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Intelsat Signs Launch Contract With SpaceX

New submitter jamstar7 writes "Following the success of the Falcon9/Dragon resupply test to the ISS comes the following announcement: 'Intelsat, the world's leading provider of satellite services, and Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX), the world's fastest growing space launch company, announced the first commercial contract for the Falcon Heavy rocket. "SpaceX is very proud to have the confidence of Intelsat, a leader in the satellite communication services industry," said Elon Musk, SpaceX CEO and Chief Designer. "The Falcon Heavy has more than twice the power of the next largest rocket in the world. With this new vehicle, SpaceX launch systems now cover the entire spectrum of the launch needs for commercial, civil and national security customers."' As of yet, the Falcon Heavy hasn't flown, but all the parts have been tested. Essentially an upgunned Falcon 9 with additional boosters, the Heavy has lift capability second only to the Saturn 5. On top of the four Falcon Heavy launches planned for the U.S. Air Force this year, the Intelsat contract represents the true dawn of the commercial space age."

42 of 167 comments (clear)

  1. Good by captainpanic · · Score: 5, Informative

    I am quite happy with the commercialization of space flight. I've always thought that the national space agencies were on the wrong path for decades. They always seem to aim for increased security and safety. I think spaceflight has gone over the top: the costs of increased safety are just not worth it. Commercial enterprises are excellent at making a proper risk assessment: certain risks are simply acceptable. This attitude is likely to reduce costs, which is what we need.

    Obviously, NASA or ESA can still ask SpaceX to launch a couple of thousand tons of material into orbit, to assemble a Mars rocket and lander in orbit. :-)

    When launching from Earth becomes easy, the next step can be considered.

    1. Re:Good by rufty_tufty · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Putting on my strategic management hat I was a little worried when I first heard this news. I should explain:
      In most engineering you have a core group of engineers. Put too many on one project and progress gets slower not faster. Likewise there are only so many good engineers around, adding poor engineers to a group slows the group down disproportionally.
      So the way to be successful is often to have the smallest team you can get away with working on one goal. Even having auxiliary teams that take the technology you develop and apply it to new applications slows the core team down because they need to provide support to the auxiliary teams. No amount of money or clever management or good people can really change this.
      So I was really worried about this particular step of the commercialisation of space because if they get distracted into competing with the entrenched players then they could lose the goal of getting cheap manned presence in space. If they are busy servicing commercial customers will this take their eye off the goal of manned space flight and orbital facilities?
      But then I guess that this commercial offering will keep them honest, accountable and above all visible to their costs so that others have to keep up. That and developing heavy lift is part of the end goal.
      That said I'm a little concerned that on Earth heavy lift is a relatively small part of the transport market. There are very few trucks on the road that carry more than 40 Ton, so why do we need so much spacecraft development focussed on >40Ton.
      I guess the answer to this is that most of the stuff on earth that is >40 Ton of the road is construction equipment and we certaily need a lot fo that in space...

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    2. Re:Good by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I've always thought that the national space agencies were on the wrong path for decades. They always seem to aim for increased security and safety. I think spaceflight has gone over the top: the costs of increased safety are just not worth it. Commercial enterprises are excellent at making a proper risk assessment: certain risks are simply acceptable. This attitude is likely to reduce costs, which is what we need.

      If you're going to send people into space then reducing risks is your primary objective. Astronauts spend years in training and are a very specialized group. If you play it lose with their lives you're not going to have many 'volunteers', and the time between missions will always be increasing.

      Since the shuttle was the primary means for getting people into space and delivering goods to the space station safety had to be paramount. Doing it with unmanned rockets reduces all the costs associated to the delivery. If one (or more) SpaceX rockets explodes on its way to the space station the costs of security and safety will not seem excessive.

    3. Re:Good by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 2

      I agree about the safety point. Exploration isn't about safety. When Columbus set out to find a trade route to India he knew some motherfuckers would die on the way over. But he went anyway because he knew there would be some major dubloons in it for him if he made it. Of course it helped that he was backed by a gold-hungry monarchy and not a democracy that would rather vote for free cheese and tax breaks. But I digress.

      If governments thought that there was money to be made in space (mining, harvesting, conquering and pillaging, etc) they'd be putting anyone they could into vehicles that were 'good enough' and sending them out to bring back the bounty. In Columbus' day (and for hundred of years after) people's lives weren't worth much. People were even were at risk of being attacked by waring armies or marauders or even their own king's men on a daily basis. Sadly this remains true in some parts of the world.

    4. Re:Good by khallow · · Score: 5, Interesting

      So I was really worried about this particular step of the commercialisation of space because if they get distracted into competing with the entrenched players then they could lose the goal of getting cheap manned presence in space. If they are busy servicing commercial customers will this take their eye off the goal of manned space flight and orbital facilities?

      That's not their goal. So you don't have worry about them losing it. And we should be expecting more from these "entrenched players". Some competition will help there. Finally, servicing commercial customers sounds to me a more worthy goal and not at all one incompatible with the others. After all, humans and habitats are payloads that a commercial customer might want launched.

      There are very few trucks on the road that carry more than 40 Ton, so why do we need so much spacecraft development focussed on >40Ton.

      OTOH, there are very few trains or cargo ships that don't carry at least hundreds of tons of payload. And supertankers can go to hundreds of thousands of tons of payload.

    5. Re:Good by slippyblade · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If you play it lose with their lives you're not going to have many 'volunteers', and the time between missions will always be increasing

      I'd have to go out on a limb here and say... no. Even if their was a 25% failure rate (which is obscene and not within the realm of feasibility) I guarantee that you'd have volunteers lined up to man the missions. Would they be as "highly qualified" as a NASA astronaut or Russian cosmonaut? No. But do they really need to be? The commercialization of space will do the same thing that it has done to every other sector and lower the skill requirements to accomplish tasks. Hell - if things go right they'll be lining colonists up at the gate in the next few decades - and I'll be in line even if I only had a 75% chance of surviving.

    6. Re:Good by khallow · · Score: 5, Insightful

      From what I've heard, there's no trade off between reliability and cost. The cheaper vehicles will probably be the more reliable ones as well, due to learning effects from increased launch frequency.

      What I think was going on with NASA was overengineering parts for a ride with over a 1% loss rate. One can spend a lot of money making a nearly perfect part or process more nearly perfect. But if the overall system is unreliable and remains unchanged despite the improvement, then that expenditure is effectively wasted.

    7. Re:Good by EdgePenguin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Commercial enterprises are excellent at making a proper risk assessment" - like assessing the risk of a loan or mortgage defaulting, for example?

      SpaceX is doing well, but lets please drop this ideological bullshit about markets being some magic diving mechanism. They aren't - they are a clumsy metaphor for the random noise generated by transactions. Not magic.

    8. Re:Good by trout007 · · Score: 2

      I am a true believer in free markets. But you are making a mistake assuming a particular commercial enterprise is going to be successful at making a risk assessment. The reason a free market is superior is because it uses the power of natural selection. Those individual companies that have been successful to their customers and owners to date will survive. Those that fail for whatever reason will die. The thing with risk assessment is there is no test you can do ahead of time to prove something will be successful. Reality is the final judge and it's a bitch.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    9. Re:Good by El+Torico · · Score: 2

      Even if their was a 25% failure rate (which is obscene and not within the realm of feasibility) I guarantee that you'd have volunteers lined up to man the missions.

      Would you be willing to take a commercial air flight if the failure rate was 25%? 15%? 5%? How many pilots would fly with those failure rates? How many companies would send expensive cargoes with those failure rates?

      Hell - if things go right they'll be lining colonists up at the gate in the next few decades - and I'll be in line even if I only had a 75% chance of surviving.

      Yes, they'll have a lot of volunteers, but how many of those volunteers will have the necessary physical capabilities and specialized skills? Those that do will be too valuable to risk unnecessarily. Besides, where can we put a colony? There simply isn't anyplace that compelling.

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    10. Re:Good by captainpanic · · Score: 2

      No, you don't digress at all. You describe a perfect example of the results of a risk assessment, and also why the results of modern governmental risk assessments are different. An investment is all about risks.

      The trip Columbus took was ultimately to find a cheaper way to India. The fact that he found a new world was merely a coincidence, and actually meant a failure of the original mission. The investors that financed Columbus' trip were in it to make more money.

      In the old days, government attitudes had swung perhaps to the other side: they completely ignored risks and were quite reckless at times. Good for exploration, bad for the health of people.

      It might be interesting to add that a large portion of the explorations was (co-)funded by companies. The East India Company (both the Dutch and the English one) were companies, and were not owned by the crown or government.

    11. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Random noise? That's the sound of the "Great River" of the Continuum. Your lobes are probably too underdeveloped to hear it.

    12. Re:Good by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 2

      OTOH, there are very few trains or cargo ships that don't carry at least hundreds of tons of payload. And supertankers can go to hundreds of thousands of tons of payload.

      You've cracked it... we need a rocket train!

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

    13. Re:Good by rufty_tufty · · Score: 2

      The chance of losing your incredibly expensive payload is a factor in the price that customers are not going to ignore

      That's why a major part of the cost of launching a satellite is insuring it. If the money you save by a cheaper rocket is less than the cost of the larger insurance premium you have won.
      And if rockets were cheaper you would be less risk averse when it came to satellite design and be willing to design a much cheaper satellite.
      So It's not a simple set of equations but put it this way: we don't design terrestrial domestic satellite dishes to be nine nines reliable because we can cheaply replace with a new one. In orbit satellites however have to be massively overengineered mostly because of the cost of sticking a new one up there. If launch were cheaper you could have both increased in orbit and on the ground redundancy.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    14. Re:Good by roman_mir · · Score: 2

      like assessing the risk of a loan or mortgage defaulting, for example?

      - of-course.

      The risk of defaulting on mortgages and other types of loans is absolutely negligible if there is a government guarantee behind the loan and also if the mortgage is given with free money printed by the Fed.

    15. Re:Good by Teancum · · Score: 2

      Individual companies suck as risk management. I'd have to agree on this one. Here is the problem for government vs. private enterprise though:

      An organization, any organization (government, private enterprise, even a non-profit group) can have some brilliant leadership which does some amazing things, go to unique places, or achieve some remarkable accomplishments. Occasionally you will even find some organizations which can even produce a series of amazing results one after another.

      The problem with a government agency is when that organization no longer is being productive, and has a group of people who don't know what they are doing or lacks the leadership for them to continue beyond their current status quo. With a government agency, about the only thing which will get rid of that organization is something so dramatic that often people will die, such as armed revolution, civil insurrection, or having the agency do something so horrible that it simply can't be tolerated and it is finally shut down. Generally speaking, government agencies simply don't get shut down. They have a constituency in place that protects them, and attempting to kill any organization of government bureaucrats is often an exercise in futility. We only have one government, so either it works or we all fail as a society.

      On the other hand with private organizations, they simply must be responsive to the market or they perish. A for-profit company must continue to earn money or they go bankrupt. If they keep screwing up, if they are so paranoid about risk that they refuse to take any sort of risk, they simply start to lose markets. That is precisely what SpaceX is doing, where they are a new start-up which is willing to take risks and do some things which are different from their competitors who were so risk averse that they refused to do some of the things that SpaceX has been doing.

      For non-profit organizations, their options are even more dramatic. If they start to seriously screw up, their donation stream comes to an end and the organization eventually is disbanded. Non-profit groups also go bankrupt through mismanagement, corruption, and failing to innovate. The fact that the focus of the organization may be for profit or for some other motivating factor is irrelevant.

      The one distinction about non-profit groups though is where their source of funding comes from. If their donations are primarily from private donors and individuals, they will be much more responsive to the needs of those individuals. On the other hand if they get most of their money from a government, they are essentially a government agency in all but name only and suffer from the same problems of all government agencies: eternal life and ossification of ideas. Sometimes a legislative body will cut funding to these groups, but usually not. Just think about how often Head Start agencies become a poster child of insensitive legislators (members of congress, state legislators, and even city council members) when their funding is cut. Merely suggesting that you will cut a supposedly popular program is enough to get you defeated.

      BTW, this is also what has been happening with spaceflight in America too. Instead of "non-profit" groups, you have a bunch of companies who for decades have been riding almost exclusively on government funding to the point that they might as well be government agencies in their own right. Many of these companies have offices right next door to the congressional office buildings where in some cases they simply put their staff members directly into the staff of members of congress for the express purpose of making sure their company is strongly considered when the next round of funding happens. Essentially there is no way for these companies to go bankrupt or even for other companies to enter the market as it all becomes government services.

      In all of this, there are several people who have leveled criticism at SpaceX as a company for even trying to pursue government contracts such as the NA

    16. Re:Good by khallow · · Score: 2

      "Commercial enterprises are excellent at making a proper risk assessment" - like assessing the risk of a loan or mortgage defaulting, for example?

      They got the bonuses and someone bailed them out. Sounds to me like they got the right outcome whether or not the risk assessment was "proper".

      SpaceX is doing well, but lets please drop this ideological bullshit about markets being some magic diving mechanism. They aren't - they are a clumsy metaphor for the random noise generated by transactions. Not magic.

      Clumsy ideological bullshit that works, mind you. If you want to regulate it, or replace it with a state enterprise, you should, as in the mortgage example you gave, be mindful of unintended consequences. What you consider "proper risk assessment" may not be what you are rewarding those parties for.

    17. Re:Good by AdrianKemp · · Score: 2

      Don't be silly, commercial airflight and space flight have nothing in common.

      Would I board a jet knowing that there was a 25% chance of death? fuck no.

      Would I board a manned mission that was worthwhile (ie. moon base, mars base) knowing there was a 25% change of death? fuck yes, you'd have to have the odds upwards of 75% before I'd even bat an eye. The potential benefit to humanity as a whole is well worth the sacrifice.

      FYI I'm 6"4, in excellent physical shape with no medical conditions that would preclude space flight and I'm lots smart enough to learn any skills needed as long as they're not flat out acrobatics or some such.

    18. Re:Good by El+Torico · · Score: 3, Informative

      Isn't that the best kind of maniac? Seriously, it takes someone of Herculean audacity to break into an entrenched market. SpaceX doesn't have hundreds of retired, formerly high-ranking military officers and former civilian employees of NASA to provide contacts, business intelligence, and influence. They may have lobbyists and "influence" over politicians, but definitely not to the same degree as the names you mentioned.

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    19. Re:Good by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      From what I've heard, there's no trade off between reliability and cost. The cheaper vehicles will probably be the more reliable ones as well, due to learning effects from increased launch frequency.

      That's the theory. (Along with it's handmaiden, "simpler is safer than more complex".)
       
      To date however, there's no evidence that either is true. The Russian Soyuz family of launchers (and the R7 family they're derived from) are cheap, relatively simple, and the oldest and most flown design in the world - but their reliability is hardly distinguishable from that of the Space Shuttle or any other booster.

    20. Re:Good by Guspaz · · Score: 2

      It's worth pointing out that there is no company called "SpaceX". The name of the company is "Space Exploration Technologies Corporation"

      If you're going to say that a company whose name starts with "Space Exploration" and whose stated goal is to "make life multi-planetary" isn't about exploration, well, please define exploration; your definition seems to differ from mine.

  2. more than twice the power of next largest rocket by Chrisq · · Score: 4, Informative

    The statement "The Falcon Heavy has more than twice the power of the next largest rocket in the world" is true but somewhat misleading. Both the USA and Russia have had rockets in the past with more than twice the power that the "Falcon Heavy" will.

    Also, since this is in development, maybe the comparison should include other systems in development. Russia has a rocket with similar capabilities as the Falcon Heavy scheduled for launch at the same time, and China has a system under development" which has a lower low-earth orbit capability but similar lifting capability to geostationary orbit that is scheduled to launch a year later.

  3. Re:This is the exciting bit. by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Launching a two stage rocket to orbit is not exciting. Being able to build a tin can with a propulsion module is not exciting. I congratulate SpaceX for having done it, but it's not a major step forward in space technology.

    It's pretty damn exciting if you are the company doing it. Just because most people take these things for granted doesn't mean we should dismiss the level of SpaceX's accomplishment. Hell, launching a new car company is pretty drab to most, but it is still a technological feat and is beyond the ability of most people who have ever lived (or ever will).

  4. Re:more than twice the power of next largest rocke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    I think the chinese one will be completed once the others have been completed and they have had time to "Evulate" their designs lol

  5. Re:Unpublished Launches? by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 2

    Unpublished Launches?

    In my day those were called secret launches. They all turned out to be weather satellites so none of us were worried.

    Don't be surprised if some of the 'tests' actually launch something for the military. It's not like they have to be worried that someone is going to see what they're doing up there.

  6. Re:The Steve Jobs of rocketry? by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's part of his job title, I think a public statement about what Musk thinks is important. And the "Chief" label indicates that it's probably mostly a management position.

    But I never understood the emphasis on credentials. Having a particular degree doesn't make you a good rocket builder. Launching rockets that work is a much more credible indicator of your capabilities. Musk and his amazing team have achieved that bit.

  7. Re:This is the exciting bit. by queazocotal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "not a major step forward in space technology"

    This is both true, and completely false.

    It's of course true, because little about SpaceX's designs are explicitly 'high tech'.
    They do not use metallic thermal protection, linear aerospikes, conformal tanks, ...

    However - it's false because it assumes those things are useful at a given stage in technology.

    As an example, trying to bring in turbocharged engines into mass production at Ford in 1910 would have been a great leap forward in terms of technology - but likely an utter failure due to cost and lack of reliability.
    Things that are not exciting in terms of technology can if well-implemented enormously boost whole areas of the economy.
    The interstate network was an example of this, as was the invention of containerised transport.

    The use of cross-feed is new.
    No launcher yet has used this concept of feeding from the edge boosters to the middle, so the middle boosters tanks remain full until the outside ones seperate.

    This has significant advantages over having either the middle stage light on the pad, and deplete its fuel, or light in mid-air once seperation is over - losing the thrust and increasing gravity losses.

    It also has significant (in principle) cost and compatibility advantages.
    If you can use most of the same parts for a Falcon 9, or a falcon heavy launch that both reduces your production cost, lowers inventory, and allows you perhaps to much more easily develop global reusability.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grasshopper_(rocket)#Grasshopper is the prototype vehicle for stage 1 of falcon 9 (and if falcon heavy stages are identical...) which will if successful allow the first stage(s) to be recovered and reflown.

    Again - this isn't technically interesting.
    There are no new technologies in this.

    But to use the old quote 'Quantity has a quality all of its own.'.

  8. Now a lot depends on ESA by tp1024 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This might sound strange, but guys like Intelsat avoid building satellites that can only be launched by one kind of rocket if in any way possible. Most geostationary satellites today cluster around 6 tons. This is the limit for the Russian Proton rocket (launched from Baikonur), the Ukranian/Russian/American SeaLaunch (using a Zenit rocket) and was the limit of the Ariane5 GS (which has been upgraded to the Ariane 5 ECA with about 10t. But ESA has a hard time finding customers for passenger satellites in the 2-3t range to make launches worthwhile.)

    What does that have to do with SpaceX and the Falcon Heavy? Well, ESA is about to decide whether to develop a new smaller rocket - the Ariane 6 ( capable of lifting 3-8t to GTO) - or improve the Ariane 5 to the point that it can deliver about 12t to GTO. (With the idea of launching two of the popular 6t satellites at a time, which would instandly make the rocket much more economical)

    In the latter case, SpaceX will have a much easier time to find heavy satellites for its rocket. Having a competitor is actually important in this business. You don't commit on the order of a billion dollars in building a satellite, just to find out that your only way to launch it is no longer available or recently had an accident (e.g. SeaLaunch or failures of the maiden flights of Ariane 5 GS and Ariane 5 ECA that also failed) and you have to wait several years to get another launch opportunity.

    If ESA goes for the Ariane 6, SpaceX will most likely have to resort to launching several satellites at a time and compete with all the other guys that are also capable of launching "smaller" satellites. Which is bad for SpaceX and the industry in general. At the same time, ESA will find out that the old Ariane 5 will suddenly be in much larger demand for 8-10t satellites (as will be Falcon Heavy).

    Lets hope they are reasonable ... or somebody comes up with something roughly similar to the Falcon Heavy.

    1. Re:Now a lot depends on ESA by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, just to point out, the delta IV-H already takes 13 tonnes to GEO. As such, FH, along with DIV-H, will likely double the size of sats to 10-12 T.
      And Astrium is working on the 5ME,Though, SLOWLY is the word. I did notice that earlier this year, the ESA coughed up another 100M euros for it. However, Astrium/ESA suffers the same issues as old space: lots of money to accomplish anything. IOW, 100M Eu is more of a study than actual work being done.

      Regardless, I think that the new norm will become 10-12T for sats. And with FH charging about 1/3 of Delta and 1/2 of China, Russia or ESA, I suspect that the prime launch system will become FH.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Now a lot depends on ESA by Teancum · · Score: 2

      The funny thing about SpaceX is that their rockets seem to be ever increasing in size. SpaceX still technically has their Falcon 1 in their product catalog and will sell one to you if you absolutely insist, but almost every time they seem to be dealing with customers and responding to the market demand, the size of their rockets seem to continue to get larger.

      SpaceX started with the Falcon 5, which grew into the Falcon 9 by adding four more engines and a much larger payload faring. Now SpaceX just announced a new "version 1.1" of the Falcon 9 which will have an even larger fuselage (requiring more work on their Cape Canaveral launch pad to rebuild their launch tower and assembly complex) and will carry larger payloads into orbit. Add into that concept vehicles like the Falcon XX, which is something not even in Arianespace's dreams (a vehicle with twice the lift capacity of the Saturn V), and you start to wonder just who SpaceX is talking to in terms of payload sizes.

      The funny thing about the small launcher market is that there are a whole bunch of companies coming up that are likely going to fill that niche very quickly. Armadillo Aerospace is already doing sub-orbital launches past the Kármán line, as is Blue Origin and soon "The Spaceship Company" as well. I can think of a few other companies who are in a position that they could start lofting up small sats at prices which would make SpaceX look expensive. If ESA decides to compete with those emerging launch providers, I think they will find their competition intense as an understatement.

  9. awesome by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    The means that SpaceX will use to lower their price is to have enough launches that their fixed overhead becomes a minor issue. Right now, launches have a high fixed costs due to too few launches. SpaceX's plan is that FH launches once every 2 months and that F9 launches monthly or even twice a month. That allows them to drop not just the launch pad, but also their launch crew (who are typically on a salary, not hourly), as well as manufacturing costs.

    To take this a step further, SpaceX intends to have 8 launches next year, and 12-14 in 2014. That allows them to have their QA under control as well. With this high of a rate, SpaceX will likely not need a back-up for the FH WRT launching sats. OTOH, if we are to go to the moon, we really need two or more systems of similar sizes. Or simply constrain the loads to the smaller of the LVs.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  10. Put it in perspective. by trout007 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The death rate of climbing Mt Everest is 1.3%. And that is just climbing a mountain. How much cooler is going into space? 10X?

    Now at this point in my life where my family is depending on me 1.3% is too high. But when kids are older and I can be more selfish 5% doesn't sound that bad. Like everything else it's a personal decision.

    http://wiki.answers.com/Q/What_is_the_death_rate_on_mt._Everest

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
  11. Re:Why does this story have the NASA logo by kestasjk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    SpaceX has loads of NASA people and technology, and couldn't exist except as a NASA contractor backed by NASA.

    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
  12. Re:Unpublished Launches? by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    They were. And it appears that SpaceX has a large number of launches. Many more than what they claim, and a great deal more than what the critics claim. 4 FH launches for spaceX is going to be pretty exciting.

    I have to wonder, if USAF will now back SpaceX building FXX?

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  13. Re:more than twice the power of next largest rocke by afidel · · Score: 2

    25k and 40k kg to LEO are a bit far short of the 53k kg of Falcon 9 heavy. Also I hope they get a bunch of launch contracts for Falcon 9 so they can fund the $1B they need for Merlin 2, it will be the first engine to produce more thrust than the F1 from the Saturn 5.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  14. 27 Engines?! by wisebabo · · Score: 2

    Am I mistaken or will the Falcon Heavy have 27(!) engines going at liftoff? (3 x the nine engines of a Falcon 9).

    I guess they really have the control systems for such a large number of engines licked (in a previous thread I noted that back in the 60s the Russian Moon super-rocket N-1 had 30 engines. It failed, repeatedly.)

    So are large numbers of small rockets preferable, efficiency wise, to a few large ones (think the five F-1s of the Saturn V first stage). Or they cheaper in aggregate? Or are they more reliable? (less superhigh pressures in the turbines, I dunno). Or if they fail is there the simple fact of more redundancy (I read that if any one of the Falcon 9s engines conked out it could still make it to orbit. Except right at lift off).

    Or did Space-X just not have the funds to develop a really big engine (In which case couldn't they have licensed the design for the F-1 or J-1 from NASA?). Not knocking them, it's still an INCREDIBLE achievement, just wondering.

    To quote an Airforce General: "A new plane doesn't make possible a new engine, a new engine makes possible a new plane.". So it's great to see an (obviously) flight worthy new rocket engine!

    1. Re:27 Engines?! by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      Ideally one big motor is the way to go. But their are reasons for using more than one. The Falcon 9 has an engine out capability so having on of the motors fail is not game over. Also they did it for production reasons. They use the same motor with some minnor modifications for both the first and second stage which saves money. You have one production line for both motors and one stock of most of the parts for the motors.
      The Falcon 9 is interesting because it is not the most "efficient' design but the most cost effective. They could replace the steel tanks with LiAl allow and save a good amount of weight, replace the second stage with a LH/LOX burning second stage, or even replace the first stage with a liquid CH4 first stage with a large single motor.
      The Flacon is built more like a DC-3 than say the Hughes H-1.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    2. Re:27 Engines?! by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      So are large numbers of small rockets preferable, efficiency wise, to a few large ones (think the five F-1s of the Saturn V first stage). Or they cheaper in aggregate? Or are they more reliable?

      In general, smaller numbers of larger engines are the preferred choice. It's more reliable, and cheaper to design and manufacture. (All that extra plumbing and thrust structure runs up the cost and weight.)
       

      Or did Space-X just not have the funds to develop a really big engine (In which case couldn't they have licensed the design for the F-1 or J-1 from NASA?).

      No, they didn't have the funds or the time or the experience to develop a larger engine, so they made lemons out of lemonade.
       
      The F-1 would have required extensive re-desgn to be manufactured with modern methods and materials, and is a very expensive and complex design. The J-2 is a LOX/LH2 engine, and on top of also requiring an expensive re-design and requalification program (same as the F-1), would have had considerably increased operational costs.

  15. Slashdot, get a SpaceX icon by Spy+Handler · · Score: 5, Insightful

    so you don't have to use the NASA icon for every SpaceX story.... of which there's gonna be many in the future

  16. Re:more than twice the power of next largest rocke by scharkalvin · · Score: 2

    Space-X has a new engine in the design phase that will have 1.7 millon lbs of thrust. The Merlin-2 engine will be more powerfull than the Saturn-V's F1 engine was. The Falcon-X heavy will use 3 of these engines per core, or 1.5 times the lift of the Saturn-V. The Falcon-XX heavy would use 6 of these engines per core, for a total of 18 engines. It would have over THREE times the lift of the Saturn-V rocket! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_%28rocket_family%29#Merlin_2_and_super-heavy_lift_concepts

  17. Re:Why does this story have the NASA logo by Teancum · · Score: 4, Insightful

    SpaceX has loads of NASA people and technology, and couldn't exist except as a NASA contractor backed by NASA.

    SpaceX has a great many former NASA employees and has studied some of the data that NASA contractors have produced at taxpayer expense (which data is available to anybody who wants it, including China, Russia, India, and anybody else in the world). I suppose you could argue that SpaceX is using Velcro, Tang, and Space Pens.... please don't get me started on "NASA technology" as I can go off on what kind of joke that really is.

    It should also be noted that the Falcon 9 and the Dragon capsule that SpaceX has developed was started independently without a government contract and SpaceX is not dependent upon government funds to get either of those products produced by SpaceX completed. That NASA was handing out money under various programs and SpaceX decided to bring a bucket to catch that money only shows SpaceX has some people who are intelligent and perhaps are a bunch of money grubbers. They may even take that as a compliment, and is a good thing if you want to remain a for-profit company.

    SpaceX can survive without NASA, but could NASA survive without SpaceX?

  18. Re:more than twice the power of next largest rocke by jamstar7 · · Score: 2

    The statement "The Falcon Heavy has more than twice the power of the next largest rocket in the world" is true but somewhat misleading. Both the USA and Russia have had rockets in the past with more than twice the power that the "Falcon Heavy" will.

    Mentioned in the blurb:

    Essentially an upgunned Falcon 9 with strapon boosters, the Heavy has lift capability second only to the Saturn 5.

    One should note that you could put up 10 Falcon Heavy launches for less than the cost of 1 Saturn 5 in 2012 dollars, roughly calculated to be on the order of $ 1.17 billion per launch of a Saturn 5. That's a couple hundred million under what NASA is paying for 12 Falcon 9 launches.

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    Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.