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Has the 3-D Hype Bubble Finally Popped?

An anonymous reader writes "An article at Time speculates that the recent hype surrounding 3-D display technology has finally peaked and begun to subside. As evidence, they point to comments from Nintendo president Satoru Iwata, who does not seem particularly enthusiastic about it, and concedes it won't be a major selling point if the company continues to have 3-D enabled products in the future. He said, 'So, now we've created the 3DS and 3DS XL and also have some games out there that are really using that 3D effect that we can see, from my point of view, that it's an important element. But as human beings are this kind of surprise effect wears off quickly, and just [having] this 3D stereoscopic effect isn't going to keep people excited.' Revenue from 3-D films is also dropping, and while 3-D television sales are rising, only 14 percent of potential buyers think 3-D is a 'must have' feature."

17 of 261 comments (clear)

  1. Potential. by nospam007 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    'Potential' buyers, unlike actual ones have no idea what they are talking about.

    1. Re:Potential. by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yep. I'm a "potential buyer" of a new Ferrari and a speedboat. There's just a few financial matters I need to sort out first.

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      No sig today...
    2. Re:Potential. by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Given the type of products we're talking about, "actual buyers" are unlikely to be re-entering the market for a while. So why would manufacturers and retailers care about their opinions going forward?

      But speaking as an actual buyer of a 3D television set (LG 47LW5600), I can say I didn't care about 3D much. However LG reserved certain features only to the 3D set (at least at that time), and the price difference between the 3D and 2D equivalent versions was only about $60 - so I bought the 3D model. It also came with four sets of 3D glasses... that are still sitting, unopened, on the shelf.

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    3. Re:Potential. by Divebus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not sure how many "potential buyers" there were to start with. In the TV/Movie business, it was the set manufacturers and Hollywood driving the whole thing, not customer demand. Set manufacturers needed to start selling everyone a new TV, even though they just bought one. Hollywood had a new gimmick to sell movies, which they've tried before and it didn't stick then either.

      A few years ago at the NAB convention, you almost couldn't walk into a booth without being handed 3D glasses. The technologies were quite complex, like simply adding titles to any production, you now had to worry about the Z-space of the title. Camera settings were nuts to get the correct stereoptic convergence. Data storage and plant bandwidth demands went up. Displays looked dull because you had those stupid sunglasses on. You couldn't use today's common production techniques with rapid shot changes, camera angles, closeups mixed with medium shots, things going on and off screen - your eyeballs would unscrew and fall out of your head within minutes. It was headache inducing and everyone knew it.

      Back in the 1950s when the first popular run of 3D movies happened, the production was very different - more like a relatively static camera shooting a stage where the actors performed. The only current content creators starting to use 3D were either trying to differentiate themselves or trying to not appear left behind.

      The last NAB convention was very different. It was clear that 3D was swept into the back corner. It's still around if you want it, but they're done. When it comes back again, the displays will need to be much better and not require glasses, nor will the glasses-free displays require you to stand still in one of the 18 lanes which give you proper stereoptic perception.

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  2. Lame 3D tech is a once per generation fad. by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Now that we've had it for this generation (i.e. 2010) thankfully we won't have to worry about it until 2030 or so.

    Or until we have REAL 3D breakthrough where your can walk around a solid appearing image to see it from different perspectives, without glasses.

    1. Re:Lame 3D tech is a once per generation fad. by kasperd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Or until we have REAL 3D breakthrough where your can walk around a solid appearing image to see it from different perspectives, without glasses.

      No pragmatic person will ask for such technology today. There is nothing wrong with researching, but it will take many years before we see any feasible technology for that.

      A more reasonable request is more standardized 3D glasses and better quality. There are many people who wear glasses all the time in order to be able to see anything at all. Glasses made for that are more comfortable to wear. Let's have 3D glasses that are as comfortable to wear as ordinary glasses. And let's have 3D glasses suitable for people who need glasses, such that those people don't have to wear two pair of glasses on top of each other in order to watch a 3D move. Fix those two things, and 3D technology will become more popular.

      I find 3D equipment for home usage to be less convincing than 3D equipment for the cinema. I still haven't seen any equipment for home usage moving away from active glasses. Produce an LCD with circular polarization for 3D, and I will be much more interested in buying it. Even more so if I can buy a good pair of 3D glasses for it, and use the same good pair of 3D glasses in the cinema.

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    2. Re:Lame 3D tech is a once per generation fad. by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yup

      From
      http://entertainment.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1777404&cid=33478946%5Bslashdot.org

      1860-1915 Holmes Stereoscope
      1920 3D movies in NYC -- unknown which ones ...
      1952 3D movie "Dial M for Murder", "Creature From The Black Lagoon", "Kiss Me Kate"
      1970 3D movie Any Warhol's Frankenstein
      1983 3D movies "Jaws 3D" and "Spacehunter: Adventures in the Forbidden Zone
      2009 3D movies Avatar, Coraline, How to Train your Dragon, Monsters Vs. Aliens, Up, etc.

      The clothing industry has the same ~20 year fad-cycle too.

  3. Hallelujah! by Koyaanisqatsi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Personally, I'm sick and tired of small theaters only offering you the 3D version of a given movie. I rather see it in normal 2D, without having to put up with dirty and inconvenient passive glasses, and dizziness in scenes with fast motion ...

    At home, for gaming, with a good TV and glasses things might be different, but I'm not much of a gamer myself to justify the extra expense.

  4. We don't need 3D, we need much higher resolution. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "OH! THAT SHRAPNEL FLEW RIGHT TOWARD YOU! WOW!" seems to be the main use of 3D these days so it's nothing but a gimmick. A gimmick that needs to go away. Higher resolution displays are beautiful and future-proof. I wish the industry would adopt 4K instead. *sigh*

  5. Duh... by multimediavt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    and while 3-D television sales are rising

    Of course their sales are on the rise when there aren't many alternatives if you want a decent new TV. That's like saying TVs with digital tuners are on the rise, duh! 3D has some uses, but it's mostly another ploy by the manufacturers to keep their price points up by making it seem they are adding value to the device. Also, why they still put tuners in monitors (let's face it TVs are just big LCD monitors) by default these days is a little silly if you ask me.

  6. Immersion, Immersion, Immersion by Vecanti · · Score: 5, Interesting

    3D has never, ever, improved a movie's story or characters, and never will.

    "To me 3D should be about making it feel like you are IN the movie, not that the movie is coming OUT at you."


    Pirates of the Caribbean 4. No, I didn't like the movie.

    However, the only thing that made me glad I spent money seeing it in 3D was I think was the "first" time I actually saw GOOD 3D cinematography. A few scenes at least. One of the scenes was when they were in the hull of the ship plotting a mutiny. The scene looked like all lit in with natural candle light. In the scene there was round table with just 1 candle in the middle.

    And in the scene there was nothing flying out of the screen! No explosions with shrapnel shooting at you in 3D. It was just a beautiful scene. It was filmed in a small space with beautiful lighting, but in 3D you FELT like you were there. Something that watching it in 2D doesn't give you.

    There were other things in that movie as well like in the light house, where again it wasn't 3D SHOOTING out crap at you, but you could see all the beauty of the gears and working of the insides of the lighthouse and you just get immersed. Which was nice since the story sucked.


    What I would love to see if a beautifully filmed "3D Black and White" movie, something Schindler's List-esque in it's cinematography. To me 3D should be about making it feel like you are IN the movie, not that the movie is coming OUT at you. Unfortunately, movie makers seem to only use to make it look like Spider-Man is shooting is Spider Wad at you or something lame and gimmicky like that.

  7. Re:Milking the cow til it hurts. by SternisheFan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    gotta keep up with the gimmicks. what do you want them to do, make better movies?

    Surely, you jest, sir. Most surely.

    Better movies! Where I find movies worth watching nowadays is on TMC. The movies made in the 30's, 40's and 50's. They may be old, but they're new to me. They have great involved plotlines, top-notch acting and directing, and some innovative (for the time in which they were made) camera direction. I can watch those old films all the way through, while most recent movies on dvd's I borrow from my library get ejected before they're halfway watched. Whiz-bang 3d/cgi means nothing after you've seen it a few times. Give me a good story that's believeably acted, and then I might actually pay theater prices to see it.

  8. Re:We don't need 3D, we need much higher resolutio by Immostlyharmless · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, No, the main use of 3D nowadays is to produce content that uses depth. With the exception of kids movies and horror flicks, hardly any of the new 3D movies has any of those atrocious 'coming out of the screen at you' gimmickry. Personally, I like seeing the depth in a film, Glad I was an early adopter.

    I think I'll wait to see what kind of sales are driven by the release of Titanic, the Pixar back catalog and a non exclusive release of avatar before I'd start going on about the death of 3D.

  9. Groupthink? by Cyberax · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So basically we have a groupthink "3D is uncool because I'm too cool to like it!" here.

    In reality, 3D movies are getting better and better. Some of the effects are much more pronounced in 3D and directors are starting to use them correctly. And in fact most people actually prefer 3D over 2D movies.

  10. Using 3D for storytelling by descubes · · Score: 4, Insightful

    3D, colour, surround sound, CGI, all of it are just tools for the storytellers to use to tell their story. We don't even think about colour in film, but it was a huge technical milestone for a lot more than just 'improving a character or story'.

    This is very true. 3D is a tool that has been abused initially (the "shrapnel flying towards you" another poster referred to). But 3D is also the normal way for us to see the world, so when done right, it enhances the suspension of disbelief. However, it matters that you do it right. Just like color could be distracting when you had over saturated hues or bizarre skin tones, 3D can break the immersion spell if not done right. On the other hand, if you do it right, it is transparent on the conscious level but ads realism and makes the story more believable.

    It's not just for movies either. At Taodyne, we brought 3D to interactive presentations. We have a kind of 3D interactive multimedia LaTeX called Tao Presentations. In our experience, 3D presentations are something that people still remember one year after having seen them. Most people don't necessarily remember movies better when they are in 3D, but ask any kid in France about the 3D Haribo ad, and chances are they remember it. The same is true for presentations. Showing models or charts in 3D gives them more impact.

    Another interesting effect of 3D for storytelling is that you can put more data on a screen without causing confusion. You can put things in front to draw attention, or in the background for things that are less important. You can create true 3D charts, where the depth ads another useful axis. And the Star Wars effect in real 3D is an interesting way to show data (it's a built-in demo of Tao Presentations).

    In short, 3D can be a gimmick. Or it can be used well and make a difference. It's all a matter of how you use it.

    --
    -- Did you try Tao3D? http://tao3d.sourceforge.net
  11. Re:ask slashdot: 3d with regular LCD ? by pepty · · Score: 4, Insightful
    For viewing molecules, the easiest method is a cheat: many programs will rock the molecule back and forth on the vertical axis. You can keep the same part of the protein (active site, for instance) in view indefinitely while the rocking motion gives depth cues and it works pretty well even for people not sitting directly in front of the screen. I'd go with that; most protein visualisation and modeling software has it as an option and it will work on any display or projector.

    The other method that will work with any hardware is cross eyed or wall eyed stereo. It gives you much better depth perception and is much better if you are trying to dock/move molecules around each other onscreen. Unfortunately lots of people can't do one or the other (I find wall eyed difficult), or they get headaches. If you're viewing from off-center the problems get worse. Again, most protein visualisation software has the option.

    I used those active shutter goggles sometimes back in the '90s while modeling proteins on Silicon Graphics workstations. The whole process was so cumbersome that I just switched over to cross eyed stereo instead.

  12. It's not 3D. No wonder there's little interest. by fyngyrz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You know why I'm not excited? Because the "3d steroscopic effect" is not... 3d.

    It's one POV, the very same one I had in the first place.

    A 3D display would allow me to get up, which would change my POV. It would allow me to walk behind the display, and look at the BACK of the actors. I could look down at the scene, or up at it; I could sit in my chair and rotate the scene with my remote.

    Stereoscopic display tech is no more than 1930's postcard (later ViewMaster) tech. Added to which, it seems that a great deal of the use of it is in displaying distortion -- things TOO close or TOO far, like an addled child with a new toy, the filmmakers just can't seem to get the idea that verisimilitude is of greatest interest, even though everything else about imagery that is popular with consumers is telling them that: resolution, color fidelity, the rejection of NTSC (never twice the same color, lol) for digital, high-resolution detail on reds and blues and colors with those components, instead of the blurry sludge NTSC gave us.

    So to stereovision, good bye, don't let the door hit you in the front porch on the way out. Call me when we're going to have real 3D. That's worthy of my wallet. And the good news is, there are already systems out there. Some people, at least, know which way to go.

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