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FDA Approves HIV Home-Use Test Kit

Hugh Pickens writes "The LA Times reports that the Food and Drug Administration has approved the first over-the-counter HIV test kit, allowing people to test themselves in private at home and get preliminary results in less than 30 minutes. The test, which works by detecting antibodies in a swab from the gums, should not be considered final — in trials, the test failed to detect HIV in 1 in every 12 patients known to be infected, and returned false positives in 1 in 5,000 cases. The new at-home test, called OraQuick, will be sold in supermarkets and pharmacies and manufacturer, OraSure, has not said how much the test will cost, only that it will be more than the $18 cost for the professional kit. The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that of the 1.2 million people in the U.S. with HIV, 1 in 5 is not aware of the infection and that a disproportionate number of the 50,000 new cases of HIV each year is linked to people who have not been tested. Chip Lewis, a spokesman for Whitman-Walker Health, which provides AIDS care in Washington, says at-home testing could reach some people who didn't want to go to a clinic but removing medical professionals from the process could cause problems. 'It's not like a home pregnancy test,' says Lewis. 'You need really a lot of information about how to read the test, how to use the test properly.'" Back in May, we reported that a panel of FDA experts recommended approval of an over-the-counter HIV test.

39 of 186 comments (clear)

  1. Use it on someone else? by goodmanj · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Nobody seems to have noticed the "best" thing about this test: it should be possible to use it on your partner. With or without their consent. So you can invite that random girl at the bar home for a drink and a swab, or secretly swab your boyfriend while he's sleeping, just in case he's lying to you about being clean.

    Unethical? Yes. Unromantic? Yes. False sense of security? Yup. But potentially lifesaving? Also yes.

    1. Re:Use it on someone else? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What i like about this is the possibility of social pressure :-)

      and being "at home" possibly some who would never get tested will take one (for curiousity or due to this pressure) and if that catches a few positives (even a few false positives) that go get checked up at the doctor, that should be an overall win to society.

    2. Re:Use it on someone else? by hawguy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nobody seems to have noticed the "best" thing about this test: it should be possible to use it on your partner. With or without their consent. So you can invite that random girl at the bar home for a drink and a swab, or secretly swab your boyfriend while he's sleeping, just in case he's lying to you about being clean.

      Unethical? Yes. Unromantic? Yes. False sense of security? Yup. But potentially lifesaving? Also yes.

      If you distrust this partner so much that you're willing to give them an HIV test without their consent, do you really want to bet your life on the 1 in 12 chance that the test will give a false negative result?

      Besides, there are lots of other diseases you can pick up from this partner even if he/she is not infected with HIV. Better to be safe than sorry.

    3. Re:Use it on someone else? by santax · · Score: 2

      You are mistaken sir, you are referring to Linus User Groups and not Linux User Groups.

    4. Re:Use it on someone else? by fermion · · Score: 2
      It is not a pregnancy test. The setup is quite complex and seems highly susceptible to human error. Latex condoms seem highly effective to reduce the risk of infection when engaging in risky sex, or at least better than a test.

      I remember a time when condoms were considered absolutely unromantic.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    5. Re:Use it on someone else? by backslashdot · · Score: 2

      AIDS is the only currently incurable life threatening disease you can get that I know of. You may get herpes, which is incurable .. but its not usually life threatening. You may get hepatitis C, which is life threatening but the cure rate is fairly high (and improving) with modern treatment regimens.

    6. Re:Use it on someone else? by DarkOx · · Score: 2

      Might not stay that way thought. I heard on the radio there is an extremely antibiotic resistant clap from Japan making its way to the west coast.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
  2. Good and bad by Anrego · · Score: 2

    This seems like a really good idea in that a lot of people who really should get tested never will due to the stigma of going to a clinic.

    You need really a lot of information about how to read the test, how to use the test properly.

    That would to me seem the least of the problem. The whole finding out you (might) have a terminal illness while alone in your bathroom might cause some issues. I know I'd probably be a tad upset.

    1. Re:Good and bad by LordLucless · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This seems like a really good idea in that a lot of people who really should get tested never will due to the stigma of going to a clinic.

      On the other hand, it seems like now 1 in 12 will never go to a clinic because the home test gave them a clean bill of health when really, they were carrying the virus. I understand that a false positive is going to be hugely upsetting to the individual, but on a society-wide level, such a massive false negative rate is really much more concerning. In my opinion, it makes the test not only useless (as a high false-positive rate would) but counter-productive.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    2. Re:Good and bad by hawguy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This seems like a really good idea in that a lot of people who really should get tested never will due to the stigma of going to a clinic.

      On the other hand, it seems like now 1 in 12 will never go to a clinic because the home test gave them a clean bill of health when really, they were carrying the virus. I understand that a false positive is going to be hugely upsetting to the individual, but on a society-wide level, such a massive false negative rate is really much more concerning. In my opinion, it makes the test not only useless (as a high false-positive rate would) but counter-productive.

      And it's not just the fact that they won't go to a clinic for themselves, but now those 1 in 12 will proclaim to future partners "Don't worry, I'm clean, I was just tested". And if there's a biological reason that makes an individual more likely to get a false negative, this makes the problem even worse as he continues to get negative results, test after test despite being infected.

      I'd feel better about this test if the false positive and false negative rates were reversed. Sending 1 out of 12 people to the doctor because they got a false positive (and missing just 1 out of 5000 actual HIV infections) sounds a lot better than the reverse.

    3. Re:Good and bad by amiga3D · · Score: 3, Funny

      Maybe he got it from the toilet seat?

    4. Re:Good and bad by lessthan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't get it. Yours is the third or fourth comment I've seen lamenting the failure rate. If you are sexually active, with multiple partners, you should be getting tested every 6 months minimum. With an over-the-counter version for about $20, I'm probably going to do it every month. (I'm a bit of a hypochondriac, but I do get laid occasionally.) I like to think of myself as unusually unlucky, but 6 times in a row? That is rather improbable.

      --
      Space Shuttle was a program that strapped humans to an explosion and tried to stab through the sky with fire and math
    5. Re:Good and bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      In fact in the gay community it's almost a badge of honor.

      Citation fucking needed. And no, "my pastor told me" isn't going to cut it, nor will citing websites with an obvious religious or homophobic agenda. Nor will anecdotal evidence, as my anecdotal evidence is just as valid as your (i.e. not) and a 180 opposite from what you're claiming.

      Maybe, just maybe, there's a gay subculture I've never seen that treats an aids diagnosis as a badge of honour. Or more likely there's a meme that such a subculture exists, and that meme is transmitted among the portion of the population that doesn't so much talk to gays as it does preach at them.

  3. This will end badly... by multiben · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1 in 12 failure rate is absolutely *far* too high. It's marginally better than rolling a die to see if you have HIV. People (as a group), who have proven themselves to be not the best logicians time and time again, will take this as proof they are in the clear and start spreading it around. It is a very irresponsible product. If you think you have HIV then go to a doctor and find out for sure.

    1. Re:This will end badly... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      People (as a group), who have proven themselves to be not the best logicians time and time again, will take this as proof they are in the clear and start spreading it around.

      People who feel they need to use this test are already spreading it around. If this stops 11 of 12, that is a good thing. Just because something isn't perfect, doesn't make it worthless. Life is not black and white.

  4. It's only 92% accurate ... by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... lest you guys start thinking that this kit is a heavenly sent, that you guys will be 100% protected ...

    This test kit is only 92% accurate

    While 8% does not seem to be a big number, it still matters in this case for AIDS is still incurable
     

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Informative

      No test is 100% accurate. Even ones done in a lab setting. In particular, these HIV tests require the body to produce antibodies to the virus. No antibodies, no positive test. You don't make antibodies instantly - it takes on the order of 10 - 14 days. So, if you were in contact with an HIV positive person and then ran out and got tested you would test negative. A couple of weeks later, the story might be different.

      Wrap the rascal.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Unless the 1 in 12 figure includes some large number of "zOMG, I might have been infected, I'm going to get tested immediately, days before I could conceivably actually show what the tests look for!" morons(who really need to get to somebody qualified to tell them why that is stupid, now...), that is a dreadful false-negative rate...

    3. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Eh, this isn't the 1980s anymore. Are hard-partying homosexual intravenous drug users still a high risk demographic? Sure.

      Has AIDS become something of a crossover hit, especially but not exclusively in the developing world, with substantial uptake among behaviorally prosaic demographics? Oh yes, yes it has...

      At the risk of sounding blunt to the point of crassness, if the 'AIDS = Ass Cancer' theory of epidemiology were actually accurate, we wouldn't still be talking about it. It's hard for a virus that has no significant animal vectors and can't survive outside the body worth a damn to hang on if it can only burn its way through crazy-high-risk demographics. There just aren't that many of those, and they tend to die.

    4. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's beyond me why people cannot grasp that AIDS is behaviorally transmitted, and in the USA its incidence is multiples higher in the homosexual-- specifically male to male-- community, and in people who shoot up, than heterosexuals. This is not debatable; you can go to the CDC website and see for yourself.

    5. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by amiga3D · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not politically correct to mention that.

    6. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by ooshna · · Score: 3, Informative

      A big part of that was the lack of condom use among homosexuals in the 70s and 80s. Who is going to wear a condom when there is no risk of anyone getting pregnant. Another risk was the fact that the homosexual community was so small and hidden back then. If one guy caught AIDS it wouldn't take long for it to make the rounds in that area due to lack of choice in partners.

    7. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by tnk1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, in this case, I'd prefer a 1 in 12 false *positive* rate. That way, if it is false, all I did was waste some time and money at a clinic to make sure. With this, if I come up negative, it might just be a false sense of security which is much worse for everyone involved.

    8. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Informative

      The test kit comes with a booklet that the manufacturer and the FDA spent quite a bit of time going back and forth about. It attempts to clearly delineate what the test can and cannot do and impresses the need to get repeat testing. Remember, this took years to get cleared and not because of the technology itself - that's pretty cut and dried.

      The hard part was setting the false positive and negative rates and trying to educate the general public on how to approach this issue. Whether or not their decisions were correct remains to be seen.

      The big issue, IMHO, is the fact that you're only testing for one disease. If you went into a doctor's office or an STD clinic, you would typically get tested for the other communicable diseases that tend to ride along with HIV (gonorrhea, chlamydia and to a lesser extent, syphilis and Herpes). While these won't kill you right off the bat, they are important enough in their own right.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    9. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by darkshadow88 · · Score: 5, Informative

      ... lest you guys start thinking that this kit is a heavenly sent, that you guys will be 100% protected ...

      This test kit is only 92% accurate

      While 8% does not seem to be a big number, it still matters in this case for AIDS is still incurable

      The test's accuracy is much higher than 92%. The test has 92% recall (it will correctly detect 92% of the true positives). In determining the accuracy, you need to take into account all the people who don't have HIV (which it will correctly detect 99.98% of the time). Based on the CDC's numbers, about 1 in 250 people in the U.S. have HIV, so the accuracy of this test would be (249/250)*99.98% + (1/250)*92% = 99.95%. The precision here (the probability that a positive returned by the test is a true positive) is the probability of a true positive detection over the total probability of a positive test result, or (1/250)*92% / ((1/250)*92% + (249/250)*0.02%) = 95%. In other words, if the test says you have HIV, there's a 95% chance it's correct. Doing the same for a negative result, you'll find that a negative result is correct 99.6% of the time.

      Your point that the test fails to correctly detect 8% of the true positives is a reasonable one, but accuracy is not the metric you should be using to evaluate. To better illustrate why accuracy is a terrible metric to use, consider a test that always returns "no". Since 99.6% of people do not have HIV, the test is 99.6% accurate, yet totally useless (0% recall and undefined precision due to no positive results). Precision and recall are what you should care about.

      TL;DR:

      • Accuracy: 99.95%
      • Precision (positive): 95%
      • Precision (negative): 99.6%
      • Recall: 92%
    10. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by Pecisk · · Score: 2

      I'm confused, correct me if I'm wrong but it's 92% accurate for positive, and 99% accurate for negative. That's it, if you get positive hit, you can still be in 8% with false alarm.

      Or I misread BBC article about it. If so, nevermind.

      --
      user@ubuntubox:~$ stfu This server is going down for shutdown NOW!
    11. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by ooshna · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I do wonder if part of that has to do with the fact that gay men also are more likely to get tested for AIDS regularly than straight guys. I live in Lakewood Ohio that has a huge openly gay community that probably rivals San Fransisco on a per capita basis. In fact the nursing home I work in has twice as many gay male employees than straight. While talking to them there seems to be a trend of being very open about multiple partners or sharing partners while they were young and usually settling down in monogamist relationships around their late 30's early 40's. But even with all the promiscuous sex there is a get tested and get tested often mentality in the community.

    12. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by FrootLoops · · Score: 3, Informative

      you can go to the CDC website and see for yourself.

      Indeed, here's a summary from the CDC from the end of last year. The most relevant part to your point:

      While CDC estimates that only 4 percent of men in the United States are MSM, the rate of new HIV diagnoses among
      MSM in the United States is more than 44 times that of other men (range: 522 – 989 per 100,000 MSM vs. 12 per
      100,000 other men).

      I have that link somewhat handy since I'm a gay male. For any other gay guys, to protect yourself...
      1. Be monogamous; if you can't,
      2. Skip anal and go for oral, which has a much smaller HIV transmission risk to both partners (basically 0 to the guy who's getting head); it's safest not to get cum in your mouth; if you can't,
      3. Always use a condom and top--bottoming has a far higher transmission risk; if you can't,
      4. Never fucking bareback with a guy you're not absolutely certain is HIV negative no matter what you asshole. You make us all look bad. If you can't,
      5. Test yourself often (1-3 months). When you become positive, only have sex with other positive guys. There is no more "if you can't".

      It should be noted that condom usage is highly effective but also imperfect. Depending on the study, they reduce exposure risk by only around 80%. For more precise transmission statistics, the Transmission section of the HIV/AIDS Wikipedia article has a good summary and good sources (though you usually need journal access to read them). The Prevention section is also worth reading.

    13. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by gay358 · · Score: 2

      IMHO, getting tested every 1-3 months is overkill if you practise safe sex (as everyone should). And I would never have anal sex without condom, even with a person who "absolutely certain is HIV negative", because there cannot be absolute certainty and there are other STDs as well. And because condoms are not 100 percent reliable, I refuse to have sex with persons who seem to be interested in bareback sex (if they aren't already HIV postive, they will be soon), are HIV positive or persons that I suspect might have high risk of being HIV positive.

      I am sad that there seems to be so many gays who have bareback sex. I have never been able to understand why they do something so stupid. Even when two HIV positive persons have sex together, they should use condom to minimize transmitting new HIV strains which might be drug resistant.

    14. Re:It's only 92% accurate ... by wganz · · Score: 2

      When I worked in a major hospital in Plano, Texas several years ago; anyone that came through ED as a trauma patient was given a drug scan, HIV, and HepC tests unbeknownst to the patient. It was done to protect the staff from these diseases. The drug scan was to give us a measure what the patient had on board so as to not overdose them with pain medicines and judge their tolerance for opiates.

      The HIV rate was ~12% and HepC was > 50%. So, there is a definite need for this. There is a greater need for a HepC test.

  5. Re:Seriously? by Osgeld · · Score: 4, Funny

    oh yea thats even better, rather than the local pharmacy know, now google, facebook and every single one of their ad whores know. a few hours later their friends start noticing "HIVStick" ad's on every page

  6. Re:The solution to the AIDS problem is simple: by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 4, Informative

    I know he's trolling, but there's actually a ring of truth to it. Approximately half of all black homosexuals have HIV.

    One study of five major cities found that nearly 50 percent of all Black gay and bisexual men were HIV-positive

    Pretty staggering number.

    source: (it's a PDF)

    http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/uploads/NHAS.pdf

    --
    Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
  7. They should sell these by Lord+Kano · · Score: 3, Interesting

    in night club/bar bathrooms.

    It's 1:40 and you've hooked up with your last resort, you go back to your place but before you put yourselves at risk, take 5 minutes and show each other that you don't have HIV.

    I say this is all around win!

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  8. Republican policies at work by antifoidulus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The HIV rate in the US is a microcosm of everything that is wrong with the country. The HIV infection rate is massive compared to pretty much every other rich country on the planet, for instance in Germany there are about 3,000 new cases per year, and considering Germanys population is roughly 1/4 of the USs, we can see that the US rate is over 3x as high as Germanys per capita. Why the huge disparity? Probably has something to do with the fact that in the US there are a large # of people who secretly want "sinners" to get infected as punishment for their "deviancy", we call these people Republicans.

    We can see it in the massive farce that is "abstinence only" education, turns out kids are having sex anyway and since they cannot get, or do not have access to condoms(and have been told that they fail most of the time anyway) they are going about it without them. Results? Highest STDs and teen pregnancy rates in the rich world.

    And lets not forget our hardon for "justice" that results in a massive # of people(mostly men) in prison at any given time, where, surprise surprise, HIV runs rampant. And perhaps related refusal to admit that people are going to shoot up, and if they do they should have clean needles ends up in a lot of drug users contracting HIV(a very large % of those infected with HIV in the US are also infected with hep-C, indicating that needle-born HIV infections in the US are much more common than other first-world countries)

    And of course lets not forget the massive amount of homophobia that basically ensures a large # of homosexuals will be ostracized from their family and community, and thus have a very low level of self-worth. This translates into many gays engaging in self-destructive behavior in the US, including but not limited to risky sex.

    Congrats Republicans, largets HIV infection in the rich world, you worked hard to get to this point, might as well celebrate.

    1. Re:Republican policies at work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes! Never mind that these are all features of the American psyche built over centuries. It is those darn Republicans.

      Never mind that both Republican and Democrats want the government in our (quasi-mandatory public) schools which is specifically what enables "abstinence only" policies to be put into place by Republicans. It's Republicans all the way down!

      Never mind that the Democrats are just as hard on drug users and sellers as the Republicans. It's those darn Republicans at it again!

      Never mind that gays make their own decisions and that any sense of self worth derived from external sources isn't "self" worth at all. Obviously only Republicans are religious and against homosexuality, so it's the Republicans again!

      Here's a hint: Any power you want for your precious Democrat overlords to "fix" things can also be used by Republicans to "unfix" them. Maybe you live in a fantasy world where you believe everything will be alright as long as the "right people" are in charge, but surely you realize that the Republicans still manage to get elected and do stuff. So maybe the solution isn't to try to find the "right people" but to limit the government's ability to make things worse. After all, if the government has less power, those "Republican" policies can't hurt anybody. And if those policies aren't "Republican" at all, you'll be killing two birds with one stone.

      Oh, and just for the record, I'm pretty much on your side about the actual issues (but your hate is something else entirely). Abstinence only education is stupid. Access to clean needles and condoms is a must (though not necessarily at taxpayer expense). Homophobia is stupid (but that's their choice). But the anti-cheerleading against the Republicans isn't helping and it's not even accurate.

  9. Sensitivity is only part of the story by wickerprints · · Score: 3, Interesting

    To review, sensitivity is the probability of a positive result given that the tested individual is actually positive; specificity is the probability of a negative result given that the tested individual is actually negative. The OraQuick swab test has a rather low sensitivity, meaning that there is a roughly 1 in 12 chance that an HIV-positive individual incorrectly tests negative (type II error). But it has a relatively good specificity, meaning that there is a roughly 1 in 5000 chance that an HIV-negative individual incorrectly tests positive (type I error).

    The value in granting FDA approval for OTC sales of OraQuick, then, is to address the need for the vast majority of the population, which is HIV-negative, to feel reassured that they are in fact negative. Historically, one of the biggest challenges in HIV education has been overcoming the fear and stigma of testing. Making testing available OTC greatly improves the likelihood of getting regularly tested.

    But what of those pesky type II errors? Yes, given that an individual is actually HIV-positive, the chance that the test fails to detect is is 1 in 12. But that is NOT the same thing as saying that given a negative test result, the chance the person is actually HIV-positive is 1 in 12. For the general population, that probability is much smaller. In fact, I leave it as an exercise for the reader to calculate the negative predictive value (which would require the prevalence of HIV in the US population). Now, if we were talking about using OraQuick on a very high-risk group, we would expect many more false negatives, so a more appropriate test would be the standard ELISA blood test, followed by a confirmatory Western Blot. But remember, FDA approval of OTC OraQuick is targeted at the general population. If you know you're in a high-risk group, you presumably would be getting regularly tested at a public health clinic, and OraQuick isn't necessarily your best choice. But it's still better than not getting tested at all.

    Finally, remember that any reasonable person who tests positive with OraQuick would want a follow-up test to be sure. (Someone who tests negative, however, is much more unlikely to want a follow-up test.) So we don't really need to worry about type I errors, except for the panic and anxiety such a rare outcome might cause.

    1. Re: Sensitivity is only part of the story by gidds · · Score: 2
      Here's the maths.

      From Wikipedia, the background rate of HIV in the USA is 0.375%: 1,200,000 people are HIV+ and 310,800,000 are HIV-.

      From the sensitivity: of those 1,200,000 who are HIV+, 100,000 (1 in 12) would test -ve, and 1,100,000 will test +ve. And from the specificity: of the 310,800,000 who are HIV-, 310,737,840 would test -ve, and 62,160 (1 in 5000) would test +ve.

      This means that of those 310,837,840 who test +ve, 94.7% would actually be HIV+. And of those 1,162,160 who test -ve, 99.97% would be HIV-.

      So while the test isn't totally accurate, it seems good enough for general use. Certainly, a +ve test result would necessitate proper medical advice.

      (Of course, the calculation's simpler if you use Bayes Theorem directly, but filling in the numbers can be easier to follow. And the conclusions only apply in general; if you're in a high-risk group, then a -ve test result will be less reassuring.)

      --

      Ceterum censeo subscriptionem esse delendam.

  10. Re:good thing for the affordable care act or this by wickerprints · · Score: 2

    Anonymous HIV testing has long been available in the US. And approving OraQuick for OTC sale will make it even easier to be tested without your health insurer, or anyone else, knowing. But yes, in a single-payer system, we wouldn't have to be so guarded about pre-existing conditions, and one would be able to get the treatment(s) they need for preventing and transmitting disease without having to wonder if they could be blacklisted.

  11. Who needs specificity, with such poor sensitivity? by zedrdave · · Score: 2

    Given basic human psychology, releasing an HIV test with admittedly low false positive rate, but such ridiculously high false negative (type II error), is borderline criminal.

    Let's not forget that the target demographic for such a test is people who are not very keen (for any sort of reason) on taking the test in the first place, otherwise they would just get tested for free at one of the many locations that do it.
    Giving these people a false positive (with attached warning regarding reliability of the test) would result in a bit of anxiety and a visit to their local clinic, wherein they'd be told they are actually fine: not much harm done.
    Giving them a false negative: the vast majority will breath a sigh of relief and never ever consider going for a real test.

    You can tell people "this test is not final, it has a high error rate" all you want (forget even trying to explain the concept of false negatives to the average user): people see what they want to see... In this case, they see a big blinking "you are fine, don't worry", followed by small print they won't bother reading. Meanwhile (for 8.3% of them), their HIV goes untreated.