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Why Ultra-Efficient 4,000 mph Vacuum-Tube Trains Aren't Being Built

cylonlover writes "In the 1800s, when pneumatic tubes shot telegrams and small items all around buildings and sometimes small cities, the future of mass transit seemed clear: we'd be firing people around through these sealed tubes at high speeds. And it turns out we've got the technology to do that today – mag-lev rail lines remove all rolling friction from the energy equation for a train, and accelerating them through a vacuum tunnel can eliminate wind resistance to the point where it's theoretically possible to reach blistering speeds over 4,000 mph (6,437 km/h) using a fraction of the energy an airliner uses – and recapturing a lot of that energy upon deceleration. Ultra-fast, high efficiency ground transport is technologically within reach – so why isn't anybody building it? This article looks into some of the problems."

39 of 625 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Simple by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, like aeroplanes and submarines...

    If you don't reach for the stars you will never get there, if you try, you might.

  2. Liability by robinsonne · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Who wants to accept the liability if passengers/surrounding objects get turned into goo when a tiny defect causes the 4000 mph object to decelerate in a not-quite-so-planned manner?

    1. Re:Liability by geogob · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Airlines?

    2. Re:Liability by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The article mentions this... the problem is, it sets up a false dichotomy. The options aren't no vacuum trains or ones that go at 4k mph... there is a whole range of speeds that these trains could be effective and efficient, and not all will turn passengers into goo if it crashes.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    3. Re:Liability by MozeeToby · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You're not any more dead than if your airliner falls out of the sky at 500 mph.

      Safety is not the real problem. If you really put some research and development into it, you could probably get maglev down to $500,000 per km and probably a similar amount (if not more) for the vacuum tube (compare to $100 million per km right now). Then there's the cost of the trains, running the lines, maintaining vacuum ect. And for any run to make sense it's going to need to be thousands of km long, and every stop you make is going to defeat the purpose so direct lines between major cities are a must. A run from NY to LA would run you several billion dollars just to get started and several hundred million every year after that for maintenance and repair. So, the real question is: is there enough traffic between NY and LA (for example) to recuperate the cost of construction and operations. I highly, highly doubt the answer is yes.

    4. Re:Liability by pthisis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      A run from NY to LA would run you several billion dollars just to get started and several hundred million every year after that for maintenance and repair. So, the real question is: is there enough traffic between NY and LA (for example) to recuperate the cost of construction and operations. I highly, highly doubt the answer is yes.

      If it were that cheap it'd be "yes, absolutely, and we're going to hook up every major city as well."

      They're talking about spending over $150 billion for the high-speed rail from San Francisco to Los Angeles, and Amtrak's discussing $100 million in track improvements to get TGV-level speeds from Boston to Washington, DC.

      Those are the nicest train routes in the country, but they're peanuts compared to how profitable a NY-to-LA in under an hour route would be if it only cost a few billion to get going and several hundred million a year to operate.

      --
      rage, rage against the dying of the light
    5. Re:Liability by vlm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The article mentions this... the problem is, it sets up a false dichotomy. The options aren't no vacuum trains or ones that go at 4k mph... there is a whole range of speeds that these trains could be effective and efficient, and not all will turn passengers into goo if it crashes.

      Sadly in this case, no. You can't financially handle the R+D and building costs to make this thing and plod along at 100 MPH like the Milwaukee to Chicago run does today. Also cannot operate at a mere 500 MPH like a aircraft given the high costs. So you need to run over 500 MPH. The effects on the passengers of a derailment at 550 MPH are not likely to be a lot better than derailment at 4000 MPH. Sort of like how falling 10 stories off a building doesn't turn out ten times better than falling 100 stories.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    6. Re:Liability by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Informative

      but they're peanuts compared to how profitable a NY-to-LA in under an hour route

      Won't be under an hour, unless we're pulling .2g or so.

      More like 80-90 minutes.

      Your point stands, however - it would make a bloody mint if it existed. If only from people who rode it just so they could say they did it....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    7. Re:Liability by garyebickford · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well, in fairness, the Big Dig is not a good example considering that 2/3 of the money probably ended up in the hands of criminal syndicates of one sort or another. Also, it was built underground below the water table, and required a tunnel six or eight lanes wide - probably an order of magnitude or two more difficult and expensive than a train-size tunnel.

      By comparison the City of Portland, Oregon recently completed the 'Big Pipe' projects, digging about 10 miles of tunnel up to 160 feet underground (and under a river) to handle storm runoff. They used 14-foot diameter boring machines and did the whole project for $1.5 billion, which is about $150 million per mile. That cost included all the pumping stations and other costs, not just boring the hole. (See also West Side CSO Tunnel.)

      So the cost of drilling a train tunnel, which would fit nicely in a 14 foot diameter tunnel, should be of the same order. Adding maglev or whatnot to make trains actually go would be additional, of course. At $150 million per mile, the 400 miles from SF to LA could be drilled for $60 billion. But you actually need three tunnels - one each way plus a service tunnel (like the Chunnel between UK and France), so call it $180 billion.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    8. Re:Liability by macshit · · Score: 4, Informative

      You don't have to guess about the maglev part, because Japan is building an actual long-distance maglev line. Costs seem to be about $200 million / km, but that includes everything, stations, etc (compare the various route choices and note that the construction costs don't vary nearly as much as the distances [that's affected by the amount of tunneling, etc, too, of course]).

      --
      We live, as we dream -- alone....
    9. Re:Liability by ngg · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Won't be under an hour, unless we're pulling .2g or so.

      More like 80-90 minutes.

      Your point stands, however - it would make a bloody mint if it existed. If only from people who rode it just so they could say they did it....

      I'm not sure I buy that: Round-trip flights between LA and New York can be had for under $300 and take 7-8 hours, including time at the airport. So what price premium is the public willing to pay to get there in 1/3 the time (assuming it takes some time to get on and off the train)? I have trouble believing the capital costs of a vacu-mag-lev passing through two mountain ranges is going to have a lower per-mile cost than the current California HSR (currently ~$100 billion for ~500 miles, or $200 million / mile).

      Do you think you can really charge a big enough price premium to cover the extra capital and operating costs of such a thing? I think the Concorde has your answer.

  3. Maybe because... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    When the British did it they had hella mechanical problems. The smallest glitch with a seal and suddenly your trains aren't moving nearly as fast anymore. You'd have to build two tunnels: the vacuum tunnel for the train, and then a slightly larger outer tunnel that allows for service and leak detection.

  4. vacuum trains?! by Thud457 · · Score: 4, Funny

    this idea sucks

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  5. Safety is not an issue by Hentes · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Use it for cargo first, and if there are no problems we can start using it for passengers. But the cost is a big obstacle.

  6. Not buying my tickets yet .. by n5vb · · Score: 4, Informative

    Wake me up when someone actually manages to build a tunnel anywhere near that size that's vacuum tight and has a realistic notion of what size and number of vacuum pumps would be required to keep a high enough vacuum in it. Oh, and handling the exterior pressure loading without risk of accidental implosion would be nice. ;)

    The other problem which is less trivial than it might seem is how to get people and cargo (and possibly vehicles) onto and off of these trains without breaking the vacuum .. really big airlocks at the stations maybe? .. and how to evacuate one of these safely in case of an emergency on the main line ..

  7. Vacuum-Tube Trains by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Funny

    They do have a warmer more 'natural' sound

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  8. Re:Ultra-efficient first post by MRe_nl · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm not half as think as you drunk I am.

    --
    "Kill 'em all and let Root sort 'em out"
  9. Re:The only answer for the USA by MRe_nl · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's the mile-low club.

    --
    "Kill 'em all and let Root sort 'em out"
  10. Re:Perhaps.. by glueball · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Someday maybe the Japanese can figure out how to build a bullet train in an earthquake zone.

  11. Re:Simple by vlm · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Because the simple-minded mythology that people create for themselves is just that: feel-good pseudo-engineering that makes no sense whatsoever.

    For an AC that was a brilliant post. However a little brief. As a "real engineer" who can do estimation and think thru technical problems the biggest problem is the vacuum tube is a waste of money and time and land. For a much smaller scale example you could reduce the "indicated air speed" as a pilot would call it of the TGV in France merely by installing gigawatts worth of walmart kitchen fans pointing such that the train gets a nice tailwind. However if you run the numbers it turns out you can get the same performance increase with merely megawatts of extra train power. Similarly, you could invest in terawatts of distributed vacuum pumps, but it turns out you can go just as fast merely by using gigawatts of train power...

    Generally speaking in engineering making the immense part more expensive to make the little part cheaper doesn't pay off, for sufficient value of immense. For example, it turns out to be way the heck cheaper to make a long distance transmission line HVDC than to upgrade every tower long the route higher dielectric strength and taller and bigger footings etc etc. To a crude first approximation this is why sea transport is cheaper per ton-mile than train transport. Another example in the US outside hyperurbanized areas its cheaper to buy each user a taxi and taxi driver than to build passenger rail. I like trains and I like riding in trains but even I realize they're an economic disaster.

    In fact it turns out to be cheaper to build a self-levitating and self propelling vehicle than to build a really long and terribly complicated track. I think I shall call my new invention the aeroplane.

    The other problem is economic. Any 4000 MPH solution is terrifyingly expensive, so even zero interest expense makes it horrendously expensive. If you can get it cheaper than merely hiring someone far away, or booting up a PC running skype... For example, even during the Concorde era it didn't make financial sense to ship a salesman between NYC and London on the Concorde, it turns out to be cheaper to simply open a sales office in both cities and hire staff in each. Somehow this tremendously more expensive solution is supposed to work even better under conditions where cheaper solutions miserably failed?

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  12. Re:Why? by thedonger · · Score: 4, Funny
    --
    Help fight poverty: Punch a poor person.
  13. Re:The only answer for the USA by vlm · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's the mile-low club.

    Technically its the "mile per second club".

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  14. Re:Simple by NouberNou · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Trains are an economic disaster in the US, and it is not for any sort of engineering reason (you can look at pretty much any other industrialized modern country in the world and see that trains actually work out pretty damn well).

  15. Re:Simple by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Trains are an economic bonanza in the US. Freight trains are still trains.

    Limit your comments to passenger trains, and you might think it is true. Then you realize they're competition g with heavily subsidized highways.

  16. Re:The only answer for the USA by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not necessarily. Bear in mind that when you're talking about accelerating to 4,000 MPH, you're limited to very-long-distance travel. Bear in mind, we're talking about Los Angeles to New York City in a little over half an hour. This wouldn't replace subways, but rather would replace jets and trains.

    Also, when public transit is used by people who can afford cars, it is usually because driving is unholy in those cities. It would be more precise to say that public transit doesn't work unless the normal road system is hopelessly broken, which is not the case in the suburbs.

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  17. Re:Space Elevator by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Vertical travel is a very different proposition. Compare the energy usage for a person standing at the top of the Empire State Building and a person standing in a helicopter hovering a few metres away. Both are at the same height, but one is having to use fuel (in quite significant amounts) just to stay in the same place. Now have the man in the building go up and down the stairs for an hour and have the helicopter maintain the same height as him. At the end, compare their energy usage.

    In contrast, for something like a train the majority of the energy is used in acceleration. Reducing air resistance and rolling resistance give some benefits, but it's not huge. The advantage of the hypothetical maglev vacuum train is that it can keep accelerating for as long as it wants (air resistance increases with speed). This isn't really useful for most trains, although it would be useful for something like a transatlantic or transpacific railway where you'd have a long distance and nowhere where you might want to stop on the way.

    For reaching orbit, a space elevator means you don't need to carry as much fuel. Over 90% of the mass of a rocket going into orbit is the fuel required to carry the fuel into orbit. Take that away, and you've made a huge saving. If you can power the climber from the ground, it's even better. Acceleration is also an issue. A rocket must accelerate at more than 1g just to move upwards. Because of this, it must accelerate hard so that it doesn't run out of fuel just maintaining the 1g needed to stay in the same place. A climber can maintain a constant speed or a slow acceleration.

    The main reason we haven't built a space elevator is that we've only recently made materials in the lab that are (probably) strong enough to be used for the tether, if we could work out how to mass produce them.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  18. Re:Simple by Digicrat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Airlocks? Docking a train in a near-vacuum tunnel to a station has to be considerably easier than docking two spacecraft in a vacuum.

  19. Re:Why? by viperidaenz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    At those speeds, flames would be the least of your worries. a 20,000kg train at 6400kph carries the kinetic energy of a 8,000kg of TNT (31GJ). It would take 3 minutes to get to that speed with a constant 1G acceleration and require a 17MW output engine, and would travel 160km while getting up to speed.

  20. Re:Simple by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The point is things like planes weren't possible until gasoline engines, very quickly powered flight went from impossible to possible due to one technology and some smart people.

    So:
    1. Don't stop dreaming
    2. Your Religion of Pessimism is just as bad, so STFU

  21. Re:Simple by Bigby · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Trains work in the US when shipping freight. The work for passengers in the northeast. However, cars are far more convenient everywhere else.

    Case study:
    Trip to Norfolk, VA from NYC area.

    Fly: ~$300 per person round trip. You get one carry-on bag per person. 1.5 hrs each way + 4 hrs of transit/wait time.
    Train: ~$250 per person round trip. You can carry more on. 8 hrs each way + 2 hrs of transit/wait time.
    Car: ~$75 per car round trip. You can carry even more. 6 hrs each way; no wait time.

    Now, if I didn't already have a car with sunken capital costs, then there is an argument. But even then, I would rent a car. Either way, it is cheaper and takes less time to drive than take the train.

    In contrast, it would be crazy to drive into NYC when the train station is right next to where I am. Flight is almost always better if time is a factor.

    And don't tell me "it's different in Europe". I was in Germany. I can drive from Munich to Berlin faster than the ICE train. And the train ride costs $150+ each way per person.

    Outside of heavily subsidized metro area trains, I have not seen a train compete with the cost, let alone the time and convenience of driving alone. When you add a 2nd person, it just gets crazy to take a train.

  22. Re:The only answer for the USA by Red+Flayer · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Hah. I rode the train daily with Goldman Sachs guys who lived in houses I can barely *dream* of owning. The train was more convenient from Summit NJ to Manhattan than any other kind of transport, including helicopters (according to one of the guys, after his second paper-bag beer one Friday*). Apparently helicopter transport to NYC is a pain in the ass, because the helipads are not conveniently located -- either on the departing side or the arriving side.

    *So every Friday, four GS guys who always sat in the same spot, would have beers on the train. One of the guys retired, and they need a fourth to occupy the seats -- they didn't want some random person sitting with them. They asked me to sit with them, it lasted about two months until circumstances made it better for me to commute by bus instead of train. These guys would pound a beer (or two) in Penn Station waiting for their train, then drink another one (or two) on the 40-minute train ride home... they jokingly said it was the ammunition they needed to deal with their wives for an entire weekend.

    But I digress...

    If you take the Morris & Essex express into Hoboken or NY, which skips all or almost all the stops in Essex county, you'd believe that it's only the *wealthy* who take trains.

    --
    "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  23. Re:Simple by AK+Marc · · Score: 5, Funny

    My favorite thing about slashdot is all the people that assume that if they can't solve a problem by the time they post a comment, the problem is unsolvable.

    Have you ever heard of airlocks?

  24. Re:Simple by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 4, Informative

    Trains only work when government subsidizes them. FOR the cost of the new California High Speed Rail, that won't actually be useful until just before it is completed (i.e. nobody could ride it anywhere useful), you could give every man, woman and child a whole bunch of passes on Airlines from more places in the state than the CA HSR would actually go. And it would take less time to travel to said places. And cheaper.

    The way I explain it, we already have HSR, they are called Airplanes. HSR was designed for one thing only, to curry favor with the Unions that will build and run them. It is a Union Make Work Program .

    Here's the math ...

    Cost of the HSR system (current est) 65,400,000,000 (this is nearly 50% more than the ballot said it would be) It will be much higher when all is said and done.

    Actual Population of California 38,000,000

    Short versions of the numbers 65,400 / 38 = $1721 per man/woman/child
    Cost of a plane ticket $68-$250 one way. That is SEVEN free (high cost) tickets per man woman and child in CA. THIS does not count the actual cost of the ticket to ride the train. And all the projections, even from the Rail Authority, tell us that the cost will have to be continually underwritten by the tax payers.

    I have yet to have a person make any sort of reasonable argument why we should spend that kind of money in a state that is going broke.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  25. Re:Simple by element-o.p. · · Score: 5, Informative
    Sigh...I rather suspect you are trolling, but here goes, anyway.

    You guys always point to reality...as a defense for your delirious mental illness about space. Doesn't work that way.

    Ummm...yeah. What do you want people to point to instead? The Starship Enterprise? That's kind of the the point. You say that ${futuristicConcept} can't be done because of insurmountable technical obstacles. Other people point to ${formerFuturisticConceptThatIsNowReality} as a counter-example of something once thought impossible, but now taken for granted. For years, people said it was impossible to fly in a heavier-than-air, powered aircraft...then our friends Wilbur and Orville (or Glen Curtiss, depending upon who's revisionist history you choose to subscribe) did it. People thought that rockets couldn't "fly" in a vacuum because there was "nothing to push against." Then the Russians launched Sputnik. All (or at least "many") experts said we will never exceed the speed of sound...then Gen. Yeager did it. The point of all of these examples is that people thought a number of various things were impossible...until someone figured out a way to get around the obstacles that people thought were "insurmountable." Griping that pointing "to reality" to argue that things are only impossible until someone accomplishes those things is, in fact, the way it works.

    Those things were built because they were able to build them...

    True statement is true, yes. Your point?

    What you are blatantly ignoring is that people didn't think those things were possible -- exactly as you don't think various things are possible now. The problem wasn't that things were intrinsically impossible; it's that people were approaching the problem from pre-conceived notions based upon the limitations of existing technology. In what way are the things you currently say are impossible merely limited by our current understanding of physics? This may come as a shock to you, but...(wait for it)...we don't know EVERYTHING yet. Therefore, we can't predict what "impossible" things will become possible when some "Eureka!!!" moment shows that something we all thought we understood gets shattered wide open by a new discovery. When we get that insight, things that we thought were impossible might suddenly become trivial.

    --
    MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  26. Re:kinetic energy by Zorpheus · · Score: 4, Informative

    That is not the same. If you start walking while on the train you give the train a negative impulse, which is decelerating it. You only don't feel it because the train is much heavier than you.

  27. Re:Simple by PhillC · · Score: 5, Informative

    If you planned ahead, and had the relevant travel card, that price goes down to EUR79 (USD100).

    That journey is a little over 6.5 hours on the train. You'd be lucky to do it under 6 hours driving, factoring in relevant breaks and depending on where in each city your arrival and departure point was. If I had anything to do at the other end, I know I'd much rather travel by train than bust my butt driving.

    I regularly catch a tran from Vienna to Graz in Austria. The cost is around EUR18 one way, with discount card. The journey takes 2.5 hours by train, and maybe 2 hours by car, depending on the traffic. On the train I can read, work on my laptop, sleep, walk around, go to the dining car etc. It's a much more pleasant way to travel.

    --
    Brought to you by the author of such childrens' classics as "Some Kittens can Fly!" and "All Dogs go to Hell."
  28. Re:Simple by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    First, airlocks used in space are used a few dozen times at most before being completely overhauled. The docking connector on a train like this would get more than that much use in a single day, probably in a single morning.

    If you're thinking of airlocks, then you'd have to depressurise and repressurise the train at every station. If you actually mean a tube connected to equal pressures outside of the tube and inside the train, then you're assuming that the seal of something that can be attached and detached, can handle one side moving as the train bounces up and down slightly as people step on and off, and still will have zero leakage.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  29. Re:Simple by jpapon · · Score: 5, Informative

    And don't tell me "it's different in Europe". I was in Germany. I can drive from Munich to Berlin faster than the ICE train. And the train ride costs $150+ each way per person.

    Berlin-Munich costs 44 Euros each way (you have to buy the ticket a few weeks in advance though), and takes 6 hours. Driving takes the same amount of time, and will cost you at least 50 Euros in gas (600 km * 5l/100km * 1.65 Eu/l = 49.5 ~ and that's a pretty efficient vehicle - you won't get that efficiency doing 160 on the autobahn). So you're just plain wrong. Not to mention, many routes are much faster than a car; Frankfurt - Gottingen takes 1h40m on the ICE and 2h30m by car.

    You can't look at the "in station" ticket prices, that's just ridiculous... have you looked at the price of airplane tickets if you buy them at the airport??

    --
    -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
  30. Re:Simple by Above · · Score: 4, Informative

    When folks talk about Amtrak, one of the first comments is that it is subsidized. It is, to the tune of 2.6B a year at the current moment.

    We spend approximately $150B a year in state and federal money on highway construction and maintenance.

    We spend approximately $16B a year operating the FAA and airports, about 3.5B of which is directly spent on facilities construction and maintenance.

    All transportation is subsidized. Cost per passenger mile, cost per trip, or other similar metrics are a far better measurement of financial performance. Passenger fairs are also a very interesting thing to look at, if the same subsidy for rail and airports resulted in fares that were 50% less for rail travelers that may be a better subsidy.

    The problem in the US with rail is really simple to boil down. Congress mandates Amtrak serve underserved and out of the way communities. Greenwood Mississippi has Amtrak service because the government said they must go there, not because it is the best route, or the most profitable one. At the same time Congress wants Amtrak to be profitable. That's a combo that doesn't work. It could be a profitable service by aligning routes with where people wanted to go, and dumping unprofitable ones. It could serve underserved communities with a subsidy. It can't do both at the same time.

    High speed rail is a long term investment problem in the US, and a problem of our red-tape with building things. The transcontinental railroad was built in 6 years, largely with hand labor. California's high speed line is estimated to connect San Francisco to LA by 2030, 18 years from now. Much of this is the ever evil "regulation", however much of that derided regulation is stuff the people voted for in the first place so we don't destroy our environment, and so on. Much of it is time taken up with legal challenges, large and small, wasting time and money in court. We have to take a hard look at this sort of problem, the US is now building infrastructure at a much slower rate than most other western countries, and that's not a way to stay ahead. We can't just throw out the regulations, that will not leave a functioning society, but we need to streamline many of these processes.

    Trains can work just fine in the US, and they do in fact operate profitably in several locations today.