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World Cup Forecasting Challenge For Quants

Posted by timothy on from the kickoff-in-four-days dept.

databuff writes "As a break from projecting the strength of subprime mortgages, credit default swaps, and other obscure financial instruments, quantitative analysts at Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, UBS, and Danske Bank have modeled the 2010 FIFA World Cup. Now Kaggle has set up a forecasting competition, allowing statisticians to go head-to-head with these corporate giants. The challenge is to predict how far each country will progress in the tournament."

5 of 111 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Bias by TheKidWho · · Score: 5, Funny

    They're Americans, they're most likely not football fans to begin with!

  2. Re:Stats game... by frenchbedroom · · Score: 4, Funny

    STFU spammer !

    *looks at parent's UID*
    *gasps*
    A 4-digit prime UID !
    *slowly backs away from parent's lawn, sweating profusely*
    Ha ha, my mistake, carry on...

  3. A cheaper proposal: by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Funny

    For just $10,000 in unmarked and nonsequential bills, Vinnie "the kneecap" is willing to venture a prediction as to when any particular team is going to drop out.

    "When yous got a problem, pick Vinnie. We don't predict; we Promise."

  4. Re:Bias by russotto · · Score: 2, Funny

    Of course it can be predicted.

    You may not be able to, but that doesn't mean it's not possible.

    In fact, it's easy to predict when you're the guy with the control for the remote shock-collar.

  5. Re:What's the x-bar by severoon · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's obvious to me with smart people like this behind the analysis, we should bet big on the correctness of their projections. Perhaps we should tie our economy to their analysis in some way that will potentially result in a large windfall? Who's with me?

    --
    but have you considered the following argument: shut up.