Stock Market Manipulation By Millisecond Trading
cfa22 writes "Nice piece in the NY Times today on ultra-fast trading on the NYSE and other markets. The 'algos' that make autonomous trading decisions have to be fast, but I wonder: Is network speed ever a bottleneck? Can anyone with inside experience with millisecond trading provide some details for the curious among us regarding hardware architectures and networking used for such trading systems?" According to the article, high-frequency traders generated about $21 billion in profits last year.
Traders make a profit on each trade. But the profit is always to the broker.
Ultra fast trading is an interesting idea and done right it can lead to successful short term returns, but if you take a Ferrari around a hairpin at 120mph, you're still going to hit the wall and die.
I believe that precision millisecond stock trading globally is the real reason behind the IEEE 1588v2 precision time protocol. The cisco 9000 enterprise switch supports it. Support has been lacking in smaller switches. The only other group using PTPv2 is the cell phone industry.
The interesting part of PTPv2 for me is that it is used in the 802.1AS protocol ( http://www.ieee802.org/1/pages/802.1as.html ) which is one of the foundations of Audio Video Bridging (AVB) http://www.ieee802.org/1/pages/avbridges.html - Which allows for real time low latency low jitter media streams transported via ethernet with guaranteed bandwidth.
Just yesterday I was joking with friends: Forget about stealing the rounded pennies from bank accounts, criminals could re-program the PTPv2 implementation in switches to steal milliseconds of time during trading!
Anyways, back on the original question, no, network speed is not so crucial once all of your packets are properly timestamped.
--jeffk++
ipv6 is my vpn
My reading of the article brought out the point that, for a few extra bucks, you can actually go to the head of the line - giving the window of opportunity to perform the other actions described. Interesting definition of "free market" ...
Lol.
I often do wonder how we ended up here. Most of the wealth of the world is held not by its citizens, but by corporations. Corporations are owned by funds, which are owned by investors which... and by the time you drill through the obfuscation there seems to be nobody that actually accounts for most of the wealth created by the people that actually produce stuff.
And then you have the wall street leeches who juggle numbers around and suck millions out of... what exactly? The world is not richer for them in any material sense.
All the while I'm wondering why the day I can retire seems further and further away despite massive advances in technology. Shouldn't we all be creatures of (comparative) leisure by now?
The problem is the start-up cost. Buying the necessary hardware, obtaining the required data sources, developing the necessary analytical formulas and coding them efficiently costs a *lot* of money. So it's the free market of people who already have a lot of money and time, or simply an enormous amount of money.
I'm not entirely against it in some cases; well implemented it can smooth out market fluctuations and value securities more accurately. But it still makes me squeamish: It's yet another mechanism by which the rich get richer, and the poor get left behind. Every trade a "normal" person makes will end up costing a small amount more, and the difference goes into the pocket of the HF funds. It feels very much like the "shave the fractional cents off interest calculations" scam: No one suffers individually suffer, but it still feels wrong.
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The algorithms trade on their own, all the humans do is define the mechanism to evaluate trades and set limits
Human arbitrary decisions applied blindly by a machine thousands of times per seconds. That sounds like a real winner to me.
This kind of activity is an abuse of the free stock market system.
This activity does not generate wealth. It doesn't create something from nothing. And it doesn't add value to society. If they generated 21 billion, then 21 billion was necessarily lost by others.
People should look down on this kind of business and method of trading.
Front Running is when the broker or market maker (eg, Nasdaq) does such behavior.
Although the high frequency trading is slightly different, it is almost electronic front-running, especially with the ability to PULL the orders unfufiled after a few milliseconds.
Test your net with Netalyzr
Hey, as long as the limits are reasonable, there's nothing intrinsically wrong with it. Humans are pretty bad at picking stocks; all those rules our brains use to simplify decision making tend to muck up our ability to evaluate them accurately. The computers can be trained to evaluate based solely on those factors that are actually useful, and do it faster and more effectively than the human could. It sounds horrible the way you phrase it, but so many other applications we use computers for; we don't like the idea of machines supplanting humans in most fields.
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TI'm just wondering why the average Joe has to work as hard as ever and still has a struggle to provide for his (ever retreating) retirement, when traders trade in more than enough for everyone.
I guess that makes me a socialist or something.
I am sorry, I don't work near as hard as my father did. I would have trouble convincing my grandfather that I work at all. Your question doesn't make you a socialist, it makes you an idiot who has no idea what life was like for people through most of history (and still is in much of the world).
The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
They're gonna screw up before long...
Before long? It happened last fall; the Dow Jones lost half its value and now people are being laid off right and left, and states are going broke.
Of course, it wasn't just letting computers do stock trading, but the idea behind it was - short term selfish interest, lack of ethics (Bernard Madof was head of NASDAQ while he was bilking people with his ponzi scheme), and all around sociopathy and incompetence by business, political, and moral leaders.
The stock market isn't supposed to be a casino, it's supposed to be for long term investment.
Those who refuse to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
The very same problems that caused the Great Depression (including land speculation and underregulation) caused our present economic meltdown.
Free Martian Whores!
It's not really as much money as you'd think. Bill Gates was once worth about $100 Billion (according to the GP). If it were even feasible for him to cash that out and spread it amongst everyone in the US, that's only a little over $300 for each man woman and child. Also, if you were willing to accept the standards of living you had 30 years ago (one car per family, small house, probably no cable, no cell phones, health care available only at that time, no flat screens, no internet, etc.) you could probably easily afford retirement.
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You seem to delight in the fact that the author got an undergraduate degree in History before his Harvard MBA. Either you have an MBA from a competing school, and think that Harvard MBAs don't have to work as hard as other folks, or you have NO MBA, and believe that your "life experience" is better than any graduate degree. Neither qualifies you to judge "arts graduates" as a whole.
This is an outstandingly bogus article, what happens when arts graduates attempt to understand anything except celebrity gossip.
>"The result is that the slower-moving investors paid $1.4 million for about 56,000 shares, or $7,800 more than if they had been able to move as quickly as the high-frequency traders."
That's really quite amazingly precise. So precise that I believe not a word of it.
Yes, by all means let's distrust "precise" figures -- you probably ignore facts as well.
I can arrive at a slightly more accurate figure with some simple math. The stock opened at $26.20. The threshold being exploited was $26.39, 19 cents above the opening price. If we allow a for a 5 cent rise from the opening stock price (supposition on my part, but I think it's reasonable to guess that the price moved before the exploits occurred), then the algos gained $0.14 per share on 56,000 shares (from TFA), equaling -- huh, look at that -- $7840.
Not bad for a BFA, if I say so myself.
Sometimes you have to remind people that *everyone* is touchable.
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