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The Countries Most Vulnerable To an Internet Shutdown

Sparrowvsrevolution writes "In the wake of Syria's 52-hour digital blackout last week, the networking firm Renesys performed an analysis of which countries are most susceptible to an Internet shutdown, based simply on how many distinct entities control the connections between the country's networks and those of the outside world. It found that for 61 countries and territories, just one or two Internet service providers maintain all external connections–a situation that could make possible a quick cutoff from the world with a well-placed government order or physical attack."

19 of 94 comments (clear)

  1. I think Azeroth would be hit hardest... by hawks5999 · · Score: 4, Funny

    and anyone still in Second Life.

  2. Reliability of the measure regarding China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Maybe I don't get the way this is measured well, but why isn't China one of the riskiest country ? Are we regularly overestimating the power of the Chinese government on its Internet or his the measure showing something else than "ability to control and shutdown Internet" ?

    1. Re:Reliability of the measure regarding China by war4peace · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because they measured it the wrong way.
      Their measure how many distinct entities control exit and entry nodes. This has no meaning in some cases, such as CHine, as you righteously pointed out. If there are 100 entities controlling such nodes and ALL are immediately listening to a government's order to shut down, then that's worse than a country with TWO distinctly controlled nodes, out of which ZERO listen to a government order.

      Unrelated: My country, Romania, shows as "Resistant".

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      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    2. Re:Reliability of the measure regarding China by Sparticus789 · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's not based on the ability of the government to order companies to shut down the internet. It's merely based on the number of ISPs with connections to foreign countries. Did you notice that Afghanistan and China were both in the 10 to 40 ISP range? Because Afghanistan has so many satellite ISPs in country, each independent company which has a dish there adds one more to that ISP list.

      While the Chinese government has the ability to shut down the internet based on their laws, this was a technical examination of possible network routes in and out of countries. Not a study on the legal/political aspect of an internet kill switch.

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    3. Re:Reliability of the measure regarding China by interkin3tic · · Score: 5, Informative

      I think this list is concerned with a more specific question. This measure is more useful to which countries could be silenced during a similar uprising, where there is armed opposition. China is unlikely to undergo such an uprising for the same reasons that their ISPs are willing to follow a government's orders. The government enjoys much more popular support with the Chinese than Syria does/did with it's citizens. If there were such a rebellion however, China would stay online longer probably, since presumably some of the entities would join the revolt, would ignore the government's orders, and would not be as easily forcibly shut down because of how many different ones there were. The question wasn't really about general internet censorship, there are other lists and measurements for that.

  3. Vatican City is "severe risk", too.... by ub3r+n3u7r4l1st · · Score: 3, Funny

    Oh wait...

  4. Re:U.S.A. by SJHillman · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Most people in the US probably wouldn't notice if we were cut off from the outside world for quite a while. Facebook, Twitter, Netflix, etc is all hosted within the US I believe. I can't think of any sites that are primarily hosted outside of the US that a *majority* of US citizens use on a daily basis.

  5. if the internet if cut off by Nyder · · Score: 4, Funny

    At least i can still play my diablo III in single player mode...

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    Be seeing you...
  6. Lazy reporting by Forbes (and sloppy analysis by R by StueyNZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The most telling comment from the actual orginal post reads:

    "Ten providers also seems to be the threshold below which one finds significant additional risks from infrastructure sharing — there may be a single cable, or a single physical-layer provider who actually owns most of the infrastructure on which the various providers offer their services."

    How many of the 61 at "severe risk" countries are micro-states in the middle of the ocean with a single cable connecting them to the internet? More than half; so nothing too sinister about the size of the "severe risk" category.

    Oh - it's nice to see that New Zealand has cemented its place in the list of nice countries who are "extremely resistant" by having more than 40 ISPs - unfortunately there's only one organisation that controls the two connections out of NZ on the Southern Cross Cable So the home of that fiendish master-criminal Mr K. Dot Com should rightly be lumped in with Syria, Libya & that famous hot bed of international crime, The Cook Islands.

  7. Too simple by oGMo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just basing this on how many connections there are is pretty irrelevant. Are we really expecting there to be many unofficial major backbones crossing national borders? Could you really enumerate them if there were? Even assuming some random people have a line (wired or otherwise) across a border for network access, this is probably not going to route the majority of the country's traffic anyway, and is equally unlikely to be counted in this survey.

    A real measure would be more like "how likely will an entity have to shut down their connection due to government pressure," but for that you need to analyze the legal system, political situation, history, etc. Of course, that's much more work than simple counting, but I suppose "simple counting" is the most we can expect from a pop media source.

    --

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  8. Re:Greenland? by Megahard · · Score: 3, Funny

    Also listed is Jersey. I'm picturing a small totalitarian English isle similar to The Prisoner.

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    I eat only the real part of complex carbohydrates.
  9. Original Renesys post by mysticalreaper · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why does Slashdot keep linking to secondary sources, like Forbes.com, when the primary source is so easily available? Laziness would be my first guess.

    Here is the much-better Renesys blog post: http://www.renesys.com/blog/2012/11/could-it-happen-in-your-countr.shtml

    Questions about their methods of reasoning are the most interesting.

    There may be 5 ISPs, each operating their own logical notwork, with their own IP space, servers, and everything--but they may all share the same physical fibre optic cable out of the country--especially if the country is an Island. New Zealand would be a good example of this: it is about 1500 km from Australia, and 1000 km from Fiji. There are only a few submarine fibre optic cables connecting to the rest of the world. Perhaps Southern Cross Cable and SPIN only?

    The authors acknowledge they were mostly unable to analyse this, and had to guess about the number of physical conduits. They say they will have more to say about the limited physical connections in the future.

  10. Re:Internet meant to withstand nuclear war by Guy+Harris · · Score: 2

    Remember that the internet was invented for the specific military purpose of withstanding a nuclear war.

    [citation needed]

  11. Re:Lazy reporting by Forbes (and sloppy analysis b by Kjella · · Score: 3, Informative

    How many of the 61 at "severe risk" countries are micro-states in the middle of the ocean with a single cable connecting them to the internet? More than half; so nothing too sinister about the size of the "severe risk" category.

    And most of the rest in the poorer countries of Africa, where the answer to the question "Why do you have one ISP?" would be "Because it's one more than zero". Even with monopoly rent it's pretty hard making business on people that are that poor and probably for the most part don't have computers at all. Anyway, I find the numbers quite meaningless since they don't measure physical redundancy, resistance to government interference or consumer choice. Average number of providers available per person would be interesting though, I bet the US would end up in the "extremely high risk" monopoly/duopoly category. Though I guess after that the researchers can forget asking any ISPs for work...

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  12. Re:U.S.A. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Right because we're so much dumber than the rest of the world. Typical superiority-complex having nerd.

  13. Re:U.S.A. by JazzLad · · Score: 2

    If you expanded that poll to Americans in general, definitely optimistic. Heck, I don't know that I could do more than 10% these days (of course, much has changed since I last took Geography). As a child I could also name all the (US) states and their capitals, but like everything else I learned in school that I don't need to know in day-to-day life, I have forgotten many. The stuff that sticks is the conceptual stuff & the stuff you actually use. The rest was just mental exercise.

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    "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
  14. Re:U.S.A. by ZombieBraintrust · · Score: 2

    Be glad we can't find your country on a map. Bad things can happen to countries that draw American attention. I know where Iraq, Korea, and Germany is. Americans should not need to know where your country is or who your president is. You shouldn't need to know who the American president is either.

  15. Re:Bitcoin by Rhacman · · Score: 2

    Hmm, your argument is convincing however I think I'm going to stick to stockpiling the one resource that will stand the test of time: gold. And by gold I mean delicious Kraft Mac & Cheese of which I estimate my body is comprised of at least 95%. When the great cataclysm comes, as long as we can grow wheat, and whatever plant / animal / petroleum derivative orange 'cheese' powder comes from then the scientists and engineers of this world will persevere!

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    Account -> Discussions -> Disable Sigs
  16. Re:U.S.A. by drkim · · Score: 2

    Does anyone have a link to a chart of average IQs in Western countries...?
    I'm tippin not all of them are 100 :).

    http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_fA2RjSyq8L4/TMxnvR5JQLI/AAAAAAAAGyg/blddZkpRT-M/s1600/AverageIQ-Map-World.png

    ...no, we're down around 85-90. And, yikes! What's with the Aussies??!