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World Cup Prediction Failures

pdcull writes "We all read on Slashdot about the investment banks using their massive computer power and clever modeling techniques to predict the FIFA World Cup outcome. Now that Goldman Sachs's, UBS's and Danske Bank's favorite, Brazil, has been eliminated, and with JP Morgan's England long gone, the question that begs to be asked is: can we really trust these guys to predict the financial markets any better than they did World Cup?"

8 of 312 comments (clear)

  1. Upgrade by therealobsideus · · Score: 4, Funny

    Guess it's time to upgrade their magic ball software. This time maybe they shouldn't outsource the project to Mattel.

  2. Re:Wait. by SpeedyDX · · Score: 5, Funny

    All-star baseball player struggles at figure skating - clearly shows all-star game votes don't reflect players' abilities!
    Grammy award winning singer can't perform simple clown juggling routine - they hand out Grammys to anyone these days!
    Nobel prize winning chemist's sculpture harshly criticized by art critics - all previous research papers under scrutiny!

  3. Re:Look at the numbers first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Goldman Sachs gave Brazil (the "favorite") only a 13% chance of winning the world cup.

    The fact that Brazil was eliminated is not at odds with the reports.

    Way to ruin my self-righteous rage with your little 'facts' It makes me feel better to lay other people low when times are tough. The people need a safe outlet for their anger, and some remote math geeks should have been fair game. Then you come along and tell me their predictions were soundly made..? So, now I must recollect all that anger and direct it at my wife and children. I am the victim here. Why aren't you defending me?

  4. Hmm by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 4, Funny

    How good are they at climate prediction. I'm just wonderin'...

  5. Re:Don't call me shirley .. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's easy. You just have to pay off the refs.

  6. Re:We have to! by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 5, Funny

    Too complicated. The best analogy is simply to say that GS, etc al are filled with shallow crooks who can and will trick and con everyone they meet out of every cent they have.

    --
    May the Maths Be with you!
  7. Re:I don't get it. by md65536 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Can you put this in car terms?

    GS steals a car from Customer A, picks up Customer B and pays for sex, but then beats up B and takes the money back, sells a sex tape it made with B to A, then runs down A with their own car.

  8. It's so easy, chaps by DollyTheSheep · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Football is a simple game; 22 men chase a ball for 90 minutes and at the end, the Germans always win."

    Gary Lineker