A Look Back At Kurzweil's Predictions For 2009

Posted by kdawson on Monday January 5, 2009 @04:42PM from the no-one-expects-the-mule dept.

marciot writes "It's interesting to look back at Ray Kurzweil's predictions for 2009 from a decade ago. He was dead on in predicting the ubiquity of portable computers, wireless, the emergence of digital objects, and the rise of privacy concerns. He was a little optimistic in certain areas, predicting the demise of rotating storage and the ubiquity of digital paper a bit earlier than it appears it will actually happen. On the topic of human-computer speech interfaces, though, he seems to be way off." And of course Kurzweil missed 9/11 and the fallout from that. His predictions might have been nearer the mark absent the war on terror.

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Re:He got most of it completely wrong by marciot · 2009-01-05 17:46 · Score: 5, Informative

A trillion calculations per second on a home computer, eh?
According to wikipedia, the ATI Radeon HD4800 series acheives one teraflop. So, I would say Kurzweil was right on the mark on that one.