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Geneticists And Economists Clash Over "Genoeconomics" Paper

scibri writes "One side is accused of supporting ethnic cleansing; the other of being intellectually naive. Geneticists and economists are struggling to collaborate on research that explores how our genes influence and interact with economic behavior. Top economists are publishing a paper that claims a country's genetic diversity can predict the success of its economy. To critics, the economists' paper seems to suggest that a country's poverty could be the result of its citizens' genetic make-up, and the paper is attracting charges of genetic determinism, and even racism. But the economists say that they have been misunderstood, and are merely using genetics as a proxy for other factors that can drive an economy, such as history and culture."

44 of 213 comments (clear)

  1. Correlation is not causation by Hentes · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Maybe it's the other way around, I would say it's more likely that economic success causes immigration, and therefore diversity.

    1. Re:Correlation is not causation by mTor · · Score: 3, Informative

      I recommend you read this article: Correlation is not causation : The Internet Blowhardâ(TM)s Favorite Phrase

      The correlation phrase has become so common and so irritating that a minor backlash has now ensued against the rhetoric if not the concept. No, correlation does not imply causation, but it sure as hell provides a hint.

    2. Re:Correlation is not causation by Hentes · · Score: 2

      By that logic we should get rid of the Pythagorean theorem, it's become too common and irritating. Could it be that the reason so many people point this out is because it's true?

    3. Re:Correlation is not causation by grcumb · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sure, but you.still haven't demonstrated whether saying, 'Correlation is not causation' makes you stupid, or being stupid makes you say it. I mean, after all, correlation is not... oh shit.

      --
      Crumb's Corollary: Never bring a knife to a bun fight.
    4. Re:Correlation is not causation by ultranova · · Score: 2

      Could it be that the reason so many people point this out is because it's true?

      No, the reason why so many people point out "correlation is not causation" is because it's a convenient way to dismiss inconvenient correlations. In other words, it's a way to play stupid while pretending to be scientific and logical. Which is what's causing the backlash, too.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  2. If you RTFA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    you see the following:

    The paper argues that there are strong links between estimates of genetic diversity for 145 countries and per-capita incomes, even after accounting for myriad factors such as economic-based migration.

    1. Re:If you RTFA by Alex+Belits · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's impossible. Immigration is the only cause of genetic diversity in humans.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
    2. Re:If you RTFA by Baloroth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's impossible. Immigration is the only cause of genetic diversity in humans.

      No, it isn't. War, for example, is traditionally a huge cause of genetic diversity (after conquering a place, soldiers would often... well, rape the local women, to be frank, and even in a less-extreme scenario often slept with the more willing local women as they traveled). There is a reason there were often massive population booms after an invading army swept through a country. Any traveler has a possibility of spreading diversity, even if they aren't immigrating, and genes will spread across borders slowly over time even if the population remains relatively stationary.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    3. Re:If you RTFA by Alex+Belits · · Score: 3, Insightful

      War of conquest is a form of immigration.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  3. ignore facts because of potential for misuse? by alan_dershowitz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In an open letter, the group said that it is worried about the political implications of the economists’ work: “the suggestion that an ideal level of genetic variation could foster economic growth and could even be engineered has the potential to be misused with frightening consequences to justify indefensible practices such as ethnic cleansing or genocide,” it said.

    Well, I guess scientists had better go back and un-invent and un-discover any empirically verifiable or useful thing they may have invented or discovered that has the potential for misuse.

    1. Re:ignore facts because of potential for misuse? by cryptolemur · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Especially so when dealing with pseudoscience like economics, where any explanation that justifies greed and sosiopathy is considered valid.

    2. Re:ignore facts because of potential for misuse? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This and very much this. It's hard to imagine a marriage between genetics, a real science and economics - something that tails astrology and is just one jump ahead of homeopathy as a 'science'.

      You will never get anything useful out of it. Economists should not be allowed to pretend to read hard science papers. It will just give them airs.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:ignore facts because of potential for misuse? by AEC216 · · Score: 2

      If economics is a science, it is a 'science' of hindsight.

      --
      May I please have my frontal lobotomy if I bring back the ashtrays?
  4. TED Talks by EmagGeek · · Score: 2

    I thought we already determined that humans were as stupid as Monkeys when it came to economics and assessment of economic risk.

    http://www.ted.com/talks/laurie_santos.html

    The stupidz. Itz in ur geenz.

    1. Re:TED Talks by TheLink · · Score: 2

      Comparing a 50% chance of $0 or $1000 vs 100% chance of $500 it is rational to go for the $500. Because you assume you don't live forever, and you don't get infinite chances to make "free" money like that. Whereas if you got infinite goes at this, then sure they are about the same. For similar reasons it actually isn't that stupid for a poor unskilled and uneducated person to buy a lottery ticket if he wants to be a multimillionaire. Because his odds of becoming a multimillionaire in his lifetime by just working his way up, starting a successful business etc are also very low- in most countries social mobility is not that great. If he just wanted to be merely better off then he shouldn't waste his money on lottery tickets. Buying a lottery ticket makes even more sense if the jackpot has grown to a huge amount - in which case it can actually be considered an investment :).

      For the other problem if you are risk averse you should not risk a 50% chance of losing $1000 when you can ensure your losses are limited to 500. So I find it interesting that the risk averse people are taking the chance.

      --
  5. Why would that be a surprising conclusion? by xtal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's ok for genes to predicate athletic ability, but not other abilities or behaviours?

    Obviously our genes influence other behaviours. The small minded might not like that, but that's the way it is. Those who cry "racism" do a diservice to humanity in general - the bell curve applies to all populations, and the distribution of genes within a population is widely distributed. Studying how those genes interact is a good thing!

    --
    ..don't panic
    1. Re:Why would that be a surprising conclusion? by saveferrousoxide · · Score: 2

      I think the difference is really a discussion of whether genes affect behavior as they do physical characteristics. It's the nature vs. nurture debate in (slightly) different clothes. Even that question boils down to one of whether we are more than complex chemical reactions; if there is some "self" that isn't a physical construct.

  6. Re:Genetic diversity... by cayenne8 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now show me the papers that correlate genetics with government policy.

    Check out the genetic profiles of those living:

    1. In govt run "projects" housing

    2. In govt funded Welfare

    3. In govt funded food stamp programs

    4. In govt funded Medicaid

    Adjust for % of each race in the the nation...and see what you come out with?

    Regardless of your findings...which if done soundly with regard to the science of numbers...you'd get roasted over a public open fire and branded a racist.

    While there is a huge cultural component to this...perhaps the culture also is somewhat genetics based?

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  7. Re:Muddy Water to start with by tnk1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Many people learned to read science books because it was first considered important for them to be able to read holy books. Universities started off as not much more than seminaries.

    Being someone who has read both holy books and science books, I'd say that the real cause of people having problems with science is either that they are uninterested or unable to read. Holy books don't really impinge too much on my reading of journals.

  8. Re:Genetic diversity... by fustakrakich · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...perhaps the culture also is somewhat genetics based?

    I'll bet you a dollar that it's not

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  9. Re:Genetic diversity... by Jeng · · Score: 2

    I have to disagree.

    I've lived in Utah, Wyoming, and Connecticut before moving to Texas and I gotta say there is a shit ton of racists in Connecticut.

    --
    Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
  10. Re:Genetic diversity... by IcyHando'Death · · Score: 2

    Pot, meet Kettle.

  11. More Eugenics, where is the outrage? by s.petry · · Score: 2

    Sorry, but this is yet another modern version of Eugenics being pushed in to your face. Just like "using DNA to determine future criminals" and "Detecting psychopaths by Tweets".

    The people working on these papers expressing opinions like this are dangerous and should be locked up. Yes, it's that simple and yes, the propaganda they are spreading is extremely dangerous. If you don't understand the danger, go read a fucking history book and see what happens when people are convinced that genocide or racial superiority are good things.

    Education and Society dictate a persons capabilities. If a person has a good education and ample opportunity, they tend to work for the betterment of the society they received their education in and have the opportunities in. If a person lacks education, how can they better society? If a person has education and no opportunity, what choice do they have other than harming society to survive? (And to usurp any stupid arguments you may have regarding farmers not needing education or some such, you are wrong. Farmers need to know how to be farmers, and need to know how to be content to be the best farmer possible. That requires as much education regarding society as a rocket scientist requires, but of course lacking the sciences required by the rocket scientists.)

    This is basic sociology and psychology, with countless historical examples showing both sides of the argument. Hell, Socrates discussed the same thing in "The Allegory of the Artisan" (go read Plato's "The Republic" you lazy bastards!) well over 2 thousand years ago. It's not new, yet we still fall prey to the rhetoric of evil greedy people.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    1. Re:More Eugenics, where is the outrage? by claytongulick · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Education and Society dictate a persons capabilities.

      Do you have any supporting evidence of this other than a naive "I wish it were like this so it must be so!"

      Want to throw out decades of research that support genetic influence of behavior on such diverse issues as alcoholism, personality disorders, etc...

      A simple search of scholarly articles will give you plenty of studies conducted on identical twins raised in diverse social and economic situations, that have a genetic predisposition towards specific behaviors.

      According to your point, if I had the right education, in the right society, I could be a NFL linebacker, correct?

      Absurd.

      --
      Drinking habits can be dangerous. You can choke on the cloth and the nuns will wonder where their clothes are.
    2. Re:More Eugenics, where is the outrage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The people working on these papers expressing opinions like this are dangerous and should be locked up.

      People shouldn't be locked up just for having opinions. In fact, on the scale of dangerous ideas, these papers are nothing compared to what you just wrote in that quote.

  12. Re:Genetic diversity... by sjames · · Score: 2

    Now, look at the genetic social and family profiles of those who had to start out with less than nothing after being imported as property (but only the young and healthy, not the elders) and treated as sub-human even after being ruled no longer property.

    In the U.S. there is a myth that anyone can succeed and that background has no part mostly because there are a fair few very wealthy wastes of oxygen that want to pretend that their great fortune in life is somehow connected to some greatness within them. That and economic oppression is easier if you can convince the oppressed that their own shortcomings are at fault.

  13. Re:Genetic diversity... by mdarksbane · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The argument of the paper is *NOT* that there is a genetic driver to culture. The argument is that genetics is a useful *proxy* for culture, and one on which there is much clearer data. Most culture is strongly influenced by your family, who also happen to be your genetic influences. If you can track genetics you can also track culture.

    For example - immigrants from Sweden to the US are going to have similar genetics to people who remained in Sweden. But they are also going to bring their culture with them as well, which is going to continue to influence their lifestyles significantly.

    It is very hard to get data on how many people in the US have similar cultural influences to Sweden, but it is much less hard to find the people who have a genetic link to it, and therefore have an increased probability of having similar cultural influence.

    You don't have to make any claim at all about genetic influences over cultural ones for this to be a useful line of study.

  14. Re:Genetic diversity... by sjames · · Score: 2

    I have seen as much or MORE racism in the north than I see here in the south. The KKK may run around in the south (but most southerners wish they would go away), but the Neo-Nazis are in the north.

  15. Re:Genetic diversity... by dywolf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No, you miss the point. I'll illustrate.

    Verifiable fact: there are more black people in jail than whites in the US.

    Said such a thing one, time, instantly branded racist. But you will note that the statement makes no claims about who commits more crimes, about whether more black people actually get charged or found guilty vs non-blacks where were not charged or found innocent, whether the number is a raw total, or a ratio of population at large.... ...it just states the current state of jail population. no conclusions, no innuendo. just a simple number. (well, quantity comparison anyway)

    And if you say it, the first thing people say is "racist".

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  16. Commentors missing the point by mdarksbane · · Score: 2

    The authors of the paper come right out and say that they are not arguing for a genetic *cause* to the correlations they measure.

    Rather that since genetics and culture are both transmitted along family lines, that genetic diversity within a country is a useful proxy for cultural diversity, and that certain degrees of cultural diversity correlate with improved economic performance.

    This has nothing to do with eugenics, and everything to do with a more quantifiable way to study the effect of culture clashes on a country's economy.

  17. FIGHT! by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2

    Between a pseudo-science and an immature discipline!

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
  18. Re:Economics is a science? by sjames · · Score: 2

    NOT Flamebait!

    While there may be a study of economics out there, the field's leading representatives have become wholly wrapped up in politics. Those representatives are so thoroughly beholden to the political powers that be that they will say nearly ANYTHING to support the existing policies even where the supporting theory is obviously non-viable.

    Imagine Carl Sagan talking about the beauty of a million epicycles all different with no rhyme or reason and what a fine sort of matter the crystal spheres must be made of to remain undetectable for all this time except in the way they govern the movements of the heavens around the Earth and you'll have some idea of where the public face of economics is at as a science.

    When the real economists start standing up and calling bullshit on the political malpractice of economics, people will come to respect it as a science.

  19. Re:Genetic diversity... by scot4875 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No, you're not necessarily a racist, you just don't know statistics.

    Verifiable fact: there are more poor people in jail than non-poor in the US. There is a much larger correlation between economic status and crime than there is between race and crime.

    So, the fact that you "illustrated" this, shows one of a few possibilities. 1) you were unaware of this tighter correlation. 2) you are aware of this correlation, but don't believe it. (why?) 3) you are aware of this correlation, but don't understand it, and choose to promote the sloppy "more black people in jail" statistic as if it had any meaning by itself.

    So you can continue lying with statistics -- very similarly to how people do with the male/female "wage gap" -- or you can adjust your rhetoric to include and account for all relevant data. My guess is you and cayenne8 will both continue lying with a smug superiority complex about how "you're not racist, you're just stating facts".

    --Jeremy

    --
    Jesus was a liberal
  20. Re:There is obviously a link here. by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yes. The world's longest-lived and wealthiest societies in all of history prove your thesis. NOT!

    Egypt commanded through 3 principal epochs - over 3000 years of culturally continuous and reasonably enlightened civilization, outstripping the dreams of wealth in over that period.

    They were able to accomplish this without your revolting melanin-deficiency.

    This is but one example. Somehow, northern barbarians - who until a few short centuries ago, slept in the straw, still matted with their own dinner-filth - think they are the center of the universe. The maths and science they inherited from central and south asia have been used to rip the planet to shreds. Then they blame the victim as proof of their moral superiority.

    Pathetic.

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
  21. Re:There is obviously a link here. by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 3, Informative

    East Africa was literate a millennium before Europe.

    North Africa and West Asia invented literacy.

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
  22. Re:There is obviously a link here. by robot5x · · Score: 2

    it could also be quite convincingly argued that an economic lens is not really the most appropriate one through which to view history...

    The ancient Egyptians had mind-boggling knowledge of astronomy, geometry - they knew pi, zero, the golden section - as well as a highly developed cursive script, and construction techniques that we still can't get anywhere near today.

    I'm guess what I'm saying is that economic measures are already biased; the global economic structures currently in force are products of western civilisation which prides economy and wealth over other things which different cultures hold dear.

    --
    Hej! Nasi tu byli!
  23. Re:Genetic diversity... by sjames · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You may be unaware, but black people in the U./S. being regarded as somehow too dirty or inferior to use the same water fountain, lunch counter, or school as white kids is still within living memory.

    Equal opportunity? You're saying Joe Blow stands just as much opportunity to get a multi-million dollar friends and family investment in his new widget company as Daddy Warbucks kid? I think not.

    The U.S. provides more opportunity than a country with an active caste system, but the claim that the opportunity is anything like equal is pure fantasy.

  24. Re:Genetic diversity... by DM9290 · · Score: 2

    "The US is about equal opportunity for all...not equal outcomes"

    Libertarian Core Principle.

    myth. libertarians believe in the inheritance of wealth which utterly blows any possibility of equal opportunity out of the water.

    --
    No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
  25. ...and Slashdot ordered lists are not well rndered by Guy+Harris · · Score: 2

    Oh, come on, Slashdot! I'm not allowed to use an ordered list in my comments?

    You are, but their POS stylesheet hides the numbers. If, for example, I "Disable Styles" in Safari 6's Develop menu, your list magically becomes numbered - the page looks completely like ass, but at least the fucking ordered lists are numbered, not just ordered. At least as I read, for example, the HTML 4 section on lists, "visual user agents" should "number ordered list items". I guess a stylesheet are supposed to be able to override any aspect of presentation in the spec, but it's still really bogus to have a stylesheet that turns off numbering for ordered list items.

    (And Slashdot should allow titles to be a bit longer, assuming this isn't some unfortunate interaction between Slashdot and Safari - the box in which to type the title has some extra space at the end even with my longest-I-could-type title which, alas, required me to abbreviate "rendered" as "rendered".)

  26. Re:Genetic diversity... by tragedy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's been about 147 years since the thirteenth amendment. That puts the era of slavery outside living memory, true. However, if we consider a lifespan of about 80 years, that means that there can certainly still be people alive today who are only one generation removed from slavery. So, the era of pre-thirteenth amendment slavery may be history, but it's a long way from being dead history.

    Add to that the fact that the thirteenth amendment hardly fixed everything. For starters, it didn't actually ban slavery. The amendment quite clearly left the door open for slavery as a punishment for crime. This does stop hereditary slavery, but otherwise leaves pretty much every other element of slavery open to continue (except for the nebulous protection of the eighth amendment's "cruel and unusual punishment" clause) for anyone convicted of a crime. Convicting poor, black, illiterate (nearly always, since it was a crime to teach slaves to read in most slave states) former slaves of crimes was pretty easy in the former slave states. For example, most former slaves were pretty much instantly guilty of vagrancy. Chain gangs and forced prison labor persisted well until... well, now actually.

    Then there's the civil rights situation. Despite the passage of the 13th amendment (ratified by Mississippi in 1995), Jim Crow laws persisted until 1965 and anti-miscegenation laws weren't declared unconstitutional until 1967 and weren't all repealed until Alabama finally did so in 2001. So, there are plenty of people alive today who experienced active legal discrimination in their lifetimes.

    Given all that, it's ridiculous to claim that the past racial discrimination of the US is just a "crutch or excuse" for social problems. The kind of effects that sort of thing produces can persist across numerous generations.

    As for people starting with nothing then rising to great success, that certainly is possible, but those are statistical outliers. If you're going to consider people en masse then those born to disadvantaged circumstances are going to stay disadvantaged and pass it on to their children and their children's children.

  27. Re:There is obviously a link here. by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2

    It is a common error to attribute Achaeans - and the Dorians, too, really - to "Europe". One may do so, based on the southeastern-most hump of that continent, surely.

    But the intellectual world in which they were grown, and the tradition they embellished and elevated was not indigenous to the Balkans. It was rather a part of the Indo-Aryan world, which acquired a unique synthesis of Egyptian, Levantine and Mesopotamian influences.

    "Greece" as it was understood as the Hellenic world? As much a part of Asia Minor as of Europe.

    Sparta and Athens become important after Ionia - which was the real incubator of Doric civilization and passed the legacy to Attica. Given the proximity to Phoenica, this is the natural route for an alphabet to move from the Levant to the Greeks.

    Later, despite the ahistoric and anachronistic term Graeco-Roman - the Romans did almost nothing to transmit and develop Greek science and culture. This was left to the Persian and Arab world - who became the first society to cultivate both Platonic and Aristotelian schools - and were the causal for their living preservation and transmission to Europe in later centuries.

    Yet this crucial - and golden age - of "western"or "European" tradition is discredited. Again, by the descendants of illiterate tribesmen and petty war lords, who appropriate a history, and call it their special, providential inheritance.

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
  28. Re:Genetic diversity... by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

    In 1955 90% of black families had a father in the house. That was after most of the bad things you list but before some idiot decided that not having a man in the house was a good requirement for families to get aid. Facts cannot be racist.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  29. Re:Genetic diversity... by sjames · · Score: 2

    If you convince the downtrodden that they have no hope to get ahead in a country where gun ownership is a right, you get an armed revolt. If you teach them that they can get ahead if they keep themselves too busy to think about revolt, you get a bunch of worn out poor people who aren't quite ready to give up yet.

    Scratch the surface of those rags to CEO stories and you'll usually find out the rags were designer originals. With a population over 300 million, you will find a few statistical outliers that actually made the rags to riches transition, but it's not actually a statistically likely outcome.

    Upward mobility is generally much more modest. Rags to slightly better rags. Until you get over the threshold to actually being rich, downward mobility is also a factor.

  30. Re:Genetic diversity... by Sique · · Score: 2

    As for people starting with nothing then rising to great success, that certainly is possible, but those are statistical outliers. If you're going to consider people en masse then those born to disadvantaged circumstances are going to stay disadvantaged and pass it on to their children and their children's children.

    I fully agree.

    And for the "equal opportunity": The social mobility (which is a direct measure for the aboundance of 'from poverty to wealth' stories) in the U.S. is not higher than in the oh so socialist european countries. And in Europe, the most common from poverty to wealth story is 'has won the lottery'. So how's the "equal opportunity" going, if playing the lottery gives you better chances than hard and steady work?
    No, the wealth on both sides of the Atlantic creates an aristocracy, and with it an ideology to preserve the aristocracy by blaming the non-wealthy for not being wealthy and at the same time reducing the chance to overcome poverty on your own to less than random chance (e.g. lottery).

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*