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Could a Meteor Have Brought Down Air France 447?

niktemadur writes "In light of an Air Comet pilot's report to Air France, Airbus, and the Spanish civil aviation authority that, during a Monday flight from Lima to Lisbon, 'Suddenly, we saw in the distance a strong and intense flash of white light, which followed a descending and vertical trajectory and which broke up in six seconds,' the Cosmic Variance blog team on the Discover Magazine website muses on the question 'What is the probability that, for all flights in history, one or more could have been downed by a meteor?' Taking into account total flight hours and the rate of meteoric activity with the requisite mass to impact on Earth (approximately 3,000 a day), some quick math suggests there may be one in twenty odds of a plane being brought down in the period from 1989 to 2009. Intriguingly, in the aftermath of TWA flight 800's crash in 1996, the New York Times published a letter by Columbia professors Charles Hailey (physics) and David Helfand (astronomy), in which they stated the odds of a meteor-airplane collision for aviation history up to that point: one in ten."

31 of 884 comments (clear)

  1. The suck! by Scutter · · Score: 5, Funny

    How much does God hate you to put you in a meteor strike, a plane crash, and a lost-at-sea drowning all in the same day?

    --

    "Tell me doctor, with all of your defenses, are there any provisions for an attack by killer bees?"
    1. Re:The suck! by Krneki · · Score: 5, Funny

      Exactly, I don't understand why churches needs lightning rods if they have nothing to hide from God.

      --
      Love many, trust a few, do harm to none.
    2. Re:The suck! by nyctopterus · · Score: 2, Funny

      They aren't lightning rods! They're aerials to God!

    3. Re:The suck! by Dan541 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I really must remember to click "Post Anonymously"

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
  2. Pot. Kettle. Black by justleavealonemmmkay · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yeah, right, Air Comet has no intrest whatsoever to accuse a meteor...

  3. Deceit by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 5, Funny

    In light of an Air Comet pilot's report to Air France, Airbus, and the Spanish civil aviation authority that, during a Monday flight from Lima to Lisbon, 'Suddenly, we saw in the distance a strong and intense flash of white light, which followed a descending and vertical trajectory and which broke up in six seconds

    A company called Air Comet is saying they saw a meteor do it?

    Does anyone else smell some blame-shifting?

    1. Re:Deceit by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sounds more like some sort of sick, subtle branding exercise. Is nothing sacred?

      Yeah, Think of the (dead) children!

      Oh, damn... I think that's the most tasteless joke I ever conceived.

    2. Re:Deceit by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 4, Funny

      Sounds more like some sort of sick, subtle branding exercise. Is nothing sacred?

      Yeah, Think of the (dead) children!

      Oh, damn... I think that's the most tasteless joke I ever conceived.

      Except for that one. Nicely done.

      Thank you for participating in "Race to the Bottom" Friday.

    3. Re:Deceit by Yvanhoe · · Score: 2, Funny

      It was not tasteless, it tastes like veal !

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
  4. No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Gravity Brought Down Air France 447.

    We still don't fully understand it yet, but gravity is probably THE number one reason for aircraft crashes.

  5. Re:Could a Meteor Have Brought Down Air France 447 by sakdoctor · · Score: 4, Funny

    I speculate that Windows downloaded some critical patches and then rebooted.
    I hope they find the blackbox, with the event logs so we can be sure.

    I'll leave the blue screen joke for someone else.

  6. Laser weapon can fix this problem. by reporter · · Score: 2, Funny
    The new anti-missile laser systems (AMLS) would be ideal for dealing with meteors. These systems were recently miniaturized to such an extent that several have been attached to commercial aircraft.

    Unlike a missile, a meteor has a predictable path of flight. Given the speed at which a meteor enters the earth's atmosphere, the typical meteor is white hot and should be easily detected by the infrared detector in these laser systems. An AMLS, with some slight modification for tracking a meteor, could easily blast it out of the sky.

  7. Re:Could a Meteor Have Brought Down Air France 447 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    No.
    ...
    P1 is much, much, much, much, much, much greater than P2.

    Something tells me you came to this conclusion without doing any math at all.

  8. Re:calculations wrong I think by damburger · · Score: 5, Funny

    Mount Everest is only 8km high. Where the fuck do you ski?

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
  9. Re:EMP Testing by FredFredrickson · · Score: 5, Funny

    Well, living in the Boston area, I can say that locally I am better than 80% of the drivers - due to the fact that, at the very least, I use my signal when turning/changing lanes. That's gotta count for something...

    --
    Belief? Hope? Preference?The Existential Vortex
  10. Re:Could a Meteor Have Brought Down Air France 447 by hattig · · Score: 2, Funny

    Maybe a passenger went mental, ran to the door, somehow opened it and jumped out, creating the decompression. He, and several other unbelted people nearby, all got sucked out straight into one of the engines, blowing it up and causing the aircraft to spiral into an uncontrollable dive very soon after.

    C'mon, let's get some ideas!

  11. Move over bacon! by Scragglykat · · Score: 1, Funny

    Here comes something meteor! *groan*

  12. Re:calculations wrong I think by kohaku · · Score: 3, Funny

    Olympus Mons. Can't beat carving up that CO2 powder.

  13. Re:EMP Testing by Comtraya · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...Statistically, 1 in X number of men will have a heart attack- but eating healthy and excersizing changes your odds.

    But suddenly revealing automobiles and airplanes to someone from the 1700's significantly increases their odds of having one.

  14. Re:EMP Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I live in Boston too. Are you talking about the on-dash metronome? I really don't think that other drivers can hear that ticking sound...

  15. Re:EMP Testing by MrTester · · Score: 5, Funny

    Fedex Flight 80, McDD MD-11 crashed TWICE??!?!

    Now THOSE are some long odds!

  16. Re:That Depends... by Spazztastic · · Score: 2, Funny

    Aeris dies. Just saying.

    NOOOOOOO!

    --
    Posts not to be taken literally. Almost everything is sarcasm.
  17. Re:EMP Testing by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Funny

    What if you get blindsided by a Mac truck when you are going through a green stop light?

    It's probably because Apple made a truck with only one pedal. Such a senseless decision :(

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  18. Re:EMP Testing by Locke2005 · · Score: 5, Funny

    What?!? Man, that's just like telegraphing your punches! Rule #2 of driving in Boston: don't give the other drivers advance warning of what you are going to do; that only gives them the opportunity to cut you off! (Rule #1 is "Never make eye contact.")

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  19. Re:EMP Testing by flitty · · Score: 4, Funny

    'Suddenly, we saw in the distance a strong and intense flash of white light, which followed a descending and vertical trajectory and which broke up in six seconds

    Really... a whole thread about a plane crashing up after a bright white light over the ocean, and not a single LOST joke? I just think Desmond forgot to enter the numbers...

    --
    Whether or not there is some sort of god, I'm not supposed to say/god is a word and the argument ends there-Smog
  20. Re:EMP Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Now imagine a cheetah driving a car.

  21. Re:EMP Testing by pcolaman · · Score: 4, Funny

    Oh trust me, the moron drivers down here in Florida are much, much worse than anything Boston can throw at us.

    You have, in this corner, a 90% blind, 4'9" old woman who has glasses thicker than the tires on her gargantuan Grand Marquis, who drives two inches from her steering wheel, in the left lane, 20 mph below the speed limit in the left lane, only getting over to the right while crossing intersections, only to get back over very slowly 100 feet later.

    In the other corner, you have Billy Bob, red neck extraordinaire, with two gun racks in his pickup truck that has monster truck sized wheels, is jacked about five feet higher than the legal limit, a sticker of calvin peeing on !BrandOfHisTruck, has a small plastic set of antlers for a hood ornament, and changes lanes every ten seconds while driving 25-30 mph over the speed limit, all while never using his blinker and utilizing the turn lane as a merge lane and the shoulder of the road as the outside lane.

    Oh yeah, in this other corner over here, we have tool Doctor who drives a BWM, has his cell phone permanently attached between his left hand and his ear, while driving 10 inches from the car in front of him no matter what speed they are moving at. He drives 20 mph over the speed limit when coming up behind you, passes you on either side as fast as he has to to pass you, and then drives 10 mph below the speed limit once he has cut you off. He slams on the brakes coming up to green lights and only floors it once the light begins to turn yellow.

    There are probably at least a few more examples I can throw out there of your typical Florida drivers, but let's also not forget that once bad drivers from other states perfect their suckage at driving, they retire to, you guessed it, Florida.

  22. It's the decepticons!! by cylcyl · · Score: 2, Funny

    Proof is in the video, ~36s mark

  23. Re:EMP Testing by Darinbob · · Score: 3, Funny

    The pigeons refuse to fly after the incident involving the x-ray wand.

  24. Re:EMP Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    It bounced the first time at 23:59 on New Year's Eve.

  25. Re:EMP Testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    [...]though I did it once pre-911.

    I've never owned any kind of Porche. :-(