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Russia Botches Another Rocket Launch

astroengine writes "Three hours before a new crew arrived at the International Space Station on Friday, bringing the outpost back up to full staff for the first time in months, Russia racked up its fifth launch accident within a year. A Soyuz-2 rocket carrying a military communications satellite failed to reach orbit after blastoff from the Plesetsk space center in northern Russia. The botched launch is again due to an upper-stage engine problem."

22 of 119 comments (clear)

  1. Why so angry? by NitroWolf · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The summary reads like an angry teenager implying that they could do better.

    Really? Do yo have any idea how hard it is to actually manage launching something like that in to space? We should be more amazed when everything goes right and a rocket actually makes it there. The rocket failing is, of course, not a good thing... but at least they are trying in the face of failure, instead of giving up and whining about for a decade like the US did after the shuttle disasters.

    Launching a rocket into space is a marvel of just about every discipline involved.

    1. Re:Why so angry? by CharlyFoxtrot · · Score: 3, Funny

      Because if the Russians can't launch rockets anymore who are the US going to pay to send stuff into space for them ?

      "NASA is reportedly paying Russia $1.5 billion over the next five years to transport its astronauts to and from the International Space Station."

      --
      If all else fails, immortality can always be assured by spectacular error.
    2. Re:Why so angry? by Trepidity · · Score: 3, Informative

      The Soyuz-2 is also not particularly unsuccessful, with 1 failure and 1 "partial failure" out of 17 launches.

    3. Re:Why so angry? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      If by "whining about" you mean "taking time to fully investigate what went wrong and correct errors" and by "giving up" you mean "trying again when ready" then sure. Two shuttle losses in 30 years and 135 missions. The American's "giving up and whining about" seems to be working for them.

      Meanwhile, Russia's strategy, which you seem to like, has resulted in 5 fuckups in a single year.

    4. Re:Why so angry? by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Citation needed. I don't think anyone is saying "Russia bad!" -- especially since we (the US) now rely on the Russians for human transport missions.

      Instead, we're saying "Russia, what the hell, this isn't like you. Get your shit together."

    5. Re:Why so angry? by Gideon+Wells · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Maybe they are angry for the same reason I am. We had a space program that was scrapped instead of trying to fix it for politics reasons. These are the guys we were going to bum off of.

      It is like we sold our Hummer because of the pathetic gas mileage with plans on getting a hybrid, decided the hybrid cost too much, and the best idea would be to pay out neighbor gas money to ride along in his duct-tape on wheels mobile.

      --
      by Anonymous Coward: I, for one, welcome the shift from car analogies to pizza analogies. um.. overlords?
    6. Re:Why so angry? by Cochonou · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We all agree that launching space vehicles is hard. But yes, the Russian could do better, because they are among the best designers of launch vehicles, if not THE best. Something very wrong is currently happening within the Russian space industry, and it's quite a disturbing sight.

    7. Re:Why so angry? by Eevee · · Score: 3

      The summary reads like an angry teenager implying that they could do better.

      Because they can do better. Starting from the Soviet Union days, the Soyez launch systems had an amazing success record. All the problems they've recently point to a falling of standards. From the bottom of the page:

      But as a space launcher, the R-7, with upper stages, became the most successful in history. By the year 2000 over 1,628 had been launched with a success rate of 97.5% for production models.

    8. Re:Why so angry? by cababunga · · Score: 4, Informative
      Found it here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_program#Budget

      The actual total cost of the shuttle program through 2011, adjusted for inflation, is $196 billion.[5] The exact breakdown into non-recurring and recurring costs is not available, but, according to NASA, the average cost to launch a Space Shuttle as of 2011 is about $450 million per mission.

      And here: http://www.nasa.gov/centers/kennedy/about/information/shuttle_faq.html#10

      Q. How much does it cost to launch a Space Shuttle? A. The average cost to launch a Space Shuttle is about $450 million per mission.

      In other words this five year agreement costs about as much as three Shuttle launches.

    9. Re:Why so angry? by Vadim+Makarov · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Something very wrong is currently happening within the Russian space industry

      My theory is that between 1990 and about 2004, the Russian space industry lost and could hardly retain any yound engineers. As the result, it now lacks the most professional and mature 40-50 something space engineers who have energy to lead design projects. The few old workers who weathered the dark years are getting retired, while the last generation taken in the last few years hasn't yet got the experience.

      --
      17779 eligible voters in a district, 17779 'vote' as one. This is Russia.
  2. Re:No Vodka! by oldhack · · Score: 5, Funny

    Triple the vodka for ruskies!

    --
    Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
  3. Re:Wondering ... by hedwards · · Score: 3, Interesting

    They ditched it at the right time, the problem is that we let budget cutters prevent NASA from funding the replacement we should have had 15 years ago. I remember in the late '80s seeing speculation about what the next space vehicles were going to look like. It's been over 20 years since then and they still haven't produced a final prototype.

    This stuff is complicated, but it's hard for me to believe that they couldn't have produced a retooled shuttle with newer innovations in 20 years time. At very least they ought to have been able to redo the controls and keep the same basic design. It's complicated, but hardly new territory like it was when they built the first shuttles.

  4. Sounds like they expected "botched" by John3 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    FTFA:

    "There is aging of many resources. We need to optimize everything. We need to modernize," Popovkin said.

    "It’s also aging of human resources," he added. "Given the troubles we had in the '90s, quite a lot of people left and nobody came to replace them."

    Maybe some of those things should be done before you just fire off another rocket. Those sound like serious, deeply-rooted issues. To do "rocket science" you need "rocket scientists" and apparently quite a lot of them have left the program.

    --
    "We make our world significant by the courage of our questions and by the depth of our answers." Carl Sagan
  5. maybe getting into space is really hard by k6mfw · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It seems most people see launching things into LEO is routine but talking with people who actually do the work (instead of armchair QB and paperpushers on the upper floors), rockets are very complex with so many parts and components. All (with exception of items covered by redundancy) must work in order to achieve speed and altitude to sustain orbit. Are they scaling back someplace that impacts quality? Of course USA hasn't had big failures with human carrying vehicles since 2003 (but then we don't fly such anymore).

    Sorry, I cannot come up with a "In Soviet Russia..." or a car analogy. But this thread is just begging for one.

    --
    mfwright@batnet.com
  6. Things fall apart... by damburger · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Nothing seems to work quite right these days, does it? The Russians can't launch rockets from a family of launch vehicles that has over half a century of heritage. The currency of continental Europe is on the verge of collapse and the French and Germans are near powerless to stop it. Stimulus packages on top of bailouts have failed to make a dent in a global crisis that has now been going on for three fucking years.

    Do we have some kind of species-wide dementia or something? Why can't we do stuff anymore that we used to be able to do?

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
  7. Re:No Vodka! by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So the Ruskies follow the Ballmer Peak when it comes to rocket building?

    Personally i though Gerald Bull had the right idea for launching unmanned payloads when he came up with the idea of using something similar to HAARP as a "space gun" but he simply didn't have the technology to make it work. Now that we have both rail and coil guns it should be easier to accomplish and ultimately lower the cost of putting objects into space. you could build the barrel on the side of one of those South Pacific islands we've had since WWII, build a small reactor to power the thing, maybe even use a small rocket for the final push after the energy from the firing has been expended so you won't have to build as big a gun.

    Ultimately I think we need to be trying radical new ideas as both us and the ruskies are basically using the same tech we stole off the Nazis at the end of WWII. We are never gonna get very far using nothing but chemical rockets and the cost per pound even after improvements is frankly nuts so we need to be working on tech that will let us launch material cheaply and effectively so we can then look beyond the moon towards mars and maybe even the outer planets. If we could send up the pieces via space gun we could then assemble the rocket in LEO and with a little luck we might even end up with a Mars base in our lifetime, but sticking with chemical rockets I doubt we're gonna be able to move the amount of cargo we'd need to be moving to make longer trips feasible.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  8. Re:Wondering ... by jd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think you need an "s" on the end of "replacement". NASA has shut down a staggering number of Shuttle replacement projects over the years. Politicians also caused many of the problems that eventually killed the Shuttle (such as causing the boosters to be chopped up for long-distance transport, removing the escape mechanisms that the original Shuttle design was supposed to have, slashing the budget to the point where the Shuttle was too small to carry the payloads intended and/or needed, etc).

    There was an effort to keep the Shuttle program going for a couple of years, but by the time it was in a position to do anything, all the factories had been shut down, all the expertise had been dissipated and all the infrastructure had been repurposed. So the effort came to nothing.

    It would have been good if NASA and Russia had been free to work together to get the Russian Shuttle fully operational, but US law prohibited any such international project at the time and still interferes horribly with collaboration with other nations today. You don't do space solo. You especially don't do space solo on a shoestring budget, a packet of airline peanuts and a promise by Government appointees to not blow you up next time.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  9. Angry? Probably more terrified. by jd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The only access to the ISS is via the Russian Soyuz, right now, and this will remain the case for at least 20 years - the time it'll take for a functional Shuttle replacement to be designed, built, tested and launched given the current available funding (or lack thereof), the very limited number of rocket designers in the US (rockets are updated regularly, but when was the last time the US actually invented one from scratch through to completion?) and the extreme age of all existing launch facilities.

    If a Soyuz carrying US astronauts reaches orbit but cannot dock with the ISS, the astronauts will be stranded. There's no rescue service possible. (Even with the Shuttle, there was a case where Russia almost did lose a Soyuz capsule with astronaut in space - it would have taken far too long for a Shuttle to have been readied and the altitude would have made it extremely difficult if not impossible.) More likely, if a stage failed, the rocket would be remotely destroyed along with the crew. Or it would smear itself over the landscape with much the same effect. We're increasingly aware that space is unsafe, but nobody is willing to stump up the cash to make it safe enough. It would also require total trust and cooperation between the US and Russia - and that would be political suicide for anyone in either country to suggest, let alone try.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:Angry? Probably more terrified. by Rakishi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Next time do even some research before spreading worthless garbage. Did a Russian rape your mother or something?

      Seriously, I can't find one sentence in what you wrote that isn't false, that's downright impressive.

      this will remain the case for at least 20 years

      The Space X Dragon Capsule had it's first test flight in 2010.

      the time it'll take for a functional Shuttle replacement to be designed, built, tested and launched given the current available funding (or lack thereof)

      The Shuttle was a giant worthless dangerous money sink that should never be resurrected.

      rockets are updated regularly, but when was the last time the US actually invented one from scratch through to completion?

      Falcon 9- First Launch in 2010
      Antares- First Launch to be in 2012

      extreme age of all existing launch facilities.

      I wish someone invented some way of building new things, boy would that be a wonder. Also, SpaceX is building a launch facility at Vandenberg Air Force Base right now. Guess someone did invent a way.

      If a Soyuz carrying US astronauts reaches orbit but cannot dock with the ISS, the astronauts will be stranded. There's no rescue service possible.

      So the ISS is populated by magical fairies that give the Soyuz their magic to get back to Earth and it can't de-orbit without their help?

      More likely, if a stage failed, the rocket would be remotely destroyed along with the crew. Or it would smear itself over the landscape with much the same effect.

      Unlike the stupidly dangerous Shuttle, the Soyuz system is perfectly capable of ejecting the capsule to safety even before launch. In fact, in one instance the they did do just that moments before the rocket exploded on the tarmac. Everyone survived.

      We're increasingly aware that space is unsafe, but nobody is willing to stump up the cash to make it safe enough.

      The Soyuz hasn't killed anyone in forty years, despite probably being run in a borderline criminally negligible manner for the last twenty. The Shuttle was handled with kid gloves in comparison and we still lost two of them. A capsule is just inherently an order of magnitude easier to shove with safety and failsafe features. More than once the Soyuz has reentered the atmosphere upside down while still strapped to it's orbital module. No one died. Imagine if the Shuttle did that.

      It would also require total trust and cooperation between the US and Russia - and that would be political suicide for anyone in either country to suggest, let alone try.

      The Russians seem to be doing rather well so far and I don't doubt SpaceX won't have much trouble either.

  10. Re:No Vodka! by Runaway1956 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You really don't understand the maintenance of alcoholism, do you? To much booze, and they're worthless. To little booze, and they are worse than worthless. You have to know the individual alcoholic, and maintain him at the proper level for maximum production, while keeping an eye on that weak link, the liver. At some point, the liver will fail, but you want to maximize production, while balancing a possible reduction of useful life.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  11. Re:No Vodka! by inviolet · · Score: 4, Informative

    Personally i though Gerald Bull had the right idea for launching unmanned payloads when he came up with the idea of using something similar to HAARP as a "space gun" but he simply didn't have the technology to make it work. Now that we have both rail and coil guns it should be easier to accomplish and ultimately lower the cost of putting objects into space. you could build the barrel on the side of one of those South Pacific islands we've had since WWII, build a small reactor to power the thing, maybe even use a small rocket for the final push after the energy from the firing has been expended so you won't have to build as big a gun.

    The atmosphere is the problem with cannon-style launches as Bull proposed. The higher up you can position the muzzle of your launcher, the less muzzle velocity you need, and therefore the less energy you need, and the less accelleration the payload must endure, and the less heat the projectile must resist. So an island at sea level is the very worst place to position your laucher (save perhaps for Death Valley).

    Inside a mountain in the Himalayas or Rockies would be a far better choice, with the muzzle emerging at the peak which is already halfway out of the atmosphere (and completely out of the dense, dusty, insect-filled, and humid part of the atmosphere).

    The launch accelleration is a more serious constraint than probably any other aspect of the project.

    --
    FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
  12. Re:No Vodka! by joggle · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's also a limit to how much an ablative heat shield can endure. After a certain point, the contents behind the heat shield will bake.

    It would be best if the mountain was near water so that if there's a launch failure there's less danger of ground casualties and it also gives a splashdown option for the astronauts.

    Perhaps Mauna Kea in Hawaii would be a good spot for such a launch. It's near the equator too so there would be a little extra velocity from the rotation of the earth for a prograde orbit.