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Would You Trust an 80-Year-Old Nuclear Reactor?

the_newsbeagle writes "The worst nuclear near-disaster that you've never heard of came to light in 2002, when inspectors at Ohio's Davis-Besse nuclear power station discovered that a slow leak had been corroding a spot on the reactor vessel's lid for years (PDF). When they found the cavity, only 1 cm of metal was left to protect the nuclear core. That kind of slow and steady degradation is a major concern as the US's 104 reactors get older and grayer, says nuclear researcher Leonard Bond. U.S. reactors were originally licensed for 40 years of operation, but the majority have already received extensions to keep them going until the age of 60. Industry researchers like Bond are now determining whether it would be safe and economically feasible to keep them active until the age of 80. Bond describes the monitoring techniques that could be used to watch over aging reactors, and argues that despite the risks, the U.S. needs these aging atomic behemoths." Meanwhile, some very, very rich individuals have taken an interest in the future of nuclear power.

28 of 429 comments (clear)

  1. I wouldn't. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I wouldn't trust an 80-year-old anything.

    1. Re:I wouldn't. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Either science and engineering is right or it isn't. If you think engineers can safely build a nuclear reactor and operate it for 40 years, why is 80 years different if they can demonstrate strong engineering judgement? And if 80 years isn't safe, then what arbitrary number is it that it becomes unsafe?

    2. Re:I wouldn't. by Medievalist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Either science and engineering is right or it isn't. If you think engineers can safely build a nuclear reactor and operate it for 40 years, why is 80 years different if they can demonstrate strong engineering judgement? And if 80 years isn't safe, then what arbitrary number is it that it becomes unsafe?

      If we were depending on anything as rational as science, engineering or judgement we wouldn't run them past their designed lifespans.

      There's these things called "safety margins" that engineers like, and these things called "new designs" that scientists like, but none of that will be as important as what the rich political donors want. Because the people making the decisions, at the end, will be the politicians.

    3. Re:I wouldn't. by korgitser · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I might trust an 80 year old reactor, but I wouldn't trust the suits running it.

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      FCKGW 09F9 42
    4. Re:I wouldn't. by bennomatic · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Makes me think of the joke about the carpenter. "This is the best hammer I've ever owned; I've had it my whole career," he says. "I've replaced the head three times and the handle five times. I love this hammer, and I'd never part with it."

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
    5. Re:I wouldn't. by Local+ID10T · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Either science and engineering is right or it isn't. If you think engineers can safely build a nuclear reactor and operate it for 40 years, why is 80 years different if they can demonstrate strong engineering judgement? And if 80 years isn't safe, then what arbitrary number is it that it becomes unsafe?

      But in fact they designed and built it to operate safely for 40 years...

      We have been lucky that they were being conservative (as most good engineers are) and it has lasted 60 years. I'd rather not push my luck to 80 years.

      If it were designed and built to last 80 years, yes I would trust it to last 80 years. We know a lot more about nuclear physics than we did when these plants were designed. We have a much better understanding of what not to do, which gives us a much better understanding of what to do. If the engineers say that the new design is good for 80 years, great. If the engineers say that it is good for 40 years, I am certainly not going to try and talk them into 80 years. That would be the difference between engineering and politics.

      --
      "You want to know how to help your kids? Leave them the fuck alone." -George Carlin
    6. Re:I wouldn't. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Okay, pretend you are a nuclear engineer. The reactor you built in the late 60s was designed with large safety margins because much of the material science and thermal hydraulics was not as advanced as it is today. Additionally, the instrumentation was of a poorer design and the accident analyses were performed with computers designed in the 60s. In 2012, the safety margin can be expanded based on what is known, as well as improvements to the plants over the years (like the post TMI changes). 40 years of operating reactors has given enormous amounts of data on material corrosion and neutron exposure.

      These reactors were designed to operate for 40 years in the same way that the Martian rovers were designed to operate 90 days. The designed lifetime is engineering speak for a very conservative rough guess based on current conditions.

    7. Re:I wouldn't. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Either science and engineering is right or it isn't. If you think engineers can safely build a nuclear reactor and operate it for 40 years, why is 80 years different if they can demonstrate strong engineering judgement?

      So you think a 20-year-old car drive 400,000 miles runs the same as 10-year-old car driven 200,000 miles?

      Do you think a 1 year old car runs as well as a 5 year old car?

      Pick your poison. If you are going to pick an arbitrary number to label 'unsafe', there ought to be some sort of justification.

      My argument is that if the engineering supports continued operation (with longevity modifications as necessary) then that is enough if we believe that engineering is a valid discipline that can design this type of technology. This logic isn't specific to nuclear reactors. It applies to airplanes, bridges, dams, ships, etc. I'm not saying that risk doesn't need to be factored in. It does. But not in a haphazard FUD dominated way without looking at the data.

      Why do we operate dams for over 100 years? The engineering supports it.

      Why do we operate airplanes for over 30 years? The engineering supports it.

      Why do we sail ships that are over 50 years old? The engineering supports it.

      Why do we operate nuclear reactors for over 40 years?

    8. Re:I wouldn't. by tragedy · · Score: 5, Funny

      If you think engineers can safely build a nuclear reactor and operate it for 40 years, why is 80 years different if they can demonstrate strong engineering judgement?

      If I can safely run 40 feet along a pier without falling into the water, why is 80 feet any different?

    9. Re:I wouldn't. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Informative

      There's these things called "safety margins" that engineers like,

      Once upon a time, back when nuclear power plants were first being built, it wasn't especially clear what effect neutron embrittlement would have over the lifetime of a nuke plant.

      As a result, the plants tended to be over-engineered to astonishing degree.

      Newer plants weren't over-engineered to such an extreme degree, but were still over-engineered.

      In other words, the 40 year design lifetime was a VERY conservative estimate. Whether they can survive 80 years is debatable, but that's a question for the engineers/scientists.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    10. Re:I wouldn't. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Funny

      Whether they can survive 80 years is debatable, but that's a question for the engineers/scientists.

      No, it's a question for the CEO/Board of Directors. When they want the opinion of engineers/scientists, they'll give it to them.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    11. Re:I wouldn't. by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 4, Funny

      Not me, I voted for the honest hard working guy.

      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

    12. Re:I wouldn't. by EdIII · · Score: 5, Funny

      I wouldn't trust your grandfather for two seconds.

      Two things:

      1) Old people run dangerously low on fucks, and therefore have much less to give. Not good. Especially, if they can be amused by whatever their addled, senile brains have come up with.
      2) The old adage that youth and skill will always fail when faced with old age and treachery. After years of collecting data on this phenomenon I confidently state this is as true as gravity.

      My grandfather is gone, and I do miss him terribly, but I do also sleep better without worrying what prank he is going to play next. That, and my mother screaming, "get your balls off my couch old man". He refused to wear anything other than a kimono that did not fit him.

    13. Re:I wouldn't. by EdIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes.. yes.. yes... all good points.

      The question was would you trust it. Considering the rampant corruption in the world, it's a pretty fair assumption that there are going to be financial and political interests steering the "engineering" decisions.

      It's not the reactor that I don't trust. It's not the engineers I don't trust.

      The managers, politicians, and those with financial interests I don't trust for two fucking seconds.

      Put it another way... I would trust being transported from place to place with a transporter beam just fine.... in theory. However, not when operated by a capitalist corporation that is trying to save money on costly maintenance and inspections and has figured out that my accidental death is cheaper in the long run than hiring those expensive "Star Fleet" trained technicians and decides to go with somebody with an online degree.

    14. Re:I wouldn't. by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's not got a damned thing to do with voting...unless you consider NIMBYism as a form of voting that is.

      Whether we like it or not folks our need for power is going nowhere but up, rolling blackouts in this heat will frankly leave some folks dead, including elderly and the sickly, and we just don't have any tech that can replace these as of yet. What we need is reliable 24/7/365 power and so far the renewables simply can't give us that so its nuke or coal and NG, take your pick.

      Personally i'd prefer it if we were building those thorium reactors that can power an average city and reprocessing the waste but the NIMBYs have a screaming shitfit. But of course if you talk about building a coal or NG plant they have a screaming shitfit too, hell they even had a screaming shitfit about those wind towers off of the east coast remember?

      Unless you want to go back to living in mud huts and burying the old and sick from heatstroke by the dozens we simply HAVE to have the power folks. As someone who lives less than 150 miles from a pair of reactors frankly I'm more worried about getting hit by a moron texting on his iPhone than i am a meltdown. I'm glad we have those plants as we haven't had a blackout around here in ages and with this heat I know several elderly relatives that would end up in the hospital or the morgue if it weren't for AC, including my parents.

      If you don't want old plants tell the NIMBYs to STFU and build the new designs as fast as we can crank 'em out, simple as that.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    15. Re:I wouldn't. by zippthorne · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So, what, should we get our power from unicorn farts? The energy has to come from somewhere. The people arguing that Nuclear isn't safe might have fingers in the Oil pie. Just like the people against pipelines who are in the rail-transport business....

      It would be interesting if we could find a way to close the circle - each group preventing something because they profit from something else, but rely on something that is prevented by another group, etc.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  2. No. by ericloewe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Get rid of them, build new ones. Simple enough, but of course, there's always the usual group, saying how bad nuclear power is... The only thing that accomplishes is a mixture of more coal/natural gas power plants and increasingly old nuclear reactors, operating way beyond their designed lifespan.

  3. No worries by dak664 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well sure the regulators would not extend the license unless it was absolutely safe. And the power companies know they would get a painful slap on the wrist if anything went wrong.

  4. SimCity by dg41 · · Score: 5, Informative

    If I learned anything from SimCity it was to never let your reactor stay online beyond its intended life - unless you have disasters turned off, of course.

  5. Technical Analysis by dont_forget · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The process currently requires that licensee demonstrate using technical analysis that the vessel is fully capable of performing its design function for the entire licenses period. As long as technical analysis demonstrate that the vessel will continue to function, why not allow the plants to extend their license indefinitely? If the stress on the vessel due to cooldowns, heatups, and neutron flux is less than the margin for performing its design function, then preventing a extending license is an action based on fear not science.

    A common misconception is that plants were only initially licensed for 40 years due to technical concerns. As it turns out the AEC (the predecessor to the NRC) just picked an arbitrary amount of time to issue operating licenses. There was not a technical basis to the 40 year time period. That being said, some manufactures may have used the 40 year time period as a design input for reactor designs. However there is no mysterious phenomenon that causes the reactor to turn into a pumpkin.

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    dont_forget
  6. Re:No. by Medievalist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, it's all the fault of those damn greenies. There's no way the entrenched powers who actually control things could possibly have anything to do with it - secretly, you know, a bunch of dirty hippy flower children control all the world's investment banks, that explains everything!

    Let's face it, in the USA "greens" have less power than dog fanciers. This Rush Limbaugh meme of blaming them for all US nuclear power issues is hilarious.

  7. Re:What is there to turst? by DarkOx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    People keep comparing the deaths per capita from nuclear to things like car and plane accidents and especially other methods of power generation. I would suggest its NOT A USEFUL METRIC.

    Our society has the means to absorb the geographically dispersed individual and and handfuls of people lost in car wrecks each day all over the place. Even the the total number is large, its dilute and the long term loss of economic resources such as land is minimal. The odd air craft accident that claims a few hundred is more painful but still manageable.

    The slow deaths from coal and such get spread out across decades of somewhat elevated medical expenses and environmental clean up projects. Even an major accident like a slag spill can be contained and cleaned up with conventional equipment and means.

    A major Chernobyl or Fukushima like accident however rare stands to displace tens of thousands of people at once and render major economic assets and surrounding land unusable for decades, all at once! That is the sort of thing that derails entire economies.

    Its the difference between being shot and say having HIV. Over the long haul HIV and sympathetic infections probably do more total harm, but its spread out you can live with it for a long time. The bullet on the other though it might kill few cells on initial impact, often does enough damage that its immediately catastrophic anyway.

    --
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  8. I got a fix for this... by bobbied · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Start letting industry build new ones! There are some excellent modern designs which would be a great improvement on safety and even some that can help us dispose of high level long half life waste by converting it to stuff with shorter a half life. We are simply storing this stuff at the plant that generates it right now and that's CRAZY. We should be using it to generate power with these new reactor designs.

    Start reprocessing all the spent fuel into forms where we can use it again. There is 40 plus years of used fuel assemblies just sitting inside these plants that could be reprocessed and reused with the side benefit of making the physical size of the high level waste much smaller and easier to handle. The waste can be encased in glass or ceramics and made ready for long term storage. Which brings me to the final thing we need to do...

    Get one or more high level waste sites completed ASAP so we can start dealing with the *real* problem here. I'm worried more about the thousands of fuel assemblies just sitting in storage pools corroding than the danger from aging power plants springing leaks and melting down. We need to get this really dangerous stuff into more secure locations and stabilized environment where it can be stored in a more permanent way.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  9. O.G. Nuclear Reactor by H3xx · · Score: 4, Funny

    I trust the sun.

    --
    "Ubuntu" - an African word meaning "Slackware is too hard for me."
  10. Re:If only there were another solution... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    That's why I'm terrified of nuclear families.

  11. Re:Would you trust an 80 year old dam? by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not sure what your point is.
    I really wonder who thinks the comparison between a huge chunk of steel reinforced concrete and the corrosive environment of a nuclear reactor is somehow insightful.

    Ultimately, a dam's lifespan is determined by the build up of silt behind it.
    The Hoover dam will be put to rest when either the silt builds up high enough or
    the cost to maintain it is higher than the cost to remove it. Whichever comes first.

    --
    [Fuck Beta]
    o0t!
  12. Clarity by Grendol · · Score: 4, Informative
    Often, discussions about nuclear energy tend to run rampant with misinformation and hyperbole. I offer the following points for clarity, context, and thought.

    1) Just to be clear: There are NO 80 year old reactors. If Chicago-Pile 1 was still operating, it would turn 70 this year. The oldest currently operating nuclear reactor is the Oyster Creek facility. This reactor came online December 23rd 1969 making it 42 years old curerntly. This is according to Wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oyster_Creek_Nuclear_Generating_Station

    2) All NRC regulated reactors have maintenance performed on the systems every outage, to the point that much of the facility is newer than the day it turned on. This is due to maintenance and repair activity, as well as upgrades to improve efficiency. The article calls this "midlife refurbishment". The industry does this because it is easier and less costly than a new reactor. The thought process of the industry is that it is easier to tear down and rebuild under the existing license than it is to get approval for a new license. If the industry could feasibly replace a reactor vessel, I would bet they would.

    3) ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code Section 3 is a good code. Creep, Fatigue, Corrosion, and many other issues are addressed in this code that the non-nuclear codes for B&PV only tough upon exotic need, and then refer the engineer to the section 3 code. I encourage you to read it.

    4) Some reactor operators send material samples to the Advanced Test Reactor at the INL for accelerated radiation age testing. This information is sought by the reactor operators to gain a better understanding for themselves about their own equipment.

    5) Reactors are designed for a much longer life than 40 years, but the NRC set the 40 year license to force a mid-life review. Reactors get far better treatment than any car or plane that most people have ever have ridden in. In this context, a 40 year old reactor properly maintained is very possibly not a safety concern.

    6) The Davis-Besse RPV head mentioned by the article was a case of criminal conduct in the eyes of some people, and is not considered normal operating behavior by people I have met from the industry. Whatever the facts are, the indictment can be found here. http://www.corporatecrimereporter.com/documents/indictment.pdf

    7) Reactors designed to operated under the NRC have a "defense in depth" safety approach. The reactor and facilities are given a design basis accident that is a conservative forecasting of potential accident scenarios.

    8) The NRC has a glossary available to you http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/basic-ref/glossary.html note the term "meltdown" is not there. Many people associated with the nuclear field feel that it is a poor term that does not adequately describe a problem's behavior or severity. This is borne out of the use of the term for several reactor failures that all had different designs, behaviors, and severity of failure.

    9) New reactor designs offer some stimulating improvements. The Generation 4 reactor effort can be found at http://www.gen-4.org/ currently the US is operating Gen 2 reactors.

  13. There's the second side of the coin by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The safety margins are estimated based upon what is known at that time and can also be too small. That's why these things have been watched like hawks and many portions replaced. The French sodium cooled reactors are a prime example since they were pushing so far into the unknown. They had so many problems that large amounts of equipment were replaced many times.

    Additionally, the instrumentation was of a poorer design

    I'm assuming you are writing about TMI. The instrumentation wouldn't have been considered up to legal standards of even a fertilizer plant at the time, the "clean and safe" myth had won out and allowed some dangerous corner cutting to save cash. Nothing that generates large amounts of heat is safe unless you take care to make it so.
    It's not like designing a lift with a known safety factor. These things are all prototypes to an extent. You don't go to the moon on Apollo 1, and you can't expect the first reactor of any design to be perfect.