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Statistical Suspicions In Iran's Election

hoytak writes "An expert in electoral fraud, professor Walter Melbane, has released a detailed analysis (PDF) of available data in Iran's controversial election (summary here). While he did not find significant indications of fraud, he does note that all the deviations from the predicted model are in Ahmadinejad's favor: 'In general, combining the 2005 and 2009 data conveys the impression that a substantial core of the 2009 results reflected natural political process... [These] stand in contrast to the unusual pattern in which all of the notable discrepancies between the support Ahmadinejad actually received and the support the model predicts are always negative. This pattern needs to be explained before one can have confidence that natural election processes were not supplemented with artificial manipulations.'" In related news, EsonLinji notes reports in the Seattle PI and other sources that the US State Department has asked Twitter to delay system maintenance to prevent cutting off Iranians who have been relying on the service during the post-election crisis. And if you would like to help ease the communication crunch, reader RCulpepper tips a blog post detailing how to set up a proxy server for users with Iranian IP addresses.

19 of 512 comments (clear)

  1. Come on, It's Iran already by arizwebfoot · · Score: 1, Troll

    Like Iran has ever - ever done anything underhanded.

    And if you believe that, I have some more kool-aid for you to drink.

    --
    Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy.
    1. Re:Come on, It's Iran already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

      Because they're a bunch of dirty crybaby welfare-loving free-loving pot-loving hippies! I mean, cuh-MAAHHHHN.

      Plus they all voted for that nigger. And they all smell like France.

  2. hai by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    i love math

    1. Re:hai by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

      I loves tits

  3. Camel Jockeys are Liars and Cheats?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    News at 11.

    Srsly...anybody think those rag heads give a shit?

    Wake me when they progress past their 6th century mentalities.

  4. You think like a ReThuglican Jew by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    You think like a ReThuglican Jew

  5. What A Fucking Piece Of Garbage You Are by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    You filthy piece of shit.

    This hilariously inept flooding of social media sites by US intelligence agencies throwing a tempertantrum over their failed attempts to illegally interfere in Iran's elections and complete pieces of garbage like you are just lapping up.

  6. Slashdot by oldhack · · Score: 0, Troll

    News for Kdawson. At least pretend that there is a relevant angle. Throw us a bone, man.

    --
    Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
  7. Re:The results match pre-election poll by QuantumG · · Score: 1, Troll

    Nuclear weapons are a fantastic peace maker in the hands of responsible government. Your fear is of Iran, not nuclear weapons, and has more to do with the "they're different to us" Arab stereotyping than it does to any element of fact.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  8. Re:Proxy by uassholes · · Score: 0, Troll

    But how would anyone know if that's just a cover for Ahmadickhead or Kockamaymie, and they'll just block it?

  9. CTS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    I would have expected the paranoid, capital letter
    disabled "circle times square" to chip in with one of his theocracy rants by now.

    Maybe he has finally finshed his phillipino horror movie, and doen us all a favour and fucked off.

  10. Re:The results match pre-election poll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    We also want to exterminate the jews. Hopefully, Barack Obama and Ahmadinejad will be able to do just that.

  11. Re:Statistical nothing by witherstaff · · Score: 0, Troll

    Iran is simply trying to emulate the US in how we handle our elections. Kicking out poll watchers and unsealed election boxes is nothing new here. BlackBox Voting keeps a good handle on some of the glaring problems close to home.

  12. Israeli Effort to Destabilize Iran Via Twitter by Philip+K+Dickhead · · Score: -1, Troll

    Proof:
    http://www.chartingstocks.net/2009/06/proof-israeli-effort-to-destabilize-iran-via-twitter/

    Anatomy of Iran's Right Wing Coup:
    http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2009/06/anatomy_of_iran/

    Ahmadinijad as counterrevolutionary - There will be Blood:
    http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2009/06/iran_there_will/

    Ahmadinijad is now opposed by all of the significant Mullahs - who led the 79 revolution. Why? because he - and the Revolutionary Guard - are Israeli puppet-creations. They are now ready to do Mossad's dirty work. "Mahmoud" is Jewish. But you can't see FNORDS, can you?

    http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/129649

    http://www.rferl.org/content/Were_Ahmadinejads_Ancestors_Jews_/1375318.html

    http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2009/01/top-iranian-figure-says-ahmadinejads.html#links

    --
    "Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
    1. Re:Israeli Effort to Destabilize Iran Via Twitter by Philip+K+Dickhead · · Score: 0, Troll

      Well, with those devils the British, yes.

      Why do you curse God?

      --
      "Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
    2. Re:Israeli Effort to Destabilize Iran Via Twitter by Philip+K+Dickhead · · Score: 0, Troll

      What language are you speaking? Hebonics?

      --
      "Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
  13. Re:If you know anything about statistics... by Darby · · Score: -1, Troll

    Wow, someone has a hate-on for religion.

    You mean like every sane person whose brain has been allowed to develop? It's called being sane. You might consider looking into it. If you're whining like that over what I said here though? Odds are that your parents raped your brain so hard as an infant that you will never be capable of it.

    Someone also referred to black people using the worst slur imaginable for them.

    Let me guess, you're basically the nazi sort ,so you just run with political correctness. If you were a sane person, you would have easily picked up on the basic, obvious fact that "slaves" were not considered "people" by the people , in the time, we were discussing.. 3/5th is actually the percentage of a person which the constitution declared them to be. So, yes, that was the term used by those people.

    Wait, you're one of those Zionist/Nazi fucks aren't you? Whining like a little bitch when you have no point. While living on land you stole while expecting my taxes to pay for your cowardice, thieving, and general fascist, racist scumbaggery. Yep, I remember you. Always pissing in the face of everything America once stood for while demanding that we defend your Nazi atrocities. Fuck you hard, you Zionist Nazi bitch. I hope you die in a really hot fire before you cause more unrest stealing people's land and demanding that I pay to defend your sick evil Nazi ass. Sorry, fuck Israel, and fuck Nazis. Same damn thing these days.

  14. Re:If you know anything about statistics... by geekboy642 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Stop thinking with your testicles, and put down the war porn. War is a horrible thing, and it should never be your first response. Or can you seriously believe that it would be good for Iran to have thousands of their women and children murdered?

    --
    Just another "DOJ fascist authoritarian totalitarian bootlicker" -- Zeio
  15. Re:Makes me feel good on the inside. by Liquidrage · · Score: 0, Troll

    That's absurd. Do you know anything about the government the US helped remove? What it was replaced with? You're talking about difference degrees of complete shit. The US went with one that was US friendly. You should take your "relativist" term and apply it to yourself.

    Here's a good clue for you. Iraq was a 100% damaged mess before the US.