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Surprise Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere

elyons sends word out of UCLA of a completely unexpected discovery in the physics of the Sun-Earth interaction — a previously unknown basic mode of energy transfer from the solar wind to the Earth's magnetosphere. "'It's like something else is heating the atmosphere besides the sun. This discovery is like finding it got hotter when the sun went down,' said Larry Lyons, UCLA professor of atmospheric and oceanic sciences. 'We all have thought for our entire careers — I learned it as a graduate student — that this energy transfer rate is primarily controlled by the direction of the interplanetary magnetic field. The closer to southward-pointing the magnetic field is, the stronger the energy transfer rate is, and the stronger the magnetic field is in that direction. [It turns out that] if it is both southward and big, the energy transfer rate is even bigger.'" The researchers have two papers on the discovery coming out in the Journal of Geophysical Research.

243 comments

  1. Misleading interpretation by mudshark · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Saying "It's like something else is heating the atmosphere besides the sun" when they're talking about the interaction of the solar wind and the magnetosphere is more than a little disingenuous....

    --
    In other news, astrophysicists have announced that they now know what all that dark matter is: it's stupidity.
    1. Re:Misleading interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saying "It's like something else is heating the atmosphere besides the sun" when they're talking about the interaction of the solar wind and the magnetosphere is more than a little disingenuous....

      OTOH it's bound to get bandied about by those scratching around for some explanation for GW other than human fossil fuel consumption ("It's magnets!!"). So that single line will probably garner his research way more publicity that it would otherwise receive.

    2. Re:Misleading interpretation by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      While the 'global warming implications' that would be inaccurately applied to this paper are unfortunate his statement isn't scientifically inaccurate:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exosphere

    3. Re:Misleading interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh wouldn't they just when we all know that science is done when a critical mass of scientists all start nodding their heads in unison like a field of bobble-head dolls.

      As all good, slashdot-reading scientists know, Svante Arrhenius discovered everything of importance about climate science over a hundred years ago so anything that conflicts with his revealed truth is clearly a ploy by the petroleum producers and their minions.

    4. Re:Misleading interpretation by Nein+Volts · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Exactly! Just say it's natural phenomenon! Just like coal burning plants have nothing to do with aerosolized thorium and mercury levels in our waters.

    5. Re:Misleading interpretation by commodore64_love · · Score: 0

      >>>aerosolized thorium and mercury levels in our waters

      Did you know the supposedly "clean" natural gas has those same impurities? Also NG is high in particulate matter (soot). Except while coal plants are scrubbed, natural gas engines/generators aren't required to be filtered for some dumb reason. The EPA needs to get off its rear and start placing emission restrictions upon NG cars and plants.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    6. Re:Misleading interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what part of convection do you not get?

    7. Re:Misleading interpretation by cyphercell · · Score: 1

      If I understand correctly then the effect is caused when a solar flare blasts against the earth's normal flow of magnetic energy. When the solar flare blasts the earth's atmosphere in a way that we have less friction then there are less storms. When a flare blasts directly against that normal current we get a lot of storms.

      My thought is that it's kind of like spraying a ball with a water hose. As you move towards the side of the sphere some of the water follows the surface of the ball all the way around and shoots back in your direction. It seems like fairly strong solar flares would muster up enough energy to flip around the earth and blast back towards the sun, as if we were hit by a flare from the dark side.

      Anyways, I'm not a physicist nor do I think the wikipedia article you linked sheds much light on the situation. So, I might be waay off base here.

      --
      Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
    8. Re:Misleading interpretation by cyphercell · · Score: 1

      "The exosphere is the uppermost layer of an atmosphere. In the exosphere, an upward travelling molecule can escape to space if it is moving fast enough to attain escape velocity; otherwise it will be pulled back to the celestial body by gravity. In either case, such a molecule is unlikely to collide with another molecule due to the exosphere's low density."

      I believe this is the particular line you were referencing? In which case maybe I do grock what you were getting at.

      --
      Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
    9. Re:Misleading interpretation by cyphercell · · Score: 1

      The part where global warming was observed without it's presence?

      http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/05/solarcycle/

      --
      Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
    10. Re:Misleading interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I smell "magnetic credits" coming out of Congress....

    11. Re:Misleading interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh wouldn't they just when we all know that science is done when a critical mass of scientists all start nodding their heads in unison like a field of bobble-head dolls.

      Yup, when more than 3 scientists agree on something it must obviously be wrong.

    12. Re:Misleading interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      not only misleading this is also the well known technology of Tessler.

      I am told his progress was depressed by the congress at the insistence of the oil industry and his papers were taken by the government when he died..

    13. Re:Misleading interpretation by StewBaby2005 · · Score: 1

      Obviously they have discovered that the friction of the atmosphere and the ether is causing this.

  2. anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 0, Troll

    Sounds like another shoe drops in the solar - terrestial interactions with regard to global warming and climate change. Why wasn't this found 20 years ago? Because IPCC and NASA haven't been diligently working a major term, the many solar-terrestial interactions, in the general energy equation? Because they are happy worshipping simplistic false models that say "Send academia, modelers and autocrats more money"?

    1. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I was wondering how long it would take the anti-global-warming fringe to latch onto this one and say "Look! This shows scientists don't actually know everything, and therefore it proves that they don't know anything!"

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    2. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

      I am 20+ yrs annoyed how long various solar questions and basic research have remained unplowed ground, with rather dismissive treatment in the AGW stampede. I note numerous irregularities in the AGW shove similar to deliberate actions that in my personal experience got PhDs (e.g. Cornell, Hopkins, one a nationally known professor) fired for said irregularities.

      I also think that the real GA Landis might have some conflict of interest with my statement, such as the InP solar cell patents that might benefit from an AGW hysteria. However I do think that orbital solar is a potential major industry down the road as the major step into the industrialization of space, for 30+ years. Just not down the socialist roads. I

    3. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 0, Troll

      It's obvious that there are very serious conflicts of intrest in GW and AGW research.

      The primary sponsor of all (A)GW research is the IPCC.

      The only reason the IPCC gets money is (A)GW.

      Every kid can tell you what is bound to happen next. Obviously the IPCC has been caught several times making propaganda by spreading lies it's own scientists don't agree with (most famous the hokey stick graph). This "somehow" keeps happening, and even today you can find that graph in IPCC materials.

      How much do we bet that next month "IPCC scientists find that GW is even worse than thought today" ?

    4. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by bdeclerc · · Score: 1

      So, basically, since the claim that the "IPPC is the primary sponsor of all AGW research" is a *lie*, can we just ignore everything else you say about this subject?

    5. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      got PhDs (e.g. Cornell, Hopkins, one a nationally known professor) fired

      Given how difficult it is to fire tenured faculty -- and how even if it happens at a state university, to say nothing of the really famous private ones, it makes the national news -- I'm going to have to go with [citation needed] on this one.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    6. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      We all know which side of the argument is trying to force no end of regulations, beliefs and laws on the other.

      So it seems a bit of a idiotic question : you can do whatever you want, as far as I'm concerned. The reverse, as is plain to see, is not true.

      Why can't YOU leave the rest of us alone ? I'm fucking tempted to move to China these days. One is actually more free there, and the people are actually more tolerant of differing viewpoints, that's how "liberals" have changed America. Heh, perhaps I'll take the middle road and see about Singapore or thereabouts.

      Oh and needless to say, the IPCC sponsorship thing is true. And if you count IPCC + it's members you will find that you've accounted for over 80% of all climate research, it's that bad.

    7. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by amilo100 · · Score: 1

      I was wondering how long it would take the anti-global-warming fringe to latch

      I thought that we were all against global warming (even Al Gore)?

    8. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1, Informative

      Obviously the IPCC has been caught several times making propaganda by spreading lies it's own scientists don't agree with (most famous the hokey stick graph). This "somehow" keeps happening, and even today you can find that graph in IPCC materials.

      I don't know how many times I'm going to have to repeat this, but the Mann et. al. 1999 reconstruction was accurate and has been independently confirmed by many researchers. Those links contain many references to peer-reviewed research papers that you can read to learn about paleoclimatology temperature reconstructions.

    9. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      *sigh* the "reconstruction was accurate" is a cute, but misleading, statement.

      "Consensus" is that the conclusion of the paper was correct, that temperatures have risen in the last 1300 years (which has a great deal of historical precendent : all interglacial periods were periods of slow warming).

      BUT the graph, the dataset used *and* the methodology were indeed flawed. But yes, the conclusion stood. The corrected graph is a hell of a lot less steep though. The point being is that the IPCC did not see fit to use the corrected graph, once it was published. And we're not talking 5 days after publication, but a full 1.5 years.

      Google Wegman report. But yes, the end conclusion, that there is *some* warming (that started somewhere around WWI) is present, stands.

    10. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Obviously you didn't bother to read anything in those links. As I've said, many studies have examined the PCA centering issues, and found no significant differences when using different methodologies. I'm baffled as to why you find it necessary to tell me to google the Wegman Report, when I discussed it at length in the first link of my previous comment. It's perfectly normal for laymen to be confused about these issues (they ARE complicated). But it's ludicrous to suggest that the scientific community as a whole is somehow unaware of these issues or engaged in a massive conspiracy to suppress them.

      Nevermind. I don't feel like repeating myself ad nauseum. It's not possible to reason someone out of a position that he didn't reason himself into in the first place.

    11. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by twostix · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Simply calling a group "fringe" does not make it so. Fringe relative to whom? Mainstream society is overwhelmingly skeptical, so if anything the pro global warming hug fests that one sees on echo chambers like this are the true fringe.

      Whether you like it or not.

      Just calling it how I see it btw.

    12. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Simply calling a group "fringe" does not make it so.

      Well, of course. I call it fringe science because it is fringe science, not the other way around.

      Talk to some atmospheric scientists-- real atmostpheric scientists, people who actually do measurements, and computer models, and physics. Not to the people who say "we don't believe the measurements, and making more measurements won't help, we won't believe them no matter how many there are. We don't believe the computer models, and making better computer models won't help, we don't believe any computer models, no matter how good. We don't believe the physics, either, because we're just skeptical, period."

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    13. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by SmilingSalmon · · Score: 1

      But it's ludicrous to suggest that the scientific community as a whole is somehow unaware of these issues or engaged in a massive conspiracy to suppress them.

      Then why Nature's soft-pedaling of the correction to Mann? McKitrick and McIntyre detail their experience of trying to deal with Nature to get a correction here. Interesting reading.

      And the referees throwing up their hands and saying "this is too complicated for us to evaluate in 2 weeks" shows a weakness in the process.

    14. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      We all know which side of the argument is trying to force no end of regulations, beliefs and laws on the other.

      Very insightful-- in that this summarizes the thought process of the anti-global warming crew: We don't like the political implications, therefore, the science must be wrong.

      Do you see that this argument is a non sequiter?

      The universe is the way it is. Your dislike of political implications does not change the science. Carbon dioxide in that atmosphere does what it does, and whether you like or dislike the politial implications does not change its effect on global warming.

      The anti global warming fringe, however, isn't actually interested in the science-- they already have their political beliefs, and this has given them their beliefs about science.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    15. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      It doesn't show a weakness in the process, it shows that computation power isn't infinite. Redoing all the calculations without the benefit of PCA requires use of a large cluster for a long time. This was done (in point 5) and shows that any PCA errors were negligible. Scientists aren't evil monsters engaged in a massive conspiracy. Really. We're ordinary people, just like you.

    16. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Oops. I should have said point 5 in part 2. Sorry for any confusion that typo caused.

    17. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by SmilingSalmon · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the link (in Point 5, Part II). I also read in point 8 that "If you use the MM05 convention and include all the significant PCs, you get the same answer. If you don't use any PCA at all, you get the same answer. If you use a completely different methodology (i.e. Rutherford et al, 2005), you get basically the same answer."

      It is asserted that if you use random, trendless data, you also get the same answer. See the graph near mid-page at http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/trc.archive.html.

      Do you have any comment on the link I gave regarding the Nature correction?

    18. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by bdeclerc · · Score: 1

      The IPCC does *not* fund most climate research, what you are saying is false...

      It's like saying the International Astronomical Union "funds" astronomy research... it doesn't, it's an assembly of scientists working around a subject.

      The IPCC is an International Panel of Climate Researchers, they take the results of climate research and turn it into general reports on the state of the science.

      The funding into Climate Research is provided by countries and other organisations such as the EU.

      The IPCC is the result of that research funding, not the cause...

      And from your rather idiotic outburst, it's also quite clear that you do not believe reality should influence your political convictions and launch into a tirade which has *nothing* to do with my simple statement that what you claimed is untrue.

    19. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      It is asserted that if you use random, trendless data, you also get the same answer. See the graph near mid-page at http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/trc.archive.html.

      I can't get that graph to load (but my net connection has been flaky lately so it could be my fault.) At any rate, it sounds like a claim that MM have made: that sending "red noise" into the MBH98 program results in a hockeystick. The main problem is that the extracted trend explains very little variance relative to the trend extracted from real data. Here's a 4-part primer on PCA to help people understand the basics.

      Do you have any comment on the link I gave regarding the Nature correction?

      I read some of it, and their complaints sound very similar to what other scientists go through when trying to get their research published. Peer-review is often an unpleasant process because it's based on confrontation, but this is true for everyone. In this particular case, I think Nature was right to reject their article based on the mountain of evidence against their claims.

    20. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by SmilingSalmon · · Score: 1

      The page you refer to does not seem to answer the complaint raised in the random, trendless data simulations. It talks mostly about the data used for a "training period." That was something I had not heard either side discuss before. There is one or two sentences at the end of the page you cite which talks about the random data, but just acknowledges its existence and concludes with a dismissive "who has the patience?"

      I'm not a climate scientist or or any other kind of scientist, so I'll admit maybe I just don't "grok" it, but the page you referenced in answer to my Monte Carlo query seems almost off-topic. You've been kind in your responses, so maybe you can indulge a non-scientist just a bit more.

    21. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      I'm referring to this quote: "I've now done some stuff with random series rather than the MBH proxy series. This has the advantage of allowing you to create as many proxies as you like. I'll hive that off to a separate page: here. What that appears to demonstrate is that M&M are right about one thing: it often does lead to a 'hockey stick' shape in random data. But the problem is that the variance-explained of the PC1 done this way is tiny: the first eigenvalue is about 0.03. Whereas when you run it on real data the first eigenvalue is about 0.55 (back to 1000) or 0.38 (back to 1400). Which means the two problems are very different."

      In the other link, the eigenvalues are supposed to be accessible via a link, but I can't get figure 1 to display. Again, don't know if this is just me. Regardless, they're saying much the same thing. The eigenvalues of the MM fit to red noise aren't statistically significant.

      But the real point is that the same answer emerges from more straight-forward analyses that don't rely on PCA at all (which avoids all these issues). In fact, as I've mentioned in my article, multiple independent analyses have been performed, all of which agree that the hockeystick shape is accurate.

    22. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      multiple independent analyses have been performed, all of which agree that the hockeystick shape is accurate.

      and the point is, obviously, that it is clear why : even random data, without temperature rise, is accurately represented by the hockeystick graph.

      That's the big "oops".

    23. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but with an eigenvalue >10x smaller than the principal component from the real data. Thus the red noise fit isn't statistically significant, but the real data fit's is. That's the point of the Monte Carlo analysis done by Mann et. al. which was mentioned in the first link I gave.

  3. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by jcr · · Score: 1

    Can you support your premise that all scientists act in concert?

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  4. Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere by lewoot · · Score: 5, Funny

    Okay so when I first saw the title, I read it as "Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere" and thought the landing a couple of days ago was a hoax or something.

    1. Re:Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However, in case you burn up in atmospheric re-entry there isn't anything left to burn in hell, is there?

    2. Re:Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's assuming there's no hell in the atmosphere. But consider: without atmospheric conditions, how could there be fire in hell?

    3. Re:Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere by jgrahn · · Score: 1

      Okay so when I first saw the title, I read it as "Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere" and thought the landing a couple of days ago was a hoax or something.

      That's not so bad. When *I* saw the title I had a flashback to Heinlein's short story "Goldfish Bowl".

    4. Re:Surprise! Discovery In Earth's Upper Atmosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah, me too! :P

  5. Or by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    it was something unexpected (which it was), so nobody was looking in this direction. It would be interesting to find out if this was discovered because of all the hoopla about GW. I am guessing that it is the case. IOW, this would not likely have been found except that ppl are concerned about getting the facts, rather than just trolling.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Or by Moridineas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem many people (or at least I!) have with PARTS of the GW / global climate change conversation is that it's clear that we have at best a minimalistic understanding of climate. I don't even think most climate scientists would deny this... Like you point out--this is a great example of a really interesting (and fundamental!) discover. New discoveries in terms of carbon sequestration (or lack thereof in many cases), cloud vapour / temperature interactions, etc are being found all the time. The technology we have available to monitor global temperatures and carbon levels, arctic ice, etc, and the tools (better satellites, etc) are likewise exponentially improving.

      I don't think you can find a person out there who would deny that strong scientific progress is being made.

      The problem is with the non-science aspects of the movement. Heck, the problem is that it IS a movement. Things like Gore's An Inconvenient Truth, and some scientists who do seem to be more interested in a political agenda more than a scientific one do not help. That is to say, of all the parts of what you call the "hoopla about GW" (nice desc!) we can really do without the hysteria and the partisan politicking (why is global warming even a partisan issue to begin with?! -- and I'm fully expecting a partisan respose ;-) )

    2. Re:Or by Repossessed · · Score: 5, Funny

      (why is global warming even a partisan issue to begin with?! -- and I'm fully expecting a partisan respose ;-) )

      Is 'both sides are filled with morons' partisan?

      --
      Liberte, Egalite, Fraternite (TM)
    3. Re:Or by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      On the contrary, I think you've hit upon the only logical answer...

    4. Re:Or by Vintermann · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Concern troll. Al Gore and AEI with their daffodil ads are not the same thing. Al Gore may be a politician, he may not be your kind of politician, but the science is on his side.

      The pseudoscience is on the side of the "skeptics"

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    5. Re:Or by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      (why is global warming even a partisan issue to begin with?! -- and I'm fully expecting a partisan respose ;-) )

      It became partisan when republicans through the 90's up til about 2005, were saying that GW was not occurring. Now, the top neo-cons claim that it is not man made, but there is overwhelming scientific evidence that says otherwise. I am not a climatologist, but I know a few of them who are. Other than Dr. Grey, all of them say that it is occurring and man is partially responsible (though none appear to agree to what degree we are). OTH, The doc was adamant that this was just a cycle. BTW, He is one of the very few scientist that has the clout and knowledge to be able to prove it IFF he is right. The vast majority of the ppl that signed up on the ANTI-GW were either not in the field or were not even studying it. Totally ridiculous.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Or by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Cool. Then what's next weeks excuse? Thirty years ago you would ask a scientist about global warming and climate change. Now you just have to ask an old farmer or a ski lift operator.
      It was all cut and dried in general terms long before the film came out and it became a political/armageddon cult/economic issue. Nitpicking about specifics that might swing things a fraction of a percent either way doesn't wind the clock back. Most of this "climate change doubt" crap comes out of the "Heartland Institute" anyway, take a look on the net and see what they think about smoking. That's right, a bunch of "experts" with no experience or education that will tell you what you pay them to say. The climate change "debate" is pretty well reality vs PR and is occurring because people want to make money out of it. If the wackos in the nuclear lobby had kept out of it with stupid ideas like carbon credits and carbon taxes to nobble their opposition it would all be a lot simpler - things have been overhyped in both directions.

    7. Re:Or by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The climate change "debate" is pretty well reality vs PR and is occurring because people want to make money out of it. If the wackos in the nuclear lobby had kept out of it with stupid ideas like carbon credits and carbon taxes to nobble their opposition it would all be a lot simpler - things have been overhyped in both directions.

      I agree. I think that the west is in for a LOT of trouble by trying to take full responsibility and to be the ones doing things. Kyoto has been a disaster since NONE of the participants have met any real goals (those who did not have to change DID make theirs; whoppie). I can not stand W, but he was right on not participating. In 3 short years, China double their CO2 emissions, and they are on the path to double it again in 3 years. Scarey. Ppl are not paying attention.

      France and Canada have the right idea in taxes, but it is being implemented wrong. It should be a cap on new CO2 emissions (as in absolutely no new emissions, without taking out the old stuff), and then a tax on ALL GOODS based on the CO2 emissions from whence they came from (not what went into it, but how much emissions from where it comes). If you do that, then ALL NATIONS will end up competing to get their emissions low FAST. In fact, because of the nature of pollution (it spreads everywhere), it should be a tax on the pollution that went into the good. Yes, I know. That hurts the economy. So, you start it out at say 5%, and then have regions graded on what their emissions are. Most importantly, Over time, RAISE THE TOP RATE, say 1% a year. For example, France might be 20% of 5%. OTH, China would be 100% of 5%, and probably so would USA, and other nations. The simple fact is, that every country will RIGHTLY KNOW that the approaches being taken will hurt THEIR NATION. OTH, this other approach is EXTREMELY FAIR to all. In addition, since it is applied to ALL GOODs, it can not run into trouble, other than the formulas (what percentage of the top rate) used. But that is a different issue.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:Or by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Most of Dr Gray's "debate" is personal attacks on the young whipper snappers talking about climate change. If he gets something that actually stands up he has the clout to get people to listen.

    9. Re:Or by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Ah, you know him too :). But that is the way that he has been. I met him first back in the 80's, and he seemed cantankerous then (I went to CSU and knew ppl out at atmos). But I think that he really wants to prove that others are wrong. I hope that he is working hard on it (sadly, for the last several years, he has spent more time working with Klotzbach to get him up to speed with hurricane predictions). Seriously, I think that with a bit of time, he will either find evidence to convince others of his belief, OR figure it out that he was wrong (though I do not know him enough to say that he would admit that he was wrong).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:Or by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Personally I think the extra layer of abstraction with carbon trading and credits are just going to be another way to launder money in the Bahamas, Christmas Island or other places with little pollution. Direct regulation would be hard but I don't see how anything else could work without it just being a game of business as usual and playing the loopholes on paper. The ironic thing is the trading was only put in to get the USA to agree on Kyoto, but a change in government finished that leaving us with a bizzare scheme to try to run it by remote control with economic pressures. A tax that cannot be traded is a different story but still difficult to do.

    11. Re:Or by Budenny · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There are legitimate reasons to be unconvinced, no matter what the affiliations of the people offering them may be.

      We have an hypothesis about the reaction of the earth's climate to CO2 emissions. The hypothesis is first, that the additional CO2 warms by absorbing IR radiation. That this will occur is not subject to dispute, its basic physics, and has been known for around 100 years. It was only partially known to Aarhenius, who seems to have got the effect right but to have overestimated its magnitude, but the effect itself has been known. This is a relatively minor component of the hypothesis. If this effect were all there was, doubling of CO2 levels from around 300ppm to around 600ppm would raise the average temperature of the planet in the lower troposphere by roughly 1 degree centigrade. This would not be terribly serious - in fact, it might even improve life, and its of the same order as natural variations anyway.

      The second hypothesized effect is that when the climate warms by any amount, from any cause, there is positive feedback. This feedback amplifies the effect. So the warming of 1 degree caused by CO2 rises is hypothesized to lead to further warming of a further few degrees. The amounts are uncertain. The total warming effect could be anything from 2-5 degrees C. Even at the lower levels, this would lead to significant problems, and at the higher levels, particularly over 5 degrees, we would be looking at climate disaster.

      However, its a question whether the climate reacts to warming by positive feedback, and if so how strongly, or by negative feedback. To have concerns about feedback is not denialism or flat-earth -ism. Its quite reasonable.

      This is where we come into the evidence issue. The decisive evidence for feedback would be if the climate were now genuinely warming faster than or differently from ever before. And this is where the question of the refusal of the climate science community to reveal their data becomes important. We have Jacoby, d'Arrigo, Mann, Thompson, Jones and others refusing to reveal the data which would allow replication and verification of their results. Their defenders meanwhile abuse everyone who does not simply believe, without proof, that the results are as represented.

      As long as the data and algorithms are not placed in the public domain for inspection and validation, it is going to be reasonable to be skeptical. All that the authors have to do to eliminate this skepticism is to publish. Until they do, it is going to remain an open question whether there is anything very special going on with climate in terms of the last 2,000 years, and so it will remain an open question whether feedback works the way that the IPCC hypothesizes.

      And so, it will remain an open question whether the reaction of the climate machine to an initial warming of 1 degree will be an ultimate stable state of no change, +1, +2 or +5.

      In the same way as when I drink a cup of coffee, you cannot predict my future temperature solely by reference to the heat content of the coffee, nor can you make any assumptions without examining the way my body reacts about whether the feedback will be positive or negative, so you need evidence in the form of the behavior of the climate to tell what sort of feedback mechanisms occur. It is very, very odd, inexplicable in fact, that the climate science community seems to see it as positively wrong to ask for the data on what is allegedly going on with the climate to be released. Free the data, free the code, and lets see if the studies prove what they purport to.

    12. Re:Or by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Based on purely anecdotal evidence, it seems to be getting worse: my impression is that climate scientists who entered the field after it became a partisan political issue are much more likely to have axes to grind one way or another. The 40+ y.o. PhDs entered the field because they were interested in science, but a lot of the under-40 crowd entered the field to join a battle on one side or another.

    13. Re:Or by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, the cap/trade is going to be a true disaster in the making. I think that it will be destroying the west. EU pushes their companies to be loyal and stay there, but we have not done that since reagan. Add in more expensive energy, combined with much of Asia having their money fixed against the dollar as well as major trade barriers, I think that we will not only see the wholesale destruction of much of the west, but that our energy bill will have the exact opposite impact. Basically, GE coal plants will simply shift to China/India/Brazil/Mexico, etc and these countries will grab them as a way to get "cheap" energy in relatively quickly.

      As to the tax, I think that it really is not that hard. Make is a sales tax, base it on which country the majority of the item came from. Obviously, some companies will try to play games, but, I think that a rap on the hand, along with a stiff fine, will get their attention.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    14. Re:Or by hoooocheymomma · · Score: 1

      It all started when they divided the Earth up into hemispheres...

    15. Re:Or by amilo100 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Al Goreâ(TM)s movie was nothing but misrepresented propaganda. I watched his movie and came under the impression that we are screwed. At one point he very dramatically illustrates that see levels will rise by 7 meters. What he conveniently left out was that it will happen in *a millennium*. This is nothing but a documentary by a Micheal Moore environmentalist.

      I believe that global warming is real and that something should be done. But I doubt a collection of half truths and over-reaction will be helpful. A calm and rational approach would be much better.

    16. Re:Or by Fleeced · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The pseudoscience is on the side of the "skeptics"

      Do a survey at any green movement rally, and see what percentage of these people are anti-nuclear and anti-GM, or support "alternative" medicine over the conventional (scientific) kind. How many anti-vaxxers would you expect to find in the crowd?

      None of this reduces the validity of AGW of course, but it does put paid to the notion that people follow this cause because they are more scientifically rational... indeed, there seems to be a general fear of technology in the green movement (and to be clear, I'm not talking about the scientists here, as much as the supporters).

      In short, my global warming skepticism, though a minority view amongst scientists (and I accept that it IS a minority view) is still scientifically based... most of the green movements support of the "consensus" view is not scientifically based at all - it just happens to conform to their world-view.

      Minority scientific opinion <> pseudoscience

    17. So... 7m raise in sea levels is OK for you if it doesn't hurt you personally?

      I haven't seen the film you are talking about, and I can not comment about whether the 7m raise is a realistic prediction or not. I also can't comment on whether it will be caused by humans or not. However, you also don't seem to argue such points, you only seem to be saying "oh, it'll happen in a 1000 years, so who cares".

      I don't think your in 1000 years living grandgrandgrand....children would be happy with this statement.

    18. Re:Or by amilo100 · · Score: 1

      So... 7m raise in sea levels is OK for you if it doesn't hurt you personally?

      No. The impression that was created was that the 7 meter raise in sea levels was an imminent threat (it isnâ(TM)t). I personally think that we should worry about the 100 year horizon. In 1000 the world will be a completely different place (technology wise).

    19. Re:Or by Machtyn · · Score: 1

      But should something be done by humans who have very little understanding of the mechanics of the thing? We're as likely to screw the environment more by trying to affect it, no matter how good our intentions to make it better.

    20. Re:Or by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      why is global warming even a partisan issue to begin with?!

      It's naturally partisan. Everywhere, not just in the developed countries, we have a natural division between wealthy and those with much lower resources. This manifests everywhere as common conflicts of interest, between employer and employee, polluter and those affected, rich people and the envious, etc. Environmentalism naturally falls in with the beliefs of the people with lower resources (and those who purport to represent them). And global warming is merely a huge potential environmental problem that will primarily affect people with few resources. Meanwhile the burden of correcting for the problem (if it exists to the extent claimed) falls on the people with greater resources.

    21. Re:Or by shaitand · · Score: 2

      'And global warming is merely a huge potential environmental problem that will primarily affect people with few resources.'

      The disruption of the food chain and death of the human race primarily affects people with few resources? *scratches head*

    22. Re:Or by shaitand · · Score: 1

      *light bulb glows* oooooooo nm, nm I figured it out. Pretty much all the resources are in the hands of less than 1% of the global population and on a national basis no more widely dispersed than 5% in any nation.

      Of course the death of human race primarily affects people with few resources, there aren't very many humans who have many resources.

    23. Re:Or by gtall · · Score: 1

      The 1000 years does matter though, one always needs a sense of proportion. If it were witihin 100 years, then the required effort needs to be compressed than if it were 1000 years. Also, the ways to solve the problem change depending upon the time scale. I think the effect is real, the necessary effort per time frame is open to debate mainly because the time frame is open to debate.

    24. Re:Or by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      Lust for gold!

    25. Re:Or by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      See, there's the partisan response I was looking for!

    26. Re:Or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many anti-vaxxers would you expect to find in the crowd?

      There's a movement against VAXes? Still?

      Let it go, people. DEC is dead and Intel won.

    27. Re:Or by sumdumass · · Score: 0, Troll

      The science is on his side as long as it's settled and no new discoveries are made. Obviously this isn't happening as his own statements indicates he wished.

      The pseudoscience in a lot of cases is clear science questioning the calculations being pushed by the global warming alarmist. Your just too biased to see that and use pseudoscience as an escape. In fact, the pseudoscience is has been claiming an interaction between the warmth of the atmosphere and solar evens since the 1990's. This discovery just shows how inadequacy our understanding was and how dismissive people like you are.

    28. Re:Or by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      You need to look at the advancements made in the last century along to see the different approaches to doing things.

      In just one century, we put man on the moon, created personal computers that are more powerful then all the computers (as in the people who would compute formulas for science and business applications) in the world in 1950. We can now build buildings that will survive earth quakes and so on. Imagine what can be done in 10 centuries. Well, you do not have to think all that hard because almost every futuristic scifi movie hints at the possibilities.

      It may also be that in as little as 100 years, some new energy source is discovered and Co2 isn't even a consideration anymore. As this recent discovery indicates, it may be possible that Co2 isn't even as big of a factor as you currently think it is. Since the time of the movie, we have had to adjust climate models to include our new understandings of solar interaction at least once, how water vapor interacts at least twice, had to correct the temperature record for the US at least once because faulty math had been used, and we still do not have open access to the data being used to cite the temps in all parts of the world. Hell, the UK and Europe still will not make their data open to people simply wanting to double check their math.

      If your comfortable with this, then be it. Others aren't and rightfully so. The 100 verses 1000 problem can just as easily be no problem in 100-200 years as it could be a problem in 1000 years. Here, let me put it a little more simpler for you. Suppose a new computer was designed today and it costs 100,000 dollars. You wanted it. Which would be easier, paying for and getting it within the next week, or 50 years down the road? Now consider that they are backlogged for the next 30 years in orders. OF course the longer you wait the easier it will be to afford plus tech would have changed, it's most likely going to be cheaper as well as probably outdated and you can get more power for less money.

      I just do not get how people can claim everything has changed and now we have this problem but nothing will ever change in the future.

    29. Re:Or by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Actually, it became political in the late in 1992 when people at the UN attempted to use global warming as scare tactic to implement a way to repay the third world debt. I'm not sure how politically aware you were in the 1980's and 1990's but there was a movement that attempted to get the first world nations to forgive the third world debt which was caused by the investments in non-OPEC countries during the 1970's when they attempted to step up and supply the US with oil after OPEC embargoed the US.

      There is a reason why the Kyoto accords ignore smaller countries and allow them to sell carbon credits as well as allows first world nations to simply move their GHG to those third world countries and count it as a reduction. Of the 158 some countries now signed onto Kyoto, only 38 of the have limits and one of those 38 has a limit above what it was producing at the time of the treaty's ratification. It's little more then a redistribution of wealth that doesn't address Co2 production in general, it addresses the Co2 Production of wealthy countries. Look at China and India who are signatories to Kyoto, they have races to the top of the list as polluters because most of Europe is outsourcing their Co2 to them. Before and after Kyoto figures in trade going to China and India is almost ten fold now with China surpassing the US in Co2/GHG emissions.

      You can blame the republicans for seeing that scam, Gore was one of the supporters of forgiving the third world debt and it's no wonder he was a big supporter of the scam to achieve the goal of them paying it off. But do not stop half way in your assessment of why it's political else you will be covering the reasons for it up.

    30. No need to get all upset about this, boy. Just keep civil, you'll get more audience.

      Now, sorry for pointing out the obvious, but extrapolating the future advances in the area of climate (or "sea level") control from the past advances in computer technology is... not very scientific of you. Since the dawn of men, we moved not one little step towards climate control (I don't count shooting the clouds in order to lower the danger of a hailstorm as "climate control"). If you allow, I'd not just bet the future on "well, some day, a smart person will figure out how to fix it, so who cares" approach.

    31. Re:Or by femtobyte · · Score: 1

      Absolutely. An upper-middle-class American has the resources to get his food shipped to him from anywhere in the world. Think of how much produce we get from Mexico today. If Mexico becomes a barren desert and Canada becomes the new fertile breadbasket, we'll just get food shipped from Canada instead. A subsistence farmer in Ghana doesn't have that luxury --- when the local crop fails due to changing climate, they starve to death. It happens every day (and will only be exasperated by global warming). A tiny nonproductive wealthy elite controls the global flow of goods produced by the labor of the vast global poor majority, so we already have mass famines in countries that are **exporting** their own food to wealthier nations with a surplus (because that's where profits for the rich are, regardless of the millions of lives lost).

    32. Re:Or by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Why not skip the tax altogether, create an international body designed solely for the purpose of creating energy sources free of GHG's offer royalty free use of those designs and simply have the country mandate their implementations as it progresses. It will have all the same effects without any of the starving the poor or reverting many people's lives back to the stone age. If you get labs with 20 countries involved, then costs will be less per country then most spend on maintaining their government buildings in their capitols.

    33. Re:Or by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      No need to get all upset about this, boy. Just keep civil, you'll get more audience.

      I'm not upset over anything about this. I'm just disapointed that people think that the only way to change is to undo the change that they claim is the problem. It's not very forward thinking of them and it's not very historically thinking of them. The advancements made over the years have same countless more lives and made millions or more acreas of land availible then they have damages in some potential future. There is no reason why we shouldn't expect those advancements to continue.

      Now, sorry for pointing out the obvious, but extrapolating the future advances in the area of climate (or "sea level") control from the past advances in computer technology is... not very scientific of you.

      And you point is what? I mean 1000 years is ten centuries. While we will not necessarily have the same level of advancements in the next century as the last, we will have advancements and they will work in our favor. You need to quit acting like 1000 years is tomorrow and everything needs to be done yesterday or it will not be done. I didn't just compare our advancements with computer technology, that was just one of the advancements I pointed to. Take a real hard look back at what life was like before electricity or running water, or our understanding of diseases and sanitation. Now ponder a future where that seems as much of a relic as going to the outhouse and pumping water from a well by hand just to cart it into the house.

      Since the dawn of men, we moved not one little step towards climate control (I don't count shooting the clouds in order to lower the danger of a hailstorm as "climate control"). If you allow, I'd not just bet the future on "well, some day, a smart person will figure out how to fix it, so who cares" approach.

      Oh, I think if you would look, we have achieved some remarkable goals in the realm of climate control. We can seed certain clouds to make rain, we have removed pollutants from exhaust plumes in order to stop acid rain, our vehicle exhaust has been cleaner then it ever has and so on.

      You seem to be suffering from a short sightedness. In years past, the thought of using electricity for productivity consisted of chemical reactions with little power. Now we can control those reactions, reverse them to some extent and ever crease larger sources of power in smaller states. Who would have thought that the worlds most powerful battery in 1850 could be contained in a package the size of something that could fit into you hand and last 200 times as long. But now, we can smash atoms to create electricity and even use atomic filters to pull electrons from hydrogen and force their return through a controlled path from a completely none destructive atomic state.

      The tech we use is pretty much at it's limits today. We can tweak it some, we may be able to improve is some, but the future is going to open many new doors to processes and technology only imagined today. All you have to do is look at the past to see that this is inevitable. It's even more so when the potential for global warming is present and there is a need. What's that saying, necessity is the mother of ingenuity. Just give it time and things will come around. From personal fusion reactors to solar cells that are over 80% efficient. It will happen because 100 or 200 years is enough time for the supporting sciences to make advancements that will allow things like that to happen. I mean look at the size and power consumption of computing devices today compared to back in 1970 and the amount of work they accomplish. Look at the fuel Mileage and power of cars today compared to 1920.

      Even today, people are looking into diversion power capturing techniques to turn almost any river into a series of Hydropower plants. This works by tunneling from one point in a river upstream to a lower point down st

    34. Re:Or by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      If that "something" is crazy geoengineering that works indirectly, for instance by reducing solar input, increasing albedo etc, or something that affects CO2 directly but has side effects we don't know the extent of (like "seeding the oceans") then the answer is no.
      But there are things we can and should do, because they directly reverse what we are doing that we know is bad (releasing lots of CO2). They are

      1. Reducing emissions
      2. Carbon capture and storage
      3. Carbon sequestration through weathering of rocks. That only affects two things, namely the air and the rock. Since weathered and unweathered rocks play pretty much the same inert role in nature, I believe this sort of geoengineering is as safe as it can get.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    35. Re:Or by shaitand · · Score: 1

      You forget the end game where there is no food to import from anywhere and we die.

    36. Re:Or by DrLang21 · · Score: 1

      I think we should just not worry about it since a good guess would be that 1000 years from now, we'll be colonizing other planets. If energy tech hasn't become much cleaner by then, then we'll all end up leaving to the other colonies, and the Earth will make a full recovery without our intervention.

      --
      I see the glass as full with a FoS of 2.
    37. Re:Or by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

      Not trolling here, but I have yet to find a well-documented global warming refutal.
      Do you have any link?

      Thanks,

      Eric

    38. Re:Or by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      The Rich and the Envious?

      Those are the two classes on earth? lol. No wonder we have trouble combating poverty.

      And here I thought it was about access to education, food, housing, etc. When all along it's just the Rich and the Envious.

      We should do this to the healthcare debate. "The insured and the envious". Hahaha. Or even better "The healthy and the envious."

    39. Re:Or by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      There is no such endgame. Hydroponics and indoor growing can raise enough food for anyone with sufficient means.

      Then again perhaps eventually even that would be disrupted when the starving poor decide their governments are doing nothing beneficial for them and anarchy breaks out. In which case we would expect the US to see a sudden uptake in defense spending.

    40. Re:Or by khayman80 · · Score: 2, Informative

      However, its a question whether the climate reacts to warming by positive feedback, and if so how strongly, or by negative feedback.

      There's a debate about how much positive feedback exists, but the case for negative feedback is very weak. For example, events such as Heinrich and Dansgaard-Oeschger events are the best examples of abrupt climate change in the paleoclimate record. These ancient events are worrying because they show the climate has a propensity to shift quickly from one state to another, given even small forcings. That requires positive feedback.

      Also, the estimated magnitude of the Milankovitch cycles and other forcings are insufficient to account for the temperature variations observed in ice cores from Vostok and EPICA. This requires positive feedback. In fact, the estimates of positive feedback are too small to bridge the gap.

      The decisive evidence for feedback would be if the climate were now genuinely warming faster than or differently from ever before.

      Approximately 35x faster, which isn't surprising because of the unprecedented (in the last 2 million years) CO2 levels. Also, the warming is happening after the CO2 increase, which makes this warming qualitatively different from all previous deglaciations.

      And this is where the question of the refusal of the climate science community to reveal their data becomes important.

      Proxy data are available, Wahl and Ammann have made their code available, the CMIP3 database makes model output public for researchers to perform comparisons, etc. I've previously complained about the (widespread) tendency of scientists to keep their data private to wring every last discovery out of it before making it public. It's worrying, but not a problem unique to climatology. Nor ar all climatologists so hesitant to release their code and data. I publish all my code under the GPLv3, for instance.

    41. Re:Or by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Just to be clear, I want to stress that when I said the case for negative feedback was very weak, I didn't mean the long-term feedback that acts on slow, natural forcings. It's clear that the climate must be relatively stable (i.e. negative feedback) with respect to slow, natural forcings otherwise the Earth wouldn't have been hospitable for the evolution of life. But the rapid, unprecedented speed of CO2 increase is likely to involve a different mix of positive/negative feedback effects than the ones that stabilized the climate before our arrival.

    42. Re:Or by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Oops. The 35x faster link referred to CO2, not temperature. My bad.

      Chapter 3 of the 4th IPCC report says temperatures in the last ~30 years have increased faster than at any point in the last ~1000 years, a rate which is steadily increasing.

      This isn't nearly as impressive as the anomaly in the CO2 record compared to the last several million years of proxy data. But Meehl 2004 shows that the warming since ~1970 is primarily caused by anthropogenic emissions, and they used models that are consistent with a climate sensitivity having a maximum likelihood value of 2.9C, with a 95% confidence that it's less than 4.9C but greater than 1.7C.

    43. Re:Or by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      What the hell are you talking about?

      You want the data? You want the code? How many times are people going to ask the same fucking questions before they actually shut the hell up and read the IPCC report. IT IS ALL THERE.

      They tell you what data was used. They tell you what models were used. And more importantly, they tell you WHERE TO GET THEM.

      Or if you are too damn lazy to read the report use Google. How about this one: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/tools/modelE/

      Or from the Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_climate_model

      It's not some uber-secret global conspiracy folks. Go and dig it up. The real reason people don't is simply because of the fact that the vast majority of people who feel they are qualified to criticize the models couldn't tell point out a computational fluid dynamics model if it came up and bit their asses.

      ~X~

      --
      ~X~
    44. Re:Or by dbIII · · Score: 1

      As I was saying before - PR vs reality.
      Hand it to them on a plate and they will complain about the size or shape of the plate to try to stir up a bit of doubt. Most of this stuff is just anti-intellectual attacks with climate change as the new soft target instead of evolution.

    45. Re:Or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sure the scientists are rushing ton include this latest bit of reality in the climate models. The question is, how much reality remains undiscovered?

    46. Re:Or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is 'both sides are filled with morons' partisan?

      Yes, of course it is.

      The other side is filled with way more morons, you see.

      Duh.

    47. Re:Or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydroponics and indoor growing only work if you have and can maintain the infrastructure to support them. Not a sure thing IMHO.

    48. Re:Or by khallow · · Score: 1
      I was mentioning a bunch of conflicts between the two groups. Not everyone with low resources is envious of great wealth, but there still can be numerous conflicts of interest.

      And here I thought it was about access to education, food, housing, etc. When all along it's just the Rich and the Envious.

      Yes, these are all conflicts between the have muches and have less/nots.

    49. Re:Or by khallow · · Score: 1

      The disruption of the food chain and death of the human race primarily affects people with few resources? *scratches head*

      "Death of the human race"? You need a plausible scenario first before I'll bother discussing that seriously. But there are examples in literature and film where the death of the human race can end up benefiting a nonhuman intelligence that happens to get all the marbles in the end.

    50. Re:Or by khallow · · Score: 1

      Hydroponics and indoor growing only work if you have and can maintain the infrastructure to support them.

      Why don't you think you can maintain a building with some glass in it or grow plants? Maybe you should come up with a plausible scenario before you waste our time further?

    51. Re:Or by shaitand · · Score: 1

      I for one welcome our nonhuman intelligent marble eating overlords...

  6. I know! I know! by Cheesetrap · · Score: 3, Funny

    "It's like something else is heating the atmosphere besides the sun."

    The orbiting teapot must have boiled! ;)

  7. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    It was a MS virus that all the researchers touched and got infected with. Now, we are in a botnet phase. I mean, hey, nearly all scientist support weird ideas, like the earth not being the center of the universe, and that it is older than 5K year, or that GW is at least strongly influenced by mankind's contribution.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  8. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by WindBourne · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Lots of money flowed to W and the neo-cons and now they are gone. See, a massive problem existed; money was thrown at it, and it nearly all went away (well, not the teabaggers; apparently they did not get enough of what ever they want).

    So, when you throw money/whatever at a problem, it goes away.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  9. Gosh! by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

    I hope it's not a subspace anomaly left open by a Goa'uld mothership!

  10. diff eq problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    > "Heejeong separated the data into when the solar wind was fluctuating a lot and when it
    > was fluctuating a little," he added. "When the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuations
    > are low, she saw the pattern everyone knows,

    That is, the likelihood of "substorms" in Earh's ionoshpere is a function of how "northward"
    or "southward" Earth's manetosphere is. More southward, more storms, worse
    satellite TV reception.

    > but when she analyzed the pattern when the interplanetary magnetic field was
    > fluctuating strongly, that pattern completely disappeared. Instead, the strength of the
    > flows depended on the strength of the fluctuations.

    There's this "interplanetary magnetic field" between the Sun and Earth. The solar wind
    is Earthward charged particles from the Sun. These particles interact with the Earth's
    magnetisphere. When you have large changes in the solar wind, there are more
    substorms, and worse satellite TV reception.

    So, pseudo-diff-eq, their contribution is the second term (or maybe I'm missing the point):
                    substorm likelihood =
                    southwardness of magnetosphere +
                    change of solar wind intensity with respect to time

    Poor graduate student. So much data...
    It's good to see some basic science being done though. More, please!

    1. Re:diff eq problem? by thogard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Something else that has been observed but mostly not well understood is how this may effect rainfall. There are a couple of low level magnetic north poles sitting off Perth and they formed about the same time as the rain stopped in that area.

  11. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by ciej · · Score: 1, Funny

    If I throw money at the democrats will they go away?

  12. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by WindBourne · · Score: 0

    If you don't, they will be just like the neo-cons; they will likely steal it.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  13. Can Its Power Be Tapped? by sanman2 · · Score: 1

    Would there be some way to tap the energy from these fluctuations? Instead of solar power arrays in space, could we just have giant blimps floating in the upper atmosphere with large coils in their superstructure to take advantage of magnetic fluctuations? They could then beam that energy down as microwaves to a receiving station.

    1. Re:Can Its Power Be Tapped? by gmuslera · · Score: 1

      Why do one thing if you could take the opportunity to do 3? Mixing capturing electricity from this source and bringing it down by wires, with an spatial elevator, and maybe more energy orbital getting "traditional" solar energy. This could even turn profitable in the middle term building a spatial elevator

    2. Re:Can Its Power Be Tapped? by commodore64_love · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      (rolls eyes). As if the Obamacrats would be any better. They'd probably sell the copyright/trademarks/patents to the RIAA, and then we'd all get sued just for looking at them, or reading about the technical manual on the internet ("Oh noes! You did not pay for that."). R's or D's it makes no difference - they are both the same - just with different corporate masters.

      Now let's see if the readers will mod you "insightful" (yay Bush-bashing! +1) and me "troll" (boo Obama-bashing! -1).

      I suspect they will.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    3. Re:Can Its Power Be Tapped? by maxume · · Score: 1

      The usual answer is that doing one thing is cheaper.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    4. Re:Can Its Power Be Tapped? by blackraven14250 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      I suspect they will.

      Nice reversal! +2 bonus points!

    5. Re:Can Its Power Be Tapped? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Altering the earths magnet field would be desarstorous, opening up for us to bemed with cosmic radiation. Life on earth would soon ceese to exist.

    6. Re:Can Its Power Be Tapped? by tabrnaker · · Score: 1

      Check out the book Siva! by Walt and Leigh Richmond.

  14. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Moridineas · · Score: 1

    well, not the teabaggers

    I really don't understand why that's supposed to be funny...

    I mean, I get why one regularly sees "M$" and "window$" and other equally stupid things on slashdot, but that one I don't get.

  15. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I suppose its relevant to point out the polarized views we see spewing out of the US are not interacting with the earths magnetosphere.

  16. it's still the sun... by timmarhy · · Score: 1

    solar winds = sun. root cause people.....

    --
    If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    1. Re:it's still the sun... by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

      solar winds = sun

      You mean the sun is a fan, not a lightbulb?

  17. I fell for it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I read the title, and said "the landing was a hoax?"

  18. Read Tesla & Heaviside from 100 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tesla predicted, then went out and measured it a century ago. He went on to show how the energy could be tapped and directed on a global scale.

    Formal equations were worked out by Heaviside and then for the next 100 years from time to time people rediscover part of it and claim they're first.

    Schumann applied it to global lightning detection but seems to have missed entirely that the energy can be accessed.

    1. Re:Read Tesla & Heaviside from 100 years ago by Latinhypercube · · Score: 1

      Please tell us more... Very Interesting....Links please !

    2. Re:Read Tesla & Heaviside from 100 years ago by mulaz · · Score: 1

      Google for "tesla energy transfer atmosphere" or "tesla atmosphere energy" (he said he knew how to collect energy from the atmosphere, and how to transfer it through it.... of course noone listenede, noone believed, and noone wanted to sponsor it.... and of course: "if there are no wires, where are you going to put the elecitrc counters?")

      fist link i found and there are more

      --
      i read your email
    3. Re:Read Tesla & Heaviside from 100 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bingo!

      At first JP Morgan & his buddies were big backers of Tesla but once they discovered Tesla intended to give everyone electricity for free instead of just transmitting radio, they did a 180 and used the government to seize his large demonstration tower (Wardenclyffe) and destroy it. Tesla's position was that the Sun, the wind and the rain (hydroelectric power was his baby too, see Niagara Falls) belong to everyone, so the electricity we can make from them should too.

      This is the same position that Wernher von Braun had and the real reason Nixon killed the US space program after the designs were already done for orbiting solar power platforms in 1970. It was estimated they could deliver $100K to $150K worth of electricity per year for every man, woman and child in the US. NASA recently admitted that yes, they had the designs and yes, Nixon killed it going so far as to dismantle the factories that made the Saturn V rockets and leaving the US space station to crash back to Earth.

  19. The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why is this being tagged "climate change" with people yammering about global warming? This is a previously unexpected form of energy transfer but would have been occuring since...oh...our planet had a magnetosphere and there is not a single mention in the article concerning climate change or global warming.

    1. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your question basically amounts to "Why are they acting like they're idiots who are desperate to deny well-accepted science at any cost, reason be damned?" And the most likely answer to that question is "Because they are."

    2. Re:The Hell? by mspohr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why is this being tagged "climate change" with people yammering about global warming? This is a previously unexpected form of energy transfer but would have been occuring since...oh...our planet had a magnetosphere and there is not a single mention in the article concerning climate change or global warming.

      I agree that there is no link to climate change but that doesn't stop all of the conspiracy theorist trolls. Without the link to climate change, we could only talk about this new science that was discovered and that would be boring. Now we get to waste our time reading the standard climate conspiracy rants.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    3. Re:The Hell? by timmarhy · · Score: 1
      so a previously unknown variable is discovered and you discount it because it doesn't fit your current hypothesis??!!

      science has left the building folks....

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    4. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are you even talking about? The fact that this is newly discovered has no bearing on the climate change debate because this effect would have been going on since the earth developed its own magnetic field. it is not some new effect that never happened before, its an effect with hadn't noticed before.

      the sun has been ejecting ionized particles for a rather long time you know. And the earth had to have a magnetosphere long before life began.

      this is not a 'new variable' in climate change because its not a change, its just something we hadn't noticed before that would have been occurring ever since we had a liquid iron outer core.

    5. Re:The Hell? by Megane · · Score: 1, Insightful

      What are you even talking about? The fact that this is newly discovered has no bearing on the climate change debate because this effect would have been going on since the earth developed its own magnetic field. it is not some new effect that never happened before, its an effect [we] hadn't noticed before.

      It is not that it is an effect we hadn't noticed before, it is that it is an effect that we haven't noticed before so it isn't in the models that the global warming crowd love to use to point out confirming the existence of global warming. It's not a new variable in climate change, but it is a new variable in existing climate change models, which previously did not take it into account. And that's the whole problem with relying on computer model simulations as though they were undeniable fact.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    6. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, this got modded down? Somewhere out there a libertarian is crying himself to sleep.

    7. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And, because we can't know everything, what someone wishes to be true must be true ... or something.

    8. Re:The Hell? by khallow · · Score: 0

      it is that it is an effect that we haven't noticed before so it isn't in the models that the global warming crowd love to use to point out confirming the existence of global warming.

      So why is that a problem? How much energy can be transferred by the solar wind to Earth's atmosphere and is it even remotely significant? My view is that the solar wind is at best a very minor contribution to heating of the Earth's atmosphere for two reasons. First, it has far less power density than sunlight. From what I gather in space, there's roughly 1.3 kilowatts per square meter of sunlight, while there's only 4 particles per cubic centimeter (which is 4 million particles per cubic meter). Even though these particles often travel a significant fraction of the speed of light (maybe as much as 0.1 c), there isn't much there to carry energy to heat Earth's atmosphere.

      The second problem with the idea that the solar wind direct contributes to solar heating is that it heats the upper atmosphere not the lower atmosphere. Half of the heating is going to readily radiate into space since there is no insulation to speak of above the upper atmosphere (otherwise the higher bit of atmosphere would have stopped the solar wind first). The other half has to cross the same stuff that sunlight does, except it'll probably be lower wavelength and be reflected by the same gasses that retain heat from the surface.

      There might be other effects of interest. Perhaps this somehow changes in a significant way the thermal or EM properties of the upper atmosphere. But just because there's a new effect on the atmosphere doesn't mean that computer models are invalid for not taking it into account.

    9. Re:The Hell? by twostix · · Score: 0

      So you can categorically state that the models that so much of climate science are based on are completely immune to any real effects that this phenomenon has on the atmosphere and climate.

      Right everybody that you don't agree with is a troll, how old are you?

      Some of us like to talk about science I'm sorry if that wastes your precious time, apparently you just want to hear people agreeing with your shallow minded world view.

      Also please let me know oh infinite well of knowledge, as I'm quite torn - is the chief research scientist with the CSIRO's division of atmospheric research before becoming the director of the Institute of Antarctic and Southern Ocean Studies and chief executive of the Antarctic Co-operative Research Centre a troll when he states:

      "I made the error at the time of mentioning in a media interview -- reported extensively in The Australian on a slow Easter Sunday -- that there were still lots of doubts about the disaster potential of global warming. Suffice it to say that within a couple of days it was made clear to me from the highest levels of CSIRO that, should I make such public comments again, then it would pull out of the process of forming the new centre." The CSIRO, it turned out, was in the process of trying to extract many millions of dollars for further climate research at the time."

      http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,,26056202-5013596,00.html

    10. Re:The Hell? by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Maybe, maybe not. His basis for discounting this in climate change is false. While its true that this form of energy transfer would have been occurring for as long as our planet has had a magnetosphere it does not follow that the amount of energy transferred via that mechanism has remained static over that time.

    11. Re:The Hell? by shaitand · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Additionally just because the mechanism for energy transfer has been present all along does not mean the amount of energy transferred is static. This mechanism could be transferring an increased amount of heat in recent times.

      Can anyone actually dismiss this out of hand because it doesn't fit the idea of a primarily human caused global warming and still call it science?

      Global warming is a reality in my mind. And quite frankly the track record of climatology results in my own anecdotal experience of temperature being the most substantial source of evidence for that belief.

      The cause of global warming, its long term impact, and its duration are NOT settled issues.

      As for CO2 levels, nature takes care of itself. Plants use CO2 for fuel, if you increase CO2 in the atmosphere you will increase plant mass. Just as any experienced indoor pot grower and they will tell you, increase CO2 to about 1500ppm and your flower growth will explode. Wheres the proof? Its in the pudding, start paying attention and you will see that there are large algae blooms starting to appear across the globe. Those blooms are natural CO2 sequestering.

      Estimates for plant consumption of CO2 are also generally based on the current CO2 level of the atmosphere. But if you give them more concentrated CO2 they consume more.

    12. Re:The Hell? by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      You do realize that climate models span hundreds of years, right? Some even move into the thousands. Small changes add up to massive changes over time.

      It's like this, say you want to make a straight line along a 100 foot wall, but all you have is a tape measure 1-foot long bubble level with a 1 foot long straight edge. So you measure up 5 feet from the floor and use your level to make a straight, 1 foot line. You then repeat that 1 foot line 99 more times until you get to the other end of the wall.

      Chances are you will be off by a foot or more when you get to the end when you measure it again. Why? Because the one foot level is nowhere near accurate enough to create a line that long, being off by a millimeter or two can translate into several feet down the line.

      Same with climate change, if the models are off by 1/2 of 1% to start with, then a model going out 100 years will be completely unreliable. You could easily end up with a 50/50 shot that the model is correct enough to do anything with. Not good odds.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    13. Re:The Hell? by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Anonymous Coward thinks that science advances by clinging to accepted dogma regardless of new advances, and not connecting the dots between contradictory data points with new theories.

    14. Re:The Hell? by McVicker · · Score: 1

      Maybe, maybe not. His basis for discounting this in climate change is false. While its true that this form of energy transfer would have been occurring for as long as our planet has had a magnetosphere it does not follow that the amount of energy transferred via that mechanism has remained static over that time.

      True, and one might hypothesize that this effect would augment the impact of sunspot activity on climate.

      Will this effect now be included in climate models , upon which the GW argument is based?

    15. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason is this: there are those who say that it is Solar activity that drives climate change, not CO2. However, there isn't enough variation in Total Solar Irradiance to account for variations we see in global temperature. I think TSI varies by about 1% from "bright to dim" solar output. We are currently in a period of "dim" solar output. There has to be some other mechanism of energy transfer to make up the difference. This helps find missing amount of energy transfer that is observed. That's why.

      The Sun puts out AC as well as DC. ;)

    16. Re:The Hell? by Virak · · Score: 1

      Yeah, this one thing completely changes everything and discredits the one well-accepted well-supported model in favor of the well-discredited models with no evidence for them. You teach the controversy, you rebel maverick science dude!

    17. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I agree that there is no link to climate change"

      Thank God! The debate is over! Everybody else who disagrees with me must be a bible-thumping troll!

    18. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would anyone immediately assume all the traits of a brand new discovery and conclude it has to have been a constant with no relationship to anything else? Climate change or not... Perhaps climate change has a lot more emotional investment than it should.

    19. Re:The Hell? by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about it pointing toward any existing model. This observation is something that was not predicted by the old model, yet will have significant consequences on thermal inputs.

      This is why I always describe global warming people as cultists. Any "attack" on their dogma is immediately met with ridicule and belittlement, rather than an actual defense.

      Of course, anti-global warming people are just as bad, it's just that I happen to agree with their thesis, that is, that global warming is cyclical and not significantly anthropogenic, and if it were to be real, it would actually be a positive for mankind, as warm periods always create Renaissance-type situations in civilization, while cold periods tend bring an end to great cultures.

    20. Re:The Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet if you measure the wall 100 times this way your results will probably graph to a bell curve with the actual value being somewhere near the top of the bell. Only if there is some systemic error in your measurement will the results always be inaccurate in one direction.

    21. Re:The Hell? by khallow · · Score: 1

      You do realize that climate models span hundreds of years, right? Some even move into the thousands. Small changes add up to massive changes over time.

      Yes, I do. Heating is not one of these integrable changes. The reason is that there is a simply first order effect that no matter what the composition of the atmosphere is (even a highly insulating atmosphere such as Venus), higher atmospheric temperature yields higher radiative cooling. This means a minute change in heating yields a minute change in atmospheric temperature until you get to absurd insulation quantities (like your planet is blanketed in miles of insulation foam).

      Same with climate change, if the models are off by 1/2 of 1% to start with, then a model going out 100 years will be completely unreliable.

      Heating due to the solar wind is in my view orders of magnitude lower than that. And given that radiative cooling is roughly a power of four of the temperature, you'd expect that a 1% error in heating would result in somewhere around a 4% error in temperature.

    22. Re:The Hell? by Virak · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about it pointing toward any existing model. This observation is something that was not predicted by the old model, yet will have significant consequences on thermal inputs.

      I suppose you're right there. It'll be an entirely new bullshit denialist 'theory' that'll be proven wrong quickly.

      This is why I always describe global warming people as cultists.

      Because they have lots of research and data on their side and you have nothing? Yeah, really sounds like a cult there.

      Any "attack" on their dogma

      Oh, I don't perceive it as an "attack" on my "dogma", I perceive it as some poor fellow who is deeply set in his belief and won't let decades of good science get in his way.

      is immediately met with ridicule and belittlement, rather than an actual defense.

      Hmm? Since when do I have an obligation to explain the myriad issues and why you are very wrong every time some idiot claims AGW is disproven? This isn't school, and I'm not your teacher. It's like ID, homeopathy, or free energy machines. Sure, there's plenty of people who make the (largely futile) effort to educate these people, but there's also plenty of us who are content to just point and laugh at their continued willful ignorance.

      Of course, anti-global warming people are just as bad, it's just that I happen to agree with their thesis,

      Saying "both sides suck" doesn't make you any less wrong. It's like saying "I don't like that Hitler fellow but I think genocide is just fine" (hi there Godwin).

      that is, that global warming is cyclical

      That's what some of them think, not all of them.

      and not significantly anthropogenic,

      If it isn't that's some fucking impressive timing there, nature.

      and if it were to be real,

      Oh so now we've gone from "it's real but cyclic and not man-made" to "it's not real but WHAT IF" in the very same sentence.

      it would actually be a positive for mankind, as warm periods always create Renaissance-type situations in civilization, while cold periods tend bring an end to great cultures.

      You see, there's such a thing as too much of a good thing. Pretty much every temperature reconstruction of the past millennium agrees that recent temperatures are a fair bit above anything that's occurred in the past. Even the Medieval Warm Period wasn't as warm as it is now. "warmer was good in the past" is not a valid argument because this is not like the past.

  20. It gets hotter? by YourExperiment · · Score: 5, Funny

    Larry: This discovery is like finding it got hotter when the sun went down.

    Interviewer: So, the temperature actually goes up when the sun sets?

    Larry: Er, no.

    Interviewer: No? What does happen then?

    Larry: Um, well... the temperature goes... down, I guess.

    Interviewer: Okay. Thanks for that Larry.

  21. Who writes this stuff ? by icebike · · Score: 3, Insightful

    TFA is one of the most confused articles I've seen in a long time.

    If Stuart Wolpert had just let the scientists write it, chances are it might be intelligible. As it is it was muddled, convoluted, mis-stated, and just plain wrong on many points.

    Never let a journalism student, or worse yet, one who hung around after graduating into the Science buildings.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    1. Re:Who writes this stuff ? by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Something a scientist writes might also be so steeped in jargon that it's less intelligible to anyone not familiar with that particular research field. That's why we need more people like Niel deGrasse Tyson, who can live in the academic world but also communicate very well with non-academics.

    2. Re:Who writes this stuff ? by izomiac · · Score: 1

      I've heard someone make the claim that if you understand your research well enough you should be able to accurately describe it to a layman in three sentences or less. I'm not entirely sure I'd agree, unless you relax the term "layman" to mean that they at least remember their introductory course to the subject (e.g. Biology, Chemistry, Physics).

      In my own experience, I've seen the full spectrum of jargon use, but it certainly didn't correlate with knowledge or specialization. One of the most knowledgeable people I've seen (some of the research equipment is named after him) used virtually no jargon, but I've also seen many graduate students that can only speak of their research in technical terms. My hypothesis is that the better you understand something, the more ways you can accurately describe it. From there, some people merely choose to use the simplest description.

      For that reason, I don't think it's unreasonable at all to expect scientists to write about their research in layman's terms. If this is a weak point for them, then they need more practice. Who knows, maybe it'll give them another perspective. In any case, it'll definitely improve their teaching ability.

    3. Re:Who writes this stuff ? by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      I've heard someone make the claim that if you understand your research well enough you should be able to accurately describe it to a layman in three sentences or less.

      I don't know who said that, but that makes no sense at all. The whole point of technical jargon is to reduce the size of the explanations. A physicist can explain something to another physicist in 3 sentances that would take six pages of explanation for a layman to understand. That's because they both speak the language, and the funky words pack a lot of meaning.

      The fact is, for a layman to understand any subject that relies on substantial jargon to explain concisely, it is going to take a lot of explanation, and in some cases may not be possible without years of study first. That's why researchers have to go to school for years and years to understand this stuff.

      What they may have meant was that you should be able to come up with some analogy or metaphor that a layman can relate to, and therefor get the basic concept on a very shallow level. That's great, if you're good at coming up with analogies and mataphors, but not being able to explain something to someone with a vastly different understanding of the subject matter does not mean you don't understand it.

      Anyway I agree with most of your post, practicing such skills would definitely help scientists relate their informaton to the masses. The ability to distill your knowledge into terms that are easy to understand is a halmark of a great teacher. The reason we consider such people great teachers is because the ability is not common. Most people cannot put their ideas on paper in a meaningful way, regardless of how well they understand it. That does not mean they will be able to relate it to someone who does not understand other elements of their field.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    4. Re:Who writes this stuff ? by linzeal · · Score: 1

      Who cares about non-academics? Seriously, do you think anyone without a college degree in the sciences or engineering is going to take the time to read something like this? If they are, maybe they should go back for a degree. I'm sick of praising the dumbing down of academic work to the lowest common denominator as a 'good thing' ;because, it may capture the essence of the work but more often than not it lends itself to the mythologization of the sciences. We have people in bars all night arguing about physics from snippets they heard on the Discovery channel and picked up on pop science sites and it speaks as much about science and its methods as describing the shape and color of the instruments in an orchestra while trying to understand Mozart.

      I would agree that some academic papers have become so terse with their own jargon as to be indecipherable and that such papers are in fact much less useful than ones written in a language and style that lends itself to a more interdisciplinary understanding but please do not praise those who dumb down the sciences anymore. I'm sick of people who have insights into quantum physics or cosmology who understand neither the standard model or Hubble's constant. Who tell me with a straight face they understand something that I barely feel comfortable with after years of grad school. If you can't do math you don't really understand science and with that I include the social sciences which relies heavily on prob and stats.

    5. Re:Who writes this stuff ? by izomiac · · Score: 1

      I don't think I'd agree that jargon makes things more concise. It makes them more precise. Concision, OTOH, tends to be overlooked in academics. For example, scientific papers are written in the passive voice, which is considerably more verbose than the active. They also tend to elaborate on anything that isn't standard for the field (e.g. 'DNA' won't be defined, but 'ADO' would be). Plus, remarkably, almost all research articles are similar in length, despite vastly different subject matter.

      But, I do agree that it's impossible to completely explain what you've been doing for the last several months/years to someone in three sentences unless they are familiar with the subject. A basic explanation should be possible though. Metaphors tend to be too verbose and often wildly inaccurate, so this ability hinges on using general terms that are still correct. 'PCR', for example, can be called 'copying a gene', which a layman should understand. Detail is lost, but it's still fairly accurate. No clue how one'd describe pulmonary edema without making it sound like a pneumothorax though, so the three sentence thing might not be possible for all studies. I'm especially doubtful about how a mathematician could do this, but I haven't studied mathematics enough to say one way or the other.

      Perhaps the reason I heard that challenge is because of the field I'm in. I'm a medical student, and part of our curriculum is how to explain complex illnesses to patients in terms that they'll understand. It's a physician's responsibility, so nobody even asks whether it's possible or not. OTOH, the last exercise was trying to explain sickle cell anemia/beta thalassemia to someone who didn't know what a cell was... that was painful...

  22. I was hoping for by jnnnnn · · Score: 5, Funny

    Whales and flowerpots.

    Disappointment is me.

    1. Re:I was hoping for by Myrcutio · · Score: 2, Funny

      no no no, that's only on the 42nd day of each month.

    2. Re:I was hoping for by EdIII · · Score: 2, Funny

      Don't forget that there is still only 1 out of 8,767,128 chance that it will even happen.

  23. evolution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    it sounds like the earth has evolved to absorb even rear-facing southward magnetic solar wind. Darwin was right!

  24. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    well, not the teabaggers

    I really don't understand why that's supposed to be funny...

    I mean, I get why one regularly sees "M$" and "window$" and other equally stupid things on slashdot, but that one I don't get.

    usually to "teabag" someone means to put your nutsac/balls up against their chin. the implication of course is that the one getting teabagged is "the bitch" of the person doing the teabagging. what that has to do with the atmosphere is anyone's guess

  25. Those links are worth nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only one of those links seemed like a credible source, the BBC (which was broken link but one that could be easily modified to work). I did want to give the two other ones a chance, though.

    BBC article doesn't tell about any flaws in the current scientific consensus on anything. It simply mentions that Al Gore's video was found to not stay true to the consensus on 9 things. Nothing major in climate warming, just specific, poorly chosen examples. An example given:

    Mr Gore's assertion that the disappearance of snow on Mount Kilimanjaro in East Africa was expressly attributable to global warming - the court heard the scientific consensus was that it cannot be established the snow recession is mainly attributable to human-induced climate change.

    The climateaudit has a FAQ. One of the questions is "Does your work disprove global warming?" and the answer:

    We have not made such a claim. There is considerable evidence that in many locations the late 20th century was generally warmer than the mid-19th century. However, there is also considerable evidence that in parts of the Northern Hemisphere, the mid-19th century was exceptionally cold. We think that a more interesting issue is whether the late 20th century was warmer than periods of similar length in the 11th century. We ourselves do not opine on this matter, other than to say that the MBH results relied upon so heavily by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2001 report are invalid.

    And then... It also has a newer entry that newer, published data no longer has these problems!

    In MM03, we were not in a position to fully diagnose the problems, but we are now. Also, the simple comparison of archived series versions to versions actually used revealed the unreported editing of the Gaspï½ series, which also had important consequences. This effect was not specifically analyzed in MM03, but was analyzed here. In short, we believe that the present articles are a definitive resolution of issues first raised in MM03.

    Your link actually supports the claims! (or well, it says that the reports about it are scientific and fully auditable)

    The skeptical science link... It's just pure bullshit. Just look at the comments which give reference links.

  26. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Conservative retards have been throwing 'tea parties' lately to protest the evil government wanting to beat them up and take their lunch money and use it to murder babies. I don't think any of them have been told yet that they've forgotten the "without representation" part of the slogan. Calling it "teabagging" is an equally mature and significantly more amusing response to such actions.

  27. Hummer Humbug by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Hello, hello, hello. After how much time some REAL Science - and not GreenPeace fictions about Hummers warming the Earth. Not that I think anyone has any sane reason to own or operate such a behemoth. All this "Global Warming" is 100% B.S. run by politicos for their own unlisted agendas.

    1. Re:Hummer Humbug by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Good point, Hummers are not on the road long enough to burn much fuel anyway.
      Their point is not transport, it is a status symbol to say to the world "I'm rich and so is my mechanic".
      Patriots also buy the things to send the message - "We won the Cold War and here's proof the USA can match the crappiest stuff out of the Communist Bloc".

    2. Re:Hummer Humbug by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      hehehe. Sorry. I am really punchy. I have been up working on rebuilding a system for a bit . You may wish to check out that last definition here and re-read what I wrote (or should I re-read your post?).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Hummer Humbug by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Ok, now I know a bit more US slang.
      The last mixup was "pasties" which are a sort of english folded pie and a cover for nipples in places bizzare enough to have strip shows where nipples must be hidden. Seems pointless, and I got a good laugh out of being called naive by some guy that was paying money to not see nipples.

    4. Re:Hummer Humbug by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      hehehehe. Yeah, I love the differences in slang. Way too funny. My wife is UK-borne Indian and sometimes interesting to hear what she has to say about the language.

      Normally, I try to assume that somebody is from another country before assuming the worse about them. It pays off more often than not. What is odd is how many /.ers assume that everybody is American.

      BTW, I am not certain, but I think that pasties are pretty much gone, except for waitresses. It was something from the 50's, in 'respectable' places like Las Vegas. To be honest, I would not be surprised if I am wrong. I could see places in the bible belt requiring them.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  28. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Moridineas · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yeah, I know... and I get why Anderson Cooper would think that's hilarious.

    What I don't understand is why your average garden variety left-winger on the internet (where you tend to hear/see it the most)--whether it be slashdot, kos, wherever else--thinks it's so hilarious. I guess what it boils down to for me is, I think it's downright odd how the Democratic party which wholeheartedly embraced liberty, freedom, and the "common man" at its core a generation ago--and still pays lip service to such things--has of late become so dominated by primarily the upper middle classes and the highly educated who are perfectly content to just trust in the government (and ad hom those who don't). I don't understand the scorn for the lower middle class / poor / etc who seem to be at these kind of rallies.

    I'll be the first to admit that there are a lot of things I don't understand... but the pure vitriol and loathing of the populist townhall protestors and tax protestors is just ... weird! ... to me.

  29. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I don't understand the scorn for the lower middle class / poor / etc who seem to be at these kind of rallies.
    I see. You have not been to one of these. It is NOT the lower middle class/poor. I went to one in Denver. Watching ppl drive away in Suburbans is not my idea of lower middle class. Think that there is a real reason why it is pushed by rush?

    The idea that this represents the common man would be like having the king of england attend the boston tea party. Basically, the very ppl, neo-cons, that ran up the vast majority of the debt are attending it and trying to point the finger at obama. Now, I am not a fan of Obama's action (though even as a Libertarian, I voted for him to avoid the thought of Palin as a pres), I can say that he was put in a horrible situation. OTH, I have not been impressed by his actions.
    But the tea baggers keep pointing their finger at dems while out and out refusing to take responsibility for the nightmare that they got us into. These are the same sets of idiots that voted in W. TWICE.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  30. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Frnknstn · · Score: 1

    Reread the post. He was being ironic.

    Of course, there is a manner in which scientists do work in concert, and that's in 'consensus'. On this issue, the consensus is pretty clear.

    --
    If it's in you sig, it's in your post.
  31. And this is where you would be wrong by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    There are constant changes to the model, but nothing HUGE. My understanding from talking to some NOAA scientists that I know, that it would take something totally unknown coming from out of the solar system or from the middle of the earth.

    As they pointed out, the simplest item to look at are the glaciers. Overall, they are melting very fast. Some new ones are started, but that is due to increased moisture in the air. That is like the center of Antarctica is growing again, but that is due to increased moisture due to the high melting towards the edge. It use to be melting took place truly on the edge, and now, it is quite far inland.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:And this is where you would be wrong by Trepidity · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There are few changes to the very basic set of facts: that there is warming, and a significant proportion of it is anthropogenic. But there is huge disagreement on the details and especially in predictions. That's to be expected, because many of the systems we're attempting to model have sensitive dependence on parameters and initial conditions. Whether, for example, a shutdown of thermohaline circulation is likely, and under what circumstances, isn't at all well understood--- and that's just picking one large-impact uncertainty.

    2. Re:And this is where you would be wrong by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      There are constant changes to the model, but nothing HUGE

      Perhaps. Then again, one rarely sees the huge discoveries before they are made.

      I've taken to reading several climate blogs over the past 1-2 years such as RealClimate (run by climate scientists) and Climate Audit (examines statistics etc from climate papers). It's very interesting. I don't think the science on a lot of these issues is nearly as settled as you/others make it out to be. Being completely honest, I don't know enough to judge on my own many of the statistical issues, but small changes in the data--small changes in algorithm CAN make a big difference in the predictions.

    3. Re:And this is where you would be wrong by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Sorry, how do you prove that any portion is anthropogenic when you don't have a control?

      As a scientist looking at the global warming debate, it always marvels me that no-one ever talks about the effect that water vapor has on global temperatures, given that water vapor has a heat capacity of 1.8 kJ/kgK, while CO2 has a heat capacity of only 0.8 kJ/kgK, and also given that the concentration of water vapor on average is composes 10X more of the atmosphere than CO2, meaning that the total impact of CO2 is about 20 fold less than water vapor, which is itself highly variable in concentration. Why doesn't anyone ever complain about the deleterious effects of water vapor in the atmosphere? Why aren't we moving to ban hydrogen vehicles that put out huge amounts of water vapor?

      Instead, we are undertaking an incredibly expensive adventure (I would call it tilting at windmills, as the effect that it would have is miniscule, as even the advocates for CO2 reduction admit) that would limit the economic growth of the world in such an appallingly uneven way that it could be considered genocide (that is, by not allowing emerging economies to industrialize, we are killing off vast numbers of their populations who need the goods supplied by an industrial society to live). What this discovery points out is that, well, maybe we don't really have a handle on this global warming thing, and that we shouldn't cut off the arms and legs of our civilization with an environmentally friendly electric chainsaw before we have a full grasp of what is going on here.

      One should realize that if one wants to decrease the amount of CO2 put out into the atmosphere, the best way is to kill off people in industrial societies. Barring that, the second best way is to create a situtaion where we go into a permanent economic depression. When everyone is poor, CO2 emissions go down. Of course, that will wind up having the same effect as numerous people die from heat in the summer and cold in the winter, or starvation. Any other solution that anyone can come up with will have the same effect in one way or another, with the only possible exception that I can think of being to move toward nuclear power, or wild advances in solar. Therefore, if you want to decrease humanities carbon emissions without murdering people, or subjecting them to poverty, you need only remove all regulations limiting the implementation of nuclear power around the world. Stop worrying about brown skinned people getting a hold of nukes. They will only use them for self defense once their standard of living starts rising thanks to cheap power.

    4. Re:And this is where you would be wrong by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Sorry, how do you prove that any portion is anthropogenic when you don't have a control?

      See Meehl 2004 for a primary source, but I've also recently discussed a very similar issue.

      As a scientist looking at the global warming debate ...

      Just curious: what degree in which field of science? I've described my research here, for quid pro quo.

      ... it always marvels me that no-one ever talks about the effect that water vapor has on global temperatures, given that water vapor has a heat capacity of 1.8 kJ/kgK, while CO2 has a heat capacity of only 0.8 kJ/kgK, and also given that the concentration of water vapor on average is composes 10X more of the atmosphere than CO2, meaning that the total impact of CO2 is about 20 fold less than water vapor, which is itself highly variable in concentration. Why doesn't anyone ever complain about the deleterious effects of water vapor in the atmosphere? Why aren't we moving to ban hydrogen vehicles that put out huge amounts of water vapor?

      I've talked about water vapor in depth, repeatedly. As I've explained, water vapor is a feedback, not a forcing. It's not dangerous because it doesn't remain in the atmosphere long and isn't well-mixed to the top of the atmosphere. That's why legitimate peer-reviewed journal articles don't "complain about the deleterious effects of water vapor in the atmosphere."

      What this discovery points out is that, well, maybe we don't really have a handle on this global warming thing, and that we shouldn't cut off the arms and legs of our civilization with an environmentally friendly electric chainsaw before we have a full grasp of what is going on here.

      First, this discovery isn't related to abrupt climate change in any significant manner. Second, the goal of the legislation in the Senate is to jumpstart a new industrial revolution. No chainsaw involved.

      Therefore, if you want to decrease humanities carbon emissions without murdering people, or subjecting them to poverty, you need only remove all regulations limiting the implementation of nuclear power around the world.

      Murderous hyperbole aside, this isn't far from the mark. I'd say we have to make small tamper-proof nuclear reactors like SSTAR available to developing nations, but keep the reprocessing and enrichment technologies tightly restricted. Actinide poisoning of the fuel (to make weaponization more difficult than simply starting a clandestine enrichment program) is also probably a good idea.

    5. Re:And this is where you would be wrong by sycodon · · Score: 1

      I'd say we have to make small tamper-proof nuclear reactors like SSTAR available to developing nations

      Good luck with that. Three quarters of the green movement just put you on their hit list.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    6. Re:And this is where you would be wrong by sglines · · Score: 1

      What gobbledygook - "anthropogenic" warming is a hypothesis that is difficult to test. The climatic optimum was a lot hotter than now and there were very few human campfires contributing CO2 to the atmosphere. Even the Medieval Warming period was a lot warmer than now. Greenland was called Greenland because it was. Lief Erickson had a dairy farm there and Eriksfiord was ice free in the summer.

      The truth is we are coming out of the little ice age and since 1980 there has been a dramatic acceleration in global warming data. No doubt about that but is this the end of the world? I doubt it. One burp from a good sized volcano could throw everyone calculations (not to mention real data) out the window. On the Geological scale of things we are actually due for another Ice Age. - SG

  32. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cool. Well, then it is not sticking. Will all the hot air will continue to warm up say mars or the moon?

    I mean I can try to imagine some of the views spewing out of EU, Asia, Africa, South/Central America sure are not heating anything up. Why,just read some of what the froggies say about their upcoming tax. They are so mild about How about what the Germans talking about their nuke power plants being shut down and then depending on Natural gas from Russia and Turkey/Iran, as well as Coal from local and polish mines. No hot air on any of those debates. China? Well, they have less human hot air. Of course, when they do talk about things (perhaps how their gov handled the response on the earthquakes, etc), they just shot in the head or put in prison. They just do what their government says to do.

    You know, come to think about, Maybe, just maybe, all nations that are democracy have lots of divergent views that are being spouted all over. What do you think coward?

  33. maybe by rphy · · Score: 1, Interesting

    ... its HAARP

    1. Re:maybe by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      This is precisely what I was into. HAARP is explicitly considered an ionospheric heater. It has an unparalleled ability, as far as we know, to charge and even drain the ionosphere. Further, HAARP-like facilities are installed around the world.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm surprised this didn't come up earlier, first thing that came to mind!

  34. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Hognoxious · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Those lower class people are the ones who believe the Earth was created 6000 years ago. Blindly trusting government has its risks, but it beats trusting some TV evangelist any time.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  35. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The hell are you going on about? that had nothing to do with hot air or pollution, it had to do with how people insist all opinions be either lumped into either democratic or republican bents, and then turning any debate into an us versus them argument rather than approaching each issue individually. You then have people going along with things in both parties, not because of reason but because you gotta root for your team..

    you know...like a magnetic dipole.... story being about ionized particles interacting with the magnetosphere causing an energy transfer not the sun spewing hot air....

  36. Forgot one by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Military buffs get the things to show that they too can get the quality you expect from the lowest bidder at a special inflated military price.

  37. Whoosh! by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Then again...
    This IS Slashdot, so it is quite understandable that many might first think of a Hummer instead of a hummer, despite all those references OP made to "wives" and "girlfriends".

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  38. Hotter when the sun went down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "This discovery is like finding it got hotter when the sun went down"
    Oh really? He's never been to New Mexico, then. I swear it has sometimes become hotter after the sun's gone down during the summers.

    IRREVERENT AND RATHER OFF-TOPIC ANONYMOUS COWARD POWERS ENGAGE!

  39. Re:anti-solar prejuices, prior neglect, re PhDs by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    PhDs were from those schools, not those schools' faculty.

    Prof was fired as an outside consultant and consulting company with a payroll of about a dozen with a cushy contract, about $3m/yr in today's scrip, by a Fortune 50 company, not as a professor. And it was an unpublicized matter that neither wanted out in public.

    The prof would have jeopardized future funding, grants and donations where he was actively seeking about $50m in today's scrip, and had been lead to expect a good chunk of it if he could deliver technically and politically. The contracting F50 company and manager would have been further embarrassed over various failure issues.

  40. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by amilo100 · · Score: 0

    Basically, the very ppl, neo-cons, that ran up the vast majority of the debt are attending it and trying to point the finger at obama.

    You seem to ignore that fact that the vast majority of the debt was run up under a Democrat controlled congress.

  41. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Fleeced · · Score: 2

    Interesting, first poster says:

    Lots of money flowed to W and the neo-cons and now they are gone ... So, when you throw money/whatever at a problem, it goes away.

    This was pretty funny, and not surprisingly, was modded so... then the followup posts this comment:

    If I throw money at the democrats will they go away?

    For some reason - that was modded troll? I found the second one as equally amusing, and fail to see how the second was any more trollish than the first - particularly when the first even referred to tea-party protesters as "tea-baggers"

  42. Shortwave propagation by dtmos · · Score: 4, Interesting

    To me, the most interesting point of this discovery is that it should improve our understanding of shortwave radio propagation.

    It has always frustrated me that the same space program that is producing the data needed to understand the physics needed to make accurate, day-to-day predictions of ionospheric propagation -- a hundred-year-old mystery -- is also the same space program that replaced commercial HF communication with satellites, greatly reducing the economic value of such predictions (and, therefore, the science funding to make them). So now that we have the ability, we no longer have the desire . . . unless one is an amateur radio operator, and it's harder to think of an entity lower on the economic value chain than that.

    The most difficult path for shortwave links is one that passes near the magnetic poles, like the path from Southeast Asia to the US East Coast that passes over the north magnetic pole. Energy from the solar wind couples into the Earth's magnetic field; in particular, charged particles are directed parallel to the field. This is great for propagation over most of the planet; however, near the poles the magnetic field becomes vertical and these particles are directed perpendicular to the ground, where they form a ring of radio wave attenuation and refraction in the upper atmosphere that closes this path for many days out of a given month. To open this path there has to be minimal energy coupling from the solar wind, and there is very little understanding of when this will occur. Even the best propagation prediction software (e.g., VOACAP and Proplab Pro) is based on statistics, giving one the probability of a given path being open.

    This discovery should add to our understanding of how and when these paths will open. Until then, we have to survive on "Space Weather" web sites like these, and turn on a radio to see for ourselves what the day brings.

    (Those interested in an accessible introduction to HF propagation can check out K9LA's propagation site.)

    1. Re:Shortwave propagation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BVulgaris@gmail.com

      what you say is very true infact experiments by Kristian Birkeland and Nikola Tesla showed that this action exists, and that the earth's electric equipotentials can be driven to facilitate this transfer of energy. There is allot of hype about the whole thing but i liken it to the followers of Noam chomsky. If anyone listened to what he said rather that what the reporters said he said, in other words using a secondary source rather than a tertiary or quaternary source, there would be no contravercy in his comments and the world would better understand the facts that are brought forward.

      Infact the charge transfer is probably much like the ion convection that is found at the sun's heliopause. The difference of electric potential in reference to the sun, increases with the radius from the sun.

      The difference of electric potential with reference to earth ground increases with the radius from the earth within it's own "heliopause".

      The fact is explained by dmos in the previous message, there is no economic insentive or rather, investors have no understanding of what is promised by development in this area.

      the fact that this interaction is taking place tells us that ions are shifting huge currents through the earth and that potential energy can be tapped. It has been used in early Telegraph messaging, elements have been utilized in radio operation. and it is currently used in over the horizon radar and missile defense systems.

      The more contravercial system put forward by Nikola Tesla stated an idea of creating an ion channel to connect the ground to the sky to interact with the upper strata through either the same device or through a different device that utilized the ion channel created by the first.

      Again, not economically viable or preferable in this age of intellectual ignorance of the investor, and government through the publics refusal to demand representation.

  43. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    really? The pubs had control of congress from 94-2000, while the dems had control of the presendcy; The pubs had TOTAL control of dc from 2000-2006. pubs had WH from 2006-2008, while neither party control congress during that time (dems controlled house, but the pubs had a slight edge on the senate).

    So, where did it get us?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_by_U.S._presidential_terms It MASSIVELY shot up when pubs had total control. It does not appear to matter which congress has it, but which president has it. For example, reagan and W never saw a deficit that they did not love. OTH, CLINTON (a dem) fought against the neo-con deficit and turned it around. So do the dem controlled congress of the 60's/70's, who paid off most of WWII debt.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  44. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 5, Informative

    Have you missed the fact that people all across the nation are angry with both republicans and democrats? More than one republican who assumed that he could just get in front of this movement has been booed off the stage.

    Politicians are the problem. The republican/democrat distinction is just a distraction. Both sides want to take away your freedoms and your money - they just pay lip service to different ideals when they do it.

  45. slashdot is full of politicos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a tech guy would be asking how big is this effect and other,
    like, technical questions. the politics here are boorish.

  46. that damn sun by m0s3m8n · · Score: 1

    That damn unshielded reactor just keeps causing us problems - damn it, damn it to hell. But seriously, this kind of reminds me of the Tacoma Narrows bridge failure. Second order forces thought to be inconsequential end up causing a dramatic change in behavior. Also, the vitriol of many comments is amazing. Probably sounds just like the Church when discussing a certain Italian.

    --
    Conservative, mod down for violating /. political norms.
  47. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't understand the scorn for the lower middle class / poor / etc who seem to be at these kind of rallies.

    I'll be the first to admit that there are a lot of things I don't understand... but the pure vitriol and loathing of the populist townhall protestors and tax protestors is just ... weird! ... to me.

    A lot of the scorn from the left for the Tea Parties and the Town Hall protesters is simply due to the fact that they're opposing President Obama and questioning health care reform.

    Many, many of the attendees are the same people who were denounced as bitterly clinging to their guns and religion in the run up to the election. They've also been portrayed as racists for not supporting Obama, never mind that most of them probably vote Republican and would not have supported him in the first place seeing as he was the Democrat's candidate.

    They may have legitimate questions about the health care reform but some of them are being ham-handed in expressing that, others are being flat out rude and uncivil.

    As far as the Tea Parties grow a lot of the folks going there have real complaints. But what needs to be paid attention to is who is organizing these events. In lots of cases you'll find the organizers are Ron Paul supporters. You'll also find far less savory folks involving themselves with these events like the John Birch Society, and even some racist groups, which while not necessarily openly racist do hold to racial supremacist beliefs.

  48. What this thread needs... by petrus4 · · Score: 1

    ...is a flame war centred around the Second Law of Thermodynamics.

    Can one of our atheist friends here on Slashdot outline to us, where this discovery stands in relation to the Second Law? Have we finally arrived at the moment we've all been breathlessly waiting for; the Second Law's violation?

    I'm seriously hoping so; I've waited for years now for the ability to have a magnetic motor next to the power supply in my desktop, and run it without plugging it into the wall. That would seriously be awesome. ;)

  49. Yeah, but... by chrysalis · · Score: 1

    Does it run Linux?

    --
    {{.sig}}
    1. Re:Yeah, but... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      No. It runs windows. The solution to global warming is to format and load linux on the box. Then it just sit in the closet and gather dust as it runs happily along.

      Anyone who admins *nix and windows equipment knows what I mean. The windows boxen stay clean and sparkly. By the time you finally have to physically interact with the *nix machine you'll be choking on the dust.

  50. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Your unspoken assumption (that the poor and lower class are somehow politically "pure") and revolution must come from the bottom up is ridiculous outmoded 20th century fringe left thinking.

    Every western liberal movement in history has been driven by the upper and upper middle classes. Do you people actually think Thomas Paine and Thomas Jefferson were just "middle class" regular Joes? From the Lords in the middle ages who conspired against their king to give us the Magna Carta to the idle over educated wealthy children of Merchants in the 1700-1800s who didn't like the establishment and so decided to use their wealth and connections to agitate and stage liberal revolutions over throwing their respective kings.

    Every great western movement against governments has been driven by the well to do who have the time, means and connections to sit around and ponder over throwing the king in the first place.

    We have ample opportunity to see what happens when the poor and lower class overthrow their governments and take control by the way. Every third world country and half of Eastern Europe and South America through the 19th and 20th century answered that question.

    This uniquely western middle class self hatred must stop.

  51. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by cyphercell · · Score: 1

    Exactly. Appealing to populist demand is fucking insanely stupid. Shit, why not put Paris Hilton in the VP office at least we know there will be something good to watch, duh doy dee duh doy dee duh.

    --
    Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
  52. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Vast majority of debt? Obama has/will have spent more than George W. Bush spent in 2 terms in 1 term. Lest you not forget that Obama actually voted FOR the TARP which he is now blaming on Bush. Neo-cons might have started the trend, but your guys isn't doing a damn thing to stop it. Quit complaining.

  53. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by twostix · · Score: 1

    At one time scientific consensus was that washing your hands before operating was unnecessary and the man who suggested otherwise was turned into a pariah.

    And that "Miasma" was the cause of tuberculosis despite hard evidence to the contrary.

    Consensus means absolutely nothing if you are being rational about the matter.

  54. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    really? The pubs had control of congress from 94-2000, while the dems had control of the presendcy; The pubs had TOTAL control of dc from 2000-2006. pubs had WH from 2006-2008, while neither party control congress during that time (dems controlled house, but the pubs had a slight edge on the senate).

    So, where did it get us?

    Um... a budget surplus?

    First, stop considering who is in the WH. They only make suggestions to the congress. Congress is in control of spending. Sure, the Prez can veto a budget, but then the government shuts down and the Prez gets the blame because ignorant people don't understand that congress controls the government.

    OTH, CLINTON (a dem) fought against the neo-con deficit and turned it around.

    Bullshit. Read the above statement. CONGRESS CONTROLS THE BUDGET! Clinton tried to veto it and Newt shut the government down. Clinton had to give in and not get all the liberal, hippie, tree hugging BS he wanted.

    The pubs had TOTAL control of dc from 2000-2006. pubs had WH from 2006-2008, while neither party control congress during that time (dems controlled house, but the pubs had a slight edge on the senate).

    The Republicans barely had control... it was so close in fact that when a single Republican changed party, it changed control. (Jeffords sound familiar)! Matter of fact, when Jeffords jumped to become and an independent, it gave control of the Senate back to the Democrats. Republicans gained control of the Senate in 2003 but lost the control again in 2005. So that's just TWO years that Repubicans held the Senate. Those two years by the way broke records in regards to government tax receipts because the economy was so good. Although I agree that spending was out of control... That happens when the control is so close. You can't get anything passed without paying everyone off.

  55. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by jbengt · · Score: 1

    At one time scientific consensus was that washing your hands before operating was unnecessary . . .

    To be fair, that consensus was held before science was applied to the proposition of washing your hands before surgery.

  56. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by cyphercell · · Score: 1

    By your rationale, I would assume you do not know how to read or write, as once upon a time in the not-too-distant past, you couldn't speak, frequently shit your pants, and crawled around all day eating debris off the floor.

    --
    Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
  57. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by shaitand · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    "It does not appear to matter which congress has it, but which president has it."

    uh huh

    "the dem controlled congress of the 60's/70's, who paid off most of WWII debt"

    Make up yer damn mind already.

    You Parisians would be amusing if you weren't so sad. The two party system is one of the greatest evils ever pushed upon mankind.

  58. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by twostix · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    So the democrats have total control now, so why am I constantly hearing shrill screaming from "the left" about the evil republicans stopping the magical quarter billion person national health care and *never* hearing about the same type of "evil" democrats who are the *real people stopping it*.

    If the democrats wanted it they could just vote for it. How does the average "left" wing supporters head not implode from the cognitive dissonance on display at the moment?

    Anyway isn't attributing deficits to the President disengenous given the fact that it's the congress that manages the money...

  59. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by twostix · · Score: 1

    WindBourne I've been on this site for many years and you are most definately *not* a Libertarian, you are a Social Democrat through and through.

    Stop talking out of your bum it cheapens us all.

  60. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by corbettw · · Score: 1
    I wish I could find the source data, but I remember reading during the 2000 election that, historically, the budget follows this pattern:

    Republican President & Republican Congress: deficits soar
    Republican President & Democratic Congress: deficits increase, but not as much
    Democratic President and Democratic Congress: again, deficits increase but not as much as the first pairing, but taxes increase even more
    Democratic President and Republican Congress: we get surplusses


    The last nine years seem to reinforce the pattern. It seems that when the government is divided between the two parties, and for some reason a Democrat is in the Oval Office, we're better off economically. Seems like a good reason to give Congress back to the Republicans in '10 and give them and Obama a chance to work things out through '16.

    --
    God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  61. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    Can you support your premise that all scientists act in concert?

    There's some bias in this direction when funding is centralized. I'm sure somebody can provide a concrete example, but as heresay, I've been told that a scientist simply can't get funded for certain areas of investigation.

    And not just "way out whacky" stuff, but things that go against the grain. Chugging-vials-of-h.pylori kinds of experiments, for instance. Sometimes the consensus is wrong, yet it's expensive to find that out.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  62. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by couchslug · · Score: 1

    The LMC/"poor" are politically illiterate and are too busy surviving to attend rallies.

    --
    "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  63. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, just to be trite:

    When you have R/R, then they'll gleefully spend money on their political cronies in big business.

    When you have R/D, the branches are opposed, so the Presidency puts some brakes on Congressional spending.

    When you have D/D, the branches are working together to spend, but also to bring in the money for more spending.

    When you have D/R, the branches are opposed, so the Republicans end up remembering their "fiscal responsibility" tagline just to piss off the Democrats.

  64. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by sumdumass · · Score: 1

    It's like a woman, the more you try to understand, the more crazy and disappointed you will be in the end.

    You have people here who think down modding means "I don't agree with your post" and that agreement is never subject to reality.

  65. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

    I'm thinking the problem is, there are no viable 3rd Party alternatives. All we see are the different sides of the same coin, and no matter what we choose, we have to compromise something and 'accept the lesser evil'. The problem is, the lesser evil is still evil no matter how you slice it. And of course, no current Party fits all my wants.

    --
    Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
  66. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Vancorps · · Score: 1

    You can't despise both sides of the isle, that's against the rules!

  67. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by sumdumass · · Score: 1

    Your observation is the result of democrats attempting to play the underdog card. A few posts up someone even attempts to misconstrue the number of seats held by the republicans from 2000 to 2006 without even bothering to check just because this point was hit so hard with him.

    The problem is, the people are against most of the health care reforms. I know at least 5 people who claimed to of been life long democrats until the dems started calling them republicans for being against the current health care bills in congress. They are claiming they will vote party line republican from now on because of it. There are a lot of problems in the legislation on the hill, we have seen how the sloppy rushing through congress has failed in the past and Nancy Pelosi's no debate vote without enough time to even read let alone understand the bill and amendments added to the house bill before forcing a party line vote has infuriated plenty of people who would have been supportive if we just took our time and did it right. With representatives mocking people wanting to be thorough and saying you would need two days and two lawyers just to understand the bills, it's painfully clear that they do not care what is happening as long as they can place their name to it.

    A lot of people who used to blame republicans for everything are waking up and realizing it's not better under democrats. This first became obvious with the TARP legislation in which the loudest speaker against companies using bailout money to pay bonuses turned out to be the same one who put the wording into the law that makes it legal. When the dems can't even remember what they did, or attempt to ignore it instead of fixing it, or are the reasons the mess exists in the first place (I'm looking at you Ted Kennedy), eventually people will look at it and wake up.

  68. Not the clearest write-up by elyons · · Score: 1

    I'm the poster of the article because this is from my dad's lab at UCLA. While I must profess great ignorance about much of what he does and this piece of research in particular, he has been telling me about this work for a while. Basically, he is a weather scientist, but instead of studying weather patterns that directly affect earth's surface (e.g. rain storms and tornadoes), he studies the weather in earth's upper atmosphere, and specifically in the magnetosphere where earth's atmosphere interacts with the solar wind. His primary focus is to understand the dynamics and triggers of weather storms there, called magnetospheric substorms -- which, besides from causing some havoc with satellites and communications, also cause the aurora, or northern lights. While this has nothing to do with global warming, it is quite interesting as his group discovered that there is a much larger influx of energy into the magnetosphere than was previously thought. For all those here with space/physics/weather/atmosphere interests, I thought it would be of interest. As previously noted, this is solid basic research that furthers our understanding of how our planet works at the interface with space.

  69. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

    Yes, this! ^ Parent should NOT have been modded down - get a grip people, stop being morons with your mod points.

    People want to tax everyone, and pour that tax money into mostly useless "carbon credit" schemes. If and when those carbon credits include the reforestation of the continents, I'll sit up and take notice. Almost every other scheme that I've seen is just harebrained chicanery, designed to move money from MY wallet to some politician's best buddy's wallet.

    This is why I can't accept much of the effort being shown to combat this global warming.

    The efforts I DO support include, reducing emissions, finding cleaner energy sources, general conservation (reducing waste), stricter laws on hazardous waste - common sense things.

    Meanwhile, I despise the alarmists for their efforts to rob people. Carbon credits my ass.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  70. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

    I'm on the fence between something like GOOOH or just switching to random lotteries instead of elections.

  71. GRAND PRIZE WINNER! by Sensible+Clod · · Score: 1

    Congratulations, you won the internet!

    I'm constantly, cynically impressed by how few people even mention that fact. It's almost as if the entire environmentalist community doesn't want anyone to know that the natural world has global-scale mechanisms in place to balance things out. What are they afraid of?

    --

    The difference between spam and poop is that you don't have to dig through septic tanks looking for real food. -- Me
    1. Re:GRAND PRIZE WINNER! by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "What are they afraid of?"

      I can't speak for the environmentalists but I'm afraid that something like this will turn out to be the real reason for global warming. If its something we are doing we can fix it, if its something like this we are pretty much fsck'd.

      Even with the strong potential for a disaster that threatens human life on earth what do we do? Cut the budget on manned space exploration. People are so fucked up sometimes, really.

    2. Re:GRAND PRIZE WINNER! by Sensible+Clod · · Score: 1

      Actually, you're right. I should probably have said, "global warming cause leaders" or somesuch.

      But yeah, the whole place is so screwed up, and the best thing they can think of to reduce is carbon-stinkin'-dioxide? How about oil spills, or heavy metals, or PVC byproducts, or traffic collisions, or third-world diseases for which we get vaccines in more fortunate countries, or famine, you know, something that's killing thousands of people?

      Just tells me that people in this system (worldwide) just don't have the right priorities, and will not solve the messes they made--not even the ones they complain about.

      --

      The difference between spam and poop is that you don't have to dig through septic tanks looking for real food. -- Me
  72. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Boronx · · Score: 1

    There's a lot of money available for destroying the Global Warming consensus regardless.

  73. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Boronx · · Score: 1

    If even a handful of Republicans were serious about health care reform, the handful of asshole Democrats (and ex-Democrats) who are holding things up wouldn't matter.

    But the Republicans have made the mostly correct political calculation that if there is no bill, or if it's a bad bill, it's all over for the Democrats. They also know voting for a good deal won't help them politically. Republican party discipline is so good that no health care bill will get a single Republican vote no matter what.

    That sets up a game of chicken between your average Democrat who wants to improve healthcare and get re-elected, and your asshole Democrat who doesn't give a shit about healthcare, he just doesn't want to face TV ads saying "Big Government Liberal" next year.

  74. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't forget France.

  75. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by bigngamer92 · · Score: 1

    "Anyway isn't attributing deficits to the President disengenous given the fact that it's the congress that manages the money..."

    As if anyone in Congress gets blamed for anything. My congressmen brings home the bacon! Sure he's been in office over 20 years, and gets over 60% of the popular vote thanks to all those wonderful corporate sponsored commercials; but I know he's still looking out for my best interests.

  76. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Um, no. I had been voting Libertarian for MANY ELECTIONS (including Rob Paul). I have simply opposed you neo-cons. There are FAR too many neo-cons that try to claim that they are Libertarian and then try to control the party. Sadly, these days, it is working. That thought that we had Barr, a true fucking neo-con, as a candidate made my skin crawl. Now, do I support all elements? Nope. But then again, neither do you, or other wanna-be's.

    So, in your word, go back to your party. You bring illogical and irrational thoughts to my party.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  77. What they found? by Saija · · Score: 1

    a pokemon maybe?

    --
    Slashdot ya no es que lo era! ;)
  78. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realize that it is the President which creates the budget, then submits it to Congress for consideration? I might suggest taking Civics 101 before spewing out another post of informed bullshit.

  79. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by toddestan · · Score: 1

    The next couple of elections could be interesting. People voted for the Democrats because they were tired of the Republicans. Now they are pissed off at the Democrats, so they won't make that mistake again. Not enough time has passed for them to forget why they are pissed at the Republicans, so who are they going to vote for? If a third party plays its cards right, they could find themselves as a major contender. Of course, since the current system favors two parties, it would be at the expense of one of the two major parties - almost certainly the Republicans as they are becoming more and more irrelevant every day. Maybe it's time to bring back the Whigs?

  80. Those links are telling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only one of those links seemed like a credible source ...

    That denialists uncritically embrace any pseudo-science which bears out their ideological prejudices is perhaps unsurprising. What is astounding, is that they then insist we call them 'sceptics.'

  81. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by sycodon · · Score: 1

    "The idea that this represents the common man would be like having the king of england attend the boston tea party."

    They represent the people who are paying the bills. The fact that you don't believe they are the "common man" is telling. The finger should be pointed at everyone who spent and wants to spend massively and take yet more money from the producers.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  82. Re:inb4 "that explains global warming" posters by sycodon · · Score: 1

    In case you missed it, the 2008 Presidential election was considered to be a populist victory.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  83. link by Phist · · Score: 1

    http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html ...shows how U.S. department of energy misleads the cause.
     
     

    http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=101102724 ...shows how the null hypothesis (read: human-made CO2 concentration is significant enough to change global climite) was protected via sabotage.
     
     

    Common sense might tell you that seafloor spreading and the geothermal activity account for more of an increase in ocean and ground temperatures than air temperature can possible account for. Can't link you to any common sense so you'll have to discover that on your own.

    1. Re:link by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Your last paragraph says it all. The ocean may not get much heat transfer directly from the air, but sunlight strikes the sea too, you know.

      Unlike you I trust the scientific institutions enough to get the orders of magnitude right, at the very least.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.