Draft of IPCC 2013 Report Already Circulating

First time accepted submitter iggymanz writes "More precise modeling has changed some long term climate predictions: sea levels to rise almost a meter more than present over the next century, but past dire warnings of stronger storms or more frequent droughts won't pan out. Instead there will be less strong storms, but peak winds in the tropics might be slightly higher. Temperature rise of global average will be about 3 degree C total, including the 1 degree C rise over the 20th century. In places where precipitation is frequent, it will become even more frequent; in arid areas, the tendency will be to become even drier. Some new arid areas are expected to appear in the south of N. America, South Africa and Mediterranean countries. Overall, hardly a doomsday scenario."

Comments

How surprising...

[Razgorov Prikazka]

It is more apocalyptic than ever before. And I betya that the IPCC 2014 is even more horrendous!
When will it become so silly that even the most hard-core greenies cant take it serious anymore? The earth has been much warmer and much cooler than these day's, the difference is that now we are here with a lot. That is correlation, not causation...
For those who have some difficulties telling them apart, go and do a statistics class. For you who already did that; here is an obligatory xkcd reference...

Re:How surprising...

[Razgorov Prikazka]

What I expect a scientist NOT to do is scaremongering like:

1950's Peak oil; no more oil in 1970... never happened
1960's Big freeze; a new ice age was about to start (because of constantly FALLING global temperatures)... nothing happened
1970`s Acid rain will wipe us all out by 1985... never happened
1970's Overpopulation will lead to famines and mass extinction of humans... nothing happened
1976 Swine flu will wipe us all out... nothing happened
1970's Peak oil; no more oil in 1990's... never happened
1970's The ozone layer will disappear. CFC's were banned; the ozone layer is still growing... nothing spectacular happened
1980's AIDS will wipe all the gay's out... later replaced by 'will wipe us all out'... nothing happened
2000's Peak Oil; no more oil in 2020... bit early to tell... but I have a hunch
2003: SARS will wipe us all out... nothing happened
2005: Avian flu will wipe us all out... nothing happened
2012: IPCC 2013 tells us that the sea level will rise six feet by next January

What I do expect a scientist to do is keep calm and give an accurate prediction with all the if's and but's included, not an alarmist prediction that gets your face on the news. If there is a scientist in a 'prime time talk-show' I immediately stop believing them. The story has to be dumbed down to such an extend that it becomes about as scientifically rigorous as this IPCC prank that is going on for far to long.
Get a 'shopping bag for life' and a 'special light bulb' if you really believe that it will make a difference, but leave me in peace please.

That's right, ya punk

[Anonymous Coward]

It was a scheme to transfer wealth from the weak and helpless First World to the almighty and influential Third World. Too bad it didn't actually work 'cause nobody gave a shit... If only those meddly kids and their dog hadn't intervened!!! Well, back to the Evil Plan drawing board...
Also, your mom says you forgot to take your meds, again. Remember the incident with the tinfoil? We don't want another "tinfoil incident", do we?

Re:The political construct is unraveling

[marylinfelton45]

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