Slashdot Mirror


Smart Power Grid Could Wreak Havoc On Itself

MrSeb writes "Smart power grid monitoring that lets you pick the exact cheapest time to run the dishwasher or recharge your electric car may put too much power (so to speak) in the hands of the consumer, according to a new study by MIT. Researchers say that users receiving minute-by-minute pricing information might cycle off-peak power use more rapidly than utilities can spool up their power plants. In other words, it's OK if you're the only person charging your Chevy Volt at 2am in the morning, but if a whole town does it exactly the same time... there will be issues."

40 of 331 comments (clear)

  1. if everyone is using off peak hours by Osgeld · · Score: 5, Insightful

    they will quickly become peak hours, I have the upmost faith in our utilities to gouge us for whatever they can

    1. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by Stellian · · Score: 2

      That sounds like a grid that is not smart enough; if everybody charges his Chevy at 2AM, then 2AM will be the new peak hour and it will cost an arm and a leg to charge at that time. If the price information is delayed versus the instantaneous power consumption, then yes, a spike should be expected when the the price drops, but this could be countered by distributing the price information with random delays and only in some areas.

    2. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by Osgeld · · Score: 2, Interesting

      well I can assure you most places do not shut off their AC when they leave, do you know how much time it takes to get the office back down to 60? (no seriously thats a fad here AC must be 60 so you get a chest cold when you walk in from 103 degree temps, cause little Susie secretary has not spent a day outside since school)

    3. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by b0r1s · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You're exactly right ... the power used by businesses far exceeds the amount used by even busy households. Corporate ACs in 20 story buildings use far more electricity than people running appliances at night in their homes. Peak will remain peak, and even in the worst case, 'smart' enough grids should be able to distribute the load across the 'down' cycle, instead of everything running at 2am on the dot.

      --
      Mooniacs for iOS and Android
    4. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by DarkOx · · Score: 2

      That really depends I would expect lots business DO have some ability to control or at least scale their usage.

      They could say cool the building down to a cooler than normal, but still liveable temperature while power is cheap so they won't need to run cooling as soon or as long during peak later for example. Say crank the place down to 67F between 7 and 8a and then let the place creep up to 74 before you start the AC again during office hours.

      If the cost per kwh is much lower at night, perhaps you do more production on your third shift and your first and second shifts are lighter, for examples.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    5. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by iluvcapra · · Score: 2

      Most uses of power during different times of day is obligatory -- you can't schedule all your air conditioning at night, and you can't schedule your lighting for the day.

      In principle, everyone can charge their Volt at 2AM as long as the power company knows ahead of time its going to happen -- the problem TFA posits is that people would be sufficently unpredictable about when they would use their power, or would allocate their power usage in a perfectly rational way in order to minimize their cost per unit, causing power consumption to become unpredictable, neither of which is likely to happen in aggregate.

      The way the power company is liable to solve this problem, which will totally work but people don't like, is they'll give you a schedule and tell you to only run your clothes washer at certain hours, or your car charger at certain hours, and the Smart Grid(tm) will give your power company the liberty to switch off your high-demand appliances at times they don't have the supply.

      That's what a Smart Grid does -- people think it will let them pay spot prices for electricity, no no no, it's about the power company collecting Google-style metrics of power consumption on an appliance-by-appliance, outlet-by-outlet basis, and then giving you 10% off your bill if you consent to having a remote power cutoff installed on your washing machine, air conditioner, and car charger.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    6. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by operagost · · Score: 2

      Susie Secretary likes to set the thermostat to 60, then turn on the 1850W space heater under her desk and flip the breaker.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    7. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by GooberToo · · Score: 2

      Not at all. The effect is distributing the load throughout the period which is traditionally considered off-peak.

    8. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Sadly this is all made up for by the heat generated by friction from the four 10 minute before-lunch private conferences with your department manager

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    9. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by mcrbids · · Score: 2

      That's what a Smart Grid does -- people think it will let them pay spot prices for electricity, no no no, it's about the power company collecting Google-style metrics of power consumption on an appliance-by-appliance, outlet-by-outlet basis, and then giving you 10% off your bill if you consent to having a remote power cutoff installed on your washing machine, air conditioner, and car charger.

      I'm not aware of there being a definition for what is a "smart grid". It's still evolving, and many people have different ideas about what "smart" grid should be.

      All TFA says is that it's easily possible to build a dynamic system that's unstable. Duh. In aviation, the attribute that you are looking for is called "positive dynamic stability" - which simply means that when things get interrupted or jarred, that the system actively works to mitigate the change and stabilize over time.

      This is also something I achieve with a self-healing load-balanced computing cluster. Things happen, loads spike, etc. The system should gradually self-stabilize.

      This is a problem as old as the presence dynamic systems.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    10. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by mcgrew · · Score: 2

      Why would a smart grid let you see what you're running in your house? The most they should have access to are two plots, power and power factor versus time. Anything else is information that neither the utility nor the law needs to know about. There is no need to know what is running inside a home or business, or even have any control over anything running inside it. All the control you need is real time pricing pushed out to the power meter, and from there to connected smart appliances.


      In many US locales, if you suddenly use a lot more power they inform the cops, who then bring dope sniffing dogs to see if you're growing pot. They assume that a big jump in power consumption means high pressure sodium lamps.

    11. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by mcgrew · · Score: 2

      but can you disguise grow op lights as a server?

      Some friends of mine solved that problem over ten years ago. A bank of CFLs will put off as much light as a high pressure sodium lamp at 1/5 the wattage, and without having to use the extra electricity to cool the grow room. The weed grew just as fast and was just as tasty and potent as the HPS lamps produced.

    12. Re:if everyone is using off peak hours by hawguy · · Score: 2

      Susie Secretary likes to set the thermostat to 60, then turn on the 1850W space heater under her desk and flip the breaker.

      In my office, Susie Secretary can't control the thermostat (only Facilities can), and since there's limited cooling zones, they have a hard time making everyone comfortable. When Joe Boss with the corner office starts getting afternoon sun through the windows, Susie Secretary outside of his office suffers because the air handlers are sending so much cooling to that zone that it's 67 degrees in her office and 73 degrees in his.

      Sure, it's possible to fix it with a system redesign and maybe some more walls to zone out the cooling better, but when finance looks at $80K to redesign the cooling system for the entire office and compares with telling Susie to wear a sweater in August, guess who wins?

  2. How were electric cars EVER supposed to work? by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The big question that seemed/seems lost in all this "The electric car is gonna save the world!" hype is how an energy grid that can barely handle our energy needs AS IT IS is supposed to function when a significant portion of the population replaces their evil petroleum cars with electricity-draining electrics. When I've asked that question in the past to my usual suspect lineup of hippie friends (who also think that organic food and wind turbines are going to save us all too), the only answer I ever got was a vague "Well, most of that'll be happening at night, when the power demand is down anyway." But we're talking HUGE power usage spikes with those cars. Think of how much our system is already taxed when HVAC units have to cool a 10-degree-higher heat wave. Now imagine half the population plugging cars into the gird every night that draw WAY more power than any consumer HVAC unit.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:How were electric cars EVER supposed to work? by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      oh, we'll have to beef up generation and the grid all right, but that still can be more efficient and cleaner than millions of little fossil fuel burners and the distribution system to feed them

    2. Re:How were electric cars EVER supposed to work? by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 2

      The big question that seemed/seems lost in all this "The electric car is gonna save the world!" hype is how an energy grid that can barely handle our energy needs AS IT IS is supposed to function when a significant portion of the population replaces their evil petroleum cars with electricity-draining electrics.

      There's plenty of off-peak capacity. The problem arrises when everyone who drove their electric cars to work needs to charge them before they can make the drive home.

    3. Re:How were electric cars EVER supposed to work? by orgelspieler · · Score: 4, Informative

      yea I will hold my breath for that to happen, in the meantime who is going to beefing up this enormous nationwide grid? thats right a team of workers pouring out of a 2 ton quad cab V8 Chevy

      Them's fightin' words, son. Any self-respecting lineman drives a Ford. And we sure as shit don't carpool.

    4. Re:How were electric cars EVER supposed to work? by geekoid · · Score: 2

      Yes, the hippie friend is a great source~

      Here is what we will do:
      we will build more power plants.

      Wow, that was hard, wasn't it?

      preferably 4th gen nuclear power plants, and industrial solar power.

      Full charge most packs at 6.6Kw would take 4 hours, or so.

      That's a full charge, something that wouldn't happen most nights on a modern electric car.

      So NO it won't be "WAY more power" then home HVAC units. Less, in most cases. That said, HVAC is a poor comparison because it encompasses so many different technology, and such a wide range of energy usage.

      the average American household uses 24Kwh per day.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    5. Re:How were electric cars EVER supposed to work? by Fned · · Score: 2

      " Think of how much our system is already taxed when HVAC units have to cool a 10-degree-higher heat wave."

      If there was ever an obvious case for solar, this is it.

      Why new AC is allowed to be installed without at least some kind of photovoltaic offset continues to be a mystery...

  3. Could be worse by DrData99 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You could be charging your car at 2AM in the afternoon!

  4. These researchers misunderstood the idea by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2, Informative

    These researchers clearly misunderstood the idea of a "smart" power grid. It is not intended to let you control when you consume your electricity so as to save money. It is intended to let the government/corporations control when you consume electricity.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    1. Re:These researchers misunderstood the idea by Hatta · · Score: 2

      The problem isn't the smart meters. They're a good idea. The question is, who pays and who realizes the benefits? Are they going to lower prices now that their costs are lower due to the smart meters?

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    2. Re:These researchers misunderstood the idea by Darinbob · · Score: 2

      Well, there is a bit of cause for paranoia at times. Power companies are absolutely about making a profit. If it weren't for government regulation there would be no cause at all to conserve electricity because more usage means more profits. Power companies used to actually encourage the use of more power. The hands-off free market approach wasn't working. The trick is how to make that greed motive actually work to cut usage. The California model was to decouple utility profits from sales; a fixed cost goal is set and if revenues exceed this then the excess is returned to consumers but if usage falls below this goal then the utility keeps the profits.

      Of course we'd never have gotten to the point of creating these regulations if the consumers hadn't gotten so thoroughly pissed off at the utilities. In California, the biggest laissez faire conservatives despise PG&E just as much as the biggest co-op commies.

  5. Time to get power storage systems by bobs666 · · Score: 2

    We need to store power so that we can only use that power at a constant rate 24/7.

    1. Re:Time to get power storage systems by Tofof · · Score: 4, Funny

      Great idea. Maybe we could do this with a high-energy-density liquid! Something like long hydrocarbon chains that are straightforward to break when we want to reclaim the energy...

    2. Re:Time to get power storage systems by mikael · · Score: 2

      We used to get storage electric heaters in the UK - they had an electric heating element combined with insulated ceramic bricks. Off-peak hours, the heating element would heat up the bricks, then enough heat would be retained and released by the bricks during the following day to provide heat to the room. An insulated flap would allow for the control of released heat. The heating element could also be left on all day as a further boost.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  6. Everybody Panic! by loftwyr · · Score: 4, Funny

    He's right! And if everyone in town flushes their toilet at the same time, all the pipes will burst and we'll all die!

    1. Re:Everybody Panic! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is why my whole town flushes at 2AM when toilet usage is at its lowest.

  7. solutions... by datapharmer · · Score: 2

    The solutions here are a case of "No shit Sherlock." Put in a random offset in the update cycling - They do the same thing for automatic software updates already. If you schedule for an update every half hour it might actually update anywhere from 15 minutes to 45 minutes (adjust delay as needed for application). The random staggering keeps everyone from grabbing an update (and thus cycling their power hungry appliances on) at the same time.

    --
    Get a web developer
  8. tada super capacitors by hypergreatthing · · Score: 2

    Perfect solution. Charge capacitor whenever you want at the lowest cost hours. Use said stored charge to power any devices you want at home including your car.

    Yeah i know doesn't exist now/yet. But i don't see why it couldn't, you're moving capacity from the grid to the end point.

  9. Re:Distributed by taiwanjohn · · Score: 2

    Both storage and production should be distributed as widely as possible. If half the homes in your neighborhood have solar panels, wind turbines, and on-site storage, then there will be much less need for the coal-fired "utility" plant to adjust to localized spikes.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  10. A smart grid by BitZtream · · Score: 2

    Wouldn't allow everyone to receive the power at one time. If the plants were overloaded, two things could happen, A) pricing jumps up automatically, causing some devices to not consume power due to their price rate limiting.

    Second, all the smart equipment in the grid could simply not pass full amperage through to the receiver while the plant is spooling up. The smart meters can provide rolling blackouts as needed to keep the grid under control. These smart devices in the home would be aware of they reduced power availability and simply wait until the grid told them there was sufficient power to activate.

    Smart devices that want to turn on at certain times would not turn on exactly at that time, there would be a random number generator which adds some sort of randomized delay so that you set it to run when the price drops to $0.05/hour, and when that occurs, it waits some random amount of time between 0 and 30 minutes. All smart devices do the same thing, effectively giving the grid time to compensate and allow plants to spool up as needed. The smart devices can also be told the grid is overloaded so please wait.

    We're talking about a SMART GRID ... you simply program the devices to avoid the problem. If you don't, its not a SMART grid, its just a grid with some silly controllers on it.

    Second, once the power company realizes that everyone charges their electric cars at 2am during the price drop ... they simply spool the plants up in advance so they are ready for the load. It'll be rather predictable, kind of like the early morning when everyone gets up and starts using hair dryers and electric ranges, microwaves, electric hot water heaters and all that. They just spool the plants up in advance as the load is rather predictable.

    Someone at MIT is missing the tree because they keep looking at the forest.

    The grid and these devices are communicating with each other, the grid can simply tell the devices to wait a minute, its not ready, and if they try now they are going to get denied. This isn't a difficult problem to solve, I'm fairly certain it would be trivial to implement the software required on the cheapest of microcontrollers. An Arduino for instance would have no problem dealing with this from both the grid side or the home device side.

    --
    Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  11. Re:easy by GooberToo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    70%? Source, please. If everyone slowly charges their cars over 10-16 hours, this might work, but if many people want to charge their cars at the same time, it will bring the grid down to its knees. An electric car charger can add as much strain to a grid as a whole house.

    You entirely missed the point.

    By design cars are planned to support multiple charging modes. The most basic designs assume a fast charge and a slow charge. Those charging at night will use the slow charge method.. Furthermore, there has even been discussion on allowing the car to participate in the smart meter network such that it can intelligent switch based on current grid load in the neighborhood.

    So long story short, typical charging at night, is fully expected the charge cycle to be spread out over at least 6-8 hours; if not longer.

    Its not like the people planning this stuff are absolute fucking idiots. Making such lame assumptions tends to point the finger in the opposite direction.

  12. Re:I've been saying this for years by BasilBrush · · Score: 5, Informative

    I've been saying this for years - despite what boosters of electric cars would have you believe, there isn't a magical well of electrical power available at night.

    Yes there is. You've been wrong for years.

    The utilities have spent the better part of a century either finding customers for the overnight low demand period or optimizing their networks to not generate unneeded power in the first place.

    But they haven't found enough customers for overnight electricity to make the demand anything like during the day. As to "optimising the networks", power station capacity that is there during the day is also there at night. Whilst much of it is currently taken off line, if night time power demands increase, then they can leave more of them on-line at night.

    Of course there are consequences to changes. But that's a very different thing from there being catastrophic, or even difficult consequences.

  13. Re:One way to solve this by Idarubicin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The question I raised was basically "Yep the technology works, but how are you going to change the mindset of people away from ME ME ME to US US US?".

    The same way - and the only way - you usually get large numbers of people to engage in apparently cooperative or altruistic behaviour: bribery. Offer people a small reduction in electricity rates (or a cash rebate, or some other real-money incentive) in exchange for allowing the utility to remotely adjust/control their consumption.

    Many utilities (in the United States and elsewhere) are already doing this with air conditioner thermostats. They offer a rebate or rate break in exchange for giving the utility the ability to remotely shut off your air conditioner for a set period of time (generally no more than one hour per day, and often less) during high demand periods. Some have gone to even 'smarter' systems, which allow the end-user a small number of 'overrides'. (Usually you can go without the A/C for a few minutes, but if you're hosting a party and need the cooling, then you can have it on a handful of occasions each year. This little bit of added flex)

    I see no serious technological, political, or social barrier to implementing a similar system to regulate charging systems for electric vehicles. If anything, there's even more flexibility here--the car (and its owner) don't care whether it does its six hours of charging between 9pm and 3am, or between midnight and 6am, or as a dozen 30-minute blocks spread over the whole night.

    --
    ~Idarubicin
  14. Hmmm by drolli · · Score: 2

    off peak power usage is a technology of the 60s-80s, e.g. for heating to use electricity used in industry during the daytime.

    i always imagined a smart grid would mean that not everybody turns on at 2am but that you get even a little bit a better rate but letting the company decide when your car will be charged (e.g. sometimes between 1am and 8am).

  15. A spoonfull of jitter helps the power go down by WaffleMonster · · Score: 2

    Just randomly bias each smart meter or print different peak/off peak times on everyones bills.

    Realtime minute by minute rates could actually use feedback from the grid to improve reliability or respond to emergencies where n-1 could otherwise not be achived. You just include grid stability in the cost calculation.

  16. My wife wrote her thesis in E&E in 1990 on thi by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Basically, as part of her graduate work in Ecology and Evolution at SUNY Stony Brook (about 1990), my wife (Cynthia Kurtz) did computer simulations of digital organisms, and discovered that sometimes being "dumb" is really being smart, because you don't stick with the smart crowd who ends up competing over the same resource. People did not want to believe her results because they went against all the "foraging theory" of the time. She only got an MA out of that, not a PhD. She presented her results at an early ALife conference. Now people rediscover that effect in smart power grids...

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  17. Is the summary wrong or the article? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

    Smart grids don't work like the summary is suggesting!
    a) there is no power plant spooled up ... it is surplus power that is sold cheap
    b) it is not that you just "activate your dishwasher". It is a market operation: I buy power for the actual price, is the buy order processed, the dishwasher activates.
    It is impossible in a smart grid that to many dish waters activate.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  18. Re:Minute by minute my ass by blair1q · · Score: 2

    You, 6 digits id dare to tell a 5 digit id about google? :-p

    On the off-chance you hadn't been anywhere but /. in the past 40 years.