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Long Now Clock Advances With Bezos Cash

heptapod writes "Wired has an in-depth article about the 10,000 Year Clock and The Long Now Foundation which has begun moving forward with Jeff Bezos's investment of $42 million. Recently he put up a website with more information." My favorite-yet article about the 10,000 Year Clock appeared on Kevin Kelly's site earlier this month. (Kelly always seems to be involved in interesting projects, and is one of the movers behind this one.)

33 of 169 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Cool idea, but... by jmottram08 · · Score: 3

    The idea is to build a clock that lasts that long, not pay for repairs and maintenance to run a clock for 10.000 years. RTFA

  2. Archeologic interpretation by rasmusbr · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Will future archaeologists interpret this as a sign that there was a cult based around timekeeping in Texas in the 2000's?

    Probably not, but it is an interesting thought that it may be the case that many if not all of the most durable and long-standing monuments of ancient times essentially tell us nothing that's representative about the ancient cultures that built them. Take Stonehenge for example. Imagine if Stonehenge was built by a small group of people with too much money or resources on their hands who thought that it would be awesome to build a really, really big stone circle.

    1. Re:Archeologic interpretation by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 3, Interesting

      IIRC Stonehenge has an astronomical purpose - in particular determination of the equinox for calendar keeping. Kinda important if you want to know when to go out and saw your fields. The easter island statues are indeed more obscure, but most likely the result of an epic dick waving competition between competing chieftains.

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    2. Re:Archeologic interpretation by hedwards · · Score: 2

      Well, they weren't a cult based around timekeeping in Texas in the 2000's, that's for damned sure.

    3. Re:Archeologic interpretation by icebike · · Score: 2

      Saw your fields? Oh, you mean perhaps sow....?

      Seriously, all of this nonsense about huge construction projects in ancient times JUST to tell them when to sow is utter nonsense that even the most casual observer knows is demonstrably not true, yet is it mumbled authoritatively by archaeologists as if it were the pinnacle of knowledge.

      How did there come to be enough people to build such a project if they did not already have a clear understanding of the seasons and were not already good judges of when to plant?

      People who lived off the land for thousands of years knew the seasons. They didn't need huge monuments to tell them when to sow. If they did, they would be dead of starvation long before they built them.

      These things were built for religious or political purposes, by a population which was ALREADY SO SUCCESSFUL at farming that they had a great deal of time on their hands waiting for crops to mature, or the next season to arrive, and plenty to eat.

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    4. Re:Archeologic interpretation by icebike · · Score: 2

      You've bough into the same fallacy.

      How did the survive long enough to build wooden structures to tell what seasons to sow?

      Look, (puts on Gieco hat), its not hard to know when to plant. Snow melts. Ground gets warm enough to dig in with bare hands. Wild plants start growing all by themselves. Even a Cave Man could do it.

      The very earth under your feet tells you when its time to sow.
      Nobody needs an observatory.

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    5. Re:Archeologic interpretation by Anne+Honime · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Look, (puts on Gieco hat), its not hard to know when to plant. Snow melts. Ground gets warm enough to dig in with bare hands. Wild plants start growing all by themselves. Even a Cave Man could do it. The very earth under your feet tells you when its time to sow. Nobody needs an observatory.

      To the contrary. For the better part of known, written history, mathematicians and astronomers fought for building better almanacs specifically to cater for the needs of farmers. Those where extremely important researches, funded by kings and worth a lot of gold for whomever came with an edge in predicting the solar cycle exact duration. The ancient chinese emperors were responsible for deciding when to plow the earth, for instance. The power of egyptians pharaohs was tied to the prediction of the flooding of the Nile. This is DOCUMENTED history. Kepler stumbled upon his famous orbital laws almost by accident, because he was building an almanac for farmers and seafarers. My grandfather bought yearly, between the 50s and 80s, a printed almanac with dates to sow various plants calculated for the coming year. Everybody in the countryside would do the same. For the longest of times, it was literally a matter of life or death.

  3. First priority by rossdee · · Score: 5, Funny

    Should be abolishing daylight saving so you don't have to change it every 6 months

    1. Re:First priority by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2

      From what I've read earlier (I'm now too lazy to check if that information is still up to date) this clock is intended to be automatically synchronized to the sun. Which should rule out daylight saving, I think.

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      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  4. What the fuck is this? by Elbereth · · Score: 5, Funny

    Since the summary doesn't tell you, I will: it's a huge, useless clock being built in the desert. It's called the "10,000 year clock" because the hands of the clock move glacially slowly. It will truly be a wonder to behold, unless it stops working after 100 years and people forget that it's even there.

    tl;dr version: big, useless clock.

    1. Re:What the fuck is this? by drolli · · Score: 2

      Yes. If it requires any attendance on the scale of 100 years, then i know many cheaper, more accurate and stable methods to do it. Clock normally work over 100s of years. and if you build them electronically using high-grade components and the right circuit type, then i have no doubt you can build them redundantly with power for a longer time. The clocks on the Voyager work for over 30years and they were limited by external limitations in a substantial way.

    2. Re:What the fuck is this? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2

      I disagree with them building a durable physical clock and claiming success. But your post shows that you didn't get the first thing right about the Long Now project. Even this clock's design folly was useful, because it shows how far so many (probably practically all) of us are from having truly longterm vision skills.

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    3. Re:What the fuck is this? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2

      However, instead of focusing on building a clock, I'd focus on how to pass our current knowledge into the future so it may survive a possible collapse and re-building of civilization. This is of course a much harder problem than building a long-living clock, but also much more worthwhile.

      There are three points to consider:

      • First, the knowledge itself must be stored on a medium which is durable enough to survive thousands of years. That means, it must be stored on a medium which is both durable enough that natural degradation doesn't affect it too much so that the information is basically intact after thousands of years, and on the other hand should not be useful for any other purpose (because otherwise it will disappear by humans reusing it for other purposes) and/or be stored in a place inaccessible without sufficient technology (which would make access to it available only if a minimum standard of technology is achieved). One could even plan in several stages, to be found by increasingly difficult means, so for each stage, only the information they can grok at that stage is to be found. Each stage would explain where to find the next, and contain all information about how to reach it (e.g. if one repository is in the deap sea, the previous one would convey all knowledge about submarine building).
      • Second, the knowlege must be decodable by the future people. That is, one must find a way to tell them the language the knowledge is stored in. In other words, there must be a sort of language course involved. And in case some language of today is known then, but it's not the one the information is stored in, also maybe add a sort of Rosetta stones for different languages.
      • Finally, there's the problem on how to make them find the information. This is probably the hardest part. Here, maximal redundancy would be needed. Probably a combination of cult building, writing stories involving that repository (so it gets into common knowledge in a form which is more likely to be re-told to future generations) and artefacts pointing to it distributed all around the globe (like little burned clay medals helping in locating it, which are of course mentioned in all stories about the repository).

      Indeed, there could be a multi-level approach with redundancy on all levels (e.g. the burned clay medals point to one [or better, several] of many local information centers which contain a bit more information about finding more central repositories, which ultimately point towards a list of maybe one main repository per continent, which then contains the actual information.

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      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    4. Re:What the fuck is this? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 2

      You would have a point, there, if there were a reason why anybody would care about this clock 50 or 100 years from now anymore than they do now. This isn't a "make big investment, get long-term payoff" project. To put it crudely, it's dick-size stuff.

  5. Re:Cool idea, but... by ThunderBird89 · · Score: 2

    Maybe it will, based on their site, they're making it as reliable as it's possible, with multiple power sources and timekeeping instruments. I don't think the costs or the knowledge will be an issue: by design, it's made to be maintainable with Bronze Age tech and its purpose and workings are to be as clear as possible to allow even a primitive civilization to take a look at it and figure out what goes where, and what does what.

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  6. Proving Themselves Shortsighted by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2

    A project to build a clock that will ring periodically through 10,000 years must include assurance that people will recognize the clock ringing, and what time it is on it, or it's just a tree falling in a forest with no one to hear. It would demonstrate nothing about a long duration "now" in planning, execution or just thinking through as a span, except that we presently suck at it.

    Which is why this project is folly. All its effort is making a physical object durable, which is of course no assurance of longevity. The chances are high that sometime in the next 10,000 years some people (if not a nonhuman natural event, like volcano) will damage, dismantle or disable the physical clock - no matter how strong some of their ancestors once made it. But even if it does last, without ensuring people around throughout the 10,000 years can read it when it rings will mean they have failed to make a "10,000 clock", though they might have made a "10,000 year machine".

    The project should focus on how to enable people to recognize that it's a clock ringing through its 10,000 year lifetime. And indeed the project could be limited to only that: ensuring that people can read how stars, the Sun, the Moon and planets align to "ring" when they reach certain layouts would use the much more long lived celestial bodies as a durable clock. If they want to build a machine that will point to the skies every decade/century/millennium that's a decent next step, even if the machine is just the caption to the real clock. And to the real achievement: planning 10,000 years of viable function.

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  7. Re:Cool idea, but... by Xtifr · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You'd think that kind of information would be in TFS so we know WTF they're talking about. OMGWTFBBQ.

    I'd say something about how you must be new here, but I think that a six-digit ID indicates otherwise (even if it's hardly something to brag about).

    Merely leaving out critical information is pretty good for a slashdot summary. I've given up complaining unless the summary actively lies or misleads. (This still leaves me plenty of opportunities to complain!)

    I'm just glad the Long Now Foundation is getting some publicity! Too many people in the industry have a hard time thinking past the next couple of years. 10k years may seem like a lot when you're dealing with human history, but in other fields (astronomy, geology, archeology), it's an eyeblink. I'm glad that a time_t on 64-bit Linux handles such date ranges, but a lot of UIs still assume that years have four digits.

  8. All is answered by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    A project to build a clock that will ring periodically through 10,000 years must include assurance that people will recognize the clock ringing, and what time it is on it, or it's just a tree falling in a forest with no one to hear.,

    Actually it generally does not ring without people there to provide energy for the chimes.

    As long as there are people around, there will be at least some sporadic visitation.

    The chances are high that sometime in the next 10,000 years some people (if not a nonhuman natural event, like volcano) will damage, dismantle or disable the physical clock - no matter how strong some of their ancestors once made it.

    The chances are lowered a lot by the clock being quite remote, and you have to know where to look for it - no blazing neon signs.

    Furthermore it's built on a scale that would make it very difficult to come away with anything from it, or to damage.

    Also there is not just ONE clock. Other clocks are planned, the next to be in Nevada.... the places they have chosen are pretty geologically stable (at least on the order of 10K years).

    The project should focus on how to enable people to recognize that it's a clock ringing through its 10,000 year lifetime. And indeed the project could be limited to only that: ensuring that people can read how stars, the Sun, the Moon and planets align to "ring" when they reach certain layouts would use the much more long lived celestial bodies as a durable clock.

    That is in fact the POINT of the Long Now foundation, to make people think about such things. As for the celestial clock, that is in fact described in caves located inside the clock...

    The physical clock is meant to act as a focal point to make people think about the more abstract concept of time and longevity.

    You really need to read the book "The Clock of the Long Now" to understand philosophically what is going on here.

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  9. Most be built as something temporary by maxwells_deamon · · Score: 3, Funny

    If you want this to last this long and not have somebody salvage it for the metal, you must make it temporary, Example: The Eiffel tower.

  10. Mayan Calendar 2.0 by Ribbon+Cable · · Score: 2

    The world circa 12010 C.E.: The mainstream media generates unwarranted hype concerning a time-keeping device built by an ancient civilization purported to indicate the world's imminent demise.

  11. The Long Now is truly awesome, but... by Rogerborg · · Score: 3, Funny

    When Jobs finally transfers His Eternal Spirit to a glossy obsidian iThrone deep in the heart of towering Mount Sosumi, built entirely from smashed Windows and Android devices, it's going to make the 10,000 year clock look like a bit of a silly ephemeral trinket.

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  12. Winding the clock by hackertourist · · Score: 2

    FTA:

    It takes two or three visitors to push around the capstan of the clock and to lift its 10,000-pound stones.

    The real question is: do they need to sing?

  13. Art project, not a working 10k clock by h1q · · Score: 2

    For a real working clock, I would power it with U235, kilogram produces about 1 MW of power, half life 770 million years, use custom designed sub-threshold MCML circuit that uses maybe 5 nanowatts of powers, suitably redundant and protected against, trace migration, micro thermal cycling, micro accelerations, cosmic rays and so forth and boost it into an orbit outside of geosynchronous so that it will take a million year plus orbital decay.

    1. Re:Art project, not a working 10k clock by necro81 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If your goal is simply to build a device that can tick off the seconds for 10,000 years, then perhaps your design has merit. But the whole point of building this is to create a human experience, not merely an horologic device. People need to be able to experience the clock and, where possible, interact with it. That experience and interaction, and the reflection about time and civilization that comes with it, is what these people are trying to create. Without the human element, the clock is just an artifact that can be easily lost or forgotten. If you put it far out into orbit, then you completely remove it from humanity, and what value can it then have? Even in this day and age, no one will be able to visit it. If civilization collapses sometime in the next 10,000 years - not inconceivable if you ask me - then no one will even know that it's there. In both cases it may as well not exist. If you build it as you describe and put it here on Earth, radioactive concerns aside, what will visitors see: a big hot ingot connected to a bunch of (possibly) indecipherable equipment, attached to a bunch of indecipherable "chips" (if they'd even be recognized as such) that would be difficult if not impossible to grasp except by someone with 20th+ century knowledge and tools. And that doesn't even begin to dive into maintenance or repair.

  14. Re:Saving the planet by Needlzor · · Score: 4, Funny

    Somehow I think they only created this project to fuck with future generations' brains. Picture this: nuclear war, everybody forgets about the clock. Year 9434: archaeologists discover the clock, somehow make it work and then all the idiots start wondering why the clock only goes up to 10 000 and make up doomsday scenarios.

  15. Re:Cool idea, but... by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2

    Were you expecting the end of all human civilization and the rebirth there-of in the next 10 thousand years?

    The more appropriate question is: Can you exclude the possibility? Ten thousand years ago, we were still in the stone age. There have been civilizations which appeared and collapsed since then. And there's always the possibility of a global thermonuclear war destroying our civilization (although honestly I wouldn't expect the clock to survive an atomic bomb).

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    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  16. Re:Cool idea, but... by maxwell+demon · · Score: 3, Informative

    We have CT machines and we still can't figure out exactly what the Antikythera device did.

    Well, Wikipedia has a quite detailed description for something which we don't have an idea of what it does. And that's for a device which is not complete, and no longer working.

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    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  17. Re:Cool idea, but... by icebike · · Score: 3, Insightful

    At no time did civilization collapse.

    Societies and governments have collapsed, but civilization persisted, machines still ran, farmers still planted, and clock makers still made clocks. Nothing was un-invented. Various disasters made small localities uninhabitable, often with loss of life, but people moved on, their education (such as it was) and capabilities intact, and civilization always survived. At no time did mankind say you know what, this isn't working, lets all go back to caves and rocks, and rules of behavior, and to hell with this whole mess.

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  18. Re:Cool idea, but... by moortak · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The fall of the roman empire resulted in the loss of a rather large number of inventions for a long time. We may not have gone back to living in caves, but things were lost. The fall of specific societies can set us a species back technologically. Societies are fragile on large time scales.

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  19. Re: $42M for an ego boost? by John+Marter · · Score: 2

    Spending $42 million dollars on food for starving people will not make starvation go away--not in the long term. Certainly it is possible that it will help in the short term. After the food is gone, then what? The Fine Article actually talks about that very point. By encouraging long term thinking you may be able to take on problems that seem intractable, the example being that you could not eliminate starvation in 5 years, but given 200 years maybe it could be done.

  20. Re:Cool idea, but... by evilviper · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Societies and governments have collapsed, but civilization persisted, machines still ran, farmers still planted, and clock makers still made clocks. Nothing was un-invented.

    That's certainly not true. There are a great many discoveries, tools, machines, and more, which were known to ancient societies and lost to time. Some of which have been rediscovered and become central to us in modern times. Others were obsoleted by modern instruments before they were rediscovered, etc, etc.

    Concrete is perhaps the most striking example, used extensively until the fall of Rome, lost to time, and only (independently) rediscovered in the 18th century, and which is again, a fundamental building block of nearly all modern buildings, and very, very extensively used.

    Among the others, the Baghdad Battery, The Antikythera Mechanism, and innumerable other machines, formulations, stone-mason tools, etc. Some of the most persistent mysteries about ancient people are how they A) Built large, complex stone structures more quickly than we would be able to even with modern tools, and B) Moved and manipulated into-place very large objects significant distances without more modern technology we don't believe they had, and with far fewer people than we believe they could have had available. So there are likely still many technologies out there yet to be rediscovered. These all may, in narrow instances, in fact be superior to our modern alternatives which perform similar tasks.

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  21. Re:Cool idea, but... by icebike · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Concrete is perhaps the most striking example, used extensively until the fall of Rome, lost to time, and only (independently) rediscovered in the 18th century, and which is again, a fundamental building block of nearly all modern buildings, and very, very extensively used.

    I'm sorry, but you have totally misstated the history of cement. It was not lost to time upon the fall of Rome, and continued to be used in Europe, China, India, from medieval times right up to modern times.

    The only thing that happened in the 18th century was someone wrote down a formula, but that formula was well known by the building trades throughout medieval times and in continuous use in various places in the world. Further the trend to poor grades of cement began DURING Roman times, not after.

    I refer you to Lea's Chemistry of Cement and Concrete By Peter Hewlett.

    There is an unfortunate tendency to believe any technology tried and abandoned centuries ago represents a lost art, knowledge of the ancients, somehow lost to modern man due to the collapse of a particular society. When in fact those technologies were never cost effective even when they were in use, and required the enslavement of huge numbers of people. Surviving examples such as the Pyramids, the Colosseum, are pointed to as examples of every day miracles of the ancients, when in fact much of roman architecture simply fell down due to bad mortar and was incorporate into other buildings, or used as rubble fill.

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  22. Hmm by AP31R0N · · Score: 2

    Anyone else find it troublesome that Bezos is putting $42M into THIS? Or more troublesome still, that Bezos HAS $42M. Or that he has $42M to THROW at anything?

    At 4% that money could generate $1,680,000 per year for scholarships, or school renovations, health education or or or or or.

    *sigh*

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