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Chinese Want To Capture an Asteroid

geekmansworld writes "The Chinese want to capture an asteroid into earth's orbit and mine it. From the article: 'At first glance, nudging an asteroid closer to Earth seems like one of those "what could possible go wrong" scenarios that we generally try and avoid, and for good reason: large asteroid impacts are bad times. The Chinese, though, seem fairly optimistic that they could tweak the orbit of a near-Earth asteroid by just enough (a change in velocity of only about 1,300 feet-per-second or so) to get it to temporarily enter Earth orbit at about twice the distance as the Moon.'"

35 of 481 comments (clear)

  1. Chinese resource grab reaches new heights by Tekfactory · · Score: 2

    Why don't they park it in a Lagrange point?

    So it can be JUST AS far away as the moon.

    1. Re:Chinese resource grab reaches new heights by blair1q · · Score: 2

      Why don't they just crash it into the Gobi?

      If it's not planet-killer class, or even climate-disruptor class, and they bring it in on the right trajectory (from behind, please), to minimize the delta-v, they'd turn a wasteland into a (possibly literal) goldmine.

      And there's prior art in nature. The meteor that created Meteor Crater was made of elemental iron, and the people who currently own it (yes, it's private property) are related to the people who staked the mining claim and attempted to find the meteor. Unfortunately, it spread out on impact, making it no more valuable than iron ore, and apparently worth less than charging people to stand around looking at the dent it made, or renting it out to people who want to test their space suits and planetary rovers in a spot that kinda sorta looks like it's on another planet. Silly, really. All of Earth came from space, and is still there. They could have tested that stuff in their own back yards and got the same effect...

    2. Re:Chinese resource grab reaches new heights by Artifakt · · Score: 3, Informative

      First off, all of the Lagrange points are further from Earth than the moon.

      Not quite.
      Notice this diagram of the earth-moon system at:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagrangian_point

      Points L3, L4 and L5 are all at very nearly the same distance as the moon. L1 is actually closer. Only L2 is significantly farther away. Technically, the more the biggest body is larger than the secondary, the more the 3, 4, and 5 points will tend to fall slightly beyond the secondary's orbit, So for the Sun-Earth system, the L3, L4, and L5 are slightly outside Earth's orbit. But, the Earth is not as much proportionately greater than the Moon, and the 'points' are actually larger than pure points so for the Earth-Moon system, L#, 4, and 5 fall partly inside and partly outside the Moon's orbit.

      You are, however, quite right that putting an object at a Lagrangian point doesn't keep it there. The range of velocities that are even semi-stable is pretty narrow, and for points L1, L2, and L3, the stability is in a plane perpendicular to the two major bodies, and there really is no gain in stability along the line between them, Every time we have parked a satellite at one of these points, it has been by using station keeping thrusters to give it an occasional nudge to keep it there. It's cheap on thrust, but not free. You're also right that the points have naturally attracted stuff already and tend to be cluttered spots. I don't know if that really affects costs or risks - there have been solar observation satellite missions to the sun-earth Lagrangian points, where the same problems should apply, and these have worked well so far.
      Because the orbits of the various major bodies are elliptical, the Lagrangians aren't really points. If there weren't other planets and such around, the orbits would be roughly kidney bean shaped, but since there are, objects tend to be pretty close to stable in complex orbits called Lissajous orbits. Making those fairly large may be a way to avoid some debris.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
  2. University research paper. Bad Slashdot by poity · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's a research paper. It's 2 guys looking at the possibility for the sake of their course grade/diploma. It doesn't mean there's a plan, or a will, or even a wish. Come on editors, click through your links and understand your articles before approving crappy summaries.

    --
    your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
    1. Re:University research paper. Bad Slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And that will sell more ads how?

    2. Re:University research paper. Bad Slashdot by LordLimecat · · Score: 2

      By keeping people from migrating to another tech site as soon as a serious contender appears (esp now that Taco is gone).

      I already left Digg years ago when it became unbearable, and if slashdot gets bad enough Ill just leave it. Its already at the point where, with every article, im trying to see if i can guess what the article is actually about by reading past a summary that I know is inaccurate. Its kind of like a game, and if I can guess what spin was applied I win!

    3. Re:University research paper. Bad Slashdot by gad_zuki! · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I think its a little late for that. Reddit is the defacto geek hangout and its technology and programming subreddits are a zillion more times interesting than the stuff that gets posted here, and the stuff here is usually 3-12 hours behind anyway. Hacker News is where I got for smart discussions anyway.

      Slashdot is just nostalgia at this point. I visit but its back burner stuff at best.

    4. Re:University research paper. Bad Slashdot by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2

      True enough, but it could still make a lot of money. Say enough metal gets dumped on the market to drive the price down by a factor of five, so it's worth "only" $5 trillion instead of $25 trillion. And suppose the entire program costs $4 trillion (which is more money by far than every country on Earth combined has spent on space exploration to date.) That's still a trillion dollars worth of pure profit. Not to mention that whatever country actually manages to pull this off would get the benefit of having an enormous supply of raw materials lying around, which would have all sorts of economic multiplier effects for a very long time to come.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    5. Re:University research paper. Bad Slashdot by Ash+Vince · · Score: 2

      Slashdot has ads?

      Thank you Ad Block Plus.

      Alternatively you can try contributing something positive to slashdot and then you get the option disable adverts anyway. I believe this happens when you get your Karma above a certain level but I also subscribe now anyway so stopped paying attention.

      --
      I dont read /. to RTFA, I read /. to offend people in ignorance.
  3. U.S. Military Will Shit Bricks by BJ_Covert_Action · · Score: 2

    You want to get the U.S. federal government and military to invest in a technology like space mining? Tell them that China is going to be pulling an asteroid, essentially an orbital continental bomb, into Earth orbit in a controlled manner to "mine" it. I gaurantee you the DoD will start modding the OTV and any other space assets it has to wrangle some of their own asteroid "mines" into Earth orbit as well, conveniently positioned in an orbit that allows an impact point on top of China in the event of a de-orbit.

  4. Economic worth by Dan+East · · Score: 2

    What resource is of a high enough value to warrant the extreme costs of mining it in space and returning it to earth? The article just says "mining". Rare earth metals are about the only thing I can think of. Even something like diamonds (assuming they even exist in asteroids) wouldn't be worthwhile, because if you brought back a huge load of them then the value of diamonds as a global market will decrease because of the massive supply.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
    1. Re:Economic worth by Hooya · · Score: 2

      > Even something like diamonds..

      You may want to read the first line under this section: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamonds_as_an_investment#Financial_feasibility

      The price you see for diamonds are because of controlled supply - NOT a limited supply. And you can thank these fine folks:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/De_Beers#Legal_issues_on_monopolizing_and_fixing_prices

    2. Re:Economic worth by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Informative

      What resource is of a high enough value to warrant the extreme costs of mining it in space and returning it to earth?

      Whyever would you return the output of your mine to Earth?

      The primary value of a bug chunk of rock and metal in orbit is that it's cheaper to make things from it than to haul the same amount of metal into space.

      Right now, one of our big limiters on space activity is that we have to move EVERYTHING out of a deep gravity well to get it into space at all. If we can eliminate the need to move, say, the structural mass of a solar power satellite into orbit, we can reduce the cost of solar power satellites by an order of magnitude or three.

      Ditto anything else we want up there....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    3. Re:Economic worth by shadowrat · · Score: 2

      Well, if you can nudge it close enough to earth you can mine it right here on earth!

  5. The true story by WoOS · · Score: 2

    How did
            Two Chinese scientists propose to nudge a ten-meter asteroid nearing earth in 2049 into an earth orbit
    transform into
            "The Chinese want to capture an asteroid into earth's orbit and mine it" ?

  6. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by dschl · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I guess slashdot is running out of nerds who post anymore. I don't post much or read many comments here anymore, but when I saw the direction this was heading, I had to log in for the first time in ages.

    The first few comments I saw were like the parent comment above - a bunch of bleating from a group of pussies who are still cowering after Sept 11, 2001, waiting for the gubermint to protect them from any and all potential harm or risk.

    I grew up on sci-fi, reading about the possibilities - things humanity can do if it sets out to accomplish something grand. Bike helmets didn't exist, I ate dirt, skinned my knees climbing trees, and broke bones on (unsafe by today's standards) playground equipment. I dreamed of the stars, and of people inhabiting the entire solar system one day.

    Which is worse - mining the asteroid belt or open pit mines in sensitive areas? I fully recognize that sci-fi has as much fantasy as science, but I recall novels from the 1980s that included LEO refining of asteroids, followed by dropping the materials down to earth by shaping them into gliders or capsules similar to those used in the Mercury program. There should be enough silica waste to make some heat-resistant tiles up there, and the metal can be foamed or made hollow to drop the density.

    If the first few comments are representative of today's /. audience, no wonder CmdrTaco bailed.

    --
    Slashdot - the place where you can look like a genius by restating the obvious
  7. Re:One more thing China by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 2

    How does doing or not doing any of those things have any effect on whether or not they can capture an asteroid?

    Suso would like China to get their shit together regarding some of these more common failings before trying to snatch an asteroid out of the sky with their as-of-yet undeveloped space chopsticks.

  8. Oh COME ON People by circletimessquare · · Score: 2

    This is Slashdot. We are technology and sci fi enthusiasts. This idea gives me a cerebral boner, it gets me excited, fills me with awe at human endeavour. And if you don't feel the same way, what the bleep are you doing posting on Slashdot?

    Also, I'm not a dumb chest thumping tribal nationalist, so if the Chinese should be able to do it, credit to them, I bow before their accomplishment, and sour grapes is really not the bleeping point.

    Finally, if all you can do is whine about fear and lack of trust in technical acumen and science and an unhealthy aversion to modest risk, with a brain informed more by Michael Bay movies than actual fucking science and tech, then you really are posting on the wrong fucking site, and frankly, sign off and fuck off and stop polluting these forums with your feeble mind.

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  9. Re:Even Chinese must obey laws... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

    Recall that the 365-foot Saturn V pushed a capsule the size of a VW Bug.

    Actually, the 365-foot Saturn V put more than 150 tons in LEO. And about 45 tons of that went on to the moon.

    Secondly, note the orbital change is a plane change, which takes orders of magnitude more Delta-V than an in-plane maneuver.

    No. More, depending on the exact orbit in question, but not "orders of magnitude more".

    Thirdly, what will they gain from this rock that will be worth the effort, energy, money, and risk to the planet?

    Let's see. a couple billion tons of metal in high earth orbit. Which obviates the need to launch six million Saturn V's to get the same amount of metal up there.

    At $1000/kg into LEO, a metallic asteroid one mile in diameter ought to be worth about $10,000 TRILLION dollars.

    It should also be noted that once we've developed and demonstrated a method for moving an asteroid into Earth orbit, we've also demonstrated a method for diverting an asteroid from hitting Earth.

    Sure, mining asteroids is a great idea, in principle, but not in theory.

    Mining asteroids opens up the solar system. No meaningful attempts to extend our reach beyond this rock we live on is going to amount to a hill of beans till we start making use of the raw materials that are already out of Earth's gravity well.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  10. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by EvanED · · Score: 2

    Falling off of a playground gym won't result in a crater the size of a medium-sized city.

    I'm all for crazy sci-fi things, and I lament the US's turning away from NASA. But at the same time, take things in reason. Bringing asteroids in "close" to earth might be a good goal for a couple decades out, but not now. Have a couple practice runs with Mars and Venus first.

    The US didn't say "ok, we're going to the moon now" and have their first launch be to the moon, we built up to it. Hell, the first two launches weren't even orbital.

    The article isn't very specific in terms of how the plan maps out though.

  11. Re:Don't be too sure about that... by taiwanjohn · · Score: 2

    Remember the Tunguska event?

    > "Different studies have yielded varying estimates of the object's size, with general agreement that it was a few tens of metres across."

    Depending on where it hit, a 10m wide object could easily wipe out tens (perhaps hundreds) of thousands of people.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  12. Re:One more thing China by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 5, Insightful

    How does doing or not doing any of those things have any effect on whether or not they can capture an asteroid?

    Suso would like China to get their shit together regarding some of these more common failings before trying to snatch an asteroid out of the sky with their as-of-yet undeveloped space chopsticks.

    This isn't 'The Chinese' (as in the Government) its some Chinese guys at a university in Beijing with a crazy idea they posted on Arxiv. Arxiv is not the place that the Chinese government will be posting their world domination plans.

  13. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2, Funny

    Agreed, but in this case, you hit a particularly interesting story - the comment section will combine the new trends of technophobia caused by teenage faux cynicism and racism/nationalism, which have overrun slashdot lately. Sooner or later, the libertardians will join the fray and it'll be free for all. No idea where the nerds went. Sometimes you get a good discussion, mostly, though, I am just here to flame idiots these days.

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  14. Safety: let it wander off? by Mt._Honkey · · Score: 2

    The plan of bringing it in so it is barely bound and letting it wander off some years later sounds much more dangerous than bringing it into a proper orbit.

    What will that asteroid do over the following centuries/millenia? We would have to monitor it forever and might need to nudge it again later. I'm also not sure if there are any truly stable orbits around the Earth, given the size of our moon driving it. Maybe there is some resonance with the moon's orbit that is safe. If so, that seems the best place to put it, and leave it there forever.

    --

    Don't Bogart the fish sticks
  15. Re:No wait! by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

    In contrast to the US occupying territory it never had any claim on? Half the world away from the legitimate territory? Oh, yes, sorry, that was HUMANITARIAN, as in, uhm, geopolitical oil interests, sorry. That of course is wholly legitimate and not the slightest bit expansionist.

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  16. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by chudnall · · Score: 3, Funny

    You want to move Mars and Venus into Earth orbit?

    --
    Disclaimer: Evolution comes with NO WARRANTY, except for the IMPLIED WARRANTY of FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.
  17. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by smelch · · Score: 2

    Research and development; this would be a prototype mine. In much the same way the Chinese have looked at altering the path of 99942 Apophis even though it is highly unlikely to hit us as it is, this is a practice run. Better to learn how to do things before you need to. Better to learn how to mine asteroids when we have abundance than to wait until things are so scarce that we need it. Do you not see the benefit of running a space mine for a loss financially to gain the knowledge of space mining?

    --
    If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
  18. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by rjmx · · Score: 2

    And -- don't tell us -- get off your lawn?

    Like you, I grew up on sci-fi. I'd love it if we could safely mine asteroids, but this proposal is not worth the risk. Most of the sci-fi I grew up with seemed to assume that humanity was sane enough to establish a world government before venturing to the planets and stars. You want to let a single country, acting on its own, do it? Hell, I wouldn't trust the Chinese not to "accidentally" drop the thing on top of the US, for a start. And in case you ask, no, I wouldn't trust the US not to "accidentally" drop one on Peking either.

    This is several orders of magnitude more risk than skinning knees. Do not want.

  19. Re:One more thing China by Sperbels · · Score: 3

    Do you really think that this type of endeavor could ever take place without governmental involvement?

    I think that was the point he was making.

  20. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by Phoenix666 · · Score: 2

    That's a bit harsh about Slashdot--it still has a more educated and informed audience than the average bear and does a fairly decent job of bubbling up informative posts. I've been visiting the site since it started (though I lost my first UID and belatedly registered another before I realized how many cool points I was burning as UID's incremented ever higher) and the general quality has not changed that much. Though I never minded him that much, some would argue Slashdot's quality is even higher now than it was when Jon Katz was around.

    That said, I do rather share your frustration with the bleating pussies that seem to populate our country in ever greater numbers. Watching my neighbors in New York shit themselves over a 16mph wind and slight mist last weekend convinced me our country is galloping toward a precipice.

    Bring back the daring dreamers, I say. I want my kids to play with chemistry sets that could burn or poison them if they do it wrong. I want them coming back in the house at the end of the day dirty, with scrapes, tired, with giant grins on their faces.

    If we wrap everyone and everything in bubblewrap they'll never take risks, and if they never take risks they'll never learn and never do marvelous things.

    --
    Do what you can, with what you have, where you are.
  21. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by Zomalaja · · Score: 5, Funny

    Falling off of a playground gym won't result in a crater the size of a medium-sized city.

    If it was my sister that fell it sure would.

  22. Pity the US Can't Do This by Frightened_Turtle · · Score: 2

    With all the political calls saying we should go to the Moon or Mars, I've been an advocate that our next big manned mission should be to an asteroid for evaluating how to mine it. Sadly, the conservative parties in the US seem hellbent on dumbing down the American public and emptying their pockets and minds than they are at building up the country and making it productive again.

    Earth is running very short on critical metals and rare earths that we need to support our current civilization and future growth. More than ever, space exploration needs to show economic return to those communities supporting the endeavor. I've not heard any evidence of the moon containing any needed mineral deposits we need. Mars, we've just barely scratched the surface (pun intended) and we don't know what is to be found on that planet. Considering how expensive it is to send things there, much less people, we need to be able to show as much of an economic return as a scientific return.

    The Moon does lend itself well to a base to practice techniques needed elsewhere. Where better to work out the techniques needed to mine and smelt ore in an airless, low gravity environment than a place where help and rescue is just a few days away, instead of a few months? It also lends itself well for scientific uses, such as setting up a major astronomical observatory. Improved astronomical observation brings a longterm economic return by improving our understanding of how the physics of our universe works and how to possibly circumvent our current limitations, such as gravity or the speed of light. Also, it improves our chances of finding another world to populate before Earth becomes uninhabitable.

    While there is no solid proof aside from meteorites that have made it to Earth's surface, there is evidence that there are many asteroids that may be rich in metals needed by our current civilizations. My opinion is we should be turning our attention to finding these gold mines among the stars and exploiting them. That's certainly worth more than ruining the environment we currently need to survive!

    --


    Whew! This water sure is cold!
    1. Re:Pity the US Can't Do This by TheDugong · · Score: 2

      Correct me if I am wrong, but we are not running out of anything (except maybe hydrogen and helium? And oil). What we are running out of is easily/cheaply minable stuff. Are asteroids any more easily/cheaply minable than landfill or than implementing decent recycing?

  23. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by bjorniac · · Score: 2

    A wall around the whole of China is 'viable'?

    We've done big projects before...

  24. Re:China, don't get ahead of yourself. by Skreems · · Score: 2

    I'm no a physicist, but I'm fairly certain that no matter where you place the thing in terms of the Earth's orbit, the second the Earth becomes the dominant gravitational force on the comet (as opposed to the sun) it switches from "two objects gently orbiting near each other" to "dropping a big fucking rock on the planet from 50,000 miles up".

    Put another way, at some point the relative speed of the two has to reach zero, and at some point shortly after they would have to start moving toward each other. Eventually the only sensible frame of reference is that of the planet, and from that frame of reference you've got a hell of a lot of energy that's got to go somewhere very quickly.

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