating thought. Worse yet, it might involve some personal effort and change. Good grief.

    On the other hand, "saving the world" (from whatever global threat, from MS to global warming to God's wrath) is _easy_. It's a task nobody really expects you to achieve. So you can just moan and bitch a little about how the _other_ people should change, then be smug that you did your part. If it didn't achieve anything, it's because everyone _else_ didn't immediately drop everything and do as you said. Or even if they did, and it didn't actually work, hey, it's still their fault not yours: they didn't do enough, or didn't really understand you.

    Big surprise that people choose the latter, eh? They're easy.

    And it's not even something new. Since the dawn of time people have got into such grandiose fights to save others from whatever. For a long time, mostly from worshiping the wrong gods, or from worshiping them all wrong, or from some moral/philosophical detail that will doom us all. Mostly because they didn't have some scientific doomsday scenario, so God's Wrath was the best threat they had. Now they can do better.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  12. Re:Create more deserts? by pallmall1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There is nothing wrong with being skeptical...

    Unless you are skeptical of global warming. Then you will be compared to Holocaust deniers and threatened with losing your academic funding and credentials.

    --
    3 things about computers: they're alive, they're self-aware, and they hate your guts.
  13. The European tax effect by Kupfernigk · · Score: 4, Informative
    In fact you are right, and the net result is interesting. In Europe we pay about the same PER MILE for fuel as you do in the US, even though it costs twice as much per gallon. The high tax causes most of us to buy fuel efficient cars, our smaller city streets (built before cars) encourage us to use smaller vehicles. But our road deaths are no worse than the US and often much better.

    The problem with CAFE was that it was indeed a boondoggle - the mandated efficiency improvements were actually less than were achieved automatically by European taxation levels, and as you note it was easily evaded with the "light truck" class.

    Taxation of fuel is sensible because it is a tax on actual consumption. Most people are able to reduce their consumption by varied means - aggregated journeys, car shares, vacations closer to home, reducing acceleration, using mail order more - without changing their vehicles.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  14. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Good points. Interestingly there is a lot of Methane bubbling out of the melting permafrost, particularly in E. Siberia. However the last two IPCC forecasts for increased Methane concentrations have failed to materialize, ie: levels have remained relatively stable for a decade after a steadily rising trend a few decades long. I consider the "missing methane" and "collapse of the Artic sea ice" to be the two biggest errors in the IPCC forecasts.

    Just a thought but perhaps this new discovery is connected to the "missing methane"?

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  15. it's you who is advocating massive change by speedtux · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The real problem isn't nature, and to your point, the real solution isn't changing anything, it's dedicated research.

    But we are changing something: we are emitting CO2 into the atmosphere, and our emissions are growing exponentially. That can't go on: either we stop voluntarily, or we run out of fossil fuel, or we get a climate catastrophe; there simply is no third possibility.

    When you are saying that we shouldn't "change anything", you are actually advocating continuing a massive global change, a massive experiment with global climate. People like you are playing word games: you simply redefine what amounts to deliberate and massive change as "no change" by reframing the issue.

  16. Global, right? by postermmxvicom · · Score: 3, Informative

    ...temperatures from 1961 to 1990...We in the Northwestern hemisphere have experienced 7 of the top 8 warmest years on record since 2001, and all 10 top warmest years since 1995.

    So...you know that the Earth as a whole has been cooling since 1998, right?

    --
    One last thing: Sometimes I wonder; "Is that someone's signature? Or do they type that at the end of each post?"
  17. Re:Not the whole story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Methane doesn't stay in the atmosphere as long as CO2.

    You've obviously never been in the same room as me! :)

  18. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Glad you noticed that the errors I chose support different conclusions by different un-scientific groups. An error is an error regardless of which conclusion it supports. Errors do make a model less reliable but they certainly don't make them useless ( as can be witnessed by everyday interaction with the internet ).

    The most pessimistic estimates of the (winter) 2007 IPCC report had the summer Artic being "ice free" by around 2050, GHG "alarmists" at the same time were saying ~2030, now 2015 is looking not unreasonable. Last years melt was so dramatic that large shipping companies have been seriously contemplating the feasiblity of opening new shipping routes across the pole. Meanwhile a considerable number of scientists are still looking behind the couch for the missing methane.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  19. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    I've afraid you're the one whose bought into a common lie. Human activity releases far, far less carbon dioxide than the planet produces. We are minuscule in the big picture, nothing but ants.

  20. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Informative
    I've afraid you're the one whose bought into a common lie. Human activity releases far, far less carbon dioxide than the planet produces.

    Indeed? Then I'd like to see your figures. Because we outdo the volcanoes by a factor of a hundred. Looking into other sources, well: rotting vegetation was mentioned, and I agree it's a far larger quantity than human activity, but is that a source of carbon dioxide? Rotting vegetation can never release more carbon dioxide than the amount it absorbed when it first grew, making it net carbon neutral. Unless there is a net decrease in the planet's biomass, there's no overall extra carbon dioxide in the atmosphere due to plant life. Same goes for respiration by living things: the CO2 I exhale is carbon that was absorbed when my food grew, and will be absorbed again as a future meal grows.

    We on the other hand are digging up and releasing vast quantities of carbon dioxide, all year, every year, and unlike the plants we're not taking it back out of the atmosphere. That's producing an ongoing year-on-year net increase in carbon dioxide. Nothing else on earth compares to human industry for increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  21. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Meanwhile, the Antarctic ice is growing."

    Well yes, it's the middle of winter down here.

    Aside from that the Antartic is pretty much behaving as expected ( more snow up high, more melt around the edges ). The one place that is changing rapidly is the Antartic pennisula where temp rises have been three times the global average because of a phenomena known as polar amplification. Polar amplification has been forecast by the models since the 90's.

    Even if you think we are not facing serious changes to our climate that could descimate global food production, surely a drastic reduction in the use of fossil fuels would go a long way to solving some of the other problems you mention. Personally I would like to see all pollution cleaned up but that's not going to happen in my lifetime.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.