Vint Cerf Imagines the Net's Future At NASA
destinyland writes "Vint Cerf performed an hour-long Q&A at NASA for their 'Singularity University' (which is partially funded by Google ). A question about Twitter led Cerf to imagine even more useful micro-applications using the wireless internet and cell phones, including real-time health data and checking your location against a map of known biohazards and disease outbreaks.
'These systems have applications which I think we will discover over time,' Cerf says, adding 'For me, the exciting thing to just anticipate, are the new ideas for using these instruments.' Also speaking were Ray Kurzweil and nanotechnology expert Ray Merkle. (Read an interview with SU co-founder Peter Diamandis in the new issue of H+ magazine)."
Imagine having advice hooked up that could monitor for a heart attack or a stroke. If detected, emergency could be called automatically. If reliable, what would this do for survival rates? In many cases, survival or simply the degree of damage is determined by how quickly treatment begins. I think something like this, if reliable and unobtrusive, would be a major leap forward for health treatment.
See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
All of a sudden, the cellphones of everyone around you whoop with the "red alert" sound from Star Trek. You take your phone out of your pocket. "Swine Flu Reported Nearby" flashes on the red screen. Covering your mouth with your shirt, you and everyone else start running in all directions, spreading the flu immediately to the surrounding communities. The process repeats like the grand-finale of the fireworks display, until the deadly disease is evenly distributed throughout the world.
A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
Seriously?
When was the last time you rounded a corner and stepped right in a pile of biohazard or disease outbreak? While I can see the utility and potential upside to a lot of the ideas being implemented on mobile devices these days, some of them seem to be solutions looking for a problem.
Impossibly easy entry requirements, but the only way to graduate is virtually.
GOOGle's strangle-lock on our Internet has irrationally limited the perspective of the Web to a two-dimensional aspect. Why limit ourselves to two dimensions, when scientists have long proven that human consciousness has at least four dimensions?
HOWEVER, I don't know if another government panel like NASA is the answer to this. What's needed is some forward thinking innovation to evolutionarily expand the organic dimensions of web "pages" into multi-dimensional info-spheres.
With everyone focused on the "cloud" it seems we all forgot about the fiundamentally networked nature of the internet. Vin't Cerf's article is unfortunately no exception.
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How about we try to develop an app platform that is vendor independent - not simply so we can have homegrown apps, but so that you don't have to choose your cell service provider based on what apps you want to run. While we're at it, can we make software for phones that will run reasonably fast? I hate having to hit the power button 7 times, each time wondering if the button is worn out or if the software just hasn't caught up yet.
DISCLAIMER: This post was not checked for speling and grammar- if you complain- you're a whiner
Seems the obvious application:
"20 meters!"
"Get set, folks."
"15 meters!"
"Short, controlled bursts."
"10 meters! 5 meters!"
"That's impossible! That's inside the room!"
"It's readin' right, man!"
"Well, you're not readin' it right." Hicks takes the Phone and look at the screen. "He's right, 3 meters...oh, wait. Hold on, call for you." Hands the phone back to Hudson.
"Thanks....Yallo. Going okay. Yessir. Yessir. No sir, not a bug hunt. Pretty much everyone. It wasn't me, man! Yah I remember last time. Who? Sorry, he's dead. He's dead too. Hicks? Yeah, sec." Hands the phone to Hicks who is listening to what can only be described as impatient tapping on the ceiling.
"Yah. No, he's right, only a few of us are left. Acid for blood. Hardly believe it myself, sir. Trying sir, but we need to get to orbit first. Oh. Really? That's new. Lemme look. Wow. There really is an app for everything. Ok. Well, five and a half to beam up. No, Paul Reiser isn't dead. Yet." Hicks fires a grenade into the ceiling. "Energize."
After all, he's a little past Marc Andreessen's recommended age limit of 24 for being a visionary. Sorry Vint! What NASA really needs is a bunch of kids showing off their latest iPhone/twitteresque/web 2.0 widget.
I can think of A BUNCH dampers to The Swarm (smartphone micronetwork):
Privacy
Until we learn to balance paranoiac fears of privacy invasion with "the good of the collective", these things will not reach a fraction of the potential. For example, I drive an hour to a choke point. I don't want the world to know where I am at any instant, but would like to know that if I slow down 3 mph, I'll get through the choke point sooner.
Civility
I would like to use my smart phone to talk to people in the commuter swarm around me. "Dude, your left rear tire is low." But, being a Slashdotter, we know where that would go. "Dude, you have an Apple sticker, yer a fking fanboi! die die die!" Lawyers
From inter-network contracts to micro-restraining orders (from the apple fanboi above), the potential for litigiousness will throw sand and syrup into this machine. And don't get me started on "intercept trajectories" with that hot chick who walks down the bike path every other day. "Hey, I just happened to..." "Right, get lost..." She presses the 'repel' button and is steered away from me henceforth.
Money/ROI
Throughput caps, and the exceeding thereof, will get expensive. Texts cost nothing, should be free, but they are not. If everything I do costs a penny, that adds up. The ROI won't hold up. Not everything I do is worth a penny. I make money 8 hours a day, but can spend it 60/60/24/7/365. How long can I sustain that?
Life (as in getting one)
I was a chat maven. Made some good, REAL relationships. No one is on chat anymore. People not on Facebook are virtually vanished. For now. I drive, I work, I cook, I eat, I sleep. Where does micronetworking ADD to that? "Say, I detect that you are adding Worcestershire sauce to that burger. Here are some Swarm Coupons for Baconnaise instead. Say, I detect that your cholesterol level is too high to warrant eating a burger. Say, I noted that you haven't moved outside the house in 4 days despite my detecting good weather in your area. Perhaps you should skip the burger and walk to the store for some lo-fat yogurt with bactieria cultures that I detect you are low in. Your neighbor 2 houses down has smelled your burger and wishes he could have it. Give it to him instead. I detect from his Swarmer that he has a 23% chance of dying of obesity in a month anyway."
Time
Nothing I do with a smartphone will get me time back. Sleep, chill, read, kiss. None of these require a Swarmer. It takes away. I watched 16 innings of baseball and went to sleep. Just as I drifted off, my phone texted me regarding the results. Thanks for that.
Has anyone else noticed how much Vint Cerf resembles the Architect out of the Matrix films?
The Architect
Vint Cerf
I think maybe we should be worried, especially if he's lecturing at "Singularity University".
were you expecting to see a sig here? perhaps you'd rather see the inside of an ambulance!
Here is a recent talk by Vint Cerf about the early days of the Internet and it's future.
http://www.wuala.com/Danathar/Videos+Music/Cerf.mp4
Friend, do you remember when new ideas and new paradimes enthralled and excited you? But now, the cognitive straightjacket of your two-dimensional GOOGle-approved "web browsing" has transformed this natural human inquisitiveness into a cynicism bred by a pathalogically limited "worldview."
Your scoffing dismissal of my comments only lends credence to the urgent need to reanimate the internet by empowering multi-dimensional perspectives in its software applications.
UNITE with the Campaign for a Free Internet because today, our future begins with tomorrow!
The introduction note contains a typo. It is Ralph Merkle, not "Ray Merkle", that is involved in nanotechnology and the Singularity University as can be seen from his WikiPedia page and his web site (www.merkle.com).
at least in the US of A, as long as the "broadband" part remains at the mercy of "providers" like the cablecos and phonecos. But I'm very happy for those who live in the developed world. Life will be good there.
And I can prove it with this little explanation:
If you look at natural processes, they grow exponentially. Until limiting factors come into place. Then the curve flattens again, until it is horizontal, and the limiting factors and the growth balance each other out.
The inability to cope with the speed of change, close to the singularity, will itself be such a limiting factor.
Which will mean, that the speed of change will limit our ability to change things, slowing that speed of change itself down, until they balance each other out.
But how would Kurzweil and Cerf get any media attention, if that core object of fear would simply vanish into the air? ^^
Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
Singularity is their maritial status.