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Why Being Wrong Makes Humans So Smart

Hugh Pickens sends in an excerpt in last week's Boston Globe from Kathryn Schulz's book Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error. "The more scientists understand about cognitive functioning, the more it becomes clear that our capacity to make mistakes is utterly inextricable from what makes the human brain so swift, adaptable, and intelligent. Rather than treating errors like the bedbugs of the intellect — an appalling and embarrassing nuisance we try to pretend out of existence — we need to recognize that human fallibility is part and parcel of human brilliance. Neuroscientists increasingly think that inductive reasoning undergirds virtually all of human cognition. Humans use inductive reasoning to learn language, organize the world into meaningful categories, and grasp the relationship between cause and effect. Thanks to inductive reasoning, we are able to form nearly instantaneous beliefs and take action accordingly. However, Schulz writes, 'The distinctive thing about inductive reasoning is that it generates conclusions that aren't necessarily true. They are, instead, probabilistically true — which means they are possibly false.' Schulz recommends that we respond to the mistakes (or putative mistakes) of those around us with empathy and generosity and demand that our business and political leaders acknowledge and redress their errors rather than ignoring or denying them. 'Once we recognize that we do not err out of laziness, stupidity, or evil intent, we can liberate ourselves from the impossible burden of trying to be permanently right. We can take seriously the proposition that we could be in error, without deeming ourselves idiotic or unworthy.'"

4 of 311 comments (clear)

  1. abstract thinking STILL leads to persecution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Troll

    however, considering the notion that ALL things are connected, maybe we should stop mistreating the 'messengers', which we do out of fear, which is a poor motive at best.

    the corepirate nazi illuminati is always hunting that patch of red on almost everyones' neck. if they cannot find yours (greed, fear ego etc...) then you can go starve. that's their platform now.

    never a better time for all of us to consult with/trust in our creators. the lights are coming up rapidly all over now. see you there?

    greed, fear & ego (in any order) are unprecedented evile's primary weapons. those, along with deception & coercion, helps most of us remain (unwittingly?) dependent on its' life0cidal hired goons' agenda. most of our dwindling resources are being squandered on the 'wars', & continuation of the billionerrors stock markup FraUD/pyramid schemes. nobody ever mentions the real long term costs of those debacles in both life & any notion of prosperity for us, or our children. not to mention the abuse of the consciences of those of us who still have one, & the terminal damage to our atmosphere (see also: manufactured 'weather', hot etc...). see you on the other side of it? the lights are coming up all over now. the fairytail is winding down now. let your conscience be your guide. you can be more helpful than you might have imagined. we now have some choices. meanwhile; don't forget to get a little more oxygen on your brain, & look up in the sky from time to time, starting early in the day. there's lots going on up there.

    "The current rate of extinction is around 10 to 100 times the usual background level, and has been elevated above the background level since the Pleistocene. The current extinction rate is more rapid than in any other extinction event in earth history, and 50% of species could be extinct by the end of this century. While the role of humans is unclear in the longer-term extinction pattern, it is clear that factors such as deforestation, habitat destruction, hunting, the introduction of non-native species, pollution and climate change have reduced biodiversity profoundly.' (wiki)

    "I think the bottom line is, what kind of a world do you want to leave for your children," Andrew Smith, a professor in the Arizona State University School of Life Sciences, said in a telephone interview. "How impoverished we would be if we lost 25 percent of the world's mammals," said Smith, one of more than 100 co-authors of the report. "Within our lifetime hundreds of species could be lost as a result of our own actions, a frightening sign of what is happening to the ecosystems where they live," added Julia Marton-Lefevre, IUCN director general. "We must now set clear targets for the future to reverse this trend to ensure that our enduring legacy is not to wipe out many of our closest relatives."--

    "The wealth of the universe is for me. Every thing is explicable and practical for me .... I am defeated all the time; yet to victory I am born." --emerson

    no need to confuse 'religion' with being a spiritual being. our soul purpose here is to care for one another. failing that, we're simply passing through (excess baggage) being distracted/consumed by the guaranteed to fail illusionary trappings of man'kind'. & recently (about 10,000 years ago) it was determined that hoarding & excess by a few, resulted in negative consequences for all.

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    "If my people, which are called by my name, shall humble themselves, and pray, and seek my face, and turn from their wicked ways; then will I hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin, and will heal their land." )one does not need to agree whois in charge to grasp the notion that there may be some assistance available to us(

    boeing, boeing, gone.

    1. Re:abstract thinking STILL leads to persecution by couchslug · · Score: 0, Troll

      I realize paranoia is delectable, but you will feel much better if you seek peaceful oblivion before the Illuminati win.
      I suggest suicide.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  2. Re:Rogue_rat enjoys cock frequently by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 0, Troll

    Just because being wrong doesn't necessarily make you an idiot, that doesn't make you not an idiot for being wrong.

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    <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
  3. Re:Duh by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Is it? I'm hearing stories coming-out where engineers wrote e-mails warning this blowout would happen.

    If they did, then either they or the people they told, or both, are personally responsible for the deaths of the 11 men who died in the accident.

    BP gives everyone the authority to stop a job for safety concerns, and they make damn well sure everyone knows it. It's one of their "Eight Golden Rules", and following these rules is a condition of employment for both employees and contractors.

    Either the engineers were just passing emails to each other, and nobody was speaking up, or they sent it to someone who was unconnected with the operation, or they sent it to a manager/supervisor and that person did not do his job.

    Obviously if you aren't physically there, you can't go waiving your arms and tell everyone to stop, but generally the engineers are on the rig, so they actually can go waiving their arms and telling everyone to stop. There is absolutely no excuse for not stopping a job if you have a reason to believe it is unsafe. Period. This is almost certainly not a case of the engineers being ignored, but a case of the engineers not doing their duty to protect their coworkers, and 11 men died because of it.

    If they stayed quiet, instead of raising hell, in spite of serious safety concerns, then the engineers are personally responsible for not preventing the accident. They are the ones who would know if the mud is insufficient, and it's their duty to stop the job if it's unsafe. If that is the case, and I really don't see how it could not be, then I'm not sure how they can live with themselves right now. Perhaps its only by blaming others for their own failures, eh?

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    Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller