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US Becomes Top Wind Producer; Solar Next

SpuriousLogic sends along a SciAm piece that begins, "The United States overtook Germany as the biggest producer of wind power last year, new figures showed, and will likely take the lead in solar power this year, analysts said on Monday. Even before an expected 'Obama bounce' from a new President who has vowed to boost clean energy, US wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts — enough to power more than five million homes."

31 of 388 comments (clear)

  1. Makes you wonder by mosb1000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

    1. Re:Makes you wonder by chalkyj · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, pat your selves on the back. America (9,161,923 SQ KM) has over taken Germany (357,021 SQ KM). Good work.

    2. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      We have roughly 4x the population of germany, which means, per capita, we are far behind the rest of the industrialized world in development of renewable energy.

      If the disposition described in this article were applied to housing, it would be like declaring the wealth gap had closed because everyone who worked minimum wage pooled their resources and lived 4 families to a single family house.

      In other words: our renewable energy production is not up to pace with the rest of the world, which various international organizations say is STILL not enough.

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    3. Re:Makes you wonder by davester666 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well, locations where these 'wind farms' are both out of eye sight and ear shot (as they can be quite loud) are rather rare.

      But good news, because with the current economic crisis, there are fewer homeowners to do the NIMBY.

      I think there was a story last year, where some rich community in Florida managed to get a off-shore wind farm denied because the towers would just be visible on the horizon...

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    4. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well, but the real shame is that Germany is actually no.1 in solar power and was no.1 in wind power (I say this as a German).
      Given the climate and the size of Germany, it's quite a joke.

    5. Re:Makes you wonder by Hal_Porter · · Score: 5, Informative

      The German model of subsidising renewables is not without its problems

      http://www.economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10961890

      Most of Germany's electricity comes from coal-fired and nuclear plants. But the former are unpopular because of their relatively high greenhouse-gas emissions, and the latter because of the fear of a catastrophic accident. So in 1991 Germany adopted a renewable-energy law, now known as the EEG, which encourages investment by cross-subsidising renewable electricity fed into the grid. The law is popular with those who support the rapid introduction of new clean technology. Stefan Schurig of the World Future Council, a green think-tank in Hamburg, calls it "the best law of its kind worldwide".

      The law says electricity produced from renewable sources must be purchased by utilities according to a generous "feed-in tariff" that sets higher-than-market rates and fixes them for 20 years. Roof-mounted photovoltaic systems installed in 2007, for example, can sell power at €0.49 per kilowatt-hour, or about seven times today's wholesale price, until 2027. The fixed rate allows investors to calculate returns and removes uncertainty over financing.

      The utilities that buy power at these higher rates pass the extra costs back to their customers in the form of higher electricity bills. This added an average of 1 euro cent per kilowatt-hour to the price of electricity last year, increasing the typical household electricity bill by 5%, or €3 a month. For the country as a whole, the cost was €7.7 billion in 2007, up 38% on the year before. Enthusiasts consider that a small price to jump-start a new industry and start decarbonising the power supply.

      Clouds on the horizon

      But the government is not so sure. It has proposed a revision to the EEG, which calls for a shift away from solar and towards other forms of renewable energy, and offshore wind in particular. As things stand, the feed-in tariff for solar goes down by 5% every year. But new proposals call for a cut of 9.2% next year, and 7-8% thereafter.

      The problem is not just the expense of the existing law. Cheerleaders for solar had hoped that the increased demand for panels would help manufacturers reduce unit costs, and thus make solar more competitive in the long run. Instead, the rush into solar has led to a shortage of the high-grade silicon used to make the cells, which has soared in price from $25 per kilogram in 2003 to around $400 today.

      Indeed, such is the demand for solar panels in Germany that it has kept prices high globally. This is wonderful for manufacturers, but makes it more expensive to install solar capacity in sunnier parts of the world, where it would generate more electricity. The EEG's generous rates for solar amounted to "picking winners on a grand scale", says Dieter Helm, an expert on energy policy at the University of Oxford. A euro in cross-subsidies spent on wind power, rather than solar, produces more generating capacity and a larger reduction in carbon emissions.

      Basically if you subsidise the wrong thing, you can potentially hurt more than you help. Picking the right things to subsidise is non trivial.

      Hell if planned economies worked, India and the UK would have grown faster than free market places like the US in the 50's and 60's. Actually, despite being poorer, they grew more slowly until they implemented free market reforms.

      Now traditionally greens seem to see economic growth as some kind of problem because it usually leads to more pollution, but in the case of the renewable energy industry, more growth actually means less pollution.

      And actually the EEG is a fairly lightweight piece of government intervention, adding only 5% to bills.

      To misquote Socrates "True knowledge exists in knowing that the Government knows nothing."

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    6. Re:Makes you wonder by qc_dk · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The helix towers are also less efficient. And,
      the higher up you go the more wind there is.

      Finally, I like the standard windmills. I think they are a beautiful monument to human ingenuity.

    7. Re:Makes you wonder by spectrokid · · Score: 5, Informative

      It would be more fair to calculate per inhabitant, not per square meter. A quick look on Wikipedia tells us that the US has 82 Watts installed capacity per inhabitant. Spain has 3.5 times as much, Germany 4.4 and little Denmark outperforms the US by 7 to 1. Denmark would like to get 50% of its electricity from wind power in the future. Denmark uses cross-border trading with Norway to balance supply/demand. The Norwegians have a lot of hydro which they can turn on/off rather quickly. So denmark sells power to Norway when there is wind, and buys it back when there isn't.

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    8. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, to get close to Germany the US needs five million homes / 25 gigawatts = 5kwh / home.
      I live alone in a 3 bedroom home in Australia and use ~1.2Kwh (yes I have a dishwasher, dryer, ect. gas heating, cooking, hot water. )
      Germany is more energy efficient than Oz (who are up near the top of the least efficient list along with the US), so say each 5kwh mansion has 5 people = 100% for 25 million people.
      That's just under 1/3 of their population getting 100% of their residential power from wind alone.
      I don't know how many buildings are powered by solar in Germany but I do know they were pumping almost a gigawatt of excess solar back on to the grid last summer.

      --
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    9. Re:Makes you wonder by cheetah_spottycat · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It puts the achievement into the right perspective. Outperforming a country with less than 4% surface (and similarly smaller number of citizens) is not quite as relevant as the headline wants to pretend. Whats next? "Russia outperforms Principality of Monaco in natural gas production! Film at 11!"?

    10. Re:Makes you wonder by dunkelfalke · · Score: 4, Interesting

      it is not, really, combined with this technology

      --
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    11. Re:Makes you wonder by devonbowen · · Score: 4, Informative

      I rode through Germany last weekend and couldn't believe all the solar cells I saw. Balconies, rooftops, entire sides of buildings. It's quite impressive. I'm not surprised that they generate so much power even with their climate.

      Devon

    12. Re:Makes you wonder by checkup21 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Most of the "solar stuff" you see at the roof is not solar-power, it's "solar-thermie". To produce warm water while the sun is shining. cheers

    13. Re:Makes you wonder by phantomcircuit · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's funny last I checked Indians had terrible health care and in general are ridiculously poor.

    14. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Informative

      I don't think it's a binary choice, helio's are good for tacking on to buildings, especially where there isn't enough sun (eg: shady side of a building in an otherwise sunny clime). Large windmills work well in the North Sea and would probably hold up to hurricane strength winds as well as your average oil rig. The drawback is that they need to be built in shallow water, so floating helios may have a place in the deep sea. There is also a lot of research going into floating WM's, ironically most of these projects are consulting the oil industry for their rig building expertise.

      Smart oil and coal companies have been looking at themselves as "energy companies" for a few years now but there are still plenty of ludites.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    15. Re:Makes you wonder by Reaper9889 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yeah and Denmark gets pissy about Sweden's nuclear power plant and we have to shut it down.:(

      As I understood it, it was because Sweden put one (the one the danish goverment tried to shut down) 20 km from the danish Capitol and largest city, Copenhagen - see e.g. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barseb%C3%A4ck_nuclear_power_plant AFAIK, the rest wasn't a problem.

    16. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      I have a relative who is an executive for a solar company. It turns out that, for now, it's not about climate or size - it's about the subsidies.

      Germany started giving *crazy* subsidies each year to renewable energy source, enough to make producing them viable. Each year, the amount of power delivered went up (kicking in economies of scale) and the subsidies went down.

      The Germans built the seeds of the solar industry by subsidizing them get up to the scale needed where they can stand on their own (almost: right now, there's an over-capacity, so the makers have to take their product to other countries or shrink. The Germans still have a small subsidy, but the companies might even be able to live without right now).

      It's the only "personal" example I have of public-private partnerships working out well. (The other "personal" example is the US ethanol industry, and it's kind of an example of what not to do).

    17. Re:Makes you wonder by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wow. 99% of the time if I read a U.S. paper, I see how bad the U.S. is at everything. I see us slammed, mocked. I see how we rank behind every other country in just about everything. I am not sure where the "empty bravado" is coming from that offends you so much.

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    18. Re:Makes you wonder by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Most of the "solar stuff" you see at the roof is not solar-power, it's "solar-thermie". To produce warm water while the sun is shining. cheers

      And your point is? It reduces requirements for traditional power generation just as much as it would if it were enough solar-electric to do the same job.

      --

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    19. Re:Makes you wonder by Rasperin · · Score: 4, Informative

      I live next to a windmill and I can tell you, I've almost never heard a peep out of that thing, running and all. I hear protests against them all the time in the mid-western part of this state (Kansas) because they think they're loud/etc. No they're not and it's false media like that who are stopping anything real starting up.

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  2. For those of you keeping track at home... by SwabTheDeck · · Score: 5, Funny

    US wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts

    ...that's 20.66116 flux capacitors and at least as many Libraries of Congress.

  3. Re:Per capita by feyhunde · · Score: 4, Informative

    I prefer looking at Hydro electric. 317,686 million Kilowatt-hours for the US versus 26,944 million Kilowatt-hours. Or about 4 times as much per person. I live in the Northwest though, and 82% of the power for the region is from Hydroelectric. The rest is either natural gas or nuclear and mostly for Seattle.

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  4. Efficiency by jez9999 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unfortunately, the US is infamous for using vast quantities of energy and using pretty inefficient devices (as a whole, not saying it applies to everyone). So some pretty serious energy efficiency measures are also called for.

  5. Re:Audit by polar+red · · Score: 4, Interesting

    He's totally wrong. the 'energy pay-back time' or EPBT of big windmills ranges from 6 months to a year.

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  6. Original article by pieleric · · Score: 4, Informative

    The original article can be found here. It has more figures, including some on China, and an interesting remark that Europe in total generates 66GW, which is another way to the per capita computation to moderate this first rank of US...

  7. What a load of crap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Your friend is an idiot. Do you really think people who have used windmills for hundred of years did so purely for the fun of it?

    "Lets spend months building a windmill", they thought, "to saw lumber or grind corn. Who cares if it costs more energy to build it then it ever delivers and we could easily saw all that wood ourselves with the same energy".

    Your friends argument is similar to those who claim we don't have global warming because it is freezing cold outside. It seems superficially true but comes from such a poor understanding of the issue you can't even begin to correct.

    However, presuming you ain't as big a moron as your friend, here is the reason this myth has come into being.

    It costs X amount of energy to build a generator. This is far higher then you probably think because if it uses for instance aluminum. Simply put, if all energy was equal, a generator that costs X energy from the grid to produce should pump X+ energy into the grid over its lifetime.

    Now comes the killer. What is its lifetime? Economic lifetime? Period it is written off in? Or shortened lifetime because it was demolished before it was obsolete/rundown?

    It is very easy to claim a generator should produce its energy in say 1 year claiming that is its lifespan for whatever reason. In that case, the cost of producing it must be recovered in a year. Thanks to the way goverments work there have been projects where windmills were put up and torn down in a matter of months. Of course these never recouped their energy. The headline went into the newspaper, idiots didn't read the full article and myth is born.

    This however also applies to nuclear reactors that are dismantled before they are ever brought online and countless other big projects.

    A normal windmill produces far more power over its operational life then it has cost to produce. If it didn't it wouldn't make economic sense and countless windmills have come up for no other reason than that the owner wants to make money from them.

    They have been doing this ever since the first windmill was invented hundreds of years ago.

  8. Re:Best discussions ever! by bigmouth_strikes · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well it's good to see your valuable, thought-provoking, high quality comment complaining about worthless comments enhancing the signal-to-noise-ratio...

    Clearly, Slashdot is a US-centric website where many articles and discussions are in the format of comparing the situation on a scientific or technological topic in the US versus the rest of the world. Nothing wrong with that, since there are many positive outcomes from that if one can raise oneself above petty nationalism.

    In this particular discussion it is valuable to compare the statistics which are a bit skewed by the vast differences in size, population and population density. Nevertheless it is interesting to note that being able to power 5 million US homes by wind power is an astonishing number in itself, and brings hope for a brighter future!

    --
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  9. Per use, not inhabitant by grimJester · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'd argue that wind power per inhabitant is also wrong, since it doesn't take into account that the average American uses 1,460W while the average German uses only 753W. As a fraction of consumption, Germany has about eight times more wind power. Link

  10. Moving those blades by BenEnglishAtHome · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I know that wind-powered energy generation is growing in the U.S. because I see it every day (in season; see below). I don't know if they're manufactured near here or just shipping in via our port, but those gi-normous wind turbine blades are a common sight on the freeways of Houston, traveling up I-45 headed for who knows where. There's a small cottage industry in escort vehicles. I've seen every manner of tiny, broken-down car, truck, and minivan festooned with flags and feeler poles, in packs, leading and following each individual blade as it makes its way through town. You don't realize it until you're driving right next to one, but those blades are *HUGE*; I'd estimate as long as 4 or 5 tractor-trailer rigs. I'm sure someone will pop up with an accurate number. Whatever the correct size, it's just amazing to watch something that long and odd-looking moving through midday traffic, dwarfing everything around it. Up until a few months ago (I assume winter brings a slowdown to construction), I'd see at least one every day. Sometimes I'd see three at a time. I expect for the freeways to be lousy with 'em again as soon as the weather gets warm.

  11. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Somehow, I doubt seriously we'd need 1000% of our current electrical generation capacity to replace oil alone....

    We use oil for some stuff like lubrication that, assuming we insist on using nuclear power to provide it, wouldn't be too efficient. ;)

    I haven't seen an estimate either on how many kwh a year it'd take if we went to 100% EVs. Don't feel like building one at the moment either - though .3kwh a mile is one figure I've seen. You'd have to get trucks and trains as well.

    http://www.bts.gov/publications/national_transportation_statistics/2004/html/table_01_32.html

    3 Trillion highway miles a year - 900 Billion kwh required - a Gigawatt plant can be expected to produce ~7.8 Billion kwh a year.

    We have just over a hundred reactors now, to supply 20% of our power. Call it 500 to supply all of our electricity, and another 100-200 to provide the power for vehicles. 700 reactors in total, for relatively carbon-free transportation and electricity. Utilize cogeneration and we'd be able to eliminate a lot of heating bills as well. Reactors by the ocean could use the ocean for cooling and desalinate water while they're at it.

    We'd burn through our uranium reserves pretty quickly doing it that way with traditional reactors, but using breeders and such we'd be good for thousands of years before we'd need to start filtering the stuff from ocean water or switching to Thorium. Still, I'd definitely use wind/solar where it makes sense.

    It's also suspected that with increased use of nuclear fuel and the depletion of fuel coming from weapons stockpiles that a price spike would result in more exploration ala oil and find lots more of the stuff.

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