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GE Venture Will Share Jet Technology With China

vbraga writes "This week, during the visit of Chinese president Hu Jintao to the United States, GE plans to sign a joint-venture agreement in commercial aviation that shows the tricky risk-and-reward calculations American corporations must increasingly make in their pursuit of lucrative markets in China. GE, in partnership with a state-owned Chinese company, will be sharing its most sophisticated airplane electronics (NYT reg. required, reg.-free alternative here), including some of the same technology used in Boeing's new state-of-the-art 787 Dreamliner."

35 of 266 comments (clear)

  1. Repeating history by magarity · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it... see: software piracy, high speed trains, stealth fighters, aircraft carriers. Up next: commercial aircraft!

    1. Re:Repeating history by DeadManCoding · · Score: 2

      Here's the thing: China has become very well known for making deals to get modern and/or cutting edge technology without having to do the R&D. That is a boon for American companies for short term profits. It also significantly ups the ante for competition within the Chinese market.
      The problem that I see for China is that without having to do the R&D, they get the current tech, understand it, maybe make some improvements to that tech. However, I'm not sure if China has the capability to keep up with other global companies, companies that are investing for future technologies. If China doesn't steal those plans, they'll start to fall behind again, which creates a nice purchasing loop for those global companies.
      Those Chinese companies may be able to make and improve these commercial airliners, making them cheaper than anyone else, but they won't have the drop on the next new thing, which most global companies are looking for and are investing in.

      --
      "The only constant in the universe is change." - Unknown author
    2. Re:Repeating history by soundhack · · Score: 2

      While I would agree with your assessment in the short term, China is pushing out huge numbers of engineers, PhDs and otherwise. Granted there is some question as to how competent these graduates are compared to Western counterparts, but as with anything they do, they are incrementally improving.

      Pretty soon, they will have enough of a research and development base home grown that I don't think developing cutting edge technology would be that much of a problem.

    3. Re:Repeating history by alchemist68 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This IS SO WRONG! GE must be filled with corporate hungry capitalists willing to sacrifice the well-being and safety of the United States of America! I hope some American politicians wake-up and have the balls to challenge this corporate giant. Idiots - they never learn from others' experience - they must experience for themselves at OUR expense. Where is the USA government protecting the people and interests of our country and the TAX PAYER?

    4. Re:Repeating history by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem that I see for China is that without having to do the R&D, they get the current tech, understand it, maybe make some improvements to that tech. However, I'm not sure if China has the capability to keep up with other global companies, companies that are investing for future technologies. If China doesn't steal those plans, they'll start to fall behind again, which creates a nice purchasing loop for those global companies.

      You're assuming US companies will still have any revenue with which to fund R&D. We're not talking about microprocessors here -- the technology doesn't change that fast. The 747 is from 1969. That's the year we first landed on the moon. If China starts selling five year old technology for half price, five years worth of aircraft "innovation" isn't going to make up for the price difference.

    5. Re:Repeating history by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wrong. Short-sighted, yes, but irresponsible, absolutely not. Western companies giving away their secrets to Chinese companies are doing exactly the right thing, because this brings them short-term profit, which is what their shareholders want, and exactly what they're paying their CEOs for. The CEOs are doing exactly what their shareholders want them to.

      The shareholders want the CEOs to do anything they can to increase the stock price in the short term, so that they can sell their stock at a profit. After that, they aren't shareholders any more, and don't care what happens to the company. The way American corporations are set up, and the way their stocks are trade with such frequency, long-term strategic moves just aren't in their interest.

    6. Re:Repeating history by Grishnakh · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Those Chinese companies may be able to make and improve these commercial airliners, making them cheaper than anyone else, but they won't have the drop on the next new thing, which most global companies are looking for and are investing in.

      Next new thing? What's that going to be? Hypersonic aircraft or teleporters or something? Be realistic: there IS no next new thing, not for 50-100 years at least. Commercial jet airliners have been with us since the 50s now, and haven't changed significantly in that time. The only things that have changed are 1) engines are a little more efficient and quieter, but not by orders of magnitude, 2) planes are flown slower now to save fuel and keep prices low, 3) seats are packed together so that only toddlers are comfortable in them, and 4) "air rage" is now common whereas it never happened back then.

      There's been some other minor improvements of course: much better avionics (which isn't something that GE does to my knowledge), electronic engine controls (which GE does do), etc.

      But the idea that Americans or other Westerners are going to come up with huge new advances to always stay ahead of the Chinese is simply ridiculous. For instance, look at the article subject: this is about GE, which doesn't make planes, but jet engines and associated controls. Jet engines haven't changed much in 50 years, just small steady improvements. Most of the advances in jet turbines were in their early days, not any time recently; they're a mature technology, and current advances are only eking out fractions of a percent in improvement, much like automobile engines.

      GE is basically giving away their secrets here, and pretty soon there won't be a reason to buy a GE jet engine, because you'll be able to get one just like it made in China for less.

      What's worse, China's society heavily values science and engineers. America's does not. Very few people go into engineering any more, except for software engineering. When was the last time you met an aerospace engineer? Way back in the early 90s when I was in college, we joked that AEs would never find a job, because it was a pretty dead industry. Very few engineering majors went into the AE school. ME (which a lot of jet engine engineers probably have) is a little better, but still not great. Go into any major engineering school, and look at the students: most of them are Chinese and Indian, and these days, they go back to their home country when they finish their degree.

      America's days as a technology power (except maybe for web development) are almost over.

    7. Re:Repeating history by TubeSteak · · Score: 2

      We're not talking about microprocessors here -- the technology doesn't change that fast. The 747 is from 1969. That's the year we first landed on the moon.

      Ummm.... RTFS again.
      "Boeing's new state-of-the-art 787 Dreamliner"

      G.E.'s new joint venture in Shanghai will focus on avionics -- the electronics for communications, navigation, cockpit displays and controls. G.E. will be contributing its leading-edge avionics technology -- a high-performance core computer system that operates as the avionics brain of Boeing's new 787 Dreamliner.

      P.S. The 747 has had numerous refreshes of its cockpit avionics over the last 41 years.
      2010: http://www.airliners.net/photo/Delta-Air-Lines/Boeing-747-451/1843286/L/

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    8. Re:Repeating history by frosty_tsm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not all investment is in stock price. GE, like most established companies, pays dividends. Their investors purchased their stock years or decades ago and are enjoying a small but reliable payment every 3 months.

      In this case, stock price is part of the equation, but is not the entire picture.

    9. Re:Repeating history by timeOday · · Score: 2

      There's been some other minor improvements of course: much better avionics (which isn't something that GE does to my knowledge), electronic engine controls (which GE does do), etc.

      Actually it is about avionics:

      G.E.'s new joint venture in Shanghai will focus on avionics -- the electronics for communications, navigation, cockpit displays and controls. G.E. will be contributing its leading-edge avionics technology -- a high-performance core computer system that operates as the avionics brain of Boeing's new 787 Dreamliner.

    10. Re:Repeating history by thePig · · Score: 2

      IANAE, but it looks like an issue with the basic concept of stocks. Stocks are a nice way for a small company to get external funding and grow, but once it breaches the small company size and the companies growth decreases in speed, then short term benefits override long term benefits for the share holder.

      For smaller companies, the money put in by the investor grows in multiples within few years - so the investor is wary of doing anything that can jeopardize the future of the company - since the profit margins are unattainable through other methods. For bigger companies, the company might grow 20% or so per year - so people who make the decisions (big investors) - has multiple options, and so try to maximize the profit even if messes up the company. Even the company tanks after 5 years of higher profit, they can use the money to put in any other big company giving the same level of profit, and totally they have higher returns overall.

      Even dividends I dont think helps much in this case, since it is just percentage of the profit. So, unless a completely new concept comes which can avoid this problem, this issue is going to be there.

      --
      rajmohan_h@yahoo.com
    11. Re:Repeating history by tsotha · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it...

      More specifically jet technologies like the WS-10, an engine which is a nut-for-bolt ripoff of the Russian AL-31.

      By now Chinese companies are famous for making partnerships with foreign firms and then burning their partners once they think they can get away with it. Whoever made this decision at GE is an idiot.

    12. Re:Repeating history by Grishnakh · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Give me a break? You buy this drivel?

      It's not drivel; I'm just pointing out that there's nothing "irresponsible" about a company selling its crown jewels if it can make a short-term profit, because that's all its owners care about. Maybe you don't like it, but you don't own the company. I don't like it either, but I don't own GE (nor do I hold any stock in it).

      You just made the case that because our system is set-up to externalize as many costs as possible in favor of short-term profit, it must be OK.

      I never made any moral judgments, I only pointed out that the players in the system are doing exactly what they're supposed to do. If you don't like it, you need to change the system. (Good luck with that; our elected leaders like things the way they are.)

      In the technology world, we have an entire industry dedicated to figuring out the impact of technological change on society and the human implications of that change. It's called Science Fiction. We think about what could happen; what could go wrong; what could go right and we write millions of stories about it.

      Yes, of course. There's many good stories that I think offer a pretty good glimpse into what our future is like. The movie "Blade Runner" I think shows an accurate view of what cities in America will look like in 20 years, for instance.

      Read, for instance, stories about Chinese Mothering [wsj.com] to see where the individual is repressed to favor some other goal of more immediate and concrete utility. If mothers are forcing their wills relentlessly on their children all over China, what lessons does the Chinese ruling class take to it's job of governing and use of its increasing power? Since most of us aren't in the ruling class, we have a lot to lose if they become the next hegemony.

      Yes, they're more interested in the good (and success) of society; the happiness of the individual is unimportant. If a few kids get depressed and kill themselves, so what? There's plenty more to replace those. However, it seems to be a successful strategy so far, so we probably better get used to not being top dog any more. I certainly wouldn't want to live that way, but I can't say that their system is a failure.

      It's taken a lot of hard, expensive work and lives were lost in developing the technologies that gave us the edge to "win" the cold war. Now we're bartering this long-term advantage for some short-term profits? And you say this is justified?

      I never said it was "justified", only "responsible" (to the people who own the company).

      I see this as a sign that we're circling the drain. Our grandparents' generation would recognize this for what it is: Treason.

      What makes it treason? Giving away important technology? Where do you draw the line? Was it treason when garment manufacturers moved manufacturing operations offshore? Is it treason to buy food produced in other countries? Is it treason to have software developed in India? Exactly what international trade is treason, and what isn't? How do you determine that? Some people seem to think buying a Japanese car is "treason", but buying an American car (made in Hermosillo, Mexico) isn't, even if the Japanese car is made in Mississippi. Do we need to seal the borders and stop all trade in order to not be treasonous? That would kinda suck for anyone needing gasoline, since we can't produce enough for our demand.

      I see this as a sign that we're circling the drain.

      Of course we're circling the drain, but the causes are many and complex, not just because one company is selling some avionics technology to the Chinese. At many levels, and for many reasons, our society is regressing, and is no longer able to compete with the Chinese.

      My advice? Get out while you can.

    13. Re:Repeating history by h4rm0ny · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And then you introduce the issue of competition and the whole thing starts to look like a giant version of the Prisoner's Dilemma. Company X has to agree with China's conditions, else Compay Y will instead. Of course as we all know, the whole thing about prisoner's dillemma is that it falls apart in the long-term. Solidarity brings the best rewards over repeated trials, betrayal in the immediate future. America has done well with it's competitive system of companies, but this fails in the face of a unified outside force that can play them off against each other.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    14. Re:Repeating history by h4rm0ny · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The GP's point is that if the 747 is still viable today, and it is forty years old (not withstanding minor updates), then even if China can't build on the new technology beyond its current point (which is debatable), then having 2010 technology could keep them a significant player for decades to come.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    15. Re:Repeating history by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      They can't just copy an existing design and manufacture it for half the price. Apart from the difficulty of selling such a product to other countries due to international laws on patents etc. you can't just build an aircraft and fly it. It has to be extensively tested and certified as safe. You have to develop complex documentation and procedures. There is on-going maintenance and you usually buy your engines from someone else which could present problems.

      Besides that the actual manufacturing costs are probably not that much lower in China. The labour might be but they are a relatively small part of the overall cost. Materials, assembly facilities and factories, testing and so forth are what really soak up the budget. Maybe you could shave 10% off the final price of an aircraft but when you pay £18,000,000 for an average jet do you really want to take a chance on a new company that doesn't yet have the global network and long standing expertise like Airbus or Boeing does?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:Repeating history by spun · · Score: 3, Informative

      American companies aren't "American" anymore. There is no real link between a large corporation and any nation or people. The rich of any country can and will continue to profit even as their country goes bankrupt. America may be competing with China, but American corporations are not. American corporations are not citizens, they are not our allies, and we have no longer have any interests in common. What is good for American corporations is not what is good for the American people, it is only what is good for the ultra wealthy. American corporations are not competing with China any more or less than they are competing with America.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  2. Globalization by JasonFlanders · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Would China owned companies share any of their military technology with us? We are are simultaneously the strongest and most soft-headed country in the history of the world. How come talk of globalization somehow only includes us selling our shiz off?

    1. Re:Globalization by syousef · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Would China owned companies share any of their military technology with us? We are are simultaneously the strongest and most soft-headed country in the history of the world. How come talk of globalization somehow only includes us selling our shiz off?

      Did you expect China to just keep selling you cheap toys and clothing? Eventually an emerging market...emerges.

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
  3. Yep by ShakaUVM · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yep. This is how the Chinese have been doing their technology transfer without needing to pay billions in R&D themselves.

    They go to a company and tell them that they'd like to build some nuclear reactors or high speed trains or something. The deal they make always goes like:
    1) We'll buy the first two nuclear plants.
    2) The next two you build using our people.
    3) The ones thereafter you give us the plans to build, and we'll do it all ourselves, and pay you a royalty.

    Now China has the plans to the AP1000, one of the most modern nuclear plants being built today, as well as a trained workforce in building it, all without having to do any of the R&D work themselves, or pay much more than just the cost of a couple plants (which they get to use anyway).

    It's a very clever idea, and companies are all falling over themselves to give away their best technologies to China, since they're so eager for short-term profits, they don't realize they're shooting themselves in the foot, long term.

    1. Re:Yep by seifried · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Which is what Americans used to say about Japan after WWII (they just imitate stuff, they can't innovate!). The Chinese are moving up the food chain of manufacturing/R+D/etc. as we speak, pretending otherwise may make you feel better, but it won't alter reality.

    2. Re:Yep by ShakaUVM · · Score: 2

      >>One thing you did not take into account is while China takes the plans for the AP1000 or next gen doohickey, GE is forging on with their next idea. China, using this technique, will catch up, but they will always be 1 step behind. No more, no less

      Well, the AP1000 is made by CBS (owner of Westinghouse), not GE (owner of NBC).

      No matter how you slice it, they're getting a tremendous leg up in technology, and will be able to either continue R&D from a really good starting point, or will be able to just continue making cheap knock-offs of the AP1000, which has a reasonably good design.

    3. Re:Yep by Weezul · · Score: 2

      There is ample evidence that this doesn't really work that way. They learn the underlying theory while working with the technology. Even if they don't push towards the most advanced stuff, they'll still seal up the market, blocking out the company that originally sold them the airplanes.

      In the end, the U.S. and E.U. will need to impose tariffs to balance the trade with China, not much choice otherwise.

      --
      The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
    4. Re:Yep by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      Yes, and just as it's possible for the US and Japan to be first world nations, it will also be possible for the US and China to both be first world nations. Prosperity is not a zero-sum game(provided we don't all choke on the industrial waste).

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  4. Typo in summary by dbIII · · Score: 2, Funny

    Boeing's new state-of-the-art 787 Dreamliner

    Shouldn't that be late-of-the-art 787 Dreamliner
    Also wasn't there a court case a while ago about Boeing getting the results of some industrial espionage into Airbus? Hasn't there been speculation that some of the Boeing problems were due to blind copying without knowing why parts of the most recent Airbus were designed that way? Are the Chinese really getting anything new that they couldn't get from elsewhere anyway?

  5. Turnabout? by jklappenbach · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Perhaps we might start demanding that every Chinese company wanting access to American markets must locate offices here, staff them with US workers, and share their technology in turn. We did that with the Japanese...

  6. You can see where this is going... by Jeremi · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "The Capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them." -- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin

    --


    I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    1. Re:You can see where this is going... by nickmalthus · · Score: 2

      China is more of a Fascist government than a Communist one these days and this is all very reminiscent of when some American corporations and banking institutions collaborated with the Nazi's to reap huge military buildup profits in a down global back in the 1930's.

      --
      If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be-T J
  7. Good deal for China by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 4, Insightful

    China is getting a great deal on this. Not only do they get investment, but they get the tooling and most importantly first-hand knowhow to build reliable high-performance jet engines. China has had lots of trouble mastering jet engines. They are very tricky to get right, especially for them to last a long time and not be replaced every 1000 hours. Apparently just because your net.agents stole the plans from poorly-secured GE desktops doesn't mean you actually know how to use the knowledge.

    The unnamed state-owned company that GE will be giving money to isn't even identified in the article. This is because state-owned company means that it is an arm of the Chinese government. Americans unfamiliar with the Chinese SOE and searching for an American equivalent merely need think of GM: owned by the government and not so much worried with making profit as keeping workers employed and achieving national political objectives. These SOEs are a major part of the Chinese economy (even though "journalists" like to tell us that China has gone all capitalist now) and doing a JV (joint venture) with them is putting on lipstick and stockings and getting into bed with the government. Whatever happens next, you know you're getting fucked. We are all aware, of course, that under Chinese law JVs are required to be owned 51% by the Chinese partner? And that there is a long list of broken companies in the last ten years that went into JVs and ended up lying by the roadside, lipstick smudged and used condoms hanging out of their asses? Look up Danone vs. Wahaha for a well-known example. GE's slogan, "imagination at work", should serve it well as it goes shopping for lingerie and a nice water-based lube for the pleasure of its new Chinese husband.

    --
    Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    1. Re:Good deal for China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You have a disturbing fondness for graphic rape analogies.

  8. "NYT Reg Required"? by artor3 · · Score: 2

    It's a bit off topic, but I don't think NYT requires registration, and I was certainly able to access their article without logging in.

  9. So they have no one to blame but themselves by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So they can't blame anyone but themselves when in 2-5 years from now China stops buying those parts because they have reverse engineered them and make them on their own now and dump you now that they have taken the tech they wanted...

    --
    We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
  10. Re:China Rising by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

    The US decline in global influence was because idiots have been in charge for too long. Ignore China, just worry about your own country and don't jump at shadows to turn a good faith into an armageddon cult.

    Worrying about your own country isn't going to improve conditions there, when the leaders are corrupt and the voters absolutely moronic. I think better advice would be to find a good place to bail out to. Get out while the gettin's good, as they used to say.

  11. Re:How about the Japanese? by magarity · · Score: 2

    People were saying the same things about the Japanese in the 1950,s and 1960's.

    Except that Japan is a parliamentary democracy with regular and peaceful ruling party changes. Ask the latest Nobel Peace Prize winner if its just needless hand-wringing to worry about the Chinese authorities getting their hands on yet more latest tech.

  12. Re:Don't Trust the Chinese by jandersen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They have no morals in business... because of the Communist mentality that they were brain washed when they were little.

    Unlike Enron, Halliburton, ...

    The idea that morals are irrelant is a very capitalist and, dare I say it, American one. Isn't is in America that you go to business school to learn that the only thing that matters is shareholder profit? That if you have a clear suspicion that your company's products are harming people's health, you ignore it until a court ruling forces you to do otherwise? And so on - this is not about Communism, mate.

    What kind of a business man will put melamine in milk - this is the same type immoral thinking that they have.

    The kind of business man that has gone to business school in America. Bear in mind that these businesses have arisen after China have opened up their markets; their managers have gone to mostly American universities to get their MBAs - they have learned their ways from you guys. What you are saying is that people and community should matter more than profit - very, very Communist ideas, if I am any judge.