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How the U.S. Sequester Will Hurt Science and Tech

Later today, the U.S. government will enter the sequestration process, a series of across-the-board budget cuts put into place automatically because U.S. politicians are bad at agreeing on things. "At that moment, somewhere in the bowels of the Treasury Department, officials will take offline the computers that process payments for school construction and clean energy bonds to reprogram them for reduced rates. Payments will be delayed while they are made manually for the next six weeks." The cuts will directly affect science- and tech-related spending throughout the country. Tom Levenson writes, '[s]equester cuts will strike bluntly across the scientific community. The illustrious can move a bit of money around, but even in large labs, a predictable result will be a reduction in the number of graduate student and post – doc slots available — and as those junior and early-stage researchers do a whole lot of the at-the-bench level research, such cuts will have an immediate effect on research productivity. The longer term risk is obvious too: fewer students and post-docs mean on an ongoing drop from baseline in the amount of work to be done year over year.' The former director of the National Institute of Health says it will set back medical science for a generation. NASA Administrator Charles Bolden has laid out how the cuts will affect the U.S. space program. He said, "The Congress wasn’t able to do what they were supposed to do, so we’re going to suffer." The sequester will also prevent billions of dollars from flowing into the tech industry. This comes at a time when there's a pressing need in the tech sector for professionals versed in the use of Linux, and salaries for those workers are on the rise.

33 of 522 comments (clear)

  1. And Yet... by medcalf · · Score: 4, Insightful
    There isn't a single Federal department that will not spend more money this year even with the sequester than they spent last year. The $85B in cuts from the sequester is somehow magical: the whole government — every basic function — apparently falls apart without this sliver of money (in a $3.6T overall spending plan), again noting that they will still spend more money than last year, even with the sequester. Amazing, really.

    Wait! You don't think.... No! Surely politicians wouldn't play games with government services for political gain? Say it isn't so!

    --
    -- Two men say they're Jesus. One of them must be wrong. - Dire Straits
    1. Re:And Yet... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      NIH budget in 2011: $30.9 billion
      NIH budget in 2012: $31.9 billion
      NIH budget requested for 2013: $30.8 billion
      NIH cuts from the sequester: $1.6 billion
      NIH budget after sequester (assuming 2012 levels continued): $30.3 billion (which LESS THAN 2011)

      Accounting for 2% inflation, the real NIH budget after sequestration in 2011 dollars: $29.1 billion

      It's called math, and you are wrong.

    2. Re:And Yet... by Jhon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "I think you're missing the fact that the sequester isn't x% off the total budget. It's x% off of almost every item in the budget.
      How long is your landlord going to accept 95% of your rent bill?
      How long are your pets going to eat 95% of their regular diet?
      How long are you going to spend 95% of the maintanence required for your car?"

      Wrong questions to ask. The correct questions to ask are:

      Since you spend more than you make:

      How long can you pay your rent using your credit cards?
      How long can you buy pet food before your credit runs out?
      How long can you maintain your before your credit runs out?

      An even BETTER question to ask is:

      "Why the hell are you spending so much more than you make????"

    3. Re:And Yet... by msauve · · Score: 4, Funny

      "set back medical science for a generation".

      He's counting fruit fly generations, obviously.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    4. Re:And Yet... by guspasho · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Republicans. Seriously, are we this short-sighted? When Clinton was president the budget deficit was a big deal too. Then what did Clinton do? He fucking balanced the budget. We could have started paying down the debt then and there. Gore ran on a platform of doing just that. Bush ran on a platform of trillion-dollar tax cuts, increased spending, and wars in the middle east. Guess who people voted for, and guess who ran up the bill? And why was this never an issue when Bush was in office, running up the debt? Because as Cheney said, "Deficits don't matter." At least not when Republicans are running the place and they get to set their own agenda. But if a Democrat gets in office, they will do everything they can to derail their mandate by screaming about deficits, even though it's the least important issue and completely counterproductive.

      Don't blame Democrats, this is 100% a Republican-created crisis. Republicans are as fiscally-irresponsible as they come.

  2. And still... by msauve · · Score: 5, Informative

    the federal government will spend $14,000,000,000 more this year than last, even with these "cuts."

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  3. A generation? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A less than 3% cut in funding is going to set medical science back a generation? By that logic, if we were to increase funding by 3% (as we have more than done) we should have seen a generation's worth of progress. So where are my medical tricorders?

    Methinks somebody is fearmongering. I'll be the first to say cutting research funding is a dumb idea, but is it too much to ask that the former head of the NIH assess the situation based on the facts and not Chicken Little "the sky is falling" theater?

  4. Bullshit by Weezul · · Score: 5, Informative

    Colin Macilwain. Science should be ready to jump off ‘the cliff’. Nature 491, 639 (29 November 2012) doi:10.1038/491639a

    These aren't real scientists asking that government money stick around, but lobbyists for companies that feed upon science funding. Scientists love more government money of course, but many scientists understand that far must be cut, especially in military spending.

    Sequestration merely provides an opportunity to re-evaluate what is important. Our question should be : Do we decide "important" by consulting lobbyists or by looking at the work that gets done.

    --
    The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
    1. Re:BULLSHIT by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 4, Informative

      It isn't a 5% budget cut. 85 billion is more like 9%.

      Add in the fact that some 66% of the budget is untouched SS, Medicare and debt payments it is in fact about a 25% cut on the rest of the budget.

      That's a pretty decent whack.

    2. Re:BULLSHIT by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You know it's possible to dislike both Bush and Obama, right?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  5. Good old American bait and switch by Dunbal · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It was "the government shutdown" a few years ago. And all sorts of people got on their soap box and blamed everyone else for it. Now it's called something else, the "sequester". And again let's point fingers and blame. However none of that has to do with the real problem - the US is spending more money than it takes in, spending more money than it can print, even, and has been doing this for YEARS. They scream at the federal banks to keep interest rates near zero to "stimulate the economy" meaning that everyone must bear the cost of the devaluation including those smart enough to put their money to work, and then they wonder why all the wealth is leaving the US dollar.

    The US will be buried under its Keynesian nightmare. I just hope it doesn't take the whole world with it.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re:Good old American bait and switch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The US is fighting an economic war with the rest of the world, and it is winning. We are essentially pushing for a global economy, but doing it by crashing every other country's economy. We can do this because the US is the largest economy, the US Dollar was accepted very broadly, still is (for now) the reserve currency, and has moderately retained its value in comparison to other countries. Despite all the money the US has printed through the recession (2-3 Trillion, note this is not the same thing as the US deficit or debt), it is not really a huge percentage of the real total US money supply (the US stopped releasing their numbers a few decades ago, but everyone estimates them). The estimated real total US money supply is ~70 Trillion, so 3 Trillion is only a 4% increase over 4 years. Even with the US debt of 16 Trillion, it could print all that money and repay every last borrowed cent and only devalue the currency by ~20 percent. Of course it won't do this because all that debt keeps other countries very dependent upon the US and the US economy. That debt gives the US a big stick in negotiations, though nowhere near as big as the US Military's stick.

      Make no mistake, the US is aiming for global economic domination.

  6. Re:Total BS by ultracompetent · · Score: 5, Interesting

    In total agreement. Anyone can shave 1 to 2 percent of a budget .. In fact as you so rightly point out, we all were asked to do this in 2013. The thing that gets me is how Obama got away with raising a regressive tax like the payroll tax and didn't get slaughtered in the media for raising taxes on the poor and middle class.

  7. Re:House Republicans by JayBean · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm sorry, but if a 2% cut to expenditure is crippling, then the system deserves to fail.

    Know what a government with 2% less money looks like? Take a look at the budget from 2010. That's what it looks like.
    I know, using the 2010 budget for 2013. Complete madness!

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget#Total_outlays_in_recent_budget_submissions

    If you are really brave, take a look at the budget from 2001 (Clinton). 1.9 trillion.

  8. Re:Total BS by Weezul · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Just fyi, the scientist whose budgets are being cut agree with you. We cannot adequately fund science, education, and social services while gratuitously financing gratuitous military spending and asinine wars on drugs, brown people, etc.

    We should first cut it all by 10% per year for a few years, make all those federal contractors show declining profits despite their lobbyists efforts. We should then evaluate which government financed industries tightened their belts but still did the work and which just pocketed the same amount while cutting real work. Any industries in the second category should continue getting cut.

    --
    The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
  9. Re:House Republicans by medcalf · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I know, I shouldn't feed the trolls. But I do have to note that the Republican-controlled House has been passing budgets while the Dem-controlled Senate has not, which is why we've been running on continuing resolutions (and thus running up $1T per year in new debt). I also have to note that the Republican-controlled House has pushed through at least three bills to avoid the sequester, but the Dem-controlled Senate has killed all of them. I also have to note that the President and the Dem-controlled Senate have not put forward any plan except vague notions of raising more taxes on "the rich," which is their answer to every question, apparently, including "Where shall we have lunch." Moreover, I have to note that the President has threatened to veto all of the ways the Republicans have proposed to avoid the sequester. Which I must finally note was in fact the President's idea as a lever to get the Republicans in the House to agree to tax increases, not the last time that taxes were raised, but the time before that.

    I don't trust the Republicans in government further than I can comfortably spit a rat, but take off your partisan blinders for a moment and look around. The world is both weirder and more wonderful than your blinkered view will allow in.

    --
    -- Two men say they're Jesus. One of them must be wrong. - Dire Straits
  10. Re:Total BS by sycodon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And it's not even a real cut. It's merely a reduction to the increase.

    Baseline Budgeting ensures that ALL budgets increase by a certain percentage every year automatically. This is the elephant in the room when it comes to discussing the budget. The dollar value of the increases will get bigger and bigger as each subsequent increase is a percentage of large budget.

    So when you hear people whining about a 2% cut, the are actually whining that they won't get the usual X% increase.

    Baseline Budgeting needs to be killed...with fire if possible.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  11. Re:Total BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Oh, that's easy. Because first he lowered it at the start of 2011, to rob Social Security of its only source of funding and buy votes in the 2012 election, and then he let the cut lapse.

    The "sequester cuts" are so shallow that all they do is decrease the amount by which spending is increasing this year. This year's spending is still higher than last year's, even after the "cuts."

    Obama's biggest fear is that we'll see that everything is just fine without that 1%, and then maybe we'll start demanding more decreases.

  12. Re:Total BS by pla · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Your payroll tax increased 2% on Jan 1, if you work.

    Key point there, if you work. Guess how those mysteriously unaffected by the payroll tax increase tend to vote?

    Follow the money.


    / Not a Republican.

  13. Re:A bunch of FUD .... seriously ..... by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Informative

    $13 TRILLION dollars a year in deficit spending

    Not even remotely close to accurate. It spends approximately $3.8 trillion in total this year, and of that about $900 billion was originally going to be borrowed.

    It's great to try to ensure all Americans have healthcare options available to them. But nobody has really tried, yet, to do anything about the massive (and constantly rising) COSTS of healthcare, which SOMEBODY gets the bill for, whether it's an uninsured individual or the insurance company covering that individual by govt. mandate.

    Actually, RomneyObamaCare (I call it that because Obama basically took Mitt Romney's plan in Massachusetts and made it national) has various attempts to do just that, to curb the growth in medical costs, most notably in reducing spending on unnecessary procedures. It's unclear if they'll work, but we haven't even had a chance to find out yet.

    The approach that was dismissed as unrealistically liberal, Medicare for All, did in fact mean that everyone would have had the benefit of Medicare's tough negotiating. It was a non-starter because the insurance companies, pharmaceutical companies, and hospitals all opposed that.

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  14. Re:Total BS by LDAPMAN · · Score: 4, Insightful

    GOOD!! If the program needs to maintain or increase then our representatives need to actively decide to increase funding. Funding should NOT be automatic.

  15. Re:Total BS by cayenne8 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    That's what gets me.

    When I started looking a bit more closely at this, it isn't a cut at all. It is like you said...only a reduction in spending.

    Even with sequestration, we're on schedule to spend more this year than last year, just what we need.

    Obama got his tax increase....we all saw it in our paychecks in January. Why can't they start cutting...but in an INTELLIGENT manner?

    *SIGH*, you know...we really need to just stop...sweep EVERYONE out of Washington, no one in office can come back to it, and start over. Maybe then we'd have a chance going forward for a bit without all the crap that is currently entrenched in DC.

    Just start over with a whole new crowd with no one having seniority, no power clicks...etc. It is too bad that there was no periodic "clean the house" type provision in the Constitution where every few decades...whoosh, everyone there is out and must be replaced.

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  16. Re:House Republicans by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Informative

    You mean the House Republicans who passed not one but two bills as alternatives to replace sequestration

    Republicans passed those bills in the 112th Congressional session.
    Which means those bills are dead right now, since we're in the 113th session.
    They'd need to be resubmitted and brought back for a vote if Republicans were serious about putting them into play.

    *Here's a summary of the Democratic proposal from Feb 14th which the Republican House leadership has refused to allow a vote on.
    And the full text of the bill HR 699: http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/113/hr699/text

    The real problem is that Republicans think that cutting spending is the only way to fix the budget,
    despite the fact that taxes are at historic lows and austerity is actually a really shitty idea (see: europe).

    *skip down to the last section if you don't want to read a bunch of political posturing

    --
    [Fuck Beta]
    o0t!
  17. Re:Total BS by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The thing that gets me is how Obama got away with raising a regressive tax like the payroll tax and didn't get slaughtered in the media for raising taxes on the poor and middle class.

    Nice revisionist history there. The temporary payroll tax reduction act was allowed to expire by the dysfunctional house of representatives. They used it as a bargaining chip in their attempt to renew the temporary tax relief package that directly benefits the top 1% of income earners. Of course hypocrisy surfaced after the "fiscal conservatives" used the need to reduce the budget deficit as an excuse for letting this tax reduction expire even though these same individuals are still actively pushing to make their own temporary tax relief act permanent.

    I single out one lobbyist in particular - Grover Norquist. True to form, he actually argued that the expiration of the payroll relief bill was NOT a tax increase, whereas the expiration of the Bush tax cut for the wealthy is undeniably a tax increase.

    It takes some balls to place blame on solely Obama for increasing the payroll tax despite the fact that there are overwhelming amount of written and recorded documentation that shows it was the opposition at fault.

    --
    These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
  18. Re:House Republicans by thoth · · Score: 4, Informative

    But I do have to note that the Republican-controlled House has been passing budgets while the Dem-controlled Senate has not, which is why we've been running on continuing resolutions (and thus running up $1T per year in new debt).

    Those "budgets" gutted various provisions of the ACA, which Republicans are ideologically opposed to. That, and the for-profit medical industry has their collective dicks in various congressional asses.

    Basically, those budgets aren't really in good faith, cutting services (you know, services for the citizens that the taxes are ultimately drawn from) instead of drawing more revenue from places like the wealthy and wall-street (the biggest fraud perpetrators in the history of the world).

    I have to note that the President has threatened to veto all of the ways the Republicans have proposed to avoid the sequester

    Yes, because they are all total BS. I could also counter-note your note and observe the Republicans have failed to budge from their stance against taxing the wealthy. We're at loggerheads and while both sides are responsible, raising taxes on the wealthy was a specific platform of Obama's re-election and thus I would argue the Republicans are thwarting the will of the electorate in this matter.

  19. Sequestration is like weight loss by idontgno · · Score: 4, Funny

    Percentage-wise, we're shaving off about 8%:

    Broadly speaking, for 2013 the across-the-board cuts will mean about an 8.4 percent cut in most affected non-defense discretionary programs, a 7.5 percent cut in affected defense programs, an 8.0 percent cut in affected mandatory programs other than Medicare, and a 2.0 percent cut in Medicare provider payments.

    By an eerie coincidence, you can lose 8% of your body weight by decapitating yourself:

    An adult human cadaver head cut off around vertebra C3, with no hair, weighs on average somewhere between 4.5 and 5 kg, typically constituting around 8% of the body mass.

    --
    Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
  20. Re:Total BS by ahabswhale · · Score: 4, Insightful

    rebuttal: the tax cut would have expired regardless of whether he signed that bill.

    --
    Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
  21. Misinformation on baseline budgeting by DragonWriter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And it's not even a real cut. It's merely a reduction to the increase.

    It is, in fact, a real cut to the currently-appropriated spending and the current spending rate. While it is often the case that reductions in projected increases are sold as "cuts" in government budgets, this is not one of the cases.

    Baseline Budgeting ensures that ALL budgets increase by a certain percentage every year automatically.

    The sequester has nothing to do with baseline budgeting, it has to do with cuts to funds that are already appropriated for the current period.

    Also, nothing in the federal budget happens automatically. If an appropriation isn't passed for each year, there are no funds, period, full stop. Baseline budgeting has to do with how budget proposals are drafted and presented, it doesn't mean that if no legislative action is taken an appropriation automatically remains in effect indefinitely.

  22. Re:Total BS by DragonWriter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Which is why he has to make the cut hurt. Instead of minimizing waste (reducing travel budgets, etc.) he's going to cut positions with that 1% ...

    Actually, the sequester mechanism, when it was passed by Congress and signed by the President as part of a short-term funding agreement was designed by both sides to be painful because both sides wanted it that way so that it would be a disincentive to the other side to refuse to compromise on an actual budget agreement that would deal with specifics of addressing budget priorities going forward.

    In a sense, it was a version of mutually-assured destruction that went into effect if bilateral action wasn't taken to avert it.

    The problem with this is MAD may work when you have to take an active step to trigger it, it doesn't work as well when you have to have to jointly avoid it, because its easy to convince yourself that the other side will back down if you wait a little longer, so you don't have to compromise.

  23. Re:Total BS by fustakrakich · · Score: 4, Funny

    Follow the money.

    Woo Hoo! Cayman Islands, here I come!

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  24. Re:House Republicans by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Yes, because [the Republican plans to avoid sequester] are all total BS.

    I don't think that's true. There was one suggestion to allow the president to make the choice of what to cut. With such a small cut, it should be easy to find things that won't cause huge damage. Obama threatened to veto it, because of pork-spending, jobs, defense, and kids. Think of the kids.

    It's not clear to me the real reason why he opposes that bill.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  25. Re:Total BS by Jason+Levine · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In addition, both sides can try to spin the situation as "We tried our best to avoid this but THE_OTHER_POLITICAL_PARTY wouldn't seriously negotiate with us. It's all the fault of THE_OTHER_POLITICAL_PARTY."

    --
    My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
  26. Re:Funding isn't automatic now by Insightfill · · Score: 4, Informative

    The Democrats are using the excuse that unless they have a filibuster-proof majority, then they can't even think about passing a budget.

    A recent judicial nomination, by two Republican senators, had been blocked and sat for 263 days, only to pass 93-0. While not technically a "filibuster", neither was the Hagel delay (wink, wink). We just also confirmed a judge after 300 days, and another guy's been waiting over 330.

    When it comes to Senate filibusters, we are no longer playing with rational actors.