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NASA Rolls Out Space Exploration Roadmap

MarkWhittington writes "NASA and the space agencies of a variety of countries, including members of the European Union, Canada, Japan, Russia, India, the Ukraine, and South Korea, have rolled out the latest version of a space exploration roadmap (PDF). NASA and its partners have created two scenarios, called 'Asteroid Next' and 'Moon Next.' This represents the continuing argument over which destination astronaut explorers should go to first. Should it be an Earth approaching asteroid, as President Obama insists? Or should it be the moon, as many people in Congress, NASA, and NASA's partner agencies suggest? In any event, all roads lead to Mars in the current plan. Both visits to an asteroid and to the moon are considered practice runs for what will be needed to go to Mars."

128 comments

  1. Should be by ae1294 · · Score: 1

    called 'Asteroid NeXT' and 'Moon NeXT".

    1. Re:Should be by Marc+Madness · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't that mean that when Apple acquires NASA, it will be changed to iAsteroid and iMoon?

    2. Re:Should be by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And they would get a belt too. A very tight golden one with a big lock.

  2. The roadmap is nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    NASA needs guaranteed funding and a minimum of Congressional oversight.

    1. Re:The roadmap is nothing by Skarecrow77 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sadly AC has the truth of it. This plan should be labled "Current roadmap for the next 20-30 years... unless whoever is elected to congress and the presidency in the next couple of years change their mind. again."

  3. Hopeful by Moheeheeko · · Score: 0

    Im glad to see the governments lack of interest in NASA and their groundbreaking work has not disheartened them from trying anyway. Kudos to them.

  4. Why not both? by flaming+error · · Score: 3, Funny

    How about we go to an asteroid that's landing on the moon?

  5. That's Great but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's hard to get anywhere in space without spaceships. Where is their budget planning on coming from here?

  6. Both human and robotic by SirGarlon · · Score: 1

    The first sentence of TFA says this is a plan for "coordinated human and robotic exploration." The summary makes it sound like this is a plan for manned exploration only.

    --
    [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
    1. Re:Both human and robotic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why would we go anywhere and not bring some robots?

  7. No Mention of the GLXP by anzha · · Score: 1

    It's interesting that NASA doesn't mention the GLXP at all in there, not even in passing (or so shows my very fast scan of the document). That contrasts quite a bit with the fact that they generated the NASA Heritage Site rules and what they briefed and said to the GLXP teams in July.

    --
    Do you know why the road less traveled by is littered with the bones of the unwary?
  8. Mining already a success. by sgt+scrub · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The rovers were a success. Now it is time to test our ability to create a long term orbital platform. I'm for the asteroid. China has shown an interest in going to the moon. Let them perform those experiments.

    --
    Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
    1. Re:Mining already a success. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They have also shown an interest in mining asteroids. Now what?

    2. Re:Mining already a success. by Genda · · Score: 2

      There are some several good reasons to look at an asteroid as a first choice. Of course, the best reason to pick the moon is that its only 250,000 miles away, and if anything goes wrong you have even odds of getting home without it ending posthumously. That's why heavy, heavy robotic applications must be first. Build robots that can collect solar power, mine ore, sinter ceramics, build more robots, extract water, air, and organics. Most of all construct living spaces under enough material to protect from radiation and huge temperature extremes. Once you have a functioning self replicating robot swarm building safe habitats including rotation to simulate gravity, you now have an effective ferry, with a shallow gravity well, capable of transporting significant loads to and from mars and the asteroid belt, which contains riches beyond measure.

      Every large asteroid in the inner solar system should have a human population on it.

  9. International coordination? by SirGarlon · · Score: 1

    Somehow the idea of international cooperation seems to make sense in the modern era. Although we Americans rightly take pride in the Apollo program, the space race was really a product of the Cold War. It ruled out multilateral efforts because the whole point was a race to beat the Russians. That doesn't make sense today; nation-states don't have the same kind of rivalries. The spirit of "advancement of human civilization" I associate with space exploration does seem more fitting as an international enterprise. It gives me a warm fuzzy.

    That said, the reality of international undertakings tends to fall short of what I consider ideal.

    --
    [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
    1. Re:International coordination? by pnewhook · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Agreed. The Russians are the best at heavy lift, the Canadians are the best at robotics. There is no point in the US trying to reinvent the wheel. Leave those technologies to them and focus NASA funding elsewhere.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    2. Re:International coordination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Somehow the idea of international cooperation seems to make sense in the modern era. Although we Americans rightly take pride in the Apollo program, the space race was really a product of the Cold War. It ruled out multilateral efforts because the whole point was a race to beat the Russians. That doesn't make sense today; nation-states don't have the same kind of rivalries. The spirit of "advancement of human civilization" I associate with space exploration does seem more fitting as an international enterprise. It gives me a warm fuzzy.

      That said, the reality of international undertakings tends to fall short of what I consider ideal.

      International cooperation, as in the International Space Station aka cluster fuck #1 ?
      No, if the US wants to go back in space it has all the means at its disposal. You just need a coherent political vision that doesn't change every day. Stop spending trillions of dollars in meaningless wars, in meaningless security state programs etc... Raise taxes, make americans feel proud of their country again and set your eyes on the moon and mars. One generation ought to be enough to send astronauts to mars, keep a fully inhabited moon base etc... And for god's sake, once you're there stay there. Don't dismantle yet again the space program once you achieve the goal. Its stupid that of all the apollo missions, only 3 were really scientific and only one carried a real scientist. Less pilots, more scientists in space.

    3. Re:International coordination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Its stupid that of all the apollo missions, only 3 were really scientific and only one carried a real scientist. Less pilots, more scientists in space.

      I don't know that it's stupid in itself, given what the Apollo program was -- short-term landings involving lots of flight, and relatively little surface time. It's a mission profile very poorly suited to science, but it's a nearly-essential step on the path to a semi-permanent manned base, which is much better for science. The trouble is just that we stopped there.

      For the same reason, I'm not a big fan of the asteroid plan -- it basically limits you to one or a few flags-and-footprints missions per target, with no realistic prospect of deeper science missions. A lot of the moon opponents (including asteroid proponents and the straight-to-Mars crowd) point out that establishing a moon base does little to prepare us, in a technological sense, for a Mars base, because they face completely different challenges. While true, the fact remains there's a whole lot of lunar science left to do, and a moon base lets us do much more science than an asteroid mission.

      (Also, if we find out that lunar gravity is sustainable long-term for the human body, we can skip centrifuges on a long-term Mars mission. That's really the only big breakthrough a moon base might give us that would help with Mars, but it would be quite big if it does happen.)

    4. Re:International coordination? by Rogerborg · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The Russians are the best at heavy lift, the Canadians are the best at robotics. There is no point in the US trying to reinvent the wheel. Leave those technologies to them and focus NASA funding elsewhere.

      The catering?

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    5. Re:International coordination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know that it's stupid in itself, given what the Apollo program was -- short-term landings involving lots of flight, and relatively little surface time. It's a mission profile very poorly suited to science, but it's a nearly-essential step on the path to a semi-permanent manned base, which is much better for science. The trouble is just that we stopped there.

      I agree and more is the pity, the Apollo 15/16 and 17 missions really showed what could be accomplished in terms of science and exploration. The US should have kept the Saturn V as a heavy lifting capability platform. It could launch payloads that were simply impossibile to carry with the Shuttle. Just look at the skylab missions. Launch 5 or 6 Saturn Vs and you could have built an entire space station bigger than the ISS, in much less time are for much less. Stop going to the moon was maybe poltically justified, dismantling on the other hand the Saturn V was just plain stupid, since its replacement The Shuttle in terms of weight/performance was so inferior.

      For the same reason, I'm not a big fan of the asteroid plan -- it basically limits you to one or a few flags-and-footprints missions per target, with no realistic prospect of deeper science missions. A lot of the moon opponents (including asteroid proponents and the straight-to-Mars crowd) point out that establishing a moon base does little to prepare us, in a technological sense, for a Mars base, because they face completely different challenges. While true, the fact remains there's a whole lot of lunar science left to do, and a moon base lets us do much more science than an asteroid mission.

      (Also, if we find out that lunar gravity is sustainable long-term for the human body, we can skip centrifuges on a long-term Mars mission. That's really the only big breakthrough a moon base might give us that would help with Mars, but it would be quite big if it does happen.)

      Yep, going to an asteroid smells exactly like the space race. One shot, billions spent and then close everything down since their is nothing else to do. Much better is to go to the moon (again) but do it correctly. Build something permanent, carry out all of the experiments necessary to understand long term duration effects in space and then on to mars.

    6. Re:International coordination? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      thank you for your enlightening and comprehensive rebuttal. If writers had half of the prose writing ability as you seem to have we would all be in rapture before we could finish reading.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    7. Re:International coordination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      u mad?

    8. Re:International coordination? by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      If the russians are the best at heavy lift, how come NASA has build the rockets that can lift the most?

    9. Re:International coordination? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The problem is, NASA can't build them anymore. And the ones they can build have a nasty habit of blowing up.

    10. Re:International coordination? by BergZ · · Score: 1

      I haven't crunched the numbers but I suspect the OP is using the phrase "best at heavy lift" in terms of $/Kg to put something into orbit.

      --
      Warning: This sig is not thread safe. For more information see Slashdot's sig policy.
    11. Re:International coordination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what with Cheese, beer and Mcdonalds? Ah American food at its finest!

    12. Re:International coordination? by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      Nope, SpaceX clearly wins that one.

    13. Re:International coordination? by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      The shuttle didn't have more problems than any other space launch system. That's saying a lot, because it is much more complicated than it needs to be. You are just being stupid.

    14. Re:International coordination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. The video game.

    15. Re:International coordination? by Skywolfblue · · Score: 1

      And the ones they can build have a nasty habit of blowing up.

      Well, the Russians had/have that problem too. They're just less squeamish about it.

    16. Re:International coordination? by Wolfling1 · · Score: 1

      Null post to remove accidental mod point

    17. Re:International coordination? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The Russians have both more experience and more reliable launch systems: http://www.ewp.rpi.edu/hartford/~cedenc/SMRE/Project/Space%20Shuttle%20Vehicle%20Reliability.pdf

      You're the one being stupid.

    18. Re:International coordination? by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      No, comparing the total number of rockets a nation has launched to the number of failures is an overly simplistic way of looking at things. There are many different space launch systems and experimental projects represented in such a figure. When you're talking about reliability, you want to look at the current state of the art, not some older system which is no longer used. And you can't just average all the launches together, because the individual launch systems have nothing to do with each other.

      Here is a better look at the reliability picture. You can see the top three are Delta 2, Soyuz U, and STS, all with between 97 to 98 percent.

    19. Re:International coordination? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Considering the Russians have launched more orbital rockets than everyone else in the world put together, it might be fair to say they have the most experience, no?

      And if you want to just compare the reliability of the latest systems, go ahead. Historical track record still counts for something. Note that NASA will not be doing heavy lift with Deltas or the shuttle, but something new. If it takes them thirty years to iron out all the bugs and get to that 98% value then there's still a problem.

      I see you're being more polite though. It's a nice change.

    20. Re:International coordination? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      No, comparing the total number of rockets a nation has launched to the number of failures is an overly simplistic way of looking at things

      Sure, because percentages are misleading especially with low numbers of launches. the Biggets Delta has a success percentage of 100% because thye only launched the one time. So you also have to compare experience (the Proton has over 300 launches, far more than anyone else), launch capacity (Proton is the highest) and cost per Kg to launch (Proton is around a third the cost of other countries offerings). Any way you cut it Russia has a better system.

      When you're talking about reliability, you want to look at the current state of the art, not some older system which is no longer used

      Completely untrue. When evaluating systems NASA has a gauge called Technology Readiness Level (TRL). The only way to score high on this is to have a substantial portion of the design already proven. Tried and true wins out over new technology any day. Do you know what processor is used on the shuttle arms? Its an Intel 80186. Why? Because it works.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
  10. Roadmap? by RollingThunder · · Score: 3, Funny

    Roadmap? Why not a starchart?

  11. I want to see manned exploration of our sun.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    1. Re:Sun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Okay, but we'll have to go at night, when it's cooler.

  12. I really by Dunbal · · Score: 2

    Don't want to know how much that shiny PDF document cost. A billion? Two billion?

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re:I really by Jeng · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Many people don't give a shit about exploration if there is no human present.

      Yea the rovers have been a great success and they have some more in the works, but if we don't land boots on the ground the thought is that we did nothing.

      It's not graft-driven government corruption, it's a ratings gimmick. If the majority of Americans start giving a shit about exploration then there will be more pressure on congress to fund NASA better. At this time most people just plain don't give a shit so NASA's budget is getting diminished.

      --
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    2. Re:I really by Rogerborg · · Score: 3, Insightful

      manned space exploration [...] is a worthless, purposeless enterprise

      We choose to go to the moon in this decade, and to do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard.

      I truly pity you, sir. I'll get my grandchildren to send you a nice postcard from Alpha Centauri.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    3. Re:I really by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Only true-believing sci fi space adventure magical religious cultists are gullible enough to swallow the "space exploration" excuse.

      Boy, you are brave. Dissing 98% of the Slashdot demographic.

      And while you're correct on purely rational grounds, humans aren't purely rational and canning manned flight for just robotics leaves a lot of emotion on the ground. Given that space exploration really comprises a trivial amount of human and financial capital, all things considered, the added emotional involvement of human spaceflight is more than justified.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    4. Re:I really by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1

      I agree with your overall point, but graft is very much the driver of NASA's budget. The singular insistence on manned space exploration is because it is what costs the most and therefore what will make the most money for the government contractors that drive NASA. Most people don't give a shit about NASA just as they don't give a shit about NIH, NSF, National Endowment for the Arts, and the many, many institutions that are our true national treasures. Our fellow stereotypical American citizens care mainly about getting iPads and iPhones, watching videos, making sure they pump pop music through their earbuds at every available moment, making sure they are perceived as "cool," avoiding any and all undue effort, eating junk food, getting laid, getting wasted, etc, all the while reserving the right to whine, bitch, and moan about nearly everything. They also appear to fervently believe that Battlestar Galactica and the like are credible visualizations of the future. We are truly a sorry spectacle.

    5. Re:I really by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Oh get off your high horse. You are nobody to pity anyone. Substantiate your superstitious beliefs with something other than pious horseshit.

    6. Re:I really by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I don't think it leaves all that much emotion on the ground. As a poster above noted, most Americans probably don't give a crap about manned space exploration or NASA. The only people who are really invested are those that make money through NASA contracts.

      I don't agree that it costs a trivial amount of money. That is the old argument based on comparing NASA's budget with the total Federal budget, a rather goofy comparison. That can be claimed about any government program, but sum them all up and sum them with our ridiculously evil military adventures and you bleed an extra trillion dollars a year that must be paid by incurring more debt. Manned space exploration is a corrupt waste, better to cut it and save the money, and do the same for every government program that is little more than pork for the lobbyist-wielding plutocracy.

    7. Re:I really by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1

      You're right about the dissenting view, though. I'm racking up those zero scores at quite a healthy clip.

    8. Re:I really by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

      That's the whole point. To channel money to aerospace contractors and all other lobbyist-wielding gravy train rider wannabes. There is no useful scientific or engineering purpose to be served by manned space exploration. It is a worthless, purposeless enterprise, a mere excuse to loot money from national treasuries. This roadmap comprises a formal list of corrupt governments. Only true-believing sci fi space adventure magical religious cultists are gullible enough to swallow the "space exploration" excuse. Space should be explored by robotic devices only for the foreseeable future, i.e. the next century or two. The rest is just graft-driven government corruption.

      Ah, but making space safe for robots only feeds corporate greed. Without a frontier, there's no place to go for further social experimentation to take place, and we all become just more drones plugged into the consumer system, the 'product' for the multinational coprorations. We wait a hundred years or so for human exploration/exploitation, it'll be way too late.

      Besides, what's cheaper, a multibillion dollar robot or a tech with a 13 mm wrench when it's time to repair the other robots?

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    9. Re:I really by bertok · · Score: 1

      Given that space exploration really comprises a trivial amount of human and financial capital

      Yeah... now, but that's because we aren't really going anywhere. What NASA is doing is talking about going to Mars, which is cheap.

      All the realistic proposals I've seen for anything of interest involving humans in space such as a Moon base, a Mars colony, or interstellar travel required funds that are a substantial fraction of the world's GDP. Think tens of trillions of dollars.

      So lets say that at some point in the future we do end up spending those trillions of dollars and end up with a Mars colony or whatever. What return will we get for that money? I don't mean some spin-off technology like Velcro or whatever giving back 0.01% of what was spent. I mean 110% return. Will we, as a human race, profit? Will we actually get a benefit from that money that we couldn't obtain, right here, on Earth?

      The simple harsh answer is no. The entire project will be a giant money-sink that returns nothing of tangible value to anybody on Earth. Any scientific research done could have been done orders of magnitude cheaper with robots. Even a permanent base somewhere is pointless -- at best it will be a stepping-stone towards another pointless money-sink.

      This is why congress doesn't fund human space exploration. It's just not worth spending trillions of dollars to make some geek's scifi adventure fantasies come true, when all of the tangible benefits like scientific research and pretty pictures can done by robots at orders of magnitude less cost.

      Your dreams just aren't worth that much to the rest of the world.

    10. Re:I really by werepants · · Score: 1

      What return will we get for that money? I don't mean some spin-off technology like Velcro or whatever giving back 0.01% of what was spent. I mean 110% return. Will we, as a human race, profit? Will we actually get a benefit from that money that we couldn't obtain, right here, on Earth?

      The simple harsh answer is no.

      The idea that only profitable things are worth doing is utterly without merit. The problems with this position are so numerous that it is difficult to know where to begin addressing them.

      Money is not an end. Profit is not an end. These things only have worth insofar as they allow us to obtain things that ARE actually valuable - food, shelter, safety, stability, education, entertainment. You've bought so completely into the consumerist propaganda that you apparently believe that life has no purpose outside of material gain. Education isn't profitable - let's axe it. Taking care of the disabled isn't profitable - let's stop. Providing assistance to Haiti or Japan isn't profitable - what the hell were we thinking?

      The truth is, we have more labor available for diversionary pursuits than at any other time in history. How much of our economy is tied up in something that is in no way related to basic living necessities? How many of our labors only "help" humanity in the sense that they keep the distraction going for another 20 minutes? Maybe you can be satisfied to live in a generation that did nothing better with its free time than a couple new seasons of American Idol and a completely fleshed out Pokemon section on Wikipedia, but I for one dream of bringing back the days when we engaged in noble pursuits that would secure us a place in history. We are going to waste our time on something - why not waste it on a grand endeavor?

    11. Re:I really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll ask you to do the same thing, without screaming " BOO, CORRUPTION, BOO, SPACE NUTTERS, LOLZ"
      No really, I'm waiting. Provide some actual background of some sort, maybe something you read on online about how Nasa spent a a hojillion dollars developing a space pen.

    12. Re:I really by bertok · · Score: 1

      The idea that only profitable things are worth doing is utterly without merit.

      I never said that! What I said that things that are entirely without profit ought to have sufficient merit to justify the expense. I'm perfectly fine with spending billions of dollars on, say, the James Webb Space Telescope. That thing is going to take awesome pictures! Spending trillions of dollars to send people to mars... huge waste of money with no hope of a useful return.

      Money is not an end.

      Of course not. But money can be directly exchanged for things that are 'ends'. Like... food, shelter, safety, stability, education, and entertainment.

      Money isn't separate from those things, it's a generic placeholder for the labor required to obtain those things. You waste money, then you also waste the important things!

      Education isn't profitable - let's axe it.

      Actually, it's hugely profitable. That's why companies have internship programs, and governments spend a huge chunk of tax on education. The money invested into education is returned as profit when the next-generation applies their learned skills in performing useful labor.

      Providing assistance to Haiti or Japan isn't profitable

      You'd be surprised. Governments sending aid to each other is more or less an informal insurance system. One government has a disaster, everyone else helps to stop their economy from collapsing under the strain. The helpers benefit -- their international trading partners don't stop trading! Stability is very important to corporate profits.

      why not waste it on a grand endeavor

      Because exploring space (specifically with organic fleshy humans) isn't all that relevant to the vast, vast majority of people on Earth. Think about it like this: you will not get to go. Not ever. The vast majority of people currently alive will not get to go either. Neither will their children, or their grandchildren. Other than the lucky few dozen astronauts, the rest of us will get nothing other than pictures taken with cameras. The camera will be held either by a meat robot, or a metal robot. The pictures will look the same either way. The meat robot pictures will cost trillions, the metal robot pictures will cost merely billions.

      Why should we all be taxed 999 billion more dollars for the knowledge that the exact same pictures were taken by the meat robots instead of the metal type? Or more importantly, why should we settle for one set of pictures in exchange for our trillion dollars of labor instead of a thousand sets of pictures of a thousand different places? Because you have some naive, childish dream? Because you have a fantasy?

    13. Re:I really by Arlet · · Score: 1

      We choose to go to the moon in this decade, and to do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard.

      If you want to do hard things, why not pick something that's both hard and useful instead ?

    14. Re:I really by werepants · · Score: 1

      Fantasy? Fantasy is like these wackos that are using the recent neutrino findings to say that relativity is crap and time travel will be possible any time now. The only reasons against a sustained human presence in space are economic and political.

      To get a cheap, sustainable, and worthwhile presence in space:
      1. Develop inexpensive, rocket-based, man-rated space access technologies - SpaceX is making progress here, but we have all sorts of other options if we could get the fucking politics out of spaceflight. Hell, Venturestar was a good try back in the 90's but the management wouldn't listen to engineering and piloted a program with a lot of potential right into the ground.
      2a. Develop a super cheap way to get bulk mass into space - electromagnetic rail gun, launch tether, ???
      2b. Develop a super cheap way to get people and everything else into space - space elevator, launch loop, ???
      3. Do whatever the hell we want in space, because we can go there whenever we feel like it.

      All of these things are physically possible, and if we merely invested the same amount of GDP in space exploration as humanity has typically done (and get the fingers of the corrupt politicians out of NASA) it would be doable within my lifetime and probably yours.

      Is it really childish to have a dream? So what if I want to go to space - I've already built and programmed electronics that went to space. The thing is, improbable dreams have led us to accomplish amazing things as a race. We can call the dream of eliminating poverty childish and naive, but I don't think that means we should stop pursuing it. Same with spaceflight. Humanity needs a challenge to unite behind, something to bring out the best of us, and doing something that has never been done before and will open up an entire new world of possibility is the best I can think of.

      This isn't the first time it's been brought up in this thread, and it won't be the last, but I'll repost it anyway because it says it better than I ever will: "We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills, because that challenge is one that we are willing to accept."

    15. Re:I really by Maritz · · Score: 1

      There is no useful scientific or engineering purpose to be served by manned space exploration.

      Strong opinion. Undermined completely by your rant though. I personally think a permanent human presence on Mars and the Moon would be very scientifically valuable, but hey - it doesn't matter what I or others think about this, because we're "true-believing sci-fi space adventure magical religious cultists". Come back when machines can do everything a human would be useful for. Or even better, try to justify your opinion through a reasoned argument instead of an embarrassing ad-hominem rant.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    16. Re:I really by bertok · · Score: 1

      The only reasons against a sustained human presence in space are economic and political.

      Those might be the only reasons against it, but there's no compelling reasons for it!

      We went to the moon precisely because back then there was a good reason to do it -- competing with the Russians. It was pissing contest played on an international scale. You'll note that the Apollo program was cut early, because once we've pissed higher than the other guy, there was no compelling reason to keep going back the moon.

      From a scientific perspective, humans were the best way to explore the moon, robot technology just wasn't good enough back then. Robots are already better than humans at exploration today, and keep getting better all the time. Meanwhile, humans are still just as squishy as they've always been.

      Read your list again... it's all about the process: making access to space cheaper, safer, or faster. You dreamers never say what you'll do up there when you get there that you couldn't do down here for a fraction of the cost. You need a goal other than the journey.

      There's nothing up there, just hard vacuum and cold rocks. It's never going to be a welcoming place to live, no matter how cheaply you can get there.

      If you want the experience of going into space, right now, for a lot less money, move to an uninhabited island in the middle of the Antarctic ocean. Live in an airtight building that you never leave without full scuba gear. Take all your air with you, and melting ice for water is cheating, so you'll want to extract it from the rocks. Buy a one-way ticket from the ship captain, and collect sufficient wealth on the island to pay for a return ticket plus $100 per pound of equipment that you took with you.

      You keep going on about how "we just need it to be cheap", well, there you go. Crossing an ocean is cheap. You don't need mission control, or space-rated equipment, nothing has to be super light or strong, and you can go right now. Nothing is stopping you.

      Oh yeah, one more thing... convince your neighbors to fund your journey, because that's what you're proposing: that taxes be spent for some dude to go live on an uninhabitable rock.

    17. Re:I really by werepants · · Score: 1

      Those might be the only reasons against it, but there's no compelling reasons for it!

      There's no compelling reason for most of what we do - a huge portion of our activities are completely inane and worthless. We do many of them for some kind of instant gratification, but is that really where we're content to stay? Some of us want something more significant to do with our spare time, a challenge that will make us push ourselves to new heights and see what we're capable of. I think this is the attitude we should have as a species.

      I think it's important to notice WHY going to the moon was a big deal - sure, we gained a lot of urgency because of the race against the Russians, but we could have been competing against them in anything (and in many cases were). The thing that really counted in the eyes of the public, though, was space. That's because space is the most challenging thing, it is the grandest thing, and it is the future of humanity one way or the other. It really is the final frontier. Either we die on this rock or we go elsewhere. We could have used anything for a battleground, but space was where we arguably fought our biggest battles in the Cold War, because that is the place that mattered to people. People didn't become interested in space just because of the Space Race, we had the Space Race because people cared about space and saw that it was important. Just like countries used to compete on the strength of their navies, countries are now measured by their space capability - it is the most difficult thing that humans are currently capable of.

      Honestly, there is a huge chance for profit in space, even though I think that shouldn't be our exclusive motivation for going. Hell, selling tickets into space has already been profitable for Space Adventures, and I think it's going to happen whether we're along for the ride or not as a nation. Airplanes were seen as useless diversions for the rich once, too, and by selling experiences to people who cared we developed capabilities that never could've been imagined before. The technologies I've talked about can make space cheaper by at least 2 orders of magnitude. When a ticket is available for $20,000 or less, I'd be all over that - space is around the price of a luxury vacation at that point. I don't think there will be any shortage of customers at that point.

      Some things require being ruthlessly practical. However, that can end up being a naive view in and of itself that doesn't really consider how real people actually operate. We're largely irrational beings, we pursue things for reasons that aren't always justifiable in an economic sense, and it seems like that trait has worked out all right for us judging by our dominance as a species.

    18. Re:I really by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      How dreadful it must be to be trapped in such an atrophied, angry little mind. I wish that I could help you, but all I can do is to shed a tear because your stunted reach will never exceed your grasp.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  13. get your ass to mars by wasteoid · · Score: 2

    - douglas quaid

  14. The REAL Roadmap by sycodon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1. Adopt a plan
    2. Spend a ton of money
    3. Abandon achievements and the plan.
    4. Repeat.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:The REAL Roadmap by Biff+Stu · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's the roadmap summary. Here's the detailed roadmap:

      1. Adopt a plan.
      2. Make the plan more ambitious at the insistence of the President and Congress.
      3. Receive 30% of the required funding from congress, 25% of which is non mission-critical pork.
      4. Overrun lowball funding by a factor of 3.
      5. Congress cuts off funding before real accomplishments can be met.
      6. Repeat

    2. Re:The REAL Roadmap by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      4. Overrun lowball funding by a factor of 3 because Congress didn't provide enough funding.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  15. Nobody called Zubrin - by Darth+Snowshoe · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Let me be the first one in this thread to advocate for THE CASE FOR MARS by Robert Zubrin. They should skip the asteroid and the moon, and start sending robotic missions to Mars today. When the robots have manufactured a liveable environment (e.g. caves or lava tubes) and enough fuel for an emergency return trip, then you send the astronauts.

    1. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by tgd · · Score: 1

      The US is 14 trillion dollars in debt and growing.

      Mars, the Moon and an asteroid mission will all never happen, until private industry sees a need for it... at least not by the US.

      We only went to the moon as a political stunt, and an excuse for funding massive amounts of aerospace development during the cold war. That motivation does not exist now, nor does the will of the American people to pony up enough taxes to stop the bleeding and do things like that.

      Its unfortunate, but NASA's just doing this to keep their jobs and relevance, and the various politicians supporting it are doing it for political reasons, largely the siphoning of tax money into their districts or the districts of those they owe favors to.

    2. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1

      Hear, hear, Dude. Though I can't help but notice that the sci fi space adventure magical religious cultists that dominate this forum are making sure nobody will ever read your post.

    3. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That book is what... 15 years old now? I read it when it was new, and it made sense to me then. It's too bad nobody has chosen to execute his vision. I'm starting to think I'll never get to mars :(

    4. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by guruevi · · Score: 1

      What you don't understand is how the economy works. If a government invests in the science and technology for this, jobs will be created (in that country) and the valuation of that country will be higher.

      Currently, the US is more bent on destroying other countries (effectively reverting education and science into the stone age) than advancing technologically and building an economy. Why do you think China is booming? Not because every business moved there because it was cheap but because the government actively funded schooling, infrastructure, healthcare etc. in order to accommodate businesses to move there. Off course, their ideology might not fit with yours and that might actually be holding them back more than it should but you can't deny that they haven't basically funded their own economy.

      Say the US finds a viable, cost-effective way to get into space and travel long distances maybe even start returning resources. Don't you think China, Europe and other countries won't be interested in sending their own missions along.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    5. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by Arlet · · Score: 1

      The government could also invest in different ares of science and technology, such as renewable energy. This would bring similar benefits in jobs and technological advances, while at the same time producing something useful.

      Human space exploration is in its core a useless stunt. Exploration is much better done by unmanned craft.

    6. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by guruevi · · Score: 1

      I agree that sending humans to the moon again as a publicity stunt is kinda useless. But even human space exploration in itself brings us much needed enhancements to existing technologies (such as life support systems, waste recycling, radiation shielding etc.).

      I agree that short term, investment in other technology would benefit us more but that doesn't mean we should choose which science to fund and which we don't want to fund. If the US would just cut the massive 'defensive' (aka offensive) spending and stop hunting down the ghost of Bin Laden there would immediately be much more money available. Yeah, 1000 people might have died in a terrorist attack 10 years ago but that's much better than 10's of 1000's dying each year from cancer, many of which would've been prevented if we just would've invested in the science to replace coal as an energy source.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    7. Re:Nobody called Zubrin - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Back in 1974 when I was a boy scout I met Robert in person, our scout troop built rockets to launch, namely Estes Rocket kits. and took place on the Shepelles farm, he was one of the troop leaders and worked at Martian Marietta and the Viking landers that had not been launched yet. At the time he was expressing NASA's need to explore more places than the Moon.

      Today my brother is an Engineer at Lockheed Martian (the same company) and helped build most of the Mars landers, starting with the Pathfinder of the 1990's. And was even working on the NASA Constellation Program to return America to the Moon 50 years later, and then after the moon to Mars, the asteroids and beyond. There was even dreams of going to the stars as the 22nd Century begins. The current NASA program sounds very similar to the Constellation Program, it just seems that the 2004 program was killed off just so our current president could remove the Bush name and replace it with as I call him O'buma. Even the just relieved lift rocket that NASA showed last week looks to be the Lockheed Martian second version to replace the flawed first design in 2013 before it is expected to be used in 2017.

  16. Third route by ThunderBird89 · · Score: 1

    The two routes are presented as exclusive, and only differ in the order of the targets. I say there's a third route: Moon, Mars+Asteroid, Beyond.

    Landing on an asteroid is orders of magnitude more difficult than on the Moon or a planet: chances are a lot greater that you'll miss, and there's not a lot of possibilities for in-situ resource utilization, while return windows are possibly few and far between.
    It would be safer and more profitable to go to an asteroid at the same time we're building presence on Mars. Hell, Mars has two asteroids for moons, perfect practice ground. The way I see this would be a hybrid of the two scenarios outlined: we deploy a deep space habitat, set up a permanently crewed base on the Moon as a 'pit stop', then take advantage of the lower gravity to launch towards Mars, and later, still from the Moon, towards an interesting asteroid. The first asteroid mission could even be the deployment of a thruster to send the asteroid into a more accessible and safer orbit as a starting point.

    This would allow us the most time to test new technologies before plunging into the most dangerous missions during the exploration phase, then to leverage those technologies in the exploitation phase that inevitably (and rightly) follows.

    --
    Hyperbole: I use it liberally!
    1. Re:Third route by Jeng · · Score: 1

      In space you do not want to go down any unnecessary gravity wells. As such I would describe the moon base as a destination, not a place to prep for a trip to Mars. We can and should test out technology we plan to go to Mars with on the Moon, but we shouldn't build a craft on the moon to go to Mars.

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
    2. Re:Third route by ThunderBird89 · · Score: 1

      Not build, although that's an option too (orbital assembly enables the construction of larger frames than possible to launch economically), rather just a refueling stop after breaking Earth orbit. After all, it takes a lot less delta-v to break orbit from Earth to Moon to Mars than it takes from Earth to Mars in one go...

      --
      Hyperbole: I use it liberally!
    3. Re:Third route by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      We can and should test out technology we plan to go to Mars with on the Moon, but we shouldn't build a craft on the moon to go to Mars.

      There's very little you can test on the Moon that would be useful on Mars; the environment is far, far too different for lunar experience to be of much use there.

    4. Re:Third route by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      If you can get the material to build a craft (or fuel it) from the moon, it would be a hell of a lot cheaper than lifting it all out of Earth's gravity well. It's all well and good not to go down any gravity wells, but that's where all the matter is.

    5. Re:Third route by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Effects of long-term low-g (but not microgravity) existence on the human body is the one big problem/unknown they share. Both experiments (is 0.2g enough to survive long-term? If so, Mars's 0.4g will be fine, if not, Mars is still an unknown...), and testing the equipment to cope with it (centrifuge+exercise program) will benefit from moon-first -- but only if we establish a permanent or semipermanent base.

      Other than that, yeah. The atmosphere makes the landers totally different, the day/night period makes thermal and solar power considerations totally different, and the geology makes any sort of mining & extraction (for water, oxygen, fuel, or metals) completely different. It's an exaggeration to say the only thing they have in common is the need for an air-tight habitat, but not by much.

  17. Maybe because he's NASA's boss? by Quila · · Score: 1

    The boss usually gets to express his opinion.

    1. Re:Maybe because he's NASA's boss? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      funny, his name is not listed under NASA's executives.

    2. Re:Maybe because he's NASA's boss? by Jeng · · Score: 1

      And neither was JFK, what's your point?

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
    3. Re:Maybe because he's NASA's boss? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      that our presidents are not qualified to make these decisions?

  18. Meanwhile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China will be working towards Mars. If you are going to do it, AIM HIGH!

    1. Re:Meanwhile by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1

      China isn't stupid enough to waste money on such a boondoggle. Only we are.

  19. Too little too late (for me) by macraig · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was eight years old when Neil Armstrong set boots on the Moon; I should have lived to see a thriving colony on Mars! I'm not dead yet, but these sickening roadmaps make it obvious that the chance of me living long enough to see ANY offworld colony is pretty slim. What the fuck happened?

    I share Neil Armstrong's frustration, but I don't blame NASA; NASA isn't the problem. The problem is that the species is dominated by short-sighted, ignorant, isolationist fools... and that foolish majority is not only allowed to choose our leadership but is also the pool from which that leadership is chosen. WE collectively are the problem.

    We've used NASA as a political football in a decades-long game of tug-of-war; how would you like to administer or work in an agency whose funding and priorities get temptingly dangled close enough to nibble one year but then yanked far out of reach the next, at the whim of Congressional purseholders beholden to public attitudes and corporate shareholders? NASA has been suffering from manic depression for decades because of it.

    Neil needs to place the blame squarely where it belongs. How many more generations of visionaries will have their hopes and dreams crushed under the weight of an ignorant mob of billions?

    1. Re:Too little too late (for me) by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1

      I should have lived to see a thriving colony on Mars! I'm not dead yet, but these sickening roadmaps make it obvious that the chance of me living long enough to see ANY offworld colony is pretty slim. What the fuck happened?

      For the benefit of your fellow sci fi space adventure magical religious cultists, please calculate the cost of the following:

      Transport 100,000 people to an off-world location of your choosing
      Make sure accommodations are built and ready for them
      Make them go from 100% to 0% dependent on earth for their survival within 100 years
      Explain who will pay for it, how, and why

      That will fully answer your question.

    2. Re:Too little too late (for me) by macraig · · Score: 1

      That doesn't even partially answer it. If the resources expended on wars in the last 50 years had instead been redirected to expanding the frontier (and enabling future homesteading for misfits and malcontents), we would have several colonies on the Moon and in orbit by now and be poised to make the jump to Mars.

    3. Re:Too little too late (for me) by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Who cares if you can transport 100,000 people and make them independent? We have bases in the antarctic and arctic that aren't even close to that, and we maintain them for scientific purposes. The moon would be a fantastic place to build some giant telescopes, for example.

      Oh, and since you keep repeating yourself, let me tell you a little secret. Ready? There's nothing magical about space travel.

    4. Re:Too little too late (for me) by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      Transport 100,000 people to an off-world location of your choosing
      Make sure accommodations are built and ready for them
      Make them go from 100% to 0% dependent on earth for their survival within 100 years
      Explain who will pay for it, how, and why

      Oddly enough, when the Pilgrims went to Plymouth Rock, they took fewer than 100,000.

      Their accomodations weren't built and waiting for their arrival.

      And they didn't go from 100% to 0% dependent on Europe in 100 years, either.

      Personally, I'd settle for 50-100 people (roughly comparable in number to the Pilgrims) in my lifetime, and aim to make them independent on Earth within 300 years.

      And, of course, we make them independent on Earth in a sensible fashion - IC's are light, so it's not really all that important that they need to import them from Earth (as one example), but building houses/domes/whatever people live in is mass-intensive (and relatively simple), so it should have a high priority in the whole process of "becoming independent of Earth".

      Not, mind you, that there's any chance of that happening in my lifetime. Kennedy made his speech after I was born, and Armstrong took his "small step for a man" when I was 10. But it doesn't look like even the optimistic assumption for going back to the Moon involve periods within my lifetime, much less getting to Mars.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:Too little too late (for me) by reiisi · · Score: 1

      I hate to be a pessimist. Except I am not. You'll probably call me an unreasoning optimist.

      When I was young, I dreamed of being a space cowboy with my own rocket to ply the routes between earth and wherever. I wanted to see the stars in my lifetime. Asimov and Heinlein clued me in as to how hard that was going to be, and some pseudo-psychiatry stuff clued me in as to how my personal desire to go there was as much as an expression of my desire to escape from the public school system as it was a real desire to actually go places and do useful things there. Maybe more escapism than goals.

      Disillusionment with science turned me to religion. Religion turned me to my fellow man. For the last six years or so, I've been (barely) making my living in the public school system that I used to hate. I find that I no longer need to escape.

      But I can recognize the long-term need for space as one of the frontiers we need to keep challenging, to keep our technology advancing in ways other than designing cheaper, faster gaming consoles and entertainment systems.

      Figuring out how to get into orbit without doing semi-permanent harm to the environment is one good project that could help us learn how to get around on the ground without doing so much damage.

      --
      Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
    6. Re:Too little too late (for me) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >... enough to see ANY offworld colony is pretty slim. What the fuck happened?

      It's real real expensive, and there's no economic reason to do it. That's what happened.

      The New World settlers could get to America on a wooden sailing ship and grow their own food and live off the land. They were dependent on Europe for conveniences like manufactured goods, but America had water, air, gravity, plant life, and a hospitable climate. People could afford to go to America to escape persecution or seek adventure. Today, groups of adventurers will charter a plane or buy their own small ship to do things in remote locations like surf or ski or climb mountains, but there's no way such a group could afford the $100B+ it would cost to go "adventuring" on Mars or an asteroid, so nobody does it. A solid gold asteroid wouldn't be worth mining at today's transport costs, so businesses don't go either; there's no money up there.

      Without orders of magnitude improvements in LEO-access and deep-space propulsion technology, colonies will never happen. It's not politics or ignorant mobs, it's technology and economics. Of course, ignorant mob politics are a large part of what will probably prevent the technology from ever being developed; the energy density required for economic space transport can only from from nuclear reactions, and we all know society's long term plans for that branch of science.

    7. Re:Too little too late (for me) by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 1

      It is a sad tragedy that so few people realize this. Maybe I sound like a broken record calling these people sci fi space adventure magical religious cultists, but that's how they behave and express themselves. All reason, fact, physics, and accountability are abandoned to promote simple-minded childish fantasies. Planning to send humans to Mars is effectively as realistic as sending them to the mythical North Pole to visit Santa Claus and his elves.

  20. In other words, ... by reiisi · · Score: 1

    ... you're on the road to becoming part of the problem in your country.

    The "American" problems which you so accurately point to are in no small part due to idealists turning into lobbyists.

    Anybody can lobby, and, unfortunately, it's addictive.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  21. cap in hand to the man by reiisi · · Score: 2

    When you go to the government for funding, you don't want to admit you have options.

    That is, unless you really don't need the funding.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  22. Before any "next" by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

    Rather than make pie in the sky plans for moon missions or asteroid missions, how about a good, solid foundation of getting people the first 100 miles. Plan for that. Achieve that goal and THEN see about trying to get further out, based on an actual, sensible reason for going.

    Every journey starts with a first step.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  23. It should be something that can pay for itself. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It should be an astronomical body (moon, asteroid, etc) that has a potential payoff say in scarce minerals like lithium, platinium, uranium (unobtainium) or water. It should be something that would provide a raw resource to offset the costs associated with space travel or to make an aspect of space travel possible that would not have been possible without it.

    Water as fuel when combined with solar energy. Water to produce breathable oxygen. Soil that could be used to support the growth of plants. Uranium oxide to refine into fuel ... in space. Something that we can use without having to bring it with us to help continue space exploration.

    1. Re:It should be something that can pay for itself. by artson · · Score: 1

      Buddy was right when he said it was important to avoid gravity wells. Once you're out, why the hell go back down? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_High_Frontier:_Human_Colonies_in_Space/ Ask Gerard O'Neill. He provides methods of access, a reason for going and a means of staying there once you arrive. Works for me.

      --
      In times of trouble, the smell of frying onions usually gives confidence and comfort.
  24. better rebuttal? by reiisi · · Score: 1

    The Russians have as many problems with the heavy lift as the Americans do. (Check the news recently?) They just have less problems with insurance companies.

    Not sure why the Canadians should be seen as better than the Japanese at robotics. But robotics has a significantly wider field of application than heavy lift. (Not disjoint, even?) And even if the Japanese are better at some kinds of robotics and the Canadians are better at some kinds of robotics, cooperation does not mean just turning all of job X over to some other guy.

    We're all in this mess together. The only good reason for space exploration is to give us more areas to keep pioneering in, to keep us from turning all of our technology over to making the next bigger and faster game console.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
    1. Re:better rebuttal? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      The Russians have as many problems with the heavy lift as the Americans do.

      The Russians have over 300 sussessful launches of their heavy lift rovet the Proton. The US heavy lift capable rockets (Delta, Atlas) are all in the single digit launches and still don't have the capacity of the Proton.

      Not sure why the Canadians should be seen as better than the Japanese at robotics.

      I'm talking space robotics. All of the robotics on the ISS and shuttle are Canadian designed and built. Even the Japanese robot was actually a Canadian robot.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
  25. It should be both asteroids and moon by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The reason is that private space wants to go to the moon. We should take advantage of this. The X-prizes, and COTS approach is paying off with equipment being developed. Even the sub-orbitals, such as blue origin, will be interesting in that their equipment with some mods and MINIMAL amounts of ground set-up, will be capable of working on/off the moon. Basically, the moon is a good step for private space along with gov. help. But when going beyond the moon, that is where NASA should focus. Sending a small crew to an asteroid is a good first step to Mars. Well, that is the kind of things that private space will NOT do. Likewise, having NASA and others work on tugs esp. nuclear engines such as NERVA, makes good sense.

    Private space is planning on being on the moon by 2020.
    So, lets do both the moon and an asteroid.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:It should be both asteroids and moon by damburger · · Score: 1

      I wondered how long it would take for 'private space flight' to be mentioned.

      Private spaceflight is, right now, pathetic. And an ideologically motivated insistence on it has crippled NASA. Congratulations on handing Mars over to the Russians and the Chinese.

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    2. Re:It should be both asteroids and moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Render on to JPL that which is robotics, render on to JSC that which is human.

    3. Re:It should be both asteroids and moon by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      This is not about ideology. NASA has been stymed for 40 years under the likes of Nixon, reagan, and W. Under Clinton, he allow the neo-cons to gut NASA to which W then joined in. We NEED multiple launchers. That is a fact. Just look at SkyLab and now ISS. 2 space stations and we lost the first one because of Nixon and would have lost ISS had it not been for Russia. Congress and bad admins have gutted NASA to the point that they continue to lose important items

      NOW, we will have TRUE redundancy in our systems for human launches. What will be missing will be SHLV redundancy. Thankfully, within 2 year, SLS will be dead. At that time, SpaceX will have Falcon Heavy at 54 tonnes to LEO. Within 1 year after (possibly at that time), they will have raptor second stage and will have 70 tonnes to LEO. That is the same as what SLS PROMISES. The difference is that SLS will cost 18 billion just to get it to their and cost another 1.5-2 billion to launch 70 tonnes. OTH, FH-raptor will cost less than 150 million. IOW, it will cost 1/10 of the price.

      Now, so far what has kept us from going to Mars and the moon? Well, Poppa Bush wanted to go to Mars. Good plans. HOWEVER, the price was to be 50-100 billion. That got shot down. Then W/neo-cons gutted NASA and started Constellation, but seriously underfunded. So, instead of Safe-Simple-Soon, it became complex and 15 years out JUST FOR ARES I (not including Ares V). Worse, we spent 10 billion and lowest estimates were that it would be another 10 billion just to launch 24 tonnes to LEO and at a costs of .5-1 B. Pretty much useless.

      If anyone hands mars and moon to Russia and China, that would be you commi-loving neo-cons who are more interested in gutting America and NASA, than in help America and the future.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  26. The space shuttle was an experiment. by reiisi · · Score: 1

    Sustaining the long haul with the Apollo was seen as too expensive.

    It hasn't gotten less expensive, we have just become more willing to spend money. (Setting aside the question of whether we have the money to spend. Except, if we were willing to spend money on those big toys, why weren't we spending money fighting poverty? and there were too many people who couldn't see that space exploration was one essential part of the overall approach to fighting poverty.)

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  27. Re:Maybe because he's not NASA's boss? by reiisi · · Score: 1

    The president is not supposed to be anybody's boss.

    Well, except for the executive branch of the government, subject to restrictions set by the Constitution and Congress.

    About the only group he is the boss of is his cabinet, and not really even that.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  28. You first. by reiisi · · Score: 1

    You can go first.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  29. if only by reiisi · · Score: 1

    While I agree with you that Battlestar Galactica (sp?), Star Wars, et. al. are just cowboy movies shifted to space, and not realistic goals for our future as a race, I disagree with your assessment of the space program. As someone else pointed out already, the space program is a good place to sharpen the tools we call our technology.

    Tools are usefull things, and keeping them in good working condition is important.

    Promoting the worship of technology is bad, whether through space fantasy or game machines, but until we can teach the majority of people what true religion is, we can of have to let them get by on what they can believe in.

    And, either way, space exploration is (or can be) a valid way to refine and add to our technological toolset.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  30. Moon environment is not the point. by reiisi · · Score: 1

    We still don't have enough experience getting people through space in healthy condition. That's why we work on getting back to the moon.

    That and all the science that remains to be done on the moon.

    Also, while the environment-related tech for the moon and for Mars will be drastically different, learning how to deal with the moon's environment will only help learning how to deal with the environment on Mars. Seeing any of these options as mutually exclusive is missing the entire point of space exploration.

    Panic programs to get us (back or otherwise) to X in Y time are not a particularly good idea, however.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
    1. Re:Moon environment is not the point. by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      We still don't have enough experience getting people through space in healthy condition. That's why we work on getting back to the moon.

      The Moon is about three days away. Mars is months away. That's like saying that walking to the corner store will give you the experience you need to run a marathon.

      Also, while the environment-related tech for the moon and for Mars will be drastically different, learning how to deal with the moon's environment will only help learning how to deal with the environment on Mars.

      No it won't, because there's almost nothing in common between the two environments. Problems caused by the environment on Mars mostly won't happen on the Moon, and vice-versa.

    2. Re:Moon environment is not the point. by slackbheep · · Score: 1

      Did you only recently build yourself a set of legs? If so then yes, this walk to the corner store is a baby step towards your marathon. No? Well, I guess it's a silly analogy then, isn't it?

  31. Sigh....The Myth of Humans in Space still persists by Xilinx_guy · · Score: 0

    I am constantly frustrated with Yet Another Plan for Humans In Space. When will the politicians finally recognize the folly and waste in trying to put Humans into an environment completely unsuited for them? Do we see bizarre unrealistic plans to colonize Antartica? or the bottom of the sea? Then why this fetish about putting humans in outer space? Because of the constant re-runs of Star Trek and Stargate on the Syfy channel? Who believes that crap? It's patently obvious that the future belongs to the machines.. and only the machines.. Machines designed and constructed to excel in their target environment. I speak not from random passion, but from actual experience. I'm a 10 year veteran of JPL. We built machines there that *worked*, that explored the outer planets, and returned vast amounts of serious data. We should not be wasting another dime on putting humans any higher than 50,000 feet. Everything above that should be done by machines, and the best AI we can muster. Money should be poured into radiation resistant computing, AI, and self repairing electronics with massive redundancy. We need to establish AI operated bases on the moon and near earth asteroids, in order to start using the matter for construction of space based observation and computing platforms. No question, the future of the human civilization is *in* space.... with the machines we create. Not with monkeys in space.

  32. priorities all wrong by crutchy · · Score: 1

    NASA is full of bureaucratic morons trying to justify their fat government pay checks. unless they want to continue their slide in credibility and funding, they had better sort their shit out and get a clue.

    How about for a first priority: MAKE ACCESS TO LOW EARTH ORBIT CHEAPER, SAFER, MORE RELIABLE AND MORE REGULAR

    NASA can make whatever plans they want, but the cold war is over, Kennedy is dead, and they will never have the budget to go to the moon the same way again. Period.

    They haven't even got an operational space shuttle any more for crap sake.

    The only thing this useless waste of paper might achieve is offering some ideas to the Russians.

    Hint to NASA morons: Voters don't give a shit about where astronauts go next if there is no immediate tangible benefit for them. It isn't greed, its just common sense. NASA is squandering millions in hard-earned tax payer dollars, and for what?

    One apon a time NASA was doing great things and paving the way for technological progress. The people who could be making the difference are being drowned out by political and ommercial interests.

    I predict that either the Russians will take the moon, or western society will eventually wake up and revolt to end the scurge of corrupttion and greed that is our capitalist economy. No I'm not advocating communism as the answer, rather what (in Australia) is called "non-trading cooperatives"
    http://www.consumer.vic.gov.au/CA256EB5000644CE/page/Business+names-Co-operatives

    If I had to bet, I'd go with the Russians

  33. Slash the defense budget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I agree with you up to the point where you fail to mention that the US has a defense budget over 20x greater than the amount funneled to NASA. Half the defense budget would be more than enough to set up a small Mars colony if you go by Zubrin's math.

  34. We need an Earth Orbit Asteroid by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    A VASIMR type plasma rocket can haul back 20x it's fuel weight in from a nearby asteroid. Since part of most rocks is Oxygen, you can extract that and use it for fuel for later trips, and keep hauling back more asteroid chunks. What do you do with all that asteroid stuff in Earth Orbit? Any metals can go to building living quarters and machines. Any carbon can be used to create space elevator cable. Some oxygen is good for breathing, some for fuel, and some to make water with. You still need to bring the Hydrogen from Earth, but that's only 11% by weight.

    This approach does two things. The partial space elevator makes it easier to bring stuff up from Earth. The ability to bring back and use materials from asteroids cuts the percentage of stuff you need to bring from Earth. Those multiply together. For example, if launch costs are reduced to 20% of what they were before, and you can supply 80% of your materials from asteroids, then combined your cost to get something done is reduced by 25 times.

    1. Re:We need an Earth Orbit Asteroid by kathycat · · Score: 1

      This all plan is just redoing 60's, man to moon in telephone booth and telephone booth in tip of huge rocket. Nasa should leave orbital rocket launch with current technology to commercial companies like Space-X and focus developing new technologies. Air breathing space plane for LEO launch and VASIMR based reusable cruiser to travel from orbit to moon, asteroids and Mars. There need to be someone like Burt Rutan to invent new ideas. There is no sense to carry a lot of oxygen from earth to orbit for chemical orbit to destination vehicle when VASIMR works with fractional amount. Also the first few mach of delta V uses most of rocket fuel used. It is possible to get around 3 mach with traditional air breathing plane. Check XB70 Valkyrie, there was even plans to use it as Rutan's White Knight. All technology for XB70 is exiting, two of them has been made and did first flight 1964. Basically engine technology was same than SR71. With modern SCRAMJET engines even larger part of delta V van be made with air breathing engines. Reducing orbital launch cost to fraction with air breathing space planes and orbit to target cost by reusable VASIMR crafts opens door for new large scale space exploration. What hell is reason to stuck in old technology, get big contracts to old government contractors ?

  35. Where's China in this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interestingly the list of countries involved in the Global Exploration Roadmap doesn't include China. It includes all nations with a recognized capability to send a bucket of metal to outer space, such as Russia, the Europeans (counted as one), individual European states such as France and Germany, India, and Japan.

    China, as the fourth or third greatest space power (after the US and Russia, and maybe Japan), is missing from the group. I can understand the absence of possible small space powers like Iran, Israel and North Korea, but China? Is there some mysterious reason behind China's go-it-alone attitude in space?

  36. damn half-empty glass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Option 4: the whole world is fucked anyway, so lets nuke the whole planet from orbit.

    "its the only way to be sure" - Ellen Ripley

  37. You're assuming we have a lot more than we have. by reiisi · · Score: 1

    How many people have made that "walk to the corner drugstore"?

    You're assuming we have a lot more experience in space than we have. Meaningful human activity on Mars is just not going to happen until we have a lot more experience in space.

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  38. Tracking a satellite by DarwinSurvivor · · Score: 1

    Does anyone else find it sad that NASA+NORAD+whoever can detect a small missile launch on the other side of the world in minutes, but can't predict when or where a satellite THEY PUT UP THERE THEMSELVES will land or even IF it has landed already?!?

  39. THE Ukraine by Sentry360 · · Score: 1

    Why is it always the Ukraine, it's not like there are multiple Ukraines. Is anyone familiar with any other countries that get a the? And how did the the even come about as common usage when referring to Ukraine?

    1. Re:THE Ukraine by cffrost · · Score: 1

      Is anyone familiar with any other countries that get a the?

      Three from memory: "The United States of America." I've also heard "The Sudan" used; Wikipedia suggests and redirects "The Sudan" to "Sudan," but I didn't see an explanation therein, (nor did I look very hard). I've also heard "The Congo" used, which Wikipedia suggests and redirects to a disambiguation page, which is were I stopped.

      [H]ow did the the even come about as common usage when referring to Ukraine?

      Although it's common usage, it's not proper form...
      Short version: https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Ukraine#Etymology
      Long version: https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Name_of_Ukraine

      --
      Thank you, Edward Snowden.

      "Arguments from authority are worthless." —Carl Sagan
  40. the name of the country by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is simply "ukraine" - no "the"

  41. Get Real ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I love the "give them everything they need and leave them alone" comments. Wouldn't everyone in the government - hell, everyone in the world! - love to get that deal?!! "Hey, give me and my family a shit-load of money - everything we say we need - and then leave us alone until we ask for more, then give us that, too, and leave us alone again, repeat." The US military "Hey, let us design an astronomically expensive defense budget with technologies that don't exist, then give us more money that anyone else has, then leave us the hell alone - no oversight, no accountability, and no cuts, dammit!"

    Yeah, great plan.

    Until we get our debut under control - sorry, Macraig, not in our lifetimes - this needs to go into slow-motion, robotics, and R&D only. We are talking about the very survival of the US, maybe the Western world, being at stake here. And you idealists think we should fly men to space rocks?

    Here's an idea: Give NASA everything eveyone elects to give on their tax forms, like the Federal Election election. If this is so damn important to the public, they'll fund it. If not, NASA can go back to having sexy astronauts flying expensive T-38 jets around to public affairs gigs and leave the rest of us the fuck alone.

  42. NASA is too big for our britches! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why are people so defensive about NASA?

    How much money has been pumped into NASA? The NASA lovers dont care if we spend 100% of our GDP, allocate every man woman and child to the advancement of space exploration, force scientists to work at the end of a gun barrel, and use eugenics to purge the planet of non scientists in order to create more scientists, NOTHING WILL EVER BE ENOUGH.

    NASA had so much money they should have explored the galaxy ten times over by now. The fact is that theres only so much we were capable of and science doesnt always progress as fast as we want. Money is wasted, waste is created, etc.

    NASA needed to get reeled in a long time ago. I still think it needs to exist, but not as the GIANT it has become. Scientists should not look to NASA for jobs or money, they should look to NASA to offload ideas they created elsewhere And not as a payday, but for the good of humanity. America doesnt want to admit that we are dependant on government for jobs and capital. There is not many other ways to "make it by".

    I beleive in a vast conspiracy of the government that prints money to keep afloat and create an economy that strives for nothing more then self preservation and quality of life and subsidizes almost all aspects of it. There will never be "Power to the people", the power struggles have been decided long ago, and nothing short of violent civil war will ever change the puppet masters at the top unfortunatly. They control the capital in our capitalistic society and are doing a horrible job of it. They want slaves that drain their brains in order to create weapons to rule the world (Our defense industry) and the rest of us to follow party lines. Our food industry, our entertainment industry, our communications industry, ALL monopoly's and began or eventually became government subsidized.

    People wake up and see NASA for what it was, a monumental waste of money, unsustainable, and basically just one big government subsidy that is no way our tax dollars were affording without the money masters running printing presses nonstop and hoping we wouldnt notice.

  43. Because he's above NASA by Quila · · Score: 1

    He's boss of the entire executive branch. Whether you like Obama or not doesn't diminish his authority.

  44. Leaving Earth is easy,returning to Earth is hard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Leaving Earth to go into Space seems to be becoming easier every day. It is almost getting to the point that the hard task is the return from space to Earth is the hard dangerous task. We all know what can happen as our first Space shuttle to leave Earth, the STS Space Shuttle Columbia burned up as it re-entered the Atmosphere over New Mexico and Texas. The silicon heat dissipating tiles are able to protect the shuttle from the 2,300 degrees of friction Atmospheric heat created by friction with the Earth's Atmosphere. The tiles work perfectly when they are in perfect shape, but in non visable damage the Columbia could not.

    Just as the Challenger exploded on takeoff nearly 20 years before I started searching for a solution to the problem. I could find nothing to replace the tiles. So I had to look at something to replace the tile system of protection. The simple solution is to reduce the velocity from an orbital speed of 17,500 MPH to Zero with in a distance of around 30 miles. That is a reduction of speed at a rate that did not alter the gravity rate beyond human tolerance's.. To do such a change fuel is needed to decelerate to an acceptable velocity for human survival. But this process is much similar to soaking your drum sticks in nitroglycerine and playing a drum solo in a rock concert.

    My final solution uses matter in what is know as the fourth state of matter, you have gas,liquid and solid but the fourth state is called plasma. In the early 90's the USSR has been rumored to have tested plasma shields for it's hyper velocity jets. Since it was hard and rare to find the minerals that could take the heat that leading edge structures had to survive through at the velocities the jet engines could accelerate or trust objects to. I do not know of the results or if the rumor is even true or not. But if you place a plasma shield between a damaging force and a vulnerable object. None of the damaging forces can traverse though the plasma to damage what is to be protected. This plasma shield is what has protected all rocket trusted before the shuttle and it's heat shielding tiles. Now if we were to create a protective shield around our spacecraft our spaceship could land safely.

    The hard rart will be creating a continuous plasma shield as to reenter the planet safely, One other note there is some UFO reports that state plasma is also used. This may take years to develop, but I do think it could be looked into as a solution. UFO's may not be real but if they are could this be a feature they use.