Slashdot Mirror


Droughts Linked To Global Warming

Layzej writes "Two new papers indicate that we are likely already seeing some of the predicted impacts of global warming. The first used Monte Carlo simulations to analyze how many new record events you expect to see in a time series with a trend. They applied the technique to the unprecedented Russian heat wave of July 2010, which killed 700 people and contributed to soaring wheat prices. According to the analysis, there's an 80 percent chance that climate change was responsible. The authors have described their methods and how they improved on previous studies. The second group studied wintertime droughts in the Mediterranean region. They found that 'the magnitude and frequency of the drying that has occurred is too great to be explained by natural variability alone. This is not encouraging news for a region that already experiences water stress, because it implies natural variability alone is unlikely to return the region's climate to normal.'"

5 of 535 comments (clear)

  1. Re:It's called "climate change" NOT "global warmin by Brett+Buck · · Score: 0, Troll

    Most people call it "global redistribution scam", but potato, potahto.

  2. Re:We're not there yet... by interval1066 · · Score: -1, Troll

    Sort of like when proponents invent papers supporting their position.

    --
    Python: 'And then suddenly you have a language which says "we're all stuck with whatever the whiniest coder wants".'
  3. Re:of course they are. by Runaway1956 · · Score: -1, Troll

    "Articles like this only serve to fuel the emotional bickering which has absolutely no place in science."

    The point you seem to be missing is, there exists a new religion, centered on global warming. Some days, it masquerades as science, other days it is a nakedly emotional issue. And, the zealots look forward to the day that witch hunts become commonplace. The human animal just loves his violence, and his inquisitions. Deprived of the inquisitions supplied by the Catholic Church, mankind must evolve a new religion, and a new church to satisfy his need for righteous violence.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  4. Re:We're not there yet... by Solandri · · Score: 0, Troll

    You're hoping for too much from deniers. Their selective memory will take care of the issue and they won't admit to being wrong anyway.

    You mean selective memory about things like this? So global warming causes there to be more water vapor in the air, which causes more rainfall and snow. But at the same time it causes more droughts?

    I happen to believe the planet is warming, but the problem is that a lot of its proponents throw proper skepticism out the window in their zeal to turn anything which happens into evidence in support of it. It's no wonder a lot of people are in denial. A scientific theory has to be disprovable, and when those advocating a theory say things which remove disprovability by saying contradictory evidence supports the theory, of course people are going to be instinctively skeptical.

    (And as for explaining the apparent contradiction between more droughts and more snowfall, higher temperatures means more energy in the system, and a more energetic system has more extreme highs and lows. Some local regions get unusually high precipitation, others get unusually low. But I'll bet most global warming proponents never thought of that. They just accepted it without question when told that more rainfall was due to global warming. And accepted it without question when told that more drought was due to global warming.)

  5. Re:of course they are. by Runaway1956 · · Score: -1, Troll

    Me, a zealot? Hey - I admit that the earth is growing warmer. The zealots are those who insist that man is the primary cause of that warming. In short, you're an idiot if you believe what you posted. On the other hand - if you're just making noise to get an argument, you're doing a fine job.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br