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NASA Pulling Out of ESA-led ExoMars Mission?

astroengine writes "It's a strange irony that to afford the expense of space exploration, international collaboration is often sought after — spreading the cost across several international partners means the biggest space missions may be accomplished. And yet in times of austerity, national budgets balk at the prospect of investing in international projects like ExoMars. Sadly, that's exactly what could be facing the ambitious ESA-led Mars rover/satellite mission if NASA's Science Mission Directorate budget is slashed in the next financial year. NASA may pull out of the project, leaving ExoMars with no rockets or a means to actually land on Mars. Could Russia help out? Possibly, but it will still lead to ESA taking on more cost than it has budgeted for."

29 of 144 comments (clear)

  1. Stating one of the obvious comments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Russian tech and systems seem to have a hard time achieving a safe Martian landing, so the program may really be screwed.

    1. Re:Stating one of the obvious comments by SJHillman · · Score: 4, Funny

      What better way to secretly test ICBMs than claim they're supposed to go into orbit?

  2. Space/X by Cassini2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Space X has some ideas on how to land a rocket on Mars, and is already testing some design principles, like the SuperDrago rockets for landing its Dragon capsules.

    If I were the Europeans, I would be contacting them. The cheapest and best original thinking in the space race is currently at Space/X.

    1. Re:Space/X by tgd · · Score: 5, Funny

      The cheapest and best original thinking in the space race is currently at Space/X.

      And the biggest schedule slippage.

      Yeah, its amazing how NASA hit its goal of men on Mars in 1984, got the shuttle flying on time and under budget, AND had the ISS finished before the start of the 90's at cost! Why would anyone look anywhere else!?

    2. Re:Space/X by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      "Lots of people have ideas."

      And not many have rockets. SpaceX does, NASA doesn't.

  3. Amounts to sacrificing the mission - by Darth+Snowshoe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think it's disingenuous to say to ESA "hey, we can't cover this, hope you can find another partner" this far in. Maybe one can look at the overruns for MSL and JSWT and say that this is the responsible thing to do, to allow those two programs to finish, but in the middle and long term, this is going to prevent any further NASA-ESA collaboration. Where is the big dividend from having shut down the shuttle program?

    1. Re:Amounts to sacrificing the mission - by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Informative

      One of the articles talks about rumors of MAJOR cuts forthcoming at NASA (in the 50+% range) for the 2013 budget. If that's true, it explains why they've been gutting so many programs recently. It's likely that the administration has had this in the works for at least the last year or two. And with cuts like that, it's not like NASA is going to have much choice. They've already cut the shuttle program and taken a big hit on the Webb telescope. It's likely they'll cut a bunch of other stuff before they're done (wouldn't even surprise me if they abandon ISS ahead of schedule).

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    2. Re:Amounts to sacrificing the mission - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      US needs to take $5bn out from any federal budget, even war funds would suffice and use it for NASA. NASA barely hits 1% in the federal budget

    3. Re:Amounts to sacrificing the mission - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's already preventing collaboration. ExoMars has been in trouble on the US side for a long time now, and ESA has been planning appropriately. On some of the more recently accepted project proposals, such as the Euclid telescope and the Solar Orbiter mission, NASA have approached ESA wanting to participate and essentially been told to fuck off until they get stable funding.

  4. Public interest by Teun · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Practical issues like the availability of rockets are in the end just a matter of finances, both Russia and Europe have rockets large enough to support a Mars mission, because the US has more expertise they have a better chance of success.
    The biggest problem for all participants is public interest, without it politicians take the easy road and cancel science missions.
    With the present status of education in many EU countries and the US there is little chance to get the population interested, science loses from real time trash TV.

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  5. Re:But the military... by Miseph · · Score: 2, Funny

    "annual $5 Billion budget"

    BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! You fucking WISH the number was that low! $5 billion per year is NOTHING compared to the actual military budget.

    Wow, thanks for that. I really needed a good laugh.

    --
    Try not to take me more seriously than I take myself.
  6. Hugely misplaced priorities in US budgets by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 4, Informative

    This is quite outrageous these cuts, and the mission is a good is a very good value. It is simply a terrible state of affairs that high value and relatively low cost probe programs are being cut when we have politicians talking about a much more expensive manned mars mission, if we can't afford unmanned probes we have no business contemplating a much more expensive and much worse cost-benefit wise manned mission,. Ask scientists and they will say unmanned probes are the best value, give us the most data for least money and have best scientific value compared to manned missions, which are vastly more expensive. It is indeed almost a twighlight zone insanity and backwardsness when we have people talking about spending massive amounts of money on a hugely expensive (hundreds of billions) human mars mission programme, which has terrible comparative value and return on investment to unmanned probes, and we face this kind of cuts to real science probe programs.

    Unfortunately, US space exploration policy is driven more by buzzwards and hype than it is by real science. A human mission to mars would be very expensive and would, considering we can get a lot of data from unmanned probes, have very little additional value. For many people an manned mission is for entertainment value, it would be a very expensive and entertaining stunt. There is room for entertainment but spending hundreds of billions for this really way over the top.

    It has mostly been Republican politicians who threaten huge cuts to the space probe programs and to NASAs science missions but then they see to have these crackpot ideas of sending a manned mission to mars just after they have attacked much higher value probes. ThIs i think speaks to the immaturity of them and the lack of understanding of science and the finer points of what are actually the most cost effective ways to obtain data. Republicans are simple minded, they are too ignorant to understand the value of a probe mission and satellites and unfortunately it takes a glitzy circus like manned mars mission stunt which has comparatively little science value, it is because they dont understand the science and what the probes are doing. It is similar to how they view foreign policy, they don't have any like of anything that requires the use of the mind rather than muscle,. such as diplomacy, the only thing that stimulates the Republicans is outright aggression, bombs, missiles, fighting etc, so GOP foreign policy is full of wars and plans for wars but with very little room for diplomacy.

    The US clearly needs better leadership that is scientifically acute, that will continue to fully fund satellites, space probes and so on and is less aroused by stunts and entertainment that woujld be a manned mars mission,.

    1. Re:Hugely misplaced priorities in US budgets by tgd · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Unfortunately, US space exploration policy is driven more by buzzwards and hype than it is by real science. A human mission to mars would be very expensive and would, considering we can get a lot of data from unmanned probes, have very little additional value.

      US space exporation policy has always been hampered by two fundamental, and diametrically-opposed priorities. The first (and MASSIVE majority) is projects of specific strategic value to national security. The space shuttle, the ISS, the technology behind the hubble, most of the launch systems, weather satellites, GPS -- these are all developments that were purely based on national security interests. They were about keeping particularly important contractors in business, about political back scratching, testing launch hardware needed for weapons systems, detecting NBC weapons testing around the world, etc.

      A *tiny* amount of the budget has been focused on pure science. International partnerships are, generally speaking, never a priority for those projects. The overhead is too high, and costs too high. Its cheaper to do it ourselves if you don't have some other political justification for the partnership. You may have contributing scientists and engineers, but you won't see billions being spent on something internationally for pure science coming out of the US.

      That's the reality of space flight in the US. That's why talk about expanding the manned space program always comes up during election years, when people are standing on podiums in Houston or along the east coast in Florida. There isn't even a fraction of the budget that is needed for the programs the politicians are talking about coming out of that "non-political" budget. They know that, but the hope and promise buys votes.

      You're not going to see any major progress on BIG space technology in the US until we have a real enemy the politicians can rally the public behind, and can justify hundreds of billions of dollars for national security reasons. If you want to see the US get behind space exporation, what you really want to hope for is a permanently manned Chinese base on the moon, or a space station more sophisticated (in the public's eye) than a bunch of modules bolted together.

      Until that happens, its all just fantasy.

    2. Re:Hugely misplaced priorities in US budgets by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      Will you stop that? Curiosity is a great concept, a great rover but:

      1. It isn't there yet.
      2. 'There' is Mars that eats satellites and probes for breakfast.
      3. Even if it accomplishes 300% of design objectives, it is one tiny little probe on largish, unknown planet. ExoMars and Curiosity have somewhat different science packages. It's not like every good experiment got sent up on Curiosity. Even if it were a clone of Curiosity, it just might be nice to get additional data from said largish planet.

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  7. Re:Military black space programs by Miseph · · Score: 2

    And if that doesn't work, they'll stop coming back with bigger probes. Something's gotta work...

    --
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  8. Re:They probably don't see the value in it by Darth+Snowshoe · · Score: 4, Informative

    Parent comment is plain wrong. NASA is desperate for funds, happy to work with any capable and trustworthy collaborators. Cassini-Huygens is an example of a working collaboration.

  9. Necessary long-term investment by concealment · · Score: 2

    If disease, global warming, nuclear proliferation or political catastrophes manage to destroy humanity, we will see what a sound investment space travel would have been.

    Having only one planet for our species means we're only one disaster away from extinction. No other species (on earth) has this ability.

    If our scientists agree that our best efforts will not stop global warming, only lessen it, we might consider transferring that money into space programs. That way even if we destroy our climate here, our species will persist.

    1. Re:Necessary long-term investment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's very clear the only reason humanity has been so tame has been the consequences of high-yield war on this one, lone, home of humanity. Add another colony and pretty quickly some faction or other will implement a scorched earth policy with the reasoning: 'we can just flee to our Ceres habitat and get ready to rebuild.'

      I also contend that being greeted by some form of extrasolar sentient life will not have any great benefit. I expect 20% to want to kill it on sight, 60% to be uninterested and want to be left alone, and another 20% wanting to play Kirk. I'm fairly certain that the morphology of such sentience does not change the percentages, only which individuals fall into which group.

  10. Anybody notcing a trend here? by tekrat · · Score: 2

    As the United States tries to get their out-of-control spending more in-line with the rest of the world, what seems to be first on the chopping block? Basic research and science. Meanwhile, the government is doing everything is can to limit the freedoms of citizens and making it more difficult to enter or leave the country.

    It looks as though America is on a fast-track to going from superpower to third-world nation. Oh yeah, it'll still be the bully of the globe militarily, but that will be at the cost of the entire middle class, and frankly, that enormous military will be turned against it's own citizens when the riots start.

    With religious zealots running the show, it won't be long before we're talking about how great it was when the USA had electricity, and the Middle Class enjoyed a lifestyle that was the envy of the world. You guys are turning into Romania, but with nuclear weapons.

    I fear for our planet.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:Anybody notcing a trend here? by geegel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hey, I'm from Romania you insensitive prick.

      P.S. Since Romania IS part of ESA it will participate in ExoMars and we have no legal concept of illegal download, so maybe US turning into a balkanic country isn't such a bad idea

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      right...
  11. Re:But the military... by jamstar7 · · Score: 2

    The Defense budget hasn't been a mere 5 billion since, oh, 1948, IIRC. The current 3 wars we're involved in (Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya) each suck up about 5 billion a day thereabouts.

    --
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  12. Don't confuse NASA with JPL by Squidlips · · Score: 5, Interesting

    JPL is responsible for many successful planetary robotic mission including collaborationsas happened with Cassini and MSL. JPL has executed a many highly successful missions such as Voyager and MER2 (Opportunity) while never killing anyone or blowing huge budgets. Do not confuse JPL with the manned scapeflight porkbarrel in Houston. JPL does science; Houston does hugely expensive stunts and kills people. Unfortunately NASA is run by ex-pilots and astronauts; when robotic missions are cut, which happens all the time, Houston is usually behind it. The amount of money spent (wasted) on the spacestation and the shuttle dwarf the amount of money spent on Mars missions.

  13. Re:US Pulling Out - Lions and Tigers, Oh No! by Darth+Snowshoe · · Score: 5, Informative

    Comments like the parent here just drive me nuts! I should give up even reading much less replying to any space-related items here. "NASA is great at viewgraphs and theme parks, but as far as science goes, they're rapidly falling behind." Where does this kind of sentiment come from? Is it in any way bounded by reality? NASA's recent track record for planetary science is pretty good, held up to that of other national space programs (not to disparage those other programs, but just as a point of comparison);

      - JAXA's Akatsuki-Venus mission failed to enter orbit around Venus last year
      - Russia's Phobos-Grunt mission to Martian satellites failed to escape Earth's orbit
      - ESA's Mars Express mission lost it's Beagle-2 lander (crashed?)
      - Cassini's Huygens probe had a fair number of problems, including, at one point, its spinning in the opposite to intended direction during descent
      - India's Chandrayaan lunar probe operated for 312 days before failing , rather than its nominal 2-year mission (probably for thermal reasons)

    Compare with
    - NASA's MESSENGER, in orbit around Mercury for a year and producing a ream of science data
    - NASA's Kepler mission, boosting our count of exoplanets by something like an order of magnitude
    - NASA's Mars Rovers, 8 years into a nominal 30-day mission
    - NASA's Juno probe, on its way to Jupiter
    - NASA's Cassini flagship mission, far into extended mission already and aiming to keep working through 2017
    - NASA's MSL, over budget but successfully on its way to Mars
    - NASA's New Horizons, now closer to Pluto than any other man-made object, and moreso every day

    For the record, other current missions up for extensions include EPOXI, GRAIL, MRO, Mars Odyssey Orbiter, and LRO.

    Yes I'm cherry-picking a bit here, but overlooking dozens of other programs also. It's not my job to document all this - but before posting snide little "NASA's good at viewgraphs" comments, maybe do a minimal amount of search.

  14. Re:They probably don't see the value in it by Darth+Snowshoe · · Score: 2

    I don't think ExoMars' defunding, if the rumor is true, would be an example of a choice NASA has made, but rather a budget choice coming down from higher levels in the administration. If all that is true, it's really unfortunate, because, in the long term, its in America's interests to engage with other competent space programs, and to prove ourselves to be a trustworthy partner.

  15. Re:Stating the OTHER obvious comment by icebike · · Score: 4, Informative

    NASA/JPL have already solved most of the problems that this project is trying to replicate, launch, descent, landing and roving.

    The Curiosity Rover is already en-route to mars.

    NASA and JPL will have a full plate managing this rover along with the existing rovers over the next few years. The rover was designed, developed and assembled at JPL. NASA's Launch Services Program at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida managed the launch. NASA's Space Network provided space communication services for the launch vehicle, and the rover.

    Dealing with yet another program would be a huge distraction, entail a large resource drain bringing ESA up to speed, and transferring a lot of technology to them in the process, and being asked to pay for the privileged of doing so.

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  16. Dick waving by kubernet3s · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why does every discussion of a space program devolve rapidly into people calling every space program that isn't their favorite a bunch of incompetent jerks. Guys. Space travel is fucking HARD. There is no agency with any kind of pedigree that doesn't also have a lot of embarrassing screwups. SpaceX is just as bad as any of them: if it has fewer failures, it's because it has fewer successes.

    Everyone working in any kind of aerospace program is very intelligent. They are doing something very difficult, with very little room for error, in a room with a lot of different people. I think it's safe to say that space travel has a fairly consistent success rate across agencies, at least up to a reasonable error.

  17. Re:They probably don't see the value in it by icebike · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Assuming there is any competency worth engaging. We have landers and rovers on mars and another one (Curiosity) enroute.

    Why isn't ESA buying into our program instead of relying on us to fund theirs?

     

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    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  18. Re:US Pulling Out - Lions and Tigers, Oh No! by Darth+Snowshoe · · Score: 4, Informative

    For anybody with a real interest, here is a link to each of NASA's current missions;

    http://www.nasa.gov/missions/current/index.html

  19. Re:They probably don't see the value in it by lgw · · Score: 2

    Or we could have them both without taxing anybody. NASA funding is trivial. If you look at a pie chart of government spending, you'll see all the science/roads/infrastructure/etc spending - all the funding that actually does something - in the "other" slice. Check my sig for the 6 biggest expenses, you might be surprised.

    It's a good thing the defense department does research spending - it probably funds more research than the rest of the government.

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