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A Subscription-Based Movie Theater

When the local movie theater in Oakhurst, California went out of business, residents were stuck without a way to watch films on the big screen without driving for at least an hour beforehand. Now, three men are trying to resurrect the theater with one major change: instead of relying solely on ticket sales, their business model revolves around subscriptions. From the article: 'They ran models of Nelson's subscription-based theater idea, showing that to break even they would need 3,000 people, or 15% of the mountain communities, to sign up. For $19.95 per month, a member would be able to see each movie one time and buy individual tickets for friends. Non-members could buy a $16 day pass. While researching the theater business, Nelson learned that studios are transitioning to digital distribution. Thousands of independent theaters that couldn't afford equipment upgrades have closed over the last 10 years, according to industry experts. Hundreds of others — which, like the Met, still show print films — remain on the brink. The subscription business model could pay for the new equipment.'

72 of 308 comments (clear)

  1. Great Deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    $20 monthly pass pays for itself after 2 movies.

    1. Re:Great Deal by Fluffeh · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I don't know about you, perhaps I am an old fuddy duddy, but I can't imagine that 15% of residents would go for that. I personally go to cinemas barely once per year and a lot of the folks I know are similar. Okay, there is the day pass options, which would work, but if their business model relies on 15% as being the critical mass needed, it seems a bet with some rather long odds.

      And while $20 a month does pass for itself after two movies, are you really going to go to see that many movies? Are there even that many new movies coming out these days - let alone that many worth watching?

      Now, if the cinema was playing older movies or classics along with the new releases, that might start to get interesting.

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    2. Re:Great Deal by erroneus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Membership has its priviledges.

      I am sure there are a lot of ways they could add incentives in with the price of admission. There is still something nice about the act of going to the cinema. Watching shows at home tends to be a less formal thing and so you usually don't turn your phone off and other distractions tend to take precedence. At the movies, you are locking yourself away and dedicating yourself to the big screen experience.

      I might return to the theaters if I had a subscription of some sort. I think perhaps $20/monthly would not be a plan suitable for me, but perhaps a "discount membership" which would enable me to watch movies at a discount and perhaps excluding "opening night" movies would be a better plan for me.

    3. Re:Great Deal by lawpoop · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Maybe you are the new-fangled type that prefers to watch media on their home entertainment system?

      I've found that certain movies are enjoyable on the big screen, and less so on the small. Does that mean they lack something? Probably -- but for me, it's about the experience of the film. If it needs to be seen on the big screen for me to properly get the full effect, so be it. If it makes a less stellar movie feel like it was worth it, then it was worth it.

      I don't go to the movies twice a month-- probably more 6-8 times a year-- but if I could go whenever for $19.95 a month, I might see almost every movie. If have have to shell out $10 for a movie, I have to think really hard if it will be worth it. If I've already shelled out the cash, it's a no-brainer.

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    4. Re:Great Deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The subscribers might have a vote in what movies come to the theater... who knows? I go to the movies all the time and would surely take the deal. And looking at our local prices of $12.75 for a primetime movie on a weekend, the daypass does not seem that bad. Hey, they could always become members, right?

    5. Re:Great Deal by Kjella · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think you underestimate how much the local community might be willing to back up local business, if it's clear that the choice is otherwise having none at all. Once you start losing social facilities like the cinema then young people start moving away and you turn into a dying community of old farts. I live in a considerably bigger city and never feel my presence is "make-or-break" for services, sure individual shops come and go but there'll always be another. Out near our cabin I notice an entirely different attitude in the permanent residents, they'd better use the local services because otherwise they'll go tits up and then they won't have any. With apologies to Niemöller:

      First the market forces came for the cinema, and I didn't care out since I didn't use the cinema.
      Then they came for the restaurant, and I didn't care since I didn't go to the restaurant.
      Then they came for the hospital, and I didn't care since I was healthy and didn't need it.
      Then they came for the grocery store, and I found everyone else had already left.

      --
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    6. Re:Great Deal by Zeussy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is a 104 years of theatre subscription, in your sound system alone!

    7. Re:Great Deal by lawpoop · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Where are people going to see movies these days? Pleasure Island from Pinocchio? I've never seen or heard anyone texting, talking, or whatever on their phones. Granted, it's not a monastery, but it doesn't disturb me or ruin the movie for me. If you haven't been to the theater in 15 years, how do you know the behavior has gotten worse?

      --
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    8. Re:Great Deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      my $25k audio system

      Wow, a fool and his money easily parted, indeed!

    9. Re:Great Deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You're just showing your age. Don't worry, I'm getting up there too. 90% of movies released in the theatre are for people under 40, often well under 40. They are for dates, college students and people with kids. Why do you think you don't care for new movies as much as you used too? They're not getting any worse, you're just moving out of their targeted demographics. Do you think back in the 50s that seniors went to drive-in movies?

    10. Re:Great Deal by suomynonAyletamitlU · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Now, if the cinema was playing older movies or classics along with the new releases, that might start to get interesting.

      I have often thought that a cinema with smaller rooms and a giant database of TV shows and movies that you could rent by the hour would work. Want to watch 20 hours of Buffy or Star Trek with friends? Groovy, get some comfy chairs, a big screen, and all the popcorn you can pay for. Soundproofing and a private screening means you can yak it up.

      But then, I suppose people would prefer their own home cinema in a lot of circumstances, and unsupervised people in dark rooms...

    11. Re:Great Deal by AK+Marc · · Score: 5, Funny

      And half that cost was wooden knobs and monster cable.

    12. Re:Great Deal by Hans+Lehmann · · Score: 2

      It probably wouldn't work for cinemas in most cities because yes, people would just go down the street to another theater. In a one stop-light town like Oakhurst, however, it could make sense. The closest option for them to go to the movies is to drive all the way to Fresno, and face it, who wants to go to Fresno unless you absolutely have to. And as far as seeing more movies with this plan, think of it like the Netflixs business model. Our family subscribes to Netflixs, and we wind up watching many obscure movies that we would never see if we had to go out of our way to go to a theater that was screening them.

      --
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    13. Re:Great Deal by NFN_NLN · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe you are the new-fangled type that prefers to watch media on their home entertainment system?

        I've found that certain movies are enjoyable on the big screen, and less so on the small.

      'White man make big fire... sit far away. Indian make small fire... sit close.'

      Sorry, I actually agree regarding the theater experience. But honestly, how often do you get to use the above quote in the actual context it was intended? :)

    14. Re:Great Deal by AaronMK · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What stops you from turning off your phone at home?

    15. Re:Great Deal by Fluffeh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe you are the new-fangled type that prefers to watch media on their home entertainment system?

      Yes and No. Yes, I do watch quite a bit of media on the home entertainment system - but at the same time, for a select bunch of movies, I really do want to watch them on the big screen first. The problem is that there aren't many that fall into that bucket. The last lot I saw were The Lord of the Rings Trilogy and Avatar. Having said, I would be quite happy to maybe do a LOtR Trilogy one day, then see the hobbit the next day.

      Or you know what, how about Game of Thrones or BSG at the cinema? I do know quite a few folks that would probably LOVE to watch those as a weekly event. I guess what I was trying to say was why does a cinema have to show ONLY the newest movies (most of which I think are crap) - why not expand into a different niche?

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    16. Re:Great Deal by thetoadwarrior · · Score: 2

      I'd say you can't really comment on the theatre experience if you haven't been to one since 1998. For me, my experience doesn't reflect yours. The theatre is a great way to see movies.

    17. Re:Great Deal by Xeranar · · Score: 2

      Yeah, you are an oddity. You do not even come close to the average movie goer. 15% is about 1 in 7 which is easily done. Especially if you account for multiple subscriptions in a household. What you're really going for is somewhere around 10% of households which is a completely viable number.

    18. Re:Great Deal by mwvdlee · · Score: 4, Funny

      At $25k he is most certainly no fool.

      Indeed he is exactly the type of audio expert who could appreciate the $129-a-piece inter-component isolation sheets I'm selling. (white A4-sized, other sizes and colors available for an additional charge, excluding p+p).

      Contact me if you are interrested.

      I also have 3x3" partially adhesive yellow noise-covers for sale at a price of just $50 each, but these are only for the true audiophile.

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    19. Re:Great Deal by Canazza · · Score: 4, Interesting

      In the UK, one of the biggest cinema chains in the country - CineWorld - already do a subscription pass that lets you in to any film any number of times, while still using the old distribution model for normal customers.

      The problem is that, while yes, you can get in to see any film any time, you still have queue to get a ticket from the desk, and you *cannot* purchase on line ahead of time. Normal paying customers can, so for big blockbuster films on opening night (or opening week depending on how popular it is) it can be nigh on impossible to actually get in for a card holder without having to pay *anyway* just to book ahead.

      My mum runs a film group and about 60% of their members have this card, and they're pretty much always treated like second class citizens, with one cashier even outright stating that they don't really care about card holders because they don't bring in any money for them. That card holders tend to be more money savvy and as such won't buy the overprices drinks and popcorn from the stalls.

      Then, down the road, there's the smaller, more indie, cinema. Doesn't show as many blockbusters, quite a few indie films, focuses on the smaller, but popular films. Like Life of Pi, Mostly the focus on really good events. I went to see the original cut of Alien and Aliens in there, using the original reels. I missed it, but they also had James Earl Jones taking a Q&A once. They're showing Spirited Away later this month, and I think February is shaping up to be Studio Ghibli month.
      It has a really nice bar area (that you wouldn't mind visiting outside of watching a film), and they let you take alcohol into the showing (in plastic glasses), infact, all the smaller cinemas around here do that kind of thing. They don't have over-priced stalls, but they will offer you popcorn from behind the bar. And they're doing quite well.

      It's not the pricing model that's failing, it's knowing your core audience and catering for them. If your in a city you can pick and choose your core audience (as exampled above by a giant conglomorate cinema company co-existing 4 streets away from one of the oldest cinemas in the city), however if you're in a small town, or the middle of nowhere, if your core audience doesn't want to go see films, no alternate pricing models are going to fix that. What you need to do is remind them there's a cinema there. Throw some events. Find out what films your patrons want to see and put those films on, even if they're 20 or 30 years old, hell, even if it's from before there was sound, if they want to see it, get a hold of it and put it on.

      There seems to be this crazy notion that people only go to the cinema to see new films.

      Bullshit. People go to see films in the cinema because watching films in the cinema is fun.

      Also, Sing-along Grease night

      --
      It pays to be obvious, especially if you have a reputation for being subtle.
    20. Re:Great Deal by Jaruzel · · Score: 2

      It doesn't cost 25k to build a relatively good personal cinema, you can do it for less than 5k and still have a better experience than most local mutiplexes. Since building my cinema (2.8m screen, HD projector, top end amp, loads of speakers) I've found that I much prefer watching movies at home. In fact as the sound is optimised for where I sit. the audio experience is vastly superior.

      Gatting back on topic - I wonder how scalable this subscription model is? surely if there's only says 400 seats, and i'm the 401th subscriber, I'd really pissed off if I couldn't get a set for a first night showing of a new blockbauster - how are they intending to manage that? If the demand was high then I guess a waiting list of sorts like a members only type club - but then people would be expecting a bit more than just access to the movie (proper bar area, food etc.).

      -Jar

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    21. Re:Great Deal by carcomp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I live in an area such as this.. Indiana. It has many small farm towns where if lucky, there is a gas station and perhaps a restaurant / bar. The town I live in is large enough to support a Walmart, however the theater (built circa 1995) is lacking. Housing 2 "large" screens and 6 smaller ones. I don't know the specific sizes but i think the smaller screens have 4 or 5 seats on each side with one aisle down the middle) The larger 2 screens still do not compare to the newer theaters in Indianapolis which seem HUGE, and aren't even IMAX. The change to digital 3d has forced prices for tickets and coke sky high, but the experience is lacking b/c I can drive for 1 hour and pay the same price and watch in a comfy chair with better sound and video quality. If there is a way that subscription model pricing can be viable, sign me up. I've dropped cable, switched to netflix / vudu / dvds throughout my house, and have cut back in other areas as well. My family and I love going to the movies, but I can't seem to justify the $30 night out at the local theater because I know the options an hour away are so much nicer.

    22. Re:Great Deal by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      People need to drop that guilt ASAP. Unless you are a carer, or paid to be on call for work, or similar, you don't owe it to anyone to be available at the end of a mobile phone 24/7.

    23. Re:Great Deal by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      You're right. Any startup business plan that depends on 15% sign up is doomed.

  2. It is perfectly feasible... by godrik · · Score: 5, Insightful

    UGC (the AMC theatres in France) used to (maybe still have) memberships that allowed you to see evey movie they show as many times as you want for 15euros. Lots of people were subscribing to it. I am sure they can manage it. Thought the $16 day pass for non subscriber seems over the top. I hope they also have regular $8/10 ticket for one movie. (most people wont see two movies in one day)

    1. Re:It is perfectly feasible... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's worth mentioning that the summary proposes the subscription model to justify theater upgrades:

      " Thousands of independent theaters that couldn't afford equipment upgrades have closed over the last 10 years, according to industry experts. Hundreds of others — which, like the Met, still show print films — remain on the brink. The subscription business model could pay for the new equipment. "

      Keep in mind that there are plenty of independent movie theaters which play older/obscure/foreign movies, and having character and not being newfangled everything is part of the experience. San Diego's Ken Cinema, being a good example. Before the movie starts they throw out huge balloons everybody swats around, there are no annoying ushers to see if you're sneaking in the drink, and they play movies you wouldn't find at an AMC, like Pink Flamingos*. The only downside of that theater being that it's in a neighborhood infested with grown up hipster-sissies. Still, those are the theaters which deserve my money. If I wanted to see predictable, stale crap like Transformers 5 or X-men 10 I'd reach for the torrent.

      * Whoa, man. What a fucked up movie. A lot of it's chatty gay humor, but where else are you gonna see the main character (a man in drag) suck her son's cock, a man fucking two (real) dead chickens, and a finale of eating dog shit.

      -- Ethanol-fueled

    2. Re:It is perfectly feasible... by cmseagle · · Score: 2

      I hope they also have regular $8/10 ticket for one movie. (most people wont see two movies in one day)

      Seeing as how the previous iteration of the business went under following that model, I don't think it's likely that they'll be attempting it. I think that if the customers know that they can go to the movies for $8/10 like they're used to, the theater will be hard pressed to hit that 3,000 member mark.

    3. Re:It is perfectly feasible... by fermion · · Score: 3, Informative
      This is club model. For a fixed fee you get to use the services of the club. Some will use the services a lot, some not so much. But because dues are collected monthly, fixed costs are piad.

      In the US, it is my understanding that most of the box office goes to the movie distributor. So if someone sees a opening weekend movie every weekend, I assume that would be the whole $20 to the studio, or even more. The article did say they would be paying studio based on viewership, and I have been told that studios do take most of the ticket sales for the the first weekend, So this model clearly depends on people not going to see very many movies. Yet is subscribers are nor going to movies, then one wonders if they will be subscribers

      Movie theaters are just restaurants that show movies. Sundance and Alamo has made that a formal setup. Theaters near formal restaurants have to fight to stay alive. If you want your theater to stay open, buy concessions. Yes it does suck to think the true cost of a movie is $25 per person, but that is what it costs. If it is too expensive, go to the Opera, where a ticket can often be $15, and there is no expectation to buy or consume refreshments.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    4. Re:It is perfectly feasible... by TubeSteak · · Score: 2

      Keep in mind that there are plenty of independent movie theaters which play older/obscure/foreign movies,

      As the movie making industry transitions away from film, they're going to start shutting down the industrial bases that makes and develops film.

      This is a HUGE FUCKING PROBLEM because the color correction notes for every film are based on the specific film stock being used and the specific blend of chemicals used by the development house.

      There's a lot of work that goes into every reel of film and everyone involved in the business is either retiring or headed for other work.
      Such is the digital wave.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
  3. Re:too expensive by godrik · · Score: 5, Interesting

    When you have a free "movie ticket for everything" you start going to see stuff you would not have seen otherwise. $20 a month is not a bad deal. I'd totaly take that.

  4. Better idea by simplexion · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Where I live in Australia it costs around $17 per adult to see a movie at the cinema. The last movie I went to had around 8 people watching it. If they charged $5 per adult I bet there would have been a lot more people watching that movie (that may have also purchased overpriced crappy food from the candy bar).
    It is ridiculous to expect $17 from someone to watch a shitty movie, considering the majority of movies pumped out these days are pretty terrible.

    1. Re:Better idea by afidel · · Score: 2

      I just saw Skyfall at a matinee and it was $5.50 per adult, surprise surprise the theater was full which is pretty good for a movie that's been out for 7 weeks.

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    2. Re:Better idea by wisnoskij · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That is a decent price, but even $5 is really on the high end when you are talking about sitting in a $5 chair in a big concrete box for 2 hours watching a screen only like 10 times bigger than what many people have a home nowadays. Even without factoring in the profits from snacks and candy a business model should be maintainable on like $1 a viewing.

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    3. Re:Better idea by Anubis+IV · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Similarly, I just went to go see The Hobbit earlier today with a coworker (my supervisor, in fact...we skipped out of work early since he wanted to see it), and it was $4 for each of us. To say the least, the theater was packed, despite the fact that our college town is virtually empty while everyone is gone for the holidays. Mind you, this isn't some trashy theater in a seedy part of town either. It's a standard Cinemark in a good location with all of the usual amenities you'd see in an urban center (digital projectors, 3D, XD, and whatever other marketing terms they've invented since I last looked). I think the reason our prices are so low is because our area has around 200,000 people, 50,000 of whom are fickle college students that will go to whichever theater is cheapest, and there's a Premiere theater just down the street that has shown a willingness to closely match the prices Cinemark posts up.

      I've always heard that the concession stand is where the money is at in a theater, and if that's true, I don't know why they're not dropping prices on tickets to get more butts in seats. As it is, higher ticket prices just encourage people to spend more time and money at home with their own entertainment setup.

    4. Re:Better idea by sdnoob · · Score: 2

      http://fallstheatre.com/ survives and thrives as a first-run budget theater, 40 year running with the current owner who has a passion for movies and the movie-going experience. today, tickets are an i'm-not-shitting-you $2.00-$3.00 each, snack prices also low (around a buck now, iirc). admission is only a buck more than it was some 20 years ago. granted, as a first-run theater with a single screen, you might have to wait awhile before you can see a specific new release ... but still, it's a very cheap date -- and a true movie-going experience (unlike those mega multiplexes in the big cities) in a building that first opened in 1927. people drive from all over (twin cities, la crosse, eau claire and beyond) to go to the movies there.

      those guys in california will crash and burn at $20 a month or $16 per day.. they're better off taking a trip to river falls, wisconsin, to learn how it's done right.

    5. Re:Better idea by Anubis+IV · · Score: 2

      This doesn't have to be an either/or. You can have it both ways.

      If you're charging $17 per ticket and only get eight people in the showing (as the OP said was happening), you're wasting perfectly good seats that could have been generating you revenue from concessions. Surely a packed theater, even one with cheapskates, would have resulted in more concessions sales than one with only eight of your better customers?

      The only time cheapskates become an issue is when your theater is getting so full that the cheapskates start to displace your better customers. At that point, you can safely say that demand is outstripping supply, so you should raise prices a bit in order to trim the cheapskates off the bottom while retaining your better customers. In doing so, you'll ensure that you'll have as many potential customers as possible to take advantage of the concessions stand, while also discouraging the cheapskates from being the ones that fill the seats.

    6. Re:Better idea by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 2

      Your wrong.

      If there's a contest for capturing the true essence of the internet in two words, I think you've just won.

    7. Re:Better idea by afaik_ianal · · Score: 2

      Your wrong

      No. ewe are.

    8. Re:Better idea by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2

      It's around 90% the first few nights, and diminishes from there - it's never a raw number, but a percentage of box office take, that the distributor gets, and it's based on a number of factors. Prices are basically dictated by the distributor directly as well, and are subject to localized pricing differences - the small theater is going to be allowed to have lower prices than the one in NYC.

  5. Re:too expensive by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

    Sounds like it would work for younger people then. The success of this model would depend on the age distribution in the target population.

  6. Another idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    would be the Green Bay Packers model of community ownership. Keep the theater private but sell shares in the company; for $300 you would be part owner, and would be able to buy a subscription for either $15/month or get a $3 discount on individual tickets.

    1. Re:Another idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      would be the Green Bay Packers model of community ownership. Keep the theater private but sell shares in the company; for $300 you would be part owner, and would be able to buy a subscription for either $15/month or get a $3 discount on individual tickets.

      How much would I have to pay to skip the ads?

  7. Re:too expensive by simplexion · · Score: 5, Funny

    Don't kill your fuck buddy, they are very useful.

  8. Re:too expensive by steveha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is a way to have a movie theater in their town without driving an hour. You need to factor that into your estimations.

    If I lived an hour away from any other movie theater, I would pay $20/month to keep my local theater alive. Sometimes it's fun to see a movie on the big screen, with your friends.

    If that experience isn't something you care about, there's Netflix.

    --
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  9. They obviously aren't "modelling" too hard by rastoboy29 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wouldn't it be an even better idea to allow subscribers to see all the movies they want?  a) it sounds like a better deal for potential customers and b) they are still likely to purchase overpriced refreshments, which is the real cash cow of a movie theater.

    Not to mention not having to track who has seen what.

    Duh.

    1. Re:They obviously aren't "modelling" too hard by Ixokai · · Score: 2

      Did you miss the part of RTFA where it talks about movie distribution contracts? They aren't free to set any business model they want. They owe a percentage to the upstream provider based on "ticket sales" -- every person in a seat for every showing -- and are *required* to track that.

      Now, I have no idea how they're calculating ticket sales or basing the percentage owed off of what value or any of the various details involved, but public showing of movies requires a separate license and those terms are not something three guys in some small town can just get set at whatever is most convenient for their ideal business situation.

      It'd surely be better for consumers if it were an all you can use service, but I bet they are still with its once-per-movie plan actually intending on getting most of their money from refreshments and the like..., because movie theaters really don't make that much off of ticket sales. I don't know the precise details, but for new releases theaters only get like 20-30% or so of the ticket sales... after a month or so, they may get most of it, but they always end up paying.

      And remember, a big point of this plan is these local people *do* want to go out and watch new releases and have social events after them with their community, and not have to drive an hour away to do that. So while some people will be going and watching when this theater gets most of the money, a lot will be going when they have to pay most of it to the movie's owner.

  10. Re:too expensive by adolf · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They'd have to give a discount on food as well. At least in the US popcorn and a drink run you as much as the ticket.

    "Have to"? Why? Because you'd shrivel up and die if you don't have a dose of artificially-flavored popcorn with artificially-sweetened fizzy water within a 2-hour window?

  11. Re:too expensive by Sylak · · Score: 3, Informative

    That's where most of the theatres actually make their money on first-week releases, though, because of how much goes to the studio in ticket revenue.

  12. Movie Theaters are dying for the same reason by rolfwind · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Payphone booths and arcades are. Plain and simple. Too many other options.

    I only go to the movies for the latest releases (so few that are worth it). The big players will hang on. I almost think the small theaters are being run out by design - because the longer a movie is out, the bigger cut the theater gets from ticket sales which start out at 100% for the studios.

    Today, people can buy 70" flat led screen for around $1900, an 83" Mitsubishi dlp for $1800 (92" for $2800). Rent 3-6 month old movies at Redbox for a little over a buck, stream it from Netflix, etc.

    It's a shame, because of the whole going out of the house thing (although, since I only view Matinees where it's empty - any potential social value dwindles to nothing). Speaking of social value, the only theater that's been built in my growing area the last 10 years has been one that is a restaurant and where you can order real food. So, added value options may grow from being a novelty to the norm.

    Who knows, with TVs getting cheaper and cheaper all the time, in 30 years, huge A/Ced and heated theaters that sit empty most of the time may have largely become a thing of the past except in places like Las Vegas or the planetariums.

    I view the 3D thing as largely a play to stay relevant, and it's probably not working all that well. I'm sure some theater owners are praying for Avatar 2 and 3 to come out soon.

    1. Re:Movie Theaters are dying for the same reason by bagboy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This... > "So, added value options may grow from being a novelty to the norm................" We have a local theater that has for 10 years - offerred around 3-6 month out of date releases (and lots of indie films) for 3 bucks a ticket, You can order your meal (specialty pizzas, burritos, hot sandwiches) which is delivered to your table (every other row are tables instead of seats, you place your black-light sensitive cone at your spot), has it's own brewery and beer/wine bar in the back of the downstairs (in the theater) (balcony seating for those under 21 or unaccompanied by adults). 10 years later and it still has lines out the doors Friday - Sunday before showings. It's an awesome date/family event. They even have special events for bands and indie film events. This - is how a movie theater can stay relevant.

    2. Re:Movie Theaters are dying for the same reason by arth1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're assuming that only one person watches the TV, and that every movie goer lives in walking distance of the theatre.

      Face it, we have a TV anyhow. We might want to buy a bigger one if we're movie buffs. So realistically, perhaps only $500-$1000 in extra expenses. Add the cost of renting or buying movies.
      Then subtract the cost of going to a movie theatre, including tickets, concession prices versus home prices, travel, and extra time. For a family, it quickly becomes far more expensive, with less choice and comfort, sitting behind Big Afro, with miss Wheezy Death coughing down your neck, two tweens who giggle and just won't shut up on one side, and an idiot who txts every 30 seconds on the other.
      At the end, you smile and tell your friends how great a time you had and that you should do it again soon, while in your mind you hope "soon" is far, far away.

    3. Re:Movie Theaters are dying for the same reason by blahplusplus · · Score: 2

      "It's a shame, because of the whole going out of the house thing"

      I've never considered movie watching a social activity, it's the least social thing you can do with a person when you 'get together' with them. Sharing the same space and warming the same air staring at a screen while not talking is not my idea of meaningful social interaction.

  13. Re:Not entirely a new idea by alostpacket · · Score: 5, Funny

    Indeed, season passes are as old as the discovery of fire. The Amalgamated Neanderthal Conglomerate "Ungfrthfrulptlf" (GmbH) used to paint on the cave walls about amazing savings:

    Club just one woman and kill two mammoths a year and enjoy a VIP spot of dirt by the campfire!*

    MUCH cheaper than a saber-tooth per fire.

    *Cannot be combined with any other cave painting. Limited time offer. Dirt spots dependent upon availability and size of mammoth, woman.

    --
    PocketPermissions Android Permission Guide
  14. Great job modeling the business plan by joeflies · · Score: 2

    Oakhurst, CA: Population 2829. Good luck getting 3000 paying customers. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oakhurst,_California

  15. this won't fly with the film distributors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I book films for a local theatre. Unless there are major changes with film distribution terms, this won't fly. Films are rented to theatres with terms that require a minimum guarantee from the theatre versus a percentage of the boxoffice gross. For a first run title, the percentage will start high (think 90% or so) and drop each week until it gets to 35% or so. For a 90% title, the theatre gets $1 of your $10 ticket, and the distributor gets $9. Boxoffice reports are submitted daily and list the number of tickets sold for each price category and the total number of tickets sold and boxoffice take for the day for the film in question.

    There is no way that a subscription pricing model would work under standard film rental terms, since there is no standard ticket price on which to base the percentages. Any theatre that tried this without first convincing the film distributors to all change their business models (ha!) would never be able to get films to show. This is an industry that does not really like innovation and which is reluctant to change a business model that has worked well (more or less) for the last hundred years (or so).

    The D-cinema thing is an entirely different issue. Cost is about $60k per screen for the projector and server, assuming that a sound system already exists for 35mm and can be (mostly) re-used for D-cinema. Only DCI-compliant equipment can be used--this is not the same thing as a regular off-the-shelf video projector, as it contains specific crypto hardware to make movie piracy difficult (no doubt it will be cracked eventually, however). No one is actually forcing this conversion at the moment, so 35mm film is still viable for the time being. This conversion process has been discussed for the last ten years or so, but has only really started to speed up over the last two.

    1. Re:this won't fly with the film distributors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      According to a local theater owner I talked to, the push to digital is mostly forced on the theaters interested in showing older movies only available in digital since the 35mm disintegrate over time and making new ones are usually not cost effective. I could also see indie being similar in some cases, but he did not mention that. The pricing model might be different for older/indie films.

  16. Re:It's not "digital distribution" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    I would tend to agree, but there are technical differences. A DCP (digital cinema package) is a frame sequence with a soundtrack. By contrast, a "video" signal contains blanking and sync information, which does not exist in D-cinema. So it isn't quite the same thing, but it still sucks compared to a good photochemical print.

  17. It won't work. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I have managed theaters for two large chains. Frankly the concept of a movie theater is dead meat. The hang on, improve and survive executives simply have lost the battle.
                        Early on the theaters were huge. The cost of admission was trivial. Theaters relied on candy, popcorn and sodas as well as more complete menus the further back one goes. That was the profit gimmick. One need not make a penny on film if one sells enough food. Sadly theaters lost the ability to serve decent snack food as management types cut back on food expenses and quality. That alone was enough to kill the industry but inflation and the invention of TV and then cable were the death songs of the theater industry. One can easily have a first rate movie experience at home and the cost is trivial as it is wrapped in bundled services. For about $5. per day i can have thousands of movies and shows, my phone service and a high speed net connection that dwarfs a wired connection and use these features all day, every day. For another buck or so my home alarm service can also come by cable. Compared to that why would i go to a theater?

  18. Re:too expensive by jamesh · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They'd have to give a discount on food as well. At least in the US popcorn and a drink run you as much as the ticket.

    We hardly ever buy movie food, we just bring our own. The local (Australia) cinema won't let you bring a backpack or other large bag in (tripping hazard) but they haven't batted an eyelid when we've put the backpack in their lockers and taken in our own popcorn etc. Three of my kids and my wife can't have gluten so buying the food there isn't really an option - too much risk of contamination (who knows what they put in that 'butter'!).

    I prefer not to have food at all in the cinema, but when you have young kids it's a great way to keep them still while they get interested in the movie.

  19. Supply and demand? by _Shorty-dammit · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why is that movie theaters seem to be about the only business that not only doesn't understand or even attempt to follow supply and demand with their pricing of both the attractions and the food, but seem to publicly admit that they don't think supply/demand makes sense? If nobody wants to buy something I'm selling, the price is too high. Any sane person in the world would lower their price. That's the whole idea behind supply and demand. But what do movie theaters do? Jack up the price even more, and claim that they need to do so to survive. On what crazy planet does that even begin to make sense?

    Popcorn is CHEAP. Why would you charge $7 for it and then complain that nobody buys it?

    Sodas are CHEAP. Why would you charge $5 for it and then complain that nobody buys it?

    I don't know about theaters around the country, but where I live we have "cheap nights" on Tuesdays, where movie tickets are a good deal cheaper than usual. And typically the theaters are packed full on that night. Every other night? You could count patrons in a given theater without running out of digits on your hands/feet. And even *THAT* doesn't tell theater owners that their regular prices are too high?! Your theaters are packed full on cheap nights because the price is easier to swallow. It shouldn't cost a family of four over $80 to go have a movie night, yet that's exactly what it cost a friend of mine to take his family to a movie on the weekend. Hell, it cost me and a friend, just two of us, almost $50 to go see 48 fps Hobbits a couple weeks ago. Almost $50 for two tickets and one popcorn/drink/chocolate combo. That's way too much money, and that is exactly the reason movie theaters are struggling, yet they just don't get it.

    Supply and demand. This is an insanely old concept that pretty much everyone seems to understand. Except movie theater owners. WHY?!

    Look at video games, and Valve's Steam store in particular. They've publicly discussed a few times over the past few years how they have seen insane increases in revenue whenever they have big sales on games, on the order or 40x increase in revenue in one case! Here's what I think was the first article discussing it back in 2009: http://www.edge-online.com/features/valve-are-games-too-expensive/

    Movie theaters' own cheap nights prove that supply and demand is warranted in their market, just like any other. If they would lower prices of everything, tickets and refreshments/food, they'd see way more people, and way more money, come their way. If only they'd take their heads out of their asses.

    1. Re:Supply and demand? by perlith · · Score: 2

      If they would lower prices of everything, tickets and refreshments/food, they'd see way more people, and way more money, come their way.

      Worked at a theater for several years. A few interesting tidbits for the chain I worked for:
      - Movie theaters are in the business of selling popcorn and concessions, not in the business of showing movies. You could substitute the movies with another popular activity in a public space and the same business model would exist.
      - Movie theaters largely do not set prices of tickets ... the studios do that. Local market conditions do factor into the ticket price though ... one of the local towns near where I live only charges $5 for a matinee vs. $7.50+ everywhere else ... otherwise the local town theater WOULD go out of business.
      - You pay for the container the food or drink is put in, not the contents of the container. Accounting is also done the same way. Management freaked out when 1000 nacho trays were lost at one point ... $0.05 to produce, $5000+ in inventory.
      - Staff is not cheap. Weekdays Monday-Thursday usually operate as a loss ... the revenue is not enough to keep 3 minimum wage people (box office, usher, concessions) + 2 managers (1 customer service/other, 1 projectionist) around. On Friday-Sunday, look to a 1 employee to 250 patron ratio.
      - Marketing and customer data is poorly collected and analyzed. This is probably the biggest issue with movie theaters, they do not know their customers or market well enough to make global decisions yet allow for local adjustments. Example for concessions: Mountain Dew and Hotdogs _ALWAYS_ sell more at the midnight showings then popcorn does and the hotdogs need to be thrown out at the end of the day if not consumed. Not every theater does a midnight showing. For those that do, why not discount the hotdogs at the midnight showings to sell them instead of throwing them out? This is an extremely simple example and proper analytics would reveal much more interesting customer trends.



      I do agree with your point on the concession prices. During the summer twice a week they would show a kids movie from the past 1-5 years at 10am each morning. Tickets were $1 each, and kiddie popcorn trays prices were halved. The combination dropped the total price per child to about $5. Having 500+ kiddies running around at 10am in the morning was a bit of a headache, but made more money during the weekdays from those two showings than the rest of the weekdays combined. Another example, refillable plastic cups that were $10 initial purchase, $1 to refill ... had people looking in the trash for these things, taking them home + washing, then bringing back all summer. Lowering the prices all of the time does NOT make sense, but mixing up discounts, special offerings, a real rewards program, etc. all combined have a huge return on business ... and none of this is rocket science.

      Biggest issue is movie theaters still operate largely in a static mode with their business model. The price is one such element of static thinking as parent pointed out. A subscription based model like this I applaud as it does give an example of dynamic thinking that will encourage customer loyalty. Otherwise, competition such as Redbox and Netflix that is more dynamic in their business model will eat away at profits. I only hope we don't see the opposite of the supply/demand curve, that is, movie theaters go bankrupt and available supply of theaters become so low that prices naturally DO go up.

  20. Re:Real Butter by greatgreygreengreasy · · Score: 2

    Our local theater just upgraded to digital, new sound system too. They pump up the volume so loud now that I can't bear to watch anything there anymore. But, they DO have real butter and salt, so we just grab the popcorn and take it home. Cheaper that way too. :)

    --
    LRN 2 SWM
  21. Subscription goal has been met by nrozema · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This is my local theater.

    Last night they announced that they hit the 3,000 subscriber mark they were shooting for and will make a go at opening.

    I wish them the best, though I think there are still some very big questions to be answered about the viability of the business model. Will the studios go along with it? Will subscriptions _remain_ high enough after the buzz fades away to be a viable business? I hope so, but only time will tell. The local economy is almost entirely tourism based, and their model effectively shuts out tourists who I think will be reluctant to shell out $16 for a day pass - so long-term local support is essential.

    1. Re:Subscription goal has been met by Shoten · · Score: 2

      From the article:

      James Nelson, 30, a life coach who defines his specialty as "figuring out how to make the impossible possible," was driving back from a wealth-training seminar when his wife told him about the theater going under.

      This sounds to me like they're doomed. A 30-year-old life coach, freshly back from a "wealth-training" (aka "get rich quick") seminar when his wife tells him about this. I'm sorry, but this guy at first blush sounds like he's got no real business acumen. So I think nrozema is spot-on...sure, they have the subscribers now while the buzz is up and everyone's afraid to lose their theater. But what happens after they realize that they're all paying $20/ticket to see movies, when tourists don't go to see movies there, or if they'll be unable to get movies far enough ahead of Netflix/Redbox/cable/piracy to keep their customers?

      --

      For your security, this post has been encrypted with ROT-13, twice.
    2. Re:Subscription goal has been met by bogjobber · · Score: 2

      You'd be surprised, actually. I work at a ski resort and a substantial amount of people just stay inside and do normal things when they're on vacation.

  22. Re:too expensive by arth1 · · Score: 3, Informative

    That experience has become less and less.
    As the size of the silver screen has gone down, the size and resolution of TV sets have gone up.

    When I was young, I loved to go to the movie theatre. The screen was a hefty 10x22 meters, or a little over 79' diagonal.
    At home we had a 20" TV - we couldn't afford the new huge 26" ones that had just came out.

    Nowadays, a typical movie theatre has a screen only a fraction of that size, while the standard TV size this holiday was 55".
    Your field of view is going to be filled about as much by your TV at home as the movie screen. And you probably have a better sound system than the utter miscalibrated crap they foist on people these days.
    Never mind that you and your friends can imbibe whatever you like. No crying children or idiots who left their cell phone on.

    Back in the old days, you also bought numbered seats, and knew that you and your friends would be able to sit together. Now, you have to gamble on that. Whoever runs fastest gets the best seats.

    The death of movie theatre going started for me back when LaserDiscs came out, and has continued as movies have become crappier and TVs better. I probably wouldn't go often even if it was free.
    Heck, a BD movie on my laptop gives me a more immersive experience.

    Let the movie theatres die. They had their time, which was great, but that time is over. Keep a few as living museums in the big cities, and let the rest go.
    I'll fondly remember them, but don't need them back any more than I need photo booths and telegrams.

  23. You answered your own question by raymorris · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why don't they lower the prices, you asked. You then mentioned they do lower the prices, especially on Tuesday. Weekdays cost less than weekend nights. A movie without popcorn costs a lot less than one with popcorn. Their web site has coupons. You can spend $5 going to the movie, or $25.
    Theatres are very good at letting you spend as much or as little as you want. Some people will spend $25 or more for Saturday night ticket, candy, and large soda. The theatres have pricing where they'll accept that $25 from those people. They ALSO sell to the $5 crowd, on weekdays.

  24. Re:Why does it cost $60K to convert to digital? by rev0lt · · Score: 2

    The only non off-the-shelf component would be the optical equipment, and couldn't they retrofit the optics of existing 35mm projectors?

    Actually, no. To get an actual watchable cinema screen, you need "professional" projector lamps, and those aren't "off the shelf", and they're more akin to vacuum tubes than to actual lamps (Xenon lamps). Keep in mind, color depth and fidelity is dictated by the quality of the lamp, even on a digital projector, and with a lifespan less than 1000 hours, they aren't cheap. Nor is the electricity. And if you use 35mm projectors, you'd need a 4k projector screen of the size of the 35mm frame - or complex optics to perform the upscaling/downscaling adjustment. A 4k cinema DLP

  25. Not Quite Yet... by kid_wonder · · Score: 2

    If they rolled out a way for people to watch films the day they're released on their home theater for $10, it'd be huge.

    http://primacinema.com/

    $35k plus $500 a pop ...

    --

    "Oh, you hate your job? There's a support group for that, it's called everyone, they meet at the bar."
  26. Re:too expensive by Pollardito · · Score: 2
    They don't need "the usual person", they need the 15% who watch the most movies:

    They ran models of Nelson's subscription-based theater idea, showing that to break even they would need 3,000 people, or 15% of the mountain communities, to sign up

    For them this is a good deal and saves them a lot of driving. For other people $16 for a day pass is also a good deal

  27. Re:Not entirely a new idea by Shag · · Score: 2

    Pre-dates movies entirely - back in the colonial days, the educated townfolk would get together and form a "Library Company," each contributing some funds (a subscription, if you will) and typically some books from their own collection. I used to hang around the seventh-oldest library in the US, fun place. Eventually, people figured out that it was best to give everyone in town access to this sort of thing, funded by taxes, so we now have public libraries. But I'm not sure whether people would go for a tax-funded public town cinema... ;)

    --
    Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
  28. Exists in France.. by Archon-X · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Both big cinema conglomerates In France still do this, and have for years.
    Unlimited movies in all cinemas. No blackout times. 20EU per month, or 35EU per month for a couple.

    It's a great idea, and lots of people use it - considering normal adult tickets are 10 - 12EU.

    The 'gotchya' is that it's a pain in the ass to unsubscribe - it's auto-debited from your bank account each month, so to cancel you need to send a letter via registered post etc to close your membership.

    Small price to pay, however!