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Getting the Latest Rover To Mars

derGoldstein writes "New Scientist has a great video up detailing every step of how the latest Mars rover will reach its target and get deployed. It's drastically different than the bouncing air-bag delivery system previously used (YouTube video)."

191 comments

  1. Stop me if I'm wrong but... by N_Piper · · Score: 2

    Won't all that extra propellant for the various deceleration stages add up to a lot more than the bouncing airbag thingie in the end?

    1. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It also seems a lot less reliable. Much more can go wrong

    2. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by wetpainter · · Score: 2

      Yes, the first time I saw this a few weeks ago my first thoughts were "there is so much that can go wrong here". I hope it makes it to the surface in one piece.

    3. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 2

      It's too large for airbags.

    4. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by BagOBones · · Score: 1

      When I saw the last stage I almost fell out of my chair!. What the hell happened to keeping it simple!

      --
      EA David Gardner -"... but the consumers have proven that actually what they want is fun."
    5. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The rover is too big/heavy for the bounce trick they used for the previous ones.
      Heat shield/parachute entry is not complicated. Apollo era technology.
      The retro rockets are like what the moon landers used. Also Apollo era technology.

      The only new thing here is the tether. I suspect it uses explosive bolts to release and that is Apollo era tech.

      While it looks complicated, I think we should have mastered those things pretty well by now.

    6. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm thinking this is a "Look, we're NASA employees and we're actually pretty good at this stuff. We landed guys on the moon this way more than 40 years ago and my supervisor said it was OK"

    7. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 3

      While it looks complicated, I think we should have mastered those things pretty well by now.

      It's not rocket sci—oh, wait.

    8. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Animats · · Score: 5, Informative

      When I saw the last stage I almost fell out of my chair!. What the hell happened to keeping it simple!

      It's no worse than the various lunar landers. The real question is whether they can get the budget to send that much mass to Mars.

      Landing anything big on Mars turns out to be quite hard. There's not enough atmosphere for a soft parachute landing. But there's enough atmosphere to require a heat shield while plowing through it. Then there's not enough atmosphere to brake from Mach 5 to Mach 1 before running out of altitude. There's too much gravity for a full rocket-powered descent. A rocket facing into the atmosphere won't work until the craft has slowed below supersonic speeds.

      That's what leads to what looks like an overly complex system.

    9. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      MER and Sojurner used a similar tether. It just attached to the airbags/etc instead of the rover itself. Retros fired, and then the beachball detached from the tether at a minimum, etc.

      If you look at the MER video, starting around 2 minutes, you'll see so many similarities you could almost use one video as a source for the other.

    10. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not to large for airbags, it's just to heavy for a parachute. Remember that Mars' atmosphere is way thiner than ours so with the mass of Curiosity, you wouldn't be able to get the desired air drag out of it.

    11. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by northernfrights · · Score: 1

      But you can't control where the airbag lump ends up, which means it can get stuck on a rock. Plus, if the capsule malfunctions after landing properly you've got the rover trapped inside.

    12. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Although I applaud you explaining it so well; who cares, its fucking cool.

    13. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Arancaytar · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Running out of altitude" is the most awesome synonym for hitting the ground I've yet heard.

    14. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Uh huh...Ever hear of KISS, emphasis on the last S as in stupid? Lets see what can go wrong....

      Okay first you are gonna have to have the computer control perfectly align re-entry using those little thrusters all of which have to fire perfectly or it burns up, THEN you have to have a perfect chute deployment AND the heat shield drop, THEN you have to have, again perfectly timed mind you, the chute unit drop and then FOUR thrusters have to be perfectly computer controlled and fire EXACTLY right to give it a picture perfect three point landing and THEN it has to perfectly release all those lines or when the final unit kicks up the thrust to pull away it is liable to flip the thing or damage it.

      Oh yeah piece of cake!.....I give 20 to 1 against the thing. Anybody know what the bookies in Vegas are giving on this jobbie?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    15. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by derGoldstein · · Score: 2

      It's no worse than the various lunar landers.

      ...There's not enough atmosphere for a soft parachute landing.

      The lunar landings were easier because there was no atmosphere. The problem here is that there *is* an atmosphere, but, as you mention, it's too thin for just parachutes. So you have to deal with re-entry heat, wind, particles flying around (all the "bad" stuff that comes with landing on a planet with an atmosphere), but you don't get to just pop a triple-parachute the way they return objects for a soft landing on earth.

      I'm sure they know what they're doing, they've had some experience at this after all. But just as a superficial observation, I have to agree with the previous comment -- it *seems* overly complicated.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    16. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Arrepiadd · · Score: 1

      So tell us your solution then. You seem to be much better at it than NASA...

    17. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As an armchair space scientist with absolutely no knowledge about this I'm telling you it won't work based on some vague concept that nothing complex ever works!

    18. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The one thing that computers are exceedingly good at is perfect timing.

    19. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Informative
    20. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They are also good at calculating centimeters from inches IF somebody tells them to.

    21. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, the required response to that is "Ok, now were there any imperial to metric conversions involved?"

    22. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by cynyr · · Score: 2

      none, NASA now works only in metric.

      --
      All of the above was encrypted with a Quad ROT-13 method. Unauthorized decryption is in violation of the DMCA.
    23. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by antifoidulus · · Score: 0

      The term is not(esp. In the aviation field) exactly the same as hitting the ground. Basically certain maneuvers require a minimum amount of altitude to perform. If you are too low then you will be unable to perform said maneuvers.

    24. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "Heat shield/parachute entry is not complicated. Apollo era technology.

      The retro rockets are like what the moon landers used. Also Apollo era technology."

      So are wheels and turbines. I guess tires never go flat and planes never fall out of the sky in your world. What does the time frame of a technology have to do with its inherent limitations and weak points?

      Ooooohhhh, you are one of those strange people with the faith of inherent perfectability given enough time.

    25. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Man+Eating+Duck · · Score: 1

      Lithobraking [wikipedia.org]

      Huh, that's interesting. After first reading the word in a humorous context I've always believed that it was only an aviator's joke (also mentioned on the Wiki page), I never knew it had a serious usage as well :)

      --
      Are you a grammar Nazi? I'm trying to improve my English; please correct my errors! :)
    26. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by JamesP · · Score: 4, Informative

      And that's exactly why NASA is testing the bejesus out of it. Including delaying for exactly that reason

      Bouncy rover is good and simple, but the Sojourney rover is the size of a toy car, Curiosity is about the size of a Mini Cooper.

      http://science.howstuffworks.com/mars-rover3.htm

      They got burned with rockets (no pun intended) on Mars Polar Lander, but guess what, Viking landed with rockets. And Mars Phoenix, and several other craft.

      I'm skeptic about the whole crane thing, but they want that for a 'precision landing'.

      --
      how long until /. fixes commenting on Chrome?
    27. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Sure thing. What worked last time? Big bouncy right? So why not use a chute with a really big bouncy? The air there is much thinner than here but chutes should work just the same and big bouncy made for a hell of a shock absorber.

      If you wanted to use rockets then frankly an Apollo approach would be better with a capsule designed to right itself into the correct alignment by using flaps on the capsule so that even if the rockets fail the ship will have the shields pointed in the right direction. Rockets can fail, basic physics? not so much. Once it gets to a certain height the shield is blown by explosive bolts (well tested tech) and a variation on the bouncy blows up on the bottom of the craft to give it a stable landing platform Again if designed right one could build it with minimal computer control, by saying using gyroscopes to control the air in the bags upon landing.

      With this there are simply too many layers IMHO of finely grained control required with even a single failure equaling the complete lost of the craft. The less stages between orbit and ground the better, and while I give NASA credit for years of great work I'd say the number of things that can go wrong with TFA style landing is just too numerous.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    28. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      "THEN it has to perfectly release all those lines or when the final unit kicks up the thrust to pull away it is liable to flip the thing or damage it."

      You know nothing about rockets... when you cut the the cables the rocket pack will take off because it's weight just dropped significantly. It's basic physics.. Did you take a physics class?

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    29. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I like this part:

      The term is also sometimes used as a euphemism to describe situations in which lithobraking was not the original desired landing method - i.e., crashes.

    30. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by br4nd0nh3at · · Score: 0

      A chute and big bouncy can cause many problems. Especially depending on the order in which they fire.

    31. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Best quote in that link:
      "You can’t land a CEV on Mars unless you don’t mind it being a crater on the surface"

    32. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Robotbeat · · Score: 1

      When I saw the last stage I almost fell out of my chair!. What the hell happened to keeping it simple!

      It's no worse than the various lunar landers.
      The real question is whether they can get the budget to send that much mass to Mars.

      Landing anything big on Mars turns out to be quite hard. There's not enough atmosphere for a soft parachute landing. But there's enough atmosphere to require a heat shield while plowing through it. Then there's not enough atmosphere to brake from Mach 5 to Mach 1 before running out of altitude. There's too much gravity for a full rocket-powered descent. A rocket facing into the atmosphere won't work until the craft has slowed below supersonic speeds.

      That's what leads to what looks like an overly complex system.

      There's not too much gravity for a full rocket-powered descent; fully-propulsive Mars entry is a perfectly valid option, it just requires a lot more mass. Supersonic retropropulsion, even without much thought put into how you do it, is certainly no worse than retropropulsion in a full vacuum, it's just that it tend to decrease the drag... but it does still slow you down! "A rocket facing into the atmosphere" most certainly DOES work, just not as well as we would like (for the simplest case).

      And besides, there are definitely ways of doing supersonic retropropulsion that work better than the naive method of just a single rocket engine firing straight down (multiple nozzles around the perimeter of a heatshield and pointing down work much better, allowing you to take advantage of most of the drag you otherwise would).

      But yes, the skycrane method is the most efficient one yet for placing a rover on Mars... the biggest advantage is you don't need a platform; you can land the rover directly on its wheels, which saves a lot of weight.

      There are ways of increasing the efficiency (say for a larger rover), like perhaps using a bipropellant rocket engine (the descent stage, sometimes semi-erroneously called the "skycrane", is monopropellant and has a relatively low Isp) or other propulsion system optimizations (the thrusters are small, so suffer from things like minimum gauge issues, etc, that might not be as big of an issue for larger systems).

      Also, the skycrane method is also intended to allow landing at higher altitudes. If you picked a very low altitude, it should be possible to design a system which can land a much larger payload to the surface for the same Mars-insertion payload. Hellas Basin is my favorite place, with almost twice the average Martian surface atmospheric density.

      But yes, landing large payloads on Mars is hard. Research into deployable heatshields (like ballutes) and parachutes able to deploy at higher supersonic speeds really would help any future, human missions.

    33. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Chelloveck · · Score: 1

      Which is why they need to split it into several smaller rovers which can self-assemble into one larger one, Voltron style. Tell me that wouldn't be a cool lander!

      --
      Chelloveck
      I give up on debugging. From now on, SIGSEGV is a feature.
    34. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      Well, Curiosity uses a parachute, so it's probably not too heavy for it.

    35. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Have+Brain+Will+Rent · · Score: 1

      Being altitude challenged?

      --
      The tyrant will always find a pretext for his tyranny - Aesop
    36. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by rednip · · Score: 1

      .I give 20 to 1 against the thing

      Ok, I'll take you up on that bet, can you cover a $100 wager? Just remember, that'd be $2,000 from you if you lose.

      --
      The force that blew the Big Bang continues to accelerate.
    37. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      But with TFA you are talking split second precision required without a single thing going wrong in multiple stages, and this is after 8 months in space. With a plan we'll call "Apollo bounce" you could have plenty of time to correct for errors and would be able to rely more on basic physics than on computers.

      Look up the design for the original Mercury capsules, there is a design of simplicity and application of physics if ever there was one. As I said the capsule had flaps so even if all the rockets failed to align the craft the air would catch the flaps and align the capsule. Now you can add to this a pair of chutes (one for backup and both using explosive bolts so if the first fails it can be blown free and the second deployed) with a big bouncy controlled by gyroscopes (again very basic and well tested tech) to give it a flat surface to land on there is a LOT less that can go tits up than TFA. Finally have the sides of the capsule have hinges that will deploy on landing (which again you can have explosive bolts in case the motor fails) to give you a ramp down for the probe.

      I think this plan would leave the least amount to chance and perfect timing while cutting down on the stages and thus cutting down on the risk of timing errors. let me put it this way: Would YOU trust your life to the plan laid out in TFA?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    38. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by camperdave · · Score: 1
      I think you may be overthinking the thing.
      • The rocket motors used to orient the craft relative to the atmosphere are hypergolic - two chemicals that combust on contact with each other. - Foolproof chemistry, like sodium reacting with water.
      • As it passes through the atmosphere, the craft will maintain its orientation through the shape of the heat shield, like an arrow in flight - basic aerodynamics
      • The drogue chute will pull the back shell and sky crane away from the heat shield - explosive bolts and basic physics.
      • Explosive bolts will release the sky crane from the back shell, which the drogue chute will pull away - again, well known technology and basic physics.
      • The hypergolic rockets on the sky crane will ignite - again foolproof chemistry.
      • The rockets on the sky crane are not strong enough to lift both the crane and the rover, so it descends... slowly. - basic physics
      • Explosive bolts release the rover from the sky crane. It descends on webbing released from the crane, like a seat belt retractor mechanism - gravity powered.
      • Once the rover touches down, more pyros cut away the descent webbing.
      • Relieved of the weight of the rover, the sky crane flies away. - Again, basic physics

      The more I think about this, the easier it seems, and the crazier the bouncy airbag system seems.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    39. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have they looked into drag systems. i.e. contrary to aerodynamics, have the craft push out wings from some form of pressure-loaded fuselage. that gradually makes the craft drag allot more through the atmosphere, thereby slowing it more. It all seems unnecessarily complex.

      Why not add wings and push the trust away from the vertical and over to the horizontal and having the craft plane along over the terrain, before slowing down and gliding to the surface, or finally using thrusters again to land like a harrier.

      It looks pretty cool though and maybe there's some secret missions that the rocket booster part could be on.

    40. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by tragedy · · Score: 1

      It's too heavy for any realistic parachute to slow it down enough so that it won't destroy itself on landing. I believe the video said the chute would slow it down to about 200 MPH, and I'm sure that even a much larger chute wouldn't slow it down significantly more than that. So, to be concise, it's too heavy to land with a parachute, but can still be slowed down by a parachute.

    41. Re:Stop me if I'm wrong but... by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      What if exactly one of those dozens of explosive bolts fails to fire or fires early?

  2. More open/public oversight is good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Hey, you realize that input field is in meters, right?"

  3. Re:first! by Vecanti · · Score: 0, Funny

    Yeah, well.. first, "Get your ass to mars!"

  4. Too complex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought NASA learnt that a small number of complex and expensive projects wasn't the way to go in the 90s. Smaller, cheaper, faster, but more of them, makes more sense.

    I hope it works, I really do. But there are so many single points of failure I can see which could kill or severely limit the success of this mission.

    1. Re:Too complex by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      A small rover or lander can only carry a small amount of instruments. If you want to do serious science, you need a reasonable number of those.

    2. Re:Too complex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ..... But there are so many single points of failure ....

      lolwut ?

    3. Re:Too complex by macraig · · Score: 1

      Yeah, a squad of mini-rovers coordinated with a mesh network. Maybe we could get people to root for that team instead of the useless ones in the NFL?

    4. Re:Too complex by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      A small rover or lander can only carry a small amount of instruments. If you want to do serious science, you need a reasonable number of those.

      But a single big rover with lots of instruments is useless if it's lost due to a hugely complex landing system failure, or the instruments can't be used due to a failed arm that has to rotate in multiple ways to deploy and return on each use.

      From the video the entire system seems way too complex to me. I hope it's been well tested.

    5. Re:Too complex by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      OTOH, the whole mission is complex. Launching a rocket and guiding it to Mars has many potential points of failure, yet we've done it almost routinely. This new system allows a much larger payload to be landed. So it's progress.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    6. Re:Too complex by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 2

      "Single point of failure" is an engineering term. A system can have any number of them.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    7. Re:Too complex by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      'if this single part of this entire system breaks, the whole thing is fubar. Also this part here, if IT breaks, the whole thing explodes. Or this part over here, if it falls off to soon? the whole thing crashes to the ground like a Volkswagen dropped off of a bridge.' single point of failure.

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
  5. When Martians Attack by macraig · · Score: 1

    I see that it has a laser. I hope that laser is beefy enough to let it make like a land shark and defend itself if the Martians stumbleupon it.

  6. The difference is size by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 4, Informative

    This rover is FAR larger the current ones, those tires? Not cute cart wheels, they are roughly the same size as a car tire. The entire vehicle is easily the size of a large SUV although far more open. (Hey nasa, if you want to make things understandable how about instead of adding sounds in space, maybe project a human next to thing so we get a sense of scale)

    A bouncing ball for this vehicle wouldn't need to be far to large. It is the old story of how spider won't even notice a 4 meter fall, a human would shatter bones and an elephant would go splat.

    There are a lot of risks with this method, so many parts that can fail, but if you want something big to land safely...

    Not that this is new. There are airdrop uses on this planet that involve just wrapping what you want to drop in something bouncy and throwing it out of an aircraft, works for small supplies in remote areas where a parachute might drift to far and the russians have used rocket decelerated chute systems for dropping tanks out of aircraft. Because finding enough bubble wrap for a tank is a hard.

    Did I complain yet about the sound in space? Yes? Well, it is a pretty big fucking issue. Everything you need to know about the US can be summarized as a NASA science video having sound in space... why not go the whole way and include cute green aliens on mars to show the life you might have found if Mars wasn't the hell hole it is?

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:The difference is size by pahles · · Score: 1

      (Hey nasa, if you want to make things understandable how about instead of adding sounds in space, maybe project a human next to thing so we get a sense of scale)

      It's about the size of a mini cooper.

      --
      Sig?
    2. Re:The difference is size by naff · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not showing the scale of the rover is inexcusable! Thank you for mentioning it.

      Here are some people next to it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mars_Science_Laboratory_wheels.jpg

    3. Re:The difference is size by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      A more engineering centric view of your general point.

      And yes, the sounds were stupid.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    4. Re:The difference is size by mosb1000 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Space is not entirely soundless. If you were to put a microphone nearby a rocket nozzle, or thrusters firing, you would record sound. Likewise, if the microphone were attached to the vehicle while it was undergoing stage separation you would record sound. I'm not gonna say the video was perfectly technically accurate, but you can't just say "no sound in space" either.

    5. Re:The difference is size by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Did I complain yet about the sound in space? Yes? Well, it is a pretty big fucking issue. Everything you need to know about the US can be summarized as a NASA science video having sound in space...

      Sound doesn't get transmitted through space, but a microphone mounted on the rover would have easily picked up all the sounds in the video.

    6. Re:The difference is size by sjames · · Score: 1

      We all know martians either look much like Ray Walston with antennae or were ovoid creatures whose feet doubled as hands. They sure liked Tang a lot.

    7. Re:The difference is size by Centurix · · Score: 1

      Does it have doors that blow off near landing?

      --
      Task Mangler
    8. Re:The difference is size by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whats the big deal with no sound in space? The sound helps you understand whats going on in terrestrial terms. You can transplant that understanding to space readily enough. The timeframe of the video is compressed to unreality. There are no captions in space. Why no objections to those? You get to choose what elements of reality are appropriate to fudge in a video like this and which ones must be conveyed with 100% veracity?

    9. Re:The difference is size by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty small SUV.

      C'mon, NASA! Put a Humvee on Mars!

    10. Re:The difference is size by node+3 · · Score: 1

      That photo really should be at the beginning of the animation. It would provide some context that makes an already rather impressive landing even more so.

    11. Re:The difference is size by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only is this one huge this sucker is nuclear note the lack of solar panels next step full robots to do various prep tasks for human landing.

    12. Re:The difference is size by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      We're used to listening to sound moving through air. If you placed a microphone on the body of the vehicle, you'd get vibration readings, but they wouldn't "sound" like that, you'd hear a lot of spikes and creaking. But we're kind of nit-picking -- they wanted the video to be interesting, and adding sound to what we'd expect to *produce* sound makes it seem more natural.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    13. Re:The difference is size by derGoldstein · · Score: 2

      I'm gonna be overly literal and note that "no sound in space" is exactly the statement you can make. What you're describing is monitoring the vibrations going through solid objects, and/or placing a microphone in the path of the expanding gas exiting the thrusters. If you placed a microphone literally "in space" a few feet away from the vehicle, you'd hear nothing.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    14. Re:The difference is size by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the gas exhausted from the retro rockets reaches the microphone and has enough density to move the microphone membrane, sound would be heard.

      No get off my lawn:).

    15. Re:The difference is size by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      ...and maybe while you're at it, put some people in that Humvee?
      (yeah yeah, I know, different debate entirely)

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    16. Re:The difference is size by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      And then compare it to the previous rovers: here and here.
      The Curiosity Rover weighs almost a ton(!). Not that the Phoenix is any lightweight.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    17. Re:The difference is size by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

      If you read the ALSJ there are plenty of examples of sound transmission on the moon. Sitting on the lunar rover, the crew could hear the electric motors through the seats they were sitting on. Striking a rock or tool with a hammer, astronauts could hear the sound of impact through their suits, and this sound was transmitted to the other astronaut via radio.

    18. Re:The difference is size by impaledsunset · · Score: 1

      Vibrations going through solid objects are called sounds. And in A/V streams, you'd often have the sound and the video being taken from different viewpoints. If you're watching someone doing a spacewalk, would you be bothered that you can hear what they are saying (through the microphone in the suit), even though the camera is almost floating in deep space and not hearing anything?

    19. Re:The difference is size by the_other_chewey · · Score: 1

      ... they wanted the video to be interesting, and adding sound to what we'd expect to *produce* sound makes it seem more natural.

      It also makes it wrong, which I could - albeit grudgingly - live with
      in a SciFi movie, but this is supposed to be about science.

  7. Re: size by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

    It's not the size, it's how you use it. ;-)

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  8. Dibs on crash by SharpFang · · Score: 0

    I bet it will crash. Too complex, too many points of failure.

    If the chance of failure of a part of the system is one in a million, in a system consisting of a million parts something WILL break. --Stanislaw Lem.

    Also, did they do away with solar cells? I guess they don't want to risk another runaway project that extends a decade beyond schedule "because it failed to break".

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:Dibs on crash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They originally designed it to go without solar cells. It's got a nuclear reactor (radioisotope generator, anyway).

      There was some talk a few years ago about it exceeding power budget, and needing an augment of solar cells, but I don't see anything on that with a cursory search. So they may have fixed it.

    2. Re:Dibs on crash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's terrible probability, like saying if I flip a coin twice I'm guaranteed to get a heads and a tails.

      Unless Calculator has failed me, a 1 million part machine (with each part having a 1 in a million fail rate) has around a 63.2% chance of failing.

    3. Re:Dibs on crash by node+3 · · Score: 1

      What's the deal with all the "it's too complex, it'll crash" posts here?

      What's the deal with nerds these days? You never accomplish what you don't try. Maybe it will crash, but maybe it won't. Better than not trying at all. And this is the sort of thing that should bring wonder and excitement to the people this site's masthead references.

    4. Re:Dibs on crash by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      And I bet the project will be scrapped due to budget cuts long before it's ever launched.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    5. Re:Dibs on crash by Joe+Tie. · · Score: 1

      What's the deal with nerds these days?

      Not nerds, nerds on slashdot. That's a huge difference. Slashdot obviously has strong points, that's why I'm here. But one of the weak points is an aging user base. And old nerds face the same thing as old non-nerds. Most people just get scared of risks the older they get.

      --
      Everything will be taken away from you.
    6. Re:Dibs on crash by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering what exactly you consider "aging", but anyway: How about "with age comes experience"? Nerds tend to work in technical fields, and experience in pretty much any technical field will teach you that the more complex a system is, the more likely it is to fail. Now, obviously you've got an entire battalion of nerds working at NASA, many of whom are "aging", so I'm assuming that they're relying on their age/experience to make the right decisions.

      I also don't see how "an aging user base" is a weakness, which we don't even know to be the case, unless you've got access to demographic information that I don't. It's entirely possible that more "aging" users have stopped visiting the site, compared to the new ones that have joined.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    7. Re:Dibs on crash by Solandri · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Unless Calculator has failed me, a 1 million part machine (with each part having a 1 in a million fail rate) has around a 63.2% chance of failing.

      No need for a calculator. This type of problem (1 in n chance of an event occurring, what are the odds of it occurring in m trials, when n=m?) converges to 1 - 1/e. The total number of failures adds up to 100% (it has to be to maintain the original odds), but some of those outcomes are multiple failures (i.e. 2+ parts failing on your million part machine). If you have 100 letters which you randomly put into 100 mailboxes, some of those mailboxes will get 2+ letters, meaning obviously that some mailboxes will not get any letters. As it turns out, it's 1/e mailboxes which get no letters, and 1 - 1/e mailboxes which get at least 1 letter.

    8. Re:Dibs on crash by Urkki · · Score: 1

      I bet it will crash. Too complex, too many points of failure.

      That's why you should have budget for 2nd and 3rd try from the start. Getting as complex a thing as this right from the start is hard, so hard it might be cheaper to not try quite so hard (law of dimnishing returns and all that), but instead prepare for crash and new mission which will not crash, at least not for the same reason. That's the single most important reason to do robotic and not manned missions: crash can be an option, if having it as an option is overall cheaper.

    9. Re:Dibs on crash by lucian1900 · · Score: 1

      Don't be a moron.

      It's not that complex. NASA has launched much more complex systems.

      Also, this one has the potential to last even longer, since it uses a RTG that'll still produce 80% power after 14 years.

    10. Re:Dibs on crash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're using a radioisotope generator so they know exactly how long it will live, rather than having to play "wait for the signal" for months on end when it dies, but instead of 90 days, this one is scheduled and planned to live for 2-3 years.

      On the other hand, the rocket descent, while complex, has been successfully accomplished several times, including once in the 1970s so it surely seems possible.

      The "bounce it off the surface" method has failed just as often as a retrorocket approach. Granted, the most spectacular was due to a programming error, but still, both are apt to fail sometimes.

    11. Re:Dibs on crash by ElectricTurtle · · Score: 1

      What's the deal with all the "it's too complex, it'll crash" posts here?

      Precedent. Remember the Mars Polar Lander? Yeah, nobody else does either, because its only lasting accomplishment was a spectacular thud into the Martian surface. Why? Because of a malfunction in its landing procedure. Beagle 2 was also probably rendered inoperable by its landing procedure as well.

      And don't forget that Mars Climate Orbiter was destroyed because the engineers forgot to properly convert metric to imperial. NASA is not an organization that inspires confidence these days. "Trying" shouldn't be good enough for the sort of money and talent involved. Failure should be an outside chance, not 10-20+% as it has been the last couple decades.

      --
      I support the Slashcott and will not be reading or commenting from 2/10/14 to 2/17/14. Beta is steaming pile of dog shit
    12. Re:Dibs on crash by necro81 · · Score: 1
      They opted to not use solar panels for this mission for a couple of reasons:
      1. 1) This spacecraft is much bigger, and requires more power to get around (solar cell power increases with area, but weight goes up with volume!) They want Curiosity to travel many kilometers during its mission, and mobility is (power) expensive.
      2. 2)The science payload is tremendous and has a huge number of capabilities, but also requires a lot of power. The video mentioned a laser that can vaporize rock, for instance.
      3. 3) The RTG on this thing should provide reliable and lasting power for at least the length of the rated 2-year mission - and beyond. Recall that the Spirit and Opportunity only originally had a 90-day mission life, in part because they estimated the solar array power would be greatly diminished after that. The RTG on Curiosity should be able to provide 80% of its initial power even after a decade on the surface.
      4. 4) In addition to the electrical power, the RTG will provide ample "waste heat" that will be used to keep the interior of the spacecraft warm, so that operations can continue through the Martian winter when sunlight is scarce and temperatures are cold.

      In short, they did it because an RTG is a much more abundant and long-lived power source for this size craft. It is similar to the arguments made in favor of nuclear power over photovoltaics on Slashdot. Some more information can be found here and here.

    13. Re:Dibs on crash by RKThoadan · · Score: 1

      Someone needs to go watch Meet the Robinsons again.

    14. Re:Dibs on crash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's the deal with "we have rockets, we can colonize the universe" posts around here? The mechanical (ie, REAL) world behaves differently from the artificial (ie SOFTWARE) world. You can't transpose the fact that after 5 hours of whacking at a keyboard you finally managed to get 10 billion transistors to display a picture on a screen to MASS and ENERGY and TEMPERATURE and VIBRATION. Need I explain more?

    15. Re:Dibs on crash by scsirob · · Score: 1

      Just great. We go visit a planet that isn't ours, and the first thing we do is pollute the atmosphere with propellant, throw trash around ( the rocket lander will land 'somewhere out of the way') and with a bit of luck contaminate the area with radiation if this thing fails to land properly.

      We come in pieces...

      --
      To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
    16. Re:Dibs on crash by wsxyz · · Score: 1

      Ok. You got me. Whose planet is it then?

    17. Re:Dibs on crash by smoot123 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, this is going to be a challenge to make work. I kept thinking about all the steps that have to work first time, on time, like all the explosive bolts, the radar working, the wheels deploying, descent rockets firing at just the right altitude, finding a nice smooth spot to hover over with 30 seconds (or whatever) of fuel, etc. etc.

      In theory, I'm sure all of these can be solved. If they all work, I'll be impressed as hell. Forget finding life, just solving an engineering challenge like this is inspiring enough to me.

    18. Re:Dibs on crash by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      Look, we got one Mars landing method that got 3 successes for 3 tries, 100% success rate.

      Pathfinder: success
      Spirit: success
      Opportunity: success

      We got another method that got...

      Mars 2: crash
      Mars 3: too hard touchdown resulting in fault, essentially crash.
      Mars 6: crash
      Viking 1: success
      Viking 2: success
      Mars Polar Lander: Crash
      Deep Space 2: crash
      Beagle 2: crash
      Phoenix: success

      3 successes in 9 tries. 33% success rate.

      Yet they insist on the method that fails twice as often as succeeds, and disregard the one that didn't fail even once by now.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    19. Re:Dibs on crash by camperdave · · Score: 1

      You are assuming that all the failures are equal and that each failure means total failure. Spacecraft are not designed that way. Some failures are mere inconveniences/annoyances, where others may be classed as loss of mission failures. Some parts act as backups to other parts, so both would have to fail before there is a loss of mission. Consider the Apollo splashdowns. The capsule is coming down on three parachutes. It actually needed only two.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  9. The Moon by Vecanti · · Score: 1

    I never understood what is so exciting about Mars. It's fairly far away. Start close. We should have a small colony on the Moon by now. We should be there learning how to do it right now. Once we get it figured out close to home, let's actually go to Mars instead of just sending rover after rover.

    1. Re:The Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These rovers can do pretty much everything you want on Mars except the colony part.

    2. Re:The Moon by Vecanti · · Score: 1

      I kind of feel like the rovers have been so successful that they've killed that human spirit of actual exploration. Yeah, the rovers can do pretty much everything as you say, but there's something missing. I think a lot people are left satisfied with that, but maybe humanity is missing out not taking that next step off the planet. Though I'm sure we'll get there eventually I was just hoping to see it in my lifetime.

    3. Re:The Moon by wesleyjconnor · · Score: 1

      Not alot to do on the moon...
      or mars for that matter

    4. Re:The Moon by Vecanti · · Score: 1

      Not alot to do on the moon...
      or mars for that matter

      ...or North Dakota


      Anyway on the Moon... Tourism? Drive around those kick as 6 wheeled moon rovers?

      If I had a choice between North Dakota and the Moon for vacation, I'd choose the Moon.

    5. Re:The Moon by node+3 · · Score: 1

      From a scientific point of view, Mars is a much more interesting world than the Moon (not to put down the Moon, there's quite a bit of science to be done there, but it's just that Mars is extremely more interesting).

      As for colonies, I'm right there with you. LEO station -> Moon colonies -> Martian colonies. We should already be working on the last of those three, but instead we can barely seem to manage the first one.

    6. Re:The Moon by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the excitement about Mars is that it IS further away. At least, slightly. In astronomical terms it is very close indeed. In any case I think you've assumed that the point of sending probes is to somehow precede a human colony. That is not the point at all - the probes replace the requirement for humans. So by sending probes, we learn about the destination environment, but we also get valuable feedback about remotely operating probes - which we then use to build better probes. One of the interesting facts about the Apollo missions was that even then, NASA knew that humans are really unsuited to space. They proposed to send a probe to Mars in response to advances made by the Soviet Union. Kennedy thought that landing a man on the moon made a better statement about American supremacy. It was never about advancing the human race at all. What we knew then, we know doubly now.

    7. Re:The Moon by Arancaytar · · Score: 2

      Who is going to build that colony? Not hundreds of humans in bulky suits who need to be supplied with oxygen, nutrients and shelter, who can work less than twelve out of twenty-four hours, and are easily injured or bored. Most of the large-scale construction (before a pressurized habitable area can even exist) must be done robotically because it's too dangerous and taxing.
      Figuring out how to engineer remotely guided robots and how to keep them from failing is at least as much part of these rover missions as exploring Mars.

    8. Re:The Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      martian colonies. meh. how would you get the funding to transport significant amounts of earthlings there. i suggest that we stop dicking around in space until we come up with a reasonable mode of transportation, fusion drive or something. if we were to spend our time and energy coming up with something better than glorified fireworks we might actually make significant steps towards really getting of this rock.

    9. Re:The Moon by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      As for colonies, I'm right there with you. LEO station -> Moon colonies -> Martian colonies. We should already be working on the last of those three, but instead we can barely seem to manage the first one.

      That is another side benefit of this new landing system. You are not going to airbag humans onto Mars, and an entire ship housing three or so astronauts (like the lunar landers) will need a landing system like this. Remember, the moon has half the gravity and none of the atmosphere of Mars. The retrorockets used on the lunar landers won't work on Mars. We need to develop heavy-landing capabilities there. By comparison, heavy-launching there will be easy.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    10. Re:The Moon by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      just to throw a wrench in your colonization fantasies, did you know (and i learned this from a former NASA employee) that the astronauts who spent a year in orbit on the space station, pretty much to the man, are all ending up needing cataract surgery now? its from the radiation. Turns out, being in space for a year is REALLY bad for you long term, and the eyes are just the first to show it.

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
    11. Re:The Moon by ledow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The only permanent, extra-terrestrial life-supporting, man-made object is the ISS. That needed 14 years of construction (predicted to last only about 14 more once it's finished), needed the Americans, Soviets, Europeans and Japanese to all abandon their individual projects and concentrate on only that, costs about 100bn Euros, and is 200 miles away.

      The Moon is 200,000 miles away. Mars is 150,000,000 miles away.

      There will be no short-term supply trips to give people several years worth of food (i.e. the time until we can send a "real" supply) - hell, food would constitute the vast majority of their payload because you won't be growing anything self-sustainable on the Moon/Mars for at least a year even under ideal "Earth-like" conditions simulated inside some kind of greenhouse (it's called farming - plant stuff, wait a year, eat it).

      There's a hell of a lot less heat and you're going to be constantly pumping heat into a cold void in order to keep things at room temperature (considering we can just about rustle-up a handful of watts for the Mars rovers, or a couple of hundred for the new ones using radioactive materials, your heating bill is going to be... well... astronomical). We just about managed it for a handful of days in the past, for just spacesuits. The Apollo astronauts barely stayed a day.

      There will be a bit more than the ISS's 10 major incidents in that time (not counting the VASTLY increased chances of problems with the travel outside the Earth's influence, landing and living on another rock that we can barely keep a rover running on) and no backup to send spare parts within weeks like we've done with the ISS.

      Just think about the first few days - if you don't manage to ship enough stuff and people to build a air-tight shelter against the dust storms, warm enough to keep a human happy, pumped full of oxygen, large enough to hold decent amount of food, people and living space, in one of the most hostile environments that humans would ever have set foot upon, you're dead before you even start. That's assuming those humans even make it there - most of the stuff we've sent to orbit Mars hasn't made it at all or lasted anywhere near it's planned lifetime - the exceptions don't bring up the averages much.

      Humans are literally two-three days away from death at any time. Rovers can live for decades and we can send 100 of them for the cost of one man (just in a single mission, if we so wanted). It was estimated recently that Apollo cost $170bn (adjusted for today) for a handful of people to walk on the moon for a day. The Mars rovers cost US$820 million originally, nearly $1bn with all the extensions. Curiosity costs about $3bn. That entire program cost less than 1-2% of the cost of putting a couple of men on the Moon for only a day.

      Humans aren't built for travel. Wherever we go we have to take Earth with us. And that, quite literally, costs the Earth each time.

    12. Re:The Moon by denzacar · · Score: 1
      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    13. Re:The Moon by vadim_t · · Score: 1

      So? Getting by sailing ship to America wasn't all that healthy either.

    14. Re:The Moon by NemoinSpace · · Score: 1

      Exactly.
      Which is why the immigrants in my family waited for the technology to improve. It wasn't like America (or Mars) is going anywhere. It'll be there when we're ready.
      Manned exploration of space (at this juncture) is absolutely captivating. - but incredibly stupid.

    15. Re:The Moon by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Humans are literally two-three days away from death at any time. Rovers can live for decades and we can send 100 of them for the cost of one man (just in a single mission, if we so wanted). It was estimated recently that Apollo cost $170bn (adjusted for today) for a handful of people to walk on the moon for a day. The Mars rovers cost US$820 million originally, nearly $1bn with all the extensions. Curiosity costs about $3bn. That entire program cost less than 1-2% of the cost of putting a couple of men on the Moon for only a day.

      But lets look at at a single simple comparison, rather than handwaving about costs and stay time In just four days on the Moon, the Apollo 16 rover (manned) covered 7.2 miles. In five *years* on Mars, Spirit covered just 5 miles. (The couple of times the Lunar Rover became stuck, either the crew drove it out with a few minutes work, or in one instance they picked the Rover up and turned it so that it was on better ground.) Between the two of them, in twelve *years* worth of combined operations, the Mars rovers have covered 25 miles. In total driving time of eight *hours* (and total surface time of nine *days*) the Lunar rovers covered a combined 27 miles. And when you count in the time spent on foot across all the Apollo missions...
       
      Even Steven Squyres (you've heard of him, Chief Scientist for the Mars Rovers) admits that what the rovers accomplished in their first three years of operation could have been accomplished by a manned mission in just three days.
       
      So yes, manned missions are much more expensive and thus come off worse in a simpleminded comparison of costs. But when you actually compare accomplishments, your comparison starts to falter.

    16. Re:The Moon by Vecanti · · Score: 1

      And we need to send them to Mars to do that? I'm not saying we are not doing great science sending rovers to Mars. And I'm not saying that I'm not on the edge of my seat watching the pictures and videos come in. But, cost and time (years of my life too) it takes to send them , as well as to learn stuff like landing rovers and creating rovers that can remotely build buildings on remote places is a fraction of the time on the moon.

    17. Re:The Moon by vadim_t · · Score: 1

      It'll never be without some dangerous experiments. People didn't sit around for centuries perfecting designs until they came up with the modern, perfectly safe transatlantic ship design, and then migrated in comfort. Nah, they made trips that would be considered suicidal by today's standards, and which often involved a few people dying on the way.

      Too unsafe for you? Big deal, there will be hundreds signing up anyway. If they manage to establish a colony it won't matter much that somebody's grand-grand-grandfather went blind at 40 due to the trip, and the experience gained will lead to improvements much faster than just sitting here and trying to think of a perfect solution.

      Tell me, would you approve funding for 50 years of research without any tangible results, besides improvements in technology nobody will really use?

    18. Re:The Moon by ledow · · Score: 1

      It would take a manned mission over 200 days just to get to Mars. This is my point. You would need 400 days of food, water, oxygen and a lot of luck and boredom just to get them there for that day.

      And they would need to bring samples back for analysis, they wouldn't be able to do what the rovers do and analyse on-site (sending their results back to Earth within hours) - if you sent them with equipment that could analyse on-site, well... they could have just sent the rover with the same equipment instead, because it's not like the humans added anything.

      Distance covered isn't that much of a factor if you're not actually looking at what you're rolling over. How much of that 7.2 manned miles was filmed, recorded, analysed, sampled? Next to nothing. Just because you cover a greater area in less detail doesn't mean it's more useful for science. And the fact is that the rovers have collected consistent data over 12 years - several winters on Mars - whereas Apollo only sampled a handful of days. How do you know those conditions weren't just a one-off, especially if you're going to plan your lunar base around such measurements?

      With rovers you can have a one-way mission (saving 50% of the cost) and analysis on-site. With manned missions, you end up bringing everything back again at huge expense (as we saw - hundreds to thousands of times more than a rover) and all you gain is literally a handful of days of human dexterity. The rovers could have done 200mph if anyone had needed them to. The fact is that it's worthless if you want to be safe, stay working, and actually collect useful data.

      "Worse off"? Nowhere near it. It's still a nonsense to send men (and always was nothing more than political oneupmanship) and will be until putting them in orbit is essentially an every-day operation with every-day costs. When you have those Virgin spacecraft and everything touching a vacuum on a daily basis, even if only for rich businessmen, then you can start looking at pushing humans elsewhere. Until then, it's prohibitively expensive and dangerous (from a mission point of view) to send a squelchy air-dependent bag of water somewhere just so they can turn a drill.

    19. Re:The Moon by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It would take a manned mission over 200 days just to get to Mars. This is my point.

      Your mistake lies in believing that your point is somehow relevant or insightful, or even based on anything even remotely resembling actually knowing what you're talking about.

      You would need 400 days of food, water, oxygen and a lot of luck and boredom just to get them there for that day.

      So? None of these are particularly onerous requirements. Hell, I've done 90 days at a pop no sweat. (And the highest tech entertainment we had was cassette tape players and VCRs.)

      And they would need to bring samples back for analysis, they wouldn't be able to do what the rovers do and analyse on-site (sending their results back to Earth within hours) - if you sent them with equipment that could analyse on-site, well... they could have just sent the rover with the same equipment instead, because it's not like the humans added anything.

      For the extremely simple and basic analysis the rovers have done to date, or are likely to be able to do in the near future - sure. For anything beyond that, no. We aren't sending automated X-ray crystallography equipment or electronic microscopes anytime soon. Let alone the complex equipment required to prepare the samples for analysis. (Hint: There's a reason why field geologists have labs back home to do the analysis.)

      Distance covered isn't that much of a factor if you're not actually looking at what you're rolling over. How much of that 7.2 manned miles was filmed, recorded, analysed, sampled? Next to nothing.

      And how many miles of those covered by the rovers has been filmed, recorded, analyzed, and sampled to the same absurdly high standard you're holding a manned mission to? Pretty much none of them. You really need to pull your head out of your ass or the clouds or wherever it is you're keeping it and learn how both the rovers and the manned missions accomplished their tasks - and the current state of robotic technology. Because quite frankly, you're utterly fucking clueless.

      And the fact is that the rovers have collected consistent data over 12 years - several winters on Mars - whereas Apollo only sampled a handful of days. How do you know those conditions weren't just a one-off, especially if you're going to plan your lunar base around such measurements?

      Seriously, are you as stupid as you act? We'll get the data for bases, on the Moon or Mars, the same way - from orbiters. Not from rovers.

      The rovers could have done 200mph if anyone had needed them to.

      No, they couldn't.

  10. Power? by tragedy · · Score: 1

    How is this powered? Not the landing stages, the rover itself? The video doesn't show any solar cells on the rover. Are they omitted from the simulation for simplicity, or is it using some sort of radiosotope battery. The video mentioned it had a planned life of two years. If that's the case, and given the size of the thing, then it almost has to be. That makes perfect sense of course, it's the ideal use of the technology. But don't they always run into political obstacles when they launch anything with "nuclear" in the name?

    1. Re:Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Science_Laboratory#Power_source

      The Curiosity rover will be powered by radioisotope thermoelectric generators (RTGs), as used by the successful Mars landers Viking 1 and Viking 2 in 1976.[29][30] Radioisotope power systems are generators that produce electricity from the natural decay of plutonium-238, which is a non-fissile isotope of plutonium used in power systems for NASA spacecraft. Heat given off by the natural decay of this isotope is converted into electricity, providing constant power during all seasons and through the day and night, and waste heat can be used via pipes to warm systems, freeing electrical power for the operation of the vehicle and instruments.[29][30]

      The Curiosity power source will use the latest RTG generation built by Boeing, called the "Multi-Mission Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator" or MMRTG.[31] Based on classical RTG technology, it represents a more flexible and compact development step,[31] and is designed to produce 125 watts of electrical power at the start of the mission and 100 watts after its minimum lifetime of 14 years.[32][33] The MSL will generate 2.5 kilowatt hours per day compared to the Mars Exploration Rovers which can generate about 0.6 kilowatt hours per day.[13]

    2. Re:Power? by tagno25 · · Score: 1

      Power source
      The Curiosity rover will be powered by radioisotope thermoelectric generators (RTGs), as used by the successful Mars landers Viking 1 and Viking 2 in 1976. Radioisotope power systems are generators that produce electricity from the natural decay of plutonium-238, which is a non-fissile isotope of plutonium used in power systems for NASA spacecraft. Heat given off by the natural decay of this isotope is converted into electricity, providing constant power during all seasons and through the day and night, and waste heat can be used via pipes to warm systems, freeing electrical power for the operation of the vehicle and instruments.
      The Curiosity power source will use the latest RTG generation built by Boeing, called the "Multi-Mission Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator" or MMRTG. Based on classical RTG technology, it represents a more flexible and compact development step, and is designed to produce 125 watts of electrical power at the start of the mission and 100 watts after its minimum lifetime of 14 years. The MSL will generate 2.5 kilowatt hours per day compared to the Mars Exploration Rovers which can generate about 0.6 kilowatt hours per day.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Science_Laboratory#Power_source

    3. Re:Power? by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Thanks. The question of whether or not it was radioisotope powered was a little silly as the answer was fairly obvious and easy to find. The question of how they can manage to launch it from a point of view of politics and negative publicity was my real question. That goes a good way towards answering it. Still, it's always possible it could get some unwanted NIMBY attention before its launch. People can get kind of funny about a few kilograms of plutonium even when the greatest risk in the worst case scenario is that it might fall on someone.

    4. Re:Power? by goodmanj · · Score: 1

      The question of how they can manage to launch it from a point of view of politics and negative publicity was my real question

      A combination of low profile and good engineering. As a general rule, the public doesn't know or care much about plutonium on spacecraft. The issues come to the public's attention when engineers recognize serious potential problems and talk about them to the media.

      Case in point, the last plutonium-powered spacecraft most people remember was Cassini. This got a lot of attention because engineers pointed out that while the power source it used was designed to survive if the rocket blew up during launch, it wasn't designed to survive re-entry from escape velocity: since Cassini did an Earth gravity assist maneuver a couple years after launch, if someone messed up the flyby there was a risk of loss-of-containment. The press overblew the issues, as they always do, but the point is that there was a real issue which provoked some real engineers to raise real concerns to get the story running.

      In this case, all the engineers who know enough about MSL's nuclear safety design to critique it are satisfied that it's not going to be a problem, so nobody is whispering in the media's ear. Same goes for other plutonium-powered missions since Cassini, which you probably haven't heard about.

    5. Re:Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Big advantage of the RTG include consistent power supply regardless of sunlight angle and dust. I suppose that the heat generated also can be used to shield the batteries from the cold ambient temps, esp. during the Martian winter.

    6. Re:Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like in all survival drama, the new rover has only limited battery time.To survive, it needs to find Spirit and Opportunity and take their solar panels. Will it be able to make it in time? "Quest for the Solar Panels", coming soon on select screens.

  11. Life on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Back in the 1970s the Viking probes had experiments to determine whether there was life on Mars. The answer was, depending on who you talk to, negative or inconclusive. You might think by now one of the landers we sent would have carried something to make that a definite positive or negative. Instead, it seems to be more experiments that are relevant to the question but not clearly answering it. Surely on a truck-sized rover we can afford to address this? Or are there political issues?

  12. New Scientist / Facebook Font by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When did New Scientist start using the Facebook font in their logo ?

  13. Complex by michaelmalak · · Score: 1

    Almost as complex as Apollo 11 supposedly was. Maybe someday we'll make it to the moon.

    1. Re:Complex by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Well, we went through multiple failures before and after Apollo 11...

  14. Incredible! by wesleyjconnor · · Score: 1

    I spent half the time thinking how freaking cool and the other half thinking isnt that MANY points of failure?
    I thought the beauty of the cushion landing was so few moving parts.
    that hover entry vehicle lowering the rover to the ground is straight out of a video game!

    1. Re:Incredible! by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      you design a portable cushion that can be deployed from the vehicle it has to catch, that can catch a Volkswagen dropped from ANY hight, and then call nasa. This rover is *huge* compared to previous rovers, dropping it *at all* is not an option.

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
  15. Recover the Spirit? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Could this thing, if equipped with a small rotary brush or air-blasting tool and a grasping tool of some sort, dislodge the Spirit and make it as good as new?

    Although the Spirit is small and less advanced by comparison, surely it would still serve some purpose as an auxiliary to Curiosity. Right?

    1. Re:Recover the Spirit? by node+3 · · Score: 2

      It could, but that would mean landing in the same area. Mars is quite large, and it would be a shame to send a probe to the same location unless that location happens to be of extremely notable interest (such as either a potential human landing site, or something truly unique in almost science fiction proportions).

  16. Awe by Spigot+the+Bear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I am in absolute awe after watching the video about the new rover. As people bicker over whether NASA's miniscule budget is worth it, because "space isn't important", it's nice that NASA can still bring out that child-like wonder in me. How can you not be amazed that we can send a robot like this to another planet, land it safely with precision, and study the composition of the planet from millions of miles away? Isn't that awe worth a few billion dollars a year, even if "it doesn't benefit me"?

    (Also, it has a laser tricorder. I mean, come on.)

    1. Re:Awe by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      But we're the 'type' of people who would get excited over this. To someone who isn't technical in any way whatsoever, all this seems like is "well, they put another 6-wheeler on mars... How many times am I supposed to get excited about that?". There are a lot of people who think that any space research is a waste, and this time you can't even show them a human doing the exploring, just "those RC cars".

      I really wish it weren't the case. The first time I saw the scale of the Curiosity rover my jaw dropped, and we're just ~1 year away from it landing. But many people only see the billions spent into this, and can't make any connection between that and anything useful "back on earth".
      Not to mention, this is relatively easy to publicize, because "it sends back pictures". How do you explain to people what the hell the LHC is for? This kind of struggle won't go away. Science keeps having to fight for a budget.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    2. Re:Awe by gworona · · Score: 1

      It would be neat to send the robot. It would be neat to do a lot of things. Too bad we're broke...worse than broke...$114.8 Trillion worse. http://www.usdebtclock.org/

    3. Re:Awe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is part of what bugs me about people here on slashdot saying that human missions in space is a waste of money and that all should be done by robots.
      Next time average joe is going to be interested in space is when there are humans standing on mars.
      It is probably easier to get public support for funding a manned mission to mars than to get public support for funding a much cheaper robotic mission.
      I guess it is just a matter of perceived ROI. If your end goal is knowing what things are like on mars then a robotic mission is fine.
      If you don't care about what it is like in places where you can't go yourself then anything that doesn't place more humans in space is a waste of money.

    4. Re:Awe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is really sad these same people who don't see any connection still get to benefit from the advance of science as a whole. Like medication for themselves and their beloved ones.

      I always point out to such selfish people that science is not something where you can decide to take only some part of. Science is a whole and I've got a very mean point of view on this: I believe that people who wants us to cut off space-exploration budget shouldn't get the right to be healed in hospitals. It's a pretty extreme point of view but I express it to people on purpose: it's to make a point. Once you point out to them that their grandmother/kid/cat gets healed thanks to advancement in science, they start to think twice about saying "no" to space-exploration.

    5. Re:Awe by John.P.Jones · · Score: 1

      As these systems are designed by some of our most talented scientists and engineers it isn't so much about whether or not to pay them but what we should be paying them to do. Is this what these people should be spending their efforts on, just because they want to. Wouldn't society be better off if these resources (people as well as money) were spent on other activities.

    6. Re:Awe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are two NASA's; the bad NASA that thinks Star Wars was a documentary & tries to send humans into space and the good NASA (JPL) that does unmanned missions.

  17. What could possibly go wrong? by Delgul · · Score: 1

    The landing procedure look entirely too complex to me. It is one thing to let something crash in a controlled way, but quite another to land it in the way they desscribe. There is a host of things that could go wrong, like failing thrusters, frozen fuel lines, malfunctioning controllers, etc etc... And all that after months in space, having survived a launch and re-entry and then completely automated, with only seconds to react if something fails... I will be really,really impressed if they pull this off...

    1. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Zeussy · · Score: 1

      Its the same or even less complexity as an Apollo mission: Apollo Mission Steps: Launch from Earth, Do a burn for an orbital insertion Do a brake burn to get into lunar orbit Land the Lunar Module Take off from the moon, dock with the command module Do another burn to come back to earth Enter the atmosphere at the correct angle deploy parachutes Hit an ocean Curiosity Mars Mission: Launch from earth Do a burn to Mars Enter mars atmosphere Deploy parachutes Land using a lunar module esk lander. It has quite a few less steps.

    2. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of those tasks were performed by a human who was actually there, or with backup a quarter of a light second away.

      On Mars, the automated systems are on their own. If there's even a slight unanticipated issue then there's no way to correct it.

    3. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by mbrod · · Score: 1

      I agree, if they want to land in that way they should send at least four rovers. Possibly have one survive.

  18. NASA, you guys are supposed to be better than this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA has not come up with a better way to get anything to Mars without jettisoning large amounts of space trash as the rockets go. This is unacceptable.
    NASA's new goal needs to be able to create a space plane that can take off and land like a plane and make it to mars without dropping any metal trash.
    (I'm not talking as anyone who cares about the environment either, I am talking as someone who sees space trash as a waste of taxpayer money), and don't take my point of view the wrong way. I want to see a human land on Mars, but unfortunately we don't have a boogey-man like Russia in the Cold War to get the motivation to make it happen. Technology funding has taken the backseat to social programs.(Grrrr)

    The landing consists of dropping hacked together buggy with slow moving robot arms from a parachute...essentially drawing from late 1700s technology (hot air balloons).
    Perhaps ruggedizing the systems and using space guns would be the better approach seeing as humans aren't in the payload.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_gun

    Back to the drawing board, please.

  19. Dude you SUCK! by arcite · · Score: 1

    With pessimism like that, how to you do walk outside? You might fall in a manhole or get hit by a bus. Did it not occur to you that just maybe, the landing method used was deemed the best chance for success? Well then again, you're no rocket scientist are you?

    1. Re:Dude you SUCK! by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      The original Ranger landers were redesigned because the design was too complex and kept failing. The second version had a whole lot of needless requirements taken out and worked very well.

    2. Re:Dude you SUCK! by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      How? Using my legs. I avoid walking on hands, I choose a bicycle over a monocycle when riding to work, I tend to sit down in a bus instead of trying to stand on top of a ball, and I choose to walk on the sidewalk instead of trying to balance on the barrier along the middle of the motorway.

      There were quite a few landing attempts using rocket thruster brakes on Mars, and about all failed. Two airbag landings succeeded. Basing on current experience, I wouldn't say this one has the best chance for success.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    3. Re:Dude you SUCK! by camperdave · · Score: 1

      You are aware that the airbag landings also used a rocket powered sky crane and descent tether system, are you not? Rocket thruster brakes are the ONLY way to land any significant mass on Mars.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  20. Any videos of tests on Earth? by antdude · · Score: 1

    I would love to see the landing parts.

    --
    Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
    1. Re:Any videos of tests on Earth? by derGoldstein · · Score: 2

      Here's the only physical test I found: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YasCQRAWRwU

      Earth's atmosphere is entirely different. If you tried using the same scale, the same thrusters, and the same weight, the entire thing would crash. I'm sure there were separate tests of the individual steps, using dummy loads, but I can't find any videos of them.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    2. Re:Any videos of tests on Earth? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      The depressing thing about that video is that they are only launching one rover. They should be launching a fleet of them and deploying them at various places around Mars.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  21. Whooshing sound? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 2

    I thought there was no sound in the vacuum of space.

    But then maybe all that manmade global warming New Scientist likes to report is causing air molecules in our atmosphere to heat up and expand into the other reaches of space, causing all that whooshing noise as the mars lander speeds by the camera.

    Or maybe they consulted with George Lucas before making the video...

    1. Re:Whooshing sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If an astronaut farts in a spacesuit and nobody hears it, does it still stink?

    2. Re:Whooshing sound? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      People always confuse the distortion of the magnetic field caused by a spacecraft travelling at high speed through the tenuous plasma and cosmic rays of space and the currents associated with that distortion which are induced into the audio pickup circuitry of the camera as "sound in the vacuum of space"?

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    3. Re:Whooshing sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's on Mars, not in the vacuum of space.

    4. Re:Whooshing sound? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

      did you even watch the video? You can hear star-wars like sound effects while it's in interplanetary space, on the way to mars.

  22. Re:NASA, you guys are supposed to be better than t by tragedy · · Score: 1

    Mars has a very thin atmosphere. It's nearly a vacuum. To generate enough lift to be worth anything, the wings for any spaceplane would have to be enormous. Atmospheric braking can work at high speeds, but once it slows down, there isn't enough drag for a parachute to slow it down to a survivable speed. If a parachute won't work, wings won't either unless they can make some sort of incredible high speed horizontal landing on very flat ground.

    With the technology currently available, they seem to have made the best choices they can. Dumping parts all over the place may not appeal to you, but it's the best way to have, for example, a heat shield for atmospheric braking that you don't have to spend fuel on lowering gently to the ground afterwards. The lowering mechanism, where the rover is lowered from the hovering section is the oddest seeming part of the whole thing. I'm not sure if it's meant to lower the rover gently because the thrusters wouldn't be able to make a gentle landing, or if it's simply meant to keep the thruster section clear of the rover. If it's the former, then I suppose it makes sense. If it's the latter, then I think it would be a better idea to have the rover land with the thruster section attached, then have it detach and fly away. Then again, maybe they're worried about high speed grains of dust and rock kicked up by the thrusters. In any case, I'm not sure that anyone here criticizing the design actually has a better idea. I mean, you could imagine some sort of Voltron style rover that assembles itself from multiple independent pieces that land via airbag, for example, but it wouldn't exactly be less complicated.

  23. covered in dust kicked up from the lander by funkboy · · Score: 1

    The Apollo astronauts commented that the mission's lander kicked up a tremendous amount of dust from the lunar surface; so much so that the blast radius was visible from the command module in orbit.

    Judging from the video, there seems to be a significant risk of:

      - bits of Curiosity getting fried by the descent engines

      - the lander covering Curiosity with a massive amount of dust

    Now, given that there are massive duststorms on Mars anyway, the team has hopefully prepared the rover to deal with being absolutely covered with martian dust, but it seems a shame to me to have to start the mission off that way as a result of the landing technique.

    Perhaps they could test it in the worst part of the sub-Saharan Harmattan season?

    1. Re:covered in dust kicked up from the lander by Arrepiadd · · Score: 1

      I know you have a 5 digits UID and that should bring you some respect but could you please also respect the scientists at NASA and elsewhere?

      "bits of Curiosity getting friend by the descent engine"
      Are you seriously thinking they couldn't even figure that part out? Is this some sort of amateur first try project at something like shooting a bird at the top of a tree with some rocks and a sling?

      "the lander covering Curiosity with a massive amount of dust (...)"
      Considering the rover is not using solar energy but actually a RTG Unless it's scientific instruments get totally blocked by dust it should not be a problem. And given that the previous rover attempts (dependent on solar energy) survived Mars dust storms quite fine (they were supposed to last 90 days and they stayed quite a bit longer) I'd say this one should do fine as well. Ah, that reference to Apollo's dust cloud. Well, not only the Apollo lander actually... er, landed unlike in this case where it will float a bit above the surface therefore reducing the dust cloud formed, but in the Moon there is no atmosphere at all and it's only gravity stopping whatever you send up. In Mars, not only the gravity is more than twice as high, but also the atmosphere should increase drag and reduce the cloud dust.

      I do not work for NASA or any other space agency, I'm not even American, but I think we can trust them a bit more. They seem to be able to hit a planet that far away (occasionally having problems with unit conversion), remembering to place the exhausts from the descent engines away from the probes should be within their capabilities...

    2. Re:covered in dust kicked up from the lander by Tim+C · · Score: 1

      I know you have a 5 digits UID and that should bring you some respect

      Why? Though I do agree with you general point, of expecting that experts in the field working on this for months or years will probably have thought of anything we can come up with in a couple of minutes of reading an article...

  24. Inappropriate media by DrNoNo · · Score: 1

    Isn't there a write up somewhere? Wouldn't it be better to link to a write up? I don't want to spend 4m19s watching some dumb video with sound in space and fancy graphics. Spoken narrative is too slow. A write up and a diagram or 2 is enough to convey principles, which is what interests me.

  25. Doomed to become a statistic by petes_PoV · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I counted 8 systems where any problem at all would kill the mission:

    Heatshield that has to protect, then deploy (or fall off in non-techno speak)
    Guidance rockets that have to work just right
    A parachute that mustn't rip or tangle
    A hovering system that must balance,irrespective of any storms it may encounter
    A winch that must not jam (after 40+ weeks in cold and vacuum)
    ... and pay out slowly enough
    ... and detach when the lander is down safely
    and finally the hovering platform that must not run out of fuel and drop onto the lander, or think it's detached and fly off with the lander in tow (If they got that on video, I'd laugh for a week)

    In short there are far too many ways it can fail, and far too many things that have to work perfectly. I think there's a bad case of hubris from having 2 landers out of 2 that not only survived the trip, but exceeded expectations. Sadly, I think this thing will even up the score.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    1. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what I thought too when I saw this. A lot of points of possible failure. What was wrong with the big-bounching-bubble-method again? Except for you have no clue of where it will be once it stopped bouncing?

    2. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh come on, the reason these projects are so expensive is that they think up and test any scenario they can think of to prove the system. The most likely reason it will fail with such a new system is some never before thought of problem, not all the tried and proven technologies you name:
        - Parachutes don't really tangle, they can make them deploy perfectly with rocket chairs, I don't know any space probes that failed because of the use of parachutes.
      - do you even remember when a heatshield failed? Yes Columbia is one of the few examples, and that was an exposed heatshield of an utterly different and fragile design than space probes that are fully enclosed when launched.
      - You do know we can see the weather on Mars right? They can spot dust devils from the probes circling Mars, they can definitely spot the type of storm that would be able to upset the landing. (which takes around 15 minutes, not enough time for a storm to develop out of nothing).
      - Winches operate in all kinds of weather and cold vacuum is nearly the best environment in existence for machines (just use heaters to pre-heat anything you need). No irritating water making ropes slippery or rusting stuff away or ice, dust or other gunk blocking anything. The vacuum is perfectly predictable in comparison to an atmosphere with changing pressures and other properties.

    3. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I expect the engineers are very much aware of these possible points of catastrophic failure. They (we?) aren't putting some mass produced Corolla or Civic on Mars, the engineering focus here I expect would be on quality and durability, not build as cheap as possible. We have come to expect consumer stuff to fail easily due to the primary engineering directive being keeping costs down at the expense of quality and reliability, but have faith! We really can build some amazing machines! It'll land successfully!

    4. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize that seven of those eight things were done successfully on Sojourner and both MERs?

      So, we're 21 for 21 so far. Now we're simply adding "A hovering system that must balance, irrespective of any storms it may encounter".

      And we removed a few too, such as "bouncing around on the surface must not puncture the airbag" and "servos must work to open the tetroid and expose the rover", and then the really big one that everyone was worried about, if you remember: "airbags must not get caught oddly, preventing the rover from leaving the pad".

    5. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *ALL* space missions have lots of "must work" steps.

      Yes, MSL is quite challenging, but MER and Sojurner (not to mention lots of other missions) also had "must work" steps.

      Nobody flies with multiple parachutes, for instance.

      All we can do is test the bejeebers out of things and pray everything works and we don't hit the 1% error.

    6. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by NortySpock · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of systems in the world that have to work correctly to prevent disaster, and NASA certainly deals with this all the time. They've got a lot of smart engineers that work on this stuff, and they have a lot of experience with it.

      You can play armchair engineer all you want, but that doesn't mean you know what you're talking about. Saying "There are X systems that are mission-critical, thus I believe it will fail" all but demonstrates that you have no familiarity with the project*, and your statement of personal incredulity is naught but a fallacious argument from ignorance.

      *To be fair, neither do I.

    7. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heatshield that has to protect, then jettison(or fall off in non-techno speak)

      FTFY, deploy means to put into position, not drop/fall off/throw away.
      http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/deploy
      http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/jettison

    8. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of systems in the world that have to work correctly to prevent disaster

      Yes, indeed. And the trick to ensuring that they DO work correctly is rigourous testing. Component testing, systems testing, rehersals, live tests, worst case testing, accelerated life-tests and all the other techniques for finding the non-obvious/"ooops! we never thought of that", or "hmmm, that shouldn't have happened" type faults.

      None of which can be applied to this vehicle, or many of the components of it. Sure, they can be tried out on the ground. Even in vacuum, even exposed to radiation of sorts and even in extreme cold, but until the craft actually gets to Mars, most of the critical systems will never have been fired up in their working environment.

      --
      politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    9. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by jonahbron · · Score: 0

      ... or think it's detached and fly off with the lander in tow (If they got that on video, I'd laugh for a week)

      The hovering system doesn't fly off because it touched down and released, it flies off because it no longer has the extra weight of the rover.

    10. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I counted 8 systems where any problem at all would kill the mission:

      Only 8? Damm, NASA is doing pretty good if they've gotten the mission killers down to 'only 8'. (In case you didn't get it, that was sarcasm.) There's dozens of things that must work without a problem (counting the booster, which is really hundreds of things, as only one) for the mission to succeed. You've only identified the flashiest and most obvious - congratulations!
       

      In short there are far too many ways it can fail, and far too many things that have to work perfectly.

      And that's pretty much par for the course for any mission. It's been that way since the beginning and it's a virtual certainty that it will never change. Even the previous two rovers had such a list.
       

      I think there's a bad case of hubris from having 2 landers out of 2 that not only survived the trip, but exceeded expectations. Sadly, I think this thing will even up the score.

      No, it's a case of wanting to do science that can't be done otherwise. The odds may not be the best, but if all you did is sit at home and wait till these is no risk, you'll never do anything of note.

    11. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to the complexity of space systems, where you can't afford an in-situ failure. Now, you either deal with it or stay on Earth.

      By the way, there is so little atmosphere on Mars (9.3 mbar) that I have serious trouble imagining a storm destabilizing the sky crane...

    12. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, my thoughts too. The chance this thing will make a safe landing is very small. People here have said it is comparable to the lunar lander. Nope, not close. If someone had come up with a lunar lander that had to be safely lowered by a winch from a hovering rocket they would have been laughed out of the room. The people who cam up with this hovering winch scheme should have been laughed right off the design team. If it does work, and that's a big if, it will have worked against the odds using a design only a committee could come up with:
                ooh, I want rockets
                ooh, ooh, I want a parachute
                ooh, I want something to hover
                wait!, what about me, I've always liked cranes, can we put in something like a crane?

    13. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You left out the weight that get jettisoned to balance while coming down. Yes, seems complex to me.

    14. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't they just use the bouncy beach ball idea they used last time? That's a fun way to land!

    15. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by camperdave · · Score: 1

      The big bouncy bubble method used absolutely identical steps: Heat shield, parachutes, rocket powered descent, and drop tether. However, instead of being dropped from the height of a silo, bounced around at 10-15G impacts and rolled end over end like a car losing control on a freeway, this rover is going to be gently set on the ground, fully deployed.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    16. Re:Doomed to become a statistic by ScottMaxwell · · Score: 1

      The MER landing system was pretty damn complicated as well -- you shouldn't think otherwise just because it worked perfectly, twice. (And the late add of the DIMES system, which used images taken during descent to make decisions about rocket firing, made things even more complex but probably saved Spirit.)

      I know some of the engineers working on the MSL landing system, and they're well aware that it all needs to work properly. They're also terrifically smart, the kind of people who can make this work if anyone can.

      Do I think it's a guaranteed success? Of course not: guaranteed successes don't happen in this business. But I also recognize that it's not more complex than it needs to be, to solve this very hard problem.

      --

      ``Life results from the non-random survival of randomly varying replicators.'' -- Richard Dawkins
  26. wow. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow.. A video. Thats exactly where i imagined we would be when it came to spaceflight in 2011.

    1. Re:wow. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Well, then you didn't think it all the way through. Space is immense and utterly hostile and completely empty. Engineering needs to be be rethought for every single process you take for granted here on Earth. And yet, all we have to work with are the materials (and chemical elements!) we have on Earth. There aren't any different or stronger or more energetic materials in space.

      Physical reality, and our tiny mayfly-like lifespans, just does't scale to the vastness of space.

  27. Just for fun... by aug24 · · Score: 1

    As Stanislaw Lem either didn't understand statistics or was simplifying for those who don't ;-)

    For an equal chance of failure = (n-1)/n, you need x=ln(1/2)/ln((n-1)/n) parts to have a greater chance of failure.

    For n=10e6, that's about 693 thousand components. Quite a lot less than a million!

    Correct me if I'm wrong, I won't mind.

    --
    You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    1. Re:Just for fun... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      That's for equal chance. We all know certainty was not to be expected but I seriously wonder how probability scales, for chance 1/x in x tries, for large numbers.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  28. Discussion of Landing Systems by necro81 · · Score: 1

    The National Academy of Engineering had an article a long while ago about the Challenges of Landing on Mars, detailing the various merits of the systems used for Viking, Pathfinder/Spirit/Opportunity, and the upcoming Curiosity. It's a little dry, but it explains with good reasoning why the chosen landing solution is appropriate for Curiosity.

  29. Everything is amazing and nobody is happy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In case you haven't watched this video, I really recommend dedicating 4 minutes of your life to it.

    The thing is... Yeah, it's stunning that we can but a robot to another planet and let it research the planet. It's also stunning that once I submit this message, the machine I'm using (a fast computer that runs on chemically stored energy) makes numerous lightning fast calculations and sends the data at the speed of light across the world to another absolutely amazing machine that others can access to read it... And we do that all the time. Hell, the fact that (nearly) all of us have several remote controllers in our homes is just amazing when you stop to think about it. While I don't oppose missions into space, I think that it is a valid argument to say that the same money used on research on our planet would be better spent. Oceans are pretty cool, too. And volcanoes. And everything else around us.

  30. Units by paulkoan · · Score: 1

    When a Mars mission narration refers to "miles" and "feet" it makes me shudder.

    --
    This signature intentionally left blank
  31. Re:NASA, you guys are supposed to be better than t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA's new goal needs to be able to create a space plane that can take off and land like a plane

    Perhaps they should develop something that can shuttle items back and forth into space. A "space shuttle" of some sort.

  32. ignorant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    EVERY mission has "systems where any problem at all would kill the mission". It's space travel. It's hard. Cope.

  33. Have to say by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I wish that they would put this on the edge of the crater, rather than in it. If Mars has water, where would it be? Not high. It would be in the ice and at the bottom of craters. At the least, I would rather that we put it there around winter.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  34. Most definitely the coolest impossible idea by holophrastic · · Score: 1

    Oh you simply must watch the video. It really is something out of a Bruce Willis movie. Nothing even close to simple. I can't imagine it'll make it through to the final plan. And if it does, I can't imagine it actually working. And if it does, I hope someone goes and films it happening -- that might be the easier part. Seriously, video games aren't this cool.

  35. theres an iphone app for that by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    Im sure theres an iphone app for that fine control landing, iphone does have inertial sensors after all.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.