The Science Credibility Bubble
eldavojohn writes "The real fallout of climategate may have nothing to do with the credibility of climate change. Daniel Henninger thinks it's a bigger problem for the scientific community as a whole and he calls out the real problem as seen through the eyes of a lay person in an opinion piece for the WSJ. Henninger muses, 'I don't think most scientists appreciate what has hit them,' and carries on in that vein, saying, 'This has harsh implications for the credibility of science generally. Hard science, alongside medicine, was one of the few things left accorded automatic stature and respect by most untrained lay persons. But the average person reading accounts of the East Anglia emails will conclude that hard science has become just another faction, as politicized and "messy" as, say, gender studies.' While nothing interesting was found by most scientific journals, he explains that the attacks against scientists in these leaked e-mails for proposing opposite views will recall the reader to the persecution of Galileo. In doing so, it will make the lay person unsure of the credibility of all sciences without fully seeing proof of it, but assuming that infighting exists in them all. Is this a serious risk? Will people even begin to doubt the most rigorous sciences like Mathematics and Physics?"
Einstein questioned "valid" laws of science and look what it got him.
L'esperienza de questa dolce vita (The experience of this sweet life) - Dante Alighieri, The Divine Comedy
It's not just "stolen e-mails" (ooooh, felony!! Quick! Lock up the miscreants!! There's never an Inquisitor around when you need one...); these huckleberries actually cooked the code. The Warmers are fanatics, more narrow-minded than Creationists, more dangerous and better connected politically than the Scientologists, but fundamentally no different. It's the indulgence-granting, end-is-nighing, repent-or-burn Medieval Catholic Church all over again, except this time without the pleasant chanting and neat robes. And just like that Dark Age sect, the top-placed five percent know that the fix is in while the bottom 95 percent are motivated by faith, fear, and social vengeance.
What majority? The vast "majority of scientists" that is always quoted are the SOCIAL scientists.
Most couldn't calculate a linear regression to save their lives.
The so-called hard science folks know (as most hard science folks know) that water vapor is the primary determinant of IR absorption reflection and then methane and a distant distant place (1-2% if that) comes from CO2.
CO2 (all you goose-stomping morons out there who want to "limit" my emission -- you and what army?) is PLANT FOOD. Methane is naturally produced all over the planet and the SEA FLOOR. Water vapor -- good luck with that on a planet that is mostly covered with water! NONE of these are bad and have been in our environment since the beginning of life on Earth.
Oh, and it's legion the number of hard scientists that scream from the rooftops that this isn't an issue. Do the google searches.
Do you understand the difference between "weather" and "climate"?
Here's a good example of why a climate scientist might not want to engage everyone with a gripe. If you don't even have a basic vocabulary, how can you expect a scientist to answer your questions?
As far as I can tell, the climate scientists aren't saying "STFU" so much as saying "come back when you are prepared to understand simple concepts.
If the "skeptics" were acting in good faith instead of just trying to "even the score" there might be a little more patience.
I really hope the new threshold for science doesn't become "no Science is allowed unless you can explain it all to Glenn Beck's satisfaction".
You are welcome on my lawn.