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Surfacestations: NOAA Has Overestimated Land Surface Temperature Trends
New submitter BMOC writes "Anthony Watts of Surfacestations project (crowdsourced research) has finally yielded some discussion worthy results (PDF). He uses a siting classification system developed by Michel Leroy for Meteofrance in 1999 that was improved in 2010 to quantify the effect of heat sinks and sources within the thermometer viewshed by calculation of the area- weighted and distance-weighted impact of biasing elements to calculate both raw and gridded 30 year trends for each surveyed station, using temperature data from USHCNv2. His initial claims are that station siting is impacting the surface temperature record significantly, and NOAA adjustments are exacerbating that problem, not helping. Whether you agree with his results or not, recognize that this method of research is modern and worth your participation in the review. Poke holes in publicly sourced and presented research all you can, that's what makes this method useful."
Denier denies. Why is anyone surprised?
This work represents a simple concept, a quality audit of instrument sites based on others criteria, and identifying diverse data sources' susceptibility to drift over the decades. Apparently this is more radical to some than Martin Luther's theses posted on the door.
Actual published, peer-reviewed work analyzing his "work" has reached precisely the opposite conclusion.
Ahh, that would be the peer-reviewed work that was "prematurely published", "using a subset of the site classifications that Anthony [Watts] has completed (and, moreover, the site classification data they used has not even gone through final quality assurance checks!)"--"They used only ~40% of the USHCN sites yet over 87% have actually been surveyed by Anthony’s volunteers." (http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2010/01/15/professional-discourtesy-by-the-national-climate-data-center/)
Is it the deniers or the alarmists?
Not that I give a stuff. Even if the world is warming because we use Carbon fuel, does anybody really think that alarmism will stop people from eating and breeding and driving motor cars and airplanes?
Of course what REALLY has the alarmists upset is FRACKING because it will delay PEAK OIL by a century or more.
So if the world warms up, I will turn up the a/c and grow food in glasshouses.
There are pre-industrialization periods in which the temperature of Earth was hotter than it is now. Explain the differences and then I might become a believer.
I don't mean to burst your fucking bubble here, genius, but I confirmed global warming by stepping the fuck outside today. Yesterday. Day before. Week before. Month before.
If you can't recognize what is now happening, you are a certified fucktard. Seriously. Seen the weather ripping your, or your neighbor's towns and or houses apart recently? Yeah.
Fucking tired of fucking idiots in the useful-idiot employ of the oil companies standing around with their gaping, stupid mouth-holes open when they should be closed, because I hear NOTHING useful coming out of them.
One day I feel I'm ahead of the wheel / the next it's rolling over me / I can get back on / I can get back on