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Can the US Still Lead In Space Despite Shuttle's End?

Hugh Pickens writes "NASA Administrator Charles F. Bolden says that the future is bright and promises that one day humans will land on Mars. 'American leadership in space will continue for at least the next half-century because we've laid the foundation for success,' the nation's space chief said in a speech at the National Press Club. 'When I hear people say that the final shuttle flight marks the end of U.S. human space flight, you all must be living on another planet. We are not ending human space flight. We are recommitting ourselves to it.' Bolden says within a year private companies can take over the process of sending cargo shipments into orbit and by 2015 industry can take over astronaut transport, freeing NASA to focus on the long-term goals of reaching beyond Earth's shadow. 'Do we want to keep repeating ourselves or do we want to look at the big horizon?' says Bolden. 'My generation touched the moon today, NASA, and the nation, wants to touch an asteroid, and eventually send a human to Mars.' A group of former astronauts and other critics have blasted the agency and the Obama administration for ending the 30-year-old shuttle program, once the cornerstone of NASA. 'NASA's human spaceflight program is in substantial disarray with no clear-cut mission in the offing. We will have no rockets to carry humans to low-Earth orbit and beyond for an indeterminate number of years,' write Neil Armstrong, Jim Lovell and Gene Cernan. 'After a half-century of remarkable progress, a coherent plan for maintaining America's leadership in space exploration is no longer apparent.'"

17 of 365 comments (clear)

  1. Re:I'm not a nationalist, so I really don't care. by Lanteran · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I do believe that the majority of americans, myself included, support space travel and exploration. If you don't like your tax money funding that, move to another nation that doesn't do research (as that's what you seem to be against). Good luck. Also, you'll have to check all your nasa created technology at the gate.

    --
    "People don't want to learn linux" hasn't been a valid excuse since '03.
  2. Re:I'm not a nationalist, so I really don't care. by nospam007 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Why does 'our nation' have to put a gun to my head and force me to fund the intellectual curiosity of others?"

    You pay already more than the complete NASA budget just for the fuel to run the AC in the tents in Afghanistan.

  3. One Era Ends To Make Way For Another by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    SpaceX's Dragon Capsule is going to be on display until July 10th at the Kennedy Space Center Air Force air/space museum, right down the street from the last shuttle launch (disclaimer: I'm going to see the last shuttle launch, and to see the Dragon capsule that has been to space and back). This is no accident.

    The shuttle has been NASA's workhorse for the last 30 years, but its time for it to make way for the next generation of orbital launch vehicles. Goodbye Shuttle, and thanks for all the hard work.

    1. Re:One Era Ends To Make Way For Another by impaledsunset · · Score: 4, Interesting

      They are asking the wrong question. The question is "Can the US lead in space thanks to shuttle's end?" The Shuttle program was too expensive for what it actually brought on the table, and it was already too old. Replacing it with something like the Dragon capsule (and the other lifting capabilities in development by private companies) would only be an improvement. It's going to be more efficient, it will allow for more space project to be done with the money that would be saved, it will fund the private industry to develop space-faring technologies. The end of the shuttle will be good for the US space program and the human space program in general. Will the US lead? I doubt it, my bet is on China, but the shuttle going away is the biggest improvement.

    2. Re:One Era Ends To Make Way For Another by Artifice_Eternity · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yep. SpaceX and Dragon are clearly the emerging future of American human spaceflight. This video is a pretty cool demonstration of how the system is evolving.

      Armstrong, Lovell, and Cernan are -- knowingly or unknowingly -- lobbying for an old, failed model of government contracting, not for the continuation of the American space program.

      The program continues -- it's just being done in a different (and from everything I can see, better) way.

    3. Re:One Era Ends To Make Way For Another by queazocotal · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The shuttle was not a shining example of the US doing well.
      It was a shining example of how much pork you can pack into one project and have it stumble along and achieve a bare fraction of the aims at huge cost.

      For example.
      Do you know why the shuttle has large wings?
      It's largely so that it can take off, launch a military satellite into a polar orbit, and land back in the continental united states, without overflying russian territory.

      Needless to say, it's never actually needed to do this.
      But the requirement to do so meant the need for SRBs, and the complex thermal protection system. This was so that the DOD would kick in some funding into the project early on.

      A shuttle launch costs a really, really large slice of a billion dollars.

      SpaceX's Falcon Heavy is currently selling twice the amount of payload to low earth orbit, for well under a quarter of the price.

      Yes, it's not quite as nice, as you need a few percent of that to be able to push it around a bit to match orbits you can reach with the shuttle.

      And you need a bit more payload sacrificed if you actually want anything of significant weight recovered.
      But the shuttle has only done that task perhaps half a dozen times, for payloads where in many cases it was debatable as to the value of doing so.

      The shuttle has basically been the shining light akin to the caver that finds his way by periodically lighting his hair on fire.

    4. Re:One Era Ends To Make Way For Another by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Why the shuttle has wings at all:

      http://history.nasa.gov/sts1/pages/scot.html

  4. Yes it is the end ... by MacTO · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Space exploration may be a technological feat, but it is also a wonder of human intellect. By abandoning the shuttle, that human intellect is being dumped on the streets with nothing but promises for the future. Promises to the nation, though there will be very few promised to the people who will be pursuing other careers.

    Even if things did start up again: within a year, most of those people would need to refresh their training. Within a decade, you would be training most of the workforce from scratch. Within 50 years, even most of the documentation would be lost or incomprehensible.

    Don't believe me, just look at Apollo.

    If you're a Canuck and don't believe me, look at the Avro Arrow.

    Nations loose technical capabilities because those capabilities depend upon the people behind them.

  5. Re:Not the end of HUMAN spaceflight...just AMERICA by Artifice_Eternity · · Score: 5, Informative

    SpaceX has already sent an unmanned Dragon capsule into orbit around the Earth. They have a contract with NASA for cargo flights to the ISS, and are developing the manned version of the Dragon with an integrated abort system (see this video for a demonstration).

    American spaceflight is NOT coming to an end. It's just not going to be a NASA monopoly any more.

  6. Not having a Nasa rocket != not having a US rocket by phayes · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How is the coming hiatus any different that that between the end of Saturn V & the first Shuttle or for that matter the multi-year launch stoppage after Columbia? Why MUST it be a NASA developped rocket? Is it because parts NASA have turned into the aerospace work assurance administration?

    I'm a manned space exploration fan but I have come to the conclusion that it would be better off for Manned space explorattion were Nasa to get out of the development of it's own launchers & buy from SpaceX or whoever else develops a reliable launcher without falling into the trap of growing a self justifying administration.

    --
    Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
  7. we have more probes on mars then any other by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 5, Informative

    we have more probes on mars then any other nation.

    And look at mars rover that lasted for YEARS longer then planned.

  8. Joyriding astronauts != space exploration by yesterdaystomorrow · · Score: 4, Interesting

    *Real* space exploration these days is performed by robots. Humans have the wrong senses, the wrong body form, and needs that are very difficult to satisfy in space. But we're very good at building and directing robots, and getting better very fast.

    The shuttle? Absolute garbage engineering. Sold as the cheapest way to get to space, it wound up the most expensive of all time. It was supposed to be as safe and easy to operate as an airliner, but it proved extremely dangerous. It proved the capability of the USA only in the sense that no other entity could possibly have thrown enough resources at it to make it work at all. NASA has finally come to its collective senses and decided to quit "throwing good money after bad", a decision that's about 35 years too late.

    Human beings will have a future in space when the resources and infrastructure to support them can be gathered, constructed, and maintained by robots. But we have proven beyond any reasonable argument that using human beings as "space laborers" is hyper-expensive and counterproductive.

  9. Ending the Shuttle program is a good thing by drgould · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The Shuttle and ISS are black holes in NASA's budget sucking all the money away from almost every other project. Everything at NASA has been secondary to maintaining the Shuttle and ISS.

    The best thing that could happen is that shutting down the Shuttle program will free up budget money to develop better, cheaper, faster manned and unmanned space programs.

    The worst thing that could happen is that NASA decides to create another white elephant space program simply to keep the massive army of NASA employees and contractors who worked on the Shuttle program employed.

  10. Re:I'm not a nationalist, so I really don't care. by JohnRoss1968 · · Score: 5, Informative

    "Besides, what does NASA do for me anyway?"
    Wow, I know they say there are no stupid questions but there sure seem to be a lot of inquisitive idiots.
    You want to know what NASA and the space race has done for you....Look down at your keyboard, its attached to a computer.
    Microprocessors were derived from the space race. As well as the satellite communications that you may use to connect with other idiots.
    Not enough for you...heres some more things that were by-products of the space race and the space age.
    Kidney dialysis machines
    Computer-Aided Tomography (CAT) scan
    Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI)
    Freeze-dried food
    Cordless power tools & appliances
    Disposable diapers
    Rotary blood pump
    Fiber optics
    Satellite dish
    Bar codes
    Ear thermometer
    Fire-resistant fabrics
    Smoke detector
    Thermal gloves and boots
    New techniques for machining and casting exotic metals like magnesium and titanium.
    Carbon fiber epoxy, and all kinds of composite materials
    CNC machining.
    Microwave communications.
    Huge improvements in photovoltaics (solar cells to generate electricty).
    Solid state memory
    Satellite photography
    velcro.
    And about 1,400 documented NASA inventions that have benefited U.S. industry.
    Oh yeah did I mention TANG!!!!

    I called you an idiot several times above. I may be wrong. You may just be an ungrateful, unimaginative Luddite. But I'm betting your both an an ungrateful, unimaginative Luddite and an idiot.
    If you dont like it, you can always turn off your computer since NASA and the space race never did anything for you any damn way.

  11. Re:USA: best science for the buck by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Funny

    i could care less if the US is seen as the "leader" in space exploration.

    Why do you hate America?

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  12. Obama didn't cancel the Shuttle, Bush did by The+Bad+Astronomer · · Score: 5, Informative

    Oh for Pete's sake. Obama did NOT cancel the Shuttle program, George W Bush did! Obama canceled Constellation, the rocket program to followup on the Shuttle, but he did so because it was overbudget and behind schedule. I have a long-ish article about this in the New York Post today. NASA has some serious problems right now, mostly due to lack of a strong vision and the ridiculous turf wars between the White House and Congress. Most of these problems aren't hard to solve in theory, but in practice, with the rabid partisonship going on right now? Hmph.

    --
    *** Phil Plait, aka The Bad Astronomer http://www.badastronomy.com
  13. Re:I'm not a nationalist, so I really don't care. by queazocotal · · Score: 5, Informative

    This list seems at best dubious in many aspects.
    MRI, for example, was an outgrowth of magnetic resonance studies on chemicals that had been going on for a long time, which was invented in england in the university of Nottingham.

    I'd like to know how NASA influenced velcro - which was patented in 1948 in switzerland.
    Thermal gloves and boots - what? I think you'll find the Eskimo (inuit) got there first.

    The incas did freeze drying naturally hundreds of years ago, and freeze dried coffee was available around WWII.
    Disposable diapers have a long history, and were around well before the 60s.

    Kidney dialysis was done in WWII.

    These are just some examples that jumped out at me as unlikely.