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Daily Kos Pollster Made Up Numbers
jamie found a story up on Daily Kos revealing that the polling firm they had contracted with for 18 months, Research 2000 or R2K, apparently made up or at least manually tweaked its polling results. The blog published a preliminary report by a team of statistics gurus (Mark Grebner, Michael Weissman, and Jonathan Weissman), and it is an exemplar of clarity and concision. The team reports, "We do not know exactly how the weekly R2K results were created, but we are confident they could not accurately describe random polls." Daily Kos will be filing a lawsuit against its former pollster. "For the past year and a half, Daily Kos has been featuring weekly poll results from the Research 2000 (R2K) organization. These polls were often praised for their 'transparency,' since they included detailed cross-tabs on sub-populations and a clear description of the random dialing technique. However, on June 6, 2010, FiveThirtyEight.com rated R2K as among the least accurate pollsters in predicting election results. Daily Kos then terminated the relationship. One of us (MG) wondered if odd patterns he had noticed in R2K's reports might be connected with R2K's mediocre track record, prompting our investigation of whether the reports could represent proper random polling. ... This posting is a careful initial report of our findings, not intended to be a full formal analysis but rather to alert people not to rely on R2K's results."
..."Air America" before it went bankrupt.
Financially or intellectually bankrupt?
You'd think they would spend Soros money more carefully.
Professional Politicians are not the solution, they ARE the problem.
Everyone knows that 78.49% of statistics are made up.
And that the other 23% are erroneous.
They say a little knowledge is a dangerous thing, but it's not one half so bad as a lot of ignorance. - Terry Pratchett
Comment removed based on user account deletion
Easily 80% of surveys that went through my region were completely falsified, and the remaining 20% rarely matched the demographic they were supposed to be answering for.
You're just making those numbers up, aren't you?
I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
This, although I can't promise it's reliable, as it comes from the Daily Kos.
I can't decide whether this is just being funny, or if it's insightful, or interesting. But, I'm pretty sure it's 50% funny, 20% insightful, and 30% interesting. +/- 3%
And if Diebold scored it:
24% Funny
10% Insightful
15% Interesting
51% Republican
Considering they call me up while I'm eating dinner, I find the average polling person to be mean.
On matters of opinion and ideology, well, it's a political blog. What exactly is an "accurate" opinion?
"Mine."
Actually, Rush is pretty accurate. He's just (admittedly) biased. It's the bias that gets you - what he's typically saying is not factually inaccurate.
If he were publishing statistics, on the other hand, the bias would be a problem. Thus the Daily Kos credibility comes into question...
~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
Haha. You guys still haven't figured out that "progressive" is a term we've been using for a deviant sexual act. LOL! That's why we guffaw when you call yourself a "progressive". I mean, the only thing we can thing to ourselves is, "well, yea, somebody tried to progressivize me in college, but I just wasn't drunk and horny enough to get into it."
"Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
--- Jerry Garcia
It's true - he's the most moderate secret Islamofascist communist that I know!
Libertarians somehow believe that private businesses should be stronger than governments but weaker than individuals.
Oh, puh-lease. You guys have no fucking chance. Puff and strut now, big boy, but know going into this election cycle your team's major talking points are cutting off unemployment benefits and gutting social security. That's going to play well in this economy, don't you think?
Idiots like you blame the Democrats, but the real Americans know who got them in this mess, and who is trying to keep them there to score points against 'the other guys.' It won't work, in fact, this next election is going to be a slaughter. The southern regional minority party of hate and fear is dead. Its corpse is still shambling around looking for brains, but we'll put it down soon, don't you fear.
- None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
What is "leadership or sense of urgency"?
Should he be down there trying to clean the gulf with his fucking kidneys?
I think there are a lot of people who forget that Obama wasn't facing off in the last election against Aquaman, but for the record John McCain wouldn't be using telekinetic powers to summon a posse of dolphins to plug the leak in the gulf either. It's either that or else we've somehow come to think that knee-jerk, blustery statements/actions that don't address the real problem (like the Patriot act or the invasion of Iraq) are a good thing.