Slashdot Mirror


Study Suggests Generating Capacity of Wind Farms At Large Scales Overestimated

First time accepted submitter AchilleTalon writes "Research by Harvard professor David Keith suggests that the global capacity for energy generation from wind power has been overestimated, and that geophysical / climate effects of turbines will reduce the benefits of large-scale power installations. 'People have often thought there's no upper bound for wind power—that it's one of the most scalable power sources," he says. After all, gusts and breezes don't seem likely to 'run out' on a global scale in the way oil wells might run dry. Yet the latest research suggests that the generating capacity has been overestimated."

9 of 209 comments (clear)

  1. Ah, Let's Read the Whole Article, Shall We? by eldavojohn · · Score: 3, Insightful

    'People have often thought there's no upper bound for wind power—that it's one of the most scalable power sources," he says.

    What?! I've been lied to! My father poured foundations for windmills in my hometown and I've been going around saying that they're a great resource for us to have and boy do I feel like I've been duped! Let's read this whole news article and find out all the other lies I've been spouting!

    "Wind power is in a middle ground," he says. "It is still one of the most scalable renewables, but our research suggests that we will need to pay attention to its limits and climatic impacts if we try to scale it beyond a few terawatts."

    Okay so you write that as your last sentence in the entire article? Crawl in a hole and die. Please. Whoever wrote this news article and summary, please go die. I'm sure the professor's research is sound but the way this press release of it was laid out painted wind as a mythical source of energy so please just do us all a favor and die.

    So a few terawatts is what, like 7% of our total energy needs? Okay, let's scale it up to there and then we'll have empirical evidence to support how far we should go.

    I don't think anyone suggested we blanket the Earth in windmills or even that wind is the basket into which all of our apples should go but, looking at the high wind areas next to metropolises, you have to admit there's some low hanging fruit out there, yeah?

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Ah, Let's Read the Whole Article, Shall We? by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Windmills don't kill anywhere near as many birds annually as cats or plate-glass windows do, and I don't see anyone moving to get rid of those...

  2. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by Eightbitgnosis · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Attempting to Build a nuclear plant has large upfront costs, takes 20 years, and often results in a half-way cancelled project. By the time a plant could be built, and become operational, other forms of energy such as solar will have since grown cheaper than the cost electricity from the new nuclear plant

  3. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    our research suggests that we will need to pay attention to its limits and climatic impacts if we try to scale it beyond a few terawatts."

    OK then, no problem, since all US production is 1.1TW. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_the_United_States

    Jesus Christ, it's one of those trust-fund dreadlocked naive unrealistic shouting asshole hippies that crazyjj warned us about! (all actual words he just used to describe his opponents whom he has no proof exist)

  4. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by Hatta · · Score: 5, Insightful

    the naive hippies and their allies who will not brook even the mildest criticism of their unrealistic dreams of a world where everything is powered by wind and solar alone

    What about the naive businessmen and their allies who will not brook even the mildest criticism of their unrealistic dreams of a world where everything is powered by fossil fuels forever?

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  5. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by dyingtolive · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not forever. Just through next quarter's results. Some fucking dweeb down in the R&D closet in the cellar will figure it out by then, no doubt.

    --
    Support the EFF and Creative Commons. The war is coming, and they're supporting you...
  6. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by mark-t · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You cannot take energy of of the air without having any impact on weather or climate patterns.

    Sure... just like you can't use Niagra Falls to run turbines without having a major effect on the.... oh, no... wait.

    You see, although you're technically right... you can't take energy out of a system without affecting it, the scale at which we could ever even *HOPE* to usefully harness power from such a system compared to the scale of actual net power available in the whole system is naught but insignificant. To be fair you might appear to some very local effects on things like temperature, wind direction, etc, but then so do things like towns or cities with any large or particularly tall buildings. Ultimately, most of the phenomena that has any real impact on climate in our atmosphere happens at *FAR* higher altitudes than any wind farm blades will reach.

  7. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by Ichijo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The renewables (solar, wind) have fundamental reliability issues. They require an energy storage system...

    False. If you'll recall from Econ 101, adding supply isn't the only way to eliminate a shortage.

    It's unfortunate for our economy that so few people understand Supply and Demand.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
  8. Re:Cue the "Keith's owned by big oil!!" accusation by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We can't affect the climate by directly tapping energy from wind (or tides, or geothermal) - the scales are so vastly different that we wouldn't even be a blip on the radar.

    We can affect the climate by polluting the atmosphere, though. The reason why it works is that, although the quantities we put out there are still minuscule compared to the size of the atmosphere as a whole, they stay there and accumulate - and it's that aggregated effect over decades of pollution that starts showing up, and even then quite slowly. It actually wouldn't matter even then, if it did not induce a number of positive feedback loops (water vapor increase, shrinking ice caps resulting in albedo change, methane released from permafrost and ocean clathrates, airborne fraction of CO2 increasing due to oceans warming) that magnify the initial small effect.