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Emperor Penguins Counted From Space

HairyNevus writes "An international team of scientists used satellite technology to conduct a census of emperor penguin populations from outer space. Honing in on their colonies by looking for the brown patches of penguin guano that stand out in the snowy antarctic, high resolution images were taken and used to count the total number of emperor penguin species on the continent. The result was a census of 595,000 penguins, almost double the previous estimates of 270,000-350,000 emperors. This includes seven new colonies which had not been previously identified. Although this is uplifting data, computer modeling still shows that loss of ice flows in the northern reaches could result in problems for the penguins."

102 comments

  1. But the real question remains unanswered... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Are they super-intelligent Hive-Mind Killer Penguins planning to take over the world?

    They are headed North...straight towards humanity.

    1. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by dbIII · · Score: 2

      Nope, and not blind albino penguins sharing a cave with a shoggoth the size of a train either.

    2. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by cammoblammo · · Score: 2

      They are headed North...straight towards humanity.

      Ah, where the hoomans are. Even after RTFA I couldn't work out exactly where the northern reaches of Antarctica were.

      --

      Cogito, ergo sig.

    3. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      The coasts, perhaps?

    4. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      They are headed North...straight towards humanity.

      You see, when you live in the Antarctica, your traveling options are kind of limited. Go visit the South Pole, stand on top of it and try go anywhere else then towards north. Try going west, for example. You'll have a lot of fun.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by dargaud · · Score: 1

      That's how I explain it to people who ask question such as "What was before the Big Bang?". The question doesn't make any sense because time was created at the same time than the Big Bang. It's exactly like asking "What is farther south than the south pole ?!?". And yes, I've been there just to check... C;-)

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    6. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      And yes, I've been there just to check... C;-)

      Your pics from a 300 Club event or it didn't happen! :D

      (BTW, is the answer "136.575 Kelvins"?)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    7. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by Artifakt · · Score: 2

      Really, all of it's north of the middle spot. Every last bit. Odd thing that.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    8. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by dargaud · · Score: 1

      Your pics from a 300 Club event or it didn't happen! :D

      (BTW, is the answer "136.575 Kelvins"?)

      Here (in 1996) and here (in 2005). Happy ?

      You mean -136.575 Celsius, right ? C;-)

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    9. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait, let me get this straight... time was created? By whom?

    10. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by petman · · Score: 1

      What about tap-dancing penguins?

    11. Re:But the real question remains unanswered... by petman · · Score: 1

      (BTW, is the answer "136.575 Kelvins"?)

      ...
      You mean -136.575 Celsius, right ? C;-)

      I would beg to differ with that. Cold is a subjective perception. From a human's point of view, anything lower than body temperature is "cold", and anything higher is "hot". So, let' say we take body temperature as 37 deg C. 0 deg C is -37 degrees below the point of reference. So twice as cold as 0 degrees would be -74 degrees below body temperature i.e. -37 deg C.

  2. Ice floes, not ice flows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    nt

    1. Re:Ice floes, not ice flows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rain falls.
      Wind blows.
      Fire burns.
      Ice Flows.
      -Leeloo.

  3. Let us hope there will be a Linux joke! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It would be so unexpected. :|

    You kjnow Torvalds, penguins, Linux, Tux... Eh?

  4. 595,000 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Now we know the exact number of Linux desktop users world-wide.

    1. Re:595,000 by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Nah, it's just that 2012 is the year of the Emperor Penguin on the Antarctic plateau.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  5. Should have enlisted the NSA by ShooterNeo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Man, with the NSA's latest spy satellites, they could have totally counted the fleas and lice infesting the fur of those emepror penguins! Probably give them all prostate exams at the same time!

    Rant off...I just hate how everyone out there assumes that since it's the NSA paying for the satellites, they must somehow have sensors so good as to evade basic equations for the resolving power of a lens. Not to mentioned the fundamental problem that the more the satellite can zoom in on an area and resolve details, the smaller the area that it can be scanning simultaneously. So, even if the satellite could see the fleas on a penguin, it would only be able to view a few penguins at a time at that resolution and it would take it years to count a million of them.

    This is why there are probably not satellites watching you right now, personally, even if the government had the technological ability to track you this way.

    1. Re:Should have enlisted the NSA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nah they already got plenty of forms to track you. they no longer have to see you they can just infrared imaging or use large vans with gamma xray scanners..

    2. Re:Should have enlisted the NSA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Birds with fur? Did you graduate from public school?

    3. Re:Should have enlisted the NSA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Public school students perform just as well as private school students. Often better.

      In related news, American children generally hold their own against (or best) their overseas counterparts.

      But keep pushing those twenty-year-old myths.

    4. Re:Should have enlisted the NSA by Psychotria · · Score: 2

      Birds with fur? Did you graduate from public school?

      If that blows your mind, see this: http://www.topix.com/forum/city/west-plains-mo/THPIF1N4OJTH3ODJA

    5. Re:Should have enlisted the NSA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Birds with fur? Did you graduate from public school?

      If that blows your mind, see this: http://www.topix.com/forum/city/west-plains-mo/THPIF1N4OJTH3ODJA

      Did he graduate from public school as well?

    6. Re:Should have enlisted the NSA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      epic fail

  6. Highly conservative estimate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Other sources indicate that there are almost 60 million penguins

  7. Oblig. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In Soviet Russia:

    An international team of emperor penguins used scientist populations from outer space to conduct a census of satellite technology. ... wait, what?

  8. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    The most expensive alternative to counting sheep has been developed.

  9. Species by adam.voss · · Score: 4, Insightful

    the total number of emperor penguin species on the continent.

    Can a satellite really tell us the number is not 1?

    1. Re:Species by clarkn0va · · Score: 1

      mod misfire

      --
      I am literally 3000 tokens away from the chaotic crossbow --Stephen
  10. translation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Although this is uplifting data, computer modeling still shows we all must continue to vote Democrat.

  11. A Defeat for Al Gore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    That the study was published at all may be a reassuring sign that the global-warming-castrophe madness at the National Science Foundation and the bullying of the idiot Albert Arnold Gore may be coming to an end. At least for this battle, Al Gore lost a big one.

    There are many battles ahead of us in order to restore sanity to the US government.

  12. next question... by notgm · · Score: 2

    how many shoggoths?

    1. Re:next question... by arisvega · · Score: 1

      One. But it looks like many.

      --
      The three laws of thermodynamics:(1) You can't win. (2) You can't break even. (3) You can't even quit.
    2. Re:next question... by Artifakt · · Score: 2

      Now you've got me wondering what the maximum resolution of a shoggoth's eye complex is, if it puts every bit of pseudo-protoplasm it can into forming eyes. What's the maximum light gathering area for a 40 cubic meter volume typical shoggoth, and does it compare favorably with the Hubble, the Keck telescopes or the very long baseline array? Can a shoggoth count the satellites in orbit? And does it want to eat them? Can a satellite fail a 1D20 sanity roll? And how could we tell?

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
  13. Counting seems like an "easy" problem by ninjackn · · Score: 2

    The video in the article mentions that the computer does most of the counting and I get the feeling that surveying animal count from aerial photographs might only work with penguins in Antarctica. It's relatively easy to distinguish between snow, poop and penguin from a computer vision algorithm stand point seeing how it boils down to distinguishing between black or brownish spots with little noise from other unwanted objects. Not that I'm trying to say it's trivial to program it but it it's a lot simpler problem than say counting people in a city from space or cars.

    --
    [FUCK BETA 2.6.2014]
    1. Re:Counting seems like an "easy" problem by Psychotria · · Score: 3, Informative

      From the paper:

      Emperor penguins show
      as single or multiple pixels in the panchromatic band. Where
      penguins are dispersed, individuals can be identified and counted.
      However, in the majority of cases penguins group into close
      clusters and their shadows overlap, meaning that individuals
      cannot be differentiated and a different approach is needed.

      So it's not really as easy as it may first appear.

  14. Boring. by Higgins_Boson · · Score: 1

    It would have been MUCH cooler had they counted Gentoo Penguins from space.

  15. Penguin Guano? by gr8_phk · · Score: 1, Redundant

    Is guano produced by others or is "penguin guano" redundant?

    1. Re:Penguin Guano? by Psychotria · · Score: 2

      Difficult question to answer: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guano

    2. Re:Penguin Guano? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Guano is probably most often used to refer to bat guano, but sometimes for various birds too.

    3. Re:Penguin Guano? by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 2

      Guano is generally construed as being the excrement of seabirds (under which penguins are classified), bats, and seals. So, no, "penguin guano" is not redundant, as it distinguishes it from the guano of non-penguin seabirds, bats or seals.

    4. Re:Penguin Guano? by dargaud · · Score: 1

      The funny thing is that I keep getting asked about penguin poop... And now they've found a use for it (counting them).

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
  16. More but still "global warming" by p51d007 · · Score: 0

    Amazing....MORE of something but, still they keep up with the "man made" global warming BS.

    1. Re:More but still "global warming" by zerobeat · · Score: 1

      Well I dont know if you are serious... but an increase in population could be expected for some species due to global warming. The only expected outcome from there being nor global climate change is populations would stay the same.

      --
      What other people think of me is none of my business
    2. Re:More but still "global warming" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are not more penguins, the estimate of how many there are has been revised upward due to a better method of estimating the population. Not due to any environmental factors.

      Not understanding that and thinking this has any bearing on a Global Warming discussion is why you should not be allowed to have an opinion about that subject.

  17. I couldn't help it by Grayhand · · Score: 5, Funny

    I got this picture of a Google Earth car driving through a group of penguins.

  18. Double the number? by owlnation · · Score: 1

    They're COMING!

    1. Re:Double the number? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're COMING!

      That's what she said!

    2. Re:Double the number? by vencs · · Score: 1

      looks like the software counted the shadows of the penguins too, ending up double the number!

  19. emperor penguins from outer space by cayce · · Score: 3, Funny

    And I, for one, welcome our new penguin alien overlords.

    1. Re:emperor penguins from outer space by garryknight · · Score: 1

      Damn! I came here to say that! :-)

      --
      Garry Knight
  20. Count Them From Orbit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's the only way to be sure.

  21. How do they know? by loftwyr · · Score: 5, Funny

    An international team of scientists used satellite technology to conduct a census of emperor penguin populations from outer space

    How do you tell which ones are from outer space?

    1. Re:How do they know? by GoodNewsJimDotCom · · Score: 1

      >How do you tell which ones are from outer space?

      The ones that do the counting. (Emporer penguins counted from outerspace)

    2. Re:How do they know? by rts008 · · Score: 1

      LOL! Well done!
      I would have replied sooner, but a mishap* caused an unavoidable delay.

      * I almost swallowed my false teeth, you insensitive clod!
      Let me tell ya, it's not easy performing a Heimlich maneuver on yourself using the back of a swiveling, reclining, office chair on wheels....on a slick tile floor, while spewing beer out of the nose!

      Good thing I took a double shot of Geritol this morning!!!! ;-)

      A terrible waste of good beer, though....

      --
      Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
    3. Re:How do they know? by devitto · · Score: 1

      Duh. The ones with pointy ears.

  22. So, let's do Censuses more cheaply from now on... by ivi · · Score: 1

    We could just have "go out & be counted" days, ie, to see how many people we are on Earth.

    Of, for public opinion surveys (& citizen initated referenda), to vote, say, In Favor, you'd go out to have the top of your head photographed, in a Hi-Res satellite image. :-)

    These mechanisms have -none- of the security issues of eVoting systems I've read about (except the PhotoShop issues, I guess).

    And they'd be pretty hard to dispute, by dictators, if their elections were held by such means.

    Shall we call this: [Non-E-]Crowd-Voting? :-)

    Oh, we'd have to be careful - eg, when publishing & implmenting "photo / voting-times" - for survey or election districts cut by time-zone boundaries. ;-)

  23. pictures from space = bad by johnjones · · Score: 1

    well if you saw the pictures I seriously doubt that this is accurate

    the "image recognition" is basically counting blocks (with attributes) its not very good (I've seen it)

    the satellite imagery from space was awful resolution... they need to learn from search and rescue basically they need to gather their search pattern from the satellite and then fly a plane/helicopter/drone (U2 plane would be best) over and take the imagery and do a count based on that...

    I think everyone was assuming the imagery was like google earth but in fact most of that is taken from planes etc...

    looks like Press release rather than a serious count

    however does anyone know of any good pre built image recognition tools to actually count animals ?

    regards

    John Jones

     

    1. Re:pictures from space = bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You would think someone that knew so much about the image recognition would already know of good image recognition tools

    2. Re:pictures from space = bad by johnjones · · Score: 1

      animals are different from finding static targets... but you knew that...

  24. Obligatory Grammar Nazi by Cimexus · · Score: 4, Informative

    There's no such phrase as "honing in" on something.

    That phrase is similar to "intensive purposes", in that it results from a perpetuated mishearing of another phrase. You can "home in" on something - the phrase is "homing in". But to 'hone' means to sharpen (one's blade, one's skills, one's wit etc.)

    I am sure some will find some links that suggest that it's such a common mishearing that it has now become acceptable, but I don't agree. Both the Merriam-Webster (for US English) and the OED (for UK/Commonwealth English) state that "hone in" is an error.

  25. enough with advertising masquerading as stories by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    i'm sorry slashdot, i don't care how much rovio paid you, "angry birds space" is not something we need plastered...

    oh wait, never mind

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  26. I'll go into bat for this one by dbIII · · Score: 4, Informative

    Bats, equitorial seabirds, arctic seabirds and many things that crap in one place in large volumes produce guano. It is a word cool and exotic enough to be in a list of ingredients for an energy drink, but it really does just mean deposits of crap that have built up over a long time. In some places it's a valuble resource due to it being a easily obtained source of nitrogen for fertilizer and explosives. In the days of gunpowder it was paticularly valuble and was apparently a major source of income for countries like Chile.

    1. Re:I'll go into bat for this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Organic gunpowder, here we come!!

    2. Re:I'll go into bat for this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By 'crap' you mean 'shit', and by the ingredient in energy drink you mean 'guarana', or perhaps 'guava'.

      I hope that was an ironic +4 Informative.

    3. Re:I'll go into bat for this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need to work on your reading comprehension. He said that the word is "cool and exotic enough to be in a list of ingredients for an energy drink" not that it does in fact appear in a list of ingredients for an energy drink. The reason it doesn't appear in any energy drinks that I'm aware of is not that the word is insufficiently cool or exotic.

      You are correct, however, that "crap" is a synonym for "shit". Well done on that one.

  27. Space penguins by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

    Is this a new thing? Are they taking over our bases? What do they want!!!!

    --
    Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    1. Re:Space penguins by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are here to take over our desktops. Or they might wait until next year.

  28. New unproven approach yields new data. Hmm. by popo · · Score: 1

    I'm deeply suspicious whenever a new unproven methodologies yield wildly different data than previous methodologies.

    Was the methodology itself tested against known quantities?

    --
    ------ The best brain training is now totally free : )
    1. Re:New unproven approach yields new data. Hmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, there were no known quantities to test it against, save for synthetic test data. I'm sure they've tested their algorithms way ahead of shelling out the money for satellite imagery.

  29. stupid editors... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "computer modeling still shows that loss of ice flows in the northern reaches could result in problems for the penguins."
    there are no penguins in the north, they are all in the south hemisphere..

    1. Re:stupid editors... by zerobeat · · Score: 2

      I think the northern reaches they are referring to are the northern areas of antarctica. Naturally this is where the loss of ice flows is happening first.

      --
      What other people think of me is none of my business
  30. What I want to know is... by Tastecicles · · Score: 1

    ...did the penguins topple over backwards as they watched the satellite pass overhead? (OK I know it's a popular myth, long propagated by bored RAF pilots and long debunked by British Antarctic Survey experiments, but it's still a funny image).

    --
    Operation Guillotine is in effect.
  31. Isnt the answer 1? by zerobeat · · Score: 1

    high resolution images were taken and used to count the total number of emperor penguin species on the continent

    Since emperor penguins are a species, how can they count more than one species of Emperor Penguin?

    --
    What other people think of me is none of my business
  32. limitation by jamesh · · Score: 2

    It isn't mentioned in the article but the technology isn't yet advanced enough to count the penguins while they are moving, so the satellite had to kill them all using a death ray. They hope to have this problem resolved for next years census, which is predicted to be much quicker.

  33. Computer models- Bah! Humbug! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've been dealing with computer models (my own and others) since about 1980. They have a way of taking a tiny error and amplifying it beyond all reason.

    It's bad enough when you are dealing with a relatively simple system like, for instance, an airplane. The occasional airplane falls out of the air for reasons no one can figure out but the design models usually work pretty well*. For something that is really complex, like the climate for instance, models usually have zero skill at predicting the future. People using computer models to bolster their alarmist propaganda (about penguins or anything else) should be strung up by the thumbs.

    *The aviation industry has fallen in love with model-based design for their avionics. The trouble is that there is no way to predict every eventuality and include it in the requirements document. If a case isn't in the requirements document, it isn't dealt with. If that case arises during the operation of the airplane then the avionics won't react properly. Climate models are magnitudes worse. They are tuned with fudge factors that nobody can explain except by saying that they make the model fit the data. Of course once the model extrapolates into the future it usually doesn't fit the data any more. Bah! Humbug!

  34. Reason: Whales by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One reason the population of penguins is increasing, is because of the huge reduction in the baleen whale population in the Southern Ocean. Baleen whales and penguins compete for the same krill, so fewer whales means a lot more food for the penguins. When the whale populations rebound, the penguins population will return to normal.

    1. Re:Reason: Whales by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One reason the population of penguins is increasing, is because of the huge reduction in the baleen whale population in the Southern Ocean. Baleen whales and penguins compete for the same krill, so fewer whales means a lot more food for the penguins. When the whale populations rebound, the penguins population will return to normal.

      Ugh. I can only guess this was modded interesting because of the "interesting" premises/terms in your syllogism.

      A couple of things:

      1) Baleen whales and emperor penguins rarely (if ever) "compete for the same krill". Emperor penguins' primary food source is the Antarctic Silverfish, not krill. Emperors will eat krill, but it is no where near the top of their menu.

      2) TFA does NOT state that the [emperor] penguin population is increasing. TFA merely notes that we now have a new tool to count emperor penguins, and data from the new tool suggests our previous estimation of baseline penguin population was way off. Just because we now have a higher baseline estimate doesn't mean emperor population is increasing.

      The conclusion "When the whale populations rebound, the penguins population will return to normal" can't be supported, because it is based on faulty premises.

  35. I used to work with that U of MN group by AragornSonOfArathorn · · Score: 3, Funny

    They know their shit. Solid scientists.

    --
    sudo eat my shorts
    1. Re:I used to work with that U of MN group by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, they are also completely bat-guano crazy.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
  36. JUDAS PRIEST "4 THE PENGUINS" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Up here in space - I'm lookin' down on U. My lasers trace everything U do! You think you've private lives? Think NOTHING OF THE KIND! There is no true escape, I'm watching ALL THE TIME!! I'm made of metal - my circuits gleam! I AM PERPETUAL I KEEP THE COUNTRY CLEAN: I'm electric... Electric Spy. I'm protected (ELECTRIC EYE!!!). Always in focus: Can't kill my stare - I ZOOM INTO YOU (but you don't know I'm there). I take pride in probing ALL YOUR SECRET MOVES... my 'tearless retina' takes pictures that can prove..."

    APK

    P.S.=> By the way - I don't mean "Linux Penguins" either... apk

    1. Re:JUDAS PRIEST "4 THE PENGUINS" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  37. I say we... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nuke 'em from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

    BONUS: captcha METEOR

  38. Scary by Mathness · · Score: 2

    That scares me, emperor penguins must be the most dangerous creature on Earth if they can only be counted from space.

    --
    Carbon based humanoid in training.
  39. World Domination foiled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Damn, now breeding even more genetically modified penguins for taking over the world has become to risky...

  40. Usual Climate Malarkey by ghostdoc · · Score: 1

    You gotta love the spin on this.

    Facts:
    - scientists count birds, find twice as many as previous counts/expectations (TFA doesn't say whether the original estimates were counts or just estimates)

    So if they found twice as many birds as they previously counted/estimated, and climate change has been going on for 20/50/200 years, surely the penguins are in fact benefiting from climate change?

    Seems logical to me. They live in a extreme environment, climate change will make it less extreme, therefore they should benefit. There must be something on the planet that benefits from it getting warmer after all, and penguins would seem to be a logical candidate.

    But that would go against the media message that climate change is universally bad for everything. *sigh*.

    This is useful science, it's a new tool for actually counting animal populations as opposed to guessing their populations by estimating the amount of habitat they have to live in. It'd be great if we could just have the science, reported with no spin or political message, just 'hey science fans, here's something new!'. ...but science is now a political tool, so no, every serving of facts now wrapped in a handy hygienic message so you know what to think!

    --
    Business/App ideas are like arseholes: everyone's got one, they're mostly shit, but very rarely they contain a diamond
    1. Re:Usual Climate Malarkey by dargaud · · Score: 1

      Why do you have to spin this ? Everybody knows that climate change is not 'universally bad'. Places like Canada and Siberia are very likely to benefit from it. As for getting different numbers of penguins from two DIFFERENT methods, it doesn't tell you anything about the effect of global warming. You need to compare numbers obtained from the same method. Since this method is new, it's a non sequitur.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    2. Re:Usual Climate Malarkey by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      Places like Canada and Siberia are very likely to benefit from it.

      MAYBE.

      We think "global warming" means "temperatuers are going to rise" and while they are, that doesn't mean that chilly parts get warmer.

      It could mean we get less severe winters (good), but more severe summers (bad). Or current models show that what happens is we get an oscillation that reaches even more extremes. Winters get colder, and summers get hotter. Rather than cold areas getting more temperate (and temperate areas turning to desert).

      There's also a good reason that the loss of food-bearing temperate regions can NOT be made up by the introduction of new growing regions due to the sun's cycles - the growing season in Canada is already by definition shorter (global warming can't change the Earth's tilt).

  41. Disproving Dire Predictions Based on Models ... by fygment · · Score: 1

    ... based on incomplete information, while insisting that the models are still valid and the situation is still dire. What is more likely is that the penguins will adapt to their environmental changes ... as they have for millenia. Remember? They didn't just arrive on the planet and occupy their niche a few years ago.

    Love the science but am mightily weary of doom and gloom alarmist extrapolations to secure funding or public interest.

    I wonder if, in the penguin colonies, there are alarmist penguins saying that if they continue to procreate there will be no unstained snow left for little penguins to play in.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
  42. if, if, IF ... Can we get a figure on error? by fygment · · Score: 1

    If the climate models are correct
    and if the ice shelves behave according to their models
    and if predators move in to the niche (presumably according to some model)
    and if, importantly, the penguins themselves in no way adapt to the changing situation
    then the penguins MAY be affected.

    Each 'if' contributes an error that makes for a big margin over all. Why not just say, 'we really don't know what this means for the future, but we're hoping to develop a better understanding of the present' ... and nothing more.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
    1. Re:if, if, IF ... Can we get a figure on error? by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      Short form: If we move some polar bears to the south pole, they will have plenty of food to survive. The Penguins WILL be affected. If we put the penguins in cute little Purina Polar Bear Chow red and white checked tee-shirts they will be affected more rapidly.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
  43. Sorry to confuse you by using English slang by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Why do people fail to comprehend what they read and then decide they need to "correct" it? The words "It is a word cool and exotic enough to be in a list of ingredients for an energy drink" should have been the clue instead of the cause of confusion. Guarana, taurine, or a similar trace of pointless fairy dust might as well be bat guano because the name is the important thing instead of the lack of effect or lack of contribution to the taste.
    Crap is just as valid a word as "shit" in English.

  44. FML by Cazekiel · · Score: 1

    "Two-hundred-thousand and four... two-hundred-thousand and five..."

    "Okay, so that's a six-piece nugget for Dave, two large vanilla shakes for me 'n Joe... Tim? What did you want, makin' a lunch run."

    "One... sec... two-hundred-thousand and si--"

    "Mike, you're grabbing lunch? Cool, get me two apple pies."

    "They have strawberry too, now."

    "Ooh, then two of each--four total."

    "Two-hundred-pies and four... oh god."

    --
    You want to know how to help your kids? LEAVE THEM THE F*&K ALONE. --George Carlin
  45. Ridiculous by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "even though Penguin populations are up, computer models show there could still be catastrophic global warming"

    "even though the Greenland ice sheet is the largest it has been in recorded history, computer models show there could still be catastrophic global warming"

    "even though the average global temperature has been in rapid decline since 1997, computer models show there could still be catastrophic global warming"

    "even though polar bear population has been growing in recent years, computer models show there could still be catastrophic global warming"

    "Even though 2011 was much colder than average, computer models show there could still be catastrophic global warming"

    When are you cap & trade idiots going to stop it with this contrived bullshit?

  46. Sweet, hunting time! by orphiuchus · · Score: 1

    This is really awesome news, I've always wanted to shoot an emperor, but they won't let me into Japan for some reason.