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Google Losing Up To $1.65M a Day On YouTube

An anonymous reader writes "The average visitor to YouTube is costing Google between one and two dollars, according to new research that shows Google losing up to $1.65 million per day on the video site. More than two years after Google acquired YouTube, income from premium offers and other revenue generators don't offset YouTube's expenses of content acquisition, bandwidth, and storage. YouTube is expected to serve 75 billion video streams to 375 million unique visitors in 2009, costing Google up to $2,064,054 a day, or $753 million annualized. Revenue projections for YouTube fall between $90 million and $240 million." Maybe this is in part because, as Al writes, "Researchers from HP Palo Alto studied videos uploaded to YouTube and found that popularity has little to do with quality or persistence."

59 of 290 comments (clear)

  1. REALLY now? by courseofhumanevents · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Researchers from HP Palo Alto studied videos uploaded to YouTube and found that popularity has little to do with quality or persistence." Let me be the first to say "I told you so."

    1. Re:REALLY now? by Ethanol-fueled · · Score: 4, Informative

      Youtube is failing because all of the stuff worth watching was coincidentally all the stuff they removed for DMCA-related reasons.

      On top of that, the few videos that I like that they didn't remove are much harder to find using the new search system. When I youtube, I'm looking for something specific and I don't want to have to wade through hundreds of teenagers' insignificant opinions, cretinous hammy behavior, or unimaginative video collages.

      The "you" in Youtube will be the death of it.

    2. Re:REALLY now? by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Researchers from HP Palo Alto studied videos uploaded to YouTube and found that popularity has little to do with quality or persistence." Let me be the first to say "I told you so."

      The researchers found some very useful information though--like the fact that a man getting kicked in the testicles is just as funny or maybe even more funny in grainy home video than in high definition. After performing principal component analysis on several testicle injury clips rated across thousands of users, they found--surprisingly--that the most important variables are (1) how wide the victim's eyes opened upon impact, (2) how loud of a scream the victim emitted upon impact and (3) how long the victim lay motionless on the ground after initial agony.

      --
      My work here is dung.
    3. Re:REALLY now? by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, I'm being pompous, condescending and arrogant.

      I believe the word you were looking for there is "subjective."

      Got a problem with it?

      Not really. As long as you don't try to push your ideas on me and demand YouTube focus on your personal priorities and tastes in video, everything is fine and I encourage you to express your opinion.

      --
      My work here is dung.
    4. Re:REALLY now? by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Youtube is failing because all of the stuff worth watching was coincidentally all the stuff they removed for DMCA-related reasons.

      And how exactly did they generate revenue before the DMCA takedowns?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:REALLY now? by frieko · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But is Youtube actually failing? Or is $2m a day money well spent when it comes to keeping the word 'Google' on the tip of everybody's tongue? /thinkingoutloud

    6. Re:REALLY now? by Idiomatick · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well. I agree that the DMCA BS is terrible. But I don't think that has any bearing on their profit margin. If they are losing money per view... DMCA is probably saving them money by slowly killing youtube. I understand your aggression but clearly it is misdirected.

    7. Re:REALLY now? by Bert64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And is that based on what google pays for the bandwidth, or what anyone else would have to pay for it? Considering google with their size and scope basically get bandwidth for free because it's in everyone's interest to peer with them.

      --
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    8. Re:REALLY now? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Youtube isn't failing at all. It has become the number one video site.

      Sure, it is loosing money today. But tomorrow, bandwidth and storage will be cheaper, and Youtube will still be number one. They got in early and conquered the market.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:REALLY now? by Vectronic · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But... there is also new servers, storage, replacing broken parts, web design/maintenance, and paying the people, and paying for the stuff they use who take car of all of that, the power bill, legal battles, etc...

    10. Re:REALLY now? by dedazo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Also, one of the reasons I've stopped using YouTube other than the occasional linked-from-some-other-website-or-email visit is the fact that they fucked up the favorites functionality. You used to be able to simply page through your list of favs, adding them to your quick list by simply clicking on the '+' widget on the video snapshot, but now you have to make a selection and then scroll back up and click on a button that then shows a dropdown menu. Then on to the next page. This loss of usability is completely idiotic, and it was even buggy at first because you would randomly lose selections when you switched to a new page.

      Also, not that you could do this before, but you can't search your own favorites. Let me repeat that: Google, the search company, does not let me do a scoped search on a list of videos. They've "upgraded" that site so much over the past two years, adding and removing functionality in apparently random ways (see above), but they haven't been able to find the time to allow a favorite search. Am I the only person in the planet who's accumulated 500+ favorite videos in the past 4 years? Surely not.

      When it first started, YouTube used to be the Napster of video - a place that you could explore and find amazing stuff and things you hadn't seen in freaking ages. It was wonderful. Thanks to the *AA and Google's expert ham-handedness though, all that is going away.

      --
      Web2.0: I love when people Flickr my cuil and digg my boingboing until my google is reddit and I start to yahoo
    11. Re:REALLY now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Bullshit.

      Granted, there is a lot of "noise" to filter out on youtube because of the people who use it as a video journal or blog. But I think the home-made stuff is what is appealing. The DMCA-protected copyright owners can pay for their own video hosting for all I care.

      I go to youtube to see videos of people's RC car mods or other such DIY crap, not commercial videos.

    12. Re:REALLY now? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is hard to switch if you are one of the people uploading the videos. At the very least it means you need to re-upload them, along with all the metadata like description and tags, and then re-organise them. Even then, you loose all the comments, links to friends and similar videos, playlists etc.

      While the causal viewer may not care much, anyone who uploads or is involved in any way with the community aspects (even if just leaving the odd comment or keeping some favourites lists) is pretty heavily invested.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    13. Re:REALLY now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      loose != lose

  2. Garbage In, Garbage Out by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Content Acquisition - $710,000
    Revenue Sharing - $66,000
    Administrative Costs - $252,000

    I might be able to see the bandwidth costing a million dollars a day but could someone explain how Credit Suisse and comScore came up with these numbers?

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Garbage In, Garbage Out by idontgno · · Score: 4, Funny

      I suspect it's the unholy fusion of accounting and proctology.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    2. Re:Garbage In, Garbage Out by jamromhem · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well on top of bandwidth you have to consider the cost of thervers and the personnel to manage them. hard drive failures. Backups. technicians. But to think that they would lose anything by letting people place videos (for Free) and let people watch them (For Free) is crazy. we all know a website with countless storage cost almost nothing. (not serious)

    3. Re:Garbage In, Garbage Out by teknopurge · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sure it does.

      Total cost/visitor= $1-$2
      Total visitors /day = ~1,027,397 ( 375MM / 365 )
      Total cost/day = $US 1,027,397 - 2,054,794

      The article says up to $1.65 million per day which, on high traffic days, that users/day number is obviously higher. If you take the revenue projections then you get, on the high end, $US 712,328/day and on the low end $US 246,575/day.

      2,054,794 - 246,575 = 1,,808,219.

      So you're right, the article is wrong. YouTube could be losing up to ~ $US 1.8MM / day.

    4. Re:Garbage In, Garbage Out by teknopurge · · Score: 5, Informative

      Cheap-cheap-cheap(Cogent, HE, etc.) bandwidth at commits larger than 1 Gbps are around $4-6/Mbps single-homed. I don't care who you are: even with a 50 Gig commit you're still looking and $8-10/mbps for a decent multi-homed BGP mix.

      With the high-quality vids they are posting, $1-$2/visitor could be very real. I do own an ISP so take my word on these numbers, the figures I used are current as of this month.

    5. Re:Garbage In, Garbage Out by poetmatt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If any company was losing $1.8M a day you'd see people laid off daily. Corporations would lay off people daily if they broke even on revenue, because broke even means that the salaries and raises put you in the red. Common business sense.

      The fact that google still supports youtube means a: it sees it as a profitable business venture and b: they probably buy bandwidth in bulk where usage doesn't affect the cost much. Especially considering this is commercial their monthly bandwidth costs are probably identical every month; only the electrical and man-hours charges change, and I suspect the variance is extremely low. No corporation wants volatile bills from month to month, and guess what? No corporation has completely volatile bills from month to month, or it would fail miserably. /edit: oh god, it's that internet evolution site. Have they ever done anything actually FACTUAL instead of crap? Why didn't someone tag this internetevolution so we could skip this whole article?

    6. Re:Garbage In, Garbage Out by teknopurge · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Youtube is a loss-leader and has become akin to "Kleenex" or "coke". Obviously the goog execs see it as a good move to keep something that loses money. Perhaps they have plans to monetize it somehow. Who knows. All the what-ifs aren't going to change they fact that Youtube takes more to operate then it brings in. Google is likely subsidizing that loss from adwords revenues.

  3. Yeah, but by slagheap · · Score: 4, Funny

    they're making it up in volume.

    --
    First against the wall when the revolution comes
    1. Re:Yeah, but by MozeeToby · · Score: 3, Informative

      Is it still obligatory if it's a comic that doesn't get linked very often?

      http://www.giantitp.com/comics/oots0135.html/

      But maybe I shouldn't link to them, their servers are notoriously slow.

  4. Youtube and the death of the advertising model by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While much has been made of Google's amazing ability to make money with online advertisements, the cracks in the dike are beginning to leak.

    Youtube is only the first domino in Google's house of cards. As Google increases server-side requirements to support their growing portfolio of online products, they will reach a point where advertising simply won't be profitable anymore. Youtube with its heavy server-side requirements (even running on lighttpd!) just isn't cost effective considering the number of pages they need to serve and the direct links to media they provide.

    As someone who likes services that are free, I will mourn the loss of advertiser-paid services, but in terms of the viability of the web this day was inevitable.

    1. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by shadow349 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Youtube is only the first domino in Google's house of cards.

      Checkmate.

    2. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 4, Funny

      Google builds card houses out of dominos?

      How the heck does that work?

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
    3. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Youtube is only the first domino in Google's house of cards.

      Checkmate.

      Maybe he should change his name from BadAnalogyGuy to MixedMetaphorGuy?

      Bingo.

    4. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by DrJohnnie · · Score: 2, Informative

      Obligatory Zapp Brannigan (Futurama) quote... "If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate."

    5. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by Repossessed · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I would point out that Microsoft has lasted for decades with huge money draining projects, on a few heavily profitable ones.

      --
      Liberte, Egalite, Fraternite (TM)
    6. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by digitalgiblet · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm more optimistic about the survival of something like Hulu. They have ads you cannot skip, but they usually have FEWER ads than the same show when broadcast.

      We are still in the early stages of figuring out how business models will work in the Internet world.

      The cost of distributing content has fallen so dramatically that it is practically zero (or gets closer each day), but although the cost to produce content has fallen, it has not fallen by the same orders of magnitude.

      As a generalization I'd say most Internet users prefer something free to something with a cost of a fraction of a cent IF the free item is perceived to have at least 25% of the quality of the non-free item.

      Quite a conundrum. You can't spend millions of dollars to produce something that will not yield more than you spent. The puzzle is how to get someone to pay (consumer? advertiser? government? alien illuminati?)

    7. Re:Youtube and the death of the advertising model by digitalgiblet · · Score: 2, Informative

      Hulu's player is also complete crap. I need to be able to watch my show without having it constantly rebuffer.

      Sure it's the player and not your connection? Mine rebuffers occasionally, but not terribly frequently.

  5. Priceless... by TibbonZero · · Score: 5, Funny

    Content Acquisition - $710,000
    Revenue Sharing - $66,000
    Administrative Costs - $252,000
    Being the number 1 video site on the internet.... Priceless

    --
    Tibbon
    tibbon.com
  6. it is worth it by acidrain · · Score: 3, Interesting

    YouTube positions Google to try and be the next iTunes, to turn Android into the next iPhone and be the place where video and audio providers need to be to sell their content. I'm sure Google knows this and considering the economic realities of the day are looking at ways to move in on Apple. I mean really, why else would they be burning that much money folks. There has to be more of a plan when it comes to Google and media than to spend 5 billion waiting for bandwidth to become cheaper.

    --
    -- http://thegirlorthecar.com funny dating game for guys
    1. Re:it is worth it by ClosedSource · · Score: 4, Informative

      Isn't the simplest answer the Google made a mistake? They originally came up with a novel way to do search and have made a ton of money off of it. It doesn't mean that everything they do is genius.

    2. Re:it is worth it by h3llfish · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The whole thing reminds me of Yahoo's acquisition of broadcast.com. In 2001 (or so) Yahoo figured that the world was very nearly ready to get all of their video online, and that someone was going to get astonishingly rich providing it to them.

      Of course, most observers now think that Yahoo flushed a massive amount of dough down the drain. Even today, no one is making huge dough selling video online, although several companies are still trying.

      Years later, Google repeats the error. In fact, Google is repeating several of Yahoo's errors, and I expect will share a similar fate: rapidly decreasing relevancy, but enough strong core businesses to keep chugging along, hoping to stumble into a new cash cow.

      If a company has a huge pile of money, they can keep throwing darts at a board until they hit the domino, and the whole house of cards tumbles... Checkmate!

  7. the search could stand some improvement by Presto+Vivace · · Score: 3, Interesting

    And I think The Onion said it all.

  8. web 2.0 economics is different by siriuskase · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm not sure exactly how. But, it is a completely different business model, and I'm not sure anyone has it figured out yet. I am grateful for the Googles of the world whoe enter these ventures without much thought to the compenssations, but I do wish them luck. I want youtube to stay around.

    --
    If you must moderate, please moderate as irrelevent, not something bad, because I'm sure someone will find this interest
  9. Re:Let's all do google a favour... by siriuskase · · Score: 3, Funny

    I like youtuve. It pains me to think that my pleaseure is costing them.

    --
    If you must moderate, please moderate as irrelevent, not something bad, because I'm sure someone will find this interest
  10. Re:to put in perspective by Shakrai · · Score: 3, Interesting

    That's around $185 per second. That's quite a bit.

    Not really. GM is losing around $540 per second if you break out the $4,200,000,000 quarterly loss they posted. Youtube's only problem is they aren't losing money fast enough to justify stealing money from the citizenry to stay afloat......

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  11. Money drains by Animats · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google has a fundamental problem: except for search ads, nothing they do makes money. Google has already dumped a few money-losing services, and they may well dump more of them. Even the few non-ad products that bring in revenue, like the Google Search Appliance and the corporate version of GMail, aren't very successful. Google stock is down 50% from the peak in 2007, and most of that decline came before the recession. Investors are getting annoyed at the money draining products.

    I wouldn't be surprised if Google dumps YouTube and starts charging for GMail.

    1. Re:Money drains by rolfwind · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Google has a fundamental problem: except for search ads, nothing they do makes money.

      That's a stupid way of looking at it. They are my central hub. Everything they do is gear toward information gather and making more money. Google maps? They know the spots I drive to with a simple search, I get directions in return. What benefit is that to them? More targeted ads, and selling info if they so choose.

      Google has already dumped a few money-losing services, and they may well dump more of them.

      May as well kill their search as well and call it a day.

      Even the few non-ad products that bring in revenue, like the Google Search Appliance and the corporate version of GMail, aren't very successful. Google stock is down 50% from the peak in 2007, and most of that decline came before the recession. Investors are getting annoyed at the money draining products.

      I wouldn't be surprised if Google dumps YouTube and starts charging for GMail.

      That would kill Gmail. Gmail is also the only place where I have noticed their one line ads.

      They dump services that aren't popular. That makes sense from both sides. Youtube is very popular, they would be extremely stupid to close shop on the #1 place people turn to videos on the internet. I would say the only problem with youtube is that it's poorly organized. "Channels" are basically clips in the order people submitted them, so you can't tie 10 minutes segments any other way (or any logical way - they need to fix that).

      They also should work on ads, no longer than 10-15 seconds, to insert in front of videos randomly and allow revenue sharing. But to close shop would be like CBS/NBC/ABC all simultaneously killing their radio stations in the 1920s because it wasn't making money over fist right from the beginning.

    2. Re:Money drains by averner · · Score: 2, Informative

      And what would you use?

      Veoh, for instance, started putting unskippable ads at the beginning of some videos. Megavideo went farther and put a 72-minute limit on watching video before you have to take a 54-minute break, unless you pay.

      We can see that YouTube's competitors are starting to put in more ads and restrictions, so YouTube has an opportunity to follow suit and scrape in some more cash.

      However, perhaps Google is thinking long-term and values visitors over revenue. It might be a sort of investment - keep the videos free-to-watch and their beginnings unskippable-ad-free, then try to rake in cash with more ads once YouTube becomes popular enough and other sites become restrictive enough in comparison.

      --
      Member of the 7 Digit UID Club
  12. Re:Let's all do google a favour... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    I like youtuve. It pains me to think that my pleaseure is costing them.

    I can tell. Your comment here looks just like a comment on YouTube.

  13. Quality vs. Quantity. by geekmux · · Score: 2, Insightful

    C'mon, are the quality and popularity statistics really that surprising when the average YouTube video is uploaded with a cheap webcam and recorded by someone who makes Paris Hilton look like Einstein?

    I believe a famous dog once said "I leave more personality in tightly coiled piles on the lawn."

  14. Huh. by cthrall · · Score: 4, Funny

    Researchers from HP Palo Alto studied videos uploaded to YouTube

    I see I'm not the only one who gets paid to do this.

  15. Anybody really surprised? by HerculesMO · · Score: 2, Informative

    Honestly, looking at Google's repertoire of products, most of them don't make money. Only the advertising seems to.

    Which is as long as Google can stay on top as search engine king, they can fund these unprofitable pieces of software, be it Chrome, or Gears, or Docs, or whatever... but if they slip in ad revenue, or they have a couple of shitty quarters, I can see some big trouble for Google.

    Say what you will about MS, but they have profit centers throughout the company, and have a hoard of cash to boot. Not a bad idea for Google to follow suit in.

    --
    The price is always right if someone else is paying.
  16. Re:The Real Reason by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Funny

    Sweet sweet irony.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  17. Re:Greedy Capitalists! by LatencyKills · · Score: 5, Informative

    No they wouldn't. Google has an estimated $15.85B cash on hand, at least as of Dec 31, 2008. (http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=Goog) At a rate of $2M a day, they have enough cash to last them more than 21 years, and that's if they don't bring in a single dollar in the meantime.

    --
    Jealously hoarding mod points since 2007.
  18. Let me try by Zarf · · Score: 2, Funny

    I would just need that amount for a few days. I'm sure I could turn it all around. Just deposit that amount in my offshore bank account as my salary. If it doesn't work... you won't be out any more than usual. Why not give me a try?

    --
    [signature]
  19. That explains it. by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 4, Funny

    Let me relay a little dialog in which I learned the REAL revenue model of youtube. I got this mysterious call just a few days ago.

    Me: Hello
    Them: Mr or Ms Skull?
    Me: Yes, may I help you?
    Them: You remember that ... embarrassing video you posted to youtube a couple of years back?
    Me: Um... yes?
    Them: You know you gave us-- I mean, google ownership of it.
    Me: I ... guess so?
    Them: Yes. We have noticed that you have been searching for jobs lately.
    Me: who is this?
    Them: And we see from your email that you've been speaking with Innitech in particular.
    Me: if you don't tell me-
    Them: And we also see that you mapped out directions to their headquarters.
    Me: I'm going to hang -
    Them: If you don't want Innitech to find this video before hiring you, you will wire 1,000,000 USD to the following numbered account

  20. New Internet Jobs by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 2, Funny

    I wonder if there is a connection to the massive job openings posted by Microsoft in China. The only requirement is as following: "Ability to hit refresh-button on an internet browser."

  21. So user generated content is not any good? by hellfire · · Score: 5, Informative

    So stuff that a big huge corporation put together and protects with draconian copywrite a DMCA is only worth it? Individuals can't come up with good ideas and offer them for free?

    Here are 2 examples that completely blow that out of the water:

    http://www.youtube.com/user/davidspates
    http://www.youtube.com/user/Peacer

    And the second guy recently got a job with some major media group because of the talent he showed on youtube!

    Here's another example, but it may not be to everyone's entertainment tastes but you can't dispute the quality of the actual animation is great:

    http://www.youtube.com/user/MondoMedia

    And here's some "big media" content actually provided without those draconian restrictions:

    http://www.youtube.com/user/BritainsSoTalented
    http://www.youtube.com/user/JanisDigitalMedia

    The first one is the most subscribed channel on youtube. The second is content for a local radio station in philly. I find both of these sub par compared to the previous links, but hey people want to subscribe to them, and the owners must be leveraging some kind of success out of them.

    So I directly challenge that the assertion that the only good stuff on youtube is the stuff taken down by DMCA. I think the only stuff you ever bothered to look for was stuff you already saw on TV.

    Oh... and did you forget the Monty Python channel? If you don't think that's worth it, then I demand Taco ban your IP immediately for proclaiming such heresy!

    --

    "All great wisdom is contained in .signature files"

    1. Re:So user generated content is not any good? by lennier · · Score: 2, Informative

      "So stuff that a big huge corporation put together and protects with draconian copywrite a DMCA is only worth it?"

      Dear Sir/Madam:

      CopyRIGHT.

      Your licence to hold an opinion about a legal concept you don't even know how to spell is hereby _revoked_.

      After the mandatory 21-day stand-down period you may reapply for said licence at your local City Council service centre, in the usual manner, ie, on the unlighted fifth sub-basement floor in the disused lavatory marked with the sign 'Beware of the Leopard', etc, etc.

      Yours with all due regards, the Campaign for Minimal Literacy Standards in Online Flora & Fora.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  22. Take this article with a grain of salt by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 5, Informative

    There is no other organization in the world that cares more about Google's expenses than Google. If Google was in fact drowning itself in expenses that it couldn't possibly recoup then it would never implemented youtube's support for high definition clips. I mean, why would they implement a feature that in the end is nothing more than implementing the exact same service while spending about 4 times the bandwidth?

    Moreover, it's somewhat amusing how someone can proudly claim that someone is spending millions while at the same time confessing that it is basing his calculations on absolutely zero hard facts or figures. They don't know how much google earns from youtube, they don't even know the order of magnitude Google's bandwidth expense is in. Yet, they try to calculate things.

    It starts to get really silly when their calculations, based on nothing more than whims and assumptions taken out of thin air, are presented as $1,406,720 or $1,659,945. That means that they present a result which is the fruit of pure imagination in the form of a number with 7 significant digits. I can't measure anything with that kind of exactness even if I'm holding it in my very hands. Impressive.

    To sum things up, nothing to see here.

    --
    Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
  23. It's not about the content by wickerprints · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Google's strategy is not simply about creating or acquiring ubiquitous online services regardless of profitability. A lot of comments so far have missed the forest for the trees. You want to know why Google beats its competitors in advertising? It's not just brand presence or market domination. It's the way in which they cross-analyze data collected from ALL their services in order to increase the accuracy of their advertising.

    I mean, hasn't anyone noticed this yet? Your GMail, Blogger, Calendar, Picasa, and YouTube accounts are all linked. Even the original search that Google started out with provides valuable analytics that are still trade secrets. Users of these services leave a data trail that provides Google with all kinds of information about the user's preferences. That information then gets analyzed and targeted ads are served that increase the likelihood that they'll be clicked. And that's how Google gets the business. Their biggest fear is not whether a product is losing money; it is that nobody is using it and therefore there is no data to mine. All these serivces are just carrots they dangle for the end-user. Their true customers are those who pay for the data they collect from us.

    One service does not have to turn a direct profit in order to increase the value of the overall business model.

    1. Re:It's not about the content by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      Google's strategy is not simply about creating or acquiring ubiquitous online services regardless of profitability.

      It's not clear that Google even has a strategy.
       
       

      Their biggest fear is not whether a product is losing money; it is that nobody is using it and therefore there is no data to mine. All these serivces are just carrots they dangle for the end-user. Their true customers are those who pay for the data they collect from us.

      Is such income listed in their financials? (Last time I looked, advertising income, not data sales, dominated their income by a wide margin.)

  24. Cannon 2.0 trajectories are different. by ghjm · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not sure exactly how. But, it is a completely different set of ballistics, and I'm not sure anyone has it figured out yet. I am grateful for those of the world who are shot from a cannon without much thought to the results, but I do wish them luck. I hope they don't go splat like everyone else who's tried it.

    (Also, isn't "web economics are different" a Web 1.0 statement?)

    -Graham

  25. Advertiser-paid services aren't going away. by CopaceticOpus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Time is on Google's side. Look ten years down the road. Hosting costs and bandwidth costs will be greatly reduced, as is the trend. (Think how far web technology has come since 1999.) Advertising models will have matured, and YouTube will have profitable deals with specific content providers.

    The most important thing to have is users. People use Google for searches because it is familiar and it is a habit. The same is now true for videos and YouTube. Despite the fact that other video sites exist, most people think of YouTube by default. Google is willing to lose money now in order to encourage this habit, so that when it does become profitable they will be in prime position.

  26. RTFA by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 2, Informative

    You can't count revenue you never had as lost money. Google is losing the potential income of $1.65 million a day. If they were actually losing that much a day, they'd be out of business soon.

    RTFA. The 1.65M$/day figure is $2M/day in operating costs minus $0.35M/day revenues from the site (third-party estimates, so yeah, YMMV). It's not "revenue they never had," it's operating costs that are not recovered from revenues.