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Obama's Impending NASA Decisions

eldavojohn writes "From delaying Project Constellation to an additional $2 billion in funding, Space.com looks at some immediate decisions the President Elect will have to make once he takes office in January. The biggest one will be the shuttle plan: do we retire the shuttle fleet or keep it on for more missions? If it is retired, we would have to rely on another country to bring our astronauts into space between 2010 and 2015 as a new fleet is built. Will Obama hold true on his $2 billion pledge to NASA?"

19 of 405 comments (clear)

  1. First by Ifandbut · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I hope Obama holds up to his $2 billion offer. I know there are other problems facing the USA but space exploration is not something we should ever stop.

    1. Re:First by electrosoccertux · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Someone else made a good point about this Obama thing, that you can't just "push back" the date 5 years when you cut funding. Because after those 5 years, you can't just call up all the guys you laid off and say "hey we want you back!" and expect them to drop their job and reform the exact development team you had going before you did the budget cuts. These teams take 5-10 years to form and get on the ground running. You either keep up the funding or push the moon plans back 15 years. There is no 5.

    2. Re:First by Surt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no way he will keep to that offer. With the economy in the toilet, tax revenues will be way down, and he's already fighting a huge deficit and debt. It's one campaign promise that will be all too easy to break. And in any case, it's just one of those things you say you'll do to get a minor voting block behind you, not something you take seriously.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    3. Re:First by scamper_22 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      dude, I think you just described the problem in the entire high-tech/engineering world.

      No one knows what we do, so no one knows how much experience is valued.

      They will just post an ad
      NASA Aero-space engineer wanted.
      25 years experience designing Space capable vehicles.

      No takers?

      Oh damn... we have a skills shortage in America...

      - seen it happen to many times

  2. I love the space program but ... by Average_Joe_Sixpack · · Score: 3, Insightful

    we are flat broke. Kill the shuttle already.

    1. Re:I love the space program but ... by meringuoid · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Is it that hard to ask the russians or a private company to get your astronauts down?

      To get them down, as in from a crippled Shuttle? Yes, it is.

      A Shuttle crew is typically seven astronauts. Soyuz carries three. Launching with only a pilot, that's room for two rescued astronauts. To evacuate a Shuttle would need four Soyuz launches, in quick succession. And that's if and only if the Shuttle is in an orbit that the Russians can reach; Florida is a better launch site than Kazakhstan, receiving more of a boost from the Earth's rotation. And if the Russians can arrange for four rockets and four capsules to be ready to go before the Shuttle's air runs out. That's one hell of a tall order. Given a blank cheque, they might try to do it, but it would be such a rush job you'd likely end up with even more crippled spacecraft in orbit.

      As for private enterprise? No chance. No private enterprise has ever launched a person into orbit. SpaceShip One was a major achievement for them, but didn't even reach Alan Shepard levels of spaceflight; a Gagarin is far beyond them.

      This is why the last Hubble repair mission was a worry, and why a second orbiter was readied for launch if rescue were needed. If that Shuttle had taken Columbia-style damage on launch, it wouldn't have been safe to return to Earth, and it wouldn't have been able (from that orbit) to reach the space station either. The astronauts would have been be in deep trouble.

      If you mean could the government write a cheque to a private firm to build them a spacecraft, yes, they could. I'm not convinced, however, that a private contractor would be much better than NASA - the same political demands would be placed upon them, and the chief advantage of a free market, competition leading to efficiency gains and low cost, is lost in a market consisting of one customer who makes one colossal order every few decades. NASA contracts out the actual building to private enterprise anyway, firms like Boeing and Lockheed Martin and Morton Thiokol.

      And yes, they could buy Soyuz capsules as needed, and even engage the Russians to develop them an entire spaceflight system. That's what they did post-Columbia when the Shuttles were grounded. They'd probably get entirely acceptable results at a very low cost. US governments don't like to buy foreign hardware if they can avoid it, though - taxpayers don't like to see their money leaving the country. They prefer to distribute the pork to firms in crucial swing states.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  3. The bigger question... by daveschroeder · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...and one which is related to, but transcends, politics, is:

    How can any grand initiative that takes longer than eight -- or four -- years to implement ever again be achieved?

  4. Just NASA? by Facetious · · Score: 3, Insightful

    NASA decisions are a very small part of the issue. The question should be, will the new president choose to continue deficit spending at a time when tax revenues will be shrinking and the number of national debt dollars exceeds the number of stars in the known universe?

    --
    Let us not become the evil that we deplore.
  5. I expect him to be as keep his NASA pledge... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I expect him to be as keep his NASA pledge as much as he kept his stance against telecom immunity and his pledge not to exceed public financing limits.

    In other words, not at all.

    He's a politician. I've never known a politician to follow through with their campaign promises.

  6. Re:Unimportant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How can we not not retire it? The shuttles are a huge money drain on NASA. If they were out of service NASA would have extra money to spend on more interesting things like developing better propulsion systems and better launch vehicles. Or better yet, let's let some of these budding space companies compete for building launch vehicles.

  7. Obama's Decision? by Rayeth · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Is any of this really up to Obama? Isn't it Congress that decides where money is spent? Pretty sure that I took Civics in 8th grade and the Executive branch doesn't control all the cash. Unless Bush has changed all that in the last 8 years?

    1. Re:Obama's Decision? by ScentCone · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is any of this really up to Obama? Isn't it Congress that decides where money is spent?

      Shhhh, you'll spoil it! Next thing you'll be saying is that Obama can't wave a magic want and "change the world," or that his promises to tax the economy - especially the most successful parts of it - won't discourage people from risking their money and efforts in that way. Next you'll probably even say that calling a check you get from IRS, when you don't even pay income taxes, a "rebate" is a gratuitous lie. Why do you hate his supporters so much, that you bring up little issues like the fact that Nancy Pelosi has more to do with what NASA gets to spend than Obama does? You are mean.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  8. Global rethink and reset by mbone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Our whole space program needs a general rethink. We have two big programs, flight to the Moon and Mars, that were started by Bush without a lot of thought, we have the ISS which is ready for experiments that we do not have money to fly - such as Samuel Ting's very interesting cosmic anti-matter detector, and we are canceling ready-to-go missions such as the SIM planet finder to pay for new stuff that is frankly never likely to happen.

    We do not have a coherent space program, and so we are wasting much of our money. Fixing this will not be easy, but it is very urgent in my opinion.

  9. Re:Continuing to use the shuttle? by whisper_jeff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "We're considering continuing to use a vehicle that has a failure rate of 1-2% per flight?"

    Just a reminder, the NASA space shuttle program is one of the most successful long term space programs ever. Remember - this IS rocket science. Seriously, look up some of the other space programs and you'll see some spectacular failures with nowhere near as many successes over the span of decades. The space shuttle program is an enormous success.

  10. What exactly are we funding? by I.M.O.G. · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In the cold war NASA was bankrupting Russia and expressing USA's technical superiority... NASA's goals are much less interesting to many now - exploration, learning, and inspiring interest in understanding science and the unknown.

    I love NASA and think it should be funded, but I'm a nerd... The cold war version of NASA was a lot easier for an entire nation to rally around and love.

  11. Re:Will he give NASA the $2 billion? Yes. by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem is that the U.S. federal government doesn't just do deficit spending during recessions. They do it during recessions, booms, middling periods, and every year in between. Deficit spending during a recession may indeed make sense, but turning it into the *norm* is the sure road to government bankruptcy and debtor nation status. And when the day comes when the U.S. can no longer get credit for the great national credit card and can no longer afford those growing interest payments, the collapse that will follow will make the current crisis look like a financial paradise.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  12. Re:Unimportant? by 2short · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "It's hard to imagine for me that there are people out there who are not inspired by NASA's endeavors."

    I'm incredibly inspired by NASA's current Mars exploration, discoveries coming out of the Hubble, etc. Can you imagine putting together a system that can fly to Mars, land on the surface, and drive around for years collecting data without ever getting to touch the thing after launch? Anything that works that brilliantly first try is awesome. Definitely inspiring.

    The guys sucking up most of the budget while struggling to keep their toilet running in low Earth orbit? Not so much.

  13. Re:What I would do by JoeMerchant · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You're talking about funding Science for Science's sake... this is America - we pay $54M for Capt. Jack Sparrow to make a fourth appearance - get your priorities straight. The public is ready to pay for another Apollo 11 drama, they don't really understand what "exoplanet" means.

  14. Meat in space by yog · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What we COULD do is dump the manned missions until we, as a society, evolve far beyond our primitive level of technology. Send machines, many machines, which would be both cost effective and expendable. The rush to send meat into space was understandable during the Cold War, but is not wise today.

    Actually, the way to bring down the cost of sending humans into space is to simply do it. After the research has been done and the ships have been built, the cost of actually launching humans into space is relatively trivial.

    Sitting back and waiting for the technology to magically appear is tantamount to giving up on developing said technology. Ancillary tech such as smaller and faster computers may come along anyway, but putting it all together requires a lot more integrative technology and hands on expertise.

    And, take note that if we, the U.S., give up on manned flight as too expensive, there are other nations out there that will definitely continue. Do we want to settle for renting a 3rd class berth on Chinese and Russian ships for the next 50 years, after we pretty much pioneered the way?

    --
    it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.