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Kepler Confirms Exoplanet Inside Star's Habitable Zone

astroengine writes "Plenty of 'candidate' exoplanets exist, but for the first time, Kepler has confirmed the existence of an exoplanet orbiting its Sun-like star right in the middle of its 'habitable zone.' Kepler-22b is 2.4 times the radius of Earth and orbits its star every 290 days. 'This is a major milestone on the road to finding Earth's twin,' said Douglas Hudgins, Kepler program scientist at NASA Headquarters in Washington. 'Kepler's results continue to demonstrate the importance of NASA's science missions, which aim to answer some of the biggest questions about our place in the universe.'"

257 comments

  1. Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...oh deniers of the science. It works bitches,

    1. Re:Take that... by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sure, because the science deniers are swayed by evidence.

    2. Re:Take that... by adonoman · · Score: 5, Insightful
      This is a terrible example of science working, if you're trying to portray science as useful. All this is, is a set of data, that according to our current scientific theories shows a very high probability that there exists a planet 600 light years away that stands a good chance of having liquid water.

      When we land there and find that there is indeed such a planet, that's when we say: "Take that oh deniers of the science. It works bitches,"

      If you're trying to show that science works, stick with examples where science has made seemingly outlandish predictions that later turned out to be true. Like the relativistic effects that need to be dealt with for GPS to work. Or go with the daily grind of science that is pumping out useful technologies in the form of airplanes, computers, plastics, and medicine.

    3. Re:Take that... by somersault · · Score: 2

      But surely everyone can accept that all planets have an evil twin?

      --
      which is totally what she said
    4. Re:Take that... by geoffrobinson · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I seem to have missed all those people out there who think science doesn't work.

      I know people skeptical of man-made global warming. I know of many others that aren't hard-core Darwinists (to various extents; not all Young Earth Creationists).

      I know of absolutely no one who denies all of science as a discipline of knowledge. Definitely as a discipline which claims total knowledge, but not as a valid path of knowledge of the natural world.

      I guess that's a long way around the barn to say "you are arguing with a straw man."

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    5. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you're trying to show that science works, stick with examples where science has made seemingly outlandish predictions that later turned out to be true.

      Best example of this: radio waves. Hertz tried to prove that Maxwell's equations were bogus, because if they were correct there would be ridiculous things such as electromagnetic waves between antennas. It works, bitches!

    6. Re:Take that... by Baloroth · · Score: 4, Informative

      Best example of this: radio waves. Hertz tried to prove that Maxwell's equations were bogus, because if they were correct there would be ridiculous things such as electromagnetic waves between antennas. It works, bitches!

      Wrong. Hertz created setups to deliberately try to prove that electric fields (and magnetic, but same thing) move at a speed less than infinite, to prove that Maxwell was right, not that he was wrong. Hertz also showed that light was an electromagnetic wave (or, rather, that they traveled at the same speed), and speculated that you could create light directly by ultra-high-frequency AC currents.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    7. Re:Take that... by c6gunner · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The issue is that those who are "skeptical" of "man-made global warming" (with a few rare exceptions), and those who "aren't hard-core Darwinists" (a euphemism for "intelligent design", I take it?) by necessity have to reject science as a methodology in order to maintain their beliefs. They accept "science" as the name for a field which gets them useful toys, while completely rejecting the way in which it functions.

      Also, the word "Darwinist" is asinine. It's a perfect illustration of the difference between people who take things on faith, and those who try to maintain a scientific approach to life in general. For the former, an idea is necessarily tied to the person who proposed it, and its validity hinges entirely on the character and reputation of that person. For the latter, the individual is irrelevant. Calling someone a "Darwinist" is as absurd as calling them "Newtonist", "Einsteinist", "Maxwellist", or "Saganist". It's a word which has been manufactured by theists for the sole purpose of framing the debate in a way with which they're comfortable; as the weighing of the opinions of prominent figures, rather than an honest, objective analysis of the data.

    8. Re:Take that... by cowboy76Spain · · Score: 5, Funny

      I really hope we find the Earth evil twin. Surely it will be a world swamped by corruption, hunger, war and incompetence.

      Oh wait....

      --
      Why can't /. have a rich-text editor? Editing your own HTML is so XXth century.
    9. Re:Take that... by Missing.Matter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      People are happy to trust scientists because for the most part, they have no idea what the scientists are saying. This is true up until the point the scientist says something the person disagrees with. "What do you mean human's evolved from apes!? You're a lunatic!" At this point the scientist is no longer an authority but a crackpot.

    10. Re:Take that... by geoffrobinson · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "by necessity have to reject science as a methodology"

      Not at all. They just disagree with certain conclusions or in the case of man-made global warming think the case is inadequate so far.

      That's not disagreeing with science as a methodology. Although evolution as a historical science is a hell of a lot different than physics, chemistry, or straightforward biology in the methodology department. That's not a fault. That just has to do with dealing with the past and not being able to run experiments.

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    11. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The issue is that those who are "skeptical" of "man-made global warming" (with a few rare exceptions), and those who "aren't hard-core Darwinists" (a euphemism for "intelligent design", I take it?) by necessity have to reject science as a methodology in order to maintain their beliefs. They accept "science" as the name for a field which gets them useful toys, while completely rejecting the way in which it functions.

      I disagree in the instance of androgenic global warming. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, nor do we know the models are correct. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

    12. Re:Take that... by gomiam · · Score: 2
      I'm afraid you miss the mark in this case. Lamarckist evolution and darwinist evolution are somewhat different ;). The fact that lamarckism is wrong isn't relevant to the discussion: darwinism is a valid term even in scientific circles, although it is today conflated with evolutionism (quite rightly so, since it is basically correct).

      This may be a bit like the hacker/cracker terminology discussion, though.

    13. Re:Take that... by RasputinAXP · · Score: 5, Funny

      And wearing a goatee.

    14. Re:Take that... by interval1066 · · Score: 1

      Who are these "deniers"? Theists? Whatever, hell with them. Here's the problem: So we find a carbon-life friendly exo. So what? Assuming there's no life intelligent enough to exchange radio signals with (probably a good bet) our next best plan is to explore it with robots. I'd down with that. But Kepler-22b is 600 light years from here. That's too far to make it a useful exploration target unless some crazy advances are made in relativity and so on. Seriously. How does that change anything? It doesn't.

      --
      Python: 'And then suddenly you have a language which says "we're all stuck with whatever the whiniest coder wants".'
    15. Re:Take that... by bertok · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I disagree in the instance of androgenic global warming. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, nor do we know the models are correct. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

      I disagree in the instance of evolution. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, and I find it hard to believe that I'm related to monkeys. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

      I disagree in the instance of vaccinations. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, and I find it hard to believe that some lab geek knows what's best for my kids. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

      Do you see a pattern emerging?

    16. Re:Take that... by morgauxo · · Score: 1

      Science is a methodology for finding truths, not a body of truths.

      One can accept the facts of how an electric circuit works to light a lightbulb for example without accepting the facts of how man-made CO2 in the atmosphere warms the Earth. This does not have anything to do with accepting or rejecting science.

      Rejecting results of experiments and observations conducted using the scientific method because they do not fit with one's preconceived notions or they are not conducive to making a profit is rejecting science.

    17. Re:Take that... by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      a planet 600 light years away that stands a good chance of having liquid water.

      When we land there

      ROFL. Yeah, when we land there. It's ONLY 600 light years after all.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    18. Re:Take that... by mjr167 · · Score: 1

      I suppose then, in order for people to disagree with your interpretation of your data then those people MUST be anti-science crackpots? Hasn't science ALWAYS been a contentious field where one set of people propose a theory, others disagree, more data is acquired, debates happen, etc? Isn't it a rejection of the scientific method to simply say "I'm right, you're wrong! Agree with me or you must be an ignorant-Scientology-creationist-idiot!"

      To reject an argument simply because it is different from your own and then insult the people who proposed it is unscientific. Scientific "truth's" have a bad habit of changing as more data becomes available. That is, after all, why we call them theories and not laws.

    19. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I disagree in the instance of androgenic global warming. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, nor do we know the models are correct. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

      I disagree in the instance of evolution. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, and I find it hard to believe that I'm related to monkeys. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

      I disagree in the instance of vaccinations. It's just that science doesn't have all the data on that yet, and I find it hard to believe that some lab geek knows what's best for my kids. As to the rest, well, pretty much yeah.

      Do you see a pattern emerging?

      And that's called a "Slippery Slope" fallacy.

    20. Re:Take that... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Also, the word "Darwinist" is asinine. It's a perfect illustration of the difference between people who take things on faith, and those who try to maintain a scientific approach to life in general. For the former, an idea is necessarily tied to the person who proposed it, and its validity hinges entirely on the character and reputation of that person. For the latter, the individual is irrelevant. Calling someone a "Darwinist" is as absurd as calling them "Newtonist", "Einsteinist", "Maxwellist", or "Saganist".

      I think it's merely recognition that Darwin is the most influential scientist ever. In the long run, he'll probably turn out to be more influential than the founders of the big religions of today such as Mohammad, St. Paul, Jesus Christ, and Buddha.

    21. Re:Take that... by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1

      I guess everyone enjoys having a bit of paranoid delusion. Religious people aren't out to put an end to science, despite the rhetoric of a few extremists. I've never come across anyone, religious or otherwise, who doesn't embrace science. Beyond minor details everyone I've ever known, including born-agains embraces science as the source of all our answers.

      But I understand it's hard to be self-righteous if you don't believe everyone is out to get you.

    22. Re:Take that... by steppedleader · · Score: 1

      I disagree in the instance of androgenic global warming.

      Oh, dear. Not only are we releasing lots of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, now we're pumping it full of testosterone, too?

    23. Re:Take that... by c6gunner · · Score: 2

      Not at all. They just disagree with certain conclusions or in the case of man-made global warming think the case is inadequate so far.

      There are a few such individuals, but they're extremely rare. 5 years ago, I would have fallen into that category. It didn't take long to figure out where I went wrong. 5 years after I corrected my error, I see all the same characters still telling the same tired old lies, still ignoring the data, and still refusing to look at the science as separate from the politics. You generally cannot have a rational discussion with an AGW denier because their objections are not based in reason - they are emotional beliefs firmly embedded in political ideology. Like I said, there are exceptions, but they're so rare they're not worth mentioning.

      Of course, there are plenty of people who DO believe in global warming, who also have a shit understanding of the science, and care more about the politics. The difference is that they're not rejecting science on that topic, though many of them certainly do when it comes to various types of new-age woo-woo.

      Although evolution as a historical science is a hell of a lot different than physics, chemistry, or straightforward biology in the methodology department. That's not a fault. That just has to do with dealing with the past and not being able to run experiments.

      If you think that we can't do experiments that show evolution in action, you must have stopped reading the literature shortly after Darwin published .....

      Even if we ignore the studies that show the development of new complex traits in laboratory species, and long-term studies demonstrating speciation in the wild, we make predictions all the time about the types of transitional forms which should be found in the fossil record. Every time one of those predictions comes true, it further validates the model. The theory itself also posits certain things that we should NOT find - the classic example being a rabbit fossil in pre-cambrian strata. Finding such fossils would, at the very least, throw the theory into serious jeopardy. Likewise, we make similar predictions about DNA, and there we can run experiments much more easily. These are all forms of experimentation since, at it's very core, experimentation is about gathering new data and seeing whether it supports or opposes current models. Whether you do that by playing with the genetic code, or by making predictions and then going out into the field and digging ... either way you're doing experiments.

    24. Re:Take that... by AnotherAnonymousUser · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity, was Hertz right or wrong about the last part you mentioned, about creating light by AC currents?

    25. Re:Take that... by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 4, Informative

      Kepler can only see planets with orbits that are edge-on, so they pass in front of the star and make a noticeable drop in it's brightness. Make the reasonable assumptions that the orbits are randomly distributed, and stars with planets in the habitable zone are also randomly distributed. Then we should expect that for every planet Kepler finds, there will be one 7 times as close it does NOT find, and another 340 more in between those distances it does not find.

      Additionally, Kepler is only looking at 1/350th of the sky, in the direction of the constellation Cygnus. So add another factor of 350 more planets if you were searching in all directions. That gives you another factor of 7 in expected nearest distance.

      Think of it this way: Kepler was not designed to find every nearby planet. It was designed to find the ones that happened to be in the right orbits so that it could see them, in a small part of the sky. It will give us a statistical sample of planets, from which we can estimate the total population. For each one it finds, there are 50-100,000 more out there, which is a LOT of planets.

    26. Re:Take that... by Baloroth · · Score: 1

      I don't know. Google doesn't seem much help. I think the frequency is too high (light is in the terahertz, while most radios only go up to giga-hertz at most). Logically, it should be possible (it is basically the same as radio antennas, but amazingly high frequency), but I cannot find any evidence anyone has done it.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    27. Re:Take that... by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Kepler can only see planets with orbits edge-on to us, and it's only looking in one specific direction. For each planet it finds, we can expect there are 50,000 more that are closer. On average, the closest will be 30-40 times closer than the one it finds, thus 15-20 light years in the case of Kepler-22b. Still a long way away, but easier to get to.

      And no, the next best plan is not to explore it with robots, it's to use the Sun itself as a gravitational lens in a mucking huge telescope. To use it for that, you need to get to the focus distance of the Sun, which is more than 550 AU out. As a practical matter, you likely need to be more like 1000 AU out, since at the minimum distance you are focusing light that just barely grazes the Sun's surface, and the light from the Sun itself is hard to block out in that case. Farther away you can use an occulting disk to block the Sun + some margin around it.

      Because of the huge diameter of the Sun as a lens, you can get absurd levels of detail at a nearby star, on the order of 0.4 meters per light year of distance.

    28. Re:Take that... by budgenator · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So do I, it would be a real bummer to find the Good Twin(tm) out there.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    29. Re:Take that... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I'd say he was wrong, the wavelength would be sub-atomic so it wouldn't be a current by any definition I've seen

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    30. Re:Take that... by sgt+scrub · · Score: 1

      Send a probe and hope that Not Sure figures out how to communicate with it.

      --
      Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
    31. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I'm afraid WE'RE the evil twin, then.

      Have you looked at South America from space?

    32. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Orbits are not randomly distributed though. They often rotate within (or close to) a particular plane.

    33. Re:Take that... by 0111+1110 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Some people are just skeptical that computer models = science. I have another name for a computer model: a computer hypothesis. It is nothing more than a hypothesis that needs to be tested experimentally. The models make a testable prediction and science requires actually waiting to see if the prediction comes true.

      Could the anthropogenic global warming hypothesis be true? Sure. Is it true? There is still insufficient data to demonstrate it, but maybe in another 50-100 years we will have enough. If the evidence were really as solid as a lot of you guys seem to believe I don't think there would be nearly as much skepticism about it. Controversy in science tends to be inversely proportional to the amount of available evidence. Once proven the topic will no longer spawn 1000+ posts on slashdot. People will just yawn. Actually the topic already makes me yawn because true or not there is nothing we as a species can do about it. Well, short of a world government police state with 1984-level surveillance powers all over the planet or some major scientific breakthrough that makes people not want to burn stuff anymore. It is science that caused the problem. Only science can fix it. The only remotely realistic solution I've heard is for the entire planet to go 100% nuclear, but who is going to enforce that? Again, you need a world government to do that. And you'd also have to make electricity a hell of a lot cheaper than it is now or people are still going to burn stuff for various purposes.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    34. Re:Take that... by 0111+1110 · · Score: 0

      I think the theory of global warming has more in common with the theory of Santa Claus than evolution or vaccination. It's the same kind of 'science' that gave us the Nuclear Winter theory. And like Nuclear Winter, the theory is based as much on politics as it is on science.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    35. Re:Take that... by 0111+1110 · · Score: 0

      Faith is the antithesis of science. The scientific method = rationality. Believing in old fairy tales because it makes you feel all warm and fuzzy or gives you a second father, or seems to lift the burden of trying to understand the vast wonder and mystery of the universe = irrationality. Science and religion have always been enemies. Religious authorities may no longer be putting prominent scientists to death for being 'deniers' at least in our part of the world but that's only because they no longer have that kind of power.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    36. Re:Take that... by ScentCone · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do you see a pattern emerging?

      A see a fallacious pattern, in the service of rhetoric, sure. But you know perfectly well you're ignoring the key part of this. It's not about "denying climate change." It's about raising an eyebrow when someone like Al Gore, who's positioned himself and his friends to make millions of dollars off of their hysterical characterizations of the situation, insist that human activity is the (and the only) driver of climate change. And that putting US tax dollars into specific funds, projects, and foreign investment groups - in which he is invariably invested - will solve the problem.

      I will gladly deny his shrill, breathless assertions and his oily pitches for pumping money through his world-saving carbon credit cash cow operations as an accurate representation and treatment of the situation. And there are millions of people who echo his lines, more or less word for word, or who have their own vested interests in similar distortions.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    37. Re:Take that... by geoffrobinson · · Score: 1

      I didn't stop reading after Darwin was published. Space and lack of desire to spawn tangents prevent me from interacting with some of your comments.

      Suffice it to say, these folks aren't rejecting science per se.

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    38. Re:Take that... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      We do it in synchotrons all the time - accelerate electrons around the ring, generating pretty much the full spectrum of EM up to X-Rays / Gamma Rays.

      The space around the deflecting magnets can be considered as a "wire" since electrons are moving through it, and the bending process supplies the oscillation - i.e. AC current.

      The "current" in a synchotron is essentially AC with a very strong DC bias (since you're pushing a ton of electrons in one-way through that wire).

    39. Re:Take that... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      But the orientation of the orbital plane around a star most probably IS randomly distributed. That's the point.

    40. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I disagree in the instance of vaccinations."

      Sorry, your superstitious blind faith is showing. The mighty Authority of Science has been invoked, those who will not submit have been mocked and laughed at, and that is all the proof you need.

      http://tinyurl.com/ybcfefn

      Long story short: The most frequently cited studies finding that flu vaccines reduce mortality all go away when the mortality statistics for the vaccinated and control groups are compared outside of flu season. At best flu vaccines do no measurable harm. Even if your touching, childlike faith were to prove correct, flu vaccines cover at best 20% of strains in the wild, and in two recent years, covered NO strains still alive outside of laboratories and factories.

      I have psychic powers. I predict that you will keep right on believing that the cluster of propaganda driven irrational beliefs you call "Science" is "the real thing." Even if it has something to do with a certain famous evidence based, peer reviewed method of inquiry.

    41. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The issue is that those who are "skeptical" of "man-made global warming" (with a few rare exceptions) ... by necessity have to reject science as a methodology in order to maintain their beliefs.

      Um?

      Man-Made Global Warming (MMGW?) suggests that initially the upper troposphere will heat up, and then air temperatures will continue to rise with increased CO2 concentration.

      No concentrated warming has EVER been found in the upper troposphere, and the global air temperature rise stopped abruptly in 2002. Both these statements are accepted by scientists on both sides.

      You can still argue that MMGW is happening in some sense, for instance the proposers are now saying that the heat is being absorbed into the oceans, but I would say that citing the data above as a reason for being skeptical is a perfectly valid scientific position to take.

    42. Re:Take that... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      The wavelength of light is way bigger than sub atomic. 700-400nm is pretty big compared to a atom.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    43. Re:Take that... by vikingpower · · Score: 1

      But the orientation of the orbital plane around a star most probably IS randomly distributed.

      Take care. Making too many assumptions has ruined more than one theory. What entitles us to assume this ??

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    44. Re:Take that... by vikingpower · · Score: 1

      Science is a methodology for finding truths, not a body of truths.

      No, it is not. There is no such thing as a "methodology for finding truths". There is only such a thing as "a broadly shared view upon what constitutes a way to plausibly describe causal relationships". Science is a way to describe the world we live in, including ourselves, in such a way as to yield reliable results. "Reliability" is defined outside of science; as a matter of fact, we are right here and right now engaged in discussing the definition of "reliability". QFD.

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    45. Re:Take that... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Right, so to summarise, AGW hasn't yet been proved and even if ti were true there isn't anything we could do about it anyway, because of your ultra right wing political prejudices?

      Do you really think it's OK to do nothing for another 100 years, simply because a few nutjobs can't bear the idea of their world having to change?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    46. Re:Take that... by d3ac0n · · Score: 1

      It's the "Hanz and Franz" climate theory. They not only make your planet warmer, they are here to PUMP! *doublehandclap* YOUR PLANET UP! *flex*

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
    47. Re:Take that... by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Well, there was a post a little while back about somebody actually making an antenna resonant at visible light wavelengths, as a possible future solar collector. If you attached an oscillator to it the antenna would emit light - in theory.

      The problem is that visible light has a frequency in the hundreds of terahertz, and wavelengths in the hundreds of nanometers.

      Antenna design already starts getting tricky in the microwave regions - where you often are using things like waveguides and such since ordinary wiring doesn't work so well. Creating an oscillator or a rectifier that works in the range of visible light will be a serious challenge. Once you do, then direct conversion of electrical/light energy would become possible.

      Read up on terahertz technology sometime. In a nutshell optical technology has been moving further and further into the infrared, and radio technology has been moving steadily up the frequency ladder, and the Terahertz region is where they're starting to collide.

    48. Re:Take that... by JoeRobe · · Score: 1

      I agree that too many assumptions can ruin a theory, but what's more important is that the assumptions you use aren't arbitrary. That the orbital planes are randomly distributed isn't an arbitrary assumption. Planetary orbital planes typically follow their parent stars' spin axis, and that spin axis is arbitrarily oriented (Here's a bad astronomy link where they discuss it. That's the best reference I could find right now). Thus, the orbital planes of the planets are very very very likely randomly oriented.

      Just for kicks, if that's true then we can calculate the transit probability. If we observe a star that is approximately the size of our sun, and the orbital radius of one of its planets is the same as Earth's, the chances of the planet's orbit crossing in front of the star as viewed from a point very far away is ~0.005. That's pretty rare, although if one assumes that there are ~5 planets in the system (which is an arbitrary assumption), we now have a ~2.5% chance of seeing one of the planets transit the star if we look for long enough. And there are a lot of stars out there.

      --
      The best way to predict the future is to invent it.
    49. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone's been playing too much Spaceward Ho!

    50. Re:Take that... by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      It isn't really a slippery slope fallacy in the classic sense. Slippery slope fallacy is about cause and effect- essentially domino effect gone mad.

      GP just showed that the GGP's weak defense of his position was vague enough that you could use it to defend any crackpot position. That shows the GGP either has an argument so vague as to be logically invalid, or that the GGP has just stumbled across the world's first universally applicable, perfect argument. I'm going to guess that former.

    51. Re:Take that... by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      Seeing as we're playing the fallacy game today, I probably don't need to point out that your post is almost pure ad hominem. By choosing Al Gore as a target, that's most likely Strawman. Possibly a "guilt by association" fallacy, too, depending on how much we're supposed to hate Al Gore.

      That is, your only argument against the data, science and predictive mathematical models of climate change is "Al Gore argues the case for it, and he stands to make money if he's correct". It couldn't get more fallacious than "I will gladly deny his shrill, breathless assertions and his oily pitches for pumping money through his world-saving carbon credit cash cow operations as an accurate representation and treatment of the situation."- you don't like the argument because he's shrill and oily?

      Three things to remember:
      1) Al Gore is not a climate scientist. He is not the one behind the theory, nor the one who produced the models. Attacking him is strawman, when you should be tackling the models themselves.
      2) The fact that Al Gore argues for it while also standing to make money if he's right is not in itself an argument against it. A theory and its proponents are not logically linked.
      3) Its fairly reasonable to assume that Al Gore might have invested his money in climate change related companies specifically because he believed the science and wanted to support it, or because he believed the science and wanted to invest in what he believed would be the next big thing. That is, the reverse of supporting a theory to bolster existing investments.

    52. Re:Take that... by mr_gorkajuice · · Score: 1

      those who "aren't hard-core Darwinists" (a euphemism for "intelligent design", I take it?) by necessity have to reject science as a methodology in order to maintain their beliefs

      Just plain wrong.
      Intelligent design does not rule out evolution. It just suggests something more than mere chance affecting mutations between generations.
      There's no established science that needs to be rejected to maintain this as a belief.

    53. Re:Take that... by clonan · · Score: 1

      Direct observation of quasars and other celestial objects.

      We can deffinetivly identify the direction of rotation of pulsars as well as a variety of other objects with accretion discs. From these observations we have determined that from our perspective, the orbital plan is esssentially random.

      Since we know that angular momentum is conserved, it is safe to assume that the original stars that formed these objects had a random distribution of orbital plans relative to us.

      Since we know stars have a random distribution of orbital plans, it is safe to assume that the planets round thoes stars do as well...

      All based on direct observation.

    54. Re:Take that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A goatee sir? Perhaps it is a Goatse!

    55. Re:Take that... by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Intelligent design does not rule out evolution. It just suggests something more than mere chance affecting mutations between generations.
      There's no established science that needs to be rejected to maintain this as a belief.

      Bullshit. ID claims, specifically, that natural processes are not sufficient to explain certain features found in various organisms. Since evolution claims the polar opposite, ID is, ipso facto, a rejection of evolution. This would not in and of itself mean that they're rejecting science; however, since the entire argument basically hinges on ignoring inconvenient findings of evolutionary science while leaning on a god-of-the-gaps fallacy, it's safe to say that ID is a rejection of the scientific method in addition to being a rejection of evolutionary theory.

      If ID simply claimed "well, yeah, this stuff COULD happen naturally, but we think god helped out anyway", that would be a different story. But that would require honesty, would make clear the fact that their position is entirely religious, and would make obvious the fact that they don't actually have any evidence to either disprove evolution or support an "intelligent creator". So they're ... "unlikely" ... to take that approach.

  2. Silly artist's conceptions. by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 5, Funny

    Scientists don't yet know if Kepler-22b has a predominantly rocky, gaseous or liquid composition, but its discovery is a step closer to finding Earth-like planets.

    Sure they do! Just look at the picture right next to the article! Man, who gets paid to Photoshop these spheres in front of bits of nebulae all day? That must be an interesting job.

    --
    Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    1. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't look that great to me. They should have outsourced that to Iceland.

    2. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by NEDHead · · Score: 4, Funny

      Aren't they all reproductions from the covers of Analog?

    3. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      I think they just hired on whoever made the old sci-fi magazine covers. Some poor sod with an addiction to airbrushing spheres over and over and over again, whom they finally replaced in the late nineties with his son, a man obsessed with Photoshopping spheres over and over and over again. Every now and then, a rocket, ring system, or black hole. Yee-haw.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    4. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by Conspiracy_Of_Doves · · Score: 1

      I'm sure they're paid to photoshop all sorts of things, not just spheres in front of bits of nebulae.

      Of course, from the quality of the photoshop, it looks like an intern did it.

    5. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by fortapocalypse · · Score: 5, Funny

      Artist: "So what should this thing look like?"
      NASA engineer: "It's 600 light-years away. How the @#$% should I know!"
      Artist: "Picking a planet from an old Star Trek episode at random then."
      NASA engineer: "Ok. But no funny stuff. Save the stars, rainbows, and unicorns for your acid trips."
      Artist: "Nebulous clouds in the background- check."

    6. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They appear to have found Caladan.

    7. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      I have trouble seeing it through my monocle.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    8. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by jackbird · · Score: 1

      Back when Voyager was flying by Jupiter and Saturn, it was Jim Blinn. As in the Blinn shader.

    9. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by masternerdguy · · Score: 1

      Dont mention CCP, they're a bunch of sellouts who implemented microtransactions. They lost my money.

      --
      To offset political mods, replace Flamebait with Insightful.
    10. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by poly_pusher · · Score: 1

      Ironically if it was an intern even they would probably refer to it as retouching or painting...

    11. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nasa actually wrote an online program to generate plausible planet views, can't remember where to find it, I'm sure the picture comes from there. They replaced their artists with a very small script.

    12. Re:Silly artist's conceptions. by RancidPeanutOil · · Score: 1

      "Just let me finish the final touches of this sweet devil biker chick with no top for my gnarly van first...

  3. 600 light years... by ackthpt · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Mr. Sulu, set a course for Kepler 22b, warp 3, I'll be in my quarters looking over the latest Toupees Monthly.

    Someone better start working on this faster than light drive. Of course, should we get there we'll probably find it a very tough planet to stand erect on.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It says that this planet's radius is approximately 2.4 the radius of the Earth, but it doesn't say anything about its mass or density. How much you'd weigh depends on the mass of the planet in addition to its size.

    2. Re:600 light years... by Megahard · · Score: 2

      Agreed. If it's the same density then 2.4x radius would be 14x the mass. I'm trying to picture a planet with intelligent pancake beings.

      --
      I eat only the real part of complex carbohydrates.
    3. Re:600 light years... by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      > If it's the same density then 2.4x radius would be 14x the mass.

      And have about 2.4x the surface gravity. Humans could survive that.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    4. Re:600 light years... by tgd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Agreed. If it's the same density then 2.4x radius would be 14x the mass. I'm trying to picture a planet with intelligent pancake beings.

      Or they'd have a stronger physiology. Or live in the water. Or perhaps a thousand other options we haven't thought of.

    5. Re:600 light years... by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I have a feeling that they couldn't for very long. It's one thing to endure high G stress for a few minutes to get accelerate to high velocities, but for long periods of time? I can well imagine that being subject to 2.4g for days or weeks would probably lead to all sorts of nasty physiological effects. I'll wager your heart would be heavily stressed, and there would be a tendency for blood to pool.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:600 light years... by RMingin · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yeah, but that's not a very happy version of "survive". At constant 2.4G, you'll have major circulatory, digestive, and bone strength issues. On the other hand, after a few hundred generations, we'd have dwarves that would look right at home in a Tolkien story. Probably be incredibly strong and durable, too. Homo Sapiens Khazad.

      --
      The preceding comment is my own, and in no way construes an opinon of the Emperor of Mankind.
    7. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comes out to 5.76x Earth gravity. *Smush*

    8. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But still constrained by the Periodic Table of Elements and the properties of matter. Unless you think it's different out there?

    9. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, should we get there we'll probably find it a very tough planet to stand erect on.

      That really depends on if they'll let Scarlett Johanson go with me or not.

    10. Re:600 light years... by ackthpt · · Score: 2

      Agreed. If it's the same density then 2.4x radius would be 14x the mass. I'm trying to picture a planet with intelligent pancake beings.

      Or they'd have a stronger physiology. Or live in the water. Or perhaps a thousand other options we haven't thought of.

      Like the difference in atmospheric pressure - assuming, for the fun of it, a similar composition to Earth's atmosphere, N, O, Ar, CO2 and so on. Takes smaller amount of breathing as a lungful of air presents more O2 than Earth's at sea level. Of course, hoofing around, feeling more weight on your legs could tend to favor smaller humans, with subsequently less mass. Imagine your heart trying to get that blood to your brain when you are 6'2".

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    11. Re:600 light years... by ackthpt · · Score: 1

      It says that this planet's radius is approximately 2.4 the radius of the Earth, but it doesn't say anything about its mass or density. How much you'd weigh depends on the mass of the planet in addition to its size.

      Earth size and not rocky means it's going to be largely composed of frozen gas. Not the ideal place to set up shopt after a 600 ly journey, but also not likely to be in the Goldilocks zone, which Kepler 22b is supposed to be in. Question is, does it have water vapor in the atmosphere? When the plant passes in front of a star they can usually get a pretty good spectrum to tell them what's there. Have to wait and see.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    12. Re:600 light years... by Kozar_The_Malignant · · Score: 3, Informative

      Agreed. If it's the same density then 2.4x radius would be 14x the mass. I'm trying to picture a planet with intelligent pancake beings.

      Hal Clement did a nice job in Mission of Gravity . The planet Mesklin has 3 g at the equator and 700 g at the poles. Nice read. Clement knows his physics, so it is quite interesting on that level as well.

      --
      Some mornings it's hardly worth chewing through the restraints to get out of bed.
    13. Re:600 light years... by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      I weigh about 150 pounds, I see people who weigh more than twice as much as me every day, and they seem to be able to walk ok (although the fatsos my age are using canes and walkers because their knees are shot). I would imagine that you would simply get used to it after a while, and would bet that you would wind up looking like a weightlifter if you lived there very long.

    14. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comes out to 5.76x Earth gravity. *Smush*

      At the same density of the Earth, it comes out to 2.4x Earth gravity

    15. Re:600 light years... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Those are not really equatable situations. We're talking about long-term exposure to a level of gravity nearly two and a half times what every system in our body has evolved to.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    16. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. If it's the same density then 2.4x radius would be 14x the mass. I'm trying to picture a planet with intelligent pancake beings.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mission_of_Gravity

    17. Re:600 light years... by Thud457 · · Score: 1

      But still constrained by the Periodic Table of Elements and the properties of matter. Unless you think it's different out there?

      Well, obviously, for such a nearby region.


      But new data suggests Stanislaw Lem might have been on to something. ("A Perfect Vacuum", "The New Cosmogony")

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    18. Re:600 light years... by c0lo · · Score: 1

      It says that this planet's radius is approximately 2.4 the radius of the Earth, but it doesn't say anything about its mass or density. How much you'd weigh depends on the mass of the planet in addition to its size.

      Earth size and not rocky means it's going to be largely composed of frozen gas.

      Frozen gas and liquid water? The very first phrase of TFA:

      NASA's Kepler mission has confirmed its first planet in the "habitable zone," the region where liquid water could exist on a planet’s surface

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    19. Re:600 light years... by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Flatland?

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    20. Re:600 light years... by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Like the difference in atmospheric pressure

      Pressure should not be a problem, we have birds flying at >8km where the air pressure is 1/3rd of that on the surface all the way down to 11km of water. Even humans can sustain vast differences in pressure both in air and when diving. Actually, 2.4x surface gravity doesn't sound that bad either. A person of 80kg would be like 192kg here on Earth, a really obese person yes but bearable.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    21. Re:600 light years... by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      The obvious choice is to blow it up into two independent planets, then.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    22. Re:600 light years... by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Not really a good comparison and movement of weight is not really the main issue. The biggest one would probably be pumping of blood in the human body and the effect on pressure. While standing under 2.4 Gs, they could get grey out or tunnel vision. Suits could probably help with that though, but would probably still put a large strain on the heart. If they flipped upside down, they would be in the range to get redouts as capliaries burst in their eyes and suits wouldn't help with that as you can't squeeze the blood out of the head. Long term inhabitants would probably have to live laying down to equal out the pressure across the body.

    23. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wahahaha! Please someone with mod points, mod this guy up +5 Funny.

    24. Re:600 light years... by tragedy · · Score: 2

      If the planet is the same density as our planet, then the surface gravity should work out to 2.4 times the surface gravity of Earth, except that it actually probably wouldn't. Consider that the effects of gravity fall off with distance following the inverse square law. So, if you're standing on the surface of this alien planet, a gigaton of matter at its core is going to be 2.4 times as far away than a gigaton of matter at Earth's core is from someone at the surface of Earth. So, that gigaton of matter would only pull with 17.36% of the force that it would on Earth.

      None of this would be important if planets had uniform densities, but they don't. Earth's core has nearly twice the density of its upper layers. If you dig into the planet Earth all the way to the core, the gravity you experience actually increases for the first 2000 kilometers or so, even with all that mantle above you cancelling some of the gravity below. After that point, you would get lighter until you hit the dead center, where gravity would be completely cancelled out. If you stripped Earth down to its dense core, then surface gravity would actually go up (density of the core would actually decrease without all that matter pressing down on it, of course, but it wouldn't be a huge effect).

      To make a long story short, a planet could have a dense core and less dense material at the surface so as to have 2.4 times the radius of Earth, the same average density, but still not have 2.4 times the surface gravity. I'm pretty sure it's even possible for it to have less surface gravity than earth, although that would be unlikely. If the planet had 2.4 times the radius of Earth and the exact same density _and_ the exact same density distribution as Earth, then it would definitely have less than 2.4 times the surface gravity of Earth. I do not have the time or the data to work out what it actually would be, but we'd probably be looking at more like 1.5 times Earth rather than 2.4.

    25. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Earth size and not rocky means it's going to be largely composed of frozen gas.

      So it's composed of solid? I guess that's cool.

    26. Re:600 light years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      18th word in your first phrase. "could".

      Mars is also in our habitable zone, yet liquid water quickly (relatively) sublimates.
      Apparently atmospheric density and geomagnetic field are important.

    27. Re:600 light years... by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      To make a long story short, a planet could have a dense core and less dense material at the surface so as to have 2.4 times the radius of Earth, the same average density, but still not have 2.4 times the surface gravity.

      Not true. The gravitational field of a spherically-symmetrical body is identical to that of a point mass everywhere outside the surface of the body.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    28. Re:600 light years... by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      I'm trying to picture a planet with intelligent pancake beings.

      Read "Dragon's Egg", by Robert L. Forward. The inhabitants are on a neutron star, 67 billion times that of Earth. Wiki. The article says it has minimal characterization; I read it in my teens, and distinctly remember feeling the horror of that creature who had thought it had identified where the humans' scanning beam would be going next, which gave them a good feeling, but then it (the beam) diverted and the other creatures hoisted this one up, and deposited it on some sharp shards of glass or something, which punctured and killed the "prophet". Yeah, things like this I now know have happened throughout human history, but I didn't know that when I read it. (I.e., I definitely "felt" for that character, but perhaps because I was so young, and perhaps the article is correct in that the book lacks characterization. Have added to my list to re-read.)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    29. Re:600 light years... by tragedy · · Score: 2

      Hmm. I think I may have been making some erroneous assumptions about this. I did some quick thought experiments about adding layers of extremely light material and failed to realize that it would significantly change the average density of the planet. There are, of course, certain assumptions you have to make about the distribution of the spherically-symmetrical body for what you say to work, but those assumptions are, of course, completely safe ones (in fact, for them not to hold would be miraculous) in an object the size of a planet and I didn't think about that.

      Mea culpa.

      P.S. Of course, we're all just assuming the same average density as Earth. It's entirely possible that this planet has a lower average density than Earth. Anyway, I'm off to beat myself with a wet noodle.

    30. Re:600 light years... by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Some planets have moons.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    31. Re:600 light years... by maugle · · Score: 1

      18th word in your first phrase. "could".

      Mars is also in our habitable zone, yet liquid water quickly (relatively) sublimates. Apparently atmospheric density and geomagnetic field are important.

      The planet is roughly 2x Earth's size, and its sun is dimmer than ours, so the odds of it being able to hold on to a sizable atmosphere are good.

    32. Re:600 light years... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      It's not exactly a question of "would we want to live there" - it's a question of "could something?"

      None of the circulation problems for example would really be an issue if an organism had evolved to cope with them - no reason a system couldn't exist which prevented over-pressure to the head if it fell over.

    33. Re:600 light years... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      It's a lot more complicated than just how much you weigh - your blood, stomach contents, organs, etc. will all weigh 2.4x their terrestrial equivalents, causing all kinds of weird stuff to happen to bodies. The 192kg person you mention doesn't have heavier blood :)

    34. Re:600 light years... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      I make it 57 times the mass (assuming the same bulk density). HOWEVER, the density profile is likely to be different (to Earth's), as the core will be under higher pressure, and therefore have higher density. So to get to 2.4 times the radius, I'm thinking that the mass would be considerable greater than 57 earth masses.

      Surface gravity would be affected in the same way, but less.

      My bet would be that this is going to be a very "heavy" planet.

      On the other hand, satellites and asteroids in the system ...

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    35. Re:600 light years... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Earth's core has nearly twice the density of its upper layers.

      Earth as an average has a density (5.5SG) twice that of it's common surface materials (quartz, 2.6SG). The core has a density of over three times, possibly over four times, that of common surface materials.

      To make a long story short, a planet could have a dense core and less dense material at the surface

      Not by a lot. You'd have more water available because of the greater volume of "mantle" to de-gas ; it might be a "water-world" because of that. So you might have more hydrated surface rocks, but that would only lower the density of typical surface rocks by a few points.

      The availability of rock to weather to remove CO2 from the atmosphere to control surface temperature to avoid boiling the oceans and turning the planet into a "super-Venus" ... a pretty fine balance.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    36. Re:600 light years... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      50-odd actually.

      Are you sure you have enough unobtanium for that?

      Will you arrange them into a Kemplerer rosette?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    37. Re:600 light years... by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Sincere endorsement: You have not experienced Shakespeare until you heard it from the voice of an elcor.

    38. Re:600 light years... by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Someone my height that weigs 2.5 times as much as me would experience the same stresses on the body as I would on the new planet. Perhaps more stress since the fat interferes with some body functions. I've heard of people weighing 700 pounds or more.

    39. Re:600 light years... by internic · · Score: 1

      Remember, though, that the mass itself is not really the important part. The question is what is the surface gravity. Using your assumption of identical density (maybe not likely, but I don't know offhand what density is likely), the mass of this new planet in terms of the density rho will be M = rho*4/3*pi*R^3. The gravitational acceleration at the surface will be
      a = (G M) / R^2
      Combining that with the expression for the mass gives
      a = G*rho*4/3*pi*R^3 / R^2 = (G*rho*4/3*pi) R.

      All the stuff inside the parenthesis is assumed to be the same for both planets, so if we want to write it in terms of the surface gravity of Earth, g, and radius of Earth, r, then we'd have
      a = g*(R/r). Thus, the surface gravity (under the assumption of identical density) is only 2.4 times greater.

      Of course, if you're going to visit this place and plan to leave again (maybe not so useful without warp drive, given) then you might also be concerned with the energetic depth of the gravity well. For an object of mass m to escape to interstellar space from the surface will require an amount of energy
      E = G*M*m/R
      and in terms of the earth value E_earth this would be
      E = (E_earth)*(R/r)^2
      meaning it will take about 6 times as much energy as getting off Earth.

      I was actually just thinking about this issue the other day while playing Mass Effect, because I was wondering if they'd done their numbers right on the planet properties (they had).

      --
      "You call it a new way of thinking; I call it regression to ignorance!" -- Operation Ivy
    40. Re:600 light years... by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      So the gravity is the same on the hard dense surface of earth as it is up in the not so dense atmosphere surface? I like your thought experiment. If you have layers and layers of less dense material, then you are in fact moving away from the point of gravity.

      "spherically-symmetrical"

      I'd re-examine that term. I think that it requires uniform density. So your thought experiment should still work. Our atmosphere is just an extreme difference between the 2 densities. I remember my science teacher telling me that people who jump higher are lighter, because at the top of the jump, gravity affects them less.

      On a side point, I wonder how, as it's much larger, the angular momentum and centri***al force is affected, would it also counter some of the grabbity?

    41. Re:600 light years... by alexo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but that's not a very happy version of "survive". At constant 2.4G, you'll have major circulatory, digestive, and bone strength issues. On the other hand, after a few hundred generations, we'd have dwarves that would look right at home in a Tolkien story. Probably be incredibly strong and durable, too. Homo Sapiens Khazad.

      No, we won't.

      Evolution only works if the "less fit" individuals do not reproduce (or reproduce at a lower rate than the "fitter" ones). I suspect we'd have enough technological and medical advances to alleviate the evolutionary pressure. Plus, s few hundreds of generations sounds like too short of a period.

    42. Re:600 light years... by tragedy · · Score: 1

      The density does vary, but the problem is that it varies in a very predictable way. What I was thinking of could work if you had a spherical planet that had one iron hemisphere and one calcium carbonate hemisphere, but that simply can't happen in an object the size of a planet any more than an object the size of a planet could come in cube shape. I was definitely off in fantasy land on that one. I'm going to attempt to claim it was because I was tired and my knees are killing me. Yeah, yeah, that's the ticket.

      As for the adding layers of lighter material, it worked in my head when I ignored the fact that doing that would change the average density. It is worth noting that, due to local variations in density and to the rotation of the Earth, gravity can vary by something like 0.5% (or more since that only looks at cities and not, for example, floating over the deepest part of the ocean) from location to location. There was a good xkcd comic about it.

    43. Re:600 light years... by toddestan · · Score: 1

      It's not just the extra mass, there is also the extra work that your heart would have to do to pump your blood around your body. With the higher gravity blood is going to tend to pool at your feet and you may tend to get light-headed when standing. Supposedly the human body can handle about 5 g's or so before you lose conscious due to not enough oxygen getting to the brain, but we only really know that from short term exposure. Who knows what would happen if you were exposed to that kind of g-force for an extended period of time. I would guess though that someone who was born and grew up with it would fair much better.

  4. More info about the star? by Liquidrage · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've looked a bit this morning and can't find anymore info about the star itself. What its apparent magnitude it? What constellation its in? Etc. All I can figure out is its referred to as Kepler 22 which only makes sense in relation to the program. But I'd love to be able to try and see the star through a telescope.

    1. Re:More info about the star? by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      I would look it up and try to tell you... but everything's hosed from all the traffic. That information will probably come out later. Notably, sites like The Habitable Exoplanets Catalog aren't updated to include it yet.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    2. Re:More info about the star? by vlm · · Score: 4, Informative

      I've looked a bit this morning and can't find anymore info about the star itself. What its apparent magnitude it? What constellation its in? Etc.
      All I can figure out is its referred to as Kepler 22 which only makes sense in relation to the program. But I'd love to be able to try and see the star through a telescope.

      Go to the exoplanet encyclopedia website instead of a place that headlines "Psychics and Missing Babies -- Dissecting the Blame Game" and "Top Tips from 2011 to Help Earth, Economy: Photos"

      http://exoplanet.eu/star.php?st=Kepler-22

      Son of a B, e.eu has got nothing. Simbad's got nothing. There is nothing at all other than it exists and there are press releases all over along with fluffy talk about the release. But even the "official record" has nothing. Give it time and it'll get populated. Heck by the time you read this, e.eu might have data.

      This is what Kepler-16 looks like on simbad, someday we'll have this level of data for -22

      http://simbad.u-strasbg.fr/simbad/sim-id?Ident=Kepler-16

      I donno what a simbad is, a friend of mine went around calling it "sinbad" like the sailor for a while. Which is probably a cooler name, at least in the US.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    3. Re:More info about the star? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article says it's a G-Type star just like our sun except a bit dimmer and cooler.

    4. Re:More info about the star? by dissy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I donno what a simbad is, a friend of mine went around calling it "sinbad" like the sailor for a while. Which is probably a cooler name, at least in the US.

      According to the documentation for the app that the web interface talks with:

      SIMBAD is the acronym for:
      Set of
      I dentifications,
      M easurements and
      B ibliography for
      A stronomical
      D ata

    5. Re:More info about the star? by Jesse_vd · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'm no expert on this but I've got an awesome app on my iPhone called Exoplanet. It's always got new planets like this one before I even read about them.

      The host star is KIC10593626

      It's mass is 0.97 solar masses
      It's radius is 0.98 solar radii
      It's 587.1ly away
      Stellar Metallicity is 0.000[Fe/H]
      Spectral type is G5
      Magnitude (V) 0.000
      Right ascension is 19h 17m 70s
      Declination is +47* 52' 90"

      Hope that helps you, And please tell me if you think this would be visible through a telescope. There's a dark sky preserve near here with a 20" telescope that I've been meaning to visit

    6. Re:More info about the star? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All the info I have right now: .97 solar masses .98 Solar radii
      G5
      RA 19h 17m 70s
      DE +47 52' 90"
      In Cygnus

    7. Re:More info about the star? by Liquidrage · · Score: 4, Informative

      Thanks. If it is KIC10593626 then you should see it np at that site assuming it's visible from where you are since it's apparent magnitude is almost 12. http://palebluedot.whitedwarf.org/stars/10593626 I have a MK-66 which is a 6" Mak-Cass and can see up to about magnitude 12 in my yard on a good night, and about 15 at a dark spot. A 20" on a dark site should go well beyond that in the high teens.

    8. Re:More info about the star? by bazorg · · Score: 1

      No worries. BBC says "Astronomers confirm 'Earth twin'"

      http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16040655

      Let's get going.

    9. Re:More info about the star? by Taty'sEyes · · Score: 1
      --
      We show geeks how to get their dream girl at EyesOfOdessa.com
    10. Re:More info about the star? by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      What a shame. At 48 degrees declination Arecibo cannot be pointed in its direction. Arecibo can only reach up to 38 degrees. We could have sent a "Hello World" message with an EIRP of 24 Terawatts and then waited 1200 years for a reply. Alas, Arecibo cannot be pointed at Gliese 581 either since it can only reach down to a -1 degrees dec. I call that cosmic censorship. We really need to build more Arecibos at different lattitudes. We are such a cheap and lazy species.

      --
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    11. Re:More info about the star? by Ruie · · Score: 1

      I'm no expert on this but I've got an awesome app on my iPhone called Exoplanet. It's always got new planets like this one before I even read about them.

      The host star is KIC10593626

      It's mass is 0.97 solar masses It's radius is 0.98 solar radii It's 587.1ly away Stellar Metallicity is 0.000[Fe/H] Spectral type is G5 Magnitude (V) 0.000 Right ascension is 19h 17m 70s Declination is +47* 52' 90"

      Hope that helps you, And please tell me if you think this would be visible through a telescope. There's a dark sky preserve near here with a 20" telescope that I've been meaning to visit

      I wonder whether 0 metallicity is the measured value or they just did not have anything to put into the field. If it is metal poor then the star is very old, and it is likely the planet is significantly less dense than Earth.

    12. Re:More info about the star? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      The Kepler field of view is on the border of Cygnus and Lyra and Draco. The telescope is permanently pointed at this field. The Wikipedia page tells you this : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kepler_Mission

      --
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    13. Re:More info about the star? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      A star of G5 colour and 0.97 solar masses is not wildly older (or younger) than the Sun.

      A metallicity of 0 is incredible, as is a V-magnitude of 0 ; therefore I deduce that 0.000 is a "rogue value" that indicates "no data" or "no credible data".

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    14. Re:More info about the star? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      One of the design criteria for Kepler's field of view was to keep it clear of the solar system's plane of debris to avoid irrelevant false positive readings from occultations by asteroids, KBOs etc.

      Arecibo was built too close to the equator to look at objects unlikely to be occulted by solar system objects. The US should have annexed an island off the coast of Greenland instead of Puerto Rico.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  5. Does it support (our kind of) animal life? by wisebabo · · Score: 1

    So, when will we be able to get a spectrographic reading on its atmosphere to see if there is free oxygen there? If an amateur using a 10" scope can see the dust around another star, is there any way the very best techniques using twin 10 meter scopes with' anti-aberration lasers can block out enough of the stars light to see just the planet's atmosphere?"

    1. Re:Does it support (our kind of) animal life? by tgd · · Score: 1

      So, when will we be able to get a spectrographic reading on its atmosphere to see if there is free oxygen there? If an amateur using a 10" scope can see the dust around another star, is there any way the very best techniques using twin 10 meter scopes with' anti-aberration lasers can block out enough of the stars light to see just the planet's atmosphere?"

      No. Not even close. Yet.

  6. habitable maybe by Spy+Handler · · Score: 4, Funny

    but you wouldn't wanna spend your vacation there... big planet, heavy gravity... girls there are probably built like East European wrestlers with thunder thighs that could swat you like a fly.

    1. Re:habitable maybe by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Funny

      Did you have to Rule 34 the thread already?

      --
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    2. Re:habitable maybe by kallisti5 · · Score: 1

      we all knew it would happen.

    3. Re:habitable maybe by FTWinston · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If it had a density equal to that of Earth's, it'd have a surface gravity only 1/3 higher than Earth's, by my calculations. We could probably tolerate that without needing thunder thighs. Of course if its atmosphere is comparible to Earth's, then the greenhouse effect would presumably warm the surface to ~20C higher than you'd expect from its orbit alone, as happens with Earth. And an average surface temperature of over 40C sounds a bit sweaty ... though I imagine the poles could be a bit more tolerable.

    4. Re:habitable maybe by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Oh, so they've located Amazonia?

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    5. Re:habitable maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      though I imagine the poles could be a bit more tolerable.

      For their sakes, I hope the Poles on Kepler-22b aren't surrounded by Germans and Russians.

      Since they named the planet after Kepler, I'm not holding out much hope.

    6. Re:habitable maybe by shadowrat · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think a high gravity environment is unlikely to produce massive beings. That extra mass would be self defeating. The largest creatures on our planet require water to support them. They'd likely be very small. High gravity worlds are more likely to produce hobbits. Plus the gravity pulls all the hair down, causing it to grow from their feet.

    7. Re:habitable maybe by iceaxe · · Score: 1

      Had to happen, it's a Rule!

      --
      WALSTIB!
    8. Re:habitable maybe by c0lo · · Score: 2

      If it had a density equal to that of Earth's, it'd have a surface gravity only 1/3 higher than Earth's, by my calculations

      Something is wrong with you calculation.
      Gravity at the surface - proportional with M/R^2. Mass - proportional with R^3 => Keep density constant and gravity at the surface is proportional with R.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    9. Re:habitable maybe by FTWinston · · Score: 1

      Gravity at the surface - proportional with M/R^2. Mass - proportional with R^3 => Keep density constant and gravity at the surface is proportional with R.

      All true, but my calculation was based on its mass being 2.4 times that of the Earth, not its radius. Surface gravity will be proportional to the cube root of its mass.

    10. Re:habitable maybe by tragedy · · Score: 1

      The GP is thinking of something you're not thinking about, which is density distribution. If the planet has a density equal to that of Earth, then it probably has a density distribution like that of Earth as well, which means that the material that's actually close to the surface is about half as dense as the core material. So, there's a lot of distance between anyone at the surface and the dense core material, which means that there's less of a gravitational effect on an object at the surface from the denser core material. I think I might need a refresher on differential calculus. It might actually be easy to figure this out from a formula describing the change in density from the surface to the center of the planet. At the moment, I'd be more comfortable writing a program to model the entire planet in 1 km cubes. Of course, for the purposes of this discussion, I'm not going to go that far, I'm just going to guesstimate. The one thing I can state with certainty is that a planet with 2.4 times the radius of Earth and the same proportional density distribution is going to have less than 2.4 times Earth's surface gravity.

    11. Re:habitable maybe by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      The largest creatures on our planet require water to support them.

      Leaving aside Michael Moore for the moment, you do know that some very big creatures used to walk around. For millions of years and whatnot. Yes, the Blue Whale, at 190 metric tons, is big and floaty (as opposed to Moore, the Blue State Whale, who is just plain bloaty). A bull African Elephant is roughly 12 tons. That's not a Library Of Congress, but it is quite a few passenger cars. Regardless, there were Sauropods walking around at the better part of 60 metric tons.

      --
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    12. Re:habitable maybe by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Don't normally reply to myself but, as someone pointed out in another thread, I'm full of it on this one. Planet's don't tend to have uniform densities, but the density at any given depth is extremely uniform since if it weren't, the material would flow plastically until it was. No Bizarro worlds in the real universe. So, you can treat average density as if it were exactly average.

      I feel a bit foolish and I'm currently waiting for some water to boil to cook some noodles to flagellate myself with.

    13. Re:habitable maybe by c0lo · · Score: 1

      Gravity at the surface - proportional with M/R^2. Mass - proportional with R^3 => Keep density constant and gravity at the surface is proportional with R.

      All true, but my calculation was based on its mass being 2.4 times that of the Earth, not its radius. Surface gravity will be proportional to the cube root of its mass.

      TFS

      Kepler-22b is 2.4 times the radius of Earth ...

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    14. Re:habitable maybe by c0lo · · Score: 1

      I feel a bit foolish and I'm currently waiting for some water to boil to cook some noodles to flagellate myself with.

      FSM doesn't suggest you'd do it, on the contrary (see the first and second I'd rather that you didn'ts)

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    15. Re:habitable maybe by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      There's a scaling effect. Your supporting structures expands as a square while your mass expands as a cube. Somewhere, these two values have an optimum based on what your building materials are - but there's no reason you wouldn't get fairly large things, if they has put all their mass into big flat feet. Maybe they get so large because being big means you're *much* more lethal to smaller things with all that extra mass.

    16. Re:habitable maybe by FTWinston · · Score: 1

      TFS

      Kepler-22b is 2.4 times the radius of Earth ...

      D'oh! Can't imagine that being much of an "Earth twin" then, as being reported elsewhere.

  7. What do we do now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There is an exoplanet that may be habitable but it is far, far outside our reach.

    What do we do now? Shoot radio broadcasts in that direction? Start building a probe?

    1. Re:What do we do now? by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Bemoan our lack of FTL transit and paw desperately at the sky, while our sad little mudball continues to shout itself to pieces over meaningless displays of tribalistic self-importance, treats the future as its greatest enemy, and continues to believe that such is the best course of action.

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    2. Re:What do we do now? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 2

      What do we do now? Shoot radio broadcasts in that direction?

      Yeah, we could do that.

      Start building a probe?

      No, it would take literally millions of years for a probe to get there using current technology. Better bone up on R&D and try to invent fusion rockets or warp drive first.

    3. Re:What do we do now? by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 4, Funny

      (Also, state the obvious to farm karma.)

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    4. Re:What do we do now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FTL transit? Let's start with FTL communication. Where are we on that?

    5. Re:What do we do now? by c6gunner · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bemoan our lack of FTL transit and paw desperately at the sky, while our sad little mudball continues to shout itself to pieces over meaningless displays of tribalistic self-importance, treats the future as its greatest enemy, and continues to believe that such is the best course of action.

      You know the difference between a pessimist and an optimist?

      Pessimists suck :(

    6. Re:What do we do now? by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      Look on the bright side: they'll all be dead in fifty years, and progress will resume. The children of the eighties and nineties have relatively little interest in perpetuating their parents' dystopia.

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    7. Re:What do we do now? by FutureDomain · · Score: 1

      Nah, we'll just lobby our congresscritters to pass a law increasing the speed of light, since that's what we always do when we don't like something.

      --
      Hydraulic pizza oven!! Guided missile! Herring sandwich! Styrofoam! Jayne Mansfield! Aluminum siding! Borax!
    8. Re:What do we do now? by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      FTL communications and travel have less connection to reality than people who throw rocks at cars on a Saturday.

    9. Re:What do we do now? by c6gunner · · Score: 0

      I'd like to believe that, but see no indication of it. The "occupy" movement is largely children of the eighties and nineties, as are most truthers. Religiosity is down, but conversion to crazy fringe factions is up. And the whole thing is a bit slanted by the fact that most first-world nations have declining birth rates; even if our new generations were the most rational ever, they'll be living in a world awash in the craziness of other cultures.

      Don't get me wrong - I think we're generally headed in the right direction, and things do tend to get better over time ... but I'd be hesitant to consider "the children of the eighties and nineties" as some sort of panacea. We're all still human beings, with the same frailities, insecurities, and misfiring instincts that our species has always had to struggle with. I don't expect to see any major improvements in human nature during my lifetime.

    10. Re:What do we do now? by John+Hasler · · Score: 2

      > Religiosity is down, but conversion to crazy fringe factions is up.

      You contradict yourself.

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      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    11. Re:What do we do now? by GNious · · Score: 1

      He is probably just religious ...

    12. Re:What do we do now? by GNious · · Score: 1

      What do we do now? Shoot radio broadcasts in that direction?

      Yeah, we could do that.

      Send TV Shows - if human-kind manages FTL and sends a crew there, they can pick up the broadcasts for entertainment!

    13. Re:What do we do now? by jackbird · · Score: 1

      The median goes one direction, the mode another.

    14. Re:What do we do now? by BlueScreenO'Life · · Score: 1

      As opposed to optimists, who blow.

    15. Re:What do we do now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And my good mood for the day just evaporated. *sigh*

  8. This just in... by kallisti5 · · Score: 1

    Chevron and Conoco Phillips entering the space race.

    1. Re:This just in... by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's hard to see how their talents would apply. What are they going to do, lobby for c to be relaxed?

      --
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    2. Re:This just in... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mere "physics" cannot thwart the lobbying power of US corporations.

    3. Re:This just in... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, you never know....

      "On February 5, 1897, 111 years ago today, the Indiana legislature very nearly passed a bill 'introducing a new mathematical truth,' that would have erroneously established pi as the ratio 'five-fourths to four' or 3.2. The story explaining the rationale behind the bill and how they were prevented from legislating it when a real mathematician intervened is quite interesting, because the man who discovered the 'new mathematical truth' wanted to charge royalties, which could have made pi the first form of irrational property."

    4. Re:This just in... by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      When corporations go to space, it won't be to magically go 600 light years, it'll be to the asteroids and moons for resources.

  9. Habitable Planets by MyLongNickName · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Many of you may already be aware of this, but it is likely that going forward we will find these "goldilocks" planets with more regularity. Kepler luanched in 2009 with first observations in Jan 2010 and discovers planets using the transit method. Basically, a planet blocks part of its home star's light, and sensitive instruments can pick up on this difference in light. Two transits create a pattern to follow up on, the third transit is considered confirmation of the existence of a plant. So almost 3 earth years of observations means finally being able to detect planets with year long orbits (slight error in logic, depending on when you catch the planet in the act...)

    So we are getting to the point where the data should start pouring in on planets more similar to our own. In another 12 months, I would expect to see hundreds if not thousands of planets similar to our own. That is when I think things get interesting. Say we find only 100 "habitable" planets... follow-up observations should give us an idea about the existence or nonexistence of life. Is it common? Is it uncommon? Are we just one of millions of life bearing planets? Are we an outlier? The mind boggles at what we will learn.

    This is an interesting time to be alive :)

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    1. Re:Habitable Planets by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      And... how come we haven't heard from any other civilizations on any of those planets?

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    2. Re:Habitable Planets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      They're hundreds of light years away and we've only been communicative for less than a century. Given the inverse square law, communication between systems will probably need to be very intentionally focused with high gain antennae. In order for a message to have been sent to us that we can pick up, someone else would have had to see our planet in the habitable zone, see the oxygen levels in the atmosphere and attempt contact. They may have done so 50 times already, and would have gotten nothing back-- because we have to do the same with them to know which star to listen to and we're *still* not at that point.

      tldr; physics.

    3. Re:Habitable Planets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      All the Christian Republicans will defund it before that happens.

    4. Re:Habitable Planets by mr1911 · · Score: 1

      Communication takes two parties. The failure may be that we are not capable of receiving or deciphering what they are sending.

      Or, if their civilization is sufficiently advanced they already know we are stupid and boring. When is the last time you sat down and introduced yourself to a rat?

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    5. Re:Habitable Planets by HappyHead · · Score: 3, Informative

      Say we find only 100 "habitable" planets...

      Considering how very small the patch of sky Kepler is watching actually is, if we find 100 "habitable" planets in it, and then extrapolate that across the rest of the sky, the number of potential habitable planets would be huge. Of course, right now there are only around 54 or so habitable zone candidates, out of 1000 "planet" candidates, and all of them are still waiting for confirmation. Still, if even half of those are valid, then that indicates a massive number of qualifying planets in the galaxy.

      For the interested, here's a link to a NASA graphic of Kepler's search zone:
      http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/kepler/multimedia/images/kepler-target-in-the-milkyway.html

    6. Re:Habitable Planets by c6gunner · · Score: 4, Funny

      And... how come we haven't heard from any other civilizations on any of those planets?

      They received a bunch of broadcasts containing our political debates, and concluded that there is no intelligent life on this planet.

    7. Re:Habitable Planets by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      I'll buy that.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    8. Re:Habitable Planets by lorinc · · Score: 1

      This is an interesting time to be alive :)

      It is always an interesting time to be alive. :)

    9. Re:Habitable Planets by doug141 · · Score: 1

      When is the last time you sat down and introduced yourself to a rat?

      There was this one town hall meeting...

    10. Re:Habitable Planets by doug141 · · Score: 1

      They received a bunch of broadcasts containing our political debates, and

      ... their preemptive strike in en-route.

    11. Re:Habitable Planets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A few weeks ago when I got a new pet.

    12. Re:Habitable Planets by timeOday · · Score: 1

      Well, this one is 600 light years away, so Christopher Columbus hasn't been born yet in their frame of reference. I hope they aren't eagerly tuning in to see how well we'll run the planet for the last 600 years, how embarrassing that would be.

    13. Re:Habitable Planets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And... how come we haven't heard from any other civilizations on any of those planets?

      They don't want to ruin their property values.

    14. Re:Habitable Planets by hackus · · Score: 1

      Next is to toss out the current screwy science of reality that says we can't get there and start looking at science repressed ideas to design an engine that is practical to get there.

      Might have to kill off a _lot_ of existing PhD's though.

      Small price to pay to make rockets obsolete though.

      Just imagine!! We can ship all of the bankers and politicians to a planet of their own!

      There they can make war for the bankers and leave us the F' alone!

      I say we do it!!!

      If you are a PhD please, jump off a bridge, or fall on your Bunsen burner please.

      Thank you.

      I am going to start packing.

      -Hack

      --
      Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    15. Re:Habitable Planets by hackus · · Score: 1

      Habitable doesn't mean complex life though.

      Lots of things about the habitable zone environment you are leaving out.

      1) Is there a moon to stabilize the axis of the planet? This is turning out to be a very critical requirement the more it is studied.
      2) Is the Planet tidally locked to its star? See number 1, which if it doesn't have a moon probably is which would dramatically reduce the chances of complex life developing.
      3) Does the habitable zone have a gravitational well to reduce the number of impacts planets orbiting in the habitable zone suffer? Also very very important for complex life to evolve. In our case we have Jupiter outside the habitable zone protecting Mars and Earth from large numbers of impacts. It sucks in or ejects objects out of the way of the Earth and Mars. Also stabilizes the solar system from outside invaders.
      4) Does the Star have the right metal content? Also very important. It turns out stars like our sun with a large metal content have very long lives and very stable output. Can't be a variable star, and it has to shine steady for a _very_ long time so it can't be very big either. Very important for complex life to evolve.

      I think the best book written on the subject is Peter Ward's "Rare Earth".

      http://www.amazon.com/Rare-Earth-Complex-Uncommon-Universe/dp/0387952896/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1323124580&sr=8-1

      Lots and lots of things have to happen for animals to evolve. Very well thought out.

      Until NASA starts qualifying its planets in much more detail, habitable zone doesn't really mean much for life by itself in my book.

      -Hack

      --
      Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    16. Re:Habitable Planets by mr1911 · · Score: 1

      Touche.

      Another reason intelligent extraterrestrial life would want to avoid out planet.

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    17. Re:Habitable Planets by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      We've only been a radio using civilization for about 150 years.

      In that time, we've been steadily reducing our radio output, and haven't made really dedicated efforts to send messages. Up until just this moment, we haven't even really known where we should be looking or sending messages.

      And for all we know, the "radio age" for a typical civilization may not last much beyond the time we currently have: maybe in 50 years time we discover a better technology, or start using hyperspace or any number of things - and all our attention turns to the new wireless medium for listening to the stars.

      Or maybe we discover a new medium, and suddenly find all the chatter of all species of the universe. Who knows.

    18. Re:Habitable Planets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Going forward we will find these goldilocks planets"...?

      So what happens when we're in retrograde?

      Or do you just mean "from now on", or "in the future"?

      In fact, does the phrase "going forward" add anything to your sentence?

      "It is likely that we will find these goldilocks planets with more regularity." Lovely!

      (Sorry.)

    19. Re:Habitable Planets by Spugglefink · · Score: 1

      Next is to toss out the current screwy science of reality that says we can't get there and start looking at science repressed ideas to design an engine that is practical to get there.

      Don't worry, Zefram Cochrane won't be born for another few years yet. Then he'll build a warp drive, and the snotty Vulcans will finally start talking to us.

      Before the century is over, we'll be able to fly to this Kepler-22b in 15 minutes or so. It will probably be populated by very thick-legged blond women who have bee-hive hairdos, and have developed special muscles to hold their boobs high and proud in the high gravity. These women won't mind you staring at their boobs, because that's where their eyes are, but they will get pissed off if they catch you staring at their heads, where their unmentionables are. They will wave their boobs at you and say "Hey, asshole, my eyes are down here!"

    20. Re:Habitable Planets by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Peter Ward is a well-respected geologist, and I'm sure his book is well-written (I've read others by him, and numerous papers too) and well-researched. That doesn't make him right. Point (1) is much debated, but by no means a consensus. Point (2) is something we simply don't know about - some locked planets may be inimicable to life ; some may be more plainly pro-life than Earth. Consensus does not exist. Point (3) may or may not be important for within-solar system objects. Point (3) may or may not be important for extra-solar system objects. A weak consensus exists that both are probably important, but how important is not clear.

      Points under (4) are more complex. The presence of (astrophysicist's use) metals is essential to any life chemistry that uses metals (atoms more complex than hydrogen and helium). But the metal content is not much related to a star's stability and duration. Size, on the other hand, is important to duration. However, low mass may well be associated with high variability of luminosity. So ... there's not even a simple model to have a consensus on.

      It's good to see that you're reading around on the subject. But you need to read more widely.

      Until NASA starts qualifying its planets

      NASA has asserted ownership and property rights over the light intensity data that it is releasing to the species? Can you cite the law under which it is making this assertion? And what is the jurisdiction of this alleged law?

      --
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    21. Re:Habitable Planets by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your wonderful contribution to this thread. Going forward, I will treat your contributions with the respect it deserves with more regularity.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    22. Re:Habitable Planets by sasparillascott · · Score: 0

      Wow, thanks for that link. I had no idea how small an area Kepler is looking at (its a very small cone with a relatively short length). Finding more than a couple means there will be alot of potential candidates throughout the galaxy - and it sounds like they are going to find more than a couple. Another point in this is that it relies on the orbits of the candidate planets to transit their star in relation to our view which many could easily not be doing (and not visible) if their orbits weren't in line with us.

    23. Re:Habitable Planets by multivoxmuse · · Score: 1

      Because Ecco's sonar doesn't reach this far

  10. Oh the irony... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...to spend a ton of time, effort, and research to find Earths twin, only to find the race of carbon-based life forms living there has completely fucked up the entire planet by abusing its natural resources.

    "Well shit. NASA, you're not gonna believe this...we found alien life alright...and they're as fucked up as we are."

    1. Re:Oh the irony... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Haha an ending worthy of a Twilight Zone episode.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:Oh the irony... by Aryden · · Score: 1

      Yes but we could murder them all and take what little Oil resources they have left. I mean, that's what we do now right?

    3. Re:Oh the irony... by xero314 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Oh the irony to spend a ton of time, effort, and research to find Earths twin, only to find the race of carbon-based life forms living there has completely fucked up the entire planet by abusing its natural resources.

      That's pretty much how the inhabitants of the alien planet our going to feel when they discover us. Or maybe they already have, but are smart enough to stay away.

    4. Re:Oh the irony... by CrazyDuke · · Score: 1

      They just bugger some of us up the arse every so often, since that seems to be how we learn to pick, acknowledge, and accept leadership.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced influence is indistinguishable from control.
  11. I wonder if THEY have found us? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Could there be a Kepler-equivalent device orbiting 22-b looking our way, saying that we're 22-b twin that looks like a good match.

    Who'll get FTL drive first ...

    1. Re:I wonder if THEY have found us? by malilo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Given the billion-year timescales to evolution, I'd say the likelihood of such synchronicity is exceedingly small. Unless they've known about our planet for millions of years and have come to the conclusion that no possibility exists for technology allowing a visit.

      --
      "sometimes he felt that his whole life was a dream, and he wondered whose it was and whether they were enjoying it."
    2. Re:I wonder if THEY have found us? by Viewsonic · · Score: 1

      For all we know they've already been here before we even crawled out of the muck. Remember, "our" timeline in history is a speck of sand in miles and miles and miles of distance. By the time we get to their planet, hundreds of civilizations could have existed and had been wiped out already. Makes it kind of depressing, really.

  12. Time. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A year on Terra is obviously longer than a year on Kepler-22b. Assuming we're able to someday inhabit these planets, how will our perception of the passage of time being a sign of wisdom/experience/temporal-distance-to-death/etc. change as a species?

    1. Re:Time. by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 2

      Not a whole lot. Clocks will just mean less to the world around us. Like DST, only moreso.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
  13. "...right in the middle of its 'habitable zone'... by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

    Looks like the inner edge to me. With that much mass I suspect that it is Venusian (or maybe a boiling water planet).

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  14. did not rtfa by tesdalld · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I'm sure its only 5000 light years away, i'll go pack my bags.

    1. Re:did not rtfa by tesdalld · · Score: 1

      i read the full article... 600

  15. Please don't cut our funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Translation: "In this era of financial armageddons, please overlook the ever-harmless, insightful NASA endeavors when deciding where to cut government spending (our research isn't for offense^H^H^H^H^H^H^H defense, no really). Remember we do things that are important, like finding this planet that seems a little like earth."

  16. better space probes have been proposed by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Basically you'd have to use very clever occluding telescopes and/or very wide inferometry to get a spectrogram separate from the star. But clever designs have been proposed recently. I dont think any made the 2010s budget due cost and technological immaturity.

  17. Planet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's an ugly planet, a bug planet

  18. Re:Important? How? by ThorGod · · Score: 1

    Now what? Everybody says, "Woohoo!" and goes home? I just don't see how this has any importance, whatsoever, because I don't see how it can have any measurable effect on any decision made by anyone on this planet in the foreseeable future.

    If you don't already see the importance in discovering life outside of our own planet, then I doubt you ever will. Go out into the world sometime, enjoy it, and see if you don't come back wanting more life in this universe. (Please note, I said 'into the world'. The 'world' is not just the human world. The human portion of this world is only the tiniest fraction of the greater whole. As Ed Abbey would say: Go to a national park, park your car, get out, and crawl on your stomach across the rocks and plants. Maybe, just maybe, then you'll learn something. He and I both doubt you will, but if you do that long enough your chances are better.)

    --
    PS: I don't reply to ACs.
  19. Make it so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Number one! Assemble an away team!

  20. Re:Important? How? by Shotgun · · Score: 0

    So, instead of answering the question, you argue that I'm just not smart enough to see the obvious? How quaint.

    I get out enough to want to move from the sub-burbs and into the country. Unfortunately, the wife wants to be close to shopping. Knowing what is in the world around me is important. It affects the decisions I make.

    Now, if you're going to respond, could you make an attempt at answering the question. What effect will knowing that their is a roughly Earth sized rock circling an unreachable star going to have on any decision you make in your lifetime? How is this discovery important in any way other than to sate your curiosity?

    --
    Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
    Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  21. Re:Important? How? by PlastikMissle · · Score: 1

    That's not how science works. I'm pretty sure someone asked your very same question when a 100 years ago a guy called Albert wrote about a dynamic Space Time. Nowadays we can't get by without his theories. Just because we research something that has no applicable effect today, doesn't mean it is without value.

  22. centipeds? in my vagina? by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    eww, Mesklinite pr0n!

    really, really, really think long and hard before GIS'ing that one, mate. I'm not kidding.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  23. Amusing discussion with my boss by Ogive17 · · Score: 2

    Just finished up having a conversation with my boss about this. He stated that he hates when they come out and "confirm" stuff like this when there is no way of "proving" it. He talked about how we are always changing theories and tried to use the declasification of Pluto as an example.. to which I countered that it was all semantics.. the facts about Pluto didn't change, only the classification.

    We went back and forth for about 10 minutes with him trying to explain his point... the entire time I bit my toungue so that I wouldn't bring up the fact that he's a Catholic which is entirely based on faith. There's no proof of God existing yet billions of people (over multiple religions) believe there is.

    He's normally a level headed guy and never pulls the religion card out, which is why I didn't either. But how he misinterpreted the article to mean scientists confirm there's a planet out there with liquid water really frustrated me.

    I've got a bad case of the Mondays

    --
    "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    1. Re:Amusing discussion with my boss by keytoe · · Score: 1

      "No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong." - Albert Einstein

      Falsifiability is a feature, not a bug. It allows you to adjust your concepts of how the world works as new information is discovered. Religious groups have been using it as a means to discount the scientific view of reality, however, by claiming that the scientific method can't determine facts. Technically, they are correct.

      Disingenuous, yes - but technically correct.

    2. Re:Amusing discussion with my boss by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      so your boss is a dumb-ass who can't reason and our civilization rewards that type and puts them in charge of people who can reason like you. It's more than your Monday that is bad

    3. Re:Amusing discussion with my boss by Ogive17 · · Score: 1

      Nah, he's a bright guy and he's one of the few members of management in my office that I would like to work for. One of the reasons is that he is typically very open minded and always willing to listen to ideas and help implement them.

      It's just that when it comes to rules and definitions he believes there is only black or white, no gray area. I find this ironic considering his religious background (he's not one of those preachy types).

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
  24. Re:Important? How? by iceaxe · · Score: 1

    [...] I don't see how it can have any measurable effect on any decision made by anyone on this planet in the foreseeable future.

    Because the decisions made by the myopic semi-intelligent simians on some stupid backwater mud ball in the bad part of the galaxy are the only measure of "importance." Uh huh.

    --
    WALSTIB!
  25. Does it have a magnetic field? by Viewsonic · · Score: 1

    Is there any way we can see this? This is what protects us from becoming flesh flavored Hot Pockets(tm).

    1. Re:Does it have a magnetic field? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      We only need to know if its a rocky planet around Sun similar to ours in chemistry, then a near certainty it has iron core. If it is not tidally locked it will spin fast enough for strong magnetic field. Yes, this is projecting thing about our solar system with its magnetic core rocky planet and moons onto another place, but seems very reasonable.

  26. Re:Important? How? by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

    I just don't see how this has any importance, whatsoever, because I don't see how it can have any measurable effect on any decision made by anyone on this planet in the foreseeable future.

    Here's an interesting way it could have an effect:
    1. US Government discovers habitable planets within, say, a century of here.
    2. US Government scares the population of Earth by pointing out that this habitable planet might be filled with evil aliens who want to take over Earth.
    3. US and foreign governments and UN all scramble to do whatever is necessary to take on the aliens, pouring massive amounts of cash into R&D, engineering projects, construction of defensive tools, space launching capabilities, and even pure research.
    4. The economy recovers, because all this stuff has much the same effect on the world economy as WWII had on the US economy, but without the millions of people dying.

    (Note: not entirely my idea)

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  27. Re:Important? How? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your question was actually more philosophical than practical. So he gave a philosophical answer(Which sadly, is often just more questions). Think about the big picture. I mean the REALLY big picture. Thousands of years from now. Can you even begin to imagine what the world will be like? Will it still even exist? Having an even slightly greater amount of knowledge about the Universe/World/Kitchen/Whatever will help you think about those things. Identifying potentially habitable planets is just a start. Once we know they are there, odds are good we will at lest try to reach them. If not personally, then with machines. Your are right, that in the immediate future, it is unlikely to mean a great deal. To use a car analogy(badly). We had horses and whips and buggies, oh my. Now someone comes along and discovers that they can push a piston with a small explosion. So what? It cannot be used with the horses. Whips gain nothing from it. And a buggy? Completely useless. Can't hook an engine up to the horse bar. Someone, somewhere, saw the potential and just went with it. Identifying habitable planets is just one small step on a long road to somewhere else. This just gives people more hope for something better.

  28. Re:Important? How? by GeoGreg · · Score: 1

    How about this... The human species has often viewed itself as occupying a privileged position in the universe. Earth, for instance, was often viewed as the center of the universe. Then, the heliocentric model was found to do a better job of explaining planetary motion. Later, it was found that the solar system occupies an undisinguished position in an undistinguished galaxy. Now, we are finding that planets are a dime-a-dozen. Discoveries like this one indicated that habitable worlds may not, in fact, be rare. Thus, the idea that our existence implies that the universe was created for us becomes less and less likely. I would argue that the question of whether humans occupy a privileged position in the universe does affect the decision making of many people.

  29. Awesome. by hackus · · Score: 1

    A planet in the habitable zone!!

    Awesome.

    600 Light years away though...

    Could be a _long_ walk.

    Better pack some snacks n stuff.

    Bye bye!

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  30. I understand your skepticism by Weaselmancer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ROFL. Yeah, when we land there. It's ONLY 600 light years after all.

    I get it, I really do. We've only barely been to our own moon. We can't even get to mars. If we said we were going to send a probe you'd have every right to laugh, let alone a manned mission.

    But hear me out first.

    Mankind has only been engaged in industry for a couple of hundred years. And that was enough to get us to the moon. And humanity has no signs of ending anytime soon. What will we be capable of in another thousand years? Ten thousand? A million? Because if we don't do anything stupid we have that time. Our sun has a few billion years left in it.

    It's important to look for extrasolar planets. It is important to see if they can maintain human life.

    Reason being, that's the first step. We won't ever try to leave this solar system if we have no expectations to be able to survive out there. Now we are finding out that there are planets out there that might be able to support us. Now we have a reason to want to try to reach them. Yes, 600 light years is an uncrossable barrier to us. Today. But if you told the Wright brothers that we'd be walking on the moon in 70 years they would have told you you're nuts. They wouldn't have believed it. Another uncrossable barrier. To them. Not to us.

    Finding these planets is exciting. It says that there is a reason to try to go. It kindles a desire to go see them. And given a million years of human progress, the science *will* come. Maybe it won't be as sexy as warp ships. Maybe it'll just be colony ships moving at a fraction of light speed and take a thousand years to get there. But one way or another, we will get there.

    We will most likely visit this planet. Someday.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:I understand your skepticism by 0111+1110 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We could start building a super-Orion pulsed nuke generation ship now and complete it in maybe 100 years. Then we launch humanity's first starship from L1 Lagrange Station manufacturing/assembly facility and it would only take another 6000 years or so to reach the planet. OTOH we could reach Gliese 581 in only 200 years, Tau Ceti or Epsilon Indi in 120 years, Epsilon Eridani in 105 years, or Alpha Centauri in a mere 44 years.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    2. Re:I understand your skepticism by symbolset · · Score: 2

      Well clearly we should split the work, so we can pursue all of the above.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    3. Re:I understand your skepticism by joe_frisch · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "If you told the Wright brothers that we'd be walking on the moon in 70 years they would have told you you're nuts. They wouldn't have believed it."

      But if you told the Apollo astronauts that 40 years later we wouldn't be able to go back to the moon or if you told the Mercury astronauts that 50 years later the US would no longer be able to put a man in orbit, they would also think you were nuts.

      Progress only happens because we do things, not just because time passes.

    4. Re:I understand your skepticism by RancidPeanutOil · · Score: 1

      I agree in principle with everything you said, but there's a couple points, which I don't think refute your argument, but they might mitigate the 'optimism,' as it were. First, I think the Wright brothers thing - I think they would have probably not thought you were nuts. The moon turned out to be really difficult to do, it was really a marvel we made it with so few casualties and with such crude technology and small budget. Seriously. I bet that the Wright brothers would have thought it was more likely than it was, based on contemporaneous accounts at the time (the optimistic ones! the pessimistic ones can of course be ignored).

      I also think your assumption of a million years of human progress is a bit optimistic. Or I guess I would if you said uninterrupted human progress. But even for a total million years of human progress, I personally think we'd need at least 10 times that amount of abject horrifying dark ages-level human misery. Like, cats and dogs, living together-style biblical stuff. But that's all just an opinion not backed up by facts or anything. I really hope your version is closer to reality than mine.

    5. Re:I understand your skepticism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We could start building a super-Orion pulsed nuke generation ship now and complete it in maybe 100 years. Then we launch humanity's first starship from L1 Lagrange Station manufacturing/assembly facility and it would only take another 6000 years or so to reach the planet. OTOH we could reach Gliese 581 in only 200 years, Tau Ceti or Epsilon Indi in 120 years, Epsilon Eridani in 105 years, or Alpha Centauri in a mere 44 years.

      How much faster could we get there if we ejected all the sarcastic and unimaginative people like you out the back of the ship for momentum gain?

    6. Re:I understand your skepticism by bronney · · Score: 1

      mod up parent plz.

    7. Re:I understand your skepticism by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      We could start building a super-Orion pulsed nuke generation ship now and complete it in maybe 100 years.

      Usually these kinds of plans are HIGHLY grandiose (colony ships and all that). I wonder what could be done if we scaled the thing down and only sent a robotic probe.

      A robotic probe eliminates many of the shielding issues (sure, it needs it, but not nearly as much), and almost all of the logistical issues. You would need to make the software REALLY good - it can't rely on any kind of interactive communications with Earth. If you keep the mass down you can accelerate much more quickly, and you could treat it as disposable once it gets there. If you're willing to do a flyby (seems like a waste) then you can get there much faster as well. Hmm, wonder what the math works out to on shielding for solar/planetary aerobraking vs powered deceleration (at those speeds you'd need a lot of shielding, but you need a lot of fuel also - the idea of pluging into a photosphere to slow down sounds really neat though).

  31. Re:Important? How? by ThorGod · · Score: 2

    I would argue that the question of whether humans occupy a privileged position in the universe does affect the decision making of many people.

    ...in how they relate to each other, the non-human life on this planet, and our collective environment from second to second, day to day, year to year, generation to generation, and so on and so on.

    Not too long ago, believing the earth wasn't the center of the universe could get a person killed. Remove certain strong beliefs and people wont feel they can throw anyone to the fire for simple, erroneous judgements. This leads to enhanced freedom from persecution and greater general happiness, I recon. Maybe learning we're not unique will lead us to treating our world with more respect.

    To not waste space, I'll also give a short list of NASA-research impacted inventions:
    -microwaves:
    --everything from the microwave oven, the cell phone, GPS, and wireless internet signals are understood through techniques originally used by NASA.

    -velcro
    --originally designed for space suits

    -any number of materials engineering breakthroughs
    --all I know is, without carefully designed, ceramic tiles, going into space would always be a one way trip. I'm not a mat. engineer, but I'm sure those ceramics have helped all sorts of industrial processes. (Say, electrical power generation where you've got tons of heat to insulate and transport. Or, simply moving heat away from a CPU, perhaps?)

    --
    PS: I don't reply to ACs.
  32. What am I missing? by Caerdwyn · · Score: 1

    The density estimate on the official Kepler page is estimated to be 14.7g/cc. That's somewhere between lead and gold. To sustain a density like that, assuming there is a fair amount of iron present (a very common metal readily created in large stars), the planet would have to be near half gold, uranium, or something equally unlikely.

    Also, if the mass and radius (and therefore density) given are anywhere near correct, that's 20 gravities.

    Something ain't right. What elements of that density are that common in a star of that population, age and metallicity? How would a planet of such density form, and in the process rid itself of pesky, feather-light extremely common materials like iron? The mass can be estimated fairly accurately with Dopper measurements. If the transit is reporting a size of 2.4 Earth radii, either the mass estimate is wrong, the transit data is wrong, or this is the most exotic, highly-radioactive metalball you're ever likely to find. What am I missing here?

    There may be liquid water, but that planet's going to be as radioactive as it gets, with a hell of a lot of heat coming from the inside out.

    --
    Everybody gets what the majority deserves.
    1. Re:What am I missing? by Caerdwyn · · Score: 1

      Nevermind, the table I was looking at had a typo (dunno if it's corrected yet). Listed density elsewhere is 1.46g/cc. Much more reasonable (and Neptune-like)

      --
      Everybody gets what the majority deserves.
  33. Re:Important? How? by ThorGod · · Score: 1

    So, instead of answering the question, you argue that I'm just not smart enough to see the obvious? How quaint.

    No where did I say you weren't smart enough to understand something. I said that I doubt you'll ever have an appreciation for astronomical research, it's goals, and it's place in the world. You can prove me wrong by simply:

    1.) Coming up with a compelling alternative to projects such as this as a national investment in R&D. Would you prefer finance researchers create new financial products such as more mortgage-backed securities or credit-default swaps?
    2.) Proving that projects such as this study have never and can never design nor research something useful to society.
    3.) Admitting you were wrong and that looking into the stars can teach us all a thing or two.

    --
    PS: I don't reply to ACs.
  34. It's much better than that! by wisebabo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Remember that Kepler looks at stars using the "transit" method. Basically it stares at the little point of light for a looooong time, never blinking and waits to see if the light drops just a teeny bit due to something passing in front of it. How long? Well since it has to calculate the orbital period, it must watch at bare minimum for at least 1 year to see 2 passes (assuming its looking for a planet in an earthlike orbit around a sun-like star). Then, in order to make sure that it isn't some OTHER planet passing in front of the star, or an object in our solar system, or "sun spots" on the star, or maybe space butterflies getting in the way, the scientists must wait for a THIRD confirming pass (at the predicted time of course with the same drop in intensity) to be sure the observation is "real".

    I think these guys have found the first "earth-sized" object that has made three confirmed passes. Note that the period is a bit less than a year so they've had enough time to get three observations in the three years. Soon, they'll be announcing confirming "third passes" on more and more planets that have periods in roughly the one-year window that indicates it's in the habitable zone around a sun-like star.

    There are two things to note here: First, Kepler can only see planets that pass between it and the target star, that is the planet's orbit must be almost exactly edge on for us to see it. How close to edge on must it be? Well for example; the earth's orbit is a circle (very) roughly 100 million miles from the sun and the sun is roughly 1 million miles across. So, if the orbit was tilted more than 1/100 or 1%, from some distant observer, they wouldn't see it cross in front. (The size of the earth is inconsequential in this calculation because it is so small in relation to the sun). Similarly, for the kind of planets Kepler is looking at circling around sun-like stars, we are only seeing BY PURE CHANCE 1% of them. So if we see 100 planets circling these stars in their habitable zone; that means there are really 10,000 of them! So for a sample size of 150,000 stars, that means that one out of every 15 sunlike stars has planet in it's habitable zone! Amazing, especially when you consider our galaxy to have perhaps 10 BILLION sunlike stars!

    Secondly, Kepler was launched before astronomers "discovered" that the best place to find "habitable" planets wasn't around sunlike stars but around smaller cooler stars. For various reasons, the habitable zone (where water can be a liquid) is proportionately larger in these "mini" solar systems (everything is smaller, like the orbits). They realized that even if a planet was tidally "locked" so that one face was always facing the sun, the atmosphere would redistribute the heat enough so the planet would be "habitable" (must sure be windy though). Another advantage is that these smaller stars live much longer than our sun giving life longer to come to well... life! Finally these smaller stars are much more numerous than sunlike stars. Anyway, I think Kepler was focusing mainly on sunlike stars and not these smaller, more numerous and perhaps easier to detect (because the orbits are smaller you don't have to wait as long for three passes) targets. Maybe Kepler II will go after them!

    Just so that you know, Kepler is likely (has already?) been giving tons of other interesting data. I understand that its sensors are sensitive (and stable enough!) so as to detect possible sunspots in these stars. Also by paying close attention to the timing of the transits, they can determine whether other planets are gravitationally "tugging" at the transiting planet and perturbing its orbit (that's how Neptune was discovered). Finally, the resolution of the 'light curve" of the transit may be sharp enough to reveal any large moons in orbit around the transiting planet. So even if the planet in the habitable zone is too large to support life as we know it, it may have a right sized moon! (think "Pandora").

    1. Re:It's much better than that! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As I read your post, it was being dictated in my head by Bill Nye, and it was awesome.

    2. Re:It's much better than that! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      You've got some fundamental misconceptions about how Kepler works.

      Remember that Kepler looks at stars using the "transit" method. Basically it stares at the little point of light for a looooong time, never blinking and waits to see if the light drops just a teeny bit due to something passing in front of it. How long? Well since it has to calculate the orbital period,

      Firstly, Kepler doesn't stare at any point of light : it stares at a point in space with a detector that covers (in Libraries of congress per blue whale) the area of your fist at arms length. At frequent intervals it notes down the brightness of every point-like source of light in that field of view, records those observations, zeros the detector, records some engineering data, then starts the next observation. Lather, rinse, repeat. Every few days, a batch of data is sent to the ground. Lather rinse and repeat for the 3.5 years mission duration.

      The definition of "point-like source" is probably adjustable from the ground (they fiddled with the focus by a few microns a while ago). The duration of exposures are probably variable (they may use different lengths in a cycle, to widen the effective sensitivity range of the detector). But the satellite itself makes no analysis of the data beyond checking it's pointing and recording positions and intensities of the "point-like sources". As the pointing shifts, the apparent position of the "point-like sources" on the detector shifts, so the correlation of sources between catalogues of locations and intensities will need checking on the ground.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    3. Re:It's much better than that! by wienerschnizzel · · Score: 1

      Similarly, for the kind of planets Kepler is looking at circling around sun-like stars, we are only seeing BY PURE CHANCE 1% of them.

      While I really like your post, I must comment on your math here.

      You may notice that planets in the Solar System run approximately in the same plane. What's more, the moons of the planets also orbit roughly in the same plane. This is because of the mechanics of solar system formation - things get squashed into a disc-like structure because of the rotation of the initially cloud-shaped proto-star system.

      The same mechanics should in theory apply to the whole galaxy - that is not only the stars should orbit the galactical core on roughly the same plane, but also the planets of those stars can be expected to adhere to this plane.

      This is why looking across the disc of the Milky Way Galaxy should result in much more planetary transitions (per 1000 stars) than looking perpendicularly away from the disc. There is still variation, of course, but the PURE CHANCE of detecting a planet transiting a star in Kepler's case is much more than 1% due to it's orientation towards the galactic disc.

    4. Re:It's much better than that! by wisebabo · · Score: 1

      I never knew that (or really thought about it), are you sure it's true though? I don't know a lot about astronomy but isn't the plane of our solar system pretty different from that of the galaxy? Still I realize that even some correlation would, as you say, skew my numbers off. Have astronomers been able to verify that extra-solar systems are not randomly oriented? Would they be able to figure that out by looking at dust disks which are the only structures I can think of resolvable with out current technology? (I'm sure they can't resolve the disks for any but the largest, nearest stars and see which way they're spinning).

    5. Re:It's much better than that! by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      How can you say that when our own solar system is 63% different than the overall plane of the galaxy? The distributions may be centered on the plane of the galazxy itself, but there is no evidence to what the standard deviation is.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    6. Re:It's much better than that! by wienerschnizzel · · Score: 1

      No, there is no observational evidence. That's why I used the word 'in theory' in my post. All I'm saying is that you can't just take the results from Kepler and multiply it by a factor of 100 - because you don't know the distribution either.

    7. Re:It's much better than that! by wienerschnizzel · · Score: 1

      There is a theoretical model of galactic/stellar system formation, called the top-down formation scenario. It has not really been tested with observational data. You could use the Kepler to test it by orienting it some other way for the next five years but that would be a waste of resources.

      In any case, it is an argument against the notion that the orientations of the stellar planes have an even distribution.

    8. Re:It's much better than that! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You argue just to argue. You are the one who said "that is not only the stars should orbit the galactical core on roughly the same plane, but also the planets of those stars can be expected to adhere to this plane." Now you backpeddle and pretend to say something different. If you don't know about something, admit it. People can deal with someone who wants to learn. They don't want to deal with someone who doesn't know anything but pretends they are right.

  35. Meanwhile on Kepler-22b by zedrdave · · Score: 2

    Meanwhile, scientists and the population at large on Kepler-22b are celebrating the discovery of Sol-3a: a planet that exhibits the same livable properties as Kepler-22b and offers the promise of an alternative to their resource-abused, irreversibly-climate-warming, short-term-doomed home world.

  36. Re:Important? How? by PwnzerDragoon · · Score: 1

    That would only work if we could confirm the existence of oil on the planet.

  37. Size Distribution of Planets found by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Thsi is the new and intresting thing:

    Previously the methods for finding planets has favoured massive objects, and they found lots of Jupiter size things....

    Now we get a different picture: This method favoures thigns close to the star, and here the smaller planets are in majority: Check out the data from NASA: total: 2,326. Of these, 207 are approximately Earth-size, 680 are super Earth-size, 1,181 are Neptune-size, 203 are Jupiter-size and 55 are larger than Jupiter.

    Next question is what is the minimum detection size for this method? Looks like the data lacks anything smaller than "approximately Earth-size"

    Per Ohlin

  38. Re:Important? How? by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

    I just don't see how this has any importance, whatsoever, because I don't see how it can have any measurable effect on any decision made by anyone on this planet in the foreseeable future.

    Imagine that you were considering a move to the southern hemisphere, building a small (15-25 meter) radio telescope, and starting your own personal SETI project focusing on the most likely stars within 50 light years. The importance of this discovery is statistical. It makes it more likely that there is a habitable planet within a more realistic travel/communication range of 50 - 100 light years. It may be a slight effect but it is a measurable effect. If it encourages more people to get involved with passive and active SETI projects then it at least served some small purpose.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  39. Re:"...right in the middle of its 'habitable zone' by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

    My suspicion too. (See post above.)

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  40. Carbon based? by Hamsterdan · · Score: 1

    Many lifeforms thrive right here on earth in environments very hostile to human life. Life can exist on something else that doesn't confirm to earth...

    --
    I've got better things to do tonight than die.
  41. I agree. Well, sorta. by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

    I agree we are in a bit of a slump, space-wise. No shuttle anymore. No moon missions.

    But I think the original "right stuff" guys wouldn't be surprised by our current state of affairs. They knew it was all based on funding, and PR, and the cold war. Russia not a threat anymore? Space program (aka gigantic propaganda "we're awesome" machine) would be scaled back.

    But you're not thinking long term.

    How about a thousand years from now, or ten thousand? Or a million? Do you think we'll stagnate that long? I don't. Things will pick back up inside of a couple of hundred years, tops.

    Progress does happen because we do things. We'll get back to that soon-ish. And by soon-ish I mean sometime in the next thousand years. There are plenty of good reasons to get back up there. Orbital mining, zero g labs and construction sites, asteroid collision prevention...the list goes on and on.

    We're going back. The current slump is just a hiccup in history.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  42. Re:Important? How? by charlesj68 · · Score: 1

    4. The economy recovers, because all this stuff has much the same effect on the world economy as WWII had on the US economy, but without the millions of people dying.

    (Note: not entirely my idea)

    There is at least one major drawback to this working in the same way. A significant portion of what made the US economy so powerful post-WWII was the fact that in the process of prosecuting that conflict a healthy chuck of the manufacturing capability of the rest of the world was reduced to rubble.