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No Transmitting Aliens Detected In Kepler SETI Search

astroengine writes "By focusing the Green Bank radio telescope on stars hosting (candidate) exoplanets identified by NASA's Kepler space telescope, it is hoped that one of those star systems may also play host to a sufficiently evolved alien race capable of transmitting radio signals into space. But in a study headed by ex-SETI chief Jill Tarter, the conclusion of this first attempt is blunt: 'No signals of extraterrestrial origin were found.' But this is the just first of the 'directed' SETI searches that has put some very important limits on the probability of finding sufficiently advanced alien civilizations in our galaxy."

197 comments

  1. They're hiding... by BenSchuarmer · · Score: 4, Funny

    I blame Jersey Shore

    1. Re:They're hiding... by tippe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe all of the other aliens are smart enough to prevent the radio waves of their versions of Jersey Shore (and other cruft) from spilling out into space. Maybe we're the only dumb ones that let it happen. We're probably the laughing stock of the galaxy...

    2. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I blame socialism. We'd be warp capable if we were doing what we're doing now, but 30 years ago.

      Relax, I'm teasing.

    3. Re:They're hiding... by buchner.johannes · · Score: 4, Informative

      Jersey Shore aired in Dec 2009. The nearest star, Proxima Centauri, is at 4.2421 light years distance.
      The knowledge about Jersey Shore can not reached have reached any exoplanet host systems.

      --
      NB: The message above might reflect my opinion right now, but not necessarily tomorrow or next year.
    4. Re:They're hiding... by rts008 · · Score: 2

      Default fallback programming: "I Love Lucy".
      They have had plenty of time to develop cloaking technology against our mind destroying Weapons of Mass Broadcast. We have terrified the galaxy within a 60 light year radius, pedant.

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    5. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only an alien would know that.

      Wait...!

    6. Re:They're hiding... by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 1

      Radio? Clearly even aliens now have cable.

      --
      It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
    7. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      To our knowledge.

      Interstellar scout ships are pretty likely to be beyond our ability to detect. Just because we think light speed is a hard limit doesn't make it so. Remember, we used to think the sound barrier was past us.

    8. Re:They're hiding... by quenda · · Score: 1

      Anthropic principle: we can only be searching for Aliens in spaces/universes where they do not exist.
      If they did exist in our part of the universe we'd be dead already.
      (If they were friendly, they'd have been wiped out already by another race that is not.)

    9. Re:They're hiding... by quenda · · Score: 1

      They should be hiding.
      Monty Python provided a good illustration of the importance of Not Being Seen:

      http://youtu.be/zekiZYSVdeQ

    10. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i hope aliens never see jersey shore, if they pick up that show then they will have no choice but to blow up our planet

    11. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're oversimplyfying. Even here, among humans, the ones who show they're too violent against the wrong people are often punished. Being more specific: the friendly species could have invested as much in weapons as the genocidal species (that'd be unlikely for a human, but with a sample size of 0 aliens we can't know how they think).

    12. Re:They're hiding... by Ghaoth · · Score: 1

      Does this mean that the movie Battleship isn't true. We really are alone???

      --
      Nos Morituri te salutamus
    13. Re:They're hiding... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Remember, we used to think the sound barrier was past us.

      Uggh. I hate this stupid meme.

      We NEVER thought the sound barrier was impossible to break. We thought it might be impossible at the time to build an aircraft that could handle the structural stress with the materials available at that time. We knew the sound barrier could be broken--bullets had been breaking it for decades. The two are NOT comparable in any way.

    14. Re:They're hiding... by the_arrow · · Score: 1
      --
      / The Arrow
      "How lovely you are. So lovely in my straightjacket..." - Nny
    15. Re:They're hiding... by lxs · · Score: 2

      Actually I think that is called the misanthropic principle.

    16. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I blame WW2.
      Think of how slowly signals propagate.

    17. Re:They're hiding... by vandamme · · Score: 1

      But it has reached Niburu.

    18. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a meme. It's a valid point. We're basing all our assumptions on the lightspeed barrier on our current knowledge of physics. Yet that knowledge we're depending on is less than a century old; it took Einstein to show us the mistakes of our assumptions.

      Put another way, our race is about a million years old. Compared to the age of the solar system (~5 billion years) and the age of the known universe (~14 billion years) I'm quite frankly not sure why we're so convinced we have all the answers already?

    19. Re:They're hiding... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      It's not a meme. It's a valid point. We're basing all our assumptions on the lightspeed barrier on our current knowledge of physics.

      Yes. And our then-current knowledge of physics said that sound-barrier was breakable, and it was correct. The comparison of the sound-barrier problem to the light-speed barrier problem is stupid and anyone making it displays either their ignorance of the history of science, their shallow mindedness, or both.

      Is light-speed exceedable? Maybe, but the present situation is NOT comparable to the situation with the sound-barrier in the 1950s.

    20. Re:They're hiding... by walter_f · · Score: 1

      (If they were friendly, they'd have been wiped out already by another race that is not.)

      As a side note, it will be anyone's guess where our civilization would belong to in case of an encounter, to the friendly ones or, rather, to the "wipe 'em out" category...

    21. Re:They're hiding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Calm down and wipe the froth off.

      What's the matter, don't like being challenged? You hardcore science types are as bad as the religious fundies; utterly convinced your book holds all the answers and how dare anyone question that.

    22. Re:They're hiding... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Here I'll say it calmly.

      He's right, you're wrong. Our knowledge of the speed of light being a hard limit is well-established. It's old stuff now. Anyone suggesting that it is not a hard limit is either about to be the next Einstein or is an enormous dumbass. Any interstellar travel will be somewhere between "mankind's greatest migration, powered by more resources than mankind had used in all of history before" and "impossible."

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  2. keep trying by masternerdguy · · Score: 2

    Radio signals can deattenuate with range, other aliens might not be running a SETI program (and therefore glowing in the sky because they transmit stuff to random stars), they might be much further away and so their signals haven't reached us yet. The universe is enormous, no doubt there's *someone* out there.

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    1. Re:keep trying by Synerg1y · · Score: 2

      Quite the assumption on alien life forms using radio waves, but I guess as a civilization we gotta start somewhere with the search. Or, we can follow the sci-fi model and colonize worlds UNTIL we find alien life. The latter makes more sense in a lot of ways. I'm going to go think of a profit model for colonization now.

    2. Re:keep trying by Amouth · · Score: 1

      i don't think it is quite an assumption for any intelligent alien life to utilize em radiation, it would only be "quite the assumption" to believe they use it exactly like we do.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    3. Re:keep trying by masternerdguy · · Score: 1

      Assuming they're using some FTL communicator, let's call it 'subspace radio' we still can't detect it at our level of technology. Also, you'd be assuming it is even detectable and not a secure transmission like entanglement would be if physics worked that way. EM is the best we can do for SETI.

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    4. Re:keep trying by bobbied · · Score: 0

      The problem with colonizing is basically the radiation in space pretty much kills everything given the time frames involved at sub-light speeds. We might work out some way to get to Mars and back with some kind of shielding, but we are talking about round trips that take under a year and the radiation doses will be pretty bad for those of reproductive age or younger. I hate to think of what would happen at 20 years round trip, assuming you could get to half the speed of light....

      I think the best we can hope for is limited local (no further than Mars) travel.

      --
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    5. Re:keep trying by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      There are statistical measurements of deviation from random noise. This is what they do. Or should be if not, I never bothered to check out SETI's analysis methods.

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    6. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or their signals have long since passed us.

    7. Re:keep trying by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      The problem with colonizing is basically the radiation in space pretty much kills everything given the time frames involved at sub-light speeds..

      Uh, the answer to radiation in space is... shielding. If you're building a colony ship you can live in for a century while traveling between stars, the mass of required shielding will be small compared to the mass of the ship.

    8. Re:keep trying by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      FYI, water, which you'll have to carry anyway, makes pretty good shielding.

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    9. Re:keep trying by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

      "... it would only be "quite the assumption" to believe they use it exactly like we do."

      Right. But that assumption isn't really made. SETI At Home, for example, essentially does Fourier analysis on signals, looking for patterns. While they may not use it as we do, having patterns in the signal is a pretty safe assumption. Or to perhaps be more accurate: we don't know of a way to look for signals that do not exhibit patterns.

    10. Re:keep trying by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2

      "The universe is enormous, no doubt there's *someone* out there."

      So, you believe in the "invisible man in the sky" too huh? ;)

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    11. Re:keep trying by bobbied · · Score: 2

      Shielding is pretty much all about mass. You need boat loads of mass to make an effective enough shield to survive in space for very long. You can use water, but you need to get it into space (or find it someplace already in space), then climb inside and get all this mass heading in the correct direction (burning fuel or something) fast enough you don't die before you get there, then slow down all this mass so you can stop someplace (more fuel). All this amounts to HUGE amounts of mass..

      I really don't think that we are going to figure this problem out any time before the sun burns us to cinders in a billion years.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    12. Re:keep trying by sadboyzz · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "The universe is enormous, no doubt there's *someone* out there."

      So, you believe in the "invisible man in the sky" too huh? ;)

      The belief in extraterrestrial life is at least based on the observation that life exists on Earth, and the number of stars and planets like our Sun and Earth in the universe is .. astronomical.

      The belief in God has no such basis.

    13. Re:keep trying by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 0

      Other than one belief requires no proof, and the other doesn't either.

      So, how does one scientifically justify wild ass guesses without any proof or evidence and call it science in your world?

      And while you MAY be correct in that there is life elsewhere in the universe, it has never been observed or tested, making it not "science" but more "math". For all we know, the earth is unique in the Universe, and if it is, that would be pretty special, wouldn't it? You believe differently, and that is okay, but doesn't make it science.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    14. Re:keep trying by Velex · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes. The idea that life could evolve in the same way it did here somewhere else in the galaxy with similar conditions is just as looney as believing in a sky wizard who hates homosexuals and loves killing brown people, who believe in another, but different sky wizard who likewise hates homosexuals but loves killing white people, and each sky wizard claims that the other is a false sky wizard, although they both agree that the world is 6,000 years old. Yeah, those two things are both completely the same. You sure delivered a convincing argument there.

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    15. Re:keep trying by tmosley · · Score: 1

      The difference between beings that can exist, and self-contradictory anthropomorphisms is just that.

    16. Re:keep trying by qwak23 · · Score: 1

      Everyone knows that aliens' eyes "see" in the radio part of the spectrum and broadcast signals in what we consider the "visible light" portion of the spectrum.

      All those stars we see in the sky are actually alien equivalents of Jersey Shore broadcasts.

    17. Re:keep trying by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2

      I'm going to go think of a profit model for colonization now.

      The profit model is simple enough once the profit no longer has to be made on earth. In short, there's a chicken/egg problem. Colonization makes sense if you'll be richer when you move to the colony than you are now on Earth (this is what has ALWAYS driven colonization throughout history). Right now we assume you'd be richer on Earth than you are now post-colonization. That is probably not possible in the near future (resource transfer between planets isn't practical). Getting to where you can become richer on Mars than on Earth? More possible, but still difficult without a pre-existing Martian economy.

    18. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      statistics.

    19. Re:keep trying by AC-x · · Score: 1

      Quite the assumption on alien life forms using radio waves, but I guess as a civilization we gotta start somewhere with the search. Or, we can follow the sci-fi model and colonize worlds UNTIL we find alien life. The latter makes more sense in a lot of ways.

      One of these things we can do right now, the other hasn't even been proved to be humanly possible yet.

    20. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Still the same thing, intelligent life outside our planet is about is real as a sky wizard is.

      You have a very odd definition of what "same thing" means. And by odd, I mean completely bonkers.

    21. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And our resolution sucks. The closest star is only a few pixels wide. We're going to need bigger telescopes to see *anything* directly. Unless something is aiming a signal directly at us, we wouldn't receive it.

      Practical example (using default values here) - a 3-meter antenna transmitting at 100,000 watts can only be detected at a range of 1.8 light years. Let's say we used 10MW and transmitted from Arecibo... the detectable range would be 1805 light years. It would only take about a 30kW transmitter using that dish to send a directed signal to a range of 100 light years.

      Interstellar communication takes specialized transmitters and receivers. Are we sending anything to those Kepler targets or do all beings take a listen-first approach?

    22. Re:keep trying by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 0

      Where is the proof that life exists elsewhere? This isn't about your bigotry towards people of faith, it is about the level of science required by Atheiests who believe in life outside our solar system demanding upon those of faith.

      And if you want to use examples of how aweful SOME people of faith are towards their fellow man, I'll toss out Mao, Lenin, Stalin ..... people who kill MILLIONS in the name of the Atheist state. Of course those people killing in the name of atheistsm get a pass by you and excused as "not authentic atheists", which is the same arguement atheists reject when used by people like me who reject violence.

      Let me be perfectly clear here. One does not have to treat their fellow man poorly simply because they are different, or because one disagrees with their moral choices. But hey, if you like to dehumanize people and that makes you feel better about your "non-scientific" evidence (math is not scientific proof), by all means keep believing in your fairy space people.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    23. Re:keep trying by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      statistics.

      IS not scientific proof of anything. Often science is found where statistics fails. In other words ... Science is just as often found in the "that is odd" moments, that lie outside of what statistics suggest. Statistics is math, math is used in science, but math is not science. Math is just a tool.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    24. Re:keep trying by VisceralLogic · · Score: 1

      "The universe is enormous, no doubt there's *someone* out there."

      So, you believe in the "invisible man in the sky" too huh? ;)

      The belief in extraterrestrial life is at least based on the observation that life exists on Earth, and the number of stars and planets like our Sun and Earth in the universe is .. astronomical.

      The belief in God has no such basis.

      I think the belief in extraterrestrial life is primarily based in the disbelief in God. If there is no other life, then we are special. If there is no God, we are not special. Hence, if there is no God, there ought to be extraterrestrial life.

      --
      Stop! Dremel time!
    25. Re:keep trying by Zordak · · Score: 2

      I believe in God and I believe in extraterrestrial life. It's not an either/or proposition. I also believe that any knowledge we can gain by experimentation or investigation brings us closer to God. My belief in God is based on personal experience. Anybody who cares to find out for himself can repeat the experiment and get his own results. It's a non-trivial experiment, and you won't find it reported in Science. But it is reproducible.

      My belief in extra-terrestrial beings is much closer to "blind faith" than my belief in God. To wit, I simply believe that God created other people on other planets, and I think some of them are probably in the galactic neighborhood. I don't know where they are and I have no repeatable experiment to offer for the proposition other than to look for them. And if we want to look for them, I think our best bet is to look for planets as similar to this one as possible, because that's where they're most likely to show up. Which is what SETI is doing. If we find a non-random signal somewhere in the noise, it will not affect my belief in God. It will, however, strengthen my belief that there are extraterrestrial beings somewhere in the neighborhood.

      --

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    26. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny, but actually, the brown and white people believe in the same Sky Wizard, but have different views on his preference for brown or white people. There may even be brown and white people who believe the wizard prefers people with stars on their bellies. Then there are those brown and white people who believe that they know what the other brown and white people believe, such as that most of them believe the world is 6000 years old.

    27. Re:keep trying by monkeykoder · · Score: 1

      One thought process has evidence the other has logical inconsistencies. Logically with the world the way it is today there can be no "GOD" in the classical sense as the only thing that could fit the model of god is both Omniscient, and Omnipotent if we just refer to the Christian Bible we see "GOD" admitting to a mistake of knowledge which already says that this "GOD" is not Omniscient and we're not even going to go into the impossibility of Omnipotence (things like free will cannot exist with an Omnipotent Omniscient god and so on).

      However we do have evidence that life CAN exist we see it every day, we understand to some extent how it forms from certain combinations of chemicals as experiments have been done which resulted in DNA (or RNA I can't remember which) being created in labs by simulating what we believe the environment to be on the early earth, we see the abundance of carbon, hydrogen and oxygen in the universe, and at least trace amounts of a myriad of other elements, and our mathematical models, as primitive as they are, dictate that it is likely that life exists on some other planets. Therefore we are currently testing the hypothesis that life exists on other planets. Our methods are primitive and we have a vast search ahead of us but our models and current knowledge support the idea that life should exist on other planets because the sheer orders of magnitude we're dealing with indicate that 1:1 trillion probabilities are happening trillions of times per second.

      Sometimes it is fun to feed the trolls

      P.S. Stream of consciousness of some small fraction of the evidence on both sides not meant to be a complete argument.

    28. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...looney as believing in a sky wizard who hates homosexuals and loves killing brown people, who believe in another, but different sky wizard who likewise hates homosexuals but loves killing white people, and each sky wizard claims that the other is a false sky wizard, although they both agree that the world is 6,000 years old.

      Need a light, straw man? I'm guessing that you're talking about Christianity and Islam here. Christians, Jews, and Muslims share the same god. That god doesn't hate homosexuals, he hates it when people do what he says not to, like having sex with someone of the same gender or fucking your neighbor's wife or stealing or murdering. Being homosexual isn't a sin, acting on the impulse is, just as acting on the impulse to have both a wife and girlfriend is. Nowhere in either holy book does it say the Earth is 6000 years old, some dufus a couple of hundred years ago did some bad math to come up with that. It is part of neither religion. The killing doesn't come from god, it comes from evil men who falsely claim to be following his word.

      Muslims don't want to kill Christians because they're white, that's just moronic. Christians come in all shapes, sizes, and races. Muslims want to kill westerners (black, white, or brown) because they think westerners aren't following god's word... and face it, nobody does 100%. Westerners don't want to kill Muslims because they're brown, it's because they slammed airplanes into three buildings killing thousands, plus westerners want the Muslims' oil. It's political, not religious.

      As to ET, personally I think there's probably life elsewhere, but see that there are so many variables necessary for it to come about that the existance or nonexistance of ET is unknowable until we actually find ET. After all, we still haven't been able to make any non-living substances come to life, hard as we try, so for it to come about purely by chance must need some very VERY extraordinary circumstances and conditions. After all, we've never seen any indication that life ever started more than once here, and this is a perfect environment for life.

      Your disbelief in a God that people have experienced and your absolute belief that ET must exist despite any evidence whatever that it does is simply wishful thinking on your part. You don't want god to exist and you do want ET to exist, so you believe it. That's not a rational attitude.

    29. Re:keep trying by MyNameIsJohn · · Score: 1

      You forget that the search for extra terrestrial life is backed by one scientific basis.. Humans

      We are here, we exist, we are proof that life is possible and so the search for it elsewhere in this universe has us as a template. The more we understand how we work and what circumstances allow for us to live helps us in the search for extra terrestrial life.

      The belief in God or whether (s)he created us is not relevant... unless you believe that (s)he created us and only us, but it is still irrelevant in terms of scientific process as there is no testable proof (yet).

      Two separate arguments

    30. Re:keep trying by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      The belief in God has no such basis.

      Hrrrm. Possibly. First, define God. Tell me what your definition of God is and we can start from there.

    31. Re:keep trying by marcello_dl · · Score: 1

      I observe that we can build abstractions.
      E.g. a game of chess. Oh wait, this is the 21st century, a game of solitaire is ok? Position of cards, movements. Such an abstraction actually resides nowhere in our reality, our reality only hosts the means to describe it and the minds able to understand the meaning of the description. We're creators of that abstraction even if we're not their Gods.

      As we can build abstractions, no doubt our reality can be an abstraction itself.

      Doesn't seem rocket science to me and it's not apologetic, because it justifies the existence of fake religion as much as it justifies the possibility of a god.

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    32. Re:keep trying by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Until we get some sort of faster than light mode of communication or travel, it is unlikely that we will find life outside of our solar system any time soon. And since E=MC2 is more or less accurate the top "speed" is C, we are not going to see any evidence of life outside of our galaxy. Thus we will only be able to "guess" that there is life outside our system(s) through statistical guestimations. The real problem is, that we cannot fully know how special (or not) we really are in the Universe. And that is unlikely to change anytime soon.

      So people stating that they "believe" in Extra Terrestrial Life is exactly the same as believing in invisible man in the sky. Our testing capabilities are not sufficient to prove (or disprove) existence of EITHER kind of Invisible men in the sky.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    33. Re:keep trying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A billion years is a very long time. I think we'll do much better than you think. Look what we've done just in 5,000 years!

    34. Re:keep trying by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      FYI, water, which you'll have to carry anyway, makes pretty good shielding.

      To expand slightly on that ...

      The Earth's atmosphere provides adequate shielding against solar plus cosmic radiation to keep the error rate in our gene transcription low enough to survive. (If it didn't, we'd all be two-headed monsters with leukaemia, instead of only having the one Zaphod Beeblebrox.). The atmosphere consists of a certain amount of matter above our heads, and it doesn't much matter what chemical form that matter takes. I normally estimate that amount by looking at my scuba diving manual : the pressure at 10m (30ft, approx) in water is twice that at the surface (Which is why your decompression tables have a LOT of decco time in those top 10m.), so the amount of matter providing "one atmosphere" of shielding is equivalent to that at 10m in water. For a 1sq.m area, that's 10 tonnes.

      Which is pretty large. BUT, proportionately, the larger your ship, the smaller a proportion of your mass this makes up, because you only need this around the exterior of the ship. So, for long duration travel, bigger is better. (Which you probably need to avoid sending your crew insane anyway.)

      Water is fine. Water as ice (from a comet / asteroid) is fine. There's no reason to not use some of it as a hydroponic system (you'll need something for food, something to recycle carbon dioxide back into oxygen, might as well use some of it for shielding too). OK, I can't think of a show-stopper reason - feel free to think of any you can.

      But rock (including as dust in bags, if necessary) is pretty much as good. Same mass, to a first approximation (different nuclei have different capture cross sections for different radiation particles, but that's a relatively small effect compared to plain old mass).

      --
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    35. Re:keep trying by Velex · · Score: 1

      All the proof I need of life outside the solar system is the growing evidence that our planet, its star and distance from that star, and its chemical composition are not unique. I don't think there's anything "mathematical" about that, and I don't know why you keep using that word. The same laws of physics apply everywhere in the universe, or perhaps at least in the observable universe, and those laws of physics seem to predicate that the evolution of life is almost unavoidable.

      Basically, we are not special snowflakes. We might be the first intelligent species, or it could be that once a species reaches intelligence, there's a good chance it'll wipe itself out. However, there is nothing special about Earth, and there's no reason to believe Earth is exceptional. It could also be that communicating by radio waves is a fairly primitive way of communicating, and perhaps we haven't even scratched the surface of the laws of nature. Then again, perhaps radio communication is as good as it gets, and all we can conclude is that there aren't any other intelligent species broadcasting radio waves close enough for us to detect.

      Now... as far as sky wizards go... I can't even mathematically or logicaly justify any kind of sky wizard I've ever heard of. Life? Probably pretty common. Intelligent life? Probably very hard to evolve and even harder to survive technological adolesence, but no reason it couldn't happen elsewhere. Sky wizards? I can't think of a single thing in the natural world that even remotely indicates the existence of sky wizards, except perhaps for man's own bigotry, superstition, and tribalism.

      And besides, buddy, religion has plenty of blood on its hands, too.

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  3. Thirst Toast by ButchDeLoria · · Score: 2

    What a shame if all this effort means Earth is the only planet to harbor intelligent life. Or worse, the first.

    1. Re:Thirst Toast by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well, suppose hypothetically there is another civilization that reached the point we are at now over 100,000 years ago, and they happen to reside near a star that is a million light years away. In such a scenario, we won't hear a peep from them for another 900,000 years.

      The only other possibility is that they use some form of communication that is faster than light, which would mean they are using something other than EM based communication. EM based communication is all that we have the capability of looking for.

      Due to the sheer size of the known universe, it is inevitable that there is sentient life beyond earth. Even if what we have here is merely a pattern of chemicals, that pattern is bound to have repeated elsewhere, if not identically then very similarly.

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    2. Re:Thirst Toast by davidbrit2 · · Score: 1

      What a shame if all this effort means Earth is the only planet to harbor intelligent life. Or worse, the first.

      Or worse still, the last.

    3. Re:Thirst Toast by Coffee+Warlord · · Score: 2

      What a shame if all this effort means Earth is the only planet to harbor intelligent life.
      Or worse, the first.

      Nah, it'd be kind of cool to be the ones strutting around in our encounter suits spouting enigmatic one-liners to the lesser civilizations.

      The only drawback is we need to rapidly speed up our medical research so we live long enough to see it.

    4. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Until we know precisely how _life_ started, not just amino acids, proteins, or other chemical patterns, it is pure speculation to say that life's existence elsewhere is inevitable.

    5. Re:Thirst Toast by blind+biker · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We already have non-human sentient life on our planet - many cetaceans are sentient - but we are utterly unable to recognize it. The only sentient life humans will actually recognize, are the ones that carry bigger guns than ours. Sad but true.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    6. Re:Thirst Toast by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 1

      I qualified my "sentient life" comment with "beyond earth".

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    7. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we were unable to recognize it you'd have no idea.

      And we recognize thousands of kinds of communication that aren't the human voice in the audible range.

      So your entire premise is garbage. Don't go with boilerplate responses, they make you sound stupid.

    8. Re:Thirst Toast by newcastlejon · · Score: 1

      "The Universe is big and old and rare things happen all the time, including life."
      Lawrence Krauss (I think).

      You'll have to forgive me for deferring to the judgement of someone who has more of a chance of grasping just how big and old the Universe really is*. There are about 300 billion stars in our galaxy alone; to think that only one of them will ever warm a life bearing planet seems absurd... but then again that's a leap of faith too, even if it is a somewhat smaller one.

      *Yes, yes, I know it's an appeal to authority but despite first impressions I like to think that /. can - occasionally - rise above the level of a rowdy little high school debating club.

      --
      If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
    9. Re:Thirst Toast by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Due to the sheer size of the known universe, it is inevitable that there is sentient life beyond earth.

      [citation needed]

      Yeah, it's possible that there are other creatures like us in other galaxies, but our galaxy appears to be a wilderness. Since we could colonise it within ten million years, that's a pretty good sign that there aren't any others here.

    10. Re:Thirst Toast by BumpyCarrot · · Score: 1

      AND SO... IT BEGINS.

      --
      Do you see what I did there?
    11. Re:Thirst Toast by ngc3242 · · Score: 2

      Our galaxy is roughly 110,000 light years across. Our largest satellite galaxies, the Large and Small Magellanic Clouds, are less then 200,000 light years away.

    12. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a word for people who live in a world where only that which has been proven by a third party is true. Some may call those people close-minded, but I like to use another word...

    13. Re:Thirst Toast by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 1

      It's probably going to happen in the opposite order. I bet we'll know the inevitability of life, long before we ever know where our life came from.

      Someone will create conditions where a new tree of life can spontaneously start, or else we'll find a different independent already-existing one. Meanwhile, all traces of our own tree root will still be three-billion-years eroded/eaten.

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    14. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The Universe is big and old and rare things happen all the time, including life."
      Lawrence Krauss (I think).

      You'll have to forgive me for deferring to the judgement of someone who has more of a chance of grasping just how big and old the Universe really is*. There are about 300 billion stars in our galaxy alone; to think that only one of them will ever warm a life bearing planet seems absurd... but then again that's a leap of faith too, even if it is a somewhat smaller one.

      *Yes, yes, I know it's an appeal to authority but despite first impressions I like to think that /. can - occasionally - rise above the level of a rowdy little high school debating club.

      300 billion is 300,000,000,000

      Your DNA is

      3,200,000,000 base pairs long
      so the chance of rolling a you is

      1 in 4^3200000000
      or

      1.6 10^ 1600000000

      So if you think 3 E 11 is a massive number 1.6 E1600000000 should impress you as a MUCH MUCH MUCH larger number.

      People who argue that statistics demands evolution are idiots.

    15. Re:Thirst Toast by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      No need for faster than light tech. They could as we are now moving on to digital transmission modes that use less power and are harder to detect. Maybe they use fiber optics for all fixed communications with a wide network of relatively low power cells for most mobile. Even satellite communications may be relatively low power. Such a system would be rather hard to detect across light years.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    16. Re:Thirst Toast by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      What you've posted is meaningless unless we also know how many "lottery tickets" have been purchased.

      The odds of winning a lottery might be 1 in 8 million but if we bought all 8 million different tickets we could say we are 100% guaranteed to win. If we bought 2 of each, we'd expect to win twice.

      What you've demonstrated is only half of the picture.

      I suspect you'd have to do something like calculate the number of mutations occuring or the number of chemical reactions that have occurred from the beginning of the universe until now, and use that as the "number of tickets" to weigh against your "MUCH MUCH MUCH larger number" (which represents the odds of winning).

      I suspect that the chance for life is looking pretty good right now, although more rationally I would put forward to you that talking about the formation of life in terms of probabilities like this is just silly. We don't even understand all of the variables yet, so until we know HOW life can form from non-life (we have some idea, but there's still a lot more we don't know), we cannot even imagine that we know what probability is required.

      Your example also relied on pure randomness, which doesn't adequately describe evolution/abiogenesis. Many things in nature, and in the universe, are not random. This again demonstrates my point that we cannot even begin to look at the probability of anything to do with life because we are so far from understanding what we're talking about. That's not a criticism - just saying that in order to calculate probabilities, we need to know a lot more than we currently do.

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    17. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sapient.

      The word you're both looking for is sapient. Nearly all members of the animal kingdom are sentient.

    18. Re:Thirst Toast by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 0

      The odds of winning a lottery might be 1 in 8 million but if we bought all 8 million different tickets we could say we are 100% guaranteed to win

      Only if you failed statistics.

      Example:

      If the odds of winning are 1 in 1 million (round numbers are easier, and past about 1 in 1000 with 1000 tickets the odds are asymptotic anyway), then the chance of not finding a winning ticket in the first million tickets purchased is 36.8%. Which means you only have a 65.2% chance of winning with 1 million tickets and a 1 in 1 million chance on each ticket. Not even close to 100%.

      Proof left as an exercise for the reader so he may redeem himself.

    19. Re:Thirst Toast by MadKeithV · · Score: 1

      Wrong. The chance of winning the lottery is 50/50. You either win it, or you don't, one out of two possibilities.

    20. Re:Thirst Toast by ShoulderOfOrion · · Score: 1

      Maybe those cetaceans are already in contact with aliens, and we're unaware of it, until the aliens lose contact with said cetaceans and send a large scary probe to Earth...hey...haven't I seen this before?

    21. Re:Thirst Toast by AC-x · · Score: 1

      If the odds of winning are 1 in 1 million (round numbers are easier, and past about 1 in 1000 with 1000 tickets the odds are asymptotic anyway), then the chance of not finding a winning ticket in the first million tickets purchased is 36.8%. Which means you only have a 65.2% chance of winning with 1 million tickets and a 1 in 1 million chance on each ticket. Not even close to 100%.

      Isn't that wrong because you're ignoring how lotteries usually operate, which is to pick a winning combination out of a limited set. For your example if the lottery ticket consists of a player chosen number from 000000 to 999999 and the winner is decided by picking a random number from 000000 to 999999, then there is a 1 in 1 million chance of a single ticket winning. However if you buy 1 million different tickets then you have every single possible combination, so your chance of winning is 100%.

    22. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't that wrong because you're ignoring how lotteries usually operate, which is to pick a winning combination out of a limited set.

      What you're describing is a raffle.

    23. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your DNA is

      3,200,000,000 base pairs long
      so the chance of rolling a you is...

      You'll note that I said "life", not "an exact duplicate of me". If you also discount the chauvinistic notion that only DNA can give rise to life then you widen the scope even further.

      People who argue that statistics demands evolution are idiots.

      Not so foolish as those who think Earth is unique in the Universe.

    24. Re:Thirst Toast by blind+biker · · Score: 1

      I know, I just extended our inability to recognize sentient life, to lifeforms we might meet in outer space. The gist of my comment is: unless they shoot at us, we don't consider them sentient.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    25. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We already have non-human sentient life on our planet - many cetaceans are sentient

      And they are descended from the same species we are descended from.

    26. Re:Thirst Toast by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Well trolled.

    27. Re:Thirst Toast by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Isn't that wrong because you're ignoring how lotteries usually operate, which is to pick a winning combination out of a limited set

      I'm not aware of any lottery that functions this way. As another poster said, raffles work that way, not lotteries.

      Powerball (for example) draws numbers from the total possible set of values. If no one has that number, then the lottery continues (and the pot grows as people buy more tickets). Moreover, there are usually (essentially always) multiple players with the same number in a lottery. Lottery numbers are not one-use. Many pots are won by several people with the same number.

    28. Re:Thirst Toast by AC-x · · Score: 1

      I didn't say that you were guaranteed to be the exclusive winner, just that the odds of winning scale linearly so if you had every combination of ticket you were guaranteed to win. Obviously that doesn't mean your're the only winner, and unless theres been a big rollover it should cost more to buy every ticket then the jackpot is worth.

    29. Re:Thirst Toast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (I am your parent poster)

      Your mistake is thinking that buying 1 million tickets means you've bought every possible combination. There is no lottery in which this is true (Unless you request the 7-11 to sell you one of each number sequentially I guess, but my original parent didn't phrase it that way. If you buy 1 million tickets worth of randomly assigned numbers your odds of winning are 65.8%

    30. Re:Thirst Toast by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      Whilst all of these responses are correct, they miss the point. The point of my post was obvious. All these responses are focusing on the specifics of the word "lottery" instead of the fact that we simply don't know enough of what we're dealing with to come up with "the odds of life forming".

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    31. Re:Thirst Toast by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but does the rest of what I said carry any merit? I find the "odds of life forming" a bit of a meaningless argument. At best it just says it couldn't have happened under known theories, but not that it couldn't have happened 'undirected'. We simply don't know enough to make that sort of claim yet.

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    32. Re:Thirst Toast by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      In my example, if there were multiple winners that just makes life even more likely to occur, does it not?

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    33. Re:Thirst Toast by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but does the rest of what I said carry any merit? I find the "odds of life forming" a bit of a meaningless argument. At best it just says it couldn't have happened under known theories, but not that it couldn't have happened 'undirected'. We simply don't know enough to make that sort of claim yet.

      You expected a soulless pedant like myself to keep reading after the part I objected to?

      I think you're quite right about the difficulty of determining the probability of life forming somewhere else in the universe. The counterpoint to that though is that it really doesn't matter how low it is because the universe is THAT big.

      Really though, I was just getting the asinine pedantry out of my system.

  4. Clearly... by blind+biker · · Score: 1

    They've all moved on to cable TV.

    --
    "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    1. Re:Clearly... by quenda · · Score: 3, Funny

      They've all moved on to cable TV.

      Switch to the 900nm infrared band - we might still be able to see their remote controls.

  5. But wait until there's a blackout of our stuff by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Funny

    All it takes is an episode of "Single Female Lawyer" blacking out and sooner or later we'll get invaded by aliens.

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  6. Stealth became a necessary tactic by concealment · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Other aliens out there may have discovered what we haven't yet figured out:

    Not everyone in the universe is nice.

    Having a whole bunch of radio signals emanating from your planet is like saying "rob me! rape me! kill me!" to any wandering castoffs from alien civilization.

    It might not even be organized military action; only pirates, or serial killers, or even just disaffected artists with a flesh fetish.

    1. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      More likely they've figured out either a more advanced communications technology than radio, or have gone to tightbeaming for long distances. Or they, like us, aren't putting out any signals that get beyond a couple of light years.

    2. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by masternerdguy · · Score: 1

      I bet it's the latter. Any civilization that has electricity should be emitting radio energy (even if it's just noise from circuits) but if it isn't focused and directed it won't make it very far.

      --
      To offset political mods, replace Flamebait with Insightful.
    3. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by alen · · Score: 1

      ok

      an advanced civilization with the knowledge to travel the stars will attack earth just to steal our fossil fuel and incandescent light bulbs

      easier to just mine asteroids and other bodies for natural resources

    4. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 3, Interesting

      What more advanced communications technologies are there without altering the laws of physics? On one hand, those who speculate on , overunity energy which requires undiscovered physics are called lunatics, and yet, people freely speculate that there is undiscovered physics for a non radio communication system.

    5. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Having a whole bunch of radio signals emanating from your planet is like saying "rob me! rape me! kill me!" to any wandering castoffs from alien civilization.

      It's more like saying that while penniless and surrounded by mountains of gold. Anyone capable of interstellar travel has easier access to anything we have to offer than invading a planet and boosting it up from the surface (more likely the bigger factor). There's more usable metal in the trojan asteroids around Jupiter than all that humanity has dug up in its history. More water in the cometary halo and various moons than could conceivably be cost efficient to boost into orbit from the Earth's surface. And that ignores all the hundreds of thousands (if not hundreds of millions) of uninhabited systems which most likely have a similar level of resources.

      Now, the serial killers and flesh fetishists you have a point. Wonder if anyone has written some sci-fi where humanity makes contact with the lowest, poorest, stupidest, backwards redneck the aliens have to offer.

    6. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      Yes, I'm of the opinion that science, technology and engineering will continue to advance long after I'm gone, probably to heights I would struggle to comprehend just as a visitor from the 18th century would struggle to understand what we've achieved, and as such feel comfortable indulging in speculation. It's deriding such speculation that is indicative of an unscientific mind.

      Who knows, maybe they will send carrier pigeons down wormholes.

    7. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There light bulbs are very yellow. Rob them!"

    8. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Wonder if anyone has written some sci-fi where humanity makes contact with the lowest, poorest, stupidest, backwards redneck the aliens have to offer.

      I have met the enemy, and he is me. :p

    9. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fossil Fuels aren't found on asteroids...

      In all likely hood, they would come to colonize the Earth since it is the perfect distance to the host star to support liquid water and an existing ecosystem that isn't dependent on any one species that would resist colonization.

    10. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by 0123456 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In all likely hood, they would come to colonize the Earth since it is the perfect distance to the host star to support liquid water and an existing ecosystem that isn't dependent on any one species that would resist colonization.

      So they're going to burn more energy than the human race has used since the beginning of time to come here and colonize Earth, when they could just dismantle a planet in their own system and build a Dyson sphere?

      The only thing Earth has that aliens couldn't find elsewhere is Earth life. And after all that cattle mutilation and anal probing, they should have plenty enough DNA to rebuild that wherever they want to live.

    11. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by BumpyCarrot · · Score: 1

      I sincerely hope that those concepts are truly alien to any passers-by. With luck, their best approximation of a cruel dictatorship would have wizards riding unicorns through the sky carrying banners reading "MAN I BET YOU JUST HATE YOUR FREE CHEESEBURGERS AND WEEKENDS AWAY IN VENUSIAN PLEASURE DOMES, PUNY EARTHLINGS. WHATEVER."

      --
      Do you see what I did there?
    12. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by dissy · · Score: 3, Funny

      Wonder if anyone has written some sci-fi where humanity makes contact with the lowest, poorest, stupidest, backwards redneck the aliens have to offer.

      You mean StarTrek Voyager?

      *RUNS*

    13. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by WillgasM · · Score: 1

      you forgot "assimilate"

    14. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What more advanced communications technologies are there without altering the laws of physics?

      Even broadspectrum radio transmissions would not be detectable unless you know what you are looking for. They will just look like noise.

      Whatever technology non-earth civilizations are using, they probably are not using radio as we know it. People have the idiotic idea that if something is state of the art here, then it must be state of the art in a completely different evolutionary timeline. Sorry, but no. Star Trek premisses in this regard are laughable at best. Depiction of alien life forms in most other stories (at least the popular ones making it onscreen) is even more ridicules.

      Remember back in 1800s when it was considered that physics was all found out and there is nothing else to discover??? Yeah, breakthroughs like that happened afterward, especially nuclear physics finally explaining thinks like "why is the sun shining?". Speculating on what they may be is pointless as what they are and what we speculate tend to be completely different (String Theory type speculations - not even wrong).

      The only way we are going to advance our knowledge is through experiments driving model development. Solid state physics is in its infancy - we don't even know how superconductors work, never mind how to derive properties of a metal solid from first principles. Nuclear physics is at a stage of "rubbing two sticks together" to generate nuclear power. In subatomics (particle physics), we are only starting to see the period table of subatomic particles. What does that structure imply? We don't know. And finally, gravity, well, we are no closer to understanding it than 100 years ago, or even back when Newton said F=Gm1m2/r^2. All we know is how to measure G, and hence we know what the mass of the earth is. But how gravity fits with the other forces? No idea. Quantum mechanics - we know how to apply it, but why does it work? How do you unify quantum with non-quantum world?

      How much was discovered in last 100 years? How much will be in next 1,000,000 years?

      So please, little respect. We know a small, tiny understanding of the "laws of physics" (more like laws of this universe). There is plenty that remains to be discovered.

    15. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by joe_frisch · · Score: 2

      A really good point. There is a strong argument that the first thing you should do on detecting an alien civilization is to attack with stealth R-bombs (or substitute your favorite interstellar weapon). Of the possible outcomes:

      1. they were hostile: you got them first, you win!

      2. They were incredibly more advanced than you: The attack will seem cute to them, sort of like a kitten pouncing you your toes. Maybe they will post pictures of you on their tentacle-book site.

      3. They were friendly: Sad, but some other civilization would have gotten them if you hadn't.

      If you don't attack:

      1: they r-bomb you
      2: no change
      3: someone else destroys them, and if they don't you will just wind up competing for resources anyway.

      More seriously, I think its a great idea to look for signs of alien intelligence as long as we under no circumstances try to contact them.

      Remember, when the guys on the ships meet the guys on the shore, you want to be the guys on the ships......

    16. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by MMC+Monster · · Score: 2

      Gravity waves? Neutrinos? Laser? Quantum entangled electrons?

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    17. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by sadboyzz · · Score: 1

      Oh I wouldn't worry about that. We've only had radio for less than 150 years. How many stars are there within a 150 ly radius? By the time the very first signal from Earth reaches the center of the galaxy, the human kind may have long destroyed itself.

    18. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 1

      Having a whole bunch of radio signals emanating from your planet is like saying "rob me! rape me! kill me!" to any wandering castoffs from alien civilization.

      Unless we detect such signals. In which case, a bunch of radio signals means "come into this trap."

      Hey, you're right: paranoia is fun!

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    19. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by HybridST · · Score: 1

      'Nuclear physics is at a stage of
      "rubbing two sticks together" to generate
      nuclear power.'

      Not quite correct. In the 50s we were at the 2 sticks phase but we're now looking fpr the right king of tinder and imagining a firebow.

      --
      Ever notice that Cobra Commander sounds an awful lot like Star scream?
    20. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by HybridST · · Score: 1

      *for the right...
      ** kind of tinder

      I loathe iTyping!

      --
      Ever notice that Cobra Commander sounds an awful lot like Star scream?
    21. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by joe_frisch · · Score: 1

      Without knowing either the technology for interstellar travel, or the motivations of an alien intelligence its difficult to figure out why they might want our planet. The might simply like planets, and not care that someone else was there first. They may be motivated by religion to convert all sentients to their own beliefs. Large scale planetary modification may be more difficult that interstellar travel: Its pretty easy to imagine technology to get to 0.1C (even fission rockets could do that). A million-ton spacecraft at 0.1C is a lot less energy than dismantling a planet.

      They may "colonize" earth without sending a lot of mass. Engineered microbes in micro-spacecraft.

      Maybe artificial intelligences that hack into out networks and redirect the productive capability of our civilization. All we'd notice is an inexplicable trend away from developing space travel, nuclear power,and other potentially dangerous technologies.

    22. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Fossil Fuels aren't found on asteroids...

      Says who? What if the asteroids are the remnants of a life bearing planet that was ripped apart? What if there has been microbial life on them since they were formed? We don't know, and until we do a significant on-site survey of the asteroid belt, we won't know.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    23. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by tmosley · · Score: 1

      If option 2, then they actually destroy your puny little race.

      The non-aggression principle is universal morality, more than likely. Any species that violates it is likely to tear itself to pieces before it builds its first warp drive. Conversely, any species that builds warp drives is much, MUCH more likely to be peaceful. Your only real wild cards are weird communal mind species or those with otherwise utterly and Earth-unprecedented but robust methods of thought/existence.

      For the guys on ships bit, that's fine, except when the guys on shore are an advanced race. The historical parallel there is China, which had the capability to fully crush the west militarily for most of its history, but didn't feel the need to go searching for new lands. The West just got lucky that they were weak during the age of discovery.

    24. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This presupposed that the two of you are completely alone. If there are other species out there hiding in the dark, they're going to know what you've done. They'll mark you down as a nasty, little, vicious species that needs to be wiped out as quickly and quietly as possible for their own safety. There may even be more than one such species, working together for mutual protection, because Space is Big.
        If you go down the path of genocide, you have to consider that there may be nowhere to hide from the consequences of your crimes.

    25. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by joe_frisch · · Score: 1

      In #2 I meant a LOT more advanced. When I was hiking in the Canadian Rockies a Pika (small fluffy rodent) jumped up on a rock and started squeaking at me. It was acting at its most threatening trying to scare off the invader. It was adorable and we took many pictures.

      Its not clear that a peaceful society will develop the sort of high energy technologies that are probably need for space. They might instead develop a low energy sustainable technology that lets a modest size population live happily on the limited resources of a planet. Space travel may only be done by irrationally aggressive species. Look at what happened to manned space with the end of the cold war.

      The China analogy doesn't really work. For thousands of years they were the most powerful civilization on earth but the stayed at home while the Europeans explored and conquered. Eventually the mighty empire of China was brought low by the technological superiority of the Europeans it he opium war etc. I don't think the west "got lucky" I think that their exploration and conquest made them strong. Perhaps the world would have been a very different place if the Cheng-Ho fleet hadn't been recalled.

      BTW: I am in no way endorsing the colonial behavior of the Europeans, or trying to imply that I think it is morally acceptable to exterminate an alien race.

    26. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sound of our civilization is like the sound of an anthill beside the interstate. Even if they were listening for our minuscule chirps a semi truck barreling down I-70 is not going to stop to interact with the termites, much less try to squash their hive.

    27. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People who claim to have discovered a means of over unity energy are named lunatics. Anyone actually claiming FTL information transfer without evidence would be too, but there are fewer of them.

    28. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by adolf · · Score: 1

      All this conjecture about evil aliens trying to exploit us is fun.

      But if we apply the razor and consider that there might just be a difference in perspective, I think we can all agree on the following: The universe is only very big because we are very small.

      As soon as we stop thinking of aliens in terms of human scale and desire and capability, things become a lot more mundane: Chances are excellent that even if other intelligent life does exist out there, we're either far too big or far too small to bother fucking with.

    29. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      Unless earth is much more exceptional than what we think there is hard to imagine reasons for robbing or killing us.

      If FTL travel is possible and there are advanced civilizations somehwere I find it more likely that they'd just ignore us. Perhaps there are literally billions of planets out there that are inhabited by mostly harmless, boring little monkey-like creatures.

    30. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dogs and cats, living together-- mass hysteria!

    31. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I haven't been anal probed does that mean I won't be rebuilt on an alien planet?

    32. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What more advanced communications technologies are there without altering the laws of physics?

      You assume we know all of the laws. If so, why study theoretical physics?

    33. Re:Stealth became a necessary tactic by tragedy · · Score: 1

      A little late to reply to this, but had to comment on:

      Fossil Fuels aren't found on asteroids...

      That may or may not be true depending on whether there's any life out there to be fossilized. The thing to remember is that fossil fuels on Earth originated at some point from organic molecules of non-biological origin. Although if space is full of life, it could actually be of biological origin, but it still came from non-biological organic material at some point, somewhere. Anyway, given the presence of life and time, non-biological organics eventually become biological ones because something eats them. In space, the organic molecules can stay uneaten and non-biological (provided there's no life), but can still be quite similar to fossil fuels.

          One thing we do know is that there are carbonaceous asteroids. Kerogen-like material has been found in some meteorites. Kerogen is a precursor to oil. So, provided the aliens have abundant energy (which they should have if they can travel here, the same raw materials found in fossil fuels are to be found on asteroids and comets and can be processed into whatever they might want fossil fuels for (more likely as chemical feedstocks for manufacturing than as fuel).

      So, aliens looking for chemical resources don't have to touch down on a planet and, unless some very neat advanced technology is actually possible, can extract and process them at lower energy cost from asteroids than from a planet. That leaves some resources that aliens still might want though. Land, for one thing. Even if they can build perfectly good space habitats, it would be understandable, even expected, that some of them would value plain old real-gravity, open sky, planetary land. Then, there's us. They might want to destroy us because we might someday be a threat, or out of plain old xenophobia or racism, or religious zealotry, or to establish a political claim of some kind over local space, etc. They also might want us alive as slaves (not necessarily because they need the labour, but for the cachet), or some kind of serfs, or even as warm bodies in political schemes (for example, to count as part of the population in a proportional representation scheme, like with US slaves in the South, which is what led to that whole 3/5ths a person deal), or to establish some sort of claim on local space, or as religious converts, etc. There are a lot of potential reasons why aliens might want to invade Earth. They're at least as varied as the reasons humans have found to do the same thing over the ages, and might include some options that a human just wouldn't think of.

      All that said, just because there are all these possible reasons aliens might want to attack us, doesn't mean that aliens would want to attack us. If there are technologically advanced aliens out there, we'll just have to wait and see. If there aren't technologically advanced aliens out there, but we manage to start up space travel in earnest, then we just have to give it a few million years and, whether they were bio-engineered by us from ourselves, or other life, or from scratch, or they evolve naturally from same, there will be aliens, some probably technologically advanced.

  7. Is there any reason.... by mark-t · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ... to think that anything in line with typical-strength radio broadcasts (and which were not being specifically directed out towards the stars for an attempt to send an interplanetary signal) from a distant planet would have any chance of being decipherable from background noise if the origin of such a signal were even as near as the closest star?

    1. Re:Is there any reason.... by masternerdguy · · Score: 1

      None at all, the 'radio bubble' is a myth. SETI can at best find directed transmissions, aka other alien SETI programs doing the same thing we are.

      --
      To offset political mods, replace Flamebait with Insightful.
    2. Re:Is there any reason.... by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

      unless this search could detect broadcast type terrestial signals that radio stations use, these studies are not a sure way to discount the idea of ET civilisations on planets, in fact, they do not, as the number of civilisations with TV and Radio broadcasts terrestrially, but have decided its not a good idea to broadcast ridiculously powerful signals that could be heard light years away, is probably very large.

    3. Re:Is there any reason.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I've wondered about this since reading about the difficulties of getting transmissions back from voyager. It's not as powerful as sources on earth, but it's also very close to Earth (compared to any other star).

    4. Re:Is there any reason.... by mark-t · · Score: 1

      It's also highly directed.

    5. Re:Is there any reason.... by MozeeToby · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, we don't do much directed broadcasts so even that is a stretch. Less than a couple dozen directed transmissions so far that would actually be detectable when they reached their destination. Only one of those has reached its destination, and even if there happened to be aliens living there (which seems even less likely given what we've learned about the star since then) we wouldn't have heard a response back yet.

    6. Re:Is there any reason.... by mark-t · · Score: 1

      My point was that even *WE* don't typically broadcast signals of sufficient strength to even be distinguishable from background noise only as far away as the nearest star, much less any further, unless we very specifically intend to. So unless an alien civilization somewhere out there were actively trying to send signals to the stars, we aren't ever going to discover them with SETI. Period.

    7. Re:Is there any reason.... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Does that include signals being beamed to communications satellites? They're fairly tight.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    8. Re:Is there any reason.... by Fred+Ferrigno · · Score: 1

      The tighter they are, the less likely you are to be in the path of the transmission. Plus, the Earth is a moving target, so you might only cross the path of the transmission for an instant... while your antenna is pointed in the wrong direction.

    9. Re:Is there any reason.... by digitalchinky · · Score: 1

      Radar, we pump tons of that in to space using all kinds of transmission techniques and beam shapes. If anything is likely to make the distance that'd be it.

    10. Re:Is there any reason.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should grab a pencil and do the calculations for signal strength over distance.

  8. Encryption? Light? Virtual particles? Stars? by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 2

    And any signal we might detect would have most of its entropy shifted to the main signal block, followed by a little orderly decryption section, which to us, would also look like noise, so running your signal though a zipf analysis probably wouldn't work.

    Frankly, I think the radio thing is a bit silly. The detectable radio interval for any civilization is likely to be quite short. Even we're moving to photonics wherever possible. We'd probably do better looking for light signals, or astronomical star sized objects that look like artifacts, or creating large area Casimir antennas in space capable of detecting wide area, coherent changes to virtual particle activity.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    1. Re:Encryption? Light? Virtual particles? Stars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're not looking for radio leakage from an alien civilization's internal communications. They're looking for deliberate attempts to communicate with us. Radio's perfectly good for that, and such signals would have intentionally low entropy. We've sent out a few ourselves.

    2. Re:Encryption? Light? Virtual particles? Stars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm curious: what is a "Casimir antenna"? A google search turns up nothing.

  9. What more proof do you need? by mcmonkey · · Score: 4, Funny

    That they are cloaking their communications, is not only proof of alien intelligence, but a clear sign of hostile intent.

    We must attack before they do.

    1. Re:What more proof do you need? by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 2

      You first. I'm baking them cookies.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    2. Re:What more proof do you need? by Nehmo · · Score: 1

      OK, how?

      --
      (||) Nehmo (||)
    3. Re:What more proof do you need? by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 2

      Attached: boobies.jpg.exe

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    4. Re:What more proof do you need? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it's pointless to flaunt those ugly udders at me, soft one.

  10. Re:I Predict... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe so, but the agnostics are out in force looking for proof of nothing....

  11. huh: candidate radio signals (less than 5 Hz) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perhaps I'm misreading the article but if the article is referring something like 3db bandwidth in the statement "candidate narrow-band radio signals (less than 5 Hz) between 1-2 GHz" they should mention a few terrestial examples. I can't think of any but I am willing to be educated.

  12. Looking for life back in time by Dishwasha · · Score: 1

    One thing to take in to consideration is which of the 86 stars they pointed at and their distances from us. As long as they stuck to star systems in the Milky Way galaxy, all this really says is that other planet didn't have the capability to transmit radio frequencies up to 75,000 years ago (considerably longer for systems outside our galaxy). Considering we just got the capability only 107 years ago, if any alien race is roughly on par with our origins, speed of evolution, and technology advancement, we won't know if they exist for another several thousand years. That is if they haven't figured out how to break the light barrier and then we figure out how to detect it.

  13. Higher Intelligence = by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    alien forms of MPAA and RIAA. Imagine worlds being destroyed for infringement.

    I for one welcome our restrictive overlords.

  14. wow signal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what about the wow signal? was it the 70s SETI detected a seemingly broadcast like signal, they checked again several years later but found nothing. will Kepler peek around there or maybe SETI will listen again? or is the wow signal considered a scam?

  15. Putting on my tinfoil sci-fi hat... by Panaflex · · Score: 1

    And if they had something better than Radio or Light, then why would they use inefficient slow tech?

    Scientists are discovering physics and material hacks all the time, so the possibility of "instantaneous" communication is growing stronger. University labs are producing some interesting results that seem to skirt along the edges of information theory and quantum theory. It's unlikely, but possible. Check back in a hundred years or so...

    --
    I said no... but I missed and it came out yes.
    1. Re:Putting on my tinfoil sci-fi hat... by DMUTPeregrine · · Score: 1

      And even if they're just using radio if the signals are highly compressed (or encrypted) they'll be indistinguishable from noise. Different noise than the background, but still not data.
      So it's not the interval between a civilization discovering radio and discovering some more advanced technology that matters, it's the interval between the discovery of radio and the discovery of sufficiently advanced compression techniques.

      --
      Not a sentence!
    2. Re:Putting on my tinfoil sci-fi hat... by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      And if they had something better than Radio or Light, then why would they use inefficient slow tech?

      Precisely so we could detect it. If they do have such better tech, then we are probably so far behind them that we're not even worth conquering, let alone being a possible market, or intelligent equal. They could be broadcasting such message specifically to help us up to a higher level or the more efficient tech, ether out of some sense of an "advanced alien's burden", simply getting us to a point they could exploit us, or so we could signal back and they could come knock out the competition. Science FIction is full of such thought experiments as to why something like that might exist such as Verner Vinge's Qeng Ho that broadcast such tech instructions so that they know there is a civilization worth trading with when they get there to Reynold's Inhibitors who lay out traps for intelligent life so they can come kill it.

  16. Pink Floyd SETI: by Hartree · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hello...?
    Is there anybody in there?
    Just nod if you can hear me.
    Is there anyone at home?

  17. Perhaps we're the first by gameboyhippo · · Score: 2

    Dr. Hugh Ross theorizes that we humans are at the earliest possible time intelligent life can exist in the Universe. So regardless on what you think on how we got here, it may not be possible for other intelligent physical life to have existed before us humans. Since reality is only 14.7 billion years old this is a plausible explanation.

    1. Re:Perhaps we're the first by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Dr. Hugh Ross theorizes that we humans are at the earliest possible time intelligent life can exist in the Universe.

      So, how many mass extinctions has Earth suffered?

      I can think of three off the top of my head. We'll ignore the first one, since it paved the way for the lifeforms that were mostly exterminated in the other two events.

      In any case, there's not really a good reason to believe that intelligence couldn't have evolved much sooner sans the Permian extinction, or somewhat sooner (20-50 million years, say) sans the C-T extinction....

      In other words, Dr. Hugh Ross sounds like he's whistling in the dark there....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:Perhaps we're the first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In other words, Dr. Hugh Ross sounds like he's whistling in the dark there....

      Oh come on, when it comes to contemporaneous extra-terrestial sentient life, we all are. Let's be fair here.

      The only distinction among us is that a few of us studied Music.

    3. Re:Perhaps we're the first by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Really? Not even a hundred years earlier?

    4. Re:Perhaps we're the first by foobsr · · Score: 1
      reality is only 14.7 billion years old

      Perhaps.

      Quote: "Instead, plasma cosmology assumes that, because we now see an evolving, changing universe, the universe has always existed and always evolved, and will exist and evolve for an infinite time to come." ( http://www.bigbangneverhappened.org/p13.htm ; )

      That is, we believe (have faith in) the correctness of the most popular current set of theories, though we probably know nothing.

      CC.

      --
      TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
  18. Ugh... by Mike+Frett · · Score: 1

    Those SETI guys have already had two signals that couldn't be explained, the WoW! Signal and another one from the Seti@Home program. Even if they did detect something it would end up the same way as those other two signals did. It would be explained by a shrug of the shoulders and a whisper to a colleague that it must be a signal from earth bouncing off Space junk. SETI is the joke of the Century.

  19. Fact by Charliemopps · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Fact:
    The largest single aperture radio telescope in the world is the Arecibo Observatory.
    It's maximum power output at 2380 MHz is 20 TW
    If a matching radio telescope were placed on a planet orbiting our nearest star Alpha Centauri (4.2 light years away) and broadcast at full power, directly at earth... the signal would be too weak by the time it arrived for Arecibo to detect it.

    We can't even detect our own radio signals with the best equipment we have at interstellar distances. I think it likely that we'll be well out of the radio age by the time we can... The fact that the sky isn't flooded with alien Television stations isn't because there are no aliens, it's because there's a better way to transmit that we haven't figured out yet.

    1. Re:Fact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Fact: The largest single aperture radio telescope in the world is the Arecibo Observatory.

      True

      It's maximum power output at 2380 MHz is 20 TW

      Not quite true. The 20 TW is what it would take to create istropic radiation of equivalent power to the beam, when Arecibo is operating as a radar.
      The actual power transmitted is much less, and the return signal is hemispherically isotropic, which is what limits the radar range.

      If a matching radio telescope were placed on a planet orbiting our nearest star Alpha Centauri (4.2 light years away) and broadcast at full power, directly at earth... the signal would be too weak by the time it arrived for Arecibo to detect it.

      This is complete bullshit.
      Arecibo could talk to a similar capability radio telescope a thousand light years away.
      ( If you put a 20 terawatt transmitter on it you could probably talk to Andromeda if you didn't melt the reflector first.)

    2. Re:Fact by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      But the ping times would be terrible.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  20. Even if we found something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    how long would it take for our answer to reach them? Just curious. If there signal would have taken thousands of years to reach us, I'm not waiting around to hear their reply to our reply. This makes it nothing more than a curiosity and not something that will cure all disease or solve poverty on our planet.

  21. Aliens "block earth". by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're scared to be sued by apple for whatever reason.
    ------------
    (sorry for that bs, it's pretty late here)

  22. Sure will be nice when... by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    Sure will be nice when we figure out what everybody else in the galaxy is using for communicating long distances.

  23. Kirk Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Alien civilizations with the knowledge to travel the stars, may have developed ways of picking up far distant signals in a way that wouldn't force them to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of years to detect.

    They've thus seen Kirk, and have blacklisted our species - they don't want no poo-flinging monkey offshoots bumping human horns with their genteel spacewomen.

  24. I Have To Wonder by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    I wonder whether an "advanced" civilization would even be interested in expending the resources to send out signals in every direction, as mentioned in the article.

    If not, that would explain the "mystery" of lack of contact so far.

  25. Directional? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interstellar alien communication will be subject to the inverse square law. No matter what carrier (photons, neutrinos, ???) they will use a highly directional beam. Even (or especially) advanced civilisations won't waste gigawatts of power just to illuminate the vast voids of the universe.
    So unless we get by luck into a alien signal beam, we won't hear from them anything.

    To start a conversation we should probably direct a high power laser at a nearby star with a planet in the habitable zone. And then wait for an answer in the same spectrum. This also greatly reduces the not so unreal risk of attracting hostile aliens. Because if there were highly advanced hostile aliens in the neigbourhood we would probably know already.

  26. not detectable by stenvar · · Score: 1

    Unless they are deliberately aiming a signal at us, we wouldn't be seeing anything. Even regular analog transmissions are impossible to see at this distance. And modern radio signals (cellular, encrypted, compressed) just look like low level random noise anyway.

  27. Principal Skinner by Trogre · · Score: 1

    "2012: No sighting".

    --
    "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  28. This year .... by PPH · · Score: 1

    ...they'll get that signal. So make your peace now and prepare for the inevitable extermination.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  29. Not surprised... now by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    Not english speaker so was unsure if the headline was about "No transmiting aliens" found or No "transmitting aliens" found. If was the 1st alternative then was wondering how they found them if they didnt transmit anything, maybe a Ringworld, a Klemperer rosette or another non natural formation was detected.

    Maybe should be considered how much power is needed to transmit something to a particular point of the sky, strong enough to hit the entire habitable zone of a solar system with enough power to be detected for whoever is there, if there is something there hearing at the time it reaches.

    Maybe there are out there civilizations so advanced that manage to do that, that went for thousands or millons of years trying to hit us in particular with a strong enough message, so if/when we decide to hear what is coming from there should finally hear them. But the odds of that seem to be pretty low.

  30. We haven't heard them because we can't hear them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Your read that right:

    "The greatest problem is the sheer size of the radio search needed to look for signals (effectively spanning the entire visible universe), the limited amount of resources committed to SETI, and the sensitivity of modern instruments. SETI estimates, for instance, that with a radio telescope as sensitive as the Arecibo Observatory, Earth's television and radio broadcasts would only be detectable at distances up to 0.3 light years.[71] "

    Our best radiotelescope has an effective range of 0.3 LY, unless we're betting on ET to be pointing an entire nuke-plant-powered transmitter directly at Earth. The assumptions underlying SETI are absolutely preposterous and solely an excuse to secure funding for the endeavour. The chance of success with this method is nearly nil.

  31. Those Not Found by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The safe solution until sufficient weaponry is developed to annihilate any and all opposition to conquest.

  32. Non-aggression is a fatal disease. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The non-aggression principle is universal morality, more than likely. Any species that violates it is likely to tear itself to pieces before it builds its first warp drive. Conversely, any species that builds warp drives is much, MUCH more likely to be peaceful.

    I think this is unlikely. Non-aggression tends to make people unable to solve problems. Aggression makes them year for conquest and discipline themselves according. A non-aggressive society will be fat, lazy and most likely to kill us through incompetence.

  33. "THEY" are already here. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "THEY" are already here.

    Watch:

    K-PAX (possession of person/travel via light)
    Starman (love story to cover up cloning of dead man)
    The Last Starfighter (more cloning)
    They Live (more evidence of travel via light)
    V (The original series, a few episodes are enough)

    and others.. There are several related trends running through many movies about alien travel and consumption of human flesh and eating the flesh/bodies of other animals. The recent hard on for Twilight and other movies which depict evil beings as good is more proof of the culture turning towards the dark/evil side.

    Remember to Seek Ye First The Kingdom of God, not alien and conspiracy crap in movies and on websites. once you know, you know. place your trust in Yahweh, through Christ Jesus, by the Power of The Holy Spirit.

    Examine:

    The cover of Dark Side of The Moon
    (it is another example of travel via light and evil spiritual transformation through the occult symbol of the triangle)

    There is much more out there, obviously.

    If I had to guess, the SETI number cruncher program (which is proprietary still? I don't remember.) could have an entirely different purpose and function.

  34. Non-Transmitting Aliens Detected by darkHanzz · · Score: 1

    In other news:
    Non-Transmitting Aliens Detected In Kepler SETI Search were detected, but hey, that was not the goal of the project.

  35. Draw a circle the size of a plate by giorgist · · Score: 1

    Draw a circle the size of a plate, then take your pen and put a dot near the rim but not too close. Say an inch. That is the extent our radio signals have traveled if our galaxy was to be shrunk to the size of a soup pate. Give it time, it takes about 100,000 years for our signal to get to the other side of our milky way alone. By then we would have discovered warp drive and we would have sent giant vacuum cleaners to suck up our radio signals :-) G

  36. seti only looks for specific frequencies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It doesn't matter if it's directed if you're only looking for the frequency of hydrogen. it's like driving around a car with the frequency knob set to one frequency and then complaining that there's no radio stations.

  37. 4d + underground by Rigodi · · Score: 1

    first space is not 3d but 4d, chance that two civilizations with electro-magnetic communication systems collide in space-time is somehow very thin.
    +
    frame of air full communication with electro-magnetic signal, according to our own history, is itself very short. what we see for us is : 1950's, start of massive air broadcast, 2010's communications go underground with fiber optics and wired networks. air broadcasting is already diminishing, ask tower companies about their business models today...

    so finding this alien needle in a haystack might be just waste of time & ressources no ?

  38. Sky Pirates by zixxt · · Score: 1

    "the SETI team can now place important limits on the likelihood of finding a sufficiently advanced alien race in the Milky Way. Generating a powerful radio signal requires a lot of energy, so the team point out that they will most likely detect a civilization capable of generating an isotropic signal (i.e. a radio transmission that is emitted in all directions). This would require the civilization to harness the total power output of their host star, making them a Kardashev type II civilization."

    Okaayyyy.... but the religionists are full of blind faith and wishful thinking. Ah. Got it. Yup."

    So true keep believing in your sky pirates.

    --
    ---- GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
  39. Or they might have figurated it is useless by aepervius · · Score: 1

    Distance between stars, round trip, and power of the signal you have to send to a particular planet, point of time in civilisation development.... So many obstacle as to make communication improbable and a waste of time and resource (remember we are only *hearing* , *sending* is much much more costly especially when you do not know where you have to send to and how far, we have only 2* a few minutes signal we sent which went further away than a few light years 8back in the 70) all other radio/radar/tv they are all gone into noise latest by 1 light year many much nearer than that).

    In other word the "aliens" might have already figurated that it is useless to try to spend energy on the off chance somebody might hear.


    And frankly even if all alien are bad bad evil carnivorous paranoid invader whatever , what do you think they will do if they detect a civilisation 10000 light years away ? Come and invade ? pffft. Unless you come up with fantasy FTl drive it will be at best 10000 years trip and more probably a few millions years. *shrug*.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  40. Nope none by aepervius · · Score: 1

    Inverse square law is a bitch. Even us we only sent 2 signals which had a chance to go beyond our solar system. Nothing else we sent would be heard beyond 1 light year.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  41. compression, spread spectrum by anwyn · · Score: 1
    The more a signal is compressed, the more it looks like random noise. The only way you know the difference between a signal and random noise is redundancies. But redundancies represent an opportunity to save power and bandwidth, by adding compression.

    The typical alien civilization has had hundreds of thousands of years to work out compression algorithms.

    On top of this, spread spectrum might be used.

    So what makes anyone think that SETI or anyone else would be capable of recognizing an alien signal if they saw one?

    The fact that people are trying to draw conclusions from this failure, is a sign only of colossal human arrogance.

  42. Great by vandamme · · Score: 1

    Now can we get back to solving our problems?