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Nationwide Shortage In Supply of Swine Flu Vaccine

Hugh Pickens writes "The NY Times reports that as the number of swine flu cases grows to levels unprecedented for this time of year, health officials predict a shortfall in the supply of swine flu vaccine. Forty-three children have died from swine flu since August 30 — about the same number that usually die in an entire flu season.' These are very sobering statistics,' says Dr. Anne Schuchat, the director of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, 'and unfortunately they are likely to increase.' Projections of the supply of swine flu vaccine have widely varied. During the summer, health officials said 120 million doses would be ready in October but later dropped the estimate to 40 million doses. Now officials expect only 28 million to 30 million doses, adding that the exact number is impossible to predict and could change daily as vaccine manufacturers report that production was behind schedule. 'Vaccine production for influenza is pretty complex,' says Schuchat explaining the delay, 'and the complex process this year is taking a bit longer than we had hoped.' Schuchat warned parents with sick children to be alert for signs that medical attention is required including not eating well, difficulties breathing, and turning blue or gray. A particularly important sign is when children start to get better, then have a relapse, usually a sign that pneumonia is developing, and immediate treatment should be sought."

6 of 579 comments (clear)

  1. Re:False Statements by Geraden · · Score: 5, Informative

    I found that number to be way low, as well, given the number of deaths attributed to seasonal flu on a yearly basis. However:

    From the CDC Website: ( http://www.cdc.gov/FLU/about/qa/0607season.htm#children )

    During the 2003-04 Season, 153 flu-associated deaths in children were reported to CDC.
    During the 2004-05 Season, 47 deaths in children were reported to CDC.
    During the 2005-06 Season, 46 deaths in children were reported to CDC.
    As of August 6, 2007, 68 deaths in children occurring during the 2006-07 season have been reported to CDC.

  2. Re:Do not want by logjon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...we need to let our immune system do what it does best, figure out problems for itself. One would think that constant vaccine's, medications, antibiotics, etc just make the immune system lazy.

    Yeah, humanity got through Bubonic Plague just fine without a vaccine. And that Polio vaccine some wise guy came up with? Useless. Also, you seem to lack an understanding how vaccines work, as they stimulate the immune system into producing specific antibodies, which is essentially the opposite of making it lazy.

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    The stories and info posted here are artistic works of fiction and falsehood.
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  3. Re:Same News Cycle Every Year by techess · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Instead of doing a flu shot a few years back I got a pneumonia vaccine. Usually it is the pneumonia that kills you when you get the flu. It doesn't protect you against all forms of pneumonia, but as an added side affect if I get hospitalized for some other reason my chance of getting a secondary pneumonia infection is reduced.

    The other bonus is you get one or two shots in your lifetime instead of having to get a shot every year. I guess I'm a bit more trusting of a vaccine that doesn't seem to revolve around a yearly profit cycle.

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    Don't anthropomorphize computers. They *hate* that.
  4. science, not superstition by SuperBanana · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well I do find it interesting that all over the news there are many health care workers who don't care to get the shot.

    You may find it interesting that there are pharmacists, doctors, and nurses who feel it is their right to decide whether a patient even has the option of a morning-after pill or abortion. Now how do you feel about whether someone who chose to work in the medical field is permitted to inject their own dogma into your medical treatment?

    Medical "professionals" and workers are expected to follow medical science, not superstition or personal beliefs and morals- and look out for the interests of their patient, not themselves or their own dogma. They knew that going in the door. Among other things, the first thing you are expected to do as an employee of a hospital is get all your vaccinations up to date.

  5. Re:Do not want by geekoid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Your Aunt is wrong and she should learn to read studies, understand statistics, and realize she works in a place sick people tend to go to. i.e. sample bias.

    "we need to let our immune system do what it does best, figure out problems for itself."

    That is exactly what a vaccine does, just without all the nasty sickness and death.

    ". One would think that constant vaccine's, medications, antibiotics, etc just make the immune system lazy."
    One would be wrong. one could read studies. But no, one spouts off nonsense.

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  6. Risk Categories by the+Dragonweaver · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Our health provider is "limiting" the vaccine to certain risk groups. These include pregnant ladies, children under a certain age, people with asthma or other chronic airway issues, and so forth. In other words, the specific groups they want to get vaccinated for flu every year.

    A few comments about this virus and why vaccination is important:

    H1N1 is a combination not seen for at least thirty+ years. Therefore, much of the population has never been exposed to the "surface codes" H1 or N1, which means they don't have partial immunity. This worries medical professionals, since that increases the virulence and the spread if this flu mutates into a deadlier form. (Generally, the flu shifts a few points. This is a major antigen shift.)

    Vaccines do not have a 100% success rate. Some people's immune systems don't respond, so while they've been vaccinated, they don't have immunity and are still at risk. However, if the percentage of immunes is high enough, the particular disease never has a chance to get to those who are vulnerable. This is why anti-vaccination efforts are anti-social: your un-vaccinated kid can give my infant or elderly grandmother whooping cough or measles. (There have been a number of immune-compromised people in my family, and my parents watched family members and friends die from diseases that are now vaccine-preventable.)

    Vaccines in general cover a larger number of diseases BUT have fewer "triggers" in them. For example, the original vaccine, smallpox, basically had to give you the whole disease to get your immune system going. Now we can separate out a few key proteins or antigens that are specific to the disease, rather than the hundreds that comprise it.

    The upshot is, if you are in a risk category, get vaccinated. If you're not, practice good hygiene and wash your hands a lot, eat well, and get plenty of rest. And de-stress! Stressed people get sick easier.

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    Actually I am a lab rat in an elaborate plot to take over the world.