Slashdot Mirror


Earth-Like Planet That Could Sustain Life Found

astroengine writes "An exoplanet, 20 to 50 percent the mass of Earth, has been discovered 20 light-years away and it appears to have all the ingredients conducive to sustaining life. It has enough gravitational clout to hold onto an atmosphere and it orbits well within the 'Goldilocks Zone' of its parent star. However, it would be a very different place to Earth; it is tidally locked to its star, creating one perpetual day on the world. Interestingly, this may also boost the life-giving qualities of the exoplanet, creating stable temperatures in its atmosphere."

113 of 575 comments (clear)

  1. Annddd.... by Codename+Dutchess · · Score: 4, Funny

    This is where I stopped reading:

    "Personally, given the ubiquity and propensity of life to flourish wherever it can, I would say that the chances for life on this planet are 100 percent. I have almost no doubt about it," Steven Vogt, professor of astronomy and astrophysics at University of California Santa Cruz, told Discovery News.

    Chances are 100%. Almost no doubt.

    1. Re:Annddd.... by durrr · · Score: 2

      He would've been a douche had he he said chances are 99,9999999999999999999%, like any good scientist he made his argument understandable to the layman by rounding up.

    2. Re:Annddd.... by The_mad_linguist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      His argument doesn't really hold water. Sure, once you have life that can survive on a planet it's a bitch to keep it away from anywhere, but there's no guarantee that you'll get that life to begin with.

    3. Re:Annddd.... by vux984 · · Score: 2

      Yes... 99.9999...% would be stupid, but 100% isn't better.

      He should have just dropped the percentage quantification entirely then knowing that rounding up 'almost certain' to 'certain' glosses over a very important distinction. He could have just simply reported that he is "almost certain the planet will be found to have life" and left it at that.

    4. Re:Annddd.... by mikeabbott420 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I always thought Spocks ridiculous precision with fuzzy math was really "don't question me you pathetic dummies" because, I mean, for f*cks sake, Really?, that many decimal places of accuracy? ;)

      --
      This program was made possible by a grant from the Ultra-Humanite, and viewers like you.
    5. Re:Annddd.... by SETIGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is where I stopped reading:

      That's a very appropriate point to stop. To paraphrase Clarke: "When a senior scientist tells you something is impossible, they are likely to be wrong. When a senior scientist tells you something is certain, they are likely to be wrong. When a senior scientist tells you something may be possible, they are probably correct."

    6. Re:Annddd.... by MadUndergrad · · Score: 2

      Yes, we've all heard the quote but it doesn't really apply here. The guy is saying it's not just possible, it's almost certain. And yes, technically you could say 'well he's really saying it's impossible there isn't life there' but that's just being a pedant. Yes, he could be wrong but it's clearly hyperbole. When a scientist says that something is impossible he's rarely being hyperbolic. The meaning and spirit of Clarke's quote is clearly that 'far more things are possible than people/scientists think'.

    7. Re:Annddd.... by AmigaMMC · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would say that the chances for life on this planet are 100 percent. I have almost no doubt about it,"

      He contradicts himself: chances are 100%, almost sure. "Almost" is not 100%.

      Plus what's up with Planet G? Planet M would have been better ;)

    8. Re:Annddd.... by Eivind · · Score: 2, Informative

      But realistically, chances aren't ANYWHERE near either number. We simply don't know how likely it is for life to exist on planets with a certain temperature and composition.

      We know there's life on earth. That's a single data-point. Any scientist knows that drawing strong conclusions from a single datapoint is nuts.

      Sure, if we had investigated 23 earth-similar planets, and found life on every single one of them, then we'd have enough data to say that earth-similar planets tend to have life on them.

      But that's not presently the case. He may *believe* we will find it to be the case, in the future. But random hunches, don't typically hit with 99.99999999% probability.

    9. Re:Annddd.... by h4rm0ny · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe he has almost no doubt about the chance of life being 100% in the same way that if I'm almost sure that a bus drove off a cliff then I almost have no doubt that there's a 100% chance of it having fallen due to gravity. I.e. our model says the chance is 100% and I have almost no doubt that the model is correct.

      Separately, TFS contradicts TFA. According to TFA, the planet's mass is three times larger than Earth's (I wish they'd just say three times Earth's as three times larger sounds like 1g + 3g to me)

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    10. Re:Annddd.... by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'd say it doesn't hold water because... well, he simply doesn't have enough information at this point.

      Indeed. From the Bad Astronomy blog:

      However, this does not mean the planet is habitable, or even very Earthlike. It may not even have any water on it at all. For now, we can't know these things, so beware of any media breathlessly talking about life on this planet, or how we could live there.

      --
      If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    11. Re:Annddd.... by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There is an argument to be made that because of the very physics of the universe that life itself may be not only inevitable but practically guaranteed. This statement is made with consideration of organic chemistry and the pervasiveness with which hydrocarbons not only exist but seem to interact and react to other hydrocarbons. Carl Sagan was the biggest proponent of this hypothesis, that the physical laws of the universe predispose the creation of life. If the hypothesis is correct, that hydrocarbons are so common throughout the universe (which they are) and that their interaction to form amino acids and the basis of life itself is the end result of the laws of the universe (supposition at best) then if a planet is the right temperature, has water and carbon then life should form. (note mars isn't warm enough and has no free water and Venus is way way to warm, but Titan is literally covered in lakes of liquid hydrocarbons)

      I agree the guy is a bad scientist for making such a claim, but if you believe this line of reasoning then if you can find a star with planets in the habitable zone, the right size, with water and enough carbon then you will have life "guaranteed". They are just on the cusp of having enough technology to see earth size planets, I think it will be just a mater of time till they can spectrograph the light bouncing off the planet and can find out which ones have oxygen in the atmosphere. Once you find oxygen you know you have life, at least minimal enough life to create free oxygen which can't exist without life because of it's highly reactive nature. I believe Carl was right, that life is an inevitable consequence of the universe, but until we have a better understanding of exosolar planets and that our solar system(and the earth itself with it's super-sized moon and high rotation) isn't unique we don't have the ability to say life is guaranteed anywhere and that's what makes his assertion so silly even if he believes Carl's hypothesis.

      It's an interesting area, because you could test the theory. With some massive expenditures of cash it would be possible to stop the run away greenhouse effect on Venus. Once the planet cooled it would rapidly lose much of it's excess atmosphere and attain a condition not that much different than the early earth except for the very slow rotation and lack of a moon. That test would then prove whether the moon (tidal forces) and fast rotation (short nights) were special or essential in the creation of life. If those two variances are important than life could still be quite rare even with the universal predisposition to life from the right physical circumstances. It's been argued that life first started in the tidal pools on earth, without tides you don't get the periodic flooding that life in the current tidal pools needs to survive. Whether life can survive nights that last multiple days or even weeks is another argument that has little to no evidence to support.

      Anyway, I don't agree with the scientists affirmation but I do understand why he would believe so strongly that life is guaranteed if the conditions are right.

  2. Trivia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Star Trek fans will know such a planet as "Class M".

    The "M" stood for Majel (Roddenberry nee Barrett) who, in Gene Roddenberry's words, "made his life possible".

  3. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by biryokumaru · · Score: 5, Funny

    As an electrical engineer, I feel I have a fairly firm grasp on how people figure out a lot of these seemingly extremely complex things.

    Magic.

    --
    When you're afraid to download music illegally in your own home, then the terrorists have won!
  4. Only 20 light years??? by brunes69 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    20 light years is millimeters of astrophysical distance.

    It amazes me we have been observing space so long and yet we only now have detected this planet.

    It just goes to show how incredibly likely it is to find planets like Earth everywhere in the galaxy.

    1. Re:Only 20 light years??? by mangu · · Score: 5, Insightful

      20 light years is millimeters of astrophysical distance.

      It amazes me we have been observing space so long and yet we only now have detected this planet.

      This just goes to show you the difference in difficulty between finding a Jupiter-sized planet and an Earth-sized planet.

    2. Re:Only 20 light years??? by cgenman · · Score: 3, Informative

      20 light years away gives a search area of about 13,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 cubic miles. Unless it is spewing massive amounts of radiation all of the time, things like that in that big of a search space are pretty hard to detect. And while 20 light years might be small by astronomical standards, human beings haven't even been two light *seconds* away from the earth.

    3. Re:Only 20 light years??? by MyLongNickName · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Pssst. It hasn't been all that long since we discovered our first exoplanet, Jupiter sized or otherwise... 15 years or so. I think we get spoiled by the wonderful advances in science and forget how hard and how much resources it takes to keep advancing.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    4. Re:Only 20 light years??? by Penguinisto · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And while 20 light years might be small by astronomical standards, human beings haven't even been two light *seconds* away from the earth.

      FWIW, Voyager 1 is about 14-15 light-hours away now.

      Something to consider, though - not all radiation is the evil, hazardous, cancer-causing flesh-melting variety. Light is radiation, which is, well what they'd been using to study this thing. The shallow end of the details pool can be had here(pdf).

      Also, they're not just blindly poking around at random bits of cubic space - they're starting with stars, eh?

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    5. Re:Only 20 light years??? by gman003 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, gravity is different, but not too much so. Summary says .2-.5g, but TFA says 3.0g. Temperature is unknown, but it's about the same distance from its star as we are (relative to the brightness of the star), so the temperature is probably Earth-like. Now, that could be anywhere from Death Valley to Antarctic temperatures, but it's still within reason. Atmosphere is unknown, and probably will remain that way until we send a probe, or get a much more powerful telescope. Chemical composition is unknown, but it seems to be a rocky planet as opposed to a gassy one, so it's possibly Earthlike in that regard.

      Short answer: We don't know. Long answer: We don't know, but I'd sure as hell like to find out.

    6. Re:Only 20 light years??? by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Funny

      "20 light years is millimeters of astrophysical distance."

      Nope, it's 20lys. Astronmers rarely measure interstellar distantances in mm due to the astronomical numbers it involves.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    7. Re:Only 20 light years??? by wvmarle · · Score: 3, Informative

      The furthest away from Earth a living human has ever been, is just behind the Moon (orbit around the moon), or about 1.3 light seconds. Indeed humans have some small craft flying around much further away in space, but no human on board there. And still a long way to go to reach 20 light years.

    8. Re:Only 20 light years??? by IICV · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Something to consider, though - not all radiation is the evil, hazardous, cancer-causing flesh-melting variety. Light is radiation, which is, well what they'd been using to study this thing.

      The GP poster neither said nor implied anything along those lines, and indeed was clearly using the "light is radiation" definition (among other ones, of course - it's not like our telescopes are limited to the visible spectrum any more). Has Slashdot fallen so low that we actually need to randomly defend the usage of the word "radiation"? I thought most of the people here had a reasonable understanding of science.

    9. Re:Only 20 light years??? by hoggoth · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, but the loneliness, distance, and lack of exercise has caused space-madness. He calls himself V'Ger now and has gotten really big.

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
    10. Re:Only 20 light years??? by huckamania · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The only way for humans to get to another star is to learn how to live in space. It is not so daunting a task as most believe. The most important fact is that space is not empty. There are more resources in the asteroid belt then currently exist on Earth and the vast distances between the stars are filled with resources that dwarf the already immense asteroid belt.

      It is all out there waiting for us. With the current rate of innovation, I would expect that we are only a few generations away from taking our first real steps into conquering our solar system. After that, it will be only a few more generations until we start spreading out into the beyond. We are really only missing a few key ingredients to take those first steps, most importantly we lack the political/social will to explore space.

      It will not be cheap to move into space, but the upside is supercalifragalistic (seriously, couldn't think of a better word). It will mark the beginning of our post-scarcity existence.

      If we don't move into space, we will continue to mark time until the end of our existence.

    11. Re:Only 20 light years??? by u38cg · · Score: 2, Informative

      20 light years = 1.89210568 × 10^20 millimetres. Seems perfectly tractable to me.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
  5. why do stable chances increase the likelyhood? by way2trivial · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Really.. I thought life & evolution and development thrived on change...

    a little flooding, many die, some adapt
    a little freezing, many die, some adapt.

    more-- the 'kickstart' of inorganic->organic chemistry, presumably took some random event, a one in five gazzillion possible combination of elements, random elements- that likely would be less likely the more stable an environment it is..

    nice flat temp? ya get algae & molds.... no need to improve right? why?

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    1. Re:why do stable chances increase the likelyhood? by martin-boundary · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You'd be right only if evolution was merely a function of the environmental conditions. However, your algae and molds will also compete among themselves, leading to adaptation independently of the environment.

    2. Re:why do stable chances increase the likelyhood? by jrumney · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Look at where the most biodiverse regions are on Earth. They are in the equatorial zone, where the climate is stable.

    3. Re:why do stable chances increase the likelyhood? by Xtifr · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I thought life & evolution and development thrived on change..

      Evolutionary change seems to be enhanced by environmental change, yes, but life itself is an entirely separate matter. Life doesn't have to be complex or evolve rapidly in order to simply exist. In 3.5 gigayears, life on Earth has gone from matted plankton to, well, people. In the same period of time, life on this planet might have gone from matted plankton to really matted plankton. But it would still be life.

      the 'kickstart' of inorganic->organic chemistry, presumably took some random event, a one in five gazzillion possible combination of elements

      Actually, that's pretty much the exact opposite of contemporary thinking; due to the amazingly rapid appearance of life here on Earth, it's now considered that the sort of self-sustaining chemical reactions that lead to what we call life are quite probable. Not a "one in five gazzillion" chance, but a near certitude. Which is why we expect to find evidence of life (probably extinct) on Mars, and (maybe-not-extinct) in the subsurface oceans of Europa.

  6. Summary is wrong. by The_mad_linguist · · Score: 5, Informative

    The summary is incorrect. The exoplanet has "a mass three times larger than Earth's", not 20% to 50%

    1. Re:Summary is wrong. by martin-boundary · · Score: 4, Informative

      If the two planets have similar density, then the mass ratio is simply the ratio of the volumes. Volume of a sphere is 4 pi R^3/3. Thus the volume ratio of the two planets is (R + x)^3/R^3 = 1 + 3(x/R) + 3(x/R)^2 + (x/R)^3. If you plot that function, you find that this ratio is between 2 and 3 when (x/R) is between 0.25 and 0.45, so that R + x is about 25%-45% bigger than R.

    2. Re:Summary is wrong. by meerling · · Score: 4, Funny

      Who cares about volume or density at this point as both the summary and the article specify mass. The summary says 20%-50% the mass of Earth, while the article says 3x the mass of Earth, that would be 300%. No matter how you look at it, the summary screwed up big time.

      Sorry, but your argument is like calculating the seating capacity of a car when the articles in question are discussing the top speed.

    3. Re:Summary is wrong. by syousef · · Score: 2, Funny

      The summary is incorrect. The exoplanet has "a mass three times larger than Earth's", not 20% to 50%

      Disappointing. Kinda reminds you of going on a blind date...

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    4. Re:Summary is wrong. by phlegmofdiscontent · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Space.com gives a better summary:

      http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/earth-like-exoplanet-possibly-habitable-100929.html

      However, I think the 20% to 50% number comes from the size of the star, Gliese 581. The mass of the star is 20% to 50% of the sun's mass.

      Thus far, the lowest-massed planet discovered by the radial velocity method was about 150% to 200% the mass of Earth. Discovering one as small as 20% to 50% is currently beyond the capabilities of the RV method, so the 300% to 400% figure makes a lot more sense.

  7. Humans are so fragile...if only we were hardier by mykos · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Ethics aside, wouldn't it be easier to genetically modify humans to live in a wider variety of environments? Seems like it would be a far more reachable goal in the near term than getting to these distant planets.

    1. Re:Humans are so fragile...if only we were hardier by cosm · · Score: 5, Informative

      genetically modify humans to live in a wider variety of environments

      That would never make it through the intergalactic genetic engineering subcommittee. Their chest-pumping and rhetoric would stop it before it hit the hull floor.

      (Posted from the year 2089, see you guys soon! The future is great, but the space-beer is a little watered down.) Yankees win in 66, America is nuked by Eskimos in 70, and 89 is to be the year of the Linux holodeck neural interface.

      --
      'We are trying to prove ourselves wrong as quickly as possible, because only in that way can we find progress.' RPF
  8. Time dilation woes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    My math might be a little off, but if we accelerated at g half-way there and decelerated at g for the rest of the way, it would only take a ship about 6.04 years to get there. But thanks to Einstein ruining all our space travel fun with relativity, we of us left on Earth would think the journey took 21.86 years. So there and back would seem like 43.7 years to us.

    1. Re:Time dilation woes. by Drishmung · · Score: 5, Informative
      Assuming the vessel had the mass of the space shuttle, at 1g the energy required to do that would be approximately 2,304,558,096 times the Nagasaki A-bomb.

      m = 104,328kg
      a = g = 9.80665ms^-2
      20ly = 1.89E+17m
      Nagasaki A-bomb = 80TJ.

      --
      Protoplasm. Quiet Protoplasm. I like quiet protoplasm.
    2. Re:Time dilation woes. by pclminion · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Since you didn't show your math, I have to ask... Did you use the relativistic definition of kinetic energy or the Newtonian one? Because using Newton would be incredibly wrong in this case.

    3. Re:Time dilation woes. by zeropointburn · · Score: 4, Informative

      The lorentz factor is only 1.4 at 0.7c. The relativistic doppler effect would then be:
      z= 1.4(1+v/c)-1
        = 1.4(1.7)-1
        = 1.38

        This is enough redshift to push yellow into the near infrared and to make a medium blue into a medium red... One reasonable estimate of the intergalactic energy density is about 1.8 eV per cm^3. Let's assume a vastly oversized vessel with 25m^2 area in the direction of travel. 1 m^3 is 1x10^6 cm^3, so we encounter 1.8x10^6 eV per m^3 swept. With our 25m^2 surface, we sweep 4.5x10^7 eV per meter of travel. At 0.7c, we travel ~ 2.1x10^8 m/s. Neglecting some ramifications of relativity, we arrive at a figure of roughly 9.45x10^15 eV/s (*1.602x10^-19 j/eV), or 1.51x10^-3 watts (that's 0.00151 watts or about 1.5 milliwatts). I generate more heat than that by breathing, and these numbers are based on a velocity far exceeding 0.2c and a spaceship nosecone the size of a small building. Where exactly is the scary radiation coming from?

        Matter is another story entirely, as even interstellar gas and dust will generate enormous heat through impact. For very small particles, it is likely that some form of ionizing beam (perhaps in combination with a powerful magnetic field) could be used to sweep out the craft's immediate path. Whether or not this would work for something as large as a micrometeorite (or worse, some big chunk of rock) is questionable. Either way some manner of electromagnetic funnel or wedge becomes necessary if only to avoid debris, and may as well be adapted to collect reaction mass.

        As for getting up to speed, use your supply of antimatter to catalyze deuterium fusion. Keep your deuterium in the form of hydrocarbons, or perhaps as water ice. If that doesn't do the trick for you then bring along a good supply of transuranics and blast it with antiprotons.

        The truly difficult part of such a trip is navigation. Even now, with our best technology put to the task, we still have unexpected collisions with space junk. Finding and avoiding all potentially hazardous masses along the flight path with enough time to avoid collision (and enough power to maneuver) is a staggering task. Even if you have a fuel scoop there is no way your scoop could deflect a marble at those speeds, let alone a rogue planetoid with a very low albedo.

      --
      -1 raving lunatic; +6 subGenius... Things even out...
  9. Life (?) by tanujt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just 20 light years away is good news! One thing that always bothers me when I read about E.T. life, is the fact that we get excited when we find water or an Earth-like atmosphere somewhere, thinking there should/might be life there. We should factor in the possibility that life may evolve entirely differently from us, without requiring water or nitrogen/oxygen. In that case though, we can't really know how it will have evolved as we have no reference of evolution other than ours. So let's wait, or just go there as soon as we can as aliens.

    1. Re:Life (?) by Taibhsear · · Score: 2, Informative

      I do agree that other forms of life MAY be possible, but having a background in biochemistry you realize just how important water is to any concept of life to arise. Solubility, reactivity, and relative density properties that are necessary for any life to form are pretty much unique to water.

  10. Venus and Mars by AJWM · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Venus and Mars are also rocky "Earthlike" planets orbiting roughly in the habzone ("goldilocks" zone).

    I'd like to see truly terrestrial planets as much as (more than, probably) the next guy, but I think the reportage here is a bit hyped. Especially given a ~3x mass, that gives it roughly 1.44x the surface gravity (and higher likelihood of a Venus-like atmosphere).

    --
    -- Alastair
    1. Re:Venus and Mars by mister_playboy · · Score: 3, Informative

      Also not mentioned is that Gilese 581 is class M red dwarf star with a radiation output very different from that of the Sun. The lack of UV light and greater amount of infrared light may have implications for the ability for life to develop.

      The star's small power output is why a planet with an orbital period of only 37 days (Mercury orbits in 88 days, for comparison) can be in the habitable zone.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilese_581

      --
      Do what thou wilt shall be the whole of the Law ::: Love is the law, love under will
    2. Re:Venus and Mars by DirePickle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Venus is hotter than Earth by so much (even hotter than Mercury!) because of its atmosphere, not because of its distance to the sun. I think that given the right atmosphere and tectonic activity and whatnot, Venus could have actually been a very Earth-like place.

      I could just be talking out of my ass, though.

    3. Re:Venus and Mars by zeropointburn · · Score: 2, Informative

      For those specific planets, sure. However, the right combination of atmosphere and gravity would result in a human-habitable planet at those ranges. Habitability isn't just mean solar distance, it's whether or not water can exist in all three common states. If you're so far away (or so close) that the gravity + atmosphere required to see water ice and water vapor would render the planet uninhabitable, then you're outside the zone.
      This is of course probably not the official word on the subject, but the 'zone of habitability' covers situations which do not occur in our solar system but would render recognizable life possible.

      --
      -1 raving lunatic; +6 subGenius... Things even out...
    4. Re:Venus and Mars by Nadaka · · Score: 3, Insightful

      3 words words. Albedo, Greenhouse gasses.

      The farther out you are, lower albedo and higher greenhouse gasses would be needed.

      The closer in, higher albedo and lower greenhouse gasses would be needed.

    5. Re:Venus and Mars by AJWM · · Score: 2, Informative

      The habzone is defined as the range at which planetary temperatures could be in the right range for liquid water. Whether temperatures are in that range on a given planet depends on other factors, such as atmospheric density, greenhouse effect, etc. At stellar distances all we can tell (and even that, not easily) is the former -- although we're getting closer to being able to read atmospheric composition under some circumstances.

      Swap the orbits of Mars and Venus and they might be darn near habitable. (Mars perhaps not due to atmosphere loss. Venus perhaps not due to a too-thick even if not too-hot atmosphere, unless a lot of it froze out as polar caps.)

      --
      -- Alastair
  11. Spin up the stargate and dial it! by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 2

    Spin up the stargate and dial it!

  12. Alien astronomers by Dutchmaan · · Score: 2, Informative

    What are the odds that alien astronomers on that world are having their exact same story posted on Alien Slashdot®!?

    1. Re:Alien astronomers by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      50% either it does or it doesn't~

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Alien astronomers by blair1q · · Score: 3, Funny

      0%. I logged in there ready to make the same joke Dutchmaan did and couldn't find it.

  13. Available Amenities by hyades1 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Well, since the star's only 20 light years away and the previous post noted that the Aussies are testing "Space Beer", you can sign me up for the trip. Maybe by the time we get back the Toronto Maple Leafs will have won the Stanley Cup.

    OK, OK, I'm kidding about the Leafs.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
  14. remember we are using 20 yr old data by bl8n8r · · Score: 4, Insightful

    intriguing is the fact that we are studying the planet as it was 20 years ago, not as it is present day. In roughly 100 years we've managed to screw up this planet to no end. Things could be quite different on gliese 581g at this moment and we would not know it. Assuming we could travel at the speed of light and made it there in 20 years, the inhabitants may have already turned most of the planet to concrete and smog. If it is indeed inhabited.

    --
    boycott slashdot February 10th - 17th check out: altSlashdot.org
    1. Re:remember we are using 20 yr old data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      intriguing is the fact that we are studying the planet as it was 20 years ago, not as it is present day. In roughly 100 years we've managed to screw up this planet to no end. Things could be quite different on gliese 581g at this moment and we would not know it. Assuming we could travel at the speed of light and made it there in 20 years, the inhabitants may have already turned most of the planet to concrete and smog. If it is indeed inhabited.

      It's intriguing to me that anyone would call cities "screwing up" the planet. We've transformed the environment into one that is incredibly comfortable for our species to live in. There has never been a better time. The real argument that we're screwing up the planet involves this state being unsustainable, not the fact that we've achieved it.

    2. Re:remember we are using 20 yr old data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The planet doesn't care, we don't matter. In ten thousand years most of what we'd done would be gone. In ten million years most every species alive now will be extinct humans or not. That's nothing in the lifetime of this planet. The natural state of things is change and right now we're little more than an amusing bump in the grand timeline of this planet.

      Stop deluding yourself into thinking we matter or that there's some actual entity called "nature" that cares what you do.

      In the end, the only reason nature or what we do matters is us and our future uses of it. No one else cares and even if we remove ourselves from existence in the most dramatic way possible there won't be much impact in ten million years.

  15. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by mirix · · Score: 2, Funny

    Not just any magic, but black magic. RF is the same way, in your field.

    --
    Sent from my PDP-11
  16. So is this where... by SupremoMan · · Score: 2, Funny

    So is this were those Grey bastards come from? The ones who keep abducting me, and sticking probes up my ass!

  17. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't know of any observational way to determine it at the distances involved (though there may be one), but if you make certain assumptions about the composition of the planet you can determine the maximum amount of time it takes to become tidally locked (basically, all orbiting bodies become tidally locked eventually, it's just a question of how long), and if that time is less than the time we can estimate the planet to have existed we can conclude that it SHOULD be tidally locked.

    See also: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tidal_locking#Timescale

  18. temperature by blair1q · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Interestingly, this may also boost the life-giving qualities of the exoplanet, creating stable temperatures in its atmosphere."

    I don't get why that boosts life-giving qualities.

    Having unstable temperatures in our atmosphere doesn't seem to have impeded life.

    In fact stable temperatures may be a bad thing.

    It takes instability to produce the mixing of organic molecules that result in biomass. Lightning. Tidal flow. Wind.

    But there's no indication this new planet lacks those. Except the tidal part. Unless it has a big moon. And water.

  19. I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I actually work quite closely with 2 of the authors of the paper that reports these results. Any questions? I'll try to respond to posts between now and 2 October.

    1. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by chebucto · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Can you explain, in layman's terms, how you determined the planet was tidally locked with its sun?

      --
      The English word fart is one of the oldest words in the English vocabulary.
    2. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 3, Informative

      Though a big fan of sci-fi (I would have to be as someone who studied astronomy), I'm afraid I'm not familiar with this one.

      However, the great thing about this planet is that there is almost certainly a "too-hot" part, and a "too-cold" part, for humans, due to the tidal locking that you point out. However, somewhere between there, there must be a "just-right" part. This helps confirm that there is a habitable zone on the star.

    3. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Honestly, that conclusion was a bit premature. The other coauthors (including my coworkers) avoided speculating on this point.

      His conclusion was based on the idea that where liquid water can be present, so far we have always found life to within out ability to identify it. Thus, since there seems some high probability that liquid water *could* exist on this planet (though no evidence thereof, yet---it just seems likely due to the temperature and because water is such a simple and universally common molecule), and where we've found water we've found life (even in circumstances that would be considered unpleasant), he jumped to saying life was likely.

      I personally think that it is premature to speculate on life in this system, since so little evidence is available. If pushed to make a call by Vegas, I'd have to say life was more likely than not on this planet, but my line would not be near 100%. Probably closer to 60/40.

    4. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by w0mprat · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Aren't Red Dwarf stars often unstable and known as flare stars? This would be a problem for life in the Gliese system? Or is Gliese more stable being larger than most of these?

      Is there any meaningful insight into the balance of elements in the stellar system (from looking at the spectra of the star) that would help guess the composition of the rocky planets - would there be plenty of the right stuff for life? I ask because I read Gliese is 7-11 billion years old and older stars have less heavy elements, I'd guess that the system would not have the same abundance of metals and heavier elements.

      Does the spectra of a star give any clues to the abundance of water in the star system? At least upper and lower bounds?

      --
      After logging in slashdot still does not take you back to the page you were on. It's been that way for 20 years.
    5. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 4, Informative

      Certainly life as we know it has evolved to day-night cycles. Life here would be different. Raccoons (night-animals) would be as confused as deer (day-animals). But there isn't reason to believe they couldn't have evolved differently.

      As far as the narrow bands of tropics, this actually helps us determine that there are temperate zones. I posted the following above, but after your post, I just don't want to retype:
      "However, the great thing about this planet is that there is almost certainly a "too-hot" part, and a "too-cold" part, for humans, due to the tidal locking that you point out. However, somewhere between there, there must be a "just-right" part. This helps confirm that there is a habitable zone on the star."

      The gravitational dynamics are rather well studied, for orbital stability. This is a rather robust part of the study (which, as someone interested in many-body dynamics, a very complex subject, is always surprising to me).

      There might be some bizarre weather patterns, but there will be a region of what would be, to us humans, a comfortable region. This strongly suggests a nice region for life as we know it.

      Could life exist as-we-do-not-know-it in a different extreme environment? Maybe. But a simpler jump is to life-as-we-do-know-it being elsewhere, since we have evidence such life does exist here, so that is why finding a human-suitable environment is so promising.

      The weather might not be fun, that's for sure. But ask people in Alaska and the Mojabe---life exists nonetheless. It might be fun (or not) to be a weatherman there.

    6. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 4, Informative

      I believe they determined it as follows:

      The planet is close to its star.

      The planet has a fairly well known size.

      The gravitational force on the near vs. far side can be calculated based on the planet-star distance and the planet size.

      Guessing the planet is mostly rock (a very safe guess based on lots of planetary science information), we can guess how much frictional energy is lost in that differential stretching.

      Based on the elements observed in the star, we can estimate the age as billions of years old.

      The frictional forces would slow down the planet rotation much faster than billions of years. Thus, by now, it would be tidally locked.

      The key is that the planet is closer to its star than the Earth. For example, Mercury (which isn't even as close to the Sun as GJ581g is to its star) is in a 3:2 tidal lock between its orbit and rotation. The full 1:1 lock is expected for closer planets. This is the case for the Earth's Moon, which is why we always see the same side of the Moon. This tidal locking is extremely well established with the Earth's Moon.

    7. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 3, Informative

      I answered this above, but probably after you posted this. Just for completion my answer is as follows. The RV-of-the-star itself data didn't imply the tidal locking, but rather extrapolations based on gravitational interactions, as below:

      I believe they determined it as follows:

      The planet is close to its star.

      The planet has a fairly well known size.

      The gravitational force on the near vs. far side can be calculated based on the planet-star distance and the planet size.

      Guessing the planet is mostly rock (a very safe guess based on lots of planetary science information), we can guess how much frictional energy is lost in that differential stretching.

      Based on the elements observed in the star, we can estimate the age as billions of years old.

      The frictional forces would slow down the planet rotation much faster than billions of years (I forget the exact value, but less than 1 billion years; if you really want me to spend a few hours doing the calculation for a better estimate, let me know, but it wouldn't really matter). Thus, by now, it would be tidally locked.

      The key is that the planet is closer to its star than the Earth. For example, Mercury (which isn't even as close to the Sun as GJ581g is to its star) is in a 3:2 tidal lock between its orbit and rotation. The full 1:1 lock is expected for closer planets. This is the case for the Earth's Moon, which is why we always see the same side of the Moon. This tidal locking is extremely well established with the Earth's Moon.

    8. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 4, Informative

      Good point!

      There is some controversy here. GJ 581 doesn't seem to be to dramatically variable. But others are. The lead of SETI wrote a recent paper claiming M dwarfs are not so active as to prevent life or even advanced life. However, this was in response to papers claiming the opposite. It's uncertain, but it seems GJ 581 is stable enough for long enough periods that life can evolve. Even our Sun isn't super stable, yet life exists. Thus ice ages, the Maunder Minimum and Mini-Ice-Age, and the like.

      The spectrum of the star wouldn't necessarily tell us about the composition of planets. Some planet-star spectrum correlations have been seen as far as whether stars have planets, but these have not necessarily been tied to causation, and certainly not to composition of the planets. We would certainly need to calibrate any such tracer first, anyways.

      The composition-age relationship for stars that you mention has more to do with the generation of stars. Stars today are made out of the waste products from the exploded material from previous stars. That material is enriched by the nuclear processes from those previous stars, meaning they start with more heavy elements. The current generation includes stars today and those from at least as long ago as 10 billion years. Beyond that you start to get to the beginnings of the universe and earlier generations of stars. So no big changes are really expected here, and the phenomenon you cite isn't currently believed to be planet-related, but rather just evolution-of-the-universe related, a very different topic.

      I don't think anything about the spectra of the star could identify water at this level of precision. Planets are a billion times fainter than their stars. The spectra had signal-to-noise ratios of order 300:1, which is impressive enough, but nowhere close to enough to see features of the planet. (If Bill Gates, the man of $60 billion, woke up tomorrow with $60x300 = $18,000 to his name, he might need to be put on suicide watch. That is the level of change we are talking about.)

    9. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 2, Informative

      The comparison to Mercury seems to be based on the planet's proximity to its star. The star is much colder that the Sun, so a closer-in planet like Mercury would not be nearly as hot as Mercury finds itself.

      In terms of size of the planet, this one is much more like the Earth. Mercury is really very small in comparison, and does not have much gravity to retain any atmosphere even if it were located where Earth is. So here the comparison to Mercury really doesn't work well.

    10. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 2, Informative

      These are actually some rather complex atmospheric questions, but it seems likely that winds on the planet would help mix the temperatures all over, making them more moderate. But it is possible the dark side would have more liquidification and freezing of parts of the atmosphere. On Earth we call this rain and snow...not necessarily bad things.

      It would be fascinating to study this planet's weather patterns to compare to the Earth's, from a scientific point of view. But it seems likely, no matter the patterns, that some stable point exists where life could thrive.

    11. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by dch24 · · Score: 2

      Related question:

      What effect would Gliese 581's solar wind have on the planet's atmosphere?

      I assume that red dwarfs have less solar wind than sol, but I'm not aware of data or deductions on the subject. Fascinating stuff!

    12. Re:I work with 2 of the authors by SETIGuy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What aggravates me is the pronouncement that "it is tidally locked" rather than a "based on what we know it is likely to be tidally locked". Give it a large moon (which they couldn't detect) or a orbital resonance (which they might be able to detect) and suddenly it's not tidally locked. The things we know about this planet are its mass (within a factor of two or so) and its orbital period. And Butler's proclaiming to the Discovery channel that there's life there until someone proves otherwise, like that's the default position. And people wonder why scientists aren't taken seriously by the public. Maybe it's because too many of us can't put out a press release without saying something stupid.

      Maybe they think that it doesn't matter because they'll probably be dead before we get the first spectra of this planet. Yell 'Yahtzee!' all you want, but I'm not going to believe it until I can see the dice.

  20. Success Story by zooblethorpe · · Score: 4, Funny

    According to theory, we will need the survival capabilities of the cockroach to remain on this planet.

    Well, there's lawyers covered, then.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  21. Re:And the odds of habitable aren't that great by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Interesting
    There's no free water - it's all a sulfuric acid haze. Spin-locked planets don't have enough tidal stress to drive plate tectonics, so there's no recycling of CO2 - all the CO2 that's in limestone, etc., that gets subducted? It gets baked out into the atmosphere instead. You end up with YAV - Yet Another Venus.

    We're here not just because we're in the Goldilocks zone, but also because we're a double-planet (earth and moon). Lots of gravitational stress to help encourage crustal slip along fault lines, and free water to help with the slippage. A runaway greenhouse effect caused by much higher CO2 concentrations converts the water to H2SO4. Once the water is gone (it's still liquid at depth even at 150C because of the pressure), the plates lock up completely, and you get Venus.

  22. The moon may be relevant by mangu · · Score: 2, Interesting

    the lack of tidal pumping means the crust of the planet is locked, which means no plate tectonics, which means no CO2 recycling, which means a Venus-like planet.

    Right on. I would even add that perhaps the moon is fundamental to the creation of life.

    There was a time when the moon was much closer to the earth, when tides were hundreds of meters high.

    There are theories that life might have been created first when some clay crystals with the right shape got stuck with some complex organic molecules.

    Maybe if there were no moon, then no complex organic molecules would have reached the right clays.

    According to the accepted theories, the moon may have been created in a freak accident, when a Mars-sized planet hit the earth in the early solar system. The combination of a moon-forming impact with being right in the liquid water zone could be an improbable event.

    1. Re:The moon may be relevant by DJRumpy · · Score: 2, Informative

      There are also theories that without the moon, the earth would wobble uncontrollably with no set axis. Imagine the chaos is that turned out to be true ;)

      There's also an error in the summary. TFA states the planet actually has 3 earth masses not 20% to 50% of Earth's mass, which makes sense. It's also tide locked like our moon is to Earth.

    2. Re:The moon may be relevant by tomhudson · · Score: 2

      After looking at the evidence, that's what I go with. Most impacts would have produced an asteroid belt, or eventually cleared out the zone as material got ejected towards Venus or Mars - or accumulated back into one large body with very small moons. The earth-moon double planet is a very very exceptional situation. We don't see anything remotely like it anywhere else in the system.

    3. Re:The moon may be relevant by EsbenMoseHansen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How about Pluto and Charon? That's a double system, albeit not planets but dwarf-ditto. Besides, 8 planets are not a HUGE number of cases to base a probability calculation on :)

      --
      Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.
  23. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by mangu · · Score: 2, Funny

    As an electrical engineer, I feel I have a fairly firm grasp on how people figure out a lot of these seemingly extremely complex things.

    Magic.

    As an electrical engineer, I feel I have a fairly firm grasp on how people figure out a lot of these seemingly magical things.

    A sufficiently advanced technology.

    Woooosh?

    OK, OK, I know...

  24. bored now, with space exploration by Tumbleweed · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm much more interested in the possibilities of exploring alternate Earths. Somewhere, I'm just SURE I'll find a world where everyone in the U.S. uses the evolved form of the Amiga, with Dvorak keyboards in Esperanto. And the metric system. I'm dying for a McDonalds Royale (hold the cheese and pickles), with a medium Dr. Pepper with pure cane sugar (no ice).

    Maybe the alternate world in Fringe will be a good start, only less fascist. I love the dirigibles and the NYC skyline.

  25. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by Penguinisto · · Score: 2, Informative

    The submitter should have included this bad boy (PDF) in his linkage. Expecting to see methodology on a discovery.com website? You'll have an easier time getting Steve Ballmer to cough up the source code for MS Office.

    PS: As an EE, you should know the specific type of magic: It's most commonly referred to as FM.

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  26. Wow by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My what exciting times we live in. Just think... it has only been around 100 years since we realized the universe is organized into galaxies. Only a few hundred since we realized that the Earth is not the center of the universe. Sometimes it is hard to have faith in the future... but discoveries like this touch that small part of me that hasn't become jaded.

    --
    See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    1. Re:Wow by Newtonian_p · · Score: 2, Informative

      "The Great Debate" occured in 1920 and it took a while after that to figure out that Heber Curtis was right. It's crazy that it took so long to develop the telescopes needed to find out there are other galaxies out there.

      And in less than 90 years since then, we now have the technology to take those Deep Field pictures showing tens of thousands of galaxies at a time when the Universe was 300 million years old.

      --

      There are 2 kinds of people in this world: Those who write in decimal and those who don't

  27. Stability vs stagnation by rs1n · · Score: 2, Interesting

    While a stable climate might be great for sustaining life, it seems that the lack of change may also be the very detrimental from an evolutionary point of view since there is less of a need for adaptation. It makes me wonder what sort of life such a planet could sustain, assuming there is life. Would it be very diverse? Or would it be like a field of genetically engineered corn that could be wiped out with the slightest change in growing conditions?

    1. Re:Stability vs stagnation by east+coast · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I kind of makes me think of Bordered in Black by Niven.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
  28. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by nofx_3 · · Score: 2

    That formula requires knowing the initial spin rate (or current spin rate if you just want to calculate from now until a body is tidally locked). Although I guess given it's mass there is probably some sort of maximum initial spin rate, and even given that rate the planet might be guaranteed to be tidally locked at this point.

    --
    Visualize Whirled Peas
  29. What this isn't... by SETIGuy · · Score: 4, Informative

    First, TFS is wrong. This planet is 3 to 5 times the mass of the Earth, not 30%.

    The article also won't tell you what is speculation and what they've actually seen. The planet was detected through radial velocity measurement of the star. That pretty much means the only thing that has been measured is the planetary mass times the sine of the inclination of its orbit relative to the sun-Gl581 line. Hence the large uncertainty.

    When they talk about atmospheres they are speculating. There is no way to tell if this planet has an atmosphere, although the large mass helps the case. There's no way to tell if the planet is covered in an 100 mile deep ocean or if it is entirely dry other than by speculating based upon the composition of the host star. With no eclipses and a small planet to star distance it's going to be a while before we know for sure about either.

    When they are talking about tidal locking they are also speculating. While the planet would almost certainly be tidally locked to the star if it were the only planet in the system, it could exist in an orbital resonance with another planet that throws off the tidal locking, or it could have a large moon in close orbit, which would also do the job.

    I also haven't looked to see which version of the habitable zone definition they are using. I would suspect the run-away greenhouse to ice-line version.

  30. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

    That's sound reasoning based on the information in TFA but I'm curious as to how they determined it was tidally locked? - They can't see the surface so was it determined by a "spherical cow" calculation based on the age of the star?

    Also even if it is tidally locked to it's star how do we know it doesn't have moon(s) large enough to cause tidal pumping? After all it's the lack of moons that cause a lack of tidal forces on Venus.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  31. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by Penguinisto · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Personally, given the ubiquity and propensity of life to flourish wherever it can

    We have only ONE place that we know life flourishes.

    ...and at least one more (relatively) nearby where we can test the theory (Europa), plus one other place where there is speculation based on (admittedly circumstantial) evidence that life once existed (Mars).

    Also, the star is a red dwarf. Besides being plentiful fodder for jokes involving the word "smeghead", it also means that the star burns a lot cooler than the one we're currently parked next to. I'm also fairly sure that the folks eyeballing this thing would have taken the whole "it has an atmosphere but doesn't rotate" thing into account as well.

    No idea if tidal locking always means no plate tectonics, though. I'd be wondering how life would get along w/o a magnetic field to shield it from UV and hard radiation (though that would depend on the spectrum put out by the star in question...)

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  32. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by John+Hasler · · Score: 2

    With that close an orbit it's hard to see how it could not be locked. There could be quite a bit of libration, though.

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  33. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Informative

    there is probably some sort of maximum initial spin rate, and even given that rate the planet might be guaranteed to be tidally locked at this point.

    Glad you answered your own question. We have a good idea of what rotation rates are possible when planets form in a disk, probable rotation rates are basically a function of composition and mass (very small objects such as small moons, asteroids, and fragments are more complicated because their rotation rates are going to be affected by frequent impacts, but even then there's a limit to what gravity can hold together)

    Basically, the planet in question--Gilese 581g, is very very very old. It orbits a red dwarf star whose lifetime is in the billions of decades--20-30 billion years likely (too lazy to check for an actual figure, but it's much longer than the 10 billion years for our sun). Based on the current age of the system it (and apparently every other planet in that system, from the bottom of the wiki page on tidal locking) should already be locked.

  34. Tidally locked means permanent shade by zooblethorpe · · Score: 2, Informative

    If the planet is tidally locked, there would be permanent shade on the dark side, and on the shady side of any mountains near the terminator line, which would provide UV shielding of a sort.

    And even with no tidally induced tectonics, might there not be some thermally induced tectonics, depending on how hot things get on the sunny side? All that heat has gotta go somewhere, possibly leading to magma convection...

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  35. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by similar_name · · Score: 2, Informative

    It orbits a red dwarf star whose lifetime is in the billions of decades--20-30 billion years likely

    The age of the universe is thought to be between 12 and 14 billion years old.

  36. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by tomhudson · · Score: 2
    That still doesn't change the fact that the scientist made an extremely foolish assertion about life flourishing everywhere. Best example? Compared to the Sun (>99.8% of all the system's mass), the planets are a rounding error - and there's no life on the sun.

    Maybe we should sent an expedition to check for life on the sun at night when it's cooler?

    There's also a problem if we do find life on other planets in-system - they may just be contamination from our past (meteor impacts).

  37. to put 20 light years in perspective... by physicsdot · · Score: 5, Insightful

    20 light years is *about* 1.25 million AU. Voyager is 113 AU from the sun, in under 4 years it will be 125 AU from the sun. If we pretended Voyager 1 was heading the in right direction it would be 1/10000 of the way there. Or if we imagined that the planet was 10 meters away, Voyager has travelled 1mm of the way there. About 350000 AD, it would arrive!

  38. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

    I'm not doubting them, just wonering how it was determined. My only nitpick of your reasonable theory is that it assumes the new planet has no moon. If it does have a moon then it cannot be tidally locked to both it's star and it's moon at the same time.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  39. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by icebike · · Score: 2

    Wait, you got all that from statement that it is tidally locked?

    Why would the crust have to be locked? Volcanism can't occur in the dark? A molten core can't exist without non-locked rotation? Are the measurements to date even capable of determining for certain it is tidally locked over large spans of time (they just recently found the planet).

    Why would CO2 recycling be absent? Because you can't imagine the mechanism? (What precisely IS CO2 recycling anyway)?

    You make a lot of assertions with very little evidence. Such a planet would still have weather, winds (rather strong and stead ones I suspect), and perhaps oceans, some of which may span the terminator.

    Too many assumptions.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  40. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by v1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    tidally locked isn't necessarily a bad thing. It guarantees that there's a "habitable ring" around the planet that is between the hot and cold side's temps, and its unchanging. So in some respects, it's better than earth here where we have to get used to day/night shifts. Look at what say, the desert does from noon to midnight, huge temp swings. It also means it doesn't have seasons since it's rotational axis is perpendicular to its orbital path. (consider the vast differences we get on the majority of the earth due to change in season) So not only do you have a wide variety of temperatures, but they're almost absolutely stable.

    And really, once life gets going and has time to start evolving and improving its ability to adapt, the limits of temperature in general matter less and less and life just spreads out to colonize before-unclaimed territory.

    --
    I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
  41. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by tomhudson · · Score: 2, Informative
    Read the literature. Volcanism only helps emit CO2 into the atmosphere - it doesn't take rock that has absorbed CO2 and, through plate subduction, recycle the crustal material back under the crust, thus acting as a CO2 sink.

    So, if the plates are locked, atmospheric CO2 quickly passes the tipping point and you end up with Venus - except that if it were the Earth (plus the mass of the moon, plus the other ejecta that were blasted away when the moon was created by the impact), instead of 22 atmospheres, we'd be at 45 atmospheres. In other words, instead of Venus being the hottest planet in the solar system, it would be Earth.

    Forget oceans - all the water vapor is tied up in an H2SO4 haze.

    Dark side? It would be almost as hot. That dense an atmosphere is very efficient at redistributing heat - plus, light bends almost completely around the planet due to the dense atmosphere. The dark side wouldn't be dark anyway - not with rocks so hot they glow.

    When it comes to inhabitable planets, there's no place like home.

  42. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by AmigaMMC · · Score: 2, Funny

    and there's no life on the sun.

    Maybe we should sent an expedition to check for life on the sun

    It's been done: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xeelee_Sequence_species#Photino_birds

  43. Tidal Lock = no Life by Meditato · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Look, I performed some of the first in-depth analysis of the Gliese 876 system. The inner two planets there are tidally-locked- there's no independent rotation. One side is searing hot (and thus barren), and the other side is frozen solid. The fact of the matter is that abiogenesis (as we understand it) requires a dynamic, liquid/gas H2O environment. This guy's shenanigans about "stable zones" existing between the hot and the cold is utter bullshit. Even if life could develop and then evolve to exist in the "stable zones", you have to remember that this isn't a single planet solar system. The gravitational influence of the other planets coupled with a fast orbital period could cause our poor 581g to wobble even under tidal lock; this would cause the "stable zones" on 581g to shift. In other words, there would be no stable zones. Self-replicating molecules as we know them would not even have the chance to chemically bootstrap.

  44. Re:Sweet by cdrguru · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We are stuck if we don't decide that we shouldn't be. If we are stuck, we need to think about what "sustainable" really means, and it means that the planet can comfortably support about 250 million people forever. Or, it can support 10 billion people for 100 years and then there is nothing left.

    So, we have maybe 100 years to figure out how to get unstuck. After that, nobody is going to have a long happy life but a lot of people will have short, uncomfortable lives on a barren rock.

  45. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by Psychotria · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We have only ONE place that we know life flourishes.

    NO. We have (at the moment) one planet where we know life flourishes. On this one planet though we have an incredible diversity of places where life flourishes. At every extremity where we least expect to find life we have eventually found it. There are a LOT of places and environments where life flourishes and of the places that we know of not all are particularly "suited" to "life".

  46. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by sycodon · · Score: 5, Funny

    So here I am, reading on Slashdot about two teams of astronomers with probably over 100 years of education between them, more doctorates than you can shake a sick at, who are publishing a paper in the Astrophysical Journal about this new discovery, and I find this post by tomhudson essentially calling them idiots.

    Only on Slashdot.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  47. Re:And the odds of habitable aren't that great by naasking · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I posted the calculations of the odds of another earth-moon system - in this galaxy, somewhere in my journal, but I'll give you the executive summary: we're IT. Unique.

    I find it hard to believe we have enough data to even begin to estimate these sorts of odds, particularly since this is the first planet we've detected that's even close to Earth-sized.

    I'm also not totally convinced by your arguments that this planet would simply be another Venus, since whether the greenhouse effect is detrimental depends entirely upon the intensity of incident radiation, which is dependent on the brightness its local sun and the distance of the planet from that sun. Greenhouse on Mars would be great, greenhouse on Earth not so much.

  48. Re:The chances are pretty much zero by Earthquake+Retrofit · · Score: 2, Informative

    And anyway, since when does being tide-locked preclude volcanism? Io seems to be rather tectonically active,

    --
    Fifty years of Yippie! 1968-2018
  49. Prime real estate by Dodgy+G33za · · Score: 2, Insightful

    My first thought was that if there is intelligent life on this planet, I would imagine that the part of the surface that has the sun directly above it would make a damn fine place to put solar panels. And the rim between the dark and light sides should generate some excellent wind power.

  50. Re:How can they tell its tidally locked? by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 4, Funny

    As a tautology expert, I have a fairly firm grasp when grasping things fairly firmly.

    --
    Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
  51. Re:I work for the Peanut gallery by Theory+of+Everything · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It isn't clear that life only happened on Earth once. In particular, there are life communities around thermal vents in the deep ocean that very well may be the result of a completely different spark of life. For the rest of the Earth, once life gets going, it seems to become rather dominant, not leaving much opportunity for a second genesis, though how would we know if it happened?

    In chemistry labs, we find that if the right basic elements are collected and put in early-Earth conditions, some of the complex molecules of life are assembled quite naturally. This is encouraging, at least.

    But, 60/40 is just a complete guess, you are correct.

  52. Re:Time to revive the orion project by ledow · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1000 years? That's a heck of a long time. It would be much sooner than that or not at all.

    1000 years from now? I should hope that by then we'd have invented something that could move a little faster and overtake any such ship. If we're even still around, and if an enclosed human populace can survive that long at all on such a journey (my bet would be 8 or so generations before some virus wipes them out).

    Don't forget that, to the 1000-years-in-the-future humans, we are the equivalent of the people just starting to invent gunpowder and paper and our 1000-years-in-the-future comrades have their own Internet, satellites, Mars-missions and quantum physics. We can just about add up, as a populace, and some highly-skilled polymaths are just getting the hang of second order equations and working out that gravity might possibly exist, while the 1000-years-in-the-future guys have atomic weapons, mappings of the human genome, synthetic foods, worldwide speed-of-light communications systems and cryogenics.

    Now translate that forward another 1000 years and our puny "Ooh, we just about got two objects out of the solar system in only 40 years of travel" will be vastly overtaken by all sorts. I wouldn't be surprised if any such project was an absolute waste of time. Hell, we have two possibilities - we overtake the Voyager spacecraft ourselves in the next 100 years or so, or we never even get that far ever, at all, and die out. I think a lot of money would be placed on both sides.

    But 1000 years? Please. It'd be better to wait 100 and then do it in half that time with the new advances. Human space travel is barely 50 years old itself, don't forget - you're talking about 20 times the amount of time of the entire history of spaceflight.

  53. Re:Time to revive the orion project by ledow · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Similarly, pissing away billions on something that we will literally be flying past in a generation's time, waving sarcastically from the windows as the other ship would still be a generation away from even home, is a ridiculous idea. There is pretty much nothing between solar systems that is worth studying with human contact, much better investment in long-range unmanned probes until we have the technology to get to those places within a lifetime. Even the moon was seen as an easily achievable distance - it was the cost and technical problems that held back everyone from doing it earlier, not the sheer consideration of a vast distance. As with everything, there are diminishing returns and sweet spots and there is a point at which it will come down to one generation, or some other feasible number and *then* it's worth the investment and not before.

    There was little point sending Voyager if we thought we would be overtaking it before it got to the outer planets, but that wasn't scientifically plausible even if we'd invested almost everything we had into the idea - the chances of us catching it within 20 years even if we could launch today are pretty damn slim. This, however, is scientifically implausible - because in several generations the chances of THAT ship being the one to get close to even the closest star and see something new is almost zero.

    It's like people vowing to walk around the world - it's more than feasibly possible for one person, with only existing technology, to fashion a vehicle on the starting line that will actually overtake them before they manage to do it. Nice exercise, but in terms of achieving distance and getting to a goal, the guy building even a skateboard on the starting line will win.