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Bastardi's Wager

DesScorp writes "AccuWeather meteorologist Joe Bastardi has a challenge for climate scientists. He wants one or more of their rank to accept a bet about temperature trends in the coming decade. Bastardi is making specific predictions. 'The scientific approach is: you see the other argument, you put forward predictions about where things are going to go, and you test them,' he says. 'That is what I have done. I have said the earth will cool .1 to .2 Celsius in the next ten years, according to objective satellite data.' Bastardi's challenge to his critics — who are legion — is to make their own predictions. And then wait. Climate science, he adds, 'is just a big weather forecast.' Bastardi's challenge is reminiscent of the famous Simon-Ehrlich Wager, where the two men made specific predictions about resource scarcity in the '80s."

3 of 672 comments (clear)

  1. Climate 'deniers' fall into 4 broad categories by gurps_npc · · Score: 0, Troll
    1. Those that know the climate is getting warmer, but think it is not related to man's actions and that therefore man is incapable of fixing the problem. They won't bet you.

    2. Those that know the climate is getting warmer, but are being paid to say otherwise. They won't bet you.

    3. Those that are too stupid and too poor to have any money to bet. They can't bet you.

    4. Those that are too stupid but by shere chance have cash. These people will most likely not have enough money to pay off the debt when it comes due (but just wait, they assure you, as soon as a certain nigerian transaction is complete, they will be able to pay you off). If they by random luck have money then, they won't remember the bet/will deny they ever made it. They won't pay you.

    Zero chance of getting your money back.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  2. and if it does by airwedge1 · · Score: 0, Troll

    And if it does get cooler, Obama will make a victory speech that his administration was the reason.

  3. Re:real science by RocketRabbit · · Score: 0, Troll

    According to surfacestations.org and the Hadley Climate Research unit leaks, they are kooks and are also fucking frauds.

    Hockey stick science designed to throw everybody into a panic serves nobody but those in power.