Analyzing Long-Term SSD Failure Rates
wintertargeter writes "It looks like Tom's Hardware has posted the first long-term study of SSD failure rates. The chart on the last page is interesting — based on numbers, it seems SSDs aren't more reliable than hard drives. "
I didn't read TFA but the chart doesn't tell me that "SSDs aren't more reliable than hard drives".. the SSDs were generally 6% or under (assuming the linear progression) whereas regular HDD approached 14%+ after five years. And "Long-term" in the title? The SSD data in the chart only goes for 1 year. Not exactly long term when the chart goes from 1-5 years of use. The actual data for the SSDs is only 20% of the time span.
Did the poster even look at the chart he linked to?
Did you? Apparently not.
Ignore the dashed lines-- those curves are not data, they are "projection." The chart has no data on SSD failures late in the lifetime. So, when you say "...SSD failures only exceed HD failures very early on in their lifetimes," that is equivalent to saying "SSD failures only exceed HD failures in the region of the graph for which there is data."
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
Let me summarize:
A) Chart is worthless. I have never see a more ambiguous meaningless chart in my life. They might as well not bother to label things.
B) Lets do a reliability study on SSD's that they don't have any long term data on past 2 years, yet compare it to HDD that typically at least have a 3 year warranty. By that I only mean, I'll go out on a limb and guess that the average failure rate of HDD is > 3 years, if only for economic self preservation.
C) Results in either case depend highly on specific device model and configuration.