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Stock Market Sell-Off Might Stem From Trader's Fat Finger

s122604 points out a CNBC story according to which "the catalyst for today's extraordinary price swing (at one point the Dow lost almost 9 percent in less than an hour) may have been because a trader entered a 'B' for billions instead of an 'M' for millions on a trade of Procter and Gamble: 'According to multiple sources, a trader entered a "b" for billion instead of an "m" for million in a trade possibly involving Procter & Gamble, a component in the Dow. (CNBC's Jim Cramer noted suspicious price movement in P&G stock on air during the height of the market selloff).' Unbelievable there are no safeguards to protect against this."

20 of 643 comments (clear)

  1. SELL! by Skyshadow · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I suspect that I speak for everyone with their retirement money and/or savings invested in the markets when I say: HO-LY SHIT.

    Frankly, I was more comfortable with the concept that the DOW could drop 1000 points in one afternoon due to some obscure overseas debt concerns than I am the idea that the DOW can drop 1000 points in one afternoon because of a fucking typo. I realize that markets and the economy in general are collective illusions to begin with and all that, but do we really need to be reminded quite so forcefully?

    Might be time to invest my money in something a little more solid, like canned food and ammunition.

    --
    Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
    1. Re:SELL! by sribe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Some people see disaster, some see a good buying opportunity ;-)

    2. Re:SELL! by Skyshadow · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, why should anyone be concerned that their ability to afford food and heat in their declining years is dependent on the long-term stability of a system that can be radically damaged by a single mistyped letter?

      I guess we're all just lucky this guy hit "b" and not "z".

      --
      Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
    3. Re:SELL! by NevarMore · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not radically damaged. It slumped for a day.

      I own P&G stock, bought it and its grown in value over the last 15 years. Thats through the dot-bomb, through at least one major recesssion, etc. etc. Today's hit might affect my dividends next quarter, but it'll hardly affect my ability to use that stock when I retire in 40 years.

    4. Re:SELL! by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If you put anything under the mattress, it shouldn't be US dollars or any other fiat currency. Gold has never gone to zero.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    5. Re:SELL! by MWoody · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You are presented with evidence of a possible global catastrophe in a few hours. You can do one of two things:

      1) Quit what you're doing, go eat a pizza or something for your last hours alive. Maybe spend it with your loved ones.
      2) Take advantage of the panic to make a profit.

      Now, there are two possibilities here, resulting in four outcomes: a) the world ends, b) the world doesn't end.

      1a) You're dead. Who cares?
      2a) You're dead. Who cares?
      1b) You had some pizza, kissed your kids, but hope they don't want to go to college 'cause you're broke.
      2b) I'M RICH, BITCH!

      So option 1 has outcome of x% dead, y% poor. Option 2 has outcome of x% dead, y% rich. Clearly, option 2 is the better solution.

      (Yes, I know many will opt for option 1 anyway, particularly the "spend time with family" part. These people don't work on Wall Street.)

    6. Re:SELL! by greenreaper · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And since it was after 2PM, it would have had to have dropped 20% (and closed the market, preventing the subsequent recovery).

    7. Re:SELL! by iluvcapra · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I sort of wish I'd bought gold when Jon Stewart told us to, on December 13th, 2000, when it was something a little south of $300 an ounce. Gold is great thing to hold onto if you predict calamity, like for example, the US starting an aggressive war in the middle east, or for example, a black man becoming president (snark on the second one).

      However, if a calamity doesn't happen, you'll lose a ton of money on the opportunity cost versus putting the money in the stock market, or a house or real estate, or bonds... Gold'll never go to zero, but there are times (like maybe this one?) where it's stupedously over-expensive, with demand being driven by paranoid old people watching commercials on Glenn Beck, and your returns might be awful. The deltas of the spot price of gold at this point are dominated by speculation buying and selling, the price change since 2001 has far outstripped price inflation of any currency, and an ounce of gold buys a larger basket of goods than at any other time since at least WW 2, if not before-- the gold market right now has all the earmarks of a bubble, frankly.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    8. Re:SELL! by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 4, Insightful

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trading_curb

      The first circuit breaker gets tripped at -10%. Today's fall wasn't quite -10%

      What is most interesting about this, is that if you read Seth A. Klarman's book Margin of Safety, he mentions how the stock market is irrational. And even more irrational in that there are systems to prevent great loss - but strangely no systems to prevent obscene gains...

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    9. Re:SELL! by iaminthetrunk · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I work in finance, the hypothesis of the article is ludicrous. No one enters m or b in any system among dozens that I have ever seen. No one even enters all the 000s, as the layperson typically initially assumes. You enter 100 for a 100 million order. Virtually all the control reports for middle and back offices also output that way. And lets not even talk about most products/systems trading screens generally having dual static and the four-eyes principle and deal review of trades from done to verified states by the middle office (traders are front office) and so forth. The whole premise of the billion vs million typo is a pretty dubious posit from unfamiliarity. It doesn't defy the rules of physics, but just...unlikely...

      The clearest fix, imho, is that most products / banks / trading house have modules for traders limits. Which do what you'd think - a trader simply cannot trade a billion, it auto-rejects. Not every system has this setup, primarily as the product vendor's often charge semi-ludicrous ad-hoc fees for every last module to their product, including the trading limits modules, but really, it's becoming more and more pervasively standard.

      If you want to be concerned generally? Be concerned or activist about things like hedge funds over-leveraging under the current lack of regulation and counterparty/exposure visibility, where a political battle is long overdue to unfold to more transparently regulate hedge funds (via clearinghouses and regulatory disclosures, for instance). Or be worried that no one understands very well how to predict where the trillion dollar range massive amounts of overall global liquidity flow and behave under irrationality, overwhelming the tools at central bank's disposal in a way not seen in prior decades.

      If you want to be concerned personally? Diversify your stock holdings outside the US market. Honestly, it's silly to hold your own country's stock too heavily. Probably illustrated best by people in small European countries having a portfolio made up of 80-90 percent of businesses based in their tiny country. Versus considering the world economy, and making your country perhaps weighted, but more accurately reflect it's percentage slice of the global economy.

      This article is just silly headlines pandering. Though it beats the Slashdot article today on how many keys to carry in your pocket. Jesus. Non-judgment day must be growing near.

      --
      "The hottest places in Hell are reserved for those who, in times of moral crisis, preserved their neutrality." -Dante
  2. Actually by copponex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When you can make money hand over fist doing nothing, a very bad thing has happened: work has ceased to become a rewarded function. Instead, it's who you can screw over with dodgy investment strategies and exotic financial instruments that are not only worthless, but a liability. It's time that we end the casino markets and return to investing in things that are actually part of the economy that creates jobs - manufacturing, infrastructure, and technology.

    Fund managers who literally do nothing but piss away money are making $1,000 an hour, and the people who educate our children are making less than $20 an hour. Something is seriously wrong with this picture.

    1. Re:Actually by grolaw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That nails it. The synthetic instruments in trade now exceed the GNP of the entire planet. Smoke and mirrors - vast investments in products that have no intrinsic value - we are playing dice with the planet's economy.

    2. Re:Actually by roman_mir · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Except that how do you suggest getting rid of it without getting rid of the entire Economy as it stands right now on the printing press of the Governments, who are in so much debt because they all need to be reelected and thus all of their efforts are about taking on more and more debt to continue the illusion of the good times.

      Somebody will have to pay the debt. Question is: will anybody really pay it?

      Greece has no ability to print Euro (not legal ability anyway, I am sure they can print it somehow somewhere in a basement), Greeks are used to their Government handing out a pretty sweet life there. The party will last as long as someone finances it.

      US has all the ability to print the USD in the world, US is in worse shape than Greece is in terms of the total debt amount.

      Greece decided to go the unpopular road and make good on the debt and this pissed off the Greeks something awful, they don't want to pay! Their Government decided to pay 100cents on the borrowed dollar + interest. Now, the people who were lending money to Greece did the same thing that the people who lent money for the sub-par mortgages. They lent the money to Greece and probably also repackaged the debt into some SIVs and sold it off.

      This debt, all the debt of all the debtor nations, that's the stuff that fuels the markets. It's free money that is being printed, it's the crazy low interest rates that allow banks to borrow at almost nothing.

      When you have all that insane cash around, it's easy to see how it becomes target of various schemes, like betting against certain SIVs, short bets against the debt that is known not to be payable.

      However. Greece decided to bite the bullet and pay. This means cutting spending and increasing taxes.

      Will US do that when it is cornered into the same question? No. Of-course it will not. Will ANY politician in US say to the 'voters': You have to bite the bullet. There is no money for Medicare. There is no money for Social Security checks. There is no money for any Government run program. However here is a nice new tax on anything that moves, all of that so we can make good our interest and principal payments to the lenders like China, Japan etc.

      Do you believe that anybody in US will say: -Hell yes, let's bite the bullet and pay that debt!?

      NOBODY.

      Nobody will say that. The US will end up doing what it does: it will monetize the debt, print more and more USD to buy back the bonds and treasuries that will be sold off at an increasing rate, who wants the useless USD, who wants to hold the debt that is known to be paid in useless money that will inflate faster than the interest payments can ever make up for?

      This. This is caused by the Government borrowing and spending without any production to back up the transactions. Do you really think that Governments can do anything at all to stop the markets, to stop the wheel turning? The Government is NOT interested in stopping anything because it WILL trigger the sell off and decline of USD.

      However the BIG Sell Off is coming whether the Governments do anything or not.

      The difference between US and Greece is this: Greece is in Euro and cannot print, so it either quits Euro and goes back to Drachma and prints the money into oblivion causing a crash of its bonds/treasuries/currency OR Greece bites the bullet. Greek's Government for some reason decided to go the High Road and to be Honest for some reason, I need to figure it out.

      US will NEVER do this, it's impossible. It will print and print USD into hyper-inflation.

      So when you say:

      work has ceased to become a rewarded function.

      , just understand that for a Government work has ceased being a rewarded function long time ago, when the government decided it can print money and set interest rates. That's the primary problem.

  3. Re:Institutional Traders Don't Enter Trades Like T by atomic777 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It amazes me that the financial industry continually gets a free pass on matters that would result in public outrage towards any other industry that deals with people's livelihoods.

    This explanation, whether true or not, is equivalent to saying that an airplane crashed because of a single faulty sensor.

    Or a bridge fell due to one rusted bolt.

    But, here, one fat finger led to the temporary destruction of nearly 1 trillion dollars of value! Would we tolerate such bogus explanations from aerospace engineers or architects? Why can we not demand the same from our financial "engineers"?

  4. Wall Street Steals the Best and the Brightest by catchblue22 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Fund managers who literally do nothing but piss away money are making $1,000 an hour, and the people who educate our children are making less than $20 an hour. Something is seriously wrong with this picture.

    Yes. And further, consider how Wall Street has attracted the best and the brightest of all of our people, math PhD's, engineers, those with an excellent ability to see the broad patterns in society. Our most brilliant citizens are pulled into Wall Street as "quants" or traders or corporate lawyers, and are often paid six and seven figure remuneration per year. And to do what? To game the system in favor of their wealthy masters at the expense of the middle classes. Do they create wealth, or are they merely helping to transfer it from the hands of the many to the hands of the few who can afford their services. Wall Street quants were supposed to make recessions a thing of the past. We all know how that turned out.

    Meanwhile fields like science, engineering and medicine lose the most brilliant individuals. Citizens who would formerly have become professors, providing independent analysis of society's problems instead become selfish multimillionaires, who then retire at 40 to a life unproductive leisure. Think of what these brilliant people could have done if their abilities were harnessed in the right fields and with the right motivation. Think of the problems that could have been solved. Think of the knowledge that could have been gained. Think of the lives that could be saved by new medical discoveries. Think of the new technologies that could have been developed for the common good. Wall Street's co-opting of so many of the geniuses in our society will have profound consequences for our civilization. I can only hope that we can undo much of the damage been done by this corruption.

    --
    This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    1. Re:Wall Street Steals the Best and the Brightest by tnok85 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm sorry, but I don't believe that genius means morally superior.

      I know a lot of Slashdot might feel that genius = morally superior, since as we all know, here on Slashdot we're all certifiable geniuses. And we're inherently morally superior. None of us want safe jobs, nice cars, and enough money to buy a woman. We've above that.

    2. Re:Wall Street Steals the Best and the Brightest by catchblue22 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Who the hell are you to tell me that I should use my gifts to benefit society? I have a right to care or not care about whatever I want.

      Well, first off, our entire economic system is supposed to be designed so that your career choice does serve the public interest. It's called capitalism. Supply and demand. The market is supposed to represent the public interest. If citizens demand, say potato chips, then the market is supposed to supply them, and in the least expensive fashion possible. The potato chip company borrows money from investors to build a factory, and to buy materials. They hire the best workers they can for the least amount of money they can. Ideally they won't be able to hire computer engineers to sweep the floors; to them, computer engineers would be too expensive. And the computer engineers wouldn't likely accept jobs sweeping floors, since they can earn more money designing computers or software. The potato chip company isn't thinking "we won't hire computer engineers to sweep our floors because that wouldn't serve the public interest". The system simply ensures that such a misallocation of labor is unlikely. In the end, the company makes the potato chips with the lowest possible cost and makes a profit. Thus the "interests" of the customer are served.

      In other words, capitalism is supposed to be a tool to serve the public interest, by ensuring that labor and goods are efficiently distributed to members of society. And it is an excellent tool, that has given us a high standard of living. But capitalism was never supposed to be an end in and of itself. It is simply a tool. The problem I was referring to, namely that our most brilliant citizens are being pulled into corrupt careers, is that the incentive system that drew them to Wall Street in the first place is corrupted and broken. In this case, the profit motive is not, in my opinion serving the public interest.

      As to your one line comment above, it belies a serious lack of ethics and a misguided sense of selfishness. We live in a democratic society. If enough citizens turn inward and ignore the broad interests of society, then our democracy will be in serious trouble. As a citizen of a democracy, it is your duty, my duty, everyone's duty to pay attention to important and serious issues that affect society. That you do not seem to care is not something to be proud of. It is shameful.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
  5. Re:What is the value of this market speculation? by Dunbal · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I mean really? What do these traders produce? Nothing. But they earn money, quite big money solely on speculation. What is the purpose of this at all?

    Liquidity.

    You obviously have no idea what a stock market is. The buyers want to buy, and the sellers want to sell. The trader makes it easier for them. Forget stocks, look at something possibly easier for you to understand: you want to buy a house. You have money. But no one is willing to sell you a house. So what happens? You don't get a house. Conversely, you need to sell your house, but no one wants to buy one. So you have to wait 10 years. Get it?

    Traders are middlemen, but they facilitate transactions. When they are right, and correctly estimate the direction of the market, they make a profit (call it a commission). When they're wrong, they make a loss. Traders aren't costing anyone anything - the buyer WANTED to buy and the seller WANTED to sell. No one is being forced.

    You say that traders make "quite big money" on speculation. Yes. They also LOSE a lot of money on speculation. Today I lost $9,000. Are you happy now that you have a day job? Even if you work at McDonald's, you earned more than me - today. I'm not bothered, because eventually I will make that money back. However there is RISK involved. If you don't take risk, well, what do you expect? Minimum wage. If you take risk, you can make money. However you can and WILL lose money often.

    But please don't go thinking that traders are the cause of all problems - they're not. It's banks that borrow money at 0% from the government and lend it out to you at 15%+ that are the problem. Enslaving people through debt is not something capitalism should be proud of. However corporations need to sell shares to raise the billions they need to make the products/services that benefit you and I. The only place they will get that money is from traders.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  6. Re:Correct, but also incorrect by rubycodez · · Score: 4, Insightful

    the Big Problem the audit would "uncover" has nothing to do with the dollar's worthlessness, but in majority of people finding out our Federal Reserve is just local branch of international banking cartel, manipulating th economy of and draining jobs and wealth from the U.S. for those in a position to take advantage of economic cycles.

  7. Re:Correct, but also incorrect by religious+freak · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What do you think "auditing the Fed" really means? The Fed's books are already open and reviewed by accountants regularly. In this context, "auditing the Fed" means putting the Fed under more control of politicians, which does NOT WORK... just ask Japan. Yes, the politicians would LOVE to get their hands on the money spouts.

    I find that when people go off about the Fed, monetazation, etc they generally don't know jack about economics and ultimately start babbling about end of world scenarios, the government, blah, blah blah rather than economic facts.

    --
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