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BitTorrent Traffic Falls In the U.S.

First time accepted submitter CAKAS writes "After legal actions taken by several industry outfits, BitTorrent traffic has fallen in the United States to the all time low of 12.7 percent of internet traffic. However, this trend seems to be unique to the U.S. — In other parts of the world, like Europe and Asia, BitTorrent traffic continues to rise. 'According to Sandvine, the absence of legal alternatives is one of the reasons for these high P2P traffic shares.' In the U.S. legal content delivery has flourished and provided customers easy access to content. This seems to suggest that due to these alternatives, people are less willing to pirate and pay the publishers for entertainment." (Calling it an "all-time low" seems a stretch, when talking about something released in 2001.)

37 of 129 comments (clear)

  1. Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by Feanorian · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Maybe Americans are getting smart and using VPN's and proxies :D

    1. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by matazar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not to mention seed boxes that can be purchased for cheap. Why waste your home upstream, when you can use a 100mbit connection to download and easily transfer it to your home computer with ssh/scp/sftp.

      Those companies must love seeing news like this. There's always another way..

    2. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Maybe Americans are getting smart and using VPN's and proxies :D

      Or US Internet traffic is growing - something the ISP's & cell carriers are crying about on a regular basis. If the overall usage goes up, stagnant BitTorrent traffic rates - or if the BT rates are growing at a slower rate as compared to overall US usage - will look like it declined.

    3. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or paying for and watching streaming media without needing a digital copy...rather than legal actions, it might be the fact that such options are more available in the US...

    4. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      *sigh* So let them enjoy their news and hush.

      Loose lips have been the reason they caught on with P2P in the first place. Why gloat, just enjoy.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      This. A billion times this. And atrocious dubbing, and delays (due to dubbing...) of a year and more in other countries before you can see your favorite shows (and well after the outcome of the season you are about to see has been discussed at length on the boards about it).

      Let people watch their favorite shows a week instead of a year after they come out, in their original language without butchering them with dubbing that kills any kind of meaning of the dialogues, and there is exactly zero reason for them anymore to even ponder going through the hardship of sifting through the various offered downloads and finding the one that actually contains the show.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by poity · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But think about the logic of that for a moment.

      If what the summary says is true -- that expanded legal alternatives have contributed majorly to the decrease in torrent traffic -- then it means that the argument that most piracy is the result of the content industry's sluggishness in adopting new business models rings true. However, if what you claim is true instead, then it means the former argument is wrong, and that piracy continues despite the industry's efforts to evolve and meet customers' desires.

      So, if the article is right, then it is clear evidence to the industry that evolving their business model will have a positive impact, whereas if you are right, then the industry has even more evidence that changing their business model has no effect.

      --
      your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
    7. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They get taken down to much. If you are after fresh material, IRC DCC bots are the best way to get it (at least for things like Anime and TV shows).

    8. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by poetmatt · · Score: 2

      and remind people where they aren't available again:

      everywhere else in the world.

      While you have this music/movie plethora on the US, it does not exist outside of the US. Even services to share movies are blocked in a variety of countries, which just creates more incentive to create more torrent traffic.

    9. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by kdemetter · · Score: 2

      Actually, they are both right :

      If the content industry adapts it's business model, then most people will not go through the effort of pirating.
      However, there will always be people who pirate, because they have the technical expertise, and so it's still easier for them.

      In short : if the content industry adapts there business model, they will increase their revenue again.
      However , they will never stop piracy completely, no matter how hard they try ( and waste money on it ).

    10. Re:Perhaps it's not that Bittorrent traffic fell by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Comments on /. are not really the problem. Making something public knowledge certainly is, though.

      As much as I was an advocate of "educating the masses" in my early geek days, I'm no longer a proponent of the idea of bringing our great new ideas and developments to them. Hate to say it, but we should simply keep it to ourselves.

      Think back of the early days of P2P and general content swapping. Did the MPAA care? Did they hunt you down like rabid dogs? Nah. It was a nuisance, but a petty one. Much like blackboxing was in the good ol' days. Sure, a few people did it and they got away with it, but nobody cared enough to prosecute it. The damage was small and the few that did it were not worth the effort.

      Think it would have been the same if it had been the widespread sport of Joe Randomboxer? Think AT&T would have been as lenient as they were? Think again.

      It's a matter of magnitude. It's simply damage vs. cost to avoid damage for them. Keep the damage low and they don't care about you. Ramp it up and suddenly you're in their sights.

      Yes, there are new ways of exchanging information and hiding it from the prying eye. But I'm no longer willing to share it with the masses. Call me an elitist bastard, so be it, but unless I can see some benefit in it, or rather, more benefit than harm, I see no reason to share that information with them.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  2. all time low? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ha! the "all time low" for bittorrent should be 0.00%, you know, back before bittorrent was invented. saying "all time low" is an odd expression for something that started at zero.

  3. Netflix, not "legal actions" by TheEyes · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Filesharing lawsuits and six-strikes laws never did anything to stem the tide of piracy. What's been causing the fall of Bittorrent as a share of internet bandwidth in the US is the rise of legal streaming sites (Netflix, Hulu, etc), alternatives which don't exist in most of the rest of the world.

    1. Re:Netflix, not "legal actions" by hendridm · · Score: 2

      What's been causing the fall of Bittorrent as a share of internet bandwidth in the US is the rise of legal streaming sites (Netflix, Hulu, etc), alternatives which don't exist in most of the rest of the world.

      For the time being...

    2. Re:Netflix, not "legal actions" by neros1x · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Isn't it funny? Record companies swore that DRM-free mp3s would destroy their industry, and the MPAA fought for years to keep movies offline. The rest of the world argues, "People will pay for content that is easily available and user-friendly." Now we have the proof. I feel vindicated, somehow.

      --
      The penguin made me do it.
    3. Re:Netflix, not "legal actions" by AngryDeuce · · Score: 2

      A much larger problem is going to be the rumored requirement of a cable subscription in the near future. That will be the death of Hulu and those bittorrent figures will jump back up again immediately after.

    4. Re:Netflix, not "legal actions" by zippthorne · · Score: 2

      Actually, it's problematically too long of a wait period. If the broadcasters prefer you to watch the show on the air, then a delay of longer than the new-show interval works against that goal by keeping viewers who want to watch shows in the correct order from catching up after a missed episode until the hiatus.

      It's almost as if their business plan is to punish viewers who fall behind for even a single episode...

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    5. Re:Netflix, not "legal actions" by causality · · Score: 2

      Now we have the proof. I feel vindicated, somehow.

      Unfortunately, these are not people who listen to things like proof and reason.

      They're just like political and religious fanatics. When the facts contradict their articles of faith, they simply scream louder. These are not people who would ever say something like "wow, piracy isn't a threat to us after all, you know sometimes it's good to find out you were wrong about something, whew, that's a burden off our backs!"

      --
      It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education. - Einstein
  4. TL:DR by Deathlizard · · Score: 2

    Netflix works.

    1. Re:TL:DR by AngryDeuce · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The thing I don't understand with Netflix is why the fucking PS3/360/Wii clients are so godawful. Why the hell do they not just give you a goddamned alphabetical list of everything they stream? Because it would be too easy for people to find what they really want to watch?

      I refuse to watch Netflix on my Windows PC because fuck silverlight in it's stupid ass, but the arbitrary beshittedness of the console clients has me utterly perplexed because I can think of no reason why they would release a client like that in the first place. It's ridiculous that I have to use a 3rd party site to browse their offerings like someone that isn't only interested in shows related to the last goddamned thing they watched or some ridiculously specific categories ("Ooh, let's browse the 'heartwarming family films from the 80's' category, that's bound to have a wide selection to choose from for streaming!").

    2. Re:TL:DR by Deathlizard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I wanted to keep the original post simple, but you're right.

      The biggest problem here is that content providers don't want services like Hulu and Netflix. They would rather you pay for cable or Satellite or DVD's ETC. Hell, they don't even like VCR's or DVR's for that matter.

      A great example I could give is lets say I want to create a cable company called CableNet which would be a cable company that uses internet streaming boxes (ie Roku, Boxee, Google TV, ETC) and HTML5 web browsers to stream live cable TV channels to any PC, TV, or mobile device. Lets say I even charge Cable rates for the service. (ie 19.95 to 59.95 depending on channel packages.) I guarantee that It would be near impossible to get content providers on board even if I was willing to pay the same or even higher license fees that the big cable companies like TWC and Comcast were paying simply because I'm using the internet instead of Coax or a satellite to stream Live TV. If they did get on board they would force restrictions like you could only use one stream per account, or allow multiple streaming for one IP only. Or would have to DRM the hell out of the stream or even block certain content. I won't even get started with Internet providers regarding this service. TWC and Comcast would do whatever it takes to kill this model from Data caps to price hikes for cableless internet.

      This is the problem that Netflix and Hulu have. RIAA and MPAA knows Netflix works. Its a shame that they keep trying to kick Netflix and Hulu to the curb.

  5. Is actual usage falling? by hkmwbz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So, is actual BT usage going down, or is something else simply growing much faster?

    Actually, the article states:

    it's clear there's little to no growth in BitTorrent use

    But:

    These numbers don't take into account that absolute traffic has increased

    So what does that mean? How did they conclude that there's little to no growth if the numbers don't even take a very important fact like absolute traffic growth into account? Just wild guessing?

    And little to no growth doesn't mean decline. It means it's stable. So it's not really accurate to claim that "BitTorrent Traffic Falls In the U.S."

    Maybe one will have to read the full report, and it's all there. But I don't think the linked article supports the assertion that BitTorrent traffic is falling in the US. At worst, it's growing slower than other services.

    --
    Clever signature text goes here.
  6. idiots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    let me see they migrate to a new format that cuts the size roughly in half and the traffic is at 12.7 % that means to equate it to old use would be 25.2% an actual increase form the 17 % it was the previous year...
    WOOT FOR STUPID PAYING ATTENTION
    and cudos to x264 for making it to the big time ( i been making my own SD x264 rips since 2004)

  7. I doubt it by moogied · · Score: 2

    It doesn't make any real sense why people would stop downloading over bittorrent suddenly this year. If anything I imagine the big bittorrent users(The scene guys and usenet folk) just started to using encrypted tunnels to rented servers. You can get a decent one with 500gb's of traffic for cheap. You can easily ramp that up to 1tb+ for under 100$ a month. While yes, that is beyond what most people will use, but its not unreal to think that the big bandwidth users(500gb + a month) are moving towards it. I know that several scene users utilize these remote servers. Combine that with SSL encrypted traffic between clients and wham! Big drop in detectable traffic.

    --
    So basically, -1 troll/offtopic is really slashdots way of saying "I hate that you thought of something before me."
  8. Different conclusion: by nurb432 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    1 - Nothing released recently is worth getting..
    2 - Proxies/darknets

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  9. The reason for the decline by charliestl · · Score: 2

    The new season of Breaking Bad has yet to air.

  10. seedbox. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I and many people I know have been getting seed boxes. I think more torrent traffic is just becoming encrypted.

  11. It's not piracy! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

    "This seems to suggest that due to these alternatives, people are less willing to pirate and pay the publishers for entertainment."

    Downloading is NOT piracy! They are two very different things. Stop doing the copyright trolls' jobs for them by calling it what it isn't.

  12. Stupid 'just to be heard' editorializing by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 2

    (Calling it an "all-time low" seems a stretch, when talking about something released in 2001.)

    What, '10 year low' sounds like a stretch?

    --
    Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
  13. Lies, damned lies, and statistics by patchmaster · · Score: 2

    The conclusion that BitTorrent traffic has "fallen" is not actually supported by the Sandvine report. They complicate things by reporting everything as percentages, but if you dig deep enough you find overall mean traffic is up 40% year-over-year. So, in reality, BitTorrent traffic has continued to GROW, it's just a smaller percentage of the overall traffic.

    They actually make this point about Netflix in the report. Their share of peak traffic increased by only 0.2%, yet they point out that due to overall traffic increase this amounts to a 30% increase in absolute traffic associated with Netflix.

  14. Re:Encourgement by Nidi62 · · Score: 2

    It's lose-lose for us. BitTorrent numbers go down, *AA's go "hey, look, our methods are working. Now to turn up the heat even more!". If the numbers go up, they say "our current methods aren't working, we need to get even more strict and ruthless." Either way, we lose.

    --
    The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
  15. We've DOWNLOADED all the MOVIES by billstewart · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The reason BitTorrent traffic is falling is that everybody's downloaded all the old movies already. So now we're just getting the new ones, not catching up on backlog.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
    1. Re:We've DOWNLOADED all the MOVIES by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      But my hard drive just failed and I was too poor to buy a backup. Dammit now I have to download them all again- and this time in 1080p HD.

  16. Re:P2P traffic is legal! by jones_supa · · Score: 2

    Only minor share of P2P is used for legal purposes. Most of it is warez.

  17. even more drastic by slashmydots · · Score: 2

    If you consider that average bittorent files have gotten larger due to faster encoding computers, faster upload speeds, cheaper large storage, etc then it's even more drastic of a drop off.

  18. Re:New movies aren't even WORTH downloading by guru42101 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    My opinion is that most new stuff hasn't even been worth downloading. Several of the "blockbuster" movies that I've downloaded I deleted within 15 minutes. For other people I think Netflix and Redbox are an acceptable alternative as well.

  19. Re:P2P traffic is legal! by MSojka · · Score: 2

    Many of the game distributors use P2P as well - in the specific case of BitTorrent, for example Blizzard, Square-Enix and anyone who uses the Pando Media Booster (NCSoft, Riot Games, ...) are using it to deliver the games and their patches. Given the popularity of games like WoW, Diablo III or League of Legends, that's not really a "minor share"