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Ray Kurzweil Joins Google As Director of Engineering

dgharmon points out news at CNET and on Ray Kurzweil's own site that Kurzweil will join Google as Director of Engineering. Specifically, "he will be joining Google to work on new projects involving machine learning and language processing," which sounds to me like another way to say "quickening the singularity."

97 of 148 comments (clear)

  1. SkyNet by Eddi3 · · Score: 4, Funny

    SkyNet will come to dominate all first posts soon.

    1. Re:SkyNet by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I had a better summary in my submission. ;-)

      Kurzweil is famous for his breakthroughs in OCR, computer speech synthesis and digital music creation â" as well as his theory of âoeThe Singularity,â that point when technology is sufficiently advanced that it contests and surpasses human intelligence."

      "I'm thrilled to be teaming up with Google to work on some of the hardest problems in computer science so we can turn the next decade's 'unrealistic' visions into reality." said Kurzweil.

      Peter Norvig, Google's director of research, said "We appreciate his ambitious, long-term thinking, and we think his approach to problem-solving will be incredibly valuable to projects we're working on at Google."

      Hal 9000 was unavailable for comment, as were Colossus, Guardian and Dr. Charles A. Forbin.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    2. Re:SkyNet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      "We appreciate his ambitious, long-term thinking, and we think his approach to problem-solving will be incredibly valuable to projects we're working on at Google: serving ads."

    3. Re:SkyNet by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Kurzweil is famous for his breakthroughs in OCR, computer speech synthesis and digital music creation" as well as his theory of The Singularity, that point when technology is sufficiently advanced that it contests and surpasses human intelligence."

      He founded some companies and made a name for himself. But what breakthroughs did he actually make? What are his technical contributions?

    4. Re:SkyNet by ShakaUVM · · Score: 5, Funny

      >He founded some companies and made a name for himself. But what breakthroughs did he actually make? What are his technical contributions?

      Funny.

      But yeah, in addition to the OCR work that made him famous, more recently his technology has been used to power SIRI and other NLP processes.

      I've been reading through his latest book, How To Create a Mind. It's pretty interesting. My wife and I just made one about four months ago ourselves.

    5. Re:SkyNet by DragonTHC · · Score: 1

      You're wrong, they brought him on-board to make 'Jam with Chrome' work.

      --
      They're using their grammar skills there.
    6. Re:SkyNet by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Informative

      Omni-font optical character recognition, the Kurzweil Reading Machine (read books out loud to the blind), the Kurzweil K250 (one of the first synthesizers that could accurately imitate real instruments), one of the first commercial speech recognition programs, computer learning programs for children and med students, etc.

      May I suggest you learn about these new technologies called "Google" and "Wikipedia?"

    7. Re:SkyNet by LordKronos · · Score: 4, Informative

      Let me help you here.

      Einstein came up with the photoelectric effect and the theories of special and general relativity.

      Turing invented the Turing machine and the Turing test.

      Codd invented the relational database model.

      Alan Kay invented Smalltalk and object oriented progrmaming.

      Kurzweil invented ______________

      You are right. Kurzweil invented absolutely nothing. He invented so much "nothing" that he's received countless awards from it. This is from his wikipedia page:

      Kurzweil has received many awards and honors, including:

              First place in the 1965 International Science Fair[4] for inventing nothing.
              The 1978 Grace Murray Hopper Award from the Association for Computing Machinery. The award is given annually to one "person who has done nothing" and is accompanied by a $35,000 prize.[23] Kurzweil won it for his invention of nothing.[24]
              The 1990 "Engineer of the Year" award from Design News.[25]
              The 1994 Dickson Prize in Science. One is awarded every year by Carnegie Mellon University to individuals who have "done absolutely nothing." Both a medal and a $50,000 prize are presented to winners.[26]
              The 1998 "Inventor of the Year" award from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.[27]
              The 1999 National Medal of Technology.[28] This is the highest award the President of the United States can bestow upon individuals and groups for pioneering nothing, and the President dispenses the award at his discretion.[29] Bill Clinton presented Kurzweil with the National Medal of Technology during a White House ceremony in recognition of Kurzweil's development of nothing.
              The 2000 Telluride Tech Festival Award of Technology.[30] Two other individuals also received the same honor that year. The award is presented yearly to people who "have done absolutely nothing."
              The 2001 Lemelson-MIT Prize for a lifetime of developing technologies to help nobody and to enrich nothing.[31] Only one is meted out each year to highly successful, mid-career inventors. A $500,000 award accompanies the prize.[32]
              Kurzweil was inducted into the National Inventors Hall of Fame in 2002 for inventing nothing[33] The organization "honors the women and men responsible for none of the great technological advances that make human, social and economic progress possible."[34] Fifteen other people were inducted into the Hall of Fame the same year.[35]
              The Arthur C. Clarke Lifetime Achievement Award on April 20, 2009 for lifetime achievement as an inventor of nothing and futurist in computer-based technologies.[36]
              Kurzweil has received eighteen honorary doctorates.[37]
              In 2011, Kurzweil was named a Senior Fellow of the Design Futures Council.[38]

      Yep, this guy has received more awards and prizes for doing nothing than anybody else ever has.

    8. Re:SkyNet by stenvar · · Score: 2

      Omni-font optical character recognition ... May I suggest you learn about these new technologies called "Google" and "Wikipedia?"

      May I suggest you do too:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optical_character_recognition

      "Kurzweil is often credited with inventing omnifont OCR, but it was in use by companies, including CompuScan, in the late 1960s and 1970s. See Schantz, The History of OCR; Data processing magazine, Volume 12 (1970), p. 46"

      Kurzweil's Wikipedia page also talks about all the companies he founded, all the books he wrote, and all the awards he received:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raymond_kurzweil

      The guy is clearly a great communicator, promoter, manager and businessman. But did he actually make specific technical contributions? What are they?

      I mean, given that people are saying he's going to revolutionize machine learning and language processing at Google, isn't that a legitimate question?

    9. Re:SkyNet by fatphil · · Score: 1

      Remember, too, that the Wikipedia page on him is almost certainly going to have more contributions to it made by fans of his work.

      From the perspective I have, having some expertise in OCR, I think that Kurzweil made his greatest breakthroughs in self-publicity.

      --
      Also FatPhil on SoylentNews, id 863
    10. Re:SkyNet by stenvar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So I gather you don't know either what technologies he actually invented.

    11. Re:SkyNet by MikeBabcock · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To be fair, having a long-term visionary on staff is just as important as having good engineers.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    12. Re:SkyNet by wibblewibble · · Score: 1

      Kurzweil didn't invent the concept of the Technological Singularity. I'm cautiously optimistic that we won't achieve transhumanism in time for this hack to upload himself into some more permanent processing substrate.

    13. Re:SkyNet by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 1

      How do you "upload" the unconscious? It's like saying you've replicated an iceberg - above the waterline.

      What you get is a simulacrum, not a perpetuation. This is fantasy twaddle - the triumph of middle-intellects, with out insight.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    14. Re:SkyNet by HiThere · · Score: 2

      How to do it is a good question. But not currently knowing how doesn't prove it can never be done.

      For that matter, what do you mean "the unconscious"? Do you even have a good definition of the term? Much of what has frequently been called "the unconscious" is common to all humans. Most of it is common to all mammals. Part of it is common to all chordates. The part that is individual is rather small...though just how small we don't know.

      Another thing we don't know is how much of it is devoted to managing the biological substrate. But we do know that it's a major chunk.

      The above I can say without a good definition of "the unconscious". Lacking a good definition, I used that of C.G.Jung.

      Personally I think that the concept is rather useless for this purpose. What is more useful is are the concepts of "Common Features of Humans that aren't devoted to maintaining the working of biological systems" and "Unique elements of individuals". (There are other purposes for which those aren't the appropriate categories.) OTOH, I'm no expert, and I don't play one on TV.

      Your opinion that it is fantasy, however, needs justification before it should be taken seriously. (Also, please define "simulacrum" and "perpetuation". You could be correct in the sentence in which you use those terms, but it all depends on what you mean by those terms.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    15. Re:SkyNet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That book is just a list of self-serving lies, and Kurzweil is an arrogant a**hole.

      Kurzweil didn't invent any of the stuff he claims to have "invented".

      For example, he claims to have invented the use of hidden Markov models for speech recognition around 1983. But papers that described the idea by people at CMU and IBM had been published in the mid 70's.

      He is just good at making money by repackaging and selling other people's inventions and conveniently forgetting where they came from.
      He is also good at attracting attention to himself by rewriting the history of AI.

      No AI researcher sees him as a "pioneer". He has never published a single paper describing a new AI technique. And all the products he has built used techniques that were invented and published before.

    16. Re:SkyNet by stenvar · · Score: 1

      I didn't say it wasn't. I'm not trying to prove a point here.

      I just would like to know what he has done technically.

    17. Re:SkyNet by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

      in the future, ads will become sentient beings. we, humans, will become their slaves.

      and they will read from their holy book; loosely translated as how to serve man.

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    18. Re:SkyNet by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      His synths were decent.

      His synths are beyond decent, they are best in class. What's up with you trash talkers? Ray Kurzweil has made his place in history in an amazing variety of ways. But it's kind of sad he's reduced to taking employment with Google instead of running his own show.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    19. Re:SkyNet by clarkn0va · · Score: 1
      --
      I am literally 3000 tokens away from the chaotic crossbow --Stephen
    20. Re:SkyNet by JohnRoss1968 · · Score: 2

      "in the future, ads will become sentient beings. we, humans, will become their slaves."
      So your saying not much will have changed?

    21. Re:SkyNet by atomicxblue · · Score: 1

      You forgot about Ramona? She's probably hiding out in a southbridge somewhere crying her digital eyes out.

    22. Re:SkyNet by LordKronos · · Score: 1

      So I gather you don't know either what technologies he actually invented.

      My god, you are a lazy, dumb shit. My sarcastic "nothing" edits aside, I led you right to the answers. All you had to do was look at his wiki page. Since you are apparently incapable of that:

      "Kurzweil started the company Kurzweil Computer Products, Inc. and led development of the first omni-font optical character recognition system—a computer program capable of recognizing text written in any normal font. Before that time, scanners had only been able to read text written in a few fonts. He decided that the best application of this technology would be to create a reading machine, which would allow blind people to understand written text by having a computer read it to them aloud."

      So there's 2 inventions for you.

      Myself, I was growing up and really into writing/performing music at the time the Kurzweil keyboards came out, and anyone who was into the same around that time can tell you just how incredible Kurzweil keyboards were back then. So that's 3 inventions, and all of them fairly significant. His latest hype about the singularity is way overblown in the media, but the guy has a very respectable portfolio of inventions...much better than most people accomplish.

    23. Re:SkyNet by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Kurzweil started the company Kurzweil Computer Products, Inc. and led development of the first omni-font optical character recognition system

      Well, see, Kurzweil's company did not develop "the first omni-font optical character recognition system", let alone the technology behind omni-font optical character recognition. And even if his company had been the first, it still wouldn't tell us what his personal technical contributions were.

      My god, you are a lazy, dumb shit.

      Apparently, you simply don't understand the difference between making a product and making a technical contribution. I'm asking about Kurzweil's personal technical contributions, not about his (clearly successful) entrepreneurial career.

      Thanks for your response; I think it really completes the picture of the guy and the kind of people that constitute his fan base.

    24. Re:SkyNet by bouldin · · Score: 1

      Kurzweil is a "futurist" and "technologist" which means he has some technical background and a big mouth with a lot of hot air.

      Sure, he accomplished some research VERY early on with sound and OCR. He has not been on the cutting edge for decades.

      Kurzweil's career is summed well with this quote (text copied from Wikipedia's article on Kurzweil):

      In the cover article of the December 2010 issue of IEEE Spectrum, John Rennie criticizes Kurzweil for several predictions that failed to become manifest by the originally predicted date. "Therein lie the frustrations of Kurzweil's brand of tech punditry. On close examination, his clearest and most successful predictions often lack originality or profundity. And most of his predictions come with so many loopholes that they border on the unfalsifiable."

    25. Re:SkyNet by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      May I draw you attention to Obama winning the Nobel Peace Prize a few weeks after taking office. As far as I can tell he won the award for being black.

      That's a bit unfair.

      He won it for being anyone other than Dubya.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    26. Re:SkyNet by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      His synths are beyond decent, they are best in class.

      Better than a mellotron? I find it difficult to believe that anything could sound as precisely unlike a string section or a female choir.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    27. Re:SkyNet by almitchell · · Score: 1

      It worked for Thomas Edison.

      --
      Baseless self confidence kills more people each year than bathtubs.
  2. "quickening the singularity" by vistapwns · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Pretty much exactly what I think. Director of Engineering is no internship, and while Kurzweil is an accomplished inventor, his inventions don't seem nearly as important as his writings on the singularity. He can only be going to google to "directly engineer" a technological singularity as far as I am concerned.

    --
    "...I think the Microsoft hatred is a disease." - Linus Torvalds
    1. Re:"quickening the singularity" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      How about immanentizing the eschaton?

    2. Re:"quickening the singularity" by buybuydandavis · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I wouldn't say that Singularitizing is the only reason he has gone to Google, but I do expect him to steer some research in that direction, and in general convert more of google employees to a broader view of technology.

    3. Re:"quickening the singularity" by gweihir · · Score: 2

      The idea of the singularity is complete BS, brought on by people looking for a substitute for religion in technology. Everything we know about CS suggests it is impossible, as increasing power of a computer to solve more complicated problems is strongly subject to diminishing results. At the same time, there is not even any halfway credible theory how true AI could be made to work and all approaches tried so far have failed. But these idiots do not only predict true AI, but true AI that can understand and improve itself. Just your regular religion-type infectious meme selectively preventing people from actually using their intelligence (such as it is) to actually try to understand things instead of going for fairy-tale type "visions".

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:"quickening the singularity" by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, am I the only one who thinks he's a bit of a crackpot with his singularity "theory"?

    5. Re:"quickening the singularity" by vistapwns · · Score: 1

      I can't speak for others, but I'm not looking to substitute technology for religion. But would it be such a bad thing, to replace fantasy with reality? Looking at something with a religious mindset does not mean it's not true, that's so patently obvious I can't understand why you even mention it. Many things of ancient religions are made reality today through technology, it reflects nothing on them (from curing diseases, to flying in space) to be subject of past religious fantasies. Actually I would say, religion is mostly just wanting a better way of life but without the person having the ability to fill in the details, where as technology just fills in the details. It just so happens that nanotech + AGI will fill in all there is that is allowable by the laws of physics. What kind of statement is "everything we know about CS suggests it's impossible" as absolutely nothing I know about CS suggests anything of the sort. I guess it's easy to say there is not even a halfway credible theory on how AI works when that has no concrete definition, as it is, Kurzweil's new book 'How to Create a Mind' offers much insight here. Further, well known AI scientist Ben Goertzel has said that we know how to make AI but nobody has focused enough on doing so. (his words, paraphrased.) Yes, but only an idiot would predict "true AI" after all how can anyone ever duplicate the lump of wet mass between your ears on an equivalent computer system. Estimates of brain power put it at about 10-20 petaflops, we just recently passed that point in supercomputers. Stringing together random insults with no data to back them up is not an argument.

      --
      "...I think the Microsoft hatred is a disease." - Linus Torvalds
    6. Re:"quickening the singularity" by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Yeah IBM's Watson completely and thoroughly proved that increased computer power is pretty much useless. I mean why would we want a machine that can learn?

      And Google's car... what a waste! Clearly improved machine vision algorithms will never drive a car!

    7. Re:"quickening the singularity" by gweihir · · Score: 1

      I did not say "useless", I did say "not intelligence". There is a difference.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    8. Re:"quickening the singularity" by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Estimations of brain power are useless. That is like counting processors. What counts is software. Now, complex software is very limited in size. The most complex tasks the human race can master is telephone switches (and some others in the same class). These projects run decades and the problem is very well understood. But, get this, this software does not actually need that much computing power to run!

      So what use is even 100 petaflops, when you are a few dozed orders of magnitude away from being able to write software for it that manages to use all for just one complex problem? Putting a lot of small systems in the same building does not make it one large mega-system. You need the software for it that can target all that at one complex problem. And at this time, the human race has not even the slightest clue or hint of an ability to create that. As effort to create software grows exponentially with its complexity (read some text about software engineering complexity if you do not believe me), it may well be impossible to get meaningfully farther than we are now.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    9. Re:"quickening the singularity" by pthisis · · Score: 1

      And people said that Applied Eschatology was a stupid major.

      --
      rage, rage against the dying of the light
  3. No it doesn't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Specifically, "he will be joining Google to work on new projects involving machine learning and language processing," which sounds to me like another way to say "quickening the singularity."

    "he will be joining Google to work on new projects involving machine learning and language processing," sounds like reasonably plain English.

      "quickening the singularity" sounds like pretentious gibberish.

    1. Re:No it doesn't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How about Hastening?

    2. Re:No it doesn't by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      "quickening the singularity" sounds like pretentious gibberish.

      You may refer to it as "immanentizing the eschaton" since for us meatbags it likely amounts to the same thing.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:No it doesn't by Ol+Biscuitbarrel · · Score: 1

      "The sensation you're feeling is the Quickening." Fits since Ray's ultimately going to have his head cut off and stuffed into a Futurama style jar.

    4. Re:No it doesn't by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      "The sensation you're feeling is the Quickening." Fits since Ray's ultimately going to have his head cut off and stuffed into a Futurama style jar.

      That's if he's lucky. Odds are, he'll be simulated.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  4. Kurzweil got a job! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yay! Kurzweil got a job. Now can he stop selling those cheap supplements, and speaking for longevity research at the same time?

    1. Re:Kurzweil got a job! by SuricouRaven · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Some of his views are very debatable, but he is still a reasonably accomplished engineer. He may not be bringing about the revolution he wants, but he should be able to recognise good directions to spend resources to achieve more immediate goals. I know that Google has been very interested in machine learning applied to language translation - just the sort of field Kurzweil should have some familiarity with. It'll even satisfy his ambition to change the world - bring down the language barriers, and you've just made a significent step towards world peace. It's much harder to justify a war when the populations of both sides are in constant communication and have established social relationships over the internet.

    2. Re:Kurzweil got a job! by VortexCortex · · Score: 1

      Some of his views are very debatable, but he is still a reasonably accomplished engineer. He may not be bringing about the revolution he wants, but he should be able to recognise good directions to spend resources to achieve more immediate goals.

      Much like the more folks use the web, the more money Google makes: The longer people live, the more they can use the web, the more money Google can make...

  5. Oh Crap by blamelager · · Score: 2

    Herbert did have a point you know

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orange_Catholic_Bible

  6. Lt Cmdr Data said by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Lt Cmdr Data said he was happy to have RK aboard. (He had his emotion chip in).

    1. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by marcello_dl · · Score: 1

      Robby the robot briefly interrupted his oiljob, clicked for a while, and finally said: "Mr. Ray, while you pursuit your vision, beware of the monsters from the Id."

      The Singularity is a great idea, but you know, The Internet was a great idea too, and look what's it's turning into. The problem is not how cool is the tech, it is who controls it de facto.

      --
      ---- MISSING MISCELLANEOUS DATA SEGMENT --- [sigdash] trolololol
    2. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Considering that we have no idea what a Singularity would be like (by definition), it could be awesome or it could be the reason we never see other intelligent species out in space.

      I think someone once said that at around the time of the Singularity occurring, each individual could easily become possessed of power equivalent to a nuclear bomb. That's not to say we'd all have nukes, but we might have the ability to each release something like a homemade plague or grey goo nanobot cloud, or even figure out how brains work and how to control them remotely. Or, more likely, something we haven't even thought of yet.

      Knowledge itself is neither good nor evil but a tool, and like any tool, it can magnify the intention of the user without consideration of its effects.

      The good/bad news, is that I firmly believe that any knowledge singularity is going to be limited by the amount of available energy for use. Without an exponentially increasing amount of available energy, I don't think an exponential growth of knowledge is possible. We're eventually going to hit a plateau unless the energy curve somehow is able to go exponential. Looking at the current sources of energy, I'd say we'll be lucky to not end up in a new Dark Age as soon as we run out of fossil fuels.

    3. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by Luke_2010 · · Score: 1

      Actually, this is what advanced, strong A.I. is for: research into matters we don't have enough keenness to look into. As for energy, there's still a long way to go before we hit that plateau (and that indipendently from running out of fossil fuel), just think about solar satellites and nuclear fusion.

    4. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      You're right that it may be possible to get more energy, but when we talk about exponential rate, we are really talking about a lot of energy and the requirements will be increasing by an increasing margin every time.

      Fusion is still 20 years away, just like it has been for the last 50 or so, and while a network of solar power satellites is almost the only realistic way to get that much power at our current technological level, we're still dependent on chemical rockets to lift that stuff off from Earth. Unless someone gets the political will to get some real and permanent infrastructure into space, even that relatively uncomplicated idea will be infeasible.

      I'm not totally poo-pooing the idea, I do think we have some ways to go before that critical point, but I wonder if knowledge growth like this happens more on the lines of fast growth and then plateau for awhile. Although we think of knowledge as always increasing, we are constantly losing data all the time. For instance, we have actually lost quite a bit of the know-how to build and launch 1970's vintage Saturn V rockets. Right now, we have the ability to store that information, but we need the energy to encode it and read it at the storage densities needed to keep it all available. We also need the energy to run the search engines to be able to make any use of that knowledge, which includes Strong AI.

    5. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Fusion is still 20 years away, just like it has been for the last 50 or so

      Just ten years ago Fusion was still 50 years away, just like it had been for the previous 50 years. So that's progress!

    6. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Who says advanced strong A.I. is going to have any interest in research we already don't have interest in? We will recognize this AI because it will pass a Turing test. That means it will be able to pass as human. So... we're trying to build a human intelligence. When we succeed, who says it's going to have any interest at all in chip design or software engineering (the Singularity) or obscure physics? It might just sit all day and watch football. Or soap operas. Or Jerry Springer.

    7. Re:Lt Cmdr Data said by Genda · · Score: 1

      Strangely enough, we can at least hypothesize approaching a singularity (as we've already begun to do using complex mathematical models on computers simulating flight into a super-massive black-holes... remember the difference between passing the event horizon and falling down the singularity) Instead of gravity, what we face here is information, or more precisely knowledge. As the accelerating technology surrounding processing power concentrates the ability to observe, appraise and analyze information new knowledge precipitates at an ever increasing rate, causing ever greater acceleration.

      We are working so hard to precipitate artificial sentience, when its almost certain that at some point, once our networks and their logical nodes reach a certain complexity that sentience in all likelihood being an emergent property will simply appear. In fact, long before true artificial consciousness, we'll have created clever simulacrum, capable of fooling us into interacting with machines as though they could care. Machine with true intelligence, will pose a real puzzle. As a species we've are piss poor at dealing with genuine threats if they lack urgency. So the profit motive in all its forms will move us to create machines better suited to serving us, until the transcend us. Then we will need to either deal with the fact that these machine have learned to be self serving Machiavellian bastards like their primate creators, or perhaps we'll have done a good job of making them morally superior to us. Which then puts them in the unenviable position of trying to figure out what to do with us unruly, unmanageable monkeys.

      All of this complicated by the fact that human beings will augment themselves with their own technology, and the lines between augmented human and AI will grow very thin. Additionally we'll have access to unprecedented new technologies swarm intelligence, genetic manipulation, nanotechnologies. A century from today, homo sapiens may be extinct, but our consciousness may very still be alive and well.

      The actual singularity is the part that's unpredictable, party because dividing by zero produces results that can't make sense, we are poorly constructed to deal with infinities. As we accelerate past femptotechnology, do well vanish into a information black-hole when the information density exceeds the capacity of space time? Small variations of trajectory are the difference between being pulled down the rabbit hole and being thrown off to gawd knows where. The Luddites (if they are consumed for teir carbon) will know when the singularity arrives and technologies screaming pace reaches its howling nadir. Suddenly one morning the sky will be filled with technological artifacts and the next day everything and 98% of humanity will be gone.

  7. It's Official by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Google has jumped the shark.

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:It's Official by mcgrew · · Score: 2

      With friggin' lasers?

    2. Re:It's Official by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Come on, you just as easily have said that when they hired Vint Cerf as 'Internet Evangelist'. At the end of the day PR does count for something.

    3. Re:It's Official by russotto · · Score: 2

      We have automated shark-jumping MACHINES with frickin' lasers.

  8. You love me! You really love me! by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    > which sounds to me like another way to say "quickening the singularity."

    Good! I'll have my own pocket universe and a harem of 30 computer-controlled hotties of my choosing from the fashion and entertanment industry.

    And this is good, transcendent-level computer control. I don't want any way to tell they're actually robots besides that they're interested in me.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  9. The Borg by ISoldat53 · · Score: 1

    Resistance is futile.

  10. Re:You love me! You really love me! by russotto · · Score: 1

    And this is good, transcendent-level computer control. I don't want any way to tell they're actually robots besides that they're interested in me.

    Easy enough when you're just a simulation anyway.

  11. a few things missing by Dan9999 · · Score: 1

    Logically there are a few things that need to come out of the industry before a singularity should even be attempted. Until then please put my money on this joining the graphical ides from google archives.

    1. Re:a few things missing by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      the singularity has already happened, but it is not a purely computational device. instead, it is made of three things: people, the internet, and computers. Google, facebook, twitter, ebay, amazon, major news sites are all part of it.

  12. Re:Why? by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Kurzweil's impression that superhuman intelligence will automagically arise from raw computing power is thoroughly laughable.

    Thank you for showing us just how little you understand about what the man has actually said.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  13. Do No Evil by blamelager · · Score: 1

    Whoever makes the first AI capable of improving itself had damned well better stick to that principle. You know it really isn't funny. It's not the AI you should worry about so much as the people in possession of it. And Google (i.e. USA) are not the only outfit involved in this arms race. Bad, bad, bad. This one could make the Manhattan project look like the work of amateurs.

    1. Re:Do No Evil by Luke_2010 · · Score: 1

      Whoever is going to build such A.I. is going to try to control it, which is impossible by definition since a soon-to-be superhuman intelligence can't be outsmarted by dumber creatures. It will be of us what such A.I. is going to decide, it will be beyond everybody's will.

    2. Re:Do No Evil by blamelager · · Score: 1

      You just mixed up will and intelligence. I think they are two different things. I guess that an AI will not have human emotions and motivations unless they are designed in. Ergo, the handler should be feared more than the AI at the outset (of course, that may change with accidents and evolution).

    3. Re:Do No Evil by gweihir · · Score: 1

      As nobody even has a rough idea how an AI could be made (hint: it is not a question of computing power), there is little change of anybody making an AI "that could improve itself". In fact, the whole idea is a completely fictitious construct by people without a clue what CS can do and what not.

      Also, the only known intelligence (human type) routinely fails at improving itself, and is subject to delusions in that regard. In fact, it looks like true intelligence is trying to avoid improving itself more often than not. But anyways, as true AI is at least 100 years away, and possibly unattainable in this universe, there is no risk here.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:Do No Evil by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      As nobody even has a rough idea how an AI could be made (hint: it is not a question of computing power), there is little change of anybody making an AI "that could improve itself".

      You mean, you do not have even a rough idea. Meanwhile, progress marches on and more and more of the original goals of AI research have been achieved. Machine vision and voice recognition are now commonplace. Computers win at an increasing number of games. Machines walk, balancing realistically. It goes on and on. The only thing that has changed since the beginning is, it's not considered a summer project anymore, the difficulty of engineering at the required scale and with techniques that are discovered and improved only with painstaking work is now properly appreciated. The fact that you have no part in this work doesn't mean much. Researchers in the trenches have considerably more than a rough idea of where they are going. So what if we haven't seen artificial behavior as sophisticated as an ant yet? An ant has 250,000 neurons and we are quite sure that all its behavior is governed by those neurons. Granted, each neuron is an impressively complex system in itself, however there are only so many of them, and increasingly we are gaining the tools to fully reverse engineer them. An ant-scale intelligence is not far away, just by the pedestrian technique of reverse engineering. I would say that the researchers involved in that area have a lot more than a rough idea of where they are going and how to get there.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    5. Re:Do No Evil by gweihir · · Score: 1

      No, I mean I have been following the scientific progress in that area for about 2 1/2 decades now , and nobody has a clue. Sure, cretins like Marvin Minsky have been predicting AI for decades now, but that is all about grant money, not about any real results or insights.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    6. Re:Do No Evil by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      No, I mean I have been following the scientific progress in that area for about 2 1/2 decades now , and nobody has a clue. Sure, cretins like Marvin Minsky have been predicting AI for decades now, but that is all about grant money, not about any real results or insights.

      Every time you talk your way through a telephone menu you benefit from that work. Just because a computer can't yet compose a symphony does not mean there has been no progress. You can hold out for the artificially intelligent poet in your dreamland if you want, while I watch with interest the progress towards creating an automaton as intelligent as an ant (25,000 neurons). Then a mouse (75 million neurons). Finally, as intelligent as you, then it can post rubbish to Slashdot in your place.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    7. Re:Do No Evil by gweihir · · Score: 1

      You seem to not understand the problem. Stunts like pattern-based voice recognition are not intelligent in any way. These are not incremental steps towards higher intelligence at all, they are just isolated specialized ways to fake intelligence. Sure, AI research has has some nice results, but none at all that can or will lead towards true AI. You should really have a look into the relevant scientific literature.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    8. Re:Do No Evil by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      Your frontal cortex is a "stunt". Nature has repurposed wiring originally evolved to filter 2D imagery. Now it makes complex associations and manipulates data in abstract ways that we are only beginning to decode. But it's still a stunt. I understand why you have difficulty comprehending that progress in AI research is in fact progress. It's because you have no comprehension of the long term implications of work that is being done. You should have a look into the relevant scientific literature yourself, and this time don't just let the words slide away like water off the back of a duck.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    9. Re:Do No Evil by bouldin · · Score: 1

      These fields you mention (computer vision, speech recognition) are good examples of the state of intelligent machines.

      We can make these things work pretty well for very specific tasks (e.g. recognize faces in a picture), but we are nowhere near having general, human-level intelligence. It's hard to see how we are even close to having human-level vision capabilities.

  14. Re:Why? by BorisSkratchunkov · · Score: 1

    Thank you for providing absolutely no substantive corrections.

  15. Re:Why? by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you actually read what the man has written, you'd see that he's pretty explicit in that raw computing power is necessary for matching and exceeding the computational ability of the human brain for superhuman intelligence, but that it is not by itself sufficient. Raw computing power doesn't do anything without the proper algorithms running on it, which is the entire point of his latest book. I didn't think it needed spelling out when Kurzweil himself has already done so many, many times.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  16. Re:Why? by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
    If someone wants to fundamentally misunderstand Kurzweil's clearly spelled out arguments the first time, how likely is it they will gain sudden insight from random online comments? Obviously the original coward (I'm assuming you are not him/her) gave enough of a damn to not only click on this topic but to also type out an asinine comment, yet didn't care enough to actually read what the man has really said rather than what they want to think he did. Others may read that and think his (the coward's) argument has some merit. I only meant to point out that not only does it not, but it represents a fundamental misunderstanding of the argument.

    Thank you for challenging me to provide more detail as I should have done from the outset.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  17. Re:Why? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

    I didn't think it needed spelling out when Kurzweil himself has already done so many, many times.

    In other words, he sells a lot of books, that all pretty much sell the same idea. Over and over.

    Tedious for most of us, though for enthusiasts of the notion, very self-validating.

  18. Re:Why? by Fernando+Jones · · Score: 1

    "He's still a clown with no credibility." Speaking of credibility. I wonder whose judgement of Kurzweil is the more credible, this anonymous guy on slashdot who sounds a bit TOO annoyed or multibillion dollar tech company Google?

  19. Re:Why? by dissy · · Score: 1

    He's still a clown with no credibility.

    by Anonymous Coward

    Pot, meet kettle.

  20. There will not be a singularity, ever by gweihir · · Score: 1

    That is a fiction though up by cretins looking for a religion-type experience or vision in technology. If anything, what computers can do slows down proportionally to size, i.e. increasing computing power is subject to diminishing returns, in most cases strongly so. Engineers and scientists know this well. These idiots do not even understand the basics.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:There will not be a singularity, ever by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      It was a fictional concept thought up by Vernor Vinge in the early 1990's, to satisfy the needs of some novels he wrote, then further developed as a serious idea:

      http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html

      (It helps that Vinge is a professor of mathematics, as well as an SF author).

      If increasing computing power is subject to diminishing returns, explain your own existence running on a 100 Hz, 25W meatware processor, and the exponential growth of supercomputer power.

    2. Re:There will not be a singularity, ever by gweihir · · Score: 1

      That is just it: There has not been an exponential growth of supercomputer power. Sure, transistor numbers have grown exponentially for a while and may even continue to do so, but not for very long anymore. But what you get per transistor has dramatically decreased. Today, interconnect and power is the limiter, not transistor speeds. Also, on the algorithmic side, more transistors do not really help, as basically no hard problem has a reasonable speed-up with transistor count, only with overall computing speeds. And most of them cannot be parallelized in any meaningful way. And when you look at some numbers, for example memory latency, they have not gotten that much better, and there is certainly no exponential growth. Sure, linear read speeds have improved dramatically for main memory (but not exponentially), but random access has not. And hard problems, and certainly anything AI, does require random access, linear access is for non-intelligent, brute-force stuff only.

      As to Vinge, he certainly has that freedom as SF writer. But if he really is promoting a "singularity" as a scientist, then that is highly unprofessional as he must know better.

      And as to the computing power of the brain, there is indication, that is actually the maximum achievable in this universe. Larger will incur serious slow-down due to light-speed delays. Faster may not be feasible due to energy density and the need for cooling.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re:There will not be a singularity, ever by gweihir · · Score: 1

      No, actually we cannot. And no, there is no intelligence in the self-driving cars or the speech transcribing. It is non-intelligent pattern matching as it cannot deal with anything outside of what it is in its database. And that is one of the defining criteria for intelligence: The ability to make sense of unexpected situations. For driving, which is a highly structured and regulated activity, intelligence is not needed. For transcribing speech, it is not either, as, again, that is highly structured.

      Now, actually understanding speech dealing with things not in a systems database, that would be something. But there is not even a practical theory how that could be done. (The only one ever to be convincing was automated theorem proving, but it gets bogged down in exponential effort very fast and basically cannot solve anything relevant in any not strongly constrained environment.) I recently saw a demonstration of IBM's Watson system. It was for an expert audience, and the presenter readily admitted that it was just an expert system on steroids, but not "intelligent" in any way.

      These things are certainly impressive, but they are standard automation, improved incrementally, no exponential here.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  21. Re:Why? by Zeromous · · Score: 1

    Dude I'm with you the whole way, but some people just don't want to think it all out. They want to know in concrete terms what it means. It seems ridiculous to them that the tools we use today will form the basis of the tools of tomorrow, right down to our DNA and particles of being.

    --
    ---Up Up Down Down Left Right Left Right B A START
  22. Re:What a waste by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

    There are probably dozens of smarter grad students they could have hired over this crackpot.

    Clearly, you're not one of them.

    --
    When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  23. Do Good by aNonnyMouseCowered · · Score: 1

    Assuming there's a difference between will and intelligence, that motive and knowledge aren't just different aspects of the same thing, any self-improving superhuman AI need only be given one command for the whole world to end in chaos. "Do No Evil" will probably end in mere paralysis, the AI shutting itself down. I shudder to think of the consequences of commanding the AI to "Do GOOD".

    1. Re:Do Good by blamelager · · Score: 1

      You should've named your post "Do No Good" ;-)

  24. Sell Google stock if you own any by tyrione · · Score: 2

    Kurzweill is the last guy I'd hire as a Director of Engineering. Give him an office for special projects, on a tight leash, sure. But not Director of Engineering which requires accountablity and products to market.

  25. Ray Kurzweil again? by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    I have reached the point where my reaction on Ray Kurzweil name is "why do we have to hear about him again?" Not all science fiction authors enjoy such devotion in news reports.

  26. Does Ray creep anyone else out? by Alien7 · · Score: 1

    Did anyone else get the inkling from his recent documentary "Transcendent Man" that he was looking to digitally resurrect his father from the dead? The man is a megalomaniac looking to create a state of intellectual immortality through software engineering. The idea that he would be allowed to continue his work with the resources of a tech giant like Google give me the heebie geebies for sure. We will certainly have the technology to emulate the human mind in a machine in the not too distant future, but I pray to Turing that it's not the mind of Kurzweil that is the first to be uploaded to that hard drive.

  27. Re:Why? by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    As Kurzweil himself points out, there's two main approaches to simulating a brain. The one you mention is by simulating every neuron with sufficient detail, which requires a massive amount of hardware. Exactly how much depends on the detail required, which we're still not sure of - we could be at that level today, or we could be decades off. At that point, we hope that intelligence emerges - a reasonable hope, given what we know, but still somewhat uncertain.

    The other approach is by building sufficiently detailed and accurate functional models of the human brain. At the time of writing of The Singularity Is Near, he estimated possibly 5% of the brain's function had been well-modelled (one example he gives is auditory function, which is fairly well understood). This is obviously the harder path in terms of effort and invention, but also more useful, as functional models can be adapted, and generally require significantly less underlying hardware (e.g. we don't have to fully model a bird's entire biology to make something that can fly).

    The recent articles on models like Spaun suggest that, while we're obviously still a long way off human-level intelligence, we're making good progress. You'll also note that Spaun's model runs on a single workstation, not a super-computer (albeit well below real-time).

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  28. Turing test is biased against A.I. by jrincayc · · Score: 2

    My guess is that strong A.I. will be smarter than humans long before it passes a Turing test, since that requires the computer to accurately pretend to be a human. Humans get lots of practice interacting with other humans, and so we are fairly good at noticing when something is not quite right. Now, maybe if the person was told that there was a computer, a human, a space alien, or a dolphin on the other end (CHAD test), and as long as the computer convinced the person it wasn't a computer it wins, the Turing test would be more fair. By the time computers can reliably convince a human that they are a human in an extended dialog, they will be vastly more capable than humans.

  29. Intelligent computers is a religious concept by jrincayc · · Score: 1

    In the book Religion Explained by Pascal Boyer, Boyer states that humans have large ontological categories that we group stu into. These categories deal with the very nature of being. Ontological categories include Animal, Person, Tool (or artifact), Natural object, and Plant.[Religion Explained, pg 78] Humans have default attributes that we assume that an item in a given category has. So for example, if we are told that something is an animal, we know that it started out small, will grow bigger, and will eventually die. Religious beliefs tend to involve information that is counterintuitive to the category involved.[Religion Explained, pg 65] For example ghosts are in the category of people, but have the counterintuitive physical property of being able to pass through walls. Boyer lists the following possibilities for tools: “Tools and other artifacts can be represented as having biological properties (some statues bleed) or psychological ones (they hear what you say).”[Religion Explained, pg 78] wrote Boyer.

    Artifacts don’t think, and artifacts do what they are made to do. A Carburetor is an artifact, and carburetors don’t think, and they will keep mixing gasoline with air unless they break. I believe that in the most likely course of events, there will soon be computers that are smarter than humans and they will not obey us. Thinking artifacts that don’t obey humans t Pascal Boyer’s denition of a religious-like concept. I believe that it is unusually hard to think critically about thinking artifacts because of how tied-in with religion the concepts are.

    For the rest of the a sermon I gave: http://jjc.freeshell.org/sermons/there_is_no_map.html

  30. Re:Why? by bouldin · · Score: 1

    I dispute that auditory function in the brain is fairly well understood. *Some* of the fundamentals are fairly well understood.

    As an example, there is the Olivocochlear system that feeds back from Superior Olives to the cochlea. We think it may contribute to active amplification of sounds in the cochlea. See wikipedia for a list of PROPOSED functions.

    What we do know is that cutting the olivocochlear connection impairs sensitivity in the cochlea. We do know what neurons connect to what other neurons, and have some idea of the types of connections.

    What we don't know is "how the thing works".

    This system is key to human hearing; it's not just a lump of cells with no known function. So, we are a long ways off from any human- (or even cat-) level auditory models.

  31. Look at Fred Hoyle, for crying out loud. by almitchell · · Score: 1

    He was an absolute wingnut, but that doesn't mean he didn't make invaluable contributions to astrophysics, chemistry, mathematics and just science in general.

    --
    Baseless self confidence kills more people each year than bathtubs.