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Fukushima Nuclear Plant Cleanup May Take More Than 40 Years

mdsolar writes "'A U.N. nuclear watchdog team said Japan may need longer than the projected 40 years to decommission the Fukushima power plant and urged Tepco to improve stability at the facility. The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency team, Juan Carlos Lentijo, said Monday that damage at the nuclear plant is so complex that it is impossible to predict how long the cleanup may last.' Meanwhile, Gregory B. Jaczko, former Chair of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has said that all 104 nuclear power reactors now in operation in the United States have a safety problem that cannot be fixed and they should be replaced with newer technology."

218 comments

  1. Points at Fukushima Nuclear Plant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hideki!

    1. Re:Points at Fukushima Nuclear Plant by flimflammer · · Score: 2

      No, Chii. That's the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant.

  2. Ex-regulator, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Why didn't he do anything when he had the chance?

    1. Re:Ex-regulator, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      he wasn't paid to pay attention until he was ex

    2. Re:Ex-regulator, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He was nailed to the perch.

  3. Cheap at half the price! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Land uninhabitable for generations, 40+ years cleanup, trillions in compensation - yeah, I'd say it all went fairly well!

    1. Re:Cheap at half the price! by ackthpt · · Score: 2

      Land uninhabitable for generations, 40+ years cleanup, trillions in compensation - yeah, I'd say it all went fairly well!

      Maybe the could us it as a setting and roll out another Matt Groening show, call it Fukurama

      i'd watch it

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    2. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We'll finally get to see where Leela's ancestors grew up, before moving to the big city :)

    3. Re:Cheap at half the price! by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Funny

      Land uninhabitable for generations, 40+ years cleanup, trillions in compensation - yeah, I'd say it all went fairly well!

      Luckily, there is a solution! When our man Larry Summers was chief economist at the World Bank, he did a little writing...

      In this case, we can't really export the pollution(gathering the radioactive particles simply isn't plausible or cost effective); but we can import the population! Other than the carcinogenic fallout, it's a nice piece of real estate. Plenty of people live in places that are much ghastlier, even without fallout. All we have to do is find the wealthiest tenants who still live in a place with higher mortality(eg. from tropical parasites or malnutrition from marginally arable land) and offer them an attractively priced 50 year lease. The new occupants overall mortality goes down slightly, Japan makes some money back, and everyone basks in the warm glow of the human spirit, and gamma radiation.

      How could this possibly be a bad plan?

    4. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      Retirement homes; what are the old of developing cancer in 20 years when you are already 80?

    5. Re:Cheap at half the price! by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      That actually did figure into common cold war protocols for dealing with contaminated food and water sources: prioritize less-contaminated ones for the young(both because they are of greater economic use, and because they have more time to accrue chronic radiation damage) and leave the more contaminated stuff to the old people...

      Plus, an excellent reason not to take the kids to visit that old relative you never liked much anyway!

    6. Re:Cheap at half the price! by ackthpt · · Score: 1

      We'll finally get to see where Leela's ancestors grew up, before moving to the big city :)

      And the natural owner of the new Fukurama II nuclear plant would be Monty Burns-san!

      hai! ehhhxcellent

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    7. Re:Cheap at half the price! by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 1
      Top uses:
      • cancer treatment -- cheap radiation treatments
      • food irradiation center
      • radiology center -- x-ray you while you're walking through. Gamma rays free of charge. Drink the water if you want a PET scan.
      • urology center -- cheaper than a vasectomy

      You get the idea.

    8. Re:Cheap at half the price! by BitZtream · · Score: 0

      Thats because you, like the article and those who buy into this sort of ignorance are ... to put it bluntly ... paranoid idiots too stupid to bother to make yourself aware of any actual information about the aftermath such an event.

      Let me give you a hint ... Fukushima wasn't even a little bit scary compared to a certain little Russian event ... you know, the worst known to man ... you know, the one that is pretty much safe to live at and has been for a while ... which is far less than 40 years ... Or perhaps the actual blast zones from detonation ...

      So basically, actual real world experience tells us 40 years is far longer than is actually required for 'safety' once you pull your head out of your ass and base your world view on actual science.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    9. Re:Cheap at half the price! by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 2

      Fukushima, in short, has cesium contamination like Chernobyl (because cesium is volatile at low temperatures) but basically none of the heavy isotope contamination. So we can fast forward about 20 years on the recovery (virtually the entire open-air dose rate near Chernobyl is now Cesium decay). So while the radiation levels at Chernobyl have decreased from lethal to sorta-dangerous relatively quickly, it will still be another 120 years or so until they go from sorta-dangerous to pretty-much-not-dangerous.

      Personally, I'd guess that around 2040 (one more Cs half-life) enough of the radiation from both Chernobyl and Fukushima will be gone, either truly due to decay or apparently by diffusing into the ground away from the surface, that there will be significant human return to much of the exclusion zones, although monitoring will have to be ongoing for a long time.

    10. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Personally, I'd guess that around 2040 (one more Cs half-life) enough of the radiation from both Chernobyl and Fukushima will be gone, either truly due to decay or apparently by diffusing into the ground away from the surface, that there will be significant human return to much of the exclusion zones, although monitoring will have to be ongoing for a long time.

      Well, there is this thing with natural laws and the source of radiation.
      You can have a long decay time or high radiation but not both.
      The whole "being inhabitable for hundreds of thousands of years" means that you have extremely large amounts of something that is stable enough to be safe to handle.

    11. Re:Cheap at half the price! by hairyfeet · · Score: 2

      Hit by a fricking wall of water several times larger than anybody had ever planned for and if it weren't for the fact that they put the generators in the basement there is a good chance it wouldn't have had an accident at all?

      Yeah I'd call that pretty damned good, especially when our choices are that or burning fossil fuels..no renewables will NOT cut it, even the most pie in the sky estimates won't give us even 30% of the energy we are using NOW, much less give us jack shit for growth.

      Does that mean we shouldn't build safer nuclear plants? Or sink money into R&D on renewables? Of course not, in fact I think we should be sinking more money into both instead of blowing cash playing the world's policeman, but you have to face reality and the reality is unless you are gonna wipe out a good 70% of the population on planet earth you are gonna need power and so far we haven't come up with anything that fills that need as good as nuclear.

      Of course that is ignoring the fact that the USA has been crippled by the NIMBYs, you name it they cockblock it, in fact China will have a couple of dozen plants built before we can even get a single one built thanks to the NIMBYs. You name the source NIMBYs will find a reason to bitch, nuclear? "It'll make us glow in the dark ZOMG!" hydro? "ZOMG you'll kill teh fishes!" wind? "ZOMG its noisy and you'll kill teh birds!" and so on and so on. This is why I actually enjoyed watching California suffer their "energy crisis" and get buttraped by Enron because they have more NIMBYs per square mile than any place on the planet. I mean where do the NIMBYs think all that power they are blowing on their little laptops and AC units is gonna come from if they don't allow any plants to be built? Its just gonna be dropped by the power fairy?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    12. Re:Cheap at half the price! by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The whole "being inhabitable for hundreds of thousands of years" means that you have extremely large amounts of something that is stable enough to be safe to handle.

      It depends a lot on the contaminant. Something like tritium is a problem, for example, because it has a relatively short half life, but it will bond to oxygen and form water and if you drink it then it can cause serious problems. Radon gas is also a problem (present in a lot of places with granite) because it is heavier than air and so accumulates in any enclosed space: if you breathe it in then it is quite dangerous.

      There's also the problem that a lot of the byproducts of a nuclear reactor are only mildly radioactive, but highly toxic for other reasons. The low decay rate means that they remain toxic chemicals for a long time. On the other hand, this isn't too different from any other chemical plant if there's an accident.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    13. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Land uninhabitable for generations, 40+ years cleanup, trillions in compensation - yeah, I'd say it all went fairly well!"

      Not to mention that all the radioactive waste has to be guarded for thousands of generations.

    14. Re:Cheap at half the price! by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "So basically, actual real world experience tells us 40 years is far longer than is actually required for 'safety' once you pull your head out of your ass and base your world view on actual science."

      So you bought some real-estate real cheap there for your retirement?

    15. Re: Cheap at half the price! by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Yes and no. It's true that isotopes with longer half lives are less radioactive in a prompt sense, but it also matters what the type of decay is and what it decays into.

      If you have something that undergoes fission slowly, but gives off gamma radiation and splits into a chain of very nasty stuff that has half-life measured in minutes, you've got a problem.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    16. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the case of Cs and Fukushima, you might be right. In the case of Chernobyl, I'm not so sure. Unlike Fukushima, which didn't release much, there was quite a bit of Sr-90 released at Chernobyl, and Sr-90 is bioaccumulative (i.e. gets concentrated by biological systems -- it behaves like calcium). That makes Sr-90 a lot more dangerous to biological systems and it will remain so for a lot longer if at a given concentration in the environment, even though its half-life is slightly less than Cs-137 (~29 years versus ~30 years).

    17. Re:Cheap at half the price! by RevDisk · · Score: 1

      Not really. Anything that is very dangerous in a radiological sense has a short half life. Anything with a half life in the millions of years is not highly radioactive. Plus, a lot of nuclear waste could be reprocessed. We just choose not to.

      There are valid concerns with the above points. Heavy metal poisoning can kill you as easily as radiation. Reprocessing nuclear waste has its own issues. But nothing is perfect. Solar tends to kill more people from falls during installation than nuclear does overall.

    18. Re:Cheap at half the price! by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      Hit by a fricking wall of water several times larger than anybody had ever planned for

      We knew tsunamis could be that large. The plant owners were told the wall was not adequate, but to save a few pennies, they opted to ignore the warnings and lean hard on any balky engineers and safety inspectors to accept it. They also used propaganda to discredit and minimize the warnings. Took nature to show the world how very wrong they were. Then, it turned out that the failsafes also hadn't been maintained, to save a few more pennies. Don't buy their bull about the "unprecedented" size of the tsunami, and that no one could have predicted it. There was precedent, it was predicted, and the predictions were correct. There's no excuse for the reckless gambles they took. Fukushima was entirely a human failure.

      no renewables will NOT cut it

      Ultimately, renewables will have to cut it. Or what do you think we will do when the non-renewables run out? And they will run out, that's why they are called non-renewables.

      I'll happily accept nuclear power as a stopgap the moment someone figures a way to stop criminally reckless and irresponsible disregard of safety. Same goes for offshore oil drilling. We will decide how much risk we will accept. We should not allow a few greedy fools to take far higher risks than known or agreed to. If we cannot be sure nuclear power operators will behave responsibly, then we shouldn't use it at all. And there is another reason not to use nuclear power. It's too easy to turn power plants into bomb factories. How else can you explain the preference for uranium and plutonium reactors, over thorium? I'd rather see the nation awash in small arms easily obtained by mentally disturbed people, than see idiot politicians and gung ho generals with easy access to nuclear bombs.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    19. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 2

      Fukushima is not done yet. While it is true that the chain reactions have stopped, there is sufficient decay heat being generated that managing its festering corpse is an on-going problem: structures are continuing to deform and fuel rods may still be rupturing. The potential for steam or chemical explosions capable of breaching the containment is still there. And might be for decades. No one has any experience in handling a zombie nuclear plant.

      Persons who read only the simplified nuclear industry reports and analyses are neglecting the incredibly complex chemical problems that are happening in that environment of intense heat and multiple reactants, many of which have behaviors under those conditions that have never been explored in the laboratory. You could write a book about the chemistry happening in a candle's flame; what is going on in Fukushima is much more complex than that.

      Hell, we don't even know how to handle the canned waste at Hanford; we don't even know how to figure out what is going on in those tanks. Fukushima is many times more complex than that.

      --
      Will
    20. Re:Cheap at half the price! by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      There is a lot of merit to parent post.

      Basically there is nothing at all wrong with fission power technology; we know how to do it and we know how to do it safely (and we could probably figure out a safe way to store the waste, too).

      But there is something fundamentally wrong with human beings since in any large undertaking you can be sure that some of them will NOT do the right thing for whatever reason: personal profit, or just plain stupidity. That's okay for a lot of things where failures are acceptable. It is not okay with nuclear power plants. To make good use of fission power we need to make better human beings who will not fuck up.

      And we don't have a clue about how to do that.

      --
      Will
    21. Re:Cheap at half the price! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Fukushima wasn't even a little bit scary compared to a certain little Russian event ... you know, the worst known to man ... you know, the one that is pretty much safe to live at and has been for a while ... which is far less than 40 years ...

      What, you mean the one that my wife was working in the fields around 40 miles downwind from, for a week following the "event", and she didn't die an immediate, screaming, horrible death. In fact, she still hasn't died a screaming, horrible death. In fact, we're not sure if there have been any adverse health effect that can be unambiguously laid at the door of that "event", because her health is within the normal range of health variations.

      Radiation is dangerous. So is driving fast, being a member of a species that lives on one planet without adequate meteorite deflection technologies, or breathing oxygen. As for eating too much of the wrong stuff - positively lethal!

      Because radiation (and all those other things) is dangerous, doesn't mean that it is instantly utterly lethal. Don't let your "dread" (which the characteristics of radiation are undeniably good at triggering) overrule your head!

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    22. Re:Cheap at half the price! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Top uses: cancer treatment -- cheap radiation treatments

      Doses far too low, and more importantly, undirected.

      food irradiation center

      Doses ridiculously too low.

      radiology center -- x-ray you while you're walking through. Gamma rays free of charge. Drink the water if you want a PET scan.

      Errr, you do know that X-rays, gamma rays, and positrons are three different things? It's written on the back of your Geek card, somewhere in one of the microdots. What do you mean - you've left your electron microscope in your other leather-elbow-patched jacket?

      urology center -- cheaper than a vasectomy

      Doses far too low for effective sterilisation, so it'd actually be negatively effective because of the increased birth defect rate.

      You get the idea.

      No, I don't. Are you trying to be sarcastic, but haven't made it to chapter 2 of "Sarcasm for Dummies" (chapter 4 of the American edition)?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    23. Re:Cheap at half the price! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      But there is something fundamentally wrong with human beings since in any large undertaking you can be sure that some of them will NOT do the right thing for whatever reason: personal profit, or just plain stupidity.

      So, what do you advocate? Killing them all, or just killing the profit motive? Destroying greed and venality? Good luck on getting those turkeys to vote for that Christmas!

      And we don't have a clue about how to do that.

      Back to the primordial slime for vertebrates then! I hold out fairly high hopes for the cephalopod molluscs, particularly if you use the ones with external skeletons, eyes, good brains, and at least some potential for getting out of the water.

      See the signature line. I haven't changed it for ages.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    24. Re:Cheap at half the price! by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 1

      Top uses: cancer treatment -- cheap radiation treatments

      Doses far too low, and more importantly, undirected.

      food irradiation center

      Doses ridiculously too low.

      radiology center -- x-ray you while you're walking through. Gamma rays free of charge. Drink the water if you want a PET scan.

      Errr, you do know that X-rays, gamma rays, and positrons are three different things? It's written on the back of your Geek card, somewhere in one of the microdots. What do you mean - you've left your electron microscope in your other leather-elbow-patched jacket?

      urology center -- cheaper than a vasectomy

      Doses far too low for effective sterilisation, so it'd actually be negatively effective because of the increased birth defect rate.

      You get the idea.

      No, I don't. Are you trying to be sarcastic, but haven't made it to chapter 2 of "Sarcasm for Dummies" (chapter 4 of the American edition)?

      Sorry. Next time I'll try to dial it down a few notches so you can understand.

  4. So permit them to fix them... by niftymitch · · Score: 1
    "Chair of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has said that all 104 nuclear power reactors now in operation in the United States have a safety problem that cannot be fixed and they should be replaced with newer technology."

    If this is honest and true permits should be issued post haste.

    One caution.... newer is not better as Apple Map users found.

    --
    Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't. Mark Twain.
    1. Re:So permit them to fix them... by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      His suggestion, and that's all it is, is to prevent a Fukoshima should all else fail by having smaller reactors so there physically isn't enough reactant to melt down like that. "Probably."

      This requires new plant design. Of course no new permits to build will be issued, which is the goal, and not without literally hundreds of millions of dollars of litigation per plant, which is also the goal.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    2. Re:So permit them to fix them... by Tailhook · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Jaczko isn't credible. He is a head case that drove his colleagues, including his fellow Obama appointees, to publically and unanimously condemn his tenure as NRC chairman while seated right next to him during congressional testimony. They forced him out because they'd had enough of his shit.

      So now he is going to be a professional anti-nuke gadfly. Last week good 'ol Senator Harry Reid resurrected the head case and put him on the NNSA board so he can make that group dysfunctional and say scary things about the stockpile. Now that he's out of the shadows he's taking more shots as nuclear energy as well.

      If you read the linked story you'll eventually learn what, specifically, his problem is with contemporary operating reactors; they are large and have enough residual heat to damage fuel after shutdown. The notion that our power reactors are too large is not new. It has been well understood since the beginning of nuclear energy production. Jaczko is talking about it because that's his job now; use the credibility of his "Former Chairman of the NRC" moniker to make headlines by saying scary things about nukes.

      Incidentally this discussion raises the question; how large can a reactor be without risking fuel damage? The answer is about 60 MW thermal for traditional PWR light water designs. Common power reactors are 2000 MW thermal.

      BTW, we aren't going to do anything about any of this. We're not replacing the reactors, or coal or gas or building out green energy or anything else. We're a balkanized welfare state nation occupied with feathering our environmental nest while evacuating our industrial base to Asia. The power system you have now will be approximately the power system running when you die. Maybe a reactor will melt and we'll replace our nukes with more gas consumption. That's about as much as you can expect.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    3. Re:So permit them to fix them... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I think we should replace all of our nuclear reactors with one big one.
      The good news is that this is already in operation and has proven to be a stable design.
      It has been generating power for millions of years and has a projected life of millions more.
      It only gives earth a small amount of harmful radiation due to natural shielding. It provides many times the power the earth could possibly ever use.
      I am, of course, referring to the sun.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    4. Re:So permit them to fix them... by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not that hard to build a reactor that can't melt down at all.

    5. Re:So permit them to fix them... by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 0

      The power system you have now will be approximately the power system running when you die.

      I think it's very unlikely that we'll still have gas to burn at the rate we're going by the 2090s. Coal, perhaps, but hopefully we won't be insanely stupid enough to completely and irreversibly rape our environment (dumping that much CO2 into the air would be a catastrophe beyond description due to ocean acidification) and then be left practically in the dark when everything except nuclear, hydro and solar becomes too expensive to fuel.

    6. Re:So permit them to fix them... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It provides many times the power the earth could possibly ever use.

      Unless you only count that amount that actually hits the Earth.

      I am, of course, referring to the sun.

      You mean that power source that we can harvest by covering a larger area than the protected zone around Fukushima with solar cells while not harvesting as much energy?

    7. Re:So permit them to fix them... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      We're a balkanized welfare state nation occupied with feathering our environmental nest while evacuating our industrial base to Asia.

      That's the most depressing phrase I've read all week.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    8. Re:So permit them to fix them... by asola · · Score: 2

      1) Have you noticed the huge amount of solar and wind generation capacity installed in your country recently?

      2) Have you noticed the annual 30-40% drop rate of solar panel prices?

      3) Have you noticed the upcoming grid-scale storage developments (e.g.: GE's Durathon) which are nearing mass production?

      I would say that the US grid will look VERY DIFFERENT in 20 years time whether anyone there like/want it or not. Renewables will simply kill fossil/nuclear based generation once adequate grid-scale storage solutions are deployed (which is not far ahead, see no 3).

    9. Re:So permit them to fix them... by Compaqt · · Score: 0

      ... Except that such a one has never been seen outside of Slashdot posts.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    10. Re:So permit them to fix them... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whacko Jaczko?

    11. Re:So permit them to fix them... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because it's true?

  5. Cost of nuclear power by kurt555gs · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Is nuclear power really more cost effective per megawatt if you incluse the cost of long term storage and clean up after a disaster? Those numbers never make it into the calculations because they are inevitably paid by taxpayers.

    --
    * Carthago Delenda Est *
    1. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Fluffeh · · Score: 5, Funny

      Oh my god, don't start putting logic into your fiscal planning and equations! That's not how the world works. Witch! Burn the Witch!!!

      --
      Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
    2. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Versus what technology? If you really want to be fair, you would need to hold that same technology to the same standards as you hold nuclear. That probably means you need to carbon-sequester from coal plants, which nobody does.

    3. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Those numbers never make it into the calculations

      In other news, the costs of sending tons of coal ash up smokestacks never get into the calculations either. More radioactivity goes up coal smokestacks and into the air we breathe than has ever been released from nuclear reactors.

      I would love to decommission coal plants, but you need something to replace them. Something that can reliably crank out the power. (Go ahead and calculate how many wind turbines or solar panels it would take to replace a medium-sized coal plant. Be sure to account for power generation 24/7/365, in the dark, when the wind is calm.)

      The real reason that nuclear power is expensive per megawatt is all the lawyers' fees. If you try to build a nuke plant, you will be sued. If you try to upgrade a nuke plant, you will be sued.

      Hell, if you try to build a solar plant in the desert, you will be sued for that! If you try to build a NEW coal plant, you will be sued.

      So is anyone really surprised that the nuke plants we have are being babied along? In the absence of all the lawsuits, I think the nuke plant operators might be building 4th gen inherently safe designs... but NO-O-O they would be sued so they just keep operating the aging 1st gen plants.

      The founder of Greenpeace has come around and is pro-nuke. It's sad that it is so unusual for someone to let his mind be changed by facts, but at least it happened once.

      I favor nuke plants for baseline load, solar plants in places like deserts, and maybe solar panels on roofs in places that get really hot in the summer. Plus natural gas for handling peak loads. But nobody gives a damn what I favor, do they?

    4. Re:Cost of nuclear power by fermion · · Score: 1
      While the term 'too cheap to meter' was not originally strictly applied to the first generations of nuclear power, they were certainly marketed as such. Of course, as mentioned, they became much more expensive as each incident required huge taxpayer bailouts. OTOH, who know how much coal is going to cost us in the end. The superfund is no longer being paid by industry, and every day our atmosphere is being treated like a sewer. We have enough sense to know that indoor plumbing is worth the investment, beyond just connivence, so why is requiring a coal plant, or car, to deal with it's own sewage any different. No we are going to have deal with it at much greater expense later.

      So here are the three things we know. First, it is going to cost some sum of money to remediate every ton we poop into the atmosphere. Second, no one is building nuclear reactors without significant taxpayer funding. For instance Westinghouse is looking at part of $400 million of taxpayer money to fund the it's current generation of reactors. Third, there is no politically feasible technology to deal with nuclear waste. One would think the Nevada, who sold itself out for infinite easy cash, would have no problem storing waste, but it does.

      Which is why I say just spend the money on renewables. Sure it may cost more upfront and take a while to get up and running, but we won't have guaranteed problems on the backend. We may have new problems on the backend, but that always happens when on innovate. If innovation is worth it, then we accept this.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    5. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You really want numbers? Ok, here are numbers for nuclear power accident,

      1. Fukushima fuckup - $100B (in local currency)
      2. Fossil Fuels to replace nuclear power in Japan - $40B/year (in *external* currency)

      So 2-3 years of nuclear power "pays" for the accident, never mind the critical usage of external currency to buy fuel.

      Here are numbers for "long term storage". Basically free to store waste in dry casks (now imagine costs of storing 50+ years of ash at a coal power plant). As for fuel,

        1. reprocessing uranium - $120/lb (local currency)
        2. mined uranium - $50/lb (external currency)

      so why would anyone reprocess uranium now if they can just stockpile for future use? Long term storage or is it a fuel depot? Seems like the latter.

      How much does it cost to actually store uranium? If you pay 10 people to guard it, that's $1m/year for a storage site of a few thousand tons. And you pay in LOCAL currency. But then the "waste" tends to be stored on power plant premisses so no extra costs at all.

      If you notice I keep writing "LOCAL CURRENCY" and external currency. Those are extremely important things. Trade surplus/deficit, currency devaluation, inflation, and standard of living all tied together with that. Basically, if you are a nation that cannot use local currency to buy energy, you are really really screwed. Nuclear power allows usage of local currency to buy baseload electricity even if you do not have any fossil fuels.

      It will be economic suicide for Japan to stop using nuclear power (be that slow fission (current), fast fission (future) or fusion (more distant future)). It would be economic suicide for France to stop using nuclear power.

      Finally, what is the cost per megawatt to clean up all the CO2 from the atmosphere and sequester it back into the ground? And how long will that take? 40 years??? If we stopped releasing CO2 tomorrow, it will take 200-300 years just to reach new climatic equilibrium. I guess no one counts the costs of moving entire nations due to rising oceans and all that jazz. And how much economic value is lost because most of pine trees in Canada and US become extinct?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mountain_pine_beetle

      Just some externalities of fossil fuels. I guess no one will be adding these up. But go ahead, keep blaming CO2-free nuclear power for the world ills. Maybe the millions that die prematurely each year sucking down exhaust don't count either.

    6. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CO2 really doesn't compare to toxic nuclear waste, espescially as far as the biosphere is concerned. A single friggen massive algae bloom could eat up all the CO2 produced in a year and turn it into O2 in a few weeks, and die dropping the carbon safely at the bottom of the sea. Nuclear waste tends to stay hot for anywhere from half a century to millennia, and there's no organic process that will naturally take care of it.

      Nuclear fission for power has always been a shit solution to the energy problem. It is overly complex, prone to catestrophic industrial failures and It is not cheap. The ONLY reason it even exists is it's great for making bomb fuel for really exceptional bombs.

    7. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes. Nuclear power really is more cost effective per megawatt, even when you incluse (sic) the cost of long term storage and clean up after a disaster! What is really needed though, is instead of turning tail and running from the technology, research and development in inherently safe nuclear power (yes sparky, solutions do exist and can even safely burn up dangerous radioactive waste, rendering it effectively inert (one of two ways: either highly radioactive for a very short time, in which you store it in a very very safe place for a short time, after which its no longer radioactive, or a very very long half life, so that you can eat it, drink it, and play with it for 50 generations before it kicks out a single particle). Sadly, chicken shits and morons get irrational about nuclear power. Everyone is using the same basic design from 1945 today, no one is using any of the new, safe alternatives (mostly because you can't build weapons of mass destruction from them), and we have to deal with long term waste as a result.

    8. Re:Cost of nuclear power by HtR · · Score: 1

      How much do you plan for disaster cleanup? Probably the best you can do is base costs on history, which I believe have generally been fairly low, at least until now.

      But then, to be fair, you'd have to include potential disaster cleanup costs for other industries too. I don't believe the LNG plants and other generators that were wiped out in that huge tidal wave included disaster cleanup costs, either (although it may be that rebuilding them all may be cheaper than decommissioning the Fukushima plant in the long run. I haven't heard much about those costs).

      Also, while I agree that calculating long term storage costs should be included for nuclear power generation, how do you calculate the cost of the greenhouse gases generated by a coal-based generator? As I understand it, the CO2 we generate now will likely be affecting us for hundreds of years.

      --
      Have you tried turning it off and on again?
    9. Re:Cost of nuclear power by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      | A single friggen massive algae bloom could eat up all the CO2 produced in a year and turn it into O2 in a few weeks, and die dropping the carbon safely at the bottom of the sea.

      Empirically, why hasn't this been happening to keep the CO2 concentration stable?

      What makes one believe that such a circumstance could be engineered to happen every year for the next 300 years?

    10. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_fertilization
      I favor nukes.

    11. Re:Cost of nuclear power by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

      Cost per Megawatt?
      As in installed nominal power? Surely not.

      Cost per Megawatthour?
      As in total produced energy over nuke lifetime? Maybe

      Nukes work almost all year long while solar panels and wind turbines work somewhere between 800 and 2000 hours a year.

    12. Re:Cost of nuclear power by squizzar · · Score: 2

      There's one every time...

      If it's 'hot' for millenia then it's not actually very 'hot' at all.

      If it's 'hot' for decades it's not really a problem to store it.

      It's only the stuff in the middle that's particularly nasty, and that can be controlled through good design of the reactor process

      Reprocessing and breeder reactors will mean we can get rid of all the waste in it's entirety. Of course that would mean research, development and construction of new reactors. One of the biggest problems is that a lot of the people who complain about the by-products of nuclear power are also the people who are blocking any solution to it. It seems they would rather have big piles of waste comprising small quantities of very dangerous material mixed with large quantities of practically inert material (making large quantities of practically dangerous material) lying around so there is something to complain about than use existing technology to make the waste harmless because it would be nuclear technology and therefore everything it does would be evil.

    13. Re:Cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Which LNG plants are you talking about? Various facilities were damaged, along with non-nuclear electric power plants and oil refineries (Cosmo at Ichihara, Chiba), but which ones were actually wiped out? There is considerable cost involved in cleanup and damage to those facilities, but do you believe it approaches the financial damage from Fukushima?

      The compensation claims alone have forced TEPCO to ask the Japanese government for tens of billions of dollars. That's just for the compensation, not for cleanup, which is going to put the final cost well over $100 billion.

      http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-07/fukushima-137-billion-cost-has-tepco-seeking-more-aid

      On top of that, the Fukushima accident led to a shutdown of reactors right across the country: at one point, no reactors were operating, now it's about two, out of fifty. TEPCO has already lost Daiichi (6 reactors, and two that were planned), and will never be permitted to restart Fukushima Daini (which has four reactors. Fukushima prefecture will never have new nuclear power plants.

      So the direct and indirect costs are astronomical. For the most part, they've been passed to the taxpayer (which includes me). There's no comparison with what happened to LNG.

    14. Re:Cost of nuclear power by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      If you can predict disasters in order to include their costs into your expense sheet, then you can avoid disasters and don't pay a dime for the expected incured costs. So, I guess this is the very basic reason you cannot make this kind of calculations and why they do not make sense anyway.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    15. Re:Cost of nuclear power by nojayuk · · Score: 1

      Long-term storage of nuclear waste is paid for by a levy on the electricity generated by the reactors and not by the "taxpayers". In the US that's 0.1c per kWh. The total US fund for that is over 28 billion dollars and rising. In contrast the coal power station operators pay bupkis for long-term treatment of their unconstrained waste output -- any attempt to get them to cough up (so to speak) is a War On Coal.

    16. Re:Cost of nuclear power by RevDisk · · Score: 1

      Yes, it is.

      Decommissioning costs are put aside during the life of a reactor. The formulas are found in 10 CFR 50.75(c). There isn't a similar requirement for a fund dedicated to clean up after a disaster, because it's so rare and the company is liable anyways. It'd probably be a good idea.

    17. Re:Cost of nuclear power by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Is coal power really more cost effective per megawatt if you include the cost of long term CO2 build-up and clean up of the emissions and mines?

      (Just playing devil's advocate here)

    18. Re:Cost of nuclear power by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Long term storage is a political problem only, caused by such assholes as this Harry Reid appointee.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    19. Re:Cost of nuclear power by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Burning is too good for them.

      I'll get the flensing knives. The blunt set.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  6. Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Dragonshed · · Score: 3, Informative

    Moving away from the first & second generation light water reactor designs is definitely something we should be doing, but simply going to smaller plants is a dubious plan.

    From TFA:

    > Dr. Jaczko cited a well-known characteristic of nuclear reactor fuel to continue to generate copious amounts of heat after a chain reaction is shut down. That “decay heat” is what led to the Fukushima meltdowns. The solution, he said, was probably smaller reactors in which the heat could not push the temperature to the fuel’s melting point.

    Actually innovating, bringing something like the Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor to reality, is more along the lines of what we should be doing.

    Also, it was the tsunami that actually caused the meltdowns. Fukushima had appropriate backups for cooling the reactor, and were well under way when the reactors were shut down after the quake, they just didn't design for the eventually of a tsunami to come and categorically knock them all out.

    $0.02

    1. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ebno-10db · · Score: 4, Insightful

      it was the tsunami that actually caused the meltdowns

      Has anyone said otherwise? What's your point?

      they just didn't design for the eventually of a tsunami

      It doesn't matter what other things were done right, because in the real world it still had a meltdown.

    2. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by mtpaley · · Score: 1

      Smaller reactor cores are going to be less efficient but a fission reactor is always going to have residual heat issues regardless of the design. What about building the core above a hole, if things go Fukushima bad and the reactor is doomed to a fuel meltdown then just blow some career ending charges and drop the core into a hole followed by a few thousand tonnes of sand then some concrete. It would get hot down there but as the fission products decay it would calm down and no radioactivity would be released.

    3. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by benjfowler · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There are plenty of problems with LFTR, mostly to do with metallurgy, chemistry, toxicity (e.g. beryllium), the core freezing, etc etc etc.

      If there weren't, somebody would've built one by now. LFTR is no silver bullet, at least until all these problems are ironed out.

    4. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ebno-10db · · Score: 1

      That would have been useful at Fukushima as the core dropped into a hole recently filled with seawater.

    5. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ranpel · · Score: 2

      The article said: "That “decay heat” is what led to the Fukushima meltdowns"

      and it does matter because in the real world the ideal is to learn from the past in order to better prepare for the future. No?

      --
      \r
    6. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Posting AC to preserve mods. There is still credible debates on to actually (meaning specifically) caused the meltdowns, e.g., was there earthquake damage prior to the tsunami, was the tsunami damage to the intake water pumps (at the shore) enough so the loss of power was moot, was it the tsunami flooding the generators or washing away the fuel storage tanks, etc. "Tsunami" isn't enough to plan preventive measures. You need to know what pieces failed because of the tsunami.

      I agree with you on the meltdown. They thought they mitigated risk to an acceptable level and got bit by an outlier (or their "acceptable level" wasn't good enough). Judging TEPCO's performance post-accident I don't trust them to have made good decisions from day one.

    7. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by mad+flyer · · Score: 2

      Actually, if you were to check on the matter...

      The quake already disabled the plants, the tsunami just gave the final blow.

      AND NO, NO AND NO.

      THE QUAKE AT THE SITE OF THE PLANT WAS NOT BIGGER THAN WHAT THE PLANT WHAT SUPPOSEDLY BUILD TO SUSTAIN.

      The quake was a 9 something at sea, but much much lower at the coast of Japan.

    8. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ebno-10db · · Score: 0

      and it does matter because in the real world the ideal is to learn from the past in order to better prepare for the future

      It may be useful to a nuclear engineer, but I doubt most of the people living there give a damn that they almost got it right.

    9. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

      they just didn't design for the eventually of a tsunami to come and categorically knock them all out.

      Geological records show that a Tsunami about that size hits the coast of Japan every 300 years. The reactor was built to last 60 years. Just by random chance there was a 20% probability of being hit by a tsunami. But tsunamis don't happen randomly, they roughly happen at a known frequency, and northwest Japan was "due". So they failed to account for something that had a better than even chance of happening over the life of the reactor. This is why the greenies roll their eyes when the nukies say "Trust us, we know what we're doing!"

    10. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're just being oddly argumentative and not making sense. The next time there is an accident (and there will be) the people living around it will be glad we learned something from this one. You seem to be advocating not doing anything to try and make it better next time.

    11. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ebno-10db · · Score: 2

      The next time there is an accident (and there will be) the people living around it will be glad we learned something from this one ...

      The idea of learning from this accident is to prevent another accident, so "the next time there is an accident (and there will be)" it will be because the lessons weren't learned or because of something completely different.

      And the people living around where will be glad? Fukushima? I doubt they're going to let anyone build another nuke near them. Or do you mean the people living around the future inevitable accident? Why would they be happy - if there is an accident near them it means that the Fukushima lessons didn't help them. The only people who are happy when safety lessons are absorbed are people who don't even know they should be happy that no accident has occurred. Such is the rude reality of preventing accidents. You rarely get credited if it works, but you'll get blamed if it doesn't.

      I also don't think my original point was so obtuse. As useful as accident investigations can be to engineers, the people who are affected by accidents generally don't care about the details or whether you got everything else right. What they know and care about is that the thing failed. That's a reasonable attitude.

    12. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by coalrestall · · Score: 2

      Also, it was the tsunami that actually caused the meltdowns. Fukushima had appropriate backups for cooling the reactor, and were well under way when the reactors were shut down after the quake, they just didn't design for the eventually of a tsunami to come and categorically knock them all out.

      They didn't entirely ignore the possibility—there was a 19ft sea wall designed to protect the plant from the tsunami. It was just unfortunate that it wasn't sufficient to protect the plant from the 46ft wave that actually came. In fairness though, a tsunami higher than 19ft in that area was pretty much unprecedented until the afternoon of March 11th 2011, and had the plant been made one generation later, a newer backup system would have been in place that used gravity rather than knockoutable electricity and it would have been fine. I guess they figured that if a tsunami higher than 19 feet hits the coastline, the power plant would be the least of their problems. A lot of people still think that...

    13. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      by random chance there was a 20% probability

      I follow the logic, but I must giggle at the wording.

    14. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is why the greenies roll their eyes when the nukies say "Trust us, we know what we're doing!"

      And the rest of us roll their eyes when the greenies expect us to roll back ~100+ years of progress because nuclear accidents have happened.

      Nuclear power has the lowest carbon output per megawatt of ANY base load power supply. Full stop.

      This is a chart of deaths per TwH of power:
      http://www-958.ibm.com/software/data/cognos/manyeyes/visualizations/2e5d4dcc4fb511e0ae0c000255111976/comments/2e70ae944fb511e0ae0c000255111976

      Nuclear? 0.04. Coal? *161*

      Wow, great, we've had Chernobyl and Fukushima as major incidents. You know how many people die every year because of coal-fired generation? Hundreds of thousands. Greenies can fuck off.

    15. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by mbkennel · · Score: 4, Interesting

      A liquid flouride thorium reactor has exceptionally radioactive fission products dissolved in a caustic, very hot liquid. Every nuclear plant also has to be a chemical reprocessing plant of 700 degree radioactive liquids sufficiently dangerous that humans cannot get close to them for decades.

      This system also happens to be very water-soluble, so that a breach and flood similar to Fukushima would be extraordinarily dangerous---most of the waste would have entered the environment instead of a modest fraction.

      Conventional reactors have fission products encased in zirconium steel.

    16. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 2

      They have already been built long ago, and all of the fundamental concepts have been proven. What is left is the engineering and development left to make a commercial grade reactor. For a small fraction of what we are spending to turn our excess plutonium into MOX fuel which none of our reactors are equipped to use, molten salt reactors could solve the plutonium and spent fuel issues once and for all, at far less cost.

      The corrosion problems used as an excuse to shut down the program, already had known solutions even at the time. Yes, it requires special materials and controlling the chemistry, but that is a solvable engineering problem. High pressure water in conventional reactors is also highly corrosive and requires similar care, but these are simple engineering contraints that have solutions.

      As far as beryllium toxicity and core freezing, what is the problem? Lots of things are toxic, some of which you will probably find under your sink. Toxic chemicals are used throughout industry, even in renewables; why pick on LFTR? This reactor runs at atmospheric pressure and has no adverse reactions with air or water, so there is no driving force to release any toxic or radioactive elements into the environment, even in the event of a major disaster. Freezing of the salts might cause plant damage, but there is no safety risk--if anything, it is a feature. All of the nasties are dissolved in the salts and end up frozen in place.

      Why is it so hard to accept that politics often prevents good ideas from ever reaching the marketplace? Anyone who takes the time to learn about molten salt reactors will understand how they are potentially the sliver bullet we are looking for. Aside from a miraculous breakthrough in fusion, there are no other technologies that even offer the potential, so it is folly not to pursue the one that shows such promise.

    17. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of problems with LFTR, mostly to do with metallurgy, chemistry, toxicity (e.g. beryllium), the core freezing, etc etc etc.

      Hastelloy-N and similar alloys are inert in LFTR molten salts. This problem was solved in the 60s during the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment. The ~600C operating temperature of LFTR is well within the capabilities of metallurgy today.

      The essential chemistry of LFTR contains no surprises, its use of flourine and beryllium presents no greater hazard then use of those substances in manufacturing. When you consider that the salts are recycled for the life of the reactor, which would be practically forever, it doesn't seem too awful when one is generating incredible amounts of electricity. Of course LFTR must contain heavy duty chemistry but the need for safe handling of these substances is pretty obvious.

      Toxicity?? No, LFTR's chemistry is not edible. Solving the world's energy problems cannot be accomplished using a Play-Doh Fun Factory.

      If there weren't, somebody would've built one by now. LFTR is no silver bullet, at least until all these problems are ironed out.

      That type of circular 'appeal to somebody' reasoning is precisely why there is not a working production prototype right now.

      As I said etc etc etc.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    18. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Core freezing is not a problem once the reactor has operated for any reasonable amount of time. The decay heat from FP should be sufficient to keep the reactor from freezing...along with the huge heat being generated by nuclear fission and the relatively nicely thermo-regulation of core density via fluid expansion. Metallurgy hasn't been a problem, fluoride chemical processes are done throughout the world in a non-nuclear sense for decades, the challenges here are more about moderator (carbon) damage over the life of the core. Some designs remove the graphite entirely and just use salt moderation, this also eliminates some positive void coefficients in case of a thorium blanket loss, but core salt retention. Beryllium toxicity isn't really as much as a concern in the same way fluoride toxicity isn't, once it is bound in the salt it poses little to no threat, and the HF for uranium volatility extraction is more of a hazard in reality, but a normal process in the day in affairs of industrial processes.

      One of the interesting challenges, though, is the fission product processing facility, which is why some designs have skipped this step entirely, opting for a burner instead of a breeder concept. But mostly, the flaw in your logic is the betamax fallacy, the superior technologies always win. There are many economic, political, and industry reasons why LFTR (or more generally molten salt reactors) face challenges that operate in spite of its technical sophistication. And to reiterate, most of the technical challenges you mentioned are completely incorrect. More interesting would be core stability problems via the lower quantity of delay neutrons in U233 compared to U235, potential heat transients and sonic vibrations due to salt expansion, and others. But I digress, but I would also caution you against spreading technical issues that aren't true about really great technology, it is intellectually dishonest.

    19. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by DerekLyons · · Score: 0

      greenies roll their eyes when the nukies say "Trust us, we know what we're doing!" because they're really bad at math and choose "fuzzy" bullcrap like "Japan was 'due' for a tsunami over facts".

      There, fixed that for you.

    20. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you openly advocating ignorance?

    21. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by khallow · · Score: 2

      Has anyone said otherwise?

      Jaczko did. Which was the point of the original poster's clarification.

      It doesn't matter what other things were done right, because in the real world it still had a meltdown.

      Of course it matters. Do you think less radiation would be released, if say the melted core had stayed critical for days after the tsunami, generating heat a considerable fraction of that of a working reactor? (Just scramming the reactor dropped heat production by a factor of ten. And keeping the reactor cool for about nine hours, dropped heat production significantly more.) Or while the core continued to boil sea water and release measurable radiation into the air today? Treating a core meltdown as the end state ignores that it could have been much worse.

      Obviously, nobody likes it when a nuclear plant suffers a core meltdown. But it is worth noting here that the reactors in question were designed to fail in the way that they did rather than even more dangerous ways.

      And as I've stated before, I don't see why a core meltdown is so bad that it should be avoided at all cost. It wasn't in the case of Fukushima. There's apparently little exposure of the public to radiation. And I consider most of the current clean up costs to be due to the placating of public hysteria and not actually required for public safety.

      And at worst, you can always use the location for strictly non-residential use, such as industry, including more nuclear reactors.

    22. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by khallow · · Score: 0

      Geological records show that a Tsunami about that size hits the coast of Japan every 300 years. The reactor was built to last 60 years. Just by random chance there was a 20% probability of being hit by a tsunami. But tsunamis don't happen randomly, they roughly happen at a known frequency, and northwest Japan was "due". So they failed to account for something that had a better than even chance of happening over the life of the reactor. This is why the greenies roll their eyes when the nukies say "Trust us, we know what we're doing!"

      The difference is that nukies learn from their mistakes.

    23. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by delt0r · · Score: 4, Interesting

      They have already been built long ago, and all of the fundamental concepts have been proven.

      Incorrect. There has never been any breeding. Th fuel cycles need breeding and thus a breeding ratio of 1 or better. This has never been done and numerically looks pretty tight. So tight that in situ reprocessing is typically proposed to remove the 233Pa which acts as a neutron poison. This also has never been done or shown to work in any way. These things would be considered a pretty fundamental part of a LFTR.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    24. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by delt0r · · Score: 2

      LFTR still have decay heat. If your systems fail, passive or otherwise, because of say a 12 meter wall of water. It will have the same problems. Worse in fact, since you need a moderator which is typically graphite. That burns nicely when exposed to air. The Fluoride salts also react with water to form hydrogen and acids. Any core breach is just as bad. And no its not different because the core is suppose to be melted. Decay heat will get it hot enough to melt through the containment vessels.

      The long and the short of it is that if your backup cooling systems don't work, your in a world of pain. *All* fission based nuclear reactors suffer from the fact that there is no "instant off" switch. LFTR or otherwise. Its not magic. Though many here seem to think they are.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    25. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pa233 removal is largely unnecessary because its total amount is relatively low in the core. Most concepts don't have Pa removal for mostly political reasons, but Pa extraction is rather trivial, so much so that it was never done insitu (it comes out of solution with ease). Breeding isn't technically neccisary, fissile injections could be done just as they are done now with current LWR facilities, with the caveat that it wouldn't have to go offline to do so, this is what Dr. David Leblanc is working on with his various MSR concepts. It is a complete mistake/misunderstanding to say the Th fuel cycle needs breeding, that has nothing to do with the fuel cycle and everything to do with the reactor type (uranium reactors actually breed some of their own plutonium, just not enough to keep the cycle going, up to 1/3 of power comes from plutonium in the late stage of a fuel elements life in a typical reactor) which can generally be classified as breeders and burners, and most all current reactors in the world are burners.

      I am amazed at the profound misconceptions that a couple of naysayers have been able to propagate, as these concerns have been addressed repeatedly. Technical challenges await, but so do solutions. The ability to do realtime FP extraction, the potential to fully consume and recycle fuel, and relatively simple reactor vessels are worth pushing through. Expect to see pebble bed reactors as a transitionary step from solid fuel rods to liquid fuel reactors. TRISO ceramic composite fuel has already been approved, so expect more interesting fuel cycle regulatory work in the future. Along with the CASL initiative (http://www.casl.gov/) expect all sorts of interesting reactor simulations to take place in the coming years which will improve safety and operating dynamics (like fuel burn up and deeper neutron kinetics) of current reactors and develop new understandings of paper reactors; it is going to be an amazing time to be a nuclear engineer!

    26. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't understand the concept of a return period. It doens't represent how long an event is due. Earthquakes, or tsunamis, don't happen following an harmonic frequency pattern. The frequency bit you refer to is nothing more than dividing the number of historical events by the timespan when they took place. The return period is the inverse of that frequency.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_period

    27. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know how many people die every year because of coal-fired generation?

      No I don't know.

      Hundreds of thousands.

      Wow. That's a lot.

      Greenies can fuck off.

      And with no links to data souced to back up your claim of 100's of 1000's - guess what kind of sexual act I'd recommend?

    28. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      got bit by an outlier (or their "acceptable level" wasn't good enough).

      Indeed, their acceptable level wasn't good enough. There have been tsunamis larger than this one in the region within the last two hundred years, so it was predictable that eventually another one just as large would happen.

    29. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      LFTR and other molten salt reactors have significantly less decay heat to deal with, since they do not trap the volatile fission products within a solid fuel. This reduces the difficulty of the problem from the outset. Furthermore, the drain tank is separate, contains no moderator, and can be optimized for passive decay heat removal--something not possible with solid fueled reactors.

      Also, your graphite red herring is not only irrelevant, but false. This has been studied, and graphite does not burn in air. It requires specific conditions; the presence of water IIRC. Again, molten salt reactors will not be cooled by water, nor need they be constructed anywhere near the reach of tsunamis or floods. (Though, there are no active systems to fail anyway...) The floride salt and water reaction is also a red herring; the reaction proceeds so slowly that it poses no concern.

    30. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      Thermal breeding of U-233 was demonstrated in the Shippingport reactor, and there are no reasons to expect that it will not work in LFTR as well. U-233 releases about 2.3 neutrons per fission, which while slow for breeding, is not that tight for breaking even.

    31. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      Fluoride salts are very stable with a ~1000C liquide range, not water soluble, and do not react violently with air or water, no matter how many times you and others insist on repeating this FUD. Even in the event of an accident, the fission products remain safely locked up in the salts and will eventually freeze solid with no intervention. Obviously, you want to avoid flooding for any number of reasons, but there is no requirement to build the plants anywhere near water, or use water for cooling.

      Conventional reactors trap gaseous fission products within a solid with very poor thermal conductivity, under extreme pressure, in zirconium cladding which burns when cooling is lost. How is that better than liquid fuel at atmospheric pressure which naturally contains all of the fission products?

    32. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by hackertourist · · Score: 1

      They planned for earthquakes and tsunami. What they didn't account for was the size of the 2011 event, which was larger than any in recorded history, as a result the tsunami went right over the sea wall.

    33. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Also, your graphite red herring is not only irrelevant, but false. This has been studied, and graphite does not burn in air.

      Tell that to the people directly involved with Chernobyl. You seem to have forgotten some basic chemistry, that is reaction rates, and even what reactions happens, are temperature dependent.

      No concern to you, is not the same as not a concern. These concerns where raised/pointed out in scientific papers on LFTR.

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    34. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by delt0r · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Breeding ratio for Th *fuel* is totally relevant. For every mole of 233U burnt, you need to convert at least a mole of 232Th to 233Pa. Otherwise you need Uranium in there somewhere. And yes this is considered part of the fuel cycle. As in current PWR mostly use a once through fuel cycle. That is what everyone calls it. Because that what it is. Breeders is specifically defined as a reactor that breeds as much or more fuel than it burns.

      233Pa removal helps with the neutron economy. Since your reactor is not infinite in size, and since there are other things that absorb neutrons and that neutron reflectors are not 100%. Keeping enough neutrons around to sustain fission is not as straight forward as it looks. When you need to ensure that at least one of these 2.3 neutrons are absorb by 232Th, its gets much harder. Given that 233Pa has a much higher neutron absorption cross section and that 234Pa is quite undesirable due to the creation of 234U, a nasty gamma emitter. It is constantly suggested to remove 233Pa in situ to solve some of the serious problems that 232Th cycles have.

      I am amazed at the profound misconceptions that a couple of naysayers have been able to propagate..

      Oh please. The last LFTR post a while back was "the waste is so safe you can eat it". There is a prevailing belief that LFTR are magic and stop nuclear being nuclear. Its wrong.

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    35. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by benjfowler · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the thoughtful rebuttal.

      So what barriers do you see in engineering/building a scaled up molten-salt reactor, and what important design choices and tradeoffs need to be made? What _are_ the major challenges as you see them?

    36. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by delt0r · · Score: 2

      And that has a totally different neutron economy to a LFTR. 2.3 neutrons, minus one is tight. Every detail matters. Like what trace isotopes you have in the construction materials.

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    37. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      And with no links to data souced to back up your claim of 100's of 1000's - guess what kind of sexual act I'd recommend?

      www.google.com

      There you go, all you need to know. I think the list of possible medical conditions coal power production causes is actually longer than the list of people who have died as a result of a nuclear accident.

    38. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually it has been said that flooding with seawater earlier could have prevented meltdown, but the delay in doing so (because it permanently cripples the reactors) made the meltdowns inevitable.

      Also note that the two major official investigations in Japan have concluded that the disaster was avoidable:

      "a profoundly man-made disaster — that could and should have been foreseen and prevented" (from the chairman of the National Diet of Japan Fukushima Nuclear Accident Independent Investigation Commission)

      And the report of the independent panel (Investigation Committee on the Accident at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Stations of Tokyo Electric Power Company) concluded that a culture of complacency about nuclear safety and poor crisis management led to the nuclear disaster.

      http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2012/07/panel-slams-tokyo-government-utility-for-manmade-nuclear-disaster.html

      So for the "unforeseeable natural disaster" scenario, you really have to go to TEPCO's own report.

    39. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Also, it was the tsunami that actually caused the meltdowns. Fukushima had appropriate backups for cooling the reactor, and were well under way when the reactors were shut down after the quake, they just didn't design for the eventually of a tsunami to come and categorically knock them all out."

      But that's what's so bizarre. It's like building a reactor on the Mississippi floodplain that can't tolerate flooding, or building a reactor on the Gulf Coast that can't tolerate a hurricane, or building a reactor in California that can't tolerate an earthquake. Fukushima is on *the* coastline where the word "tsunami" was invented, and where historical tsunami were on the scale of the one the plant didn't survive. Granted, tsunami on that scale are really rare (about once in 1000 years), but that they did happen at that scale was a known risk for which the plant was inadequately prepared.

    40. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Actually the tsunami was not the only cause, the earthquake itself damaged the plant. That was not known at the time but has come to light during the clean-up operation.

      Another interesting fact that has recently been discovered was that the meltdowns could have been avoided. When the emergency cooling system failed the plant operators used fire engines to pump water into the reactor using a pipe designed for just such an emergency. Unfortunately a valve that was supposed to be closed was open, and no-one knew because the status indicator light had no power and the fact that it had been opened was somehow missed. That resulted in half the water pumped in being syphoned off to holding tanks. If all the water had reached the reactor cores they wouldn't have gone into full meltdown and the hydrogen explosions could have been avoided.

      Note that even the new AP1000 reactor design has only 72 hours of emergency cooling water under ideal conditions (assuming none has been spilt or leaked out and it was properly maintained). After that it needs topping up, and the same problems (valves in the wrong position or broken, pipes damaged or too small to supply the needed volume of water) can exist.

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    41. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And the rest of us roll their eyes when the greenies expect us to roll back ~100+ years of progress because nuclear accidents have happened.

      Sigh. Can we please drop this particular straw man. Yeah, maybe there are a few extremists who rant on the internet about this, but it is hardly the mainstream point of view.

      I want the world to move forwards, not backwards. German and Japanese homes of a similar size to mine use less energy (and thus cost less to run) and are more pleasant to live in. I want that quality of life, and the way to get it is by being greener.

      You know how many people die every year because of coal-fired generation?

      Yeah, I do, which is one reason why I don't want more coal plants either.

      Fuck off. Seriously, just fuck off with your tired old straw men and false dichotomy arguments.

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    42. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that Japan was actually 'due' for a tsunami of that scale in that area, and the risk of one had been specifically predicted in that area to have an ~1000-year recurrence interval. It had been ~1100 years since the last one (in 869AD), which is why in 2001 it was predicted that the risk of a major quake and tsunami on that scale and in that area in the next 30 years was very high. The 2001 paper practically mirrors what actually happened [PDF]. It's hard to regard what happened at Fukushima as anything other than profound incompetence when it came to armoring the site for the conditions.

      How about:

      "greenies roll their eyes when the nukies say "Trust us, we know what we're doing!" because engineers may be good at math, but don't pay enough attention to "fuzzy" things like the geology where they are building their otherwise mechanically sturdy structures"

      I don't expect engineers to roll back 100 years of progress, but it would be nice if they built the damn things to manage known problems, or did the right thing upon discovering that the risks are higher than expected (i.e. when that 2001 paper came out Fukushima should have been upgraded to handle bigger tsunami or shut down). That shouldn't be too much to ask without being labeled a "greenie" that is "bad at math". I mean, hell, I'm supportive of nuclear power, but what happened at Fukushima was ridiculously negligent on the part of the company that ran it, and it was only the heroic efforts of the engineers on site that prevented it from being a lot worse.

    43. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Know what you're doing?

      Yep, fires, explosions, meltdowns, partial meltdowns, critical electrical errors. A rather short list, repeated over and over again. Sure seems like you learn each time. How to cause the same effect in partially new way every time, that is.

    44. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      This has been studied, and graphite does not burn in air.

      Oh that's good. I thought for a minute there was a nuclear accident at Windscale. Guess that never happened.

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    45. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      The solution, he said, was probably smaller reactors in which the heat could not push the temperature to the fuel’s melting point.

      Probably. Or, design a cooling system that works on convection during a power-down state. Like modern Generation-3 and Generation-4 reactor designs utilize.

      The Westinghouse AP1000 requires no operator action for 72 hours in the event of a shutdown.

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    46. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Taking the comparison a bit further, here are some (mostly) 2008 death statistics from the US:

      Tobacco – 500,000
      Alcohol – 100,000
      Car Phones (2002) - 2,500
      Motorcycles – 2,500
      Agriculture - 1,300
      Bicycles (1995) - 800
      Candles - 126
      Skiing deaths – 34
      Dog Bites – 20
      Drawstring hoods – 17
      Window blind cords – 13
      Roller skates - 10
      Nuclear Power - 0

      Roller skates are a much bigger menace than nuclear power.

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    47. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yep, fires, explosions, meltdowns, partial meltdowns, critical electrical errors. A rather short list, repeated over and over again. Sure seems like you learn each time. How to cause the same effect in partially new way every time, that is.

      This demonstrates the fundamental difference between nuclear engineering and environmentalism. The mistakes that are made in nuclear power can't be covered up or glossed over like they can in environmentalism. You end up with that "rather short list". And they are fixed. We've only had one meltdown in the thirty year period since Chernobyl and this was due to overwhelming natural disaster rather than the human errors common to the three previous meltdowns (of civilian reactors used for power generation).

      The failures of environmentalism are not so evident. What of the massive transfer of industry to the developing world? I've heard pathetic excuses (such as "We didn't want that anyway" or it's the "greed" of rich people), but no one cares to admit that excessive environmental policy crippled the developed world economically.

      Or for an example that comes right out of the Fukushima disaster, why oppose vigorously the development of new nuclear plants or the recycling and safe storage of used nuclear fuel? The earthquake happened around the time that the Fukushima reactors were originally scheduled to be decommissioned. They received a new lease on life because safer replacement plants were blocked in the 1995-2005 period.

      Safety was compromised for environmentalist excuses.

      And this leads to the worst sort of environmentalism failure, when environmentalist policy actually makes the problems it tries to fix worse. For example, recycling of paper and most plastics or the banning of incandescent light bulbs. Or policies that increase poverty (such as carbon dioxide emission reduction) and the substantial pollution increase that comes with poverty in exchange for weak environmental benefit.

    48. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, this one time there was a roller skate accident, and we had to displace half a million people, construct new cities and deal with the radioactive fallout for the next 50 years.

      Good luck no such thing can happen with nuclear power. :)

    49. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      Tell that to the people directly involved with Chernobyl. You seem to have forgotten some basic chemistry, that is reaction rates, and even what reactions happens, are temperature dependent.

      No concern to you, is not the same as not a concern. These concerns where raised/pointed out in scientific papers on LFTR.

      Here you go. For various reasons, it is not a concern in a LFTR.

      Still, there is still no graphite present in the drain tanks, so it is largely academic.

    50. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's nonsense. It wasn't larger than any in recorded history. Not by a significant amount, anyway. What they built wouldn't even have handled the 869AD earthquake/tsunami that happened along the same coast that *is* recorded in Japanese history. What they built for would handle a once-in-a-century kind of earthquake/tsunami, not a once-in-a-millenium kind of earthquake/tsunami. Unfortunately that coast was about ~1100 years after the previous one, and the recurrence interval for one of this scale (going back ~3000 years) is about 900-1100 years. There are published predictions from 2001 that say the risk of a >M8 earthquake and tsunami along that coast in the next 30 years was >90%. And there you are.

    51. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So where do you fucking want your fucking power to come from?

      Maybe you can go help out the fucking quantum fucking chemists and we can fucking get an economical and fucking efficient solar panel that fucking people can actually afford to pay for the fucking energy it fucking generates.

    52. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should read about the Windscale fire:

      During the accident, uranium fuel caught fire — not the graphite moderator as is widely assumed.

      There is a discussion of graphite fire risk here, and the specific circumstances which can cause problems for graphite are not present in a LFTR.

    53. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uranium works. Thousands of reactor years of experience operating water reactors, and we are still working the bugs out.

    54. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meanwhile almost 20,000 people died from the tsunami, the reactor meltdown killed nobody, and now that we know better, the Japanese can redesign their EDG enclosures and UHS pumping system.
      Nuclear power works just fine underwater, there is no significant design challenge in operating an ECCS system when the facility is externally flooded; it's only a matter of the regulator forcing those susceptible to engineer safeguards.

    55. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ESBWR is optimized for passive decay heat removal, is it not?

    56. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not about to argue all that nonsense, but I'll ask you this one:

      You claim "We've only had one meltdown in the thirty year period since Chernobyl[...]". Well, that might be true, but; How many of the other accidents listed were near misses? If you for instance look at the Forsmark incident, it's given a rather inconspicuous description which makes it sound pretty trivial. That's actually not true at all, it was a serious accident, one which easily could have escalated to a meltdown. I know this, because I'm a local and read all the information which probably never made it outside the country because it's a "Meh, no meltdown, no news" situation.

      Now, that raises the question in my mind; How many of those other accidents were potentially a lot more hazardous than the ultimate outcome would indicate, only you and I don't know of it because that information was never made public or nobody ever bothered to translate it because those potential consequences never made it to reality?

      Ps.
      Blaming shipping jobs and income overseas on "environmentalism" is just a bag of silly. It's not even worth arguing, you should see a psychiatrist about that paranoia of yours.

    57. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Major challenges are first and formost public opinion of nuclear technology in general. Like the aviation industry, the nuclear industry exists in heel-step of regulator, and thusly, public approval. Currently, there is no framework to construct a reactor like LFTR, or MSRs more generally. For instance, regulations exists for fuel via the cladding in handling, operation, storage, ect. to make ensure that normal operation minimizes radioactive release to the specified ALARA standards set by the NRC (As Low As Reasonably Achievable). MSRs don't have fuel cladding, the fuel and fission products are all tied up in the chemical salt and bound up only in the reactor instead of a solid fuel element. Ionically bonded fuel salts might prove to be a better primary containment than solid fuels in a physical barrier. We have seen fuel cladding fail in meltdowns, ionically bonded fuel doesn't have the same failure mode. This needs more fuller testing and understanding in more situations, and needs to be approved as a valid means of primary containment. New primary containment has been approved recently in the form of TRISO ceramic fuel spheres for the so called pebble bed reactors. Those designs are reaching high levels of development and will be released in the wild soon (they also use a fluoride salt coolant in certain renditions).

      Fuel salt is another biggy. The favored LFTR design basically needs Lithium7 in a highly pure form. Lithium is not monoisotopic in nature, so some form of lithium enrichment will have to happen. Old methodologies involved mercury chemical processes which will be untenable in this current day and age. I am looking into laser enrichment technology as a potential avenue for lithium enrichment, the prospects look promising, but the devil usually does show his head in the details. This is why others have investigated other fuel salt solutions which have slightly inferrer neuronic performance, but are more easily procured and don't have tritium production. Using an alternative to beryllium and lithium would mitigate tritium production, which is nice. Tritium, like hydrogen gas, is an escape artist. While ORNL scientists envisioned capturing tritium in a secondary fuel salt, this was largely untested for long term tritium capture (though it was demonstrated to work by tritium capture in FLiNaK secondary fuel salt loop, but not well understood how). Others have recommended titanium in the off-gassing system to lock it up...in the short, the fuel salt has some interesting dynamics to work out in both what type for what job and what set of factors are important.

      Also large scale reactor use of primarily U233 is largely undone with thermal salt expansion as the primary means of reactor stability. What I mean is, while the MSRE ran on U233, it was a relatively low thermal power. Higher powers are needed to be an effective demonstration of the ability of the fuel salt to regulate reactor activity. The relatively low fraction of delay neutrons from U233 fission could make reactor core stability not have enough of a negative coefficient of reactivity to mitigate this...if 'this' is even a problem that is, it is just a speculation by some. Some things don't scale, though, so it is an objection that will need to be overcome through various means.

      Also, we kind of really need a breakthrough with Brayton cycle for salt use to get the high thermodynamic efficiencies possible with this type of reactor. All Brayton stuff is currently locked in with combustion technology. Along those lines, concentrated solar power has adopted some molten salt technology to act as a store of heat. Sandia has started developing technology for a super critical CO2 power conversion cycle for them, I am really hoping the technology can be lateraled to us...they seemed to suggest they wanted to same thing, but weren't really interested in getting it certified until they can recoupe some costs from selling it to the concentrated solar folks.

      One real advantage we might have is xenophobia. China is

    58. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, that might be true, but; How many of the other accidents listed were near misses?

      [...]

      If you for instance look at the Forsmark incident

      And depending on whose opinion you take. I notice that they still had two remaining generators even if those shared the fault of the two that went down, and could tap into a "second, separate network".

      That doesn't qualify to me as a "near miss".

    59. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by khallow · · Score: 1

      Blaming shipping jobs and income overseas on "environmentalism" is just a bag of silly.

      I'd rather call that "accurate". It's not the only factor driving industry overseas (cheap labor is a second), but it is a huge one.

      All I can say is that if environmentalism had to follow the same sort of rigorous engineering that nuclear power has to follow, it would look radically different. The harm done by environmental policies wouldn't be vapidly dismissed as a "bag of silly", for example.

    60. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I find the gamma ray comment quite musing. It doesn't matter at all if U234 is a 'nasty gamma emitter'. The heart of the reactor is a deadly gamma emission zone regardless if U234 is present, as every fission event yields massively unstable fission products that decay rapidly via gamma and beta emissions, there are also nasty neutrons flying around that are far more of a dangerous in terms of an exposure sense...not that it matters, if you walk into the heart of a nuclear reactor, LFTR or not, your dead, U234 or not. It is comical to even bring that up, one might see it as grasping at straws.

      As well, Pa generation reaches secular equilibrium in such a low total amount as to not warrant much concern in most instances. The real devil is xenon and other fission products which build up over time, those represent the largest poison to the fission chain reaction and is why removal will be necessary for a breeder to operate long term because the half lives of many products are so long that they will never reach secular equilibrium. Even so, the fission chain reaction can be sustained without FP removal for a remarkably long time in certain non-LFTR MSR non-breeder configurations .

      Fuel cycle has 2 meanings in this instance, the ultimate fate of the fuel...the physical processes it undergoes, this would be the once through cycle you mention. More strictly speaking, when most talk about the thorium fuel cycle, they are talking about breeding uranium from thorium, there is similarly the plutonium cycle which breeds Pu from uranium. There is no requirement that the thorium cycle be a breeder anymore than the uranium cycle needing to be a breeder. Point in fact, all current LWRs (including the aforementioned PWR) are once through, plutonium(ish) cycle reactors. While they don't break even on their breeding ratios, late in the fuel rods life cycle up to a third of power is being generated from plutonium rather than uranium. This isn't sustainable because of fuel damage (mostly from fission product creation) and fission product poison, so regular fissile replacement is necessary. Some MSRs plan to use the thorium cycle, but not breed enough fuel to break even, thus being a once through thorium cycle...with no 1to1 breeding. The so called DMSR is such a beast, and once again requires no Pa extraction and needs regular fissile injections...but that is easy with a liquid core and can be done while the reactor is online.

      LFTRs certainly aren't magic, but they are could be very fully featured fission machines. I have sympathy with your cynicism, though. Often times technological fanboy's do blow things out of proportion. We see it all the time in tech news where someone is making the new 'cure all' that pans out to be nothing. I don't think LFTRs are like that, they represent a type of reactor that has lots of very nice features which anyone could appreciate, and indeed some modern reactors are borrowing tricks from. Some are even adopting salt coolants similar to that of LFTR as opposed to water. Expect to see fluoride salt cooled pebble bed reactors before too long, as they are the logical step from large solid fuel elements to pure liquid fueled reactors, and have many of the strengths of both. I hope I have perhaps broken through some of the wild counter claims that have popped up as a natural reaction to fanboys overselling things. LFTRs have a lot of potential, but more to the point, molten salt reactors of all kinds could prove to be very capable reactors that burn a number of different fuels in a variety of different modes. They aren't ready for the prime time, yet. But there are some very smart engineers on the job...so I don't expect their absence to be forever...even moreso because China and India have interest in these same reactors.

    61. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is incorrect, thermal fission of U233 typically gives 2.4 - 2.5 neutrons at thermal energies, slightly better than U235 actually. In epithermal, U235 starts to do a bit better though, but U233 has a greater chance for fission rather than absorption.

      http://personal.ph.surrey.ac.uk/~phs1pr/lecture_notes/ReactorPhysics-regan11.pdf

      This is basic reactor kinetics.

    62. Re:Newer tech yes, Smaller reactors no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the list of possible medical conditions coal power production causes is actually longer than the list of people who have died as a result of a nuclear accident.

      Amazing how in the case of Coal you want the medical conditions included but not with Fission power.

      Given how the irrational have treated land prices near Fukushima - do explain how you have taken advantage and are busy living the life next to Fukushima.

  7. They could use Canadian reactors.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..... which are inherently much less risky, but are also less efficient.

    Sadly, I don't think this would ever happen, mostly because of some kind of American inferiority complex.

    1. Re:They could use Canadian reactors.... by ebno-10db · · Score: 4, Funny

      Canadian reactors overheat if the outside temperature exceeds 25C.

    2. Re:They could use Canadian reactors.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's actually not necessarily far from the truth. During the 2003 European heat wave, some nuclear power plants in France had to be stopped because the river water used for cooling warmed up too much (or the cooling towers couldn't dissipate heat fast enough, I don't remember which). At no point was this an actual emergency though; design limits were never reached (but arbitrarily chosen safe limits were).

    3. Re:They could use Canadian reactors.... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      French ones actually do when the temperatures get into the mid 30s. A few summers ago they had to shut a load down and dump hot water into rivers (killing the fish living there) when ambient temperatures got too high and the cooling systems were unable to cope.

      Keep in mind the French are supposed to have the best and safest nuclear plants in the world, but apparently forgot to account for warm weather.

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    4. Re:They could use Canadian reactors.... by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      it's more a problem with proliferation than "we don't like Canadian designs."

      CANDU designs, through their use of heavy water, produce Tritium, which can then be used in a "boosted fission" weapon design. Is the amount of Tritium enough to hold back adoption of CANDU? No, but it is a concern that comes up.

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    5. Re:They could use Canadian reactors.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Shrug] Regular PWR produce tritium as well, mostly from the use of boron in the coolant and/or fuel as a fission suppressor. And if you *wanted* to make tritium, there are plenty of ways to do it.

      The greater concern with CANDU designs is the ability to hot-swap the fuel loads on short timescales, which is an issue if you want to make plutonium that doesn't have too much plutonium-240 in it. Leaving the fuel in the reactor for too long generates more plutonium-240 instead of plutonium-239, which makes a weapon prone to "fizzle" due to the higher spontaneous decay rate of the Pu-240 isotope. On the plus side, the ability to refuel without having to shut down the reactor is one of the pluses of the design.

      In practice, you'd have to monitor the fuel loads in any type of reactor to make sure that people weren't trying to adapt the fueling operation to divert the reacted fuel to other uses. I don't think the slightly increased risk of diversion for the CANDU design is anything to worry about, especially given all the pluses.

  8. fertiliser by ssam · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It would be good if other areas of industry had the strong safety regulation that nuclear has. for example fertiliser plants.

    1. Re:fertiliser by ebno-10db · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It doesn't take 40 years to clean up after a fertilizer plant explodes. BTW, what happens if they get another tsunami while they're cleaning up the mess?

    2. Re:fertiliser by flandre · · Score: 1

      i think the radioactive stuff would be washed out to sea. there, it may sink to the ocean floor and go through a cycle much like the mercury cycle - where critters at the bottom of the food chain will eat radioactive particles, which would be eaten up by larger fish, and eventually end up being consumed by a significant portion of the human population!

    3. Re:fertiliser by hawguy · · Score: 2

      It doesn't take 40 years to clean up after a fertilizer plant explodes. BTW, what happens if they get another tsunami while they're cleaning up the mess?

      On the other hand, it doesn't take an explosion for a fertilizer company to leave land toxic, uninhabitable, and a risk to groundwater for over 30 years:

      http://yosemite.epa.gov/r9/sfund/r9sfdocw.nsf/vwsoalphabetic/Frontier+Fertilizer?OpenDocument

    4. Re:fertiliser by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i think the radioactive stuff would be washed out to sea. there, it may sink to the ocean floor and go through a cycle much like the mercury cycle - where critters at the bottom of the food chain will eat radioactive particles, which would be eaten up by larger fish, and eventually end up being consumed by a significant portion of the human population!

      That's what's happening now.

    5. Re:fertiliser by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      It doesn't take 40 years to clean up after a fertilizer plant explodes. BTW, what happens if they get another tsunami while they're cleaning up the mess?

      If they get a Tsunami in central Texas while they're cleaning it up, I'm pretty sure the flooding will be the least of our worries; the dust cloud from the giant asteroid will be a more pressing concern....

      Oh, you meant in Japan.

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    6. Re:fertiliser by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sometimes it is much worse than any nuclear accident.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhopal_disaster#Ongoing_contamination

      If only we treated all hazardous chemicals like nuclear waste, we wouldn't have all the weird cancers and disease we have in the world. But instead we spray it around and use it until it is found to be bad because "if we don't look, then it is OK".

    7. Re:fertiliser by mirix · · Score: 1

      The principal chemicals in groundwater and soil are three pesticides, ethylene dibromide (EDB), 1,2-dichloropropane (DCP), and 1,2-dibromo-3-chloropropane (DBCP), which were used as soil fumigants, as well as the solvent carbon tetrachloride.

      Doesn't look like it was the fertilizer that caused the problems, fertilizer company or not.

      --
      Sent from my PDP-11
    8. Re:fertiliser by Kaenneth · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Radioactive material has a half life at least. It'll sort itself out over time. but some chemical contamination lasts forever.

      Just because it's known exactly how long it'll last, to the point where the most accurate clocks are based on it. It sounds worse than something with no time limit.

    9. Re:fertiliser by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      How long is it going to take to clean the atmosphere of all the pollutants pumped into it by thousands of coal plants around the world for the last 100+ years?

      So what if it takes 40 years? Its contained to a small physical area.

    10. Re:fertiliser by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Yep because no chemical plant accident has long term environmental effects, or even a single event which has caused more deaths than all nuclear accidents combined by several orders of magnitude.

      The focus on nuclear power in a world where every other industry is effectively worse is just bizarre.

    11. Re:fertiliser by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or it will sink to the ocean floor and nobody would miss it for a couple of hundred thousand years. Or it gets dilutes in to the ocean and become unnoticeable.

    12. Re:fertiliser by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "some chemical contamination lasts forever"

      Which lasts longer than radioactive contamination?

      What's something very environmentally stable that still reacts with us (in order to get the "poisonous" effect) and that may actually end up in dangerous quantities in the air, water, food chain in a way that cannot be trivially be avoided...

    13. Re:fertiliser by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      Mercury, Lead, etc. metals don't decompose.

  9. Brute Force by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can't they just encase the plant in concrete/dirt and say fuk it? Seem to remember reading about Chernobyl being dealt with in similarly crude but effective fashion. Sure it would cost a lot to heap up that much rubble but hey, beats sitting on the thing for decades on end attempting to carefully spoon out all the nasties.

    1. Re:Brute Force by hawguy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Can't they just encase the plant in concrete/dirt and say fuk it? Seem to remember reading about Chernobyl being dealt with in similarly crude but effective fashion. Sure it would cost a lot to heap up that much rubble but hey, beats sitting on the thing for decades on end attempting to carefully spoon out all the nasties.

      Concrete doesn't last forever, nor does a big dirt pile when you're in an earthquake and tsunami zone. Burying it just makes it even harder to clean up when whatever containment method you used fails the next time.

    2. Re:Brute Force by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Can't they just encase the plant in concrete/dirt and say fuk it? Seem to remember reading about Chernobyl being dealt with in similarly crude but effective fashion. Sure it would cost a lot to heap up that much rubble but hey, beats sitting on the thing for decades on end attempting to carefully spoon out all the nasties.

      The plan at Chernobyl worked so well that we are now constructing a bigger, better, new sarcophagus to enclose the reactor and the current leaky and structurally unsound old sarcophagus...

    3. Re:Brute Force by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who cares if the containment fails. It's buried.

    4. Re:Brute Force by ebno-10db · · Score: 1

      Groundwater.

    5. Re:Brute Force by hawguy · · Score: 2

      Who cares if the containment fails. It's buried.

      Oh sorry, I thought the problem was radioactive elements leaking out into the environment. As long as no one is worried about the containment failing and allowing radioactive contaminants top leach into the soil and groundwater, then sure, just put an umbrella over the current reactor and call it a day.

    6. Re:Brute Force by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      allowing radioactive contaminants top leach into the soil and groundwater

      Not an issue if you bury it deep enough.

    7. Re:Brute Force by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 2

      In defense of "bury it," the sarcophagus at Chernobyl was built using late-Soviet era materials, under unbelievable constraints of time and construction difficulty. You try "doing it right" when your welders can literally work for about 15 minutes before they have to leave and never return, building structurally sound walls to support your dome is impossible, and all while knowing that every single vehicle and piece of equipment you bring in will have to be abandoned and left to rot because it's now Contaminated.

      Any sarcophagus built at Fukushima will be as if construction at Chernobyl were to begin today: "This area is somewhat contaminated. Mind your dosimeter, wear your protective clothes, take a shower after every shift and don't lick your tools and you'll be fine. Oh, and smile for the tourists."

    8. Re:Brute Force by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      Oh, I don't doubt that they could do a better job(both because it isn't as hot, and because we probably now have access to robots that are even more radiation tolerant than soviet conscripts...); but the sarcophagus is just the most notable example of the fact that actually encapsulating something properly(so that it doesn't just keep bleeding contaminated rainwater forever) gets surprisingly tricky if you have to build the enclosure under radiation constraints, and you can't necessarily just send in a maintenance guy whenever you feel like it.

      Given the number of "TEPCO reluctantly announces that local seawater radiation levels suggest that they've got another leak, they just have no idea where" stories, I'm less than 100% optimistic about their ability to encapsulate something for long term storage, though the conditions are certainly more favorable than Chernobyl.

    9. Re:Brute Force by Kyusaku+Natsume · · Score: 1

      The problem with TEPCO is that their top management has been late 10 years to their hanging. Their disregard to safety, their countrymen and even to investors is appalling.

      --
      Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!
    10. Re:Brute Force by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the management could be used to mitigate the risks to innocent construction workers in the creation of a suitable sarcophagus... I wouldn't trust their competence; but I'd be willing to let them keep working, without dosimeters, until they drop...

  10. It doesn't take a reactor for a 40 year cleanup by hawguy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Any large industrial accident can take decades to clean up. More than 20 years after the Exxon Valdez accident, there are still lingering effects. There are many Superfund toxic waste sites that have been on the Superfund list for 30 years (the list was started 30 years ago or many would have listed longer)

  11. Lies! Lies! ALL LIES! by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Lies! It's clean, I tell you, it's clean! Get it through your thick stone cranium: Nuclear power is the cleanest of them all!

    Sheesh...

    1. Re:Lies! Lies! ALL LIES! by Zaelath · · Score: 0

      If all 104 plants in the US had Fukushima style meltdowns, it might get to the level of deaths caused by coal over it's time in the sun. Probably not though.

  12. Re:lol by hawguy · · Score: 1

    all 104 nuclear power reactors now in operation in the United States have a safety problem that cannot be fixed and they should be replaced with newer technology. But that costs money, and we're not going to spend it.

    So fuck you future people. Your problem. Sucks to be you.

    To be fair, the problem is not just money, but also political. Many people want no new reactors, even if a new reactor will replace one of an older, less safe design.

  13. Shhh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't tell the ecodweebs that solar isn't clean, and their new Prius has done far more damage to the environment than the guy driving around a '98 Ford.

    1. Re: Shhh. by Hellsbells · · Score: 1

      Pretty obvious lies. Why do people still bother spouting this garbage?

      There have been several studies done showing that the Prius has a significantly lower environmental footprint than the average car.

    2. Re:Shhh. by asola · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. This nonsense has been refuted countless times.

    3. Re: Shhh. by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

      Except that when you buy a Prius, you're probably throwing away a perfectly serviceable vehicle. What's the environmental cost of that?

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    4. Re:Shhh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [citation needed]

  14. Re:lol by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 0

    To be fair, the problem is not just money, but also political. Many people want no new reactors, even if a new reactor will replace one of an older, less safe design.

    To be fair, the decision to decommission an existing reactor, and the decision to build a new one, are two independent decisions. If a reactor is unsafe, or uneconomical, or its license cannot be renewed, then it should be replaced, regardless of what technology is used to replace it. Decommissioning of old nukes is not being held up because new nukes are not being approved.

  15. Best. Cleanup Plan. Ever. by conspirator23 · · Score: 1

    1. Send the best minds in Japan to the Hanford Nuclear Reservation. Study the tools and methodologies used. Interview all the engineers participating in the cleanup effort. Learn absolutely everything you can about waste recovery techniques, environmental stewardship, and safety protocols.

    2. Do exactly the opposite.

    1. Re:Best. Cleanup Plan. Ever. by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      I was so going to post a massive bitch-fest about #1, until I saw #2 and started laughing.

      Well done.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  16. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by gr8_phk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem is that there were supposed to be other types of reactors that would "burn" the waste. That would generate even more power while getting rid of the "spent" fuel. Problem is those reactors never got approved due to proliferation risk. But of course they keep renewing licenses for the existing ones to create more waste and IIRC even allowing some more to be built.

    I'm not sure why this doesn't come up when they talk about where to bury the waste - building a reactor to make use of it IS an option. Of course the longer we wait, the more spent fuel will be contained in giant blocks of cement that can't be used as fuel either.

  17. Proposal: by gr8_phk · · Score: 0

    One properly placed nuclear "test" could blow the entire Fuck-U-Shima plant into the ocean. Question is if that would be safer than trying to deal with it on land ;-) For me it's an honest question even though it sounds absurd.

    1. Re:Proposal: by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      that would be a very dirty "ground burst" with incredible amounts of fallout contributed by the plant....let's not

    2. Re:Proposal: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Ever see what happens when someone tries to remove a whale from a beach with explosives?

    3. Re:Proposal: by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      That incident you are referring to was the result of an idiot bureaucracy with a culture of unaccountability that decided it was the Highway Department's responsibility to clear it, because the whale wasn't within the border of a State Park, and at the time, Oregon classified the beach as highway. And guess what's in the Highway Department's toolbox for clearing large obstructions? Big yellow excavation equipment, and TNT.

      So, they used half a ton of dynamite.

      More info: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploding_whale

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    4. Re:Proposal: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Teller, is that you?

  18. Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we got 40 degree days many time and im north of one of the reactors by 50 miles or so....
    so dont tell us all that bs or we'd all be smokin about now

    1. Re:Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *wooosh*

      It's a bird! It's a plane! No, wait, it's the joke flying so far over your head it's dodging satellites in low orbit!

  19. LFTR will solve these problems -- with YOUR help! by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 2

    LFTR will solve these problems -- but YOUR help is needed

    Imagine a nuclear reactor so safe you can walk away from it or shut its internal power and it will mechanically drain its operating fluid into a vessel where it will just sit there.

    Imagine that this process will be scalable from local megawatts to nation-wide terawatts by a simple replication of standard industrial components, with no increase in risk or change in the overall safety factor --- because it is not just an 'improvement' over present plants, risk of explosion or radiation leakage into the atmosphere is nil. Light and heavy water reactors operate at high pressure. This one doesn't.

    Imagine that it has no need to be near a body of coolant water at all. No need to site it near a lake or stream or coastline. Imagine that it can (slowly, productively) help to turn all that spent fuel presently at nuclear plants into electricity. All of it.

    Imagine that it can be manufactured here in the USA. Now (my fellow Americans) imagine that it should and must be manufactured in the USA, soon, to make us completely self-sufficient for grid energy, power a new era of electric transportation. And because I would (respectfully) prefer this technology we have conceived developed here --- rather than purchase it from the Chinese.

    LFTR is the golden ticket. Perhaps the thing that could transform humanity.

    But your help is needed... why?

    Because for one reason or another, all of the people you'd "expect" to jump on this idea are not doing so. And more tragic still, most of us are merely "expecting" to hear more about it some day. Without your help, that day may never arrive.

    One hundred years ago a great many people did not have running water, access to reliable transportation or grid electricity. Even though news travelled slowly on paper, people took an active interest in the science, process and product of infrastructure building.

    Today that basic aging infrastructure is in place, we enjoy our electronic gadgets, expect electricity to arrive, wait for good things to happen. We expect our politicians to be generally informed about emerging technologies (they aren't, really) and we expect smart money to go after smart ideas in the marketplace (it does not, always).

    You cannot expect the people who have invested so much in water cooled nuclear reactors to drop everything and work up completely new designs. They're not doing it! With LFTR they cannot sell their solid-fuel solutions. Which is not to say that they are incapable of adapting. But why should they? So long as LFTR is not a household word their mindset need not change.

    You cannot expect environmentally conscious people who are (rightfully!) afraid of Chernobyl happening in their backyard to understand how different LFTR is at first. They must be pointed in the right direction, encouraged to research it on their own.

    You cannot expect big philanthropist money to deliver miracles either in any reasonable time frame. Bill Gates is backing Travelling Wave Reactors, a type of Integral Fast Reactor that is cooled by (dangerous!) liquid sodium. It is the right idea (nuclear) wrong horse (approach) but he just does not know it yet.

    But the biggest issue here is the urgency with which this idea needs to be pursued. These things need to be funded --- through your active interest and by mentioning it to at least two other people. At least ten thousand people from all walks of life (such as you) need to devote a little bit of time to get up to speed on this technology.

    I nominate you! I am no real expert on the subject, I've only recently begun to research LFTR and in the material available on the net I see the idea proposed directly and succinctly five years ago, but so little has happened since then... well, it's shameful. I used to assume that good things just happen. They don't. A real eye opener.

    So I am reaching out to you. It begins right here: Thorium Remix 2011

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  20. The mistakes came early by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    They should have rushed for the Pyramid wonder to improve the speed of their workers.

  21. Re:LFTR will solve these problems -- with YOUR hel by mbkennel · · Score: 2

    | will mechanically drain its operating fluid into a vessel where it will just sit there.

    Until the rain and floods come in after the accident in which case you have steam explosions and radioactive waste in a highly water-soluble liquid combing to make all sorts of fun.

    A LFTR is a chemical reprocessing plant with astonishingly racdioactive liquid (since it just came out of the fission core) circulating at hundreds of degrees with caustic chemical properties. There will be leaks. There will be breaches. Every drop is a huge problem. There will be----well anything that can go wrong in a hot chemical plant---now add in the fact that humans even in suits can't go in there for decades if something is wrong.

    Nuclear reprocessing plants are the nastiest ones, because of the combination of liquids and radiaoactivity. I do not trust a utility with such an installation, and only want a tiny number of them, not every power plant to be one.

  22. Re:LFTR will solve these problems -- with YOUR hel by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

    | will mechanically drain its operating fluid into a vessel where it will just sit there.

    Until the rain and floods come in after the accident in which case you have steam explosions and radioactive waste in a highly water-soluble liquid combing to make all sorts of fun.

    The salts are not water soluble, and have no violent reactions with either air or water. Contrary to your claims of "all sorts of fun", ORNL even dumped some in a pool at one point, and it did little more than create some steam. Fluoride salts are among the most chemically stable substances on earth, and both the fissile and fission products remain safely dissolved in just about any imaginable circumstances. Even so, keeping water out is not an issue, as there is no need to site the plants anywhere near water.

    A LFTR is a chemical reprocessing plant with astonishingly racdioactive liquid (since it just came out of the fission core) circulating at hundreds of degrees with caustic chemical properties. There will be leaks. There will be breaches. Every drop is a huge problem. There will be----well anything that can go wrong in a hot chemical plant---now add in the fact that humans even in suits can't go in there for decades if something is wrong.

    The sort of reprocessing done for a LFTR is very different and far simpler than conventional nuclear reprocessing, and the rates for continuous processing are also very modest. The entire reprocessing system will fit along with the core in a small hot cell. The most dangerous volatile fission products are continuously off-gassed, and do not build up as in solid fuels. Thus even in the event of an accident, there is a very small amount of residual radioactivity, and still no driving force to push it into the environment.

    Nuclear reprocessing plants are the nastiest ones, because of the combination of liquids and radiaoactivity. I do not trust a utility with such an installation, and only want a tiny number of them, not every power plant to be one.

    If the continuous processing bothers you, there are variations of molten salt reactors like the DMSR that leave all of the fission products dissolved in the salts, and only require processing every 10-30 years. By the tone of your post though, it sounds like you are only interested in fear mongering, and not rational discussion.

  23. Re:LFTR will solve these problems -- with YOUR hel by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 2

    Until the rain and floods come in after the accident in which case you have steam explosions and radioactive waste in a highly water-soluble liquid combing to make all sorts of fun.

    I cannot much that isn't covered in Kaitiff's reply to your concern last December --- aside from pointing out we're talking about fluoride not sodium salts.

    Even the most complicated designs for LFTR are simple at the bottom. Drains in the containment floor after a pipe rupture --- or at shutdown through a melted freeze plug, the liquid comes to rest in a vessel where it is already sub-critical.

    Yes it's temperature-hot, for awhile. While the salts are not chemically reactive with water (or air), as long as they are hot water will flash to steam. This is days, perhaps.

    The steam risk for an active or recently-dumped reactor would be related to how much water intrudes.

    This industrial process like many must be sensibly contained and kept away from water. Fukushima had generators in a basement without water-tight doors. A superior level of engineering is called for. Shouldn't be too hard.

    Water solubility is another matter, you're right. Actual residual waste from normal LFTR operation is extremely small in volume compared to waste from water reactors, and should be vitrified into glass for storage. Here is another area where LFTR shines, for it would take ~300 years to decay to the harmless level of natural uranium. Small volumes of 300-year waste in glass is a can-do solution..

    But would the temperature-cold solidified salts abandoned in a concrete and steel LFTR drain tank pose a threat to the water table, soil?

    Eventually, slightly. Does that seem like an uncomfortable answer?

    Often discussions of nuclear accidents take on some "Life After People" flavor, where the person posing the challenge to waste (or disaster!) management seems to get free license to presume no attempt at cleanup or rescue.

    I challenge that license. A position of zero tolerance for risk, especially for existential issues such as energy, is a luxury we can no longer afford. Especially when it comes to the due diligence we should bring to bear to assess new technology. I hope you can agree with that, because we are all so dependent on this modern way of life. It has its good moments.

    At Chernobyl radioactive graphite presented a horrible challenge, to be near certain places is deadly.

    Radioactivity from fissile elements in LFTR materials will be uniform (completely mixed as liquids are) and relatively low dose, predictable in characteristic and risk. There will be no danger of 'hot pockets' and unknowns as those which plague Chernobyl and Pripyat today.

    Because it's just glop in a large bucket. It will stay in the bucket, and regardless of the nature of the mishap the glop will not explode all over the biosphere or fission forever. It will wait patiently until people clean it up and recycle the useable salts into other reactors.

    This is "Life With People". We should always keep our thoughts centered on that because life is fun and people are cool.

    Check out this documentary on George Westinghouse to glimpse what it was like when we were building infrastructure. Then please help give Thorium the chance it deserves.

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  24. 40 Months? by pod · · Score: 1

    "public-to-forget-about-it-within-40-months"

    40 months? How about 40 weeks. When is the last time you heard anything of substance about Fukushima?

    --
    "Hot lesbian witches! It's fucking genius!"
  25. Roofs, kid. Use roofs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And Fujushima is currently producing ZERO power. How will we manage to do less than that???

  26. Nukes work 60% of time. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Renewables get about 40%.

    Real numbers.

    Nukes are out 40% of the time. Fukushima, Sellafield and Chernobyl indicate your "almost all year long" is bullshit. But you're actually nearly 40% off in your calculation.

    1. Re:Nukes work 60% of time. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fukushima, Sellafield and Chernobyl indicate your "almost all year long" is bullshit.

      Huh? What have those three got to do with it?

      Also by Sellafield do you mean Windscale? That wasn't even a nuclear power plant: it was a pile used to "burn" Uranium into Plutonium and other radio-isotopes, for the sole purpose of building a nuclear bomb. Windscale was nothing more than a giant stack of graphite with some holes through it and some chimneys.

  27. Transistor invented after reactor by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Greens want to move to more modern technology. Nuke nuts want to stick with a very inefficient method to boil water. The solid state tech in solar panels is much newer and much more elegant that trying to hold a bunch of poisonous fuel right on the edge of disaster, fuel that is so fragile that the temperature has to be kept low to avoid damage and the thermodynamic efficiency is much lower than for coal or gas plants. No, it is the nuke nuts who want to impede progress.

    1. Re:Transistor invented after reactor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar sounds great. I'll get one of the plants right away when the snow melts and we can get to building it. You'll have about 6 months to generate electricity and store it somehow before snow covers the panels again. I guess you have to storage ready? Oh yeah, it's not only the snow covering the panels, sun won't be coming up for a couple of months. ( In exchance it won't set completely for quite some time in the summer )

    2. Re:Transistor invented after reactor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What does efficiency matter if one is pumping greenhouse gases out and the other is not?

      Nobody is impeding the progress of solar power, it does that on its own.

    3. Re:Transistor invented after reactor by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Efficiency matters because the huge cooling requirements limit sites for nuclear. And already, global warming is shutting down nuclear plants just when electricity is most needed to protect health. Nuclear power can't scale and will be trimmed back by climate change including losing all tidal zone sites.

  28. Land made useless by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    At the current accident rate, in sixty years there will be enough area in permanent exclusion zones that all world nuclear power could be replaced using solar power on that area alone. Seems like a better use of land would be to avoid the future accidents and replace nuclear power now. It would be cheaper. http://www.rmi.org/Knowledge-Center/Library/E09-01_NuclearPowerClimateFixOrFolly

  29. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It wasn't due to proliferation risk, it was cost. All the LSFR reactors ever built were research testbeds and experienced major problems. None ever recycled fuel successfully in the way that would be needed for them to be commercially viable.

    The cost of development would be huge and the potential risks to the ROI are worrying to investors. It would make sense for the government to try to build one, if it were able to see beyond the next election or two and didn't have better options like renewables and fusion to throw money at.

    These things are just not commercially viable I'm afraid.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  30. No one in the nuclear industry is credible by mdsolar · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Remember that they kill off whistle-blowers in the nuclear industry. Just mention the name Silkwood and chuckle and no one is going to say anything. The example of Tommy Hook helps with the intimidation.

  31. Reinventing Fire by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    If you are interested in costs, Amory Lovins' book "Reinventing Fire" goes into great detail. http://www.rmi.org/ReinventingFire Large scale renewables with new transmission turns out to be the cheapest approach. He still prefers smaller scale methods owing to their robustness to large scale disruption. Nuclear is the most expensive option.

    1. Re:Reinventing Fire by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      From the zealot who brought us the biofuels disaster? No thanks.

      Regardless, the question isn't wether conventional nuclear is the most expensive, but if renewables can ever be cheaper than coal and natural gas, and deployed at a rate of say 100MW a day. (and with the low capacity factor of wind/solar, they would require several times that, not to mention several times the transmission infrastructure.)

      Renewables simply don't cut it at the scales we require. The developing world is building coal plants instead. For that matter, even Germany is ramping coal power, burning the dirtiest brown coal.

    2. Re:Reinventing Fire by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      His work is probably just too technical for you. That's why you get taken in by blowhards Tucker.

    3. Re:Reinventing Fire by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      That's rich, coming from someone who finishes with an ad hominem.

    4. Re:Reinventing Fire by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Just trying to understand why you are so misinformed. What do you actually know about biofuels? Do they work in Brazil for example? What do you know about Lovins' position on biofuels? Does he favor making fuel from corn or corn stocks?

      You make an obviously false statement and support it with a link to an idiot. What else is one to think of your technical acumen?

  32. Re:Brute Force = short term by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The brute force approach used by the russians was only a short term solution.
    Now they are looking at a way to build an even larger containment that would not only stop the leaking hastily build containment but also enable to clean the site bit by bit.

    It's either that or keep on building new containment for the next few decades...

  33. Re:LFTR will solve these problems -- with YOUR hel by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

    I agree with your stance on everything except this point: A position of zero tolerance for risk, especially for existential issues such as energy, is a luxury we can no longer afford.

    A position of zero tolerance for risk, especially for existential issues such as energy, is a fallacy, an impossibility, and has never existed and is not obtainable.
    FTFY

    --
    Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
  34. WARNING! ALERT! MDSOLAR FUD ARTICLE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Another FUD article by the mdsolar troll. He would rather have us go back to the stone age than have electricity.
     
    Hey Soulskill, when will you grow up and recognize the troll posters rampant on this site?
     
    And by the way, 40 years is nothing in the nuclear industry. The "clean-up" period for a typical reactor is something like 50 or 100 years. They leave the core in place to "cool off" before they remove it. And no, mdsolar, leaving a core in place for years will not cause another Fukushima or Nagasaki. Yeah, buddy!

  35. Real Estate by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    So you bought some real-estate real cheap there for your retirement?

    That would make a lot more sense if:
    1. There was actually land available for sale 'cheap' - the Ukraine government has basically nationalized all of it and turned it into a state park.
    2. It was somewhere I'd otherwise want to go. Not speaking Ukrainian or even Russian, the language barrier is a bigger obstacle than the price

    Same holds true for Japan, really.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Real Estate by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      2. It was somewhere I'd otherwise want to go. Not speaking Ukrainian or even Russian, the language barrier is a bigger obstacle than the price

      Hmmm, I shall have to consult with the wife on this ; going back "home" to the ÐÐÑÐ (thank you, SlashDot's pathetic inability to handle non-Latin characters) might be an option. OTOH, going back to share a country with her mother might be a discouragement to the wife.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  36. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure why this doesn't come up when they talk about where to bury the waste - building a reactor to make use of it IS an option.

    Follow the money. Who would profit if we did build such reactors? Who is profiting from the current situation? Producers of nuclear fuel profit, who else?

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  37. Renewables aren't cutting it... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    .

    Ultimately, renewables will have to cut it. Or what do you think we will do when the non-renewables run out? And they will run out, that's why they are called non-renewables.

    We have reserves for thousands of years of economic nuclear power, and we haven't even explored all that much for it. The problem I have is that right now Natural Gas and even COAL is expanding faster in the USA than renewables are, as an absolute metric.

    I'll happily accept nuclear power as a stopgap the moment someone figures a way to stop criminally reckless and irresponsible disregard of safety. Same goes for offshore oil drilling.

    Oddly enough, the USA and France seem to be doing pretty good in this regard. I remember hearing reports that one of the critical safety updates(a hydrogen burn-off system), was declined by the Fukushima authorities, which would have prevented the explosions. It was uniformly installed in stateside plants over 30 years ago.

    What I'd like to see is a new generation of nuclear plants here in the states - shut down the nastiest coal plants and the oldest, least safe nuclear plants.

    One thing that I like to point out was that of the 3 nuclear plants to suffer a major disaster, Fukushima was actually the oldest.

    It's too easy to turn power plants into bomb factories. How else can you explain the preference for uranium and plutonium reactors, over thorium? I'd rather see the nation awash in small arms easily obtained by mentally disturbed people, than see idiot politicians and gung ho generals with easy access to nuclear bombs.

    Uh... Especially when you're looking at countries like the USA, we're already 'awash' in nuclear weapons, which makes the 'easy access to nuclear bombs' already a given. We ended up finding easier ways to make nuclear weapons than scavanging nuclear plants for the materials. Still, at that point the Uranium chain was better known and had fewer problems. I'd LOVE to see a serious attempt to build a power generating liquid thorium plant here in the states, even as I'd also like to see solar panels on all roofs in the south... We still need a variety of power sources.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  38. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by ultranova · · Score: 1

    It would make sense for the government to try to build one, if it were able to see beyond the next election or two and didn't have better options like renewables and fusion to throw money at.

    Fusion reactors don't exist and renewables are so absurdly expensive that relying on them would collapse what's left of the economy. Meanwhile, fossil fuels are running out and fission is scary.

    We might have to accept that the time of cheap energy and with it the high point of human civilization is past, in which case the relevant questions are: how orderly will the transition back to pre-industrial agrarian poverty be? Can we keep relatively peaceful nation-states intact in the face of increasingly costly communication and transportation? How will we re-educate the vast majority of population who's skills are completely useless in a primitive society? And how will we deal with the inevitable die-off as agricultural output plummets?

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  39. Portugal had 70% renewable power last quarter by mdsolar · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Portugal had 70% renewable power last quarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      which according to the linked article, hydro supplied 37% of, and wind 27%. Wind and hydro work well together to address the storage problem, but most other places don't have that luxury.

      Still, only a quarter of a year? Forgive me if I remain skeptical that those numbers will hold throughout an entire year.

  40. MODERATORS!!|!!!!!!!!!|!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For your immediate attention.....
    /o-_] .-x=-.www:::Mod PARENT uP:::www.-=x-. [_-o\
    .....noitnetta etaidemmi ruoy roF

  41. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

    renewables are so absurdly expensive that relying on them would collapse what's left of the economy

    [citation needed]

    We knew in the 1970s that solar panels would repay the energy cost of their production well within their lifetimes; back then it was seven years, for polycrystalline panels. Today it's three years, for thin-film. What's next? Wind keeps getting better as well.

    Sunny Germany seems to be able to produce its power via Solar. Surely we can manage it here in the USA, especially in rainy states like California.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  42. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Germany is fortunate enough to have neighbors that have (so far) been capable of sinking its excess renewable power. They have been causing so much trouble for grid stability that it wouldn't be surprising if they were disconnected all together at some point. What is certain, is that their entire renewable scheme would fail if they were isolated.

    Oh, and they are burning more coal now, so it is a little early to celebrate. With no nuclear, there is no path to the elimination of fossil fuel use in Germany, outside of exhaustion of the resource.

  43. Re:lol by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Decommissioning of old nukes is not being held up because new nukes are not being approved.

    I think we should start a campaign to replace the word "greenie" with "wanker." Yes, it already has a meaning, but it would be more appropriate.

  44. Oh yes, Liquid Fluoride Thorium by hicksw · · Score: 1

    Just what we want to look forward to, fluorine to melt your bones before the radiation could damage them.

    No radiation problem at all.
    --
    Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.

  45. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by ultranova · · Score: 1

    We knew in the 1970s that solar panels would repay the energy cost of their production well within their lifetimes; back then it was seven years, for polycrystalline panels. Today it's three years, for thin-film. What's next? Wind keeps getting better as well.

    Suppose a windmill lasts, on average, 20 years before needing replacement. That means you need to replace 1/20th of them every year just to keep the production capacity where it is. This means a huge, permanent money sink. And the same goes for solar panels too, of course.

    The problem is that renewables are quite dispersed, so you need lots and lots and lots of infrastructure to gather them, which needs lots and lots and lots of maintenance. Also, to actually perform this maintenance you need roads (which also need to be maintained) and you also need to transmit the power somehow.

    Sunny Germany seems to be able to produce its power via Solar.

    But at a cost.

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  46. Re:Cost of nuclear power - the problem by gr8_phk · · Score: 1

    Sorry for the late response. I didn't mean LSFR. Breeder reactors work. France uses them to recycle spent fuel. The official reason not to use them in the US is proliferation risk. It's not a technical problem, and the cost of "disposal" this way should be passed on the plants generating the waste. Simple as that.