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Algorithmic Pricing On Amazon 'Could Spark Flash Crash'

DerekduPreez writes "Sellers on Amazon's retail site are increasingly using high-speed algorithmic trading tools to automatically set prices, which could lead to a malfunction similar to the 2010 flash crash. According to the Financial Times, prices on Amazon's website change as often as every 15 minutes, where sellers are using tools traditionally developed by data miners at banks to ensure that their prices are always below their rivals'. Third-party software is allowing sellers to detect a competitor's price and automatically undercut that price by, for example, £1. However, this could lead to a situation similar to the U.S. flash crash, where algorithmic trading was blamed for stock prices falling to near zero and then bouncing back within 20 minutes." At Slashdot's sister site for Business Intelligence, Nick Kolakowski has some more information on this possibility.

6 of 274 comments (clear)

  1. Problem? by Bigby · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And that is a problem, why? Just like in the flash crash, some people lost money and some people got big deals. If you don't want it to affect you, don't get involved. In both cases, it hurts the organizations and institutions more than an individual trader/buyer/seller.

    1. Re:Problem? by space_in_your_face · · Score: 5, Insightful

      From TFA: Jack Sheng of eForCity, which sells electronics on Amazon, warned of the dangerous impact algorithmic pricing could have on the retailer’s prices: “If something is mispriced down to $1, your inventory can be cleaned out in no time.”
      I hope you put a minimum price on every item for which an algorithm decides the price. If so, I don't see the problem if someone "clean out your inventory". It means a lot of sales at a price you agreed...
      OTOH, if you didn't put a minimum price, you just get what you deserve.

    2. Re:Problem? by darkwing_bmf · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is the kind of problem that is solved with natural selection. The companies too stupid to put in a minimum price will go out of business and the remaining companies will be stronger.

  2. Re:Falling to near zero?? by s73v3r · · Score: 5, Insightful

    New competitors enter the market, undercut the would-be oligarchs, and the process starts all over again.

    Except this isn't guaranteed to happen. And should someone try it, the oligarchs are established players in the market, with access to far greater amounts of resources than the startup. Hell, most of the time one of the oligarchs just buys the startup.

  3. Re:Falling to near zero?? by dell623 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Even if the price of selling in the market is low, the price of production, especially the capital costs are often not low. And once players are driven out of the market, the capital costs need to be paid all over again for any new entrant. Which means that the monopoly or duopoly parties can temporarily cut prices to make it uneconomical for any new parties to enter the market. And so no new competitors enter the market.

    So no, it's not a naturally self regulating ideal system. At least everyone stopped pretending any marxist/socialist system is 'ideal', somehow free marketeers can still get away with making that absolutist claim.

  4. Re:Falling to near zero?? by bhlowe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The gas station example is specifically not horseshit. The number of independent gas station owners dropped dramatically after a number of insane regulations that required $100K's of dollars of unnecessary retrofitting. Yes, big oil companies more easily afford larger regulatory expenses, but the regulations resulted in less competition and higher prices at the pump. But independent gas stations used to be the norm, now it is the exception... and oil companies and regulations make it difficult to compete--making it, for instance, illegal to purchase gasoline from another state, or requiring that a gas station owner buy gas from a particular refinery.